ASSESSMENT 8.4 PAGE 4 1. INTRODUCTION TO PROBABILITY. PROBABILITY Is THE DESCRIPTION ON HOW EVENT WouLD LIKELY TO OCCUR. FOR EXAPLE, WE ROLE A DICE AND WE WANT AN OUTCOME OF G WE CAN GET THE PROBALITY OF THIS TRIAL BY DIVIDING THE NO. OF DESIRED OUT- COME TO THE TOTAL NO. OF OUTCOMES. 2.4 NORMAL DISTRIBUTION. A NORMAL DISTRIBUTION |S A SET OF VALUES IN WHICH THE MAJORITY OF THE VALUES CLUSTER IN THE MIDDLE OF THE RANGE AND THE REST DECLINE IN SYMMETR TOWARD EITHER END, | | ORDINABIQ . MARK C, afield j 214 - 0444 BSME-1AASSESSMENT 8.2 PAGE 1 A. MATCHING TYPE: MATCH X WITH THE CORRECT ANSWER IN Y. COLUMN ¥ Y M 4. THE SINGLE RESULT OF A PRO- A. EVENT BABILITY EXPERIMENT, B. PROBABILITY Bo 2, THE LIKELIHOOD OF AN EVENT. EXPERIMENT N 3.A SET OF ALL POSSIBLE OUT- C. 2 -SCoRE COMES. D.T- SCORE A 4A SUBSET OF THE SAMPLE SPACE E.NEWTON AND GALILEO S.FATHERS OF PROBABILITY F.B.PASCAL AND P. DE HG, THE PROCESS WHERE SPECIFIC FERMAT RESULTS ARE OBTAINED. G.UNIVERSAL SET | PROBABILITY THAT DEALS WITH — H.INCLUS/VE PROBABILITY| THE NATURE OF THE EXPERIMENTS |. THEORITICAL PROBABIL! AND EVENTS J. EMPIRICAL J 8. PROBABILITY THAT RELIES ON THE K.SKEWED DISTRIBUTION FACT OF ACTUAL OCWRRENCE OF L. NORMAL DISTRIBUTION THE EXPERIMENT AND EVENTS M. OUTCOME: PROBABILITY. N. SAMPLE SPACE 9. GAUSSIAN DISTRIBUTION C 10,A MEASUREMENT OF HOW MANY STANDARD DEVIATIONS A Point is AWAY FROM THE MEAN OF Its DATA SET = ORDINARIO, MARK C. ed 211-0444 BSME -1A[ Assessmewr 9.5 PAGE 4 SOLVE THE FOLLOWING: 1, FING THE PROBABILITY OF GETTING A BLUE MARBLE AT RANDOM FROM A BOX CONTAINING 4 YELLOW MARBLES, 3 GREEN MARBLES AND 7 BLUE MARBLES, PROBABILITY OF GETTING A BLUE MARBLE : Ps NO_OF FAVORABLE EVENTS: : poe on t 2.5 on 50% TOTAL NO. OF POSSIBLE OUTCOMES “14 2 THE PROBABILITY OF GETTING A GLUE MARBLES IY 504% 2,A BAG CONTAINS RED, GREEN AND YELLOW PEGS, A PEG IS TAKEN AT RANDOM FROM THE BAG. (A) FIND THE PROBABILITY THAT IT IS YELLOW IF THE PROBABILITY THAT IT 1S RED IS 0.35 AND THE PROBABILITY THAT IT IF GREEN is 0.4. (LET X BE THE PROBABILITY OF YELLOW) X¥+0.35 $0.42 100 X + 0.15 1.00 X= 1.00-9.75 X2,25 on 25% B.IF THERE ARE 20 GREEN PEGS » WHAT IS THE TOTAL NQ OF PEGS IN THE BAG? (LET x BE THE TOTAL NO. OF PEGS IN THE BAC) 20 X_ , 4OxX=20xK100 = 40x = 2000 = X = 50 Ute” 100% Oe 240 ORDINAR IO, MARK C | Toad 211 - o4u4 | BSME 24ASSESSMENT 8.3 PAGE 2 3.FIND THE VALUE OF Z AND INTERPRET WHAT IT MEANS FOR THE FOLLOWING GIVEN DATA POINTS: (A)-THE MEAN OF YOUR NORMAL DISTRIBUTION IS EQUAL TO 400. THE STANDARD DEVIATION OF YOUR NORMAL DISTRIBUTION IS EQUAL To 415. YOUR RAW SCORE X IS 130. GIVEN: AL = 400 ° o=215 x= 130 SOLUTION: Z=130-100 30 15 FORMULA: 2= x -ue SINCE, THE Z-VALUE IS PQsiTIVE ; THEREFORE THE RAW SCORE '$ HIGHER THAN THE MEAN AVERAGE. B. THE MEAN OF YOUR NORMAL DISTRIBUTION IS EQUAL To 100 THE STANDARD DEVIATION OF YOUR NORMAL DISTRIBUTION 1s EQUAL TO 45. YouR RAW SCORE X Is 70. GIVEN: FORMULA : 2 = X- Ab AL =400 oc Oras x= 70 SINCE THE Z-VALVE IS POSITIVE, SOLUTION: THEREFORE THE RAW SCORE IS BELOW Z? 10-100 -30 THE MEAN AVERAGE. “Ws * as ORDINARIO, MARK C. Ca? BSME -4A 211 - O44[‘ssessuewr gs —idppmeSC~=*d 4, GIVEN A NORMAL DISTRIBUTION WITH A MEAN OF 300 AND A STANDARD PEVIATION OF 50, FIND THE PROBABILITY THAT © ASSUMES A VALUE GREATER THAN 362, GIVEN + e AL + 300 9=50 / a X= 362 Z SOLUTION: 2 Z* 262-300. 62 4 oy 50 50 1.242 0.6425 -1 20,1075 P(x > 362) = 10.75% C.GIVE THE THREE CORRESPONDING INTERPRETATIONS WHEN THE] ‘L- SCORE IS: (A)ZERO-IF THE Z- SCORE IS EQUAL TO ZERB, THE RAW SCORE IS EQUAL TO MEAN. B)POSITNE-IF THE Z-SCORE Is POSITIVE , THE RAW ScoRE br GREATER THAN THE MEAN, (C) NEGATIVE -IF THE Z-SCORE IS NEGATIVE, THE RAW SCORE ls LESS THAN THE MEAN. ORDINARIO, MARK C- 211-0444