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CASE Study FIN376 Group 5

Analysis and Valuation of Fixed Income Securities (Universiti Teknologi MARA)

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FACULTY OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT


DIPLOMA IN INVESTMENT ANALYSIS
(BA 114)

ANALYSIS AND VALUATION OF FIXED INCOME SECURITIES

(FIN 379)

CASE STUDY/GROUP ASSINGMENT

PREPARED BY:

AINAA’ NABILAH BINTI BACHTIAR EFFENDY 2019232696


AINNUR SABRINA BINTI ABDUL MALEK 2019433216
NUR ALLISYIA IMAN BINTI MOHAMAD TAHA 2019299132

CLASS:

JBA1145F

PREPARED FOR:

SIR HAJI KHARUDIN MOHD SALI@SALLEH

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

FRONT PAGE 1

TABLE OF CONTENTS 2

1.0 QUESTION 1 & ANSWERS 3


2.0 QUESTION 2 & ANSWERS 7
3.0 QUESTION 3 & ANSWERS 10
4.0 QUESTION 4 & ANSWERS 13
5.0 QUESTION 5 & ANSWERS 15
6.0 QUESTION 6 & ANSWERS 18

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1.0. QUESTION 1

a) Explain 4 risks involve when investing in this bond.

i. Price risk. The risk that bond’s price will decline. The primary force behind a
decline in bond prices is an increase in interest rate. Thus, this type of risk also
referred to as interest rate.
ii. Default risk. Risk that investors will not receive the remaining coupon interest
rate and principal payments that they are due. It is related to the issuer financial
condition.
iii. Market risk. The value of investment may decline over the given period simply
because of economic changes or other events that impact portions of the
market.
iv. Legislative risk. The risk that a new law or changes in an existing law could
have a significant impact on the investment.

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b) Compute the amount paid for a unit of this bond in MYR if the expected return on this
bond is expected on 6.6% and the exchange rate is SGD1/MYR3.06 (disregard fees
and other expenses)

PV= RM 100,000 Coupon payment= 6% / 2 x 100,000 = SGD 3,000

Interest rate/yield = 6% Yield = 6.6% / 2 = 0.033


Expected Return = 6.6% n = (2029 – 2020) (2) -1 = 17 years

18/3/2019 18/9/2020 1/11/2020 18/3/2021 18/3/2029

Issuing date Coupon date Purchase date Coupon date Maturity date

Days of A period; Days of C period;


18/9 = 12 days 1 month = 30 days
1/10 – 31/10 = 31 days 6 months = 30 days x 6 = 180
1/11 = 1 day
44 days

PP’@ Dummy Price = CP [1-(1+r) ^(-n) / r] + Redemption Price (1+r) ^(-n)

= 3,000 [1 – (1.033) ^ (-17) / 0.033] + 100,000 (1.033) ^ (-17)

= 38,560.88 + 57,583.03

= SGD 96,143.91

Purchase Price @ Dirty Price = P’ [1 + I (a/c)]

= SGD 96, 143.91 [1 + (0.033 x (44/180)]

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= SGD 96, 919.47

SGD to MYR

= SGD 96, 919.47 x 3.06

= RM 296, 573.58

c) Supposed Aspian Tres Singapore call this bond on March 18, 2025. Compute the
approximate realized yield for YXZee fund assuming the coupon interests received
were not reinvested.

Call Price = PV + (PV X 10%)


= SGD 100,000 + (100,000 x 10%)
= SGD 110,000
n = (2025 – 2020) (2) – 1 = 9 years
a = 44 days
I = 200 basis point or reduce at 2%
= 6.6% - 2% = 4.6%
= 4.6% / 2 = 0.023% (SEMI ANNUALIZED)

C
A

18/3/2019 18/9/2020 1/11/2020 18/3/2021


18/3/2025

PP’@ Dummy Price= CP [1-(1+r) ^(-n) / r] + Redemption Price (1+r) ^(-n)


= SGD 3,000 [ 1 – (1.023) ^ (-9) / 0.023] + SGD110,000 (1.023) ^ (-9)
= 24,139.8122 + 89,642.0917
= SGD 113,781.90

Purchase Price= P’ [1 + I (a/c)]


= SGD 113,781.90 [ 1+ (0.023 x 44/180)]
= SGD 114,421.61

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Yield to Call = CP + [ call price – purchase price/n] / [call price + purchase price/2]

= SGD 3,000 + [(SGD 110,000 – SGD 114,421.611) / 9] / [ SGD 110,000 +


SGD 114,421.611 / 2]

= (2,508.7099 / 112,210.8055) x 100

= 2.2357%

Annualized yield to call = 2.2357% x 2

= 4.4714%

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2.0. QUESTION 2

a)
Coupon rate = 12% x RM 1000 = RM 120/2

CP = RM 60

Yield = (9 + 1) / 2 = 5%

n = 5 years, 3 months = 5.25 x 2 = 10.5 years

5/9/2019 28/11/2019 5/3/2025

(Purchase date) (Maturity date)

I. Bond price = CP(PVIFA5%,10.5) + PV(PVIF5%,10.5)

1−(1+0.05)−10⋅5
= RM 60 [ 0.05
] + RM 1000 (1 + 0.05)−10⋅5

= RM 60 (8.0176) + RM 1000 (0.5991)

= RM 481 056 + RM 599.1

= RM 1080.16 x 500 units

= RM 540 080

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From 5/9/2019 to 28/11/2019


5/9 – 30/9 = 26
1/10 – 31/10 = 31
1/11 – 27/11 = 27
TOTAL DAYS 84

PP = P [ 1 + i (a/c)]

= RM 1080.16 [ 1 + 0.05 (84/180)]

= RM 1080.16 (1.0233)

= RM 1105.36 x 500

= RM 552 680

1000−1105.36
YTM = RM 60 + [ 10.5
]

(1000 + 1105.36) / 2

= RM 49.97 / RM 1052.68

= 0.0475 @ 4.75% (semi-annual)

= 9.5% (annualized)

II. Yield = 10 – 4 = 6/2 = 3% (1 November 2020)

Sell back 500 units on 15 January 2021 when yield= 5.8/2 = 2.9%

Bond price = CP(PVIFA2.9%,10.5) + PV(PVIF2.9%,10.5)

1−(1+0.029)−10⋅5
= RM 60 [ ] + RM 1000 (1 + 0.029)−10⋅5
0.029

= RM 60 (8.9416) + RM 1000 (0.7407)

= RM 536.50 + RM 740.7

= RM 1277.20 x 500 units

= RM 638 600

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Sell price = RM 1277.20 [ 1 + 0.029 (132/180)]

= RM 1277.20 (1.0213)

= RM 1304.36 x 500

= RM 652 180.89

Capital gain/ loss = RM 652 180.89 – RM 638 600

= RM 13 580.89

b)
Bond A = CR, 8%, bought 2 years ago, 2 years left to maturity
Bond B = CR, 8%, bought 2 years ago, 4 years left to maturity
Yield = 8 – 0.5 = 7.5%
CP = 8% x RM 1000 = RM 80

Bond A = CP(PVIFA7.5%,2) + PV(PVIF7.5%,2)

1−(1+0.075)−2
= RM 80 [ 0.075
] + RM 1000 (1 + 0.075)−2

= RM 80 (1.7956) + RM 1000 (0.86533)

= RM 143.65 + RM 865.33

= RM 1008.98

Bond B = CP(PVIFA7.5%,4) + PV(PVIF7.5%,4)

1−(1+0.075)−4
= RM 80 [ 0.075
] + RM 1000 (1 + 0.075)−4

= RM 80 (6.8028) + RM 1000 (0.7488)

= RM 267.94 + RM 748.80

= RM 1016.74

Bond B is more volatile compare to Bond A as Bond B has a longer maturity time than Bond
A. Thus, Bond B is more sensitive in any changing rates happen in bond calculation.

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3.0. QUESTION 3

Par Value= RM 1,000


Coupon= (8% x RM 1,000) = RM 20
4
Redemption Value= 112% x RM 1,000 = RM 1,120
Yield= 10% = 2.5%
4
Current Yield

CY= RM 80
RM 920
CY= 0.087 X 100
CY= 8.70%
Yield to Maturity

YTM= RM 20 + [ (RM 1,000 – RM 920) ]


4
[ (RM 1,000 + RM 920) ]
2
YTM= 0.04167 x 100 = 4.167%
YTM= 16.67% (Annualized)
Yield to Call

YTC= RM 20 + [ (RM 1,100 – RM 920) ]


32
[ (RM 1,100 + RM 920) ]
2
YTC= 0.0254 X 100 = 2.54%
YTC= 10.16% (Annualized)
Capital Gain
Yield

CG= (RM 1,000 – RM 920)


RM 920
CG= 0.086957 X 100 = 8.6957%

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a= 180
c= 180
Coupon Payment= (4% ÷ 2) × 𝑅𝑀1,000 = 𝑅𝑀 20
Yield= 10% ÷ 2 = 0.05
n= 20 × 2 = 40

1/11/2015 1/5/2021 1/11/2035


(Issued) (Value) (Matured)

𝟏−(𝟏+𝒓)−𝒏
P’= 𝑪𝒐𝒖𝒑𝒐𝒏 𝑷𝒂𝒚𝒎𝒆𝒏𝒕 ( ) + Redemption Price (𝟏 + 𝒓)−𝒏
𝒓

1−(1+0.05)−40
P’= 𝑅𝑀 20 ( ) + RM 1,000 (1 + 0.05)−40
0.05

P’= RM 343.1817 + RM 142.0457

P’= RM 485.2274

𝒂
PP= 𝑷′ ( 𝒄 × 𝟏 + 𝒓)

180
PP= 𝑅𝑀 485.2274 (180 × 1 + 0.05)

PP= RM 509.4888

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𝒂 𝑪𝑹
Accrued Interest (AI)= × × 𝒑𝒂𝒓
𝒄 𝒎

180
AI= [180 × 𝑅𝑀 20]

AI= RM 20

Book Value (BV)= 𝑷𝑷 − 𝑨𝑰

BV= 𝑅𝑀 509.4888 − 𝑅𝑀 20

BV= RM 489.4888

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4.0. QUESTION 4

BM Inc
Coupon price= 9.25%
Yield= 92.25%
Buying price= 92.25% x RM 1,000 = RM 922.50

Capital gain yield=

Capital gain yield= (RM 1,000 – RM 922.50)


RM 922.50
Capital gain yield= 0.084 x 100
Capital gain yield= 8.40%

TTC
Coupon price= 11% ÷ 2 × 1,000= RM 55
n= 17 × 2= 34
Buying price= 102.5% x RM 1,000 = RM 1,025

Yield to Maturity=

Yield to Maturity= 55 + [ (RM 1,000 – RM 1,025) ]


34
[ (RM 1,000 + RM 1,025) ]
2
YTM= 0.0536 X 100= 5.36%

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YTM= 10.72% (Annualized)

i) Bond B
Coupon price= (10% ÷ 4) × 𝑅𝑀 1,500 = 𝑅𝑀 37.50
Yield= 9% ÷ 4 = 0.0225

𝟏−(𝟏+𝒓)−𝒏
PP= 𝑪𝒐𝒖𝒑𝒐𝒏 𝑷𝒓𝒊𝒄𝒆 ( 𝒓
) + Par Value (𝟏 + 𝒓)−𝒏
1−(1+0.0225)−8(4)
PP= RM 37.50 ( ) + RM 1,500 (1 + 0.0225)−8(4)
0.0225
PP= RM 848.9128 + RM 735.9785
PP= RM 1,584.89

Bond C
Coupon price= (7% ÷ 1) × 𝑅𝑀 2,000 = 𝑅𝑀 140
Yield= 10% ÷ 1 = 0.1

𝟏−(𝟏+𝒓)−𝒏
PP= 𝑪𝒐𝒖𝒑𝒐𝒏 𝑷𝒓𝒊𝒄𝒆 ( 𝒓
) + Redemption Price (𝟏 + 𝒓)−𝒏
1−(1+0.1) −14(1)
PP= RM 140 ( 0.1
) + RM 2,000 (1 + 0.1)−14(1)
PP= RM 1,031.3362 + RM 526.6625
PP= RM 1,558

ii) Yield= 4% ÷ 1 = 0.04


𝟏−(𝟏+𝒓)−𝒏
PP= 𝑪𝒐𝒖𝒑𝒐𝒏 𝑷𝒓𝒊𝒄𝒆 ( ) + Par Value (𝟏 + 𝒓)−𝒏
𝒓
1−(1+0.04)−14(1)
PP= RM 140 ( 0.04
) + RM 2,000 (1 + 0.04)−14(1)
PP= RM 1,478.8372 + RM 1,154.9502
PP= RM 2,633.79

𝑅𝑀2633.79−𝑅𝑀1558
Percentage change in price= 𝑅𝑀1558
× 100%
Percentage change in price= 69.05%

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5.0. QUESTION 5

a)
CP = 7/4 = 1.75% x RM 1083 = RM 18.95
n = 12 years

PP = 90.25% x RM 1200
= RM 1083
1200−1083
YTM = RM 18.95 + [ 12
]

(1200 + 1083) / 2
= RM 28.7 / RM 1141.5
= 0.025142 @ 2.5142% (quarterly)
= 10.0568% (annualized)

b) Capital gain = Selling price – Purchase price


= RM 1200 – RM 1083
= RM 117

𝑆𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒−𝑃𝑢𝑟𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑠𝑒 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒


Capital gain yield =
𝑃𝑢𝑟𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑠𝑒 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒

= (RM 1200 – RM 1083) / RM 1083

= 0.1080 @ 10.8%

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c)
n = 6 x 4 = 24 years
Call price = (5.5% x RM 1200) + RM 1200 = RM 1266

𝐶𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 −𝑃𝑃


YTC = CP + [ 𝑛
]

(Call price + PP) / 2

1266−1083
= RM 18.95 + [ 24
]

(1266 + 1083) / 2

= RM 26.575 / RM 1174.5

= 0.0226 @ 2.26% (quarterly)

= 9.04% (annualized)

d) Purchased 20 units on 3 November 2020 at 110.75%


(Purchase date) (Maturity date)

8/8/2018 8/9/2020 3/11/2020 8/12/2020 8/8/2030


(Previous payment) (Next payment)
a

I. From 8/9/2020 to 3/11/2020 (a)


8/9 – 30/9 (30 – 8) = 22
1/10 – 31/10 = 31
1/11 – 3/11 = 3
TOTAL OF DAYS 56

II. From 8/9/2020 to 8/12/2020 (c)


1 month = 30 days
3 months x 3 = 90 days

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𝑎 𝐶𝑅
Accrued Interest (AI) = × × 𝑝𝑎𝑟 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒
𝑐 4

= (56/90) x (7% / 4) x RM 1200

= RM 13.07 x 20 units
= RM 261.33

Total Purchase Price = AI + Price

= RM 261.33+ (110.75% x RM 1200 x 20)


= RM 261.33+ RM 26 580
= RM 26 841.33

e) The impact of callable bond to the company is it provides the company flexibility to
pay off debt early. Callable provision allows the company to call back the debt and
reissue it at lower coupon payment rate in a falling interest rate environment and thus
benefits the company. Therefore, this helps the company to refinance its debt as an
alternative at a lower interest rate since the company can surely borrow money at a
lower interest rate.

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6.0. QUESTION 6

P 7 YEARS P1 8 YEARS

15 YEARS

Coupon Payment = 8.5% / 2 x 1000 = 42.5

i = 8.5% / 2 = 4.25%

PURCHASE PRICE @ P

= C (PVIFA 30, 4.25%) +RV (PVIF 30, 4.25%)

= RM 42.50 (16.78) + RM 1000 (0.2869)

= RM 1000

BOND PRICE

= C (PVIFA 4.875%, 16) + RV (PVIF 4.875%, 16)

= RM 42.50 (10.935) + RM 1000 (0.4669)

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= RM 931.64

[ALTERNATIVE 1]

TOTAL COUPON RECEIVE FROM REINVESTMENT

= C (FVIFA 3.5%, 6) (FVIF 4.5%, 8) + C (FVIFA 4.5%, 8)

= RM 42.5 (6.5502) (1.4221) + RM 42.5 (9.38)

= RM 794.54

INTEREST ON INTEREST

= RM 794.54 – (RM 42.50 X 14)

= RM 199.54

TOTAL RETURN

= P1 + Total Coupon

= RM 931.64 + RM 794.54

= RM 1,726.18

REALIZED YIELD

= (RM 1,726.18 / RM 1000) ^ (1/14) – 1

= 0.0397 @ 3.98% (semi annual)

= 7.95% (annualized realized yield)

[ALTERNATIVE 2]

TOTAL COUPON PAYMENT FROM REINVESTMENT

= C (PVIFA 3.5%, 6) (PVIF 3.5%, 8) + C (PVIFA 4.5%, 8)

= RM 42.5 (6.5502) (1.3168) + RM 42.50 (9.38)

= RM 765.23

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INTEREST ON INTEREST

= RM 765.23 – (RM 42.50 X 14)

= RM 170.23

TOTAL RETURN

= RM 931.64 + RM 765.23

= RM 1,696.87

REALIZED YIELD

= (RM 1,696.87 / RM 1000) ^ (1/14) – 1

= 0.0385 @ 3.85% (semi annual)

= 7.70% (annualized realized yield)

-The portfolio manager has to choose alternative 1 because it has higher realized yield than
alternative 2.

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