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Economics Letters 173 (2018) 30–34

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Economics Letters
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ecolet

Testing the effect of investments in IT and R&D on labour


productivity: New method and evidence for Indian firms

Rupika Khanna, Chandan Sharma
Indian Institute of Management Lucknow, India

highlights

• Do technological investments in IT and R&D contribute to labour productivity growth?


• We test this hypothesis using micro-level manufacturing data from a developing economy.
• The results are robust to transmission bias in production function set up.
• IT and R&D. have a complementary effect on labour productivity.

article info a b s t r a c t

Article history: Utilizing a micro-level dataset of 900 firms for the period 2000–2016 from Indian manufacturing, this
Received 4 July 2018 paper explores the effects of technological investments on labour productivity performance of firms
Received in revised form 21 August 2018 by looking at investments in Information Technology (IT) and Research & Development (R&D). The
Accepted 7 September 2018
present study is the first to assess the role of IT and R&D jointly for Indian manufacturing. To control for
Available online xxxx
transmission bias in production function estimation, a GMM-based one step control function estimator is
JEL classification: applied. We find large effects of both IT and R&D across various sub-samples. Further, our results imply
C33 that there is a complementarity between IT and R&D in generating labour productivity growth.
D24 © 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
O3
Keywords:
Information technology
Research & development
Production function estimation
Labour productivity

1. Introduction the possible correlations between the two investments. Given that
both IT and R&D are considered as innovational inputs and may
Technological advancement is considered to be one of the most be correlated,1 Brynjolfsson and Hitt (2003) suggest that omitting
crucial factors affecting economic growth. In the growth theo- the role of unmeasured complementary investments may have
ries, generation of new knowledge through research and develop- seriously biased the effect of IT in the previous literature. A few
ment (R&D) and information technology (IT) leveraged innovations scholars have already highlighted the complementarities between
are strongly identified as the major sources of technical progress firm’s IT capital and intangible, innovational activities such as,
(Romer, 1990), hence growth. R&D, new architecture, new product development and engineering
Empirically, innovative activities, typically proxied by R&D in- design (see, Corrado et al., 2017). Specifically, evidence on the joint
vestments, have long been found to boost productivity perfor- role of IT and R&D has appeared in Hall et al. (2013), Chen et al.
mance of a firm (Griliches, 1979; Hall et al., 2013). Since the mid- (2016) and Cerquera and Klein (2008). A few studies have also
1990s, growth research has also focused on IT as a factor affecting assessed whether these assets are complementary or substitutes
productivity growth (Brynjolfsson and Hitt, 2003; Erumban and in the production process, however these have produced a mixed
Das, 2016). However, a feature of the previous literature is that evidence. For instance, Chen et al. (2016) find a complementary
the role of IT and R&D has been examined singularly, ignoring effect of IT with respect to R&D effort in 10 European countries.
On the other hand, Cerquera and Klein (2008) note that intensive
∗ Correspondence to: Indian Institute of Management Lucknow, Noida use of IT leads to reduced R&D effort in German firms.
Campus, Sector 62, Noida 201 307, India.
E-mail addresses: fpm15013@iiml.ac.in (R. Khanna), csharma@iiml.ac.in
(C. Sharma). 1 See for example, Hall et al. (2013).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2018.09.003
0165-1765/© 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
R. Khanna, C. Sharma / Economics Letters 173 (2018) 30–34 31

Polák (2017) notes that lack of good quality data is a major are widely used, the recent production function literature suggests
reason why much of the literature has ignored the possible inter- that a major limitation of these methods is that after the first stage
play between these investments. The purpose of this study is to fill of non-parametric conditioning of labour, there is no variation
this gap. To this effect, we assess the joint effects of technological in labour input left for identification of its coefficient (Ackerberg
investments in IT and R&D on labour productivity in a production et al., 2007, 2015). Wooldridge (2009) estimator overcomes this
function framework. This is achieved by analysing micro-level data limitation by proposing the joint estimation of the two equations
on Indian manufacturing firms. under a Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) framework. This
Our paper contributes to the literature in the following ways. framework uses cross-equation correlation to enhance efficiency.
First, the existing literature examines separately the effects of IT Besides, the optimal weighting matrix accounts for serial correla-
and R&D on labour productivity, which may lead to potentially tion and heteroscedasticity in the errors (see, online supplement
biased estimates and policy conclusions. We implement a joint for details).
framework to assess these investments as well as the related com-
plementarities. Second, most of the studies use traditional estima- 3. Data
tors to compute production function elasticities which sometimes
fail to control for transmission bias or simultaneity associated with For this paper, we use micro-level data from Prowess database,
input choice. We control for this simultaneity in input choice by CMIE. Prowess database is a comprehensive data source capturing
employing Wooldridge (2009), a recently developed GMM-based commercial activity in India and provides annual financial state-
semi-parametric control function estimator. This is the first work ments data for a large number of firms. The wide spectrum of firms
employing this method to assess the problem at hand. Lastly, in the dataset constitute around 70% of the economic activity of the
this paper contributes hugely to the growth literature on India organized industrial sector in India. For the purpose of our study,
by providing evidence on the role of IT in Indian manufacturing we clean the data in the following way. First, we drop firms for
firms, which has been a less explored question mainly because which data for missing across all years. Secondly, we dropped all
of data limitations. To the best of our knowledge, this is also entries with obvious data errors such as, a zero or a negative value
the first attempt to evaluate the effects of IT and R&D jointly for of assets or expenses. After cleaning the data in this way, our final
Indian manufacturing. In the relatively new literature on the joint dataset consisted of an unbalanced panel of 900 firms and spanning
assessment of these investments, the previous literature evidence 17 years from 2000 to 2016.2 A detailed description of variables is
is available for Italian firms (Hall et al., 2013), Norwegian firms presented in Table 1.
(Rybalka, 2015), European economies (Chen et al., 2016), OECD
countries (Pieri et al., 2017). 4. Estimating IT and R&D effects on firm’s labour productivity
Broadly, our findings suggest significant effects of IT and R&D on
labour productivity in the sample firms. We also find these inputs Table 2 reports the results of production function estimation
to be complementary to each other in the production process. (Eq. (2)) for the full sample period as well as sub-periods using
Wooldridge (2009) estimator.3
2. Empirical setting For each model, we report production function coefficients of
labour, IT, non-IT and R&D capital inputs per unit of labour and the
2.1. The labour productivity equation number of observations. To test the over-identification restrictions
in the GMM estimator, we employ the Hansen instrument-validity
We assume the following specification for firm i in year t: test. The null hypothesis of this test is that the instruments are valid
( ) ( ′′ ) ( ′′ ) and are uncorrelated with the error-term. Results show that the
Q KIT KO null hypothesis of instrument validity cannot be rejected across
ln = ln ω + α ln + β ln
L it L it L it the three estimations. For the full sample results, our estimated
elasticity with respect to the ordinary capital input is consistent
( ′′ )
KRD
+ δ ln + θ ln (L)it + εit (1) with other studies on Indian manufacturing firms. Sharma (2018),
L it for example, estimates the output elasticity of capital input to be
where α, β , γ and δ represent the output elasticities of IT capital around 0.32 from an OLS estimation of a Cobb–Douglas production
assets (KIT ′′ ), non-IT/ ordinary capital assets (KO ′′ ), accumulated function. Our results indicate for positive and statistically signifi-
R&D capital assets (KRD ′′ ) and labour (L). Q is the firm’s output cant output elasticities of both IT and R&D capital inputs. This holds
defined in value-added terms. θ = α + β + γ + δ − 1 is a measure true for both the periods. The coefficient of IT for the full sample is
of scale economies, whereby the values of θ > 0, θ < 0 or θ = 0 0.04. The implication is that 1 percent increase in IT capital stock
respectively indicate increasing, decreasing and constant returns would lead to around 0.04 percent increase in labour productivity.
to scale. ωi,t is a parameter measuring total factor productivity. It Similarly for R&D, the implication is that a unit percent increase
is assumed to evolve as a first-order Markov process: in R&D input would lead to around 0.03 percent increase in labour
productivity.
ωi,t = E(ωi,t |ωi,t −1 ) + ui,t (2)
where ui,t is a random shock component assumed to be uncorre- 2 The Prowess database is based on the National Industrial Classification (NIC)
lated with the technical efficiency, the state variables in KO ′′i,t and 1998.
the lagged free variables ωi,t −1 . 3 A more recent method to deal with the identification issue highlighted in
Section 2.2 is Ackerberg et al. (2015) (henceforth, ACF). In contrast with Wooldridge
(2009), the ACF method assumes an input demand function that is conditional upon
2.2. Production function estimation
the labour input, which allows the ACF estimator the flexibility to accommodate
different patterns of inter-temporal adjustment between productivity shocks and
As per the paradigm of theory of producer behaviour (Berndt inputs. However, the authors of Ackerberg et al. (2015) raise certain caveats regard-
and Khaled, 1979), there is a simultaneity between input choice ing the use of this method. For instance, based on simulations, the authors confirm
and unobserved productivity shocks (ω) because firms partly de- that under situations where the unconditional demand function assumption is
valid, the use of ACF correction produces less efficient estimates (see, Ackerberg
termine input quantities based upon prior belief about their pro- et al., 2015, pp. 21). In a set of unreported results, we make a similar observation,
ductivity. Traditional methods such as Levinsohn and Petrin (2003) which restricts us from choosing the ACF method over Wooldridge (2009). We also
deal with this simultaneity in two steps. While these estimators note that the latter produces unbiased, consistent and efficient results in our set up.
32 R. Khanna, C. Sharma / Economics Letters 173 (2018) 30–34

Table 1
Variable description.
Dependent variable
Labour productivity (LP) LP refers to value-added per labour
Explanatory variables
Variable Description Expected sign
IT capital–labour ratio (KIT ) Total capital in IT assets ±
R&D capital–labour ratio (RD) Accumulated investment in R&D +
Capital–labour ratio (KO ) Ordinary capital assets of the firm per employee +
Labour (lab) Total employees in the firm –

Export dummy = 1 for firms with positive reported exports ±


= 0 otherwise
Foreign dummy = 1 for foreign firms (firms with > 10 percent foreign ownership) +
= 0 for local firms
IT intensity dummy = 1 for firms with low IT-intensity +
= 0 otherwise

Table 2
Production function estimates: full sample and sub-periods.
DV: lnLP Full sample Sub-sample I Sub-sample II High IT-intensive Low IT-intensive
2000–2016 2000–09 2010–16 2000–2016 2000–2016
ln(KIT ) 0.047** (0.000) 0.042** (0.000) 0.051** (0.000) 0.066** (0.000) 0.038** (0.000)
ln(KO ) 0.323** (0.000) 0.307** (0.000) 0.353** (0.000) 0.354** (0.000) 0.310** (0.000)
ln(lab) 0.018** (0.003) 0.016* (0.084) 0.017** (0.027) 0.041** (0.000) 0.003 (0.738)
ln(RD) 0.035** (0.000) 0.028** (0.000) 0.041** (0.000) 0.021** (0.000) 0.048** (0.000)
N 5303 2274 3029 2237 3066
Hansen test 4.34 (0.23) 1.22 (0.75) 0.52 (0.91) 6.78 (0.09) 4.43 (0.22)

Note: p-values are reported in parenthesis. Standard errors are based on bootstrapping method.
*p < 0.10.
**p < 0.05.

A priori, there may be many reasons why the impact of IT differences of the IT coefficients between the groups is conducted
on some industries is different from others. For instance, some in the spirit of Niebel (2018) in three steps: first, estimate the
industries may be lacking the absorptive capacities such as, an regression for each sub-group, second, estimate them using a SURE
appropriate level of human capital or other complementary fac- and finally, test whether the difference between the coefficients
tors such as R&D expenditures and therefore gain less than the of the pair is zero. The results of this exercise suggest that there
other industries (Wu et al., 2004). Recent literature on IT suggests is a statistically significant difference in the output elasticity of
that the returns to IT vary across industries based on intensity of IT capital in the groups based on IT intensity (where, χ 2 (1) =
use (Jiménez-Rodríguez and Sánchez, 2012; Niebel, 2018).4 Pilat 47.49, p < 0.01 for the full period). Hence, given these results,
(2004) argues that the additional productivity benefits in high-IT we find evidence to support the hypothesis that high-IT using
industries could be triggered by IT-related network effects as IT industries ‘leapfrog’ through IT, as described by Wu et al. (2004).
may lower transaction costs and catalyze the process of knowl- Besides, interestingly, we are unable to reject the null hypothesis
edge creation. Some scholars explain these differential returns on of constant returns to scale for the group with low IT-penetration,
IT in terms of a leapfrogging argument i.e. IT enables industries contrary to the other group where we find statistically significant
to bypass some of the processes of accumulation of human ca- evidence for increasing returns to scale.
pabilities and fixed investment in order to narrow productivity A weakness of the earlier works on IT and its contribution
gaps (Jiménez-Rodríguez and Sánchez, 2012). Therefore, following
towards output growth (e.g., Brynjolfsson and Hitt, 2003; Erumban
these scholars, we test for the ‘leapfrogging’ hypothesis by dividing
and Das, 2016) is that these studies impose uniform production
the industries into two groups based on intensity of IT use: low
technology across heterogeneous manufacturing sectors. We es-
IT intensive sector and high IT intensive sector. The threshold
timate and present the results for four manufacturing industries
variable chosen for this empirical exercise is IT intensity (a ratio
separately, i.e. transport and machinery, metals, chemicals and all
of IT capital stock to total assets) in year 2004 prices. A threshold
other industries.5 Table 3 presents the results for each of these
test is further conducted by regressing the IT intensity variable
sectors for the full sample covering 1998–2016. The estimated
over a dummy for high intensity industries. The results confirm
coefficients show statistically significant output elasticities of IT
statistically significant (estimated t-statistics 7.55 with p-value <
0.01) difference in IT use across the two groups. ranging between 0.040 and 0.064 across these sectors, while the
The sub-group results for high IT and low IT industries are given elasticity of R&D across these sectors lie between 0.015 and 0.086.
in the last two columns of Table 2. We find the coefficient of IT
to be 0.066 for high IT industry sub-sample and 0.038 for low IT 5 Our disaggregation of the full sample into these broad sectors is determined
industry sub-group, where the latter refers to industries where by two factors. First, we are constrained by data on both IT and R&D, which we
IT penetration is largely lacking. Further, a Chow-type test on the address by clubbing some sectors with others. Second, estimates based on factory
data confirm that together these sectors, i.e. chemicals, transport and machinery
and metals, contribute to more than 50 percent of the total IT investments in
4 There may be many reasons why the impact of IT on some industries is India’s organized manufacturing sector (see also, Krishna et al., 2018), while the
different from others. For instance, some industries may be lacking the absorptive other sectors do not singularly make a significant contribution on this front. Our
capacities such as an appropriate level of human capital or other complementary dataset confirms that these sectors contribute heavily to total R&D investment also.
factors such as R&D expenditures and therefore gain less than the other industries Therefore, we find it interesting to study these sectors separately. Fortunately, we
(Wu et al., 2004). have sufficient data on these sectors to study them separately.
R. Khanna, C. Sharma / Economics Letters 173 (2018) 30–34 33

Table 3
Production function regressions: broad industry groups.
DV: lnLP Chemicals Machinery & Transport Metals Other industries
ln(KIT ) 0.044** (0.000) 0.040** (0.009) 0.064* (0.071) 0.056** (0.000)
ln(KO ) 0.266** (0.000) 0.421** (0.000) 0.360** (0.000) 0.281** (0.000)
ln(lab) 0.058** (0.000) 0.020** (0.006) 0.018 (0.535) −0.017 (0.190)
ln(RD) 0.048** (0.000) 0.015** (0.029) 0.086** (0.012) 0.065** (0.000)
N 1606 1767 397 1545
Hansen test 6.23 (0.11) 9.73 (0.02) 12.39 (0.01) 2.58 (0.46)

Note: Other industries group includes sectors such as construction, food, textiles, consumer goods and miscellaneous
industries.
*p < 0.10.
**p < 0.05.

The estimated coefficient for the metal industry is 0.064, the im- 6. Concluding remarks
plication is that 1 percent increase in IT capital stock per labour
would lead to around 0.06 percent increase in labour productivity. Summing up our insights from this analysis, our results on the
Another interesting finding is that both metals and transport and significant impact of IT on labour productivity are consistent with
machinery sectors seem to undergo increasing returns to scale, the results established by Erumban and Das (2016) and Sharma
with a positive and significant scale coefficient, which is depicted
and Singh (2012). Erumban and Das (2016) find that the use of
by coefficients of labour. Both the sectors are indeed IT intensive
IT input made a positive and significant contribution to output
in nature, as against manufacturing sectors comprising the ‘other
growth in Indian manufacturing in 1986–2011. Further, estimating
industries’. Similarly, in chemicals, industries such as, and indus-
trial chemicals and rubber and plastic products have been lagging a Cobb–Douglas production function with IT capital as an input,
in terms of IT adoption. Sharma and Singh (2012) find the value-added elasticity of IT
input in aggregate manufacturing to be around 17.2 percent for the
5. Robustness analysis period 2003–2007.7 Our estimate, on the other hand, lies between
0.03 and 0.069. Since Sharma and Singh (2012) study IT effects
Next, we relax the assumption that all polynomial terms in the at the plant-level, our estimates at the firm-level are not directly
production function are zero, and include an interaction between comparable with those presented by these authors. Nevertheless,
IT and R&D capital inputs. If the interaction variable is positive, we there are a few reasons suggesting that the accuracy of our results
can conclude that the two types of inputs are complementary in may be higher as compared to the previous studies, including that
generating productivity, at least for the present sample. Further, of Sharma and Singh. Firstly, our estimates allow production tech-
we augment our basic specifications in Eq. (2) with relevant control
nology to vary across sub-groups within the manufacturing sector.
variables. Firstly, drawing from our result on the disparities among
Our analysis already shows that the differences between IT returns
industry sub-groups based on intensity of IT, we control for these
effects using a dummy variable. Secondly, we consider the possibil- across sub-sectors according to IT penetration and industry-type
ity that labour productivity could be linked with whether or not the are wide, ignoring which would lead to quite misleading results.
sample firms are open to export (see, for instance, Yamada, 1998). Secondly, our estimate based on Wooldridge (2009) estimator is
This is achieved by way of accounting for an export dummy, which corrected for simultaneity bias in the input choice, while the GMM
is 1 for exporters and 0 for non-exporters. Lastly, we also control framework used by Sharma and Singh does not explicitly control
for firm ownership by including a foreign firms’ dummy that is 1 for such simultaneity.8 Lastly, our estimate utilizes long panel
for foreign firms, 0 otherwise.6 Results are summarized in Table 4. properties as we study a considerably longer period than these
The estimated coefficient of ordinary and IT capital inputs are studied. Our analysis takes care of many potential econometric
consistent across all specifications. We find the coefficient of R&D problems such as, the problem of simultaneity bias in the produc-
around 0.06. The implication is that a percent increase in firm’s tion function, cross-sectional correlation and heteroscedasticity of
R&D capital would increase the labour productivity of firms by errors. Further, inclusion of control dummies also help in assessing
around 6 percent, which appears quite consistent across alternate the consistency of results. However, these advantages come with a
models. Further, the estimated coefficient of the interaction term slight limitation, which is that the framework becomes extremely
is significant across all these specifications, and the sign of the
complex when testing for firm fixed effects.
estimated parameter is positive suggesting that the two types of
In a nut shell, our findings suggest significant effects of IT and
inputs show a complementary effect in generating productivity
R&D on labour productivity in the sample firms. We also find these
effects. Coming to the results on control dummies, we find that in-
dustry sub-sectors with low levels of IT penetration generally have inputs to be complementary to each other.
realized lower levels of labour productivity as compared to those
with higher levels of IT penetration. Similarly, the positive and sta- Acknowledgements
tistically significant sign of the export dummy suggests that firms
that are open to export have higher labour productivity. Finally, in The authors thank the anonymous referee and the Associate
Column 4, we also consider a foreign firm’s dummy. However, the Editor of this journal for their useful comments and helpful sugges-
estimated coefficient of the foreign dummy is not statistically sig- tions on the previous version of this paper. Any errors or omissions
nificant suggesting the absence of differential labour productivity
are solely the authors.
effects in foreign firms.

6 Please note that we do not use conventional fixed effects (firm, industry, 7 The estimates in this paper are particularly sensitive to the methodological
time etc.) in our analysis. Recent work strongly suggests against the use of fixed framework employed. The estimate of 17.4 percent is based on generalized method
effects with control function estimators, such as Ollay Pakes, Levinsohn Petrin and of moments (GMM) estimator (see, Sharma and Singh, Table 4 (4), pp. 214).
Wooldridge, as these can exacerbate the attenuation bias caused by measurement 8 The use of traditional estimators such as fixed effects and GMM in productivity
error (see, for instance, Lee et al., 2017). Nevertheless, we do allow for heteroge- estimations has been criticized recently as these are not well-founded in the
neous technology across disparate industry sub-groups (see, Tables 3 and 4) and theory of producer behaviour (Griliches and Mairesse, 1995). Wooldridge (2009)
time regimes (sub-period analysis). methodology overcomes this criticism.
34 R. Khanna, C. Sharma / Economics Letters 173 (2018) 30–34

Table 4
Production function estimates with interaction term and additional controls: full sample.
DV: lnLP Model I Model II Model III Model IV
ln(KIT ) 0.069** (0.000) 0.069** (0.000) 0.065** (0.000) 0.066** (0.000)
ln(KO ) 0.319** (0.000) 0.319** (0.000) 0.323** (0.000) 0.325** (0.000)
ln(lab) 0.018** (0.002) 0.018** (0.002) 0.017** (0.005) 0.015** (0.017)
ln(RD) 0.061** (0.000) 0.061** (0.000) 0.061** (0.000) 0.060** (0.000)
Interaction (RD ∗ KIT ) 0.004* (0.062) 0.004* (0.062) 0.005* (0.057) 0.005* (0.056)
Low IT-intensity dummy −0.261** (0.000) −0.260** (0.000) −0.178** (0.000)
Export-dummy 0.408** (0.000) 0.268** (0.000)
Foreign-dummy 0.003 (0.686)
N 5303 5303 5303 4038
Hansen test 5.34 (0.25) 5.34 (0.25) 5.53 (0.24) 9.24 (0.07)

Note: p-values are reported in parenthesis. Standard errors are based on bootstrapping method.
*p < 0.10.
**p < 0.05.

Appendix A. Supplementary data Krishna, K.L., Erumban, A.A., Goldar, B., Das, D.K., Aggarwal, S.C., Das, P.C., 2018.
ICT investment and economic growth in India: An industry perspective. CDE
Working paper no. 284, Delhi School of Economics, New Delhi.
Supplementary material related to this article can be found
Lee, Y., Stoyanov, A., Zubanov, N., 2017. Olley and Pakes-style production func-
online at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2018.09.003. tion estimators with firm fixed effects. URL: https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.
2899248.
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