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sustainability

Article
A Regional Industrial Economic Forecasting Model Based on a
Deep Convolutional Neural Network and Big Data
Shouheng Tuo 1,2,3, * , Tianrui Chen 1 , Hong He 4, *, Zengyu Feng 1 , Yanling Zhu 1 , Fan Liu 1 and Chao Li 1

1 School of Computer Science and Technology, Xi’an University of Posts and Telecommunications,
Xi’an 710121, China; ctr1498@126.com (T.C.); fengzengyu@stu.xupt.edu.cn (Z.F.);
zhuyanling11@126.com (Y.Z.); l_nlxx@163.com (F.L.); lichao8849@163.com (C.L.)
2 Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Network Data Analysis and Intelligent Processing, Xi’an 710121, China
3 Xi’an Key Laboratory of Big Data and Intelligent Computing, Xi’an 710121, China
4 College of Economics and Management, Xi’an University of Posts & Telecommunications, Xi’an 710121, China
* Correspondence: tuo_sh@126.com (S.T.); hehongtbw@126.com (H.H.)

Abstract: To accurately predict the economic development of each industry in different types of
regions, a deep convolutional neural network model was designed for predicting the annual GDP;
GDP growth index; and primary, secondary and tertiary industry growth values of each. In the model,
raw industrial data are preprocessed by a normalization operation and subsequently transformed
by the BoxCox method to approach the normal distribution. Panel data of consecutive years are
constructed and used as input to the deep convolutional neural network, and industrial data of year
t + 1 are used as the output of the network. Simulation experiments were conducted to analyze

 23 years of industrial economic data from 31 provinces, municipalities, and autonomous regions in
China. The experimental results show that R-squared value is larger than 0.91 for all 31 provinces
Citation: Tuo, S.; Chen, T.; He, H.;
and root mean squared log errors (RMSLE) of all regions are less than 0.1, which demonstrate that the
Feng, Z.; Zhu, Y.; Liu, F.; Li, C. A
proposed method achieves high prediction accuracy with generalization capability and can accurately
Regional Industrial Economic
Forecasting Model Based on a Deep
predict the economic growth trends of different types of regions.
Convolutional Neural Network and
Big Data. Sustainability 2021, 13, Keywords: deep convolutional neural network; regional economy; industrial economic big data
12789. https://doi.org/10.3390/
su132212789

Academic Editor: Carlos 1. Introduction


Rodríguez Monroy In recent years, political issues, such as trade protectionism, racism, and populism,
have brought great uncertainty to economic and social development worldwide. In partic-
Received: 26 October 2021
ular, the trade dispute between China and the United States has produced major challenges
Accepted: 17 November 2021
to world economic development. In the current complex international environment, China,
Published: 19 November 2021
as the world’s largest developing country, must urgently revise its thinking on economic
development by expanding domestic demand, adjusting its industrial structure, and estab-
Publisher’s Note: MDPI stays neutral
lishing a new strategy for regional economic development with adaptive capabilities. In the
with regard to jurisdictional claims in
19th Party Congress report, Xi Jinping clearly pointed out that China has entered a new era.
published maps and institutional affil-
He also wants to build China into a harmonious and beautiful modern socialist country,
iations.
and to achieve sustainable, coordinated development of China’s domestic economy by the
middle of this century [1]. In 2020, China proposed the “Double Cycle: A New Pattern
of National Economic Development”, which featured a major domestic economic cycle
and dual domestic and international economic cycle promoting each other. The proposal
Copyright: © 2021 by the authors.
focuses on strengthening the coordinated development of the domestic economy and
Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.
enhancing the sustainable development of China’s economic grand cycle by enhancing the
This article is an open access article
sustainable development of China’s regional industrial economies [2]. One of the main rea-
distributed under the terms and
sons for the establishment of the European Union (EU) is to strengthen economic relations
conditions of the Creative Commons
Attribution (CC BY) license (https://
between European countries, aiming at enhancing the external economic competitiveness
creativecommons.org/licenses/by/
of the EU and the influence of the EU countries in the world through the cooperation of
4.0/). the EU economies. In 2021, President Biden signed a trillion-dollar stimulus package to

Sustainability 2021, 13, 12789. https://doi.org/10.3390/su132212789 https://www.mdpi.com/journal/sustainability


Sustainability 2021, 13, 12789 2 of 11

strengthen U.S. infrastructure and manufacturing, designed to promote circular and rapid
growth in the U.S. domestic economy.
However, due to current complex international political relations and dynamic macroe-
conomic development, methods to accurately predict the future development of regional
industrial economies based on current economic status and understand the interactions
between different industrial systems and their impact on regional economic development
have all become important issues in selecting regional pillar industries, enhancing the
competitiveness of cities and the synergistic development of regional economies. By mining
historical data on the economic development of each region in the country, this study in-
vestigates the key economic industries developed in each region and analyzes and predicts
the growth potential of regional industrial economic development to establish a theoretical
basis and value reference for the selection of advantageous industries in the region and the
coordinated development of each region.
At present, regional and industrial economy research is rich and wide-ranging and
involves relatively mature research methods. Scholars carrying out multilevel and multi-
perspective studies on different research topics using various research methods have
produced a steady stream of research results. In terms of research content, most of the
literature focuses on specific industries, such as agriculture [3], manufacturing [4,5], real
estate [6], logistics [7], finance [8], productive services [9], cultural industries [10], informa-
tion industries [11], and other economic industries. The association of regional industries
and their ripple effects [12] have also become the focus of research in recent years, and
several rationalized policy recommendations have been proposed to promote industrial
structure upgrading [13]. We introduced a multiregional economic correlation analysis
method based on big data [14]. These recommendations are powerful tools for judging the
economic contribution of industries and selecting leading regional industries. Tianren Yang
et al. investigated the residential mobility patterns of households living in low-income
neighborhoods and studied the neighborhood characteristics that influence their mobil-
ity [15]. Lingqiang Kong et al. summarized the big data-based urban environment, society,
and sustainability (UESS) research using a systematic review approach in combination with
bibliometric and thematic analyses [16]. Zaheer Allam and Zaynah A. Dhunny proposed a
new framework binding AI technology and cities while ensuring the integration of key
dimensions of culture, metabolism, and governance [17].
In terms of research methods, various economic forecasting models have been pro-
posed to predict the future development of relevant industries based on the current state of
the industrial economy. Tingting Zhang et al. proposed an FWA-SVR forecasting model to
forecast the tourism economy [18]. Cheng Mao-Lin et al. used the gray model GM (1,1)
to predict the growth trends of China’s real estate economy [19]. In another study [20],
China’s macroeconomic system was analyzed by constructing a BMF-VAR model to fore-
cast China’s macroeconomy. In [21], a deep-learning LSTM model used to forecast and
analyze the inflation rate in China achieved good performance. Ji Yao used commod-
ity price big data to construct a MIDAS model for analyzing and forecasting CPI and
PPI [19,22]. Xia Maosen used a deep neural network CNN-LSTM model to analyze and
forecast the Chinese consumer confidence index [23]. Pichayakone Rakpho et al. proposed
a Bayesian vector autoregressive (BVAR) model to forecast energy demand and supply
more accurately [24]. Yifei Lyu et al. constructed a dataset of 77 countries representing
over 90 percent of global GDP and forecasted US economic growth in downturns using
cross-country data [25]. Oscar Claveria et al. presented a machine-learning method for
sentiment indicators construction and economic forecasting with evolved confidence indi-
cators [26]. To enhance the prediction accuracy of COVID-19 and strengthen the economic
management and control, Xuan Tang et al. introduced a self-correcting intelligent pan-
demic prediction model [27]. To accurately forecast business failure prediction, Soo Young
Kim et al. developed three prediction models (entire period model, economic downturn
model, and economic expansion model) using WEKA3.9 [28].
Sustainability 2021, 13, x FO
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Sustainability 2021, 13, 12789 3 of 11


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2.2.2. 2. Prediction
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layer.
layer. layer. layer.
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(2) Regional panel data network: The regional GDP growth index and the primary,
secondary, and tertiary industry growth values are combined to form panel data to identify
Sustainability 2021, 13, 12789 4 of 11

correlations between industries and the influence of industry data on later growth values
within n consecutive years using neural network convolution kernels. First, three CNN
layers (including convolution, batch normalization, ReLU activation function, and pooling
operations) are used to extract time series data features and potential industry connections.
The inputs of the fully connected layers are the output values of (1) and (2), and the
two fully connected layers integrate the outputs of the GDP and panel data networks to
further optimize the learning of the multichannel outputs of the two networks.

2.2. Model Analysis


(1) Convolution: The main purpose of the convolution layer is to extract features from
the input panel and sequence data using the following expression.

C kx ky  
zl +1 (i, j) = ∑∑∑ Z l s x i + x, sy j + y wcl +1 ( x + y) + b

(1)
c =1 x =1 y =1

where zl (i, j) denotes the value of the i-th row and j-th column data of the feature image
(panel or sequence) in the l-th layer, C represents the number of channels, (k x , k y ) indicates
the size of the convolutional kernel, (s x , sy ) is the convolution step size, wcl +1 represents the
weight matrix of channel c of l + 1, and b is a bias value.
(2) Batch Normalization (BA): BA can stabilize the training process of the network,
improve training speed, and minimize problems (such as gradient disappearance and
overfitting [30] using the following expression).

  zl(b) (i, j) − u(i, j)


yl(b) (i, j) = BN zl(b) (i, j) = γ· +β (2)
σ (i, j)

where zl(b) (i, j) denotes the input value of the b-th sample (Row i, Column j) in the current
batch. Here, zl(b) (i, j) denotes the output value of the convolution operation; u(i, j) and
σ (i, j) denote the mean and standard deviation of the batch sample at that position (Row i,
Column j), respectively; and parameters γ and β are used to control the mean and variance
of yl(b) , respectively.
(3) Relu: Relu is an activation function used to recalculate and activate the data after
normalization as follows. 
l x , x>0
y = x (3)
α ( e − 1) , x ≤ 0

where yl is the output value of the l-th layer after activation by the Relu function.
(4) Pooling: Down sampling, dimensionality reduction, and feature compression are
conducted on the output data of the convolutional operation. Maximum pooling is used in
the first and second convolutional layers, and the mean pooling operation is used in the
third convolutional layer.
(5) Loss function: The model uses the Huber loss function (as shown in Equation (4))
to optimize the prediction results as follows.
n
loss(y, y0 ) = n1 ∑ zi
  i =1  2
 0.5 y − _ _

− (4)
y , i f y i < 1

i _ i i
y
zi =
 y − y − 0.5, otherwise

i i

_
where y and y denote the real and predicted values of the network, respectively.
(6) Optimization algorithm: For the loss function, the distance between the predicted
network output and true values is minimized by optimizing the network parameters.
The Adam optimization approach, which is solved iteratively by performing the gradi-
Sustainability 2021, 13, 12789 5 of 11

ent derivative of the loss function [31], is adopted for the optimization of the network
parameters. The Adam algorithm iterative formula is written as follows.
mt
θ t = θ t −1 − α √ (5)
vt + ξ

e t = β1 · m
m e t −1 + (1 − β 1 ) · g t
mt = me tt+1
1− β 1
vet = β 2 · vet−1 + (1 − β 2 ) · gt 2
vt = vett+1
1− β 2

where θt is the parameter value of the network at the t-th iteration, mt denotes the first
moment estimate, vt denotes the second moment estimate, and gt denotes the gradient
value at time t. α represents the learning rate during the iteration (0.01 in this paper); β 1
and β 2 both represent the exponential decay rate (β 1 is used to control the momentum of
the exponential shift and the weight of the gradient at generation t (0.9), respectively; and
β 2 is used to control the weight of the squared gradient at generation t − 1 (0.999)). ξ is a
very small positive number (1 × 10 − 8) designed to avoid the denominator of Equation (5)
being 0.

3. Analysis and Forecast of the Industrial Economy of 31 Provinces and Municipalities


in China
3.1. Dataset
In this paper, we use national macro annual data from the CEE statistical database
(https://db.cei.cn/, accessed on 20 May 2021), including the annual GDP; GDP growth
index; and growth values of primary, secondary, and tertiary industry economies for
31 provinces, municipalities directly under the central government, and autonomous
regions of China, from 1997 to 2020.
Data preprocessing: To enable uniform network training, all the data were first
normalized as follows.
j
j xi − min( xi )
xi = (6)
max( xi ) − min( xi )
j
where xi denotes the data corresponding to the i-th indicator; xi is the data value of the j-th
row in the i-th indicator; and max( xi ) and min( xi ) denote the maximum and minimum
values of the data in the i-th indicator, respectively.
Due to unbalanced economic development in the 31 given provinces in China, the
economic levels of the developed eastern regions and the northwestern provinces differ
greatly. Figure 2 (statistical histogram and QQ plot) shows the distribution of the data in
three industries (after normalization) for 31 provinces, municipalities, and autonomous
regions in China over 20 years. As seen in Figure 2, the data distribution of the three
industries has a very large deviation, which gravely affects the accuracy of the prediction
model. To eliminate the large variability of the data and convert it to an approximate
normal distribution, the normalized data are transformed using the following method.
q
_j 5 j
xi = xi (7)

The transformed data follow the approximate normal distribution of Figure 3, which
basically satisfies the conditions of regression analysis.
In this paper, which is based on regional economic data in China from 1997 to 2020,
the regional data of five consecutive years are used as the network input, X, and the data of
the sixth year are used as the output, Y. Each region generates 19 sample data (each sample
is a matrix panel data with 5 rows and 5 columns), yielding a total of 19 × 31 = 589 sample
data. Due to the small number of samples, the network is easily overfitted with respect to
prediction learning for the 31 regions. To improve generalization capability and enhance
Sustainability 2021, 13, 12789 6 of 11

Sustainability
Sustainability 2021,
2021, 13,
13, xx FOR
FOR PEER
PEER REVIEW
REVIEW 66 of
of 11
11

the prediction performance of the network, the data with 589 samples are randomly fine-
tuned to generate new sample data, resulting in a total of 2565 sample data points. During
The
The transformed
training, transformed
the samples aredata follow
follow the
datarandomly the approximate
approximate
shuffled, normal
normal
and the distribution
distribution
network of Figure
ofin
is trained Figure 3,
3, which
batches,which
with
basically
basically
100 satisfies
satisfies
samples the
the conditions
randomly conditions of regression
of each
selected for batch.analysis.
regression analysis.

QQ
QQPlot
PlotofofTertiary
Tertiaryindustry
industryData
Dataversus
versusStandard
StandardNormal
Normal
QQ
QQPlot
PlotofofSecondary
Secondaryindustry
industryData
Dataversus
versusStandard
StandardNormal
Normal 11
11

0.8
0.8 0.8
0.8
Sample
Input Sample

Sample
Input Sample

0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
of Input

0.4
0.4
of Input

0.4
0.4
Quantiles of

Quantiles of

0.2
0.2
Quantiles
Quantiles

0.2
0.2
00

-0.2
-0.2 00

-0.4
-0.4
-4-4 -3-3 -2-2 -1-1 00 11 22 33 44 -0.2
-0.2
Standard
StandardNormal
NormalQuantiles
Quantiles -4-4 -3-3 -2-2 -1-1 00 11 22 33 44
Standard
StandardNormal
NormalQuantiles
Quantiles

Figure
Figure 2.
Figure 2. Histogram
2. Histogram and
Histogram and QQ
and QQ chart
QQ chart of
chart of the
of the distribution
the distribution of
distribution of the
of the data
the data for
for three
data for three industries.
three industries.
industries.

Figure
Figure 3.
Figure 3. Histogram
3. Histogram and
Histogram and QQ
and QQ chart
QQ chart of
chart of the
of the distribution
the distribution of
distribution of the
of the transformed
transformed data
the transformed data for
data for three
for three industries.
three industries.
industries.

3.2. Network Parameters


In
In this
this paper,
paper, which
which is is based
based onon regional
regional economic
economic data data inin China
China from
from 1997
1997 to to 2020,
2020,
the The network
the regional
regional data parameters
data of
of five are summarized
five consecutive
consecutive years
years are as Table
are used
used as 1. network
as the
the network input,
input, X,X, and
and the
the data
data
of
of theWe
the sixthimplemented
sixth year
year are the
are used
used as network
as the model
the output,
output, Y. using
Y. Each PyTorch,
Each region including
region generates
generates 19 data normalization,
19 sample
sample data
data (each
(each
normalization,
sample
sample is network
is aa matrix
matrix panel training,
panel data
data with 5prediction,
with 5 rows and 55and
rows and evaluation.
columns),
columns), yielding
yielding The source
aa total
total of code
of 19
19 31of== 589
×× 31 the
589
algorithm
sample
sample data. is available
data. Due
Due to
to theat https://github.com/shouhengtuo/Cnn_economy
the small
small number
number of of samples,
samples, thethe network
network is is easily (accessed
easily overfitted
overfitted with on
with
20 May
respect
respect to 2021).
to prediction
prediction learning
learning forfor the
the 31
31 regions.
regions. ToTo improve
improve generalization
generalization capability
capability and and
enhance
enhance the the prediction
prediction performance
performance of of the
the network,
network, the the data
data with
with 589589 samples
samples are are ran-
ran-
domly
domly fine-tuned
fine-tuned to to generate
generate new new sample
sample data,
data, resulting
resulting in in aa total
total ofof 2565
2565 sample
sample data data
Sustainability 2021, 13, 12789 7 of 11

Table 1. Deep CNN parameters.

Subnetwork 1 for Panel Data Subnetwork 2 for GDP Data


Number of Kernel Stride Padding Number of Kernel Padding
Layers Type Layers Type
Channels Size Size Size Channels Size Size
Convolution
Convolution 64 (3,1) (1,1) (2,1) Convolution 16 (3,1) (1,0)
layer 1
Convolution
Batch Batch
layer 1 64 / / / / 16 / /
normalization normalization
Relu 64 / / / / Relu 16 / /
Pooling 64 (3,1) / / / Pooling 16 (3,1) /
Full
Convolution 32 (1,3) (1,1) (1,2) connection Input size: 16; output size: 32
Convolution layer 0_0
layer 2 Full
Batch
32 / / / connection Input size: 32; output size: 16
normalization
layer 0_1
Relu 32 / / /
Pooling 32 (1,2) / /
Convolution 16 (2,2) (1,1) (0,0)
Convolution Batch
16 / / /
layer 3 normalization
Relu 16 / / /
Pooling 16 (2,2) / /
Merge the output of subnetwork 1 and subnetwork 2
Full connection layer 1_0 Input size: 16, output size:32
Input size: 32, output size:3
Full connection layer 1_0
The output is the economic growth values of the three industries in the 6th year.

3.3. Results and Analysis


For network training, 10-fold cross-validation was used, and the value of the loss
function was essentially stable after 300 iterations. The trained network was used to predict
the last three years of data for three industries in 31 provinces, municipalities that are
directly under the central government, and autonomous regions of China. The following
two evaluation indices were used to evaluate the prediction accuracy of the network.
(1) R-Squared
n
2
∑ (ŷi − yi )
SS i =1
R2 = 1 − residual = 1 − n (8)
SStotal 2
∑ ( y − yi )
i =1

where yi and ŷi represent the true output value and network prediction of the ith
sample, respectively; and yi represents the mean value of the true value in the region.
(2) Root Mean Squared Log Error RMSLE
s
1 n
n i∑
RMSLE = (log(ŷi + 1) − log(yi + 1))2 (9)
=1

where yi and ŷi represent the true output value and network prediction of the ith
sample, respectively.
The value of R-squared is in the interval [0,1], and the closer its value is to 1, the more
accurate the prediction result is. In contrast, the traditional mean squared error (MSE)
value is influenced by the range of values of the original data, which is not sizeable enough
to determine the degree of accuracy. The value of RMSLE is not greatly influenced by the
size of the original data compared to the root mean square error RMSE; thus, it is easier to
discern the prediction accuracy with RMSLE.
In Table S1 (see Supplementary), the prediction accuracies of the three industries
in 31 provinces are summarized by the deep multilayer convolutional neural network
proposed in this paper. Figure 4 shows plots of the predicted and true values for Beijing,
Shanghai, Shaanxi, Xinjiang, Heilongjiang, Guizhou, Tibet, Guangdong, Shanxi, and Zhe-
jiang Provinces from 2002 to 2020. From Figure 4 and Table S1, it can be seen that the
Sustainability 2021, 13, 12789 8 of 11

deep convolutional neural network prediction model proposed in this paper can accurately
predict the economic growth values of the three industries in all regions. The R2 values
of the network model for the 31 regions are all greater than 0.9. With the exception of
R2 = 0.915671 for the secondary industry in the Shaanxi Province, R2 = 0.972776 for the
primary industry in Tibet, and R2 = 0.938831 for the primary industry in the Zhejiang
Province, the R2 values for the three industries are all greater than 0.98. In addition, only
the RMSLE of the secondary industry in the Shanxi Province is 0.114741 (which has a
relatively large error); the prediction errors of all the other regions are less than 0.1. This
indicates that the method in this paper achieves high prediction accuracy and can be used
to forecast the economic growth of regions with large variability.
The above experimental results and analysis indicate that the proposed forecasting
model has high-precision for predicting multi-industries and multiple economic indicators
of a region. The model can be easily used to the future economic development trends of
the regions. However, it has some limitations, as listed below.
(1) The multilayer CNN requires a large sample size to train the network, but the histori-
cal economic data of each region is general not sufficient due to the lack and missing
of historical data.
(2) The CNN has high prediction and recognition ability when it has seen similar sample
data; however, its prediction ability is deficient for the data that has never been
seen before.
(3) The predication model proposed in this work only considers the GDP; GDP grow
index; and the growth value of primary, secondary, and tertiary industry as inputs,
and it can also predict the future growth values of primary, secondary, and tertiary
industries in a region. However, regional economic forecasting should consider the
development trends of more precise industrial economies (e.g., financial industry,
tourism, ecological environment, population structure, etc.).
Future works:
Sustainability 2021, 13, x FOR PEER REVIEW  9  of  12 
(1) Construction of a multiregional and multi-industrial structure economic index system.
 
The indicators of regional population structure, ecological environment, tourism,
logistics, service industry, agriculture and industry are integrated to build a more
(2) scientific and complete
Construction  multiregional
of  correlation  andmodel 
relationship  multi-industry structure indicator
for  the  multiregional  system.
and  multi‐in‐
(2) Construction of
dustry structure.  correlation relationship model for the multiregional and multi-
(3) industry structure.
Prediction model construction for multiregional and multi‐industrial structure eco‐
(3) Prediction model construction for multiregional and multi-industrial structure eco-
nomic indexes. 
nomic indexes.
     

   
     
Figure 4. Cont.
     

   
     
Sustainability 2021, 13, 12789 9 of 11
   
     
     

   
     

     
   

 
   
   

 
 
 
Figure 4. Fitted curve of predicted and true values.

4. Conclusions
The accurate prediction of regional industrial economic development trends is crucial
for future economic decisions and sustainable coordinated development. To accurately
predict and analyze the economic development of three industries in each province, munici-
palities directly under the central government, and autonomous region of China, this paper
proposes a multilayer convolutional neural network prediction model that uses regional
historical economic data to train and learn a neural network. First, the historical data of
the 31 provinces are integrated, and the historical data of each of the three industries are
normalized and preprocessed. Due to large differences in the economic development levels
of each region, the data contain obvious bias characteristics that affected the prediction
accuracy of the neural network. For this reason, the data are first normalized to balance
the deviations among the indicators, and then the normalized data are transformed using
Equation (7) to balance the deviations among the regions. Second, by constructing panel
data and generating sample data, the sample size is increased to improve the generalization
Sustainability 2021, 13, 12789 10 of 11

capability of the network. The experimental results show that the proposed multilayer
convolutional neural network can accurately predict the economic development of each
region. One disadvantage of our method is that we only analyze and predict from the
combined data of GDP of primary, secondary, and tertiary industries, which cannot reflect
the development trends of each industry. Since the industries in the regions tend to influ-
ence each other and have complex correlations with each other, it would be more useful
to analyze and forecast from the perspective of industry big data. As future research, we
intend to collect the historical data of each industry in the regions and form more complete
regional economic big data by analyzing and integrating the data of each industry, i.e.,
population structure, education, agriculture, industry, service industry, finance, science
and technology, ecological environment, traffic conditions, water resource distribution, and
energy conditions, and then mine their correlations to construct a deep neural network
model. In addition, we will build a deep neural network model to forecast the development
of the all industries taken together.

Supplementary Materials: The following are available online at https://www.mdpi.com/article/10


.3390/su132212789/s1, Table S1: Prediction accuracy in 31 regions of China (R2,RMSLE).
Author Contributions: Investigation, T.C. and H.H.; Methodology, S.T.; Software, S.T.; Writing–
original draft, S.T., T.C., Z.F., Y.Z., F.L. and C.L.; Writing–review & editing, T.C. and H.H. All authors
have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding: This research was supported by the Ministry of education of Humanities and Social Science
project, China under Nos. 19YJCZH148, special project of Shaanxi Province for key disciplines in
higher education institutions and supported in part by major scientific research project of Shaanxi
Provincial Department of Education (No. 20JZ089).
Institutional Review Board Statement: Not applicable.
Informed Consent Statement: Not applicable.
Data Availability Statement: The dataset is download from http://data.drcnet.com.cn/ (accessed
on 20 June 2020).
Acknowledgments: The author would like to thank all the editors, reviewers and referees for their
constructive comments.
Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflict of interest.

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