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In
deductive arguments conclusion follows the premise. If we make a deductive argument the
premise must simply follow the conclusion. In deductive arguments conclusion is proved so
there is no uncertainty. Unlike deductive arguments, in inductive arguments the conclusion does
not guarantee the premise. So, the conclusions in inductive arguments are probable to happen but
not certain. Inductive arguments happen when we make assumptions about the basic
expectations of the world. We take our past experiences and assume that the future will be the
same. Such as in the statement “the sun will rise tomorrow”. We know that the sun will rise
tomorrow based on our experiences, however there is not a certainty whether it will rise
tomorrow or not.
In the movie Sherlock Holmes (2009) Sherlock uses inductive arguments while solving a
crime. Although he is known as an excellent detective and most of the inferences that he made
from his observations, he is just doing these inferences based on his past experiences. He is
observing the individuals and gather evidence to assume about who commit the crime. However,
in his arguments there are no absolute certainty that we can be sure of. His arguments are based
on probability. Such as, Holmes sees that in the lady there is a sunburn on her finger caused by
the ring. He took this as evidence a generalized that she had a failed marriage since there is no
ring on her finger currently. However, this argument that Sherlock does end up being wrong.
Another movie that we can give examples for inductive reasoning is 12 Angry Men (1957). In
the movie there are 12 juries that tries to decide whether a little boy committed a suicide or not.
At first, almost all the of juries were sure about the little boy is murderer since the court found
the boy guilty. However, a jury that that finds evidence that gathered insufficient, he tries to
challenge the beliefs of other jury members. When a jury claims that “I know that kind of people,
they are all liars” he generalizes about the people who live in the region that little boy lives. In
addition, there is a scene where the court finds a knife which is a unique and do not sell in every
store. So, the juries generalize that “if he had that kind of knife, he must kill his father”.
However, when they found that the knife that boy have is a knife that he can simply purchase