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Probability
Probability
1) in the
total probability (that
is
by X.
success
↑
X
③ denotes
jiska probability distribution
banana hai.
Adice is thrown 5 times
Let be
x a random variable denotes
P(X 0) =
P(X 4)
=
P(x 1) =
P(x =
2) P(X 5) =
I cards are drawn from a pack of
52 cards
Let
x bearandom variable denote
the number
king
of cards.
X 0
=
-
4.
P(X
4)
=
P(X 1)=
p(X 3)
=
of all the probabilities distributed
sum
possible values X
of
all the
among
be equal to I
will always
Mean Probability
of distribution:
PiX
=>
i
(Mean)
2
variance => <Pix; -
Sol
5W
>3 balls drawn one
7B without
by one replace
ment.
Let X
be a random variable which denotes
the number of w hite balls.
X 0, 1,2,3
=
=>
P/3 black balls)
Ex+x0
=>
=
u
P(X 1)
=
=> P( I white ball)
=>
x=+ => 1
x3
=> t
P(X 2)
=
=>
Ix ↓
12
1 xE x3 1y
=>
P(X 3)
=
=> P/3 white balls)
52 =
Eu
=>
x
0
11
x =
X o 123
Maan X
=
EPiXi
=
E
=
x0 2 +
ye
x 1 +
-
+
x3
E
=>
Variance => <Pixiz -
(x(2
[5yX0
=>
2
+
4
2
x +
+
=
+ z
my
x
32] -
(E)
5. D = --
Variance
8. Afair dice is thrown 3 times. Find
and variance.
find its mean
50/1
Dice -> 3 times
ProJ.List. ->"c"
variable which denotes
Let X be arandom
x 0,1,2,3
=
P(X 0) =
=> P(n06)
5x
=>
5 x
= 25
=
P(X=1) => P
(exactly one 6S
5x5x5
=>
x3
5
=
P(X 2)
=
=>
P(exactly two 6)
5 5 5
=>
5
x x x3 =
P(X 3)
=
=> P( exactly 3 six)
xtx t 0
=>
=
2
X ⑧ I 3
P
25 25 5
1
⑦
X o I 2 3
distribution is Find
Ifmean of the .
the values of p and 9.
So I
* t p q =
+
+ +
p q
t i-
+ =
Mean
0
1
=
2p 5a
+
i)
+
=
+
2p 3a
E ii)
+ =
2p 2a
+ ix
+
+
=
=
= 1
10
5011 6
- 5
+
a
+ +
+ = 1
i-
z
a b
+
=
-
E
=>
1
y
a
66
+
- +
+
3 i
=
+
66
t
a
=
- +
->
ii)
70
1 1
=
5
+
27
+
1
=
6
=
a
15- 7 =0
=
5
Variance = o2
=>
(y +
1 3
+
1 s)
+
+
-
( 12
=>
3
-
+
3 7.8
=
+
k=
1/9
SolL P(1 B
<pr <u/x
->
< 3 (
A
&conditional Probability
P(A/B)
AVBC
=
=>
P(X 2)
=
P(X 1) = P(X 2)
+
=
2n
=>
5
=
5p hk
=
h.
5.5 =
= =
n 30
=
Binomial distribution
binomial
distribution using
Probability
theorem.
is always
not
Binomial distribution
valid.
is
It valid only when:
Outcomes:success or failure
ii) 9P Every trial must be independent
of each other.
Let the
probability success
of in
each trial p
trial
q
=
No. of trials =
n
p q 1
+
P/ exactly "r"successes) =?
Let X be a random variable which
X 0
=
to n
P/ exactly "r"successes) 16
"W
P(x r)
=>
=
4c
=
p.p.p, . - p
↓ 2.9.9.9 --
q
P(51515181 -
snF1Fr - -
F)
- -
I n times
times - 2
P(s(P(s)P(s)
=> - P(s)P(F) - -
P(F)
pr.qh
=>
-r.ncw
r
n -
5
P(X r)
=
=> "cp 2
n No.
=
of trials.
in each
P=prob. of success
trial
/
q = 11 1
failure
r No.
=
of success.
8. Afair dice is thrown 3 times. Find
and variance.
find its mean
n p 1.q =
=
3
=
3c0(5)((5)3
0
P(X
-
0)
= =>
3cx(5) (5)3
1
P(X 1) =>
-
=
3az(t)?(5)3
2
-
P(X 2)
=
=
3ay(b)3(5)"
-
3
P(X 3)
=
=>
Mean np
=
Variance npq
=
8. Find mean and variance of distribution
2011
n 10
=
p prob. of 3
1/6
=
=
q =
5/6
x np
10.7
= =
5/5
=
a =
npa
10.5 .z
=
=
Mean 2
=
np
=
Var
1/6
=
npq
=
8. A drunkman takes a forward step
with
probability 0.4 and a backward step
with
probability 0.6. Find the
probability
that he is just
o ne stepaway from
Sol 1 forward
n = 1t success =
failure backward
=
= 11 -6
P(x 6)
11c,(0.M)) (0.6)
=> =
=
P/6 backward and 5 forward
(0.6)"
P(X 5)
= =>
"(y(0.4)"
Man D videos
0. If a coin is tossed in times. Find
tails.
0. Ifchances of hitting the target in
50%.