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Basic Notions on Sets

Prof. Remalyn Q. Casem


email: rcasem@dmmmsu.edu.ph

Theory of Probability 1-1


TOPICS

Sample space and events


Set and event operations

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Theory of Probability
Sample Space and Events

Experiment a procedure that generates


observable outcomes

Outcome any possible observation of an


i experiment. element

Sample space mutually exclusive, collectively


S or Ω exhaustive set of all possible
outcomes. universal set
 finite/discrete
 infinite/continuous

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Theory of Probability
Sample Space and Events

mutually exclusive

Example of two mutually exclusive events:


One die is rolled. Event A is rolling a 1 or 2.
Event B is rolling a 4 or 5.
Example of two non-mutually exclusive events:
One die is rolled. Event A is rolling
a 1 or 2. Event B is rolling a 2 or 3.

Theory of Probability
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Sample Space and Events

collectively exhaustive

Example of collectively exhaustive events:


One die is rolled. Event A is rolling a
number less than 5. Event B is rolling a
number greater than 3. Any roll of a die will
satisfy either A or B (in fact, a roll of 4
satisfies both).

Theory of Probability
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Sample Space and Events

mutually exclusive collectively exhaustive

Example of events that are mutually


exclusive and collectively exhaustive:
You buy a stock today. The event A is that
the price of the stock goes up tomorrow.
The event B is the price of the stock goes
down tomorrow. Event C is the price of
the stock does not change.

Theory of Probability
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Sample Space and Events

Event set of all outcomes (sample points)


E satisfying some property that
characterizes that event. set

 simple
 compound

 independent
 dependent

Theory of Probability
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Sample Space and Events Example 1

Experiment Roll a normal six-sided die once

Outcomes Each outcome is a number i = 1, … , 6


i
Sample space 6 distinct numbers: S = {1,2,3,4,5,6}
S or Ω

Events E1 = set of all odd outcomes


E E2 = set of all outcomes greater than 2
E3 = set of all outcomes that are the
square of an integer

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Theory of Probability
Sample Space and Events Example 2

Experiment 2 rolls of a four-sided die, record


both numbers
Outcomes Pairs of numbers {1,2,3,4} x {1,2,3,4}
i
Sample space 16 distinct pairs if order matters;
S or Ω 10 distinct pairs if order doesn’t matter

Events E1 = set of all outcomes with


E a sum equal to 4
E2 = set of all outcomes with
an odd sum

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Theory of Probability
Sample Space and Events Example 3

Experiment 2 rolls of a four-sided die, record


the sum
Outcomes Sum of the two numbers, a number from
i 2 and 8
Sample space {2,3,4,5,6,7,8}
S or Ω

Events E1 = set of all even numbers


E {2, 4, 6, 8}
E2 = set of numbers > 5
{6, 7, 8}

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Theory of Probability
Sample Space and Events Example 4
Venn Diagrams: Flipping Three Coins

(a)True / False
All three Venn diagrams are the sample
space of the outcomes of flipping a coin
three times: {HHH, HHT, HTH, HTT, THH,
THT, TTH, TTT}. TRUE

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Theory of Probability
Sample Space and Events Example 4
Venn Diagrams: Flipping Three Coins

(b) Event A could be described as: flipping a head


no times / exactly two times
at least once / at most two times
at least once

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Theory of Probability
Sample Space and Events Example 4
Venn Diagrams: Flipping Three Coins

(c) Event B could be described as: flipping a head


no times / exactly two times
at least once / at most two times
at most two times

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Theory of Probability
Sample Space and Events Example 4
Venn Diagrams: Flipping Three Coins

(d) Event C could be described as: flipping a tail


no times / exactly two times
at least once / at most two times
at least once

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Theory of Probability
Sample Space and Events Example 4
Venn Diagrams: Flipping Three Coins

(d) Event D could be described as: flipping a head


no times / exactly two times
at least once / at most two times
exactly two times

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Theory of Probability
Set Operations
Union = {x/ x in A or x in B}

Intersection = {x/ x in A and x in B}

Sometimes A B is written as A+B


A∩B is written as AB
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Theory of Probability
Set Operations
Complement = {x/ x in S and x not in A}

Difference = {x in A and x not in B}


= (A – B = A ∩ Bc)

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Theory of Probability
Set Operations
(1) (A B)c = Ac ∩ Bc De Morgan’s Theorems
NOT in (A or B) = (NOT in A) AND (NOT in B)

(2) (A ∩ B)c = Ac Bc

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Theory of Probability
Event Operations
Let E1 = {a, b, c, d, e, f}
E2 = {e, f, g, h}
E3 = {i}
S = {a, b, c, d, e, f, g, h, i, j}

(a) E2c = {a, b, c, d, i, j}


(b) E1 E2 = {a, b, c, d, e, f, g, h}
(c) (E1 E2)E3 = Ø
(d) (E1 E2 )c = {i, j}

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Theory of Probability
Combinatorics

Prof. Remalyn Q. Casem


email: rcasem@dmmmsu.edu.ph

Theory of Probability 1-20


TOPICS

Fundamental Counting Principle


Tree Diagrams
Permutations
Circular Permutations
Combinations
Partitions

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Theory of Probability
Fundamental Counting Principle

A small community consists of 10 women,


each of whom has 3 children. If one woman
and one of her children are to be chosen as
mother and child of the year, how many
different choices are possible?

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Theory of Probability
Fundamental Counting Principle

A college planning committee consists of 3


freshmen, 4 sophomores, 5 juniors, and 2
seniors. A subcommittee of 4, consisting of 1
person from each class, is to be chosen. How
many different subcommittees are possible?

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Theory of Probability
Fundamental Counting Principle

How many different 7-place license plates


are possible if the first 3 places are to be
occupied by letters and the final 4 by
numbers?

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Theory of Probability
Fundamental Counting Principle

How many different 7-place license plates


are possible if the first 3 places are to be
occupied by letters and the final 4 by
numbers if repetition among letters or
numbers were prohibited?

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Theory of Probability
Tree Diagrams
Determine all the possible outcomes when a
coin is tossed three times.

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Theory of Probability
Addition Counting Principle
Let A and B be two events whose sample spaces contain no common
outcomes (i.e. they cannot happen at the same time). Then if event A can
happen in a ways and event B can happen in b ways, the number of ways in
which either A or B can happen is a + b.

The addition principle of counting can be extended to three or more events.

When you roll two dice, how many ways is it


possible to roll a sum of 6 or a sum of 7?

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Theory of Probability
Addition or Multiplication?
Use the multiplication principle when order is implied—that is, when one
event happens and then another event.

Use the addition principle when one event or another event can happen, but
not at the same time.

How many 5-character codes are possible if the first


two characters are letters and the other characters are
numbers or vice versa, if repetition among letters or
numbers were prohibited?

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Theory of Probability
Permutations
How many different ordered arrangements of
the letters a, b,and c are possible?
abc, acb, bac, bca, cab, cba

Each arrangement is known as a permutation.

The different permutations of the n objects are

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Theory of Probability
Permutations
The different permutations of the n objects are

1. How many different batting


orders are possible for a baseball
team consisting of 9 players?

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Theory of Probability
Permutations
The different permutations of the n objects are

2. A class in probability theory consists of


6 men and 4 women. An examination is
given, and the students are ranked
according to their performance.
Assume that no two students obtain
the same score.
(a) How many different rankings are
possible?

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Theory of Probability
Permutations
The different permutations of the n objects are

2. A class in probability theory consists of


6 men and 4 women. An examination is
given, and the students are ranked
according to their performance.
Assume that no two students obtain
the same score.
(b) If the men are ranked just
among themselves and the women
just among them selves, how many
different rankings are possible?

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Theory of Probability
Permutations
The different permutations of the n objects are

3. Ms. Jones has 10 books that she is


going to put on her bookshelf. Of
these, 4 are mathematics books, 3 are
chemistry books, 2 are history books,
and 1 is a language book. Ms. Jones
wants to arrange her books so that all
the books dealing with the same
subject are together on the shelf. How
many different arrangements are
possible?

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Theory of Probability
Permutations

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Theory of Probability
Permutations
We shall now determine the number of
permutations of a set of n objects when
certain of the objects are the same from
each other. To set this situation straight in
our minds, consider the following example.

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Theory of Probability
Permutations
How many different letter arrangements can be
formed from the letters PEPPER?

Hence, there are 6!/(3! 2!) = 60 possible letter


arrangements of the letters PEPPER.

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Theory of Probability
Permutations
We shall now determine the number of
permutations of a set of n objects when
certain of the objects are the same from
each other. To set this situation straight in
our minds, consider the following example.

different permutations of n objects,


of which n1 are alike, n2 are alike,
... , nr are alike.

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Theory of Probability
Permutations
A chess tournament has 10 competitors, of
which 4 are Russian, 3 are from the United
States, 2 are from Great Britain, and 1 is
from Brazil. If the tournament result lists
just the nationalities of the players in the
order in which they placed, how many
outcomes are possible?

How many different signals, each consisting


of 9 flags hung in a line, can be made from a
set of 4 white flags, 3 red flags, and 2 blue
flags if all flags of the same color are
identical?

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Theory of Probability
Combinations
To determine the number of different groups
of r objects that could be formed from a
total of n objects

A committee of 3 is to be formed from a


group of 20 people. How many different
committees are possible?

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Theory of Probability
Combinations

From a group of 5 women and 7 men, how


many different committees consisting of 2
women and 3 men can be formed?

What if 2 of the men are feuding and refuse


to serve on the committee together?

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Theory of Probability
EXERCISES

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Theory of Probability
EXERCISES

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Theory of Probability
EXERCISES

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Theory of Probability
EXERCISES

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Theory of Probability
EXERCISES

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EXERCISES

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Theory of Probability
EXERCISES

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Theory of Probability
Solutions

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Theory of Probability
EXERCISES

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Theory of Probability
Solutions

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Theory of Probability
EXERCISES

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Theory of Probability
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Theory of Probability
Solutions

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Theory of Probability
EXERCISES

From a group of 3 freshmen, 4 sophomores, 4 juniors,


and 3 seniors, a committee of size 4 is randomly selected.
Find the probability that the committee will consist of

(a) 1 from each class


(b) 2 sophomores and 2 juniors
(c) only sophomores or juniors

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Theory of Probability
EXERCISES

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Theory of Probability
EXERCISES

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Theory of Probability
EXERCISES

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Theory of Probability
EXERCISES

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Theory of Probability
EXERCISES

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Theory of Probability
EXERCISES

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Theory of Probability
End of Presentation

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Theory of Probability

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