Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Introduction
2 Project Identification
It is the beginning stage of the project cycle with the purpose of finding
potential project, which could contribute towards achieving specified
development objectives.
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Project ideas can emanate or originate from a multiplicity of sources.
These can be:
1. Unsatisfied demand and needs
2. The need to improve shortage of certain commodities
3. Existence of unused or under used resources
4. Need to compliment other investment
5. Government may be providing incentives
6. Occurrence of natural events such as draught, earth quake, flood, etc
7. Capacity building
8. Bilateral or multilateral agreement
1 Project Preparation/Formulation/
Generally in the project preparation, three main tasks will be carried out.
These include:
1. data gathering
2. analysis
3. decision making
In the wider sense project preparation contains the design of set of proposal
that is technically, financially and economically feasible. Moreover, the
detail of feasibility study depends on the complexity of the project.
Accordingly the important facets of project analysis are: -
Market and demand analysis
Technical analysis
Financial analysis
Economic analysis
Ecological / Environmental analysis
Social analysis
Market analysis and demand analysis
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Market analysis is concerned primarily with two question
What would be the aggregate demand of the proposed product / service in
the future?
What would be the market share of the project under appraisal?
To answerer the above questions, the market analysis requires a wide variety
of information and appropriate forecasting methods. The kinds of
information required are:-
Consumption trends in the past and the present consumption level
(demand forecasting).
Past and present supply position.
Production possibilities and constraints
Imports and exports.
Structure of competition/competitors analysis
Cost structure
Elasticity of demand
Consumer, behavior, intentions, motivations, attitudes. Preferences and
requirements.
Distribution channels and marketing policies in use
Administrative, technical and legal constraints
Technical analysis:
Analysis of the technical and engineering aspects of a project needs to be
done continually when project is formulated. Technical analysis seeks to
determine whether the prerequisites for the successful communing of the
project have been considered and reasonably good choices have been made
with respect to location, size, process, etc.
The important questions raised in technical analysis are:
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Whether the preliminary tests and studies have been done or
provided for?
Whether the availability of raw materials power and other inputs
has been established?
Whether the selected scale of operation is optimal?
Whether the equipment and machines chosen are appropriate?
Whether the auxiliary equipments and supplementary engineering
works have been provided for?
Whether provision has been made for the treatment of effluents?
Whether the proposed lay out of the site, buildings, and plant is
sound?
Whether work schedules have been realistically drawn up?
Whether the technology proposed to be employed is appropriate
from the social point of view?
Financial analysis
Financial analysis seeks to ascertain whether the proposed project will be
financially viable in the sense of being able to meet the burden of
servicing debt and whether the proposed project will satisfy the return
expectations of those who provide the capital. The aspects, which have to
be looked in to while conducting financial analysis, are:
Economic analysis
Economic analysis, also referred to as social cost benefit analysis, is
concerned with judging a project from the larger social point of view.
In such an evaluation the focus is on the social costs and benefits of a
project, which may often be different from its monetary costs, and benefits.
What are the direct economic benefits and costs of the project
measured in terms of shadow (efficiency) prices and not in terms
of market prices?
What would the impact of the project on the distribution of
income in the society?
What would be impact of the project on the level of saving and
investment in the society?
What would be the impact of the project to the vulnerable groups
such as children and women?
What would be the contribution of the project towards the
fulfillment of certain merit wants like self-sufficiently,
employment, and social order?
Ecological analysis
In recent years, environmental concerns have assumed a great deal of
significance-and rightly so. Ecological analysis should be done
particularly for major projects, which have significant ecological
implications like power plants and irrigation schemes, and
environment-polluting industries (like bulk drugs, chemicals, and
leather processing). The key questions raised in ecological analysis
are:
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What is the likely damage caused by the project to the environment?
What is the cost of restoration measures required to ensure that the
damage to the environment contained with in acceptable limits?
Social Analysis
How the project affects the people?
What is the social implication of the project issues like
- Customs
- Traditions
- Culture
- Religion
- Demography etc
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Justification
Why the project is proposed.
Does is there consensus on the necessity of the project?
Does it support the government policy
Negative impacts if the project will not be implemented
Contribution of the project to solve related problems
Show beneficiaries and how they benefit
Show new things that can happen after the implementation
of the project.
Show if implementation is feasible
Show the contribution and method of motivation of the
community.
Objective
Put the contribution of the project in a clear words
Show its long-term and short-term contribution
Put the objectives in “SMART” way
Out-Comes
Put the expected out comes in a planned manner
How much people will benefit
Activities
Write activities that will be undertaken to made realistic the
objectives
Put the activities in a sequential manner
In puts
Write the necessary inputs to met our objectives interms of
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Human resource
Material
Finance and facility
Identify the contribution of government, NGO, Community,
etc
Work plan
Prepare a work plan. Your work plan should contain
Objectives
Activities
That participates in implementation Bodies
Source of labour, finance, material, physical facilities etc
that the project contains
The project Administration and Management
The project Report
The project Sustainability
The project Exit strategy
3. Project Appraisal
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Project appraisal involves a further analysis of the proposed project. At this
stage, a critical review of the proposal is undertaken. The systematic and
comprehensive review is usually undertaken by an independent team of
experts in consultation with the stakeholders of the project. This provides an
opportunity to re-examine every aspect of the project plan to assess whether
the proposal is justified before large sums are committed. The appraisal
process builds on the project plan but may involve new information if the
appraisal team feels that some of the data used at preparation of some
assumptions are faulty. The implications of the project in the society and the
environment are also more thoroughly scrutinized. On the basis of an
appraisal report, decisions are made about whether to go ahead with the
project or not. The appraisal may also change the project plan or develop a
new plan.
4. Implementation
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4.1 Planning for Implementation of Project
This is the stage either before actual implementation begins or before the
start of a new implementation phase of the project. The exercise is
conducted at the level of the project and involves the implementers, the
beneficiaries and the funding agency or all stakeholders.
For small projects with few activities, a bar chart shearing when a particular
activity would begin and when it would end is a fairly simple tool for
drawing up the implementation schedule. For most real life projects, which
have numerous activities and are fairly large, PERT/CPM analysis is
required. PERT is an acronym for programmed evaluation review technique
and CPM is an acronym for critical path method. These are net work
planning techniques that can handle in numerable activities, complex
interdependency relation ships, resource constraints, probabilistic estimates
and cost time trade-offs lending institutions often insist on the use of net
work techniques by the project sponsors.
I Gantt chart
A Gantt chart is a horizontal bar chart that graphically displays the time
relationship of the subunits in a project. Each step (subunit) of a project has
to be represented by a line placed on the chart in the time period when it is to
be undertaken.
To construct a Gantt chart:
List the subunits (steps) to complete a project (for which time is already
estimated) down the left side of the chart according to the sequence
already specified,
Indicate time intervals along the bottom or upper part of the bar chart,
Draw a line across the chart for each step (subunit), starting at the
planned beginning date & ending on the completion date of the steps.
Notice: Some parallel steps can be carried out at the same time with one
taking longer than the other. This allows some flexibility about when to start
the shorter step.
When drawing a Gantt chart is completed, one will be able to see easily: (1)
the minimum total time for the project, (2) the proper sequence of steps, and
(3) which steps can be underway at the same time (See Fig. 1)
Fig. 2)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
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Fig. 1: An example of Gantt chart Notice:
Notice Activity Time slack Time
No Activities Estimated
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A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
Notice:
Form this chart one will be able to see the minimum total time needed
to complete the project (which is 62 days), the proper sequence of
activities and which activities can be under way at the same time.
On this chart one can also chart the actual progress, which is usually
done by drawing a line in different color below the original line to
show the actual beginning and ending dates of each activity. This
allows one to quickly assess whether or not the project is on schedule.
b) Activity chart using PERT diagram
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6
E
H
D
A B G J
1 2 4 7 10 11
C F
I
3 5 8
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Activity Event arrow Time in days
A 1-2 7
B 2-4 9
C 2-3 3
D 4-7 6
E 4-6 4
F 4-5 2
G 7-10 19
H 7-9 8
I 7-8 7
J 10-11 21
Notice:
From this diagram one will be able to see the proper sequence of
activities and which activities can be under taken at the same time.
There are eighteen (18) roués.
For the entire project star and end events are single.
There are five (5) non- activities (dummy activities) which indicate
the interdependence of activities.
The longest time to complete the project is 62 days. This is given by
the longest path (called the critical path), which is (1-2)+(2-4-)+(4-
7)+(7-10)+(10-11) i .e., 7+9+6+19+21= 62
One can easily monitor progress of the project by coloring each
activity line as it is completed.
Planning cost dimension: - One may distribute the budget estimated for this
ideal project as given by the following table.
Cost item
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No Activities Labor Overhead Supplies Fen& Total
Adm. (in birr)
1 Planning a survey 1875 - 250 375 2500
2 Designing questionnaire & check list 7480 - 520 - 8000
3 Recruiting personnel - - - 100 100
4 Training personnel 525 2625 175 175 3500
5 Selecting PAs in the Aanaa - - - 500 500
6 Printing questionnaire & checklist 250 - 2250 - 2500
7 Conducting focus group discussion 1090 8175 1635 - 10900
8 Conductional offices, and 500 3750 750 - 5000
9 Secondary data collection from 450 3375 675 - 4500
education offices, and
10 Data analysis and write up of the 9375 - 1875 1250 12500
assessment document.
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These two activities are an integral part of the project cycle
Project monitoring and evaluation yield benefits to project (avoiding waste
of resources during implantation is a benefit while staying on course during
implementation is another benefit).
The gap between planned and actual performance is addressed using various
control strategies.
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- Constant feedback on attitudes of project monitoring and their
participation;
- Early identification of cost overruns and possible resources
follow problems and
- Monitoring of procurement.
There are three types of monitoring that are commonly used in development
projects. These are (a) Management/administration (b) finance, and (c)
program monitoring.
Evaluation is both the last and first stage in the planning process, and so
demonstrates the continuity of the latter. Though evaluation information is
obtained on significant deviations and on corrective action to be taken in
order to attain the plans, goals and objectives.
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Setting of key indicators to measure what progress has been
made towards achieving the objectives.
Establishment of information base about the indicators, which
can be, used to see whether there have been any changes as a
result.
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- The cost of the work, whether this is reasonable in the context,
and whether resources are used as effectively as possible;
- How changes in the situation of the target population will affect
the impact and relevance of the work;
- Whether the work is sustainable, and what factors will affect its
sustainability.
To make recommendations:
- About how the program could be improved;
- About how the aims and objectives should be modified or
revised;
- About how the work can be monitored and evaluated in the
future;
- About how the work could be made more cost-effective.
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