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models in Excel
Practical Guide how to check whether your business makes sense
1
Business modeling is about capturing the logic of the business via
main KPIs and modeling this in Excel.
Cost of traffic
x
Rent
Ratio of visitors +
to searches
Total searches % conversion
People
Average cost of 1
x visit
Development
# transactions
2
There are 6 offline business models and 6 online models
Retail SaaS
3
Bear in mind that big companies can operate many business
models
4
In this presentation I will show you business / financial
models of 5 type of businesses
Company selling
Restaurant hand made clay
goods
5
Thanks to this presentation you will
learn how to model businesses in
Excel and how to draw the right
conclusions
6
Retail business
7
Retail sounds very simple. You have to get the right stock in
front of the right customers at the right moment
8
Yet there are some issues that simple make it difficult in
execution
You have many Their come with Demand is very Your supply
Product Range is
segments of different erratic / chain is very
huge
customers missions seasonal complex
9
Below you will find things that you have to concentrate on
Retail
Managing customer
Managing price New product
experience across
across channels development
channels
10
Before we move to Excel model we have to identify and connect
main KPIs. We start by estimating the total sales of Stores. That
depend on average transaction value (ATV) and the number of
transactions
# Transactions
x
Total store revenue
Average Value
Transaction
11
We can estimate the number of transaction using the number of
visits and conversion rate
# of Visitors % Conversion
# Transactions
x
Total store revenue
Average Value
Transaction
12
Average Transaction Value depends on the average value of basic
purchase as well as some suggested purchases (i.e. suggested
products)
# of Visitors % Conversion
# Transactions
x
Total store revenue
Average Value
Transaction
# of Visitors % Conversion
# Transactions
x
Total store revenue % Gross Margin
Average Value
Transaction
x
+
Others
Rent
# of Visitors % Conversion
+
x
People
# Transactions
x
Total store revenue % Gross Margin Total store costs
Average Value
Transaction
x -
+
# of sq. m Others
x # of People
x People
Average wages
# Transactions
x
Total store revenue % Gross Margin Total store costs
Average Value
Transaction
x -
+
# of sq. m Others
x # of People
x People
Average wages
# Transactions
x
Total store % Gross Total store
Average Value revenue Margin costs
Transaction
x
-
+
Average Value
Average Value Gross Margin
Transaction of
Transaction of generated by the Store EBITDA
additional
basic purchase store
purchase
17
For more go and check my online course. You will find there
the model in Excel
18
As well as presentation on Slideshare
presentation
19
Consulting business
20
Consulting is a service company. Service companies in general
are all about converting your workers time into money
Man-hours
21
There are plenty of challenges in consulting business that you
have to face
Seasonality of Standardization of
Price Discrimination
Demand services
Growing new
Productization of Minimizing and
businesses using
services Managing Fixed Costs
customer base
22
The typical model of a service model can be presented using
this logic
▪ % Gross ▪ Wages
Margin
▪ HQ costs
▪ Bonuses Operational Gross
Net Profit
▪ Interest Profit Margin
23
For more go and check my online course. You will find there
the model in Excel
24
As well as presentation on Slideshare
presentation
25
Business model of e-
commerce in Excel
26
Before we go to Excel let’s talk about the logic we used to
build the e-commerce Excel model
# of
Visits Revenues
transactions
▪ Conversion rate ▪ ATV
▪ % Gross
Margin
27
Now it is time to transform it into a model in Excel
▪ Conversion # of
Visits Revenues
rate transactions
▪ ATV
▪ % Gross Margin
28
For more go and check my online course. You will find there
the model in Excel
29
As well as presentation on Slideshare
presentation
30
Restaurant business model
31
Restaurant is extremely difficult. You don’t only have to
attract and manage customer but also manage quite a
big production happening in the back-office
32
Let’s have a look at the main challenges in Restaurant
business
Minimizing and
Location Optimizing Capex
Managing Fixed Costs
Seasonality of
Price Discrimination Queue Management
Demand
Standardization of Capacity
Upsell and cross-sell
services management
34
Have a look what you will spend your money on long before
opening of the restaurant
Design
Furniture
Computer, cash
till, POS
Kitchen equipemt
Domestic
Appliances
Food and
Utilities (water, drinks
electricity, gas, waste)
Stock
Rental of the place Personel
36
Remember that apart from current costs you usually froze a
lot of cash in the stock
37
Let’s have a look at the simple model
▪ % Gross ▪ % Food
Margin ratio
▪ Fixed Costs
Operating ▪ Cost of marketing Gross
Net Margin ▪ Franchising Fee
Profit Margin
▪ Other Variable costs
38
In the part about the using store checks for location analysis
we were
Taking away
Engaged / stopping
In store
Passing by
Leaving
39
Before we go to Excel let’s talk about the logic we used to
build the e-commerce Excel model
▪ Fixed Costs
Operating ▪ Cost of marketing Gross
Net Margin ▪ Franchising Fee
Profit Margin
▪ Other Variable costs
40
Now it is time to transform it into a model in Excel
▪ % Food
ratio
41
For more go and check my online course. You will find there
the model in Excel
$95
$10
presentation
43
Company selling hand made
clay goods
44
We will use real life example of company producing hand-
made products from clay
Ceramic chimneys
Ceramic dishes
45
To create a proper financial model you would have to model each
and every element below. I will show you how to model Working
Capital and Capex / Depreciation
External Depreciation – 6
services groups
Profit & Loss
Taxes &
Working Capital
Payments
Balance Sheet
Payroll Debt
Cash Flow
Taxes Equity changes
Other
46
Capex and depreciation
47
When it comes to assets the problem is that they have 3 different
components that you have to track. On top of that every asset has
to be tracked separately
48
We get the net book value by deducting from gross book
value the sum of all depreciation ever done
Sum of all
Gross book value _ Depreciation = Net book value
49
Working Capital
50
We first divide the fixed assets into 6 groups
Land
Intangibles
Equipment and
Machinery
Transportation
Others
51
Working capital consists of 4 major groups of components
Cash and
Working Capital
equivalents
Payments in advance
Materials Trade liabilities
for deliveries
Prepayments for
WIP Trade receivables
deliveries
Liabilities resulting
Goods Other receivables
from taxes, charges
52
We will draw data from other profit and loss sheets and on the basis of
the data we will calculate the working capital positions that in turn will be
fed into Balance and sheet as assets or liabilities
▪ Assets
P&L BS - Assets
M&E
External
Services
BS - Liabilities
Other ▪ Liabilities
53
When it comes to assets the problem is that they have 3 different
components that you have to track. On top of that every asset has to be
tracked separately
54
For more go and check my online course. You will find there
the model in Excel
55
As well as presentation on Slideshare
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You can also check the presentation with an overview of my
most favorite functions in Excel
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There are also some books that I highly recommend
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If you want to check how in practice to manage a consulting
project a would recommend my presentation
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You can also find some useful tips on modeling in Excel offline
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Check also my other presentations
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Check my extensive presentation on productivity hacks to see
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If you need more detailed version on productivity hacks you
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