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AJUSTE DE DATOS CON WEIBULL

Días Aprox de Bernard


t i t F=(i-0.3)/(n+0.4) R=1-F X=lnt Y=ln[ln(1/R)]
174 1 106 7.45% 92.55% 4.66343909 -2.5589408179
106 2 112 18.09% 81.91% 4.71849887 -1.6119943753
153 3 136 28.72% 71.28% 4.91265489 -1.0829294216
160 4 153 39.36% 60.64% 5.03043792 -0.6926602702
167 5 160 50.00% 50.00% 5.07517382 -0.3665129206
112 6 167 60.64% 39.36% 5.11799381 -0.0700181795
194 7 174 71.28% 28.72% 5.1590553 0.22110781362
181 8 181 81.91% 18.09% 5.19849703 0.53654099407
136 9 194 92.55% 7.45% 5.26785816 0.95450502846
153.7
n = 9 datos
Forma m = β 5.14254455
b=-β ln(h) -26.3137691
Escala h 166.813635 Vida característica

Tiempo medio entre fallas


µ= g+h.G(1+1/β) 153.41

Chart Title
1.5

0.5 f(x) = 5.14254454650853 x − 26.3137690949575


R² = 0.96116106458202
0
4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 5 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4
-0.5

-1

-1.5

-2

-2.5

-3
Confiabilidad Tasa de fallas
t R l
0 100.0% 0 Confiabilidad
5 100.0% 1.50927E-08 5.508845E-06 120.0%
10 100.0% 2.66562E-07
15 100.0% 1.42976E-06 100.0%
20 100.0% 4.70791E-06
25 100.0% 1.18654E-05 80.0%

30 100.0% 2.52519E-05
60.0%
35 100.0% 4.78216E-05
40 99.9% 8.31492E-05 40.0%
45 99.9% 0.00013544
50 99.8% 0.00020956 20.0%
55 99.7% 0.00031102
60 99.5% 0.00044599 0.0%
0 50 100 150 20
65 99.2% 0.00062134
70 98.9% 0.00084461
75 98.4% 0.00112403 Tasa de fallas
80 97.7% 0.00146855 0.07
85 96.9% 0.00188781
95.9% 0.06
90 0.00239216
95 94.6% 0.00299269 0.05
100 93.1% 0.0037012
105 91.2% 0.00453023 0.04

110 88.9% 0.00549305 0.03


115 86.3% 0.00660368
120 83.2% 0.00787688 0.02

125 79.7% 0.00932817 0.01


130 75.8% 0.01097382
135 71.4% 0.01283086 0
0 50 100 150
140 66.6% 0.0149171
145 61.5% 0.01725109
150 56.0% 0.01985219
153.41 52.2% 0.02178961
160 44.6% 0.02593693
165 38.9% 0.02946316
166.8 36.8% 0.03081765
175 27.8% 0.03759572
180 22.8% 0.04224936
185 18.2% 0.04732746
190 14.2% 0.05285568
195 10.7% 0.05886047
200 7.9% 0.06536912 23.859727028
Confiabilidad

100 150 200 250

Tasa de fallas

100 150 200 250


AJUSTE DE DATOS CON WEIBULL
Días Aprox de Bernard
t i t F=(i-0.3)/(n+0.4) R=1-F X=lnt Y=ln[ln(1/R)] XY
174 1 106 7.45% 92.55% 4.66343909 -2.5589408179 -11.9334646
106 2 112 18.09% 81.91% 4.71849887 -1.6119943753 -7.60619364
153 3 136 28.72% 71.28% 4.91265489 -1.0829294216 -5.32005851
160 4 153 39.36% 60.64% 5.03043792 -0.6926602702 -3.48438449
167 5 160 50.00% 50.00% 5.07517382 -0.3665129206 -1.86011678
112 6 167 60.64% 39.36% 5.11799381 -0.0700181795 -0.35835261
194 7 174 71.28% 28.72% 5.1590553 0.22110781362 1.14070744
181 8 181 81.91% 18.09% 5.19849703 0.53654099407 2.78920676
136 9 194 92.55% 7.45% 5.26785816 0.95450502846 5.0281971
153.7 Suma x Suma y Suma xy
n = 9 datos 45.1436089 -4.670902149 -21.6044594

Forma m = β 5.14254455 m
b=-β ln(h) -26.3137691 b
Escala h 166.813635 Vida característica h
R2
Tiempo medio entre fallas
µ= g+h.G(1+1/β) 153.41
X2 Y2
21.747664184 6.54817811
22.264231598 2.59852587
24.134178026 1.17273613
25.305305681 0.47977825
25.757389255 0.13433172
26.193860664 0.00490255
26.61585158 0.04888867
27.024371384 0.28787624
27.750329584 0.91107985
Suma x2 Suma y2
226.79318196 12.1862974

5.1425445465
-26.31376909
166.81363482
0.9611610646
#REF!
AJUSTE DE DATOS CON LA DIST. NORMAL
Días Aprox de Bernard
t i t F=(i-0.3)/(n+0.4) R=1-F X Y
174 1 106 7.45% 92.55% 106 -1.4432993237
106 2 112 18.09% 81.91% 112 -0.912126504
153 3 136 28.72% 71.28% 136 -0.561483339
160 4 153 39.36% 60.64% 153 -0.2699040874
167 5 160 50.00% 50.00% 160 0
112 6 167 60.64% 39.36% 167 0.2699040874
194 7 174 71.28% 28.72% 174 0.56148333905
181 8 181 81.91% 18.09% 181 0.912126504
136 9 194 92.55% 7.45% 194 1.44329932375
153.7
n = 9 datos
m 0.02935601 s 34.0645805
b -4.51103945
m 153.666667

1.5

1 f(x) = 0.0293560051014871 x − 4.51103945059519


R² = 0.955643762778583
0.5

0
100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200
-0.5

-1

-1.5

-2

Column H Linear (Column H)


Confiabilidad
t z F R f
0 -4.51104 3.225536E-06 100.0% 0.0%
5 -4.36426 6.377707E-06 100.0% 0.0%
10 -4.21748 1.235242E-05 100.0% 0.0%
15 -4.0707 2.34361E-05 100.0% 0.0%
20 -3.92392 4.355996E-05 100.0% 0.0%
25 -3.77714 7.932E-05 100.0% 0.0%
30 -3.63036 0.0001415135 100.0% 0.1%
35 -3.48358 0.0002473783 100.0% 0.1%
40 -3.3368 0.0004237457 100.0% 0.2%
45 -3.19002 0.0007113167 99.9% 0.2%
50 -3.04324 0.0011702311 99.9% 0.4%
55 -2.89646 0.0018869987 99.8% 0.6%
60 -2.74968 0.0029826822 99.7% 0.9%
65 -2.6029 0.0046219575 99.5% 1.3%
70 -2.45612 0.0070223302 99.3% 2.0%
75 -2.30934 0.0104623867 99.0% 2.8%
80 -2.16256 0.0152875557 98.5% 3.8%
85 -2.01578 0.0219115443 97.8% 5.2%
90 -1.869 0.0308114773 96.9% 7.0%
95 -1.72222 0.0425149302 95.7% 9.1%
100 -1.57544 0.057577581 94.2% 11.5%
105 -1.42866 0.0765511459 92.3% 14.4%
110 -1.28188 0.0999425673 90.0% 17.5%
115 -1.1351 0.1281669488 87.2% 20.9%
120 -0.98832 0.1614982611 83.9% 24.5%
125 -0.84154 0.2000230754 80.0% 28.0%
130 -0.69476 0.2436032398 75.6% 31.3%
135 -0.54798 0.2918532429 70.8% 34.3%
140 -0.4012 0.3441369055 65.6% 36.8%
145 -0.25442 0.3995860486 60.0% 38.6%
150 -0.10764 0.4571411544 54.3% 39.7%
153.41 -0.00753 0.4969941149 50.3% 39.9%
160 0.185921 0.5737467865 42.6% 39.2%
165 0.332701 0.6303201503 37.0% 37.7%
166.8 0.385542 0.6500821265 35.0% 37.0%
175 0.626261 0.7344282638 26.6% 32.8%
180 0.773041 0.7802510801 22.0% 29.6%
185 0.919821 0.8211669752 17.9% 26.1%
190 1.066602 0.8569240928 14.3% 22.6%
195 1.213382 0.8875080104 11.2% 19.1%
200 1.360162 0.9131105996 8.7% 15.8%
Tasa de fallas Confiabilidad
l = f/R 120.0%
1.5208230900279E-05
2.9171675977633E-05100.0%
5.476318350449E-05
0.000100614739626880.0%
0.0001809180305213
60.0%
0.0003183847684392
0.000548374930965540.0%
0.0009244113544257
0.001525200650405120.0%
0.0024630908399171
0.0038936042128874 0.0%
0 50 100 150 200 250
0.0060253023782025
0.0091288176649505
0.0135435105402201
0.0196800089795891
0.0280169807725912 Tasa de fallas
0.03909097237517822
0.05347901803500561.8
0.07177485910021221.6
0.09456078104382261.4
0.1223779853124261.2
0.1556988140248681
0.1949039173749770.8
0.2402666525188480.6
0.2919458402506910.4
0.3499867704310880.2
0.4143293068752570
0 50 100 150 200 250
0.484821269642866
0.561235016457133
0.64328524918832
0.730646419255884
0.793094013423335
0.919890903756453
1.02105282673737
1.05844078948915
1.23470250166428
1.34653492316374
1.4613028602098
1.57873206891416
1.69857105974745
1.82059058829294
AJUSTE DE DATOS SUSPENDIDOS (CENSURADOS) CON WEIBULL n = 10 datos iniciales
Días Supervivientes MON Aprox de Bernard
t i t ki mi F=(mi-0.3)/(n+0.4) R=1-F
174 F 1 106 10 1 1 6.73% 93.27%
106 F 2 112 9 2 2 16.35% 83.65%
153 F 3 121 8 3.125 27.16% 72.84%
160 F 4 136 7 3.125 4.25 37.98% 62.02%
167 F 5 153 6 4.25 5.375 48.80% 51.20%
112 F 6 160 5 5.375 6.5 59.62% 40.38%
194 F 7 167 4 6.5 7.625 70.43% 29.57%
181 F 8 174 3 7.625 8.75 81.25% 18.75%
136 F 9 181 2 8.75 9.875 92.07% 7.93%
121 C 10 194 1 9.875
n = 9 datos
Forma m=β 5.305628
b=-β ln(h) -27.1829595
Escala h 167.9086

Tiempo medio entre fallas µ= g+h.G(1+1/β) 154.70

𝒎_𝒊=𝒎_(𝒊−𝟏)+((𝒏+𝟏− 𝒎_(𝒊−𝟏)))/(𝟏+𝒌_𝒊 )

Chart Title
1.5

0.5 f(x) = 5.30562799900527 x − 27.1829594660867


R² = 0.965381176664204
0
4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 5 5.1
-0.5

-1

-1.5

-2

-2.5

-3
Confiabilidad Tasa de fallas
t X=lnt Y=ln[ln(1/R)] t R l
106 4.66343909 -2.6638430854 0 100.0% 0
112 4.71849887 -1.7232631503 5 100.0% 8.48853E-09 3.098312E-06
136 4.91265489 -1.1490035014 10 100.0% 1.67863E-07
153 5.03043792 -0.7387186122 15 100.0% 9.6192E-07
160 5.07517382 -0.4013838061 20 100.0% 3.31955E-06
167 5.11799381 -0.0979201739 25 100.0% 8.67635E-06
174 5.1590553 0.19762133671 30 100.0% 1.90223E-05
181 5.19849703 0.51520189405 35 100.0% 3.69411E-05
194 5.26785816 0.92986920525 40 100.0% 6.5645E-05
45 99.9% 0.000109
50 99.8% 0.00017158
55 99.7% 0.00025863
60 99.6% 0.00037617
Vida característica 65 99.4% 0.00053096
70 99.0% 0.00073052
75 98.6% 0.0009832
80 98.1% 0.00129815
85 97.3% 0.00168534
90 96.4% 0.0021556
art Title 95 95.2% 0.00272063
100 93.8% 0.003393
105 92.0% 0.00418617
110 89.9% 0.00511452
60867 115 87.4% 0.00619335
120 84.5% 0.0074389
5 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 125 81.1% 0.00886833
130 77.3% 0.0104998
135 73.0% 0.01235242
140 68.3% 0.01444629
145 63.2% 0.01680251
150 57.7% 0.01944316
153.41 53.8% 0.02141905
160 46.1% 0.02567132
165 40.2% 0.02930815
166.8 38.1% 0.0307098
175 28.8% 0.03775852
180 23.5% 0.0426277
185 18.8% 0.04796512
190 14.6% 0.0538013
195 11.0% 0.06016787
200 8.0% 0.06709755 24.490606412
Confiabilidad
120.0%

100.0%

80.0%

60.0%

40.0%

20.0%

0.0%
0 50 100 150 200 250

Tasa de fallas
0.08

0.07

0.06

0.05

0.04

0.03

0.02

0.01

0
0 50 100 150 200 250

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