ANUL IMP (Y) EXP (X) Y U

mld.euro mld.euro TEORETIC VAL.REZIDUALA

2002 6.1 7.9 7.2 -1.1
2003 6.4 9.1 7.9 -1.5
2004 7.4 9.9 8.4 -1.0
2005 7.4 10.5 8.8 -1.4
2006 7.9 9.8 8.3 -0.4
2007 11.2 13.1 10.4 0.8
2008 12.7 16.0 12.1 0.6
2009 14.6 17.4 13.0 1.6
2010 15.6 19.5 14.3 1.3
2011 18.9 24.2 17.2 1.7
2012 22.2 30.0 20.8 1.4
2013 25.8 37.6 25.4 0.4
2014 29.5 47.3 31.4 -1.9
2015 33.6 51.8 34.2 -0.6
TOTAL 219.3 304.1 219.3 0.0

U
VAL.REZIDUALA u2
-1.05 1.107213769
-1.49 2.223893336
-0.98 0.968175593
-1.35 1.831892429
-0.42 0.178399203
0.85 0.714521682
0.56 0.312821369
1.60 2.550736533
1.30 1.699893958
1.71 2.921587311
1.44 2.065791546
0.36 0.127279135
-1.92 3.675137726
-0.59 0.346247348
20.72359094

dispersia u 1.726965911

abaterea standard u 1.31414075

 u(t-1) u(t)-u(t-1) ()2 u2 u(t)*u(t-1)
7.9
9.1 -1.1 -0.4 0.19 2.2 1.569179825

9.9 -1.5 0.5 0.26 1.0 1.467351099

10.5 -1.0 -0.4 0.14 1.8 1.331763319

9.8 -1.4 0.9 0.87 0.2 0.571671364

13.1 -0.4 1.3 1.61 0.7 -0.357029548

16.0 0.8 -0.3 0.08 0.3 0.472776534

17.4 0.6 1.0 1.08 2.6 0.893266419

19.5 1.6 -0.3 0.09 1.7 2.082302

24.2 1.3 0.4 0.16 2.9 2.22853957

30.0 1.7 -0.3 0.07 2.1 2.45670315

37.6 1.4 -1.1 1.17 0.1 0.512769111

47.3 0.4 -2.3 5.17 3.7 -0.683935926

51.8 -1.9 1.3 1.77 0.3 1.128054384

304.1 0.5 12.65 19.6 13.6734113

0.644711 0.644711205 0.697041 0.677644398

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.99220311
R Square 0.98446701
Adjusted R Square 0.98252539
Standard Error 0.70763868
Observations 10

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 253.89798 253.89798 507.03287 1.60175E-08
Residual 8 4.00602004 0.500752505
Total 9 257.904

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%

Intercept 0.88362397 0.6132396 1.440911469 0.18757849 -0.530509078 2.297757
x 1.18820481 0.05276832 22.5173904 1.6017E-08 1.06652085 1.309889

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted y Residuals

1 8.1316733 -0.2316733
2 8.48813474 0.61186526
3 9.67633955 0.22366045
4 9.67633955 0.82366045
5 10.270442 -0.47044196
6 14.1915178 -1.09151783
7 15.973825 0.02617496
8 18.2314142 -0.83141418
9 19.419619 0.08038101
10 23.3406949 0.85930514
 0.984467

63.37911
507.0329

Lower 95,0%
Upper 95,0%
-0.53051 2.297757
1.066521 1.309889
x y
6.1 7.9
6.4 9.1
7.4 9.9
7.4 10.5
7.9 9.8
11.2 13.1
12.7 16.0
14.6 17.4
15.6 19.5
18.9 24.2
 40.0

35.0

30.0
IMPORT

25.0

20.0

15.0

10.0

5.0

0.0
7.9 9.1 9.9 10.5 9.8 13.1 16.0 17.4
import 6.1 6.4 7.4 7.4 7.9 11.2 12.7 14.6

EXPORT
19.5 24.2 30.0 37.6 47.3 51.8
15.6 18.9 22.2 25.8 29.5 33.6
 IMPORT (Y) EXPORT (X)

Mean 15.66428571 Mean

Standard Error 2.428168195 Standard Error
Median 13.65 Median
Mode 7.4 Mode
Standard Deviation 9.085373464 Standard Deviation
Sample Variance 82.54401099 Sample Variance
Kurtosis -0.575773246 Kurtosis
Skewness 0.764601727 Skewness
Range 27.5 Range
Minimum 6.1 Minimum
Maximum 33.6 Maximum
Sum 219.3 Sum
Count 14 Count

-11.59183468 42.92040611 -22.1062516

21.72142857
3.904480078
16.7
#N/A
14.60922672
213.4295055
0.02584175
1.099585787
43.9
7.9
51.8
304.1
14

65.54910875
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.990296727
R Square 0.980687607
Adjusted R Square 0.979078241
Standard Error 1.31414075
Observations 14

ANOVA
df SS MS
Regression 1 1052.348552 1052.348552
Residual 12 20.72359094 1.726965911
Total 13 1073.072143

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat

Intercept 2.286960566 0.645776147 3.541413813
X Variable 1 0.615858442 0.024948416 24.68527225
 F Significance F
609.362666 1.1802E-11

P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%

0.004060254 0.879935214 3.69398592 0.879935214 3.693985917
1.1802E-11 0.561500513 0.67021637 0.561500513 0.67021637
 2.0

1.5

1.0

0.5
VALORI "U"

0.0
0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0
-0.5

-1.0

-1.5

-2.0

-2.5
VALORI "X"
40.0 50.0 60.0