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ASEAN Readiness For CCT and CCU Technologies Towards Carbon Neutrality
ASEAN Readiness For CCT and CCU Technologies Towards Carbon Neutrality
No.13/September 2022
Key Highlights
Coal has been one of major primary energy sources in ASEAN since 2000. The use of coal in the total primary energy sources
(TPES) of AMS is projected to increase to be 23% by 2025 and 25% by 2040 under the Baseline scenario of the 6th ASEAN
Energy Outlook (AEO6).
Moreover, coal has also been proof as a low cost (VALCOE) and a proven capacity to provide quicker baseload power [1]. Coal
power plant in ASEAN is considered as the youngest one in the world with about 60% of them operate for less and about 10
years [2].
At COP26, several major coal-producing countries (including some AMS countries) and international banks had declared
their commitments to support the phase-out of coal power by the end 2021 [3].
Current global energy price, commitment for carbon neutrality and energy security provide the right momentum for ASEAN
Member States (AMS) to accelerate the deployment of clean energy technologies (such as CCT and CCU technologies) in the
region.
Understanding the barriers and challenges on ASEAN readiness for introduction and acceleration of CCT and CCU
technologies would help in designing CCT and CCU technologies deployment framework and roadmap for the region.
Background predicted share of coal under the AEO6 [5]. On the other hand,
increasing demand in three end-user sectors (industry,
Coal has been one of the major primary energy sources of
transport, and residential) are key drivers for the projected
AMS since 2000. According to the latest data of ASEAN
increase of the energy demand of AMS by 2025 and 2040 [4].
Energy Database System (AEDS) in 2022, the share of coal in
the total energy supply of AMS in 2020 was about 28%,
Adding to the current global energy prices and energy security
which is the second largest after oil (33%). In line with this,
and sustainability target of AMS, the dependence on coal is
the share of coal demand in 2020 was also the third largest
further strengthened. However, coal generates the
among total energy consumption sources in ASEAN (about
most-intensive emissions among others in the power sector.
12%). Considering the projection of GDP and population of
Meanwhile, most climate scenarios propose the phase-out of
AMS until 2050, the dependence of AMS on coal as one of
coal in the power sector to meet the climate reduction targets
the primary energy sources will still be dominant. AEO6
by 2030. The 2021 World Energy Outlook stated that the global
results projected that sources will still be dominant. AEO6
phase-out of coal use in the power sector is expected to
results projected that the energy supply and energy demand
decrease by 5% under the Stated Policies Scenarios (STEPS) by
of AMS under the baseline scenario will increase up to 40%
2030 [6]. On the other hand, most AMS countries had also
and 38% by 2025 from their values in 2017, respectively.
committed to decarbonization targets which put other
Population and GDP growth are two key drivers for the
pressures on balancing meeting energy security and
increase of energy supply under the baseline scenario by
sustainability and net zero targets of AMS by 2050. To meet
2025. Moreover, the AEO6 results also projected that the
these challenges, two key actions are phase-out coal in the new
share of coal in the ASEAN energy supply will be at 23% by
investment in coal-power plants and lower the emissions
2025 and 25% by 2040 [4]. According to the latest data, the
generated in coal power plants and end-use sectors [7]. The role
share of coal in the energy supply in 2020 already passed the
of clean coal technologies (such as CCT and CCU total primary energy supply of ASEAN will increase up to 40%
technologies) is crucial in achieving the second key action for between 2017 and 2025 under the baseline scenario [4]. Most of
meeting the challenges in the region. The readiness of AMS the energy supply was dominated by oil, coal, and natural gas.
countries is crucial to the successful introduction and Under the ATS scenario (AMS national targets), the total primary
deployment of the CCT and CCU technologies in the AMS. energy supply is projected to be lower up to 7% in 2025 and
Against this background, this policy brief summarizes policy 18% in 2040 compared to its values under the baseline scenario
insights to the relevant stakeholders on understanding with a significant reduction of fossil-fuel shares. Moreover,
current barriers and challenges faced by AMS in the according to the historical data on the primary energy supply
deployment of CCT and CCU technologies. The insights are composition of AMS from 2005-2020, the share of coal in the
complemented by some good examples of the deployment TPES has increased significantly from 13% in 2005 to 28% in
of CCT and CCU technologies. 2020. Increasing trends have been also found in gas and oil
(Figure 1).
ASEAN in Global Energy Transition
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No.13 | September 2022
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It would be highly recommendable that implementation of
projects with CCT and CCU technologies involve increased
employment opportunities and enhanced community
development through community involvement. In general,
introduction of new technologies will promote employment,
but there should be distinctions between temporary increase
in employment due to plant construction and continuous
and sustainable increase in jobs, especially those involving
participation of local communities, and so will be conducive
to sustainable growth of local, national, and regional
economy.
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Policy Brief No.13 | September 2022
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Energy transition pathways will be diversified as per
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Report on ASEAN Readiness for CCT and
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energy security and environmental sustainability of AMS,
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below are some factors to be considered as a way forward
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for enhancing 6434',%9:9F\%%
ASEAN readiness for CCT and CCU
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technologies %in the region. These factors will be explored
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into the ACE-JCOAL +"/C#/<%
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in August 2023:
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CCT and CCUS will constitute a major part of solutions
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to ASEAN to continue coal utilization while
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non-fossil fuels utilization.
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to be deemed as inflexible and
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throughout the energy transition and possibly even
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A multi-dimensional roadmap with division of 2030
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6
Policy Brief No.13 | September 2022
References
[1] ACE& World Coal Association (2021) Clean Coal [11] ACE (2021b) Strategic Report on the New Role of
Technology in ASEAN: Balancing Equity, Security & Coal-Fired Power Plant in the Era of Energy Transition.
Sustainability. Available at Available at
https://aseanenergy.org/clean-coal-technology-in-asean https://aseanenergy.org/strategic-report-on-the-new-rol
-balancing-equity-security-sustainability/ e-of-coal-fired-power-plant-in-the-era-of-energy-transiti
[2] ACE (2021) Challenges and Implications of Coal on/
Phase-Down to the ASEAN Energy Landscape. Available [12] DEDE, Ministry of Energy Thailand. Available at
at https://weben.dede.go.th/webmax/content/biomass-dat
https://aseanenergy.org/challenges-and-implicationsof-c abase-potential-thailand
oal-phase-down-to-the-asean-energy-landscape/ [13] Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources and PLN.
[3] UNFCCC (2021) End of Coal in Sight at COP26. Available Available at
at https://unfccc.int/news/end-of-coal-in-sight-at-cop26 https://www.esdm.go.id/assets/media/content/content-r
[4] ACE (2020) The 6th ASEAN Energy Outlook. ASEAN encana-co-firing-pada-pltu.pdf
Centre for Energy. Available at [14] ERA. Available at
https://aseanenergy.org/the-6th-asean-energy-outlook/ https://www.jera.co.jp/english/information/20211006_77
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