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Journal of Marketing
2020, Vol. 84(1) 52-65
Featuring Mistakes: The Persuasive Impact ª American Marketing Association 2019
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Abstract
Companies often feature positive consumer reviews on their websites and in their promotional materials in an attempt to
increase sales. However, little is known about which particular positive reviews companies should leverage to optimize sales.
Across four lab studies involving both hypothetical and real choices as well as field data from a retailer’s website (Sephora), the
authors find that consumers are more likely to purchase a product if it is recommended by a reviewer who has (vs. has not) made
a prior purchase mistake. The authors define a purchase mistake as a self-identified suboptimal decision whereby people purchase
a product that subsequently fails to meet a threshold level of expected performance. This persuasive advantage emerges because
consumers perceive reviewers who admit a purchase mistake as having more expertise than even reviewers whose purchase
experience has not been marred by mistakes. As a result, in marketers’ attempts to increase the persuasive influence of reviews
featured in their promotional materials, they may inadvertently decrease it by omitting the very information that would lead
consumers to be more likely to purchase recommended products.
Keywords
online reviews, persuasion, mistakes, expertise, word of mouth
Online supplement: https://doi.org/10.1177/0022242919882428
Potential purchasers place a great deal of stock in product but rather how the review conveyed its positivity: in explicitly
reviews written by previous purchasers. More and more, these stating that they endorse the product, online reviews are more
product reviews are written, read, and evaluated online (Lips- likely to lead to purchases than those with more implicit posi-
man et al. 2019). Online reviews gain as much trust as personal tivity. This more nuanced examination of the content of online
recommendations for the majority of consumers (85%; Murphy reviews—going beyond the mere valence of the review—opens
2017), and a glowing review motivates behavior more than the door to complementary approaches that ask not whether
discounts and other offers (in the domains of durable goods reviewers like the product but what the reviewers say when
and electronics; Kats 2018). Consumers seem to want product expressing their positivity or negativity, providing insight as
reviews (www.iperceptions.com), and firms seem happy to to how firms can optimize the persuasive influence of featuring
offer such reviews on their websites, in their advertising, and reviews. To illustrate how we propose to add to this growing
elsewhere (Arcillo 2011; Dellarocas 2003; Harper 2014; Raw- and important literature, consider the following two real
lins 2011). Indeed, firms are increasingly engaging in efforts reviews from Amazon:
around “review solicitation” and “online reputation manage-
ment,” incentivizing previous purchasers to write reviews in When my first Canon battery expired, I purchased a knock-off.
exchange for discounted or free products. What a mistake. It lasted about 1/3 as long as the Canon. (Richard
As firms invest in, and consumers trust, online reviews, their J. Martin, review for a Canon battery)
management has come to occupy a more prominent role in The Canon battery is essential to have. Knock-off brands don’t
marketing practice. Likewise, consideration of the review char- last a quarter as long as the Canon branded batteries. (“tac cat,”
acteristics exerting the most impact has come to occupy a more review for a Canon battery)
prominent role in marketing theory. Positive reviews generally
boost sales while negative reviews hurt sales (Chevalier and
Mayzlin 2006; see also Ho-Dac, Carson, and Moore 2013), and Taly Reich is an Associate Professor in Marketing, Yale School of Management,
Yale University (email: taly.reich@yale.edu). Sam J. Maglio is an Associate
firms certainly opt to feature positive over negative reviews. Professor in Marketing, Department of Management, and Department of
Packard and Berger (2017) presented evidence going one step Psychology, University of Toronto Scarborough, and Rotman School of
further, examining not simply whether the review was positive Management (email: sam.maglio@utoronto.ca).
Reich and Maglio 53
Both of these reviews are positive, but which would—and stable, permanent cause; Dweck and Leggett 1988; Hong,
which should—Canon feature: Richard, who previously pur- Chiu, and Dweck 1995; Peterson et al. 1982). Rather, we the-
chased a product that turned out to be a mistake, or “tac cat,” orize that a reviewer’s admitted purchase mistake signals a
whose purchase experience was not marred by a mistake? temporary lack of knowledge, which is an unstable cause that
The present investigation develops a theoretical model in can change over time (Dweck and Leggett 1988; Hong, Chiu,
proposing that admitting to having made a previous mistake and Dweck 1995; Kupor, Reich, and Laurin 2018; Peterson
acts as a powerful cue through which potential purchasers infer et al. 1982). Provided that a lack of knowledge is temporary
that the reviewer has gained significant expertise about a focal and, thus, fixable, we further propose that reviewers who admit
product domain, which in turn increases the potential purcha- to having made a mistake will prove especially likely to be seen
sers’ likelihood of purchasing the product that the reviewer as having rectified this lack of knowledge (i.e., to have gained
recommends. In keeping with academic and applied norms, expertise since the purchase mistake; we conceptualize exper-
we refer to the communication under consideration as a tise as a subcomponent of the broader construct of consumer
“review” and the communicator as a “reviewer.” However, knowledge in keeping with Alba and Hutchinson [1987]).
defined formally, reviews need only describe the reviewer’s These predictions derive from two lines of reasoning. First,
experience, whereas “recommendations” advise on what to to echo and advance a point made previously, all mistake
do. Because we want to better understand how the content of admissions require a mistake to have occurred, but not all
communication shapes its ability to persuade, the communica- mistakes that are made result in the admission of a mistake.
tions in our experiments will be presented as reviews yet In other words, only a subset of mistaken purchasers will ever
worded as recommendations that prescribe a certain course of admit to their mistakes, and even fewer mistaken purchasers
action to allow us to measure the degree to which our partici- will admit to their mistakes in a public forum (like online
pants are persuaded (cf. Yeomans 2019). reviews). We propose that admitting to having made a mistake
inherently conveys that the mistaken reviewer has gained new
expertise. In the case of product purchases, the mistaken
Admitting Mistakes: Helpful or Harmful for
reviewer, in admitting the mistake, must now know not only
Persuasion? that the original product has fallen short of initial expectations
Drawing from previous conceptual work, we define a purchase (forming the basis of a negative assessment of the product) but
mistake as a self-identified suboptimal decision whereby peo- also that a different course of action (purchasing a different
ple purchase a product that subsequently fails to meet a thresh- product) would have proven better (for other opportunities to
old level of expected performance (Huei-Chen 2007; Laband learn from mistakes and signal that learning to others in online
1986; Murphy and Enis 1986). Accordingly, we are not con- reviews, see the “General Discussion” section). On top of this
cerned with mistakes of execution, whereby someone pur- (which applies even in admitting a mistake to oneself), we
chases a product unintentionally or by accident. Rather, as an reason that the public admission of having made a mistake
example of a mistake in the form of a suboptimal decision, a signals that mistaken reviewers are especially confident in their
consumer might purchase a speaker system only to find that the current assessment (e.g., product review), resulting from new
speakers do not perform as well as anticipated. Does this pur- expertise gained, insofar as they are willing to engage in the
chase mistake—specifically, as admitted by the mistaken pur- costly behavior of conceding something negative about them-
chaser—alter the willingness of other potential purchasers to selves. Conversely, when reviewers acknowledge switching
heed the advice of this mistaken purchaser? between brands without admitting a mistake, that reviewer’s
One possibility is that admitting to having made a mistake reason for switching remains more vague: admitting a mistake
undermines other people’s inclination to follow any advice signals a gaining of expertise, whereas no such admission could
from the mistaken reviewer. After all, admitting to a mistake result from any number of factors (e.g., promotions, stockouts,
necessitates the making of a mistake, and mistakes may signal variety seeking; Sun, Neslin, and Srinivasan 2003; Van Trijp,
incompetence: The mistaken reviewer was not sufficiently Hoyer, and Inman 1996; Walter and Grabner 1975).
thoughtful, intelligent, and/or knowledgeable to adequately Second, we propose that the impact on others of a reviewer
assess the relevant product specifications and make a good admitting to a mistake also results from the experience of those
purchase decision (Angelis et al. 2012; East, Hammond, and others (here, potential purchasers reading online reviews) in
Wright 2007; Wojnicki and Godes 2017). People often judge making mistakes of their own. Everyone makes mistakes, and
others who make mistakes as incompetent and punish them a common response is to exert additional effort to learn from
(e.g., Chesney and Su 2010; Gawande 1999; Kunda 1999; Par- the mistake to avoid making a similar mistake again in the
ker and Lawton 2003), so awareness of a reviewer’s previous future (Argyris and Schon 1978; Carver and Scheier 2012;
purchase mistake might predict an outcome resulting from an Locke et al. 1981; Podsakoff and Farh 1989). Indeed, making
inference of incompetence and akin to punishment: refusing to a mistake (vs. enjoying success) prompts greater subsequent
take the reviewer’s advice. effort in the mistaken domain through the use of self-regulation
Another possibility, which forms the foundation of our the- (Carver and Scheier 2012): the mistake signals a discrepancy
oretical model, is that people do not necessarily attribute oth- between a desired state (e.g., owning a good product) and the
ers’ admission of a purchase mistake to incompetence (i.e., a current state (e.g., having made a bad purchase), which triggers
54 Journal of Marketing 84(1)
attempts to reduce the discrepancy and attain the desired goal H4: Consumers are more likely to purchase a product
(Campion and Lord 1982; Podsakoff and Farh 1989). People recommended by reviewers who admit to having made
experience this effect consciously: they are often clearly aware a previous purchase mistake (vs. reviewers who mention
that making a mistake causes them to exert more effort in having made a successful purchase) in the same domain,
similar situations in the future (Campion and Lord 1982). Just whereas consumers are no more likely to purchase a prod-
as people themselves exert greater effort following a mistake uct recommended by reviewers who admit to having
(vs. a success), they may believe that others exert greater effort made a previous purchase mistake (vs. reviewers who
after their mistakes as well. Because people assume that greater mention having made a successful purchase) in a different
effort produces better outcomes (Kruger et al. 2004), we for- domain.
mally predict the following:
H1: Consumers infer that reviewers who admit to having Research Overview
made a previous purchase mistake (vs. reviewers who Study 1 tests our predictions that people infer mistaken
mention having made a successful purchase) have more reviewers to have more expertise in the product domain in
expertise in the mistaken product domain. which the mistake was made (H1), that purchase advice is more
We also predict that these inferences shape the persuasive likely to be accepted from a mistaken reviewer (H2), and that
impact of reviews. This is because the perception of a the former accounts for the latter (H3). Study 1 tests these
reviewer’s expertise is a primary determinant of whether peo- predictions using an incentive-compatible design, and Study
ple purchase the products that a reviewer recommends: people 2 tests these same predictions (H1–H3) but by assessing inferred
are more likely to follow the recommendations of those who expertise with a different measure in the interest of providing a
appear to have more expertise about the domain in which they robustness check. Study 3 manipulates not only admission of a
are making a recommendation (Packard and Berger 2017; Price mistake but also the domain alignment of the mistake, intro-
and Stone 2004; Wen, Tan, and Chang 2009; Woodside and ducing a key moderator to provide evidence for the boundary
Davenport 1974). At this downstream level, we predict the condition articulated in H4. Study 4 introduces several mod-
following: ifications to the general design of Studies 1–3 to provide
evidence for a robust effect relating mention of making a
H2: Consumers are more likely to purchase a product mistake to acceptance of purchase advice (H2) for a real pur-
recommended by reviewers who admit to having made chase decision. Finally, Study 5 examines mistaken
a previous purchase mistake (vs. reviewers who mention reviewers’ persuasive impact in the field by examining real
having made a successful purchase). reviews from a popular website (Sephora). Thus, these data
suggest that the persuasive power of mistakes is sufficiently
H3: Consumer inferences of expertise for reviewers who
robust to emerge in the noisy real world.
admit to having made a previous purchase mistake (vs.
The inclusion of orthogonal experimental factors in these
reviewers who mention having made a successful pur-
designs indirectly speaks to several alternative explanations
chase) mediate the relationship between admission of a
that we discuss in turn, and a posttest of Study 3 directly mea-
mistake and likelihood of purchasing the recommended
sures other inferences consumers might make of reviewers who
product.
admit mistakes, finding that they do not account for the effect
Our hypothesis development has centered on inferences of observed throughout the present investigation. We identify sev-
expertise, but we do not propose that any admission of having eral such possibilities for these findings. First, a positive review
made a previous mistake always enhances perceived expertise for a focal product that includes admission of a mistake
in a way that should increase advice taking. Rather, consumers acknowledges the existence of both well-performing and
should be able to discern whether a review in which a mistake underperforming brands. This may result in a brand compari-
was admitted presents compelling evidence that the reviewer son effect, whereby any mention of poor performance for one
has learned from that mistake. As an implication of this pre- brand makes the other, well-performing brand look better (con-
dicted sensitivity on the part of consumers, we propose—as a sistent with the effectiveness of comparative advertising; Gre-
boundary condition to our main effect—that consumers should wal et al. 1997). A second, related explanation might hold not
be more likely to follow the purchase-related advice of for perception of the two brands but for perception of the
reviewers who admit to having made a previous mistake only reviewer: in mentioning the two brand performances, observers
when the mistake conveys that the reviewer has gained exper- might infer that the mistaken reviewer has more carefully con-
tise since making the mistake. Specifically, we theorize that the sidered both the positives and the negatives of the focal alter-
expertise only should be seen as strengthened in the domain in natives. Third, a review that includes the admission of a
which the reviewer made the mistake. Accordingly, potential mistake necessarily includes both positive information (a
purchasers should heed the mistaken reviewer’s advice for favorable review for the focal product) and negative informa-
products in that domain but, provided the expertise does not tion (that the previous purchase was a mistake), in contrast to
transfer readily across domains, not for products in any other the unilateral positivity of the successful purchase conditions.
domain. Formally, we predict the following: As a result, perhaps exposure to any negative information in a
Reich and Maglio 55
review orients consumers to potential losses, looming larger would be entered into a lottery for a prize. Participants further
than potential gains and prompting them to accept more readily read that if they won the lottery, they would receive a pair of
the advice in a review (e.g., as the result of risk aversion: headphones and that they would choose which one of two sets
Kahneman and Tversky 1979). Should this be the case, then of headphones they preferred to receive as their prize. All
mention of any mistake might strengthen the tendency to participants then viewed information about the two sets of
accept the advice in a review. These alternative explanations headphones, which were called Orbin and Raymour (see Web
would predict that consumers should still be persuaded by a Appendix A). They also read a consumer review that was
reviewer who first makes a mistake in one product domain and (ostensibly) the most recently submitted review for these head-
then makes a successful product purchase in a different phones. Specifically, participants saw that the most recently
domain. Instead, we predict and test in Study 3 that admission submitted review was written by a consumer named Sam. Par-
of a mistake will change only inferred expertise in the same, ticipants were randomly assigned to one of two conditions: a
focal product domain, rendering moot advice regarding other mistaken reviewer condition or a successful reviewer condi-
product domains (H4). Separately, reviewers who admit mis- tion. In both conditions, Sam’s review recommended the Orbin
takes might be perceived differently on multiple different headphones (purchased most recently) and also described a
inferred characteristics by observers, including specific person- previous purchase of headphones, providing his experience
ality traits and as having global expertise that extends across with both sets of headphones in terms of general evaluation
different product domains. Accordingly, a posttest of Study 3 as well as performance on the same particular attribute (a sen-
measures several such potential inferences, finding no connec- sor). In the mistaken reviewer condition, Sam noted that this
tion between them and the admission of a mistake. previous purchase was a mistake:
While we designed Study 3 with the goal of speaking against
several alternative psychological explanations for our effect, A couple years ago when I was searching for the last pair of
we designed Study 4 with the goal of speaking to practitioners headphones that I bought, I ended up buying the Nidec VIA
interested in the breadth by which our effect might be applied. headphones, and that was a mistake—it turned out that the
For this reason, Study 4 departs from Studies 1–3 in subtle but headphones had a bad type of sensor and therefore did not work
meaningful ways. First, it presents not a single review but a well. I recently decided to upgrade my headphones to a newer
set of ten reviews in which we either did or did not embed a model, and I considered both the Orbin and Raymour head-
single review in which the reviewer mentions making a pre- phones. I chose the Orbin headphones. I’ve had them for a
vious purchase mistake. Second, rather than reviews for ficti- month, and they are good—they have great features, including
tious brands or brands with which participants ostensibly have a good type of sensor, and they work well. I would recommend
little familiarity, Study 4 presents reviews for a known brand. them. (Sam K.)
Using a known brand facilitated our third change: having
participants make a consequential choice. To compliment the Conversely, in the successful reviewer condition, Sam noted
consequential setup in Study 1 (in which one participant that this previous decision was successful:
received a chosen outcome), all participants in Study 4
received the outcome they choose. Thus, Study 4 attests to A couple years ago when I was searching for the last pair of
the robustness of our effect in tandem with the large-scale headphones that I bought, I ended up buying the Nidec VIA
data-mining approach adopted in Study 5. headphones, and that was a good choice—it turned out that the
headphones had a good type of sensor and therefore worked
well. I recently decided to upgrade my headphones to a newer
Study 1 model, and I considered both the Orbin and Raymour head-
In an incentive-compatible context, Study 1 tests H1–H3: con- phones. I chose the Orbin headphones. I’ve had them for a
sumers infer that a reviewer has more expertise about a product month, and they are good—they have great features, including
category if the reviewer admits to previously making a mistake a good type of sensor, and they work well. I would recommend
them. (Sam K.)
in purchasing a product from that category than if the reviewer
does not, and this inference of expertise accounts for the greater
tendency of consumers to choose in line with this reviewer’s Next, participants were asked whether they preferred to
advice. receive the Orbin or the Raymour headphones if they won the
lottery. The instructions emphasized that this decision was real.
Participants entered their decision by selecting a radio button
Method that was labeled either with “Orbin” or “Raymour.” They also
One hundred sixty participants (mean age ¼ 35 years; 39% rated how much they perceived that the reviewer had learned
male) from a large East Coast U.S. university participated in about how to choose good headphones (1 ¼ “Not much at all,”
a laboratory study in exchange for course credit. This study was and 7 ¼ “A lot”). At the end of the study, participants were
run as part of a session containing unrelated surveys from debriefed (i.e., they were informed that the lottery was real but
different researchers. All participants read that, as additional was for a pair of Sony headphones rather than for the brands
compensation for their participation in the lab session, they that they read about in the study).
56 Journal of Marketing 84(1)
Speaker Printer
DV Speaker Mistake Success Printer Mistake Success Analysis (Interaction)
Discerning 4.21 (1.49) 4.13 (1.40) 4.53 (1.31) 4.18 (1.40) F(1, 346) ¼ .83, p ¼ .362
Integrity 4.76 (1.18) 4.48 (.97) 4.78 (.90) 4.85 (1.10) F(1, 346) ¼ 2.52, p ¼ .114
Liking 4.27 (1.34) 4.23 (1.33) 4.52 (1.19) 4.55 (1.28) F(1, 346) ¼ .06, p ¼ .810
Similar 5.56 (1.45) 5.76 (1.16) 6.17 (.95) 6.15 (1.02) F(1, 346) ¼ .73, p ¼ .393
Surprise 4.66 (1.22) 4.60 (1.27) 4.89 (1.17) 4.80 (1.23) F(1, 346) ¼ .01, p ¼ .930
Expertise Index 4.64 (1.13) 4.31 (.99) 4.59 (1.09) 4.74 (1.01) F(1, 346) ¼ 4.43, p ¼ .036
Notes: Statistics in parentheses are standard deviations.
which case we would not have found the predicted interaction. were told that they would be asked to read several reviews of
Moreover, Study 3’s posttest confirmed that Taylor was per- spearmint mints made by a brand of which we presumed parti-
ceived equivalently on each of these dimensions regardless of cipants to have at least some knowledge (Altoids) and then
whether he made a prior mistake purchasing a printer or asked to make a choice. Participants were randomly assigned
speakers. Study 3, however, does not speak to one remaining to one of two conditions: a mistake condition or a no-mistake
potential inference: that the mistaken reviewer had high condition. All participants viewed a total of ten reviews that
expertise from the outset instead of gaining expertise. were presented in a random order. Nine of these reviews were
Although at face value this possibility might seem inconsis- identical between the experimental conditions and were taken
tent with making a mistake in the first place, we conducted a from actual Altoids spearmint mints reviews posted on Ama-
supplementary study (reported in Web Appendix D) to zon (including star rating, title of review, and review text; for
demonstrate that the persuasive power of mistakes arises not all reviews, see Web Appendix E). We varied the content of
because people assume that a mistaken reviewer had a lot of the remaining review to either include a reference to the
knowledge to begin with to discern their mistake (and not reviewer having made a previous mistake (mistake condition)
because of any other variable that consumers may assume or not (no-mistake condition). After reading the reviews, par-
plays into reviewers’ ability or willingness to acknowledge ticipants were told that as additional compensation for the
a mistake, or because of some other difference in the content survey session, they could choose to receive either one pack
of mistake- vs. success-based reviews), but rather because of Altoids spearmint mints or one additional dollar added to
they assume that a mistaken reviewer has acquired more their payment. Participants entered their decision by selecting
expertise as a result of their mistake. a radio button that was labeled either with “Altoids Spearmint
Mints” or “One Additional Dollar,” and the researcher then
provided the participant with their chosen form of additional
Study 4 compensation.
The first three studies identified the psychological foundation
underlying why mentioning a mistake causes consumers to Results and Discussion
place more credence in the advice of those reviewers. In the
pursuit of this objective, the first three studies prioritized inter- A chi-square analysis revealed that participants reading a set of
nal validity over external validity; Study 4 shifts its balance to reviews that contained one review in which the reviewer men-
consider the impact of mistaken reviewers in more ecologically tioned making a mistake were more likely to choose the Altoids
valid contexts. While considering a purchase, consumers reg- spearmint mints over additional monetary compensation
ularly read not only a single review in isolation but, rather, (34.9%) than were participants for whom the provided set of
multiple reviews to form an overall conclusion. To capture this reviews did not contain a review mentioning a mistake (22.0%;
reality, participants see not one but ten reviews for a focal w2(d.f. ¼ 1, N ¼ 249) ¼ 5.14, p ¼ .023; Cohen’s d ¼ .290).
product in Study 4; two experimental conditions vary whether Thus, as we predicted, even when the review mentioning a
one review, embedded within that set of ten, mentions a prior mistake has only a minority presence (i.e., comprises one
purchase mistake. Furthermore, would the effect of mentioning review out of ten), it still exerts an effect powerful enough to
mistakes extend from the fictitious or generic brands used in change consumer choice. Notably, the behavior under consid-
our previous studies to established, known brands presumably eration here closely reflects real consumer decision making, as
higher in brand equity? Study 4 considers this robustness issue our participants learned about a widely known brand and sub-
by using a real brand (Altoids mints) as the focal product under sequently made a consequential choice (between receiving the
consideration. Finally, as this study aims to provide the clearest branded product or receiving additional money). These results
point of direct application, it requires all participants to make a attest to the strength and robustness of our effect, which we
real purchase choice. Whereas the choice in Study 1 was extend in Study 5 to a different naturalistic context.
incentive-compatible insofar as one participant would ulti-
mately receive the chosen outcome, incentive compatibility is
strengthened in Study 4, which asks all participants to make a Study 5
real purchase decision. We predicted that mention of a mistake
would still prove powerful under this more naturalistic set of In our final study, we test the external validity of our findings
conditions. by examining whether the persuasive power of mistakes is
sufficiently robust to emerge in the noisy real world. To that
end, we examine consumer reviews on Sephora’s online retail
Method platform. Conveniently, the Sephora review platform has a
Two hundred forty-nine participants (mean age ¼ 35 years; feature whereby readers can rate whether reviews are helpful,
43% male) from a large U.S. East Coast university participated which is indicative of whether they are persuasive (see Baek,
in a session of laboratory studies in exchange for monetary Ahn, and Choi 2012; Mudambi and Schuff 2010; see also the
payment. This study was run as part of a session containing pilot test in the “Results and Discussion” subsection of this
unrelated surveys from different researchers. All participants study). We predict that reviews referencing a purchase mistake
60 Journal of Marketing 84(1)
will be linked to consumers finding the review more helpful (as analysis revealed that most people (72.2%) reported that they
measured by reader-provided ratings of helpfulness). rate a review as helpful when it is persuasive (w2 (d.f. ¼ 1) ¼
14.22, p < .001). Thus, consistent with prior literature (Baek,
Method Ahn, and Choi 2012; Mudambi and Schuff 2010), reviews’
helpfulness ratings serve as a proxy for their persuasive power.
The Sephora website includes six product categories (makeup,
skincare, hair, tools and brushes, fragrance, and bath and body). Primary analyses. We computed a measure of each review’s
The category to be scraped (hair) was randomly chosen and, persuasive power by subtracting the number of unhelpful votes
after determining 40 products as the maximum number able to from helpful votes associated with each review and dividing
be scraped within a reasonable time frame, 40 haircare products that by the total number of votes (helpful unhelpful)/(helpful
were randomly chosen. Within that subset, we scraped all þ unhelpful). This measure served as our dependent variable,
reviews starting in August 2017 until the time of scraping and it ranged from 1 to 1 (M ¼ .078, SD ¼ .329; Mhelpful ¼
(December 24, 2018). For the entire resulting set of 5,727 3.672, SD ¼ 16.621; Munhelpful ¼ .774, SD ¼ 3.285). As a first
reviews, we used a series of indicator variables to tag whether step, we regressed this helpfulness measure on whether the
each review mentioned a previous purchase mistake. Specifi- review referenced a mistake (1 ¼ no, 1 ¼ yes). As we pre-
cally, the (case-insensitive) indicators were: mistak: the string dicted, the regression revealed that reviews referencing a mis-
“mistak” is in the review; mistook: the string “mistook” is in take (vs. those not referencing a mistake) were deemed more
the review; my_bad: the phrase “my bad” or “my error” is in helpful (b ¼ .076, SE ¼ .010, p < .001). Next, we regressed the
the review; I_wrong: the word “I” is within 35 characters of a helpfulness measure on whether the review referenced a mis-
word starting with “wrong” (without a period, question mark, take (1 ¼ no, 1 ¼ yes) and the following control measures (all
or exclamation mark in between, which are proxies for sen- continuous control variables were mean-centered): review
tence divisions); my_fault: the word “my” is within 35 charac- length (number of words), valence of review (1 ¼ negative,
ters of the word “fault” (again, without a period, question mark, 0 ¼ both positive and negative, 1 ¼ positive; coded by two
or exclamation mark in between); and our_fault: the word independent judges with high interjudge reliability: r ¼ .93),
“our” is within 35 characters of the word “fault” (again, with- star rating (1–5), explicit recommendation (1 ¼ no, 1 ¼ yes;
out a period, question mark, or exclamation mark in between). feature included on the Sephora website), loyalty program
This tagging led to the identification of 502 reviews referen- membership tier (with higher numbers indicating more dollars
cing a prior mistake. Two independent judges (interjudge relia- spent at Sephora in a calendar year; 1 ¼ “Insider,” 2 ¼ “VIB,”
bility: r ¼ .92) reviewed these 502 reviews, tagging 86% of and 3 ¼ “Rouge”), reviewer expertise (with higher numbers
them to be about mistakes in choice.1 To equate sample sizes, indicating more reviews posted to the Sephora site; 1 ¼
we then randomly selected 502 reviews that did not reference a “Rookie,” 2 ¼ “Rising Star,” 3 ¼ “Go Getter,” and 4 ¼
mistake from the remaining scraped data set, resulting in a data “Boss”), number of images uploaded with the review, explicit
set of 1,004 reviews. mention of another brand in the review (1 ¼ no, 1 ¼ yes;
coded by two independent judges with high interjudge relia-
Results and Discussion bility, r ¼ .94), and date of review (calculated as number of
days since December 30, 1899 on the Gregorian calendar). The
Pilot test. Previous research has suggested that helpfulness votes regression revealed a significant effect of review length on
are a proxy for persuasiveness (Baek, Ahn, and Choi 2012; helpfulness, such that longer reviews were found to be more
Mudambi and Schuff 2010). We conducted our own pilot test helpful (b ¼ .001, SE < .000, p < .001). None of the other
to further verify this conclusion. That is, we tested whether control variables had a significant effect on helpfulness (ps >
consumers rate a review as helpful when it guides their pur- .304). Most relevant to our focal theorizing, the regression also
chase decision. To that end, we recruited 72 participants from revealed that reviews referencing a mistake (vs. those not refer-
MTurk who reported that they had previously rated an Amazon encing a mistake) were deemed more helpful in the full analysis
review as helpful or unhelpful. We then asked them to describe controlling for review length, valence of review, star rating,
(in an open-response box) the factors that influence their deci- explicit recommendation, loyalty program membership,
sions about whether to rate a review as helpful or unhelpful. On reviewer expertise, number of images uploaded with the
the next survey page, we showed them the description that they review, explicit mention of another brand in the review, and
had written and asked them whether they wrote that they were date of review (b ¼ .056, SE ¼ .014, p < .001; see Table 2).2
more likely to rate an Amazon review as helpful when the In summary, Study 5 provides evidence that Sephora users
review made them want to follow the reviewer’s advice (a rate reviews that mention a purchase mistake as more helpful.
measure of persuasion; Berry, Butler, and De Rosis 2005;
Burns 1991; Magee and Kalyanaraman 2010). A chi-square
2
For descriptive statistics of the variables included in Table 2, see Web
Appendix G. For a regression analysis on raw number of helpfulness votes,
1
A supplementary analysis on only this reduced set of reviews from the see Web Appendix H. For a discussion and regression analysis of an extended
manual coders yielded the same pattern of results as those presented in the model that predicts a Sephora-specific outcome (i.e., the number of “loves”
main text. Web Appendix F presents this regression analysis. included on the product page on the Sephora website), see Web Appendix I.
Reich and Maglio 61
Table 2. Results of Regression Analysis on Helpfulness Index for not been marred by mistakes. We integrate the persuasion and
Study 5. attribution theory literature streams to illuminate a powerful
Predictor b SE t p
factor that shapes the persuasive impact of consumer reviews
on purchase decisions.
(Constant) .083 .024 3.456 .001**
Mistake reference .056 .014 .171 4.136 .000***
Number of words .001 .000 .144 4.291 .000*** Alternative Explanations
Valence of review .018 .017 .044 1.027 .305
Star rating .005 .017 .023 .305 .761
In addition to illuminating the persuasive impact of mistake
Explicit recommendation .029 .028 .077 1.052 .293 makers and the mechanism underlying this phenomenon, we
Loyalty program member .014 .013 .035 1.109 .268 also examined several alternative explanations. Merely com-
Reviewer expertise .191 .230 .026 .828 .408 paring two brands proved insufficient to evoke our effect in
Number of uploaded images .023 .035 .021 .648 .517 Study 3, which instead provided evidence consistent with H4,
Mention of another brand .011 .020 .017 .552 .581 which posited domain dependence. The posttest of Study 3
Date of review 2.672E-5 .000 .009 .236 .813 provided further evidence inconsistent with the possibility
Notes: The R-square of the simple model (without controls) is .053; the that inferences regarding mistaken reviewers being discern-
R-square of the full model with controls is .080. ing, having integrity, being likeable, and being similar to the
*p < .05. message recipient contribute to the phenomenon we docu-
**p < .01.
***p < .001. ment, nor did potential surprise from admitting a mistake.
We note that these findings do not preclude the possibility
that some types of purchase mistakes could alter perceptions
Even after including numerous controls, the relationship of reviewers (for these or other traits) in a manner that would
between mention of a mistake and review helpfulness still affect their persuasive power. Nevertheless, the fact that the
holds. We targeted helpfulness as a meaningful construct of proposed phenomenon emerged—for both purchase decisions
consideration, as our pilot test and previous research indicate in the main study and inference of expertise in the posttest of
that a helpful review is a persuasive review, and marketing Study 3—when the reviewers were perceived equivalently on
managers interested in increasing sales begin with the goal of these dimensions suggests that these accounts are insufficient
persuading consumers to purchase their products. Thus, these to explain our findings.
results underscore the applied relevance of mentioning mis- Furthermore, the mere delivery of negative information
takes by providing evidence for a robust connection to review does not appear to increase mistaken reviewers’ persuasive
helpfulness using data taken from a real online retailer. impact (neither through loss aversion [Kahneman and Tversky
1979] nor through alternate routes including but not limited to
a negativity bias, a blemishing effect, mistake-induced per-
General Discussion ceptions of warmth, or negativity-induced perceptions of
People are often skeptical about whether the reviews they competence [Ein-Gar, Shiv, and Tormala 2012; Sen and
encounter are authored by well-informed consumers and thus Lerman 2007]). If the mere delivery of negative information
first evaluate whether a reviewer is credible before deciding drove mistaken reviewers’ persuasive impact, then the refer-
whether to rely on his or her review (e.g., Price and Stone 2004; ence to a mistake in a different product domain could
Wen, Tan, and Chang 2009; Woodside and Davenport 1974). have increased persuasion. We did not observe this outcome.
We find that people are more likely to conclude that a reviewer These results are thus inconsistent with the possibility that
has more expertise, and are thus more likely to purchase the the mere delivery of negative information increases mistaken
product that a reviewer recommends, if the reviewer admits to reviewers’ persuasive impact.
having made a purchase mistake in that domain. The current These findings also cannot be accounted for by a pratfall
research thus suggests that featuring purchase mistakes in effect (clumsy actions that enhance the attractiveness of super-
online consumer reviews offers a promising opportunity as a ior others; Aronson, Willerman, and Floyd 1966). For one
persuasive tactic. Our research therefore provides important, thing, this alternative possibility is theoretically implausible:
practical insight into the inputs underlying consumers’ deci- pratfalls only affect assessments of superior, and thus poten-
sions about whether to purchase reviewed products while also tially threatening, others (Aronson et al. 1966), and it seems
making several theoretical contributions. First, whereas sub- unlikely that participants in the current studies perceived their
stantial research has documented the negative inferences that fellow consumers to have a superiority needed for the pratfall
observers make about mistake makers, our research uncovers effect to emerge. Moreover, Study 3 finds that the mere pres-
the conditions in which learning about others’ mistakes leads ence of a mistake is insufficient to increase a reviewer’s per-
people to perceive those others more positively (cf. products suasive impact, as would be predicted by the pratfall effect;
made by mistake; Reich, Kupor, and Smith 2017)—in partic- thus, the current results are inconsistent with this potential
ular, the conditions in which mistaken reviewers are perceived alternative explanation. Taken together, these results thus sug-
to be more expert and better able to identify the optimal course gest that acknowledging mistakes can play an important role in
of action than even reviewers whose previous experience has promoting persuasion and influencing purchase decisions.
62 Journal of Marketing 84(1)
Perhaps reviewers who use products purchased by others As previously noted, companies frequently feature con-
and describe how they learned from the experience would be sumer reviews to market their products. Thus, in addition to
highly persuasive but still not as persuasive as reviewers who providing novel insight into the inferences that people make
made the purchase mistake themselves. This possibility, echo- about others’ purchase mistakes, this research also has signif-
ing the aforementioned possibility of a continuum or spectrum icant practical import because it suggests that marketing man-
of reviewer persuasiveness, might arise as the result of our agers may strategically omit information that actually increases
proposal that the admission of a personal purchase mistake is persuasive influence. In other words, featuring reviews that
more costly (and more diagnostic of confident expertise) than include purchase mistakes might be a widely underused per-
the admission of a personal incorrect (favorable) opinion about suasive tactic: in their attempts to increase their persuasive
a product. To be sure, should the friend in this situation (rather influence, managers may inadvertently decrease persuasive
than the consumer doing the borrowing) write a review attest- influence through the missed opportunity of failing to feature
ing to their own purchase mistake, our results suggest this mistakes. The present investigation thus offers the clear direc-
review would be maximally persuasive. But what if, instead, tive to incorporate more (perhaps any) mention of mistakes
the friend merely described their experience to the consumer when featuring reviews to promote products.
and the consumer then authored a review summarizing the We propose that this directive may be especially well-suited
friend’s experience—would the reviewing consumer (rather to smaller firms with fewer marketing-related resources at their
than the friend) have an impact on potential purchasers? We disposal. What the effect documented by the present investiga-
offer that the answer to this question might depend on the tion lacks in magnitude and everyday prevalence, it makes up
degree to which those potential purchasers see the reviewing for in subtlety and ease of implementation. As such, it may help
consumer as socially close to the friend who made the mis- level the playing field between large corporations that can pour
take. If the relationship seems distant, then readers might significant resources into market research, carefully determin-
discount the potential for the reviewer to learn from the ing which reviews to feature, and smaller companies that lack
friend’s mistake. But, if the relationship seems close, then such deep market research pockets. These relatively smaller
readers might believe that the reviewer gained just as much companies may take comfort in (and win sales from) the insight
expertise as the mistaken friend (Kang, Hirsh, and Chasteen that featuring a review referencing a prior mistake acts as a
2010), bolstering the degree to which potential purchasers simple but beneficial tool in shaping consumer preference.
place stock in the review. Firms are not alone in their desire to persuade, and our
findings not only might warrant consideration by the marketing
departments of large corporations but also might be brought to
Contributions to Practice bear on any attempt to convince others to take purchase-related
The primary takeaway of our research for practitioners advises advice. Dovetailing with the literature on word of mouth (Babić
the featuring of mistakes to drive more online traffic and, ulti- Rosario et al. 2016; Berger 2014; Maglio and Reich 2019;
mately, more sales. As such, outlets at which online retailers Packard and Berger 2017), we offer two additional domains
have control to structure the decision environment provide the well-suited to apply our work. First, friends often give
best point of entry for this recommendation. Though, to be sure, purchase-related advice to each other, driven either by the
they cannot control the content of online reviews authored by relatively selfless joy of facilitating a positive purchase expe-
independent consumers, online retailers do have the power to rience for their friend (e.g., a great gym) or by more self-
flag certain reviews as “featured” or “highlighted,” warranting interested motives (e.g., a gym that promises a referral bonus).
placement ahead of an otherwise long and undifferentiated list We propose that both objectives should be facilitated by mak-
of reviews. By identifying one or multiple reviews that mention ing mention of a previous mistake, extending our work to closer
a previous purchase mistake and bumping them up to the top, interpersonal relationships.
online retailers can make online shoppers more likely to see, Second, a growing number of individuals have taken to
read, and accept the advice of these reviews that our research online forums to build personal brands around product reviews
suggests prove especially persuasive. However, it is not only and tutorials, as evidenced by the thousands of personal blogs
online retailers that aspire to put helpful reviews in front of reviewing electronics and YouTube channels demonstrating
their audience. Review curation websites benefit from persuad- how to apply makeup. Insofar as these influencers hope to build
ing customers not toward any one particular course of their personal brands in the form of likes, follows, and men-
purchase-related action but, instead, toward feeling that the tions, they need to be seen as credible experts. Our model offers
website itself offers a valuable source of information. If cus- the possibility that perhaps they would be more likely to attain
tomers believe that sites such as Yelp, TripAdvisor, and Rotten their objectives should they incorporate mention of previous
Tomatoes offer a consistent, reliable set of reviews, they return mistakes into their content. Aside from the content of the
to them more frequently ahead of various purchases, with such review, they might also persuade others to click on their written
increased traffic in turn increasing advertising revenues for and recorded reviews in the first place by including mention of
curation sites. Broadly speaking, then, any firm or brand in the a mistake in the title itself (e.g., “Learn from my mistake!”).
business of offering helpful, positive advice should feature Only after navigating to their review will others read and incor-
reviews that mention previous purchase mistakes. porate the reviewer’s purchase-related advice. We note,
64 Journal of Marketing 84(1)
though, that the decision to follow an influencer on social Berry, Dianne C., Laurie T. Butler, and Fiorella De Rosis (2005),
media in perpetuity results from a confluence of many factors “Evaluating a Realistic Agent in an Advice-Giving Task,” Inter-
that may or may not overlap with the momentary evaluation of national Journal of Human-Computer Studies, 63 (3), 304–27.
helpfulness and one-time purchase decisions around which the Burns, Robert B. (1991), “Persuasion by Communication,” in Essen-
present investigation centered. Still, this application of the phe- tial Psychology: For Students and Professionals in the Health and
nomenon documented and detailed herein would suggest that Social Services. Lancaster, UK: Kluwer Academic Publishers,
inferred expertise, through admission of mistakes, can not only 236–54.
drive sales but also build brand equity writ large. Campion, Michael A. and Robert G. Lord (1982), “A Control Systems
Conceptualization of the Goal-Setting and Changing Process,”
Associate Editor Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 30 (2),
Donna Hoffman 265–87.
Carver, Charles S. and Michael F. Scheier (2012), Attention and
Self-Regulation: A Control-Theory Approach to Human Behavior.
Declaration of Conflicting Interests Berlin: Springer Science & Business Media.
The author(s) declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to Chesney, Thomas and Daniel Su (2010), “The Impact of Anonymity
the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article. on Weblog Credibility,” International Journal of Human-
Computer Studies, 68 (10), 710–18.
Funding Chevalier, Judith A. and Dina Mayzlin (2006), “The Effect of Word of
The author(s) received no financial support for the research, author- Mouth on Sales: Online Book Reviews,” Journal of Marketing
ship, and/or publication of this article. Research, 43 (3), 345–54.
Dellarocas, Chrysanthos (2003), “The Digitization of Word of Mouth:
Promise and Challenges of Online Feedback Mechanisms,” Man-
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