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Hey, 2020 came along a bit fast, didn’t it? As the world both collapses and reforms,
brands, businesses, and institutions need
Welcome to our 3rd annual Changemaker to do the same: they must stay tuned in, be
Report, with a difference. This report will genuinely agile and ready to change with the
hopefully be a refreshing take on the slew of people and so the world.
2020 forecasting. Rather than a list of the micro-
trends, we will frame the macro-themes and We hope you finish reading this report
their drivers. We define what Changemakers feeling optimistic, inspired and sufficiently
are doing and feeling and what that means to armed to take action. 87% of consumers
brands across categories. In our new format, we believe that stakeholders, not shareholders,
also pose four trend directions being initiated are most important to long- term company
by these Changemakers as they embark upon a success (Edelman Trust Survey 2020). Art and
new decade. culture will be crucial to making the much-
needed transformative shift in attitudes and
We have partnered again with our friends at behaviours.
Opinium to quantify and validate our thinking,
with an in-depth international survey by Remember, there is no normal to go back to.
Opinium of over 2000 Changemakers from 10 The Akin x
countries across the globe: thus ensuring our
projections have actionable recommendations
for the next 18-24 months.
Contents
04 - 05
Introduction
09 - 12
Changemakers
13 - 26
Trends
27
End Note
03 - Contents
Introduction
Humans have basic needs which do not tend to change radically over a
year, decade, century or even millennium. Safety, trust, security, privacy,
shelter, belonging, community, social status, knowledge and connection are
cornerstones to our existence. While these basic needs won’t change, how
they are satisfied is continuously evolving, thus developing new attitudes
and behaviours. The next 18 months will create a significant realignment of
the fundamentals. Pressures are coming from all angles, and we must be
aware of and understand the cause and effect - and the entanglement of
systems.
04 - Introduction
its downfall. Dramatic improvements in conditions have resulted in higher
expectations of contentment. What is clear is that after the terrible ‘10’s
we all want some form of autonomy, whether that is moments of release or
peace, or the ability to make a change.
Our hope for the ’20s is that the world enters a new age of awareness,
values and new possibilities. Challenging learned logic and acceptance of
the status quo will be imperative. We have to learn from our past, and in
many cases rewrite it accurately and sensitively. The work we do around
our individual and collective feelings will not only reform how we see
ourselves, our roles and our impact, it will also be vital for a successful
future. Changemakers are the influencers who are beginning this shift.
05 - Introduction
Drivers /
Climate emergency - The world is getting hotter and global consumers are
increasingly aware that we’re at a critical point of much-needed imminent
change to save the planet. 2019 concluded a decade of exceptional global
heat, retreating ice-caps and record sea levels driven by greenhouse gases
produced by human activities (WMO). Consumption levels need to decline
to meet scientists’ target of keeping temperature levels at 1.5C yet they
are steadily rising. 80% of countries will consume more biocapacity (e.g.
cropland, fisheries, forests, etc.) than is available within their borders this
year (Future Centre).
06 - Introduction
Economic uncertainty - To say 2020 will be a year of economic uncertainty
is an understatement. Capitalism is having a midlife crisis, income inequity
now affects trust more than economic growth (Edelman 2020), the
average net worth for those under 35 has tanked 35% since 1996, and
so Millennials are falling out of the middle class, resulting in a ‘prosperity
collapse’ across 14 global markets (OECD).
07 - Introduction
Perma-flux /
In 2019, we embarked on an experimental project with Superimpose, to try and define the feeling
consumers we identified were experiencing.
Humans always have been and always will be contradictory. It is now more
confusing to find and live by principles as we have more choices than ever,
we learn new truths every day, and so the values we want to align to shift
frequently. One consistent narrative of our history is change: it comes from
everywhere, at any time, and yet we still can’t handle it. The global flow of
ideas, commodities and technologies have created a multilateral discourse
and inner feeling of chaos, anxiety and fear - the PERMA-FLUX.
Core consumer traits are more and more frequently bouncing between two
or more extremes that live at opposite ends of the spectrum. When working
in branding, user experience or design, it is crucial to understand and
consider these contradictions and the flux we permanently live in.
08 - Introduction
Changemakers
If a brand gains advocacy with this group, it won’t be long until the mass
market follows. They are a marketer’s Achilles heel - they rapidly change
and are hard to please, and falling out of favour with them can be fatal.
Due to their fickle interests and fast-changing needs, the best way to
define this group is by their attitudes and values. These are extremely
important to them; their moral compasses are strong and undeterred.
Understanding this is crucial to any brand or business wanting to engage
with them.
09 - Changemakers
Changemaker vs Mass /
Opinium Analysis
While the Changemakers barely differ from the general public in terms
of their fundamental values of racial equality, openness towards sexuality,
gender equality and the seriousness of the climate crisis, their view of the
world is somewhat more complicated – and so are their influences.
Changemakers are keen to change things when they’re not going the way
they want them to – the clue is in the name! It’s perhaps because of this lack
of patience and tolerance for unhappiness that Changemakers are kicking
into gear more when it comes to adopting new behaviours. They are more
ready to make challenging changes in their behaviour than the Mass.
The bottom line is in the way Changemakers and the Mass feel about
the future. The general population is concerned (42%), cautious (35%)
and pessimistic (22%) about the future. And the Changemaker? Well,
they too are concerned (27%) and cautious (22%). But they wouldn’t be
Changemakers if they weren’t excited (32%) about a little change more than
anything else.
10 - Changemakers
Changemakers / Mainstream /
• 69% have gone plastic free. • 53% have gone plastic free.
• 61% have gone meat free. • 27% have gone meat free.
• 50% are positive about the • 42% are concerned about the
future. future.
11 - Changemakers
Values
Beauty / Fashion /
What attracts you to a beauty What attracts you to a fashion
and care brand ... brand ...
• Thoughtful (30%) • Smart (30%)
• Smart (29%) • Exclusive (30%)
• Optimistic (29%) • Thoughtful (29%)
12 - Changemakers
64% of Changemakers would 68% of Changemakers would pay
rather buy a brand to show their for media that cuts out the noise.
59% of Changemakers think brands 81% will switch brands due to their
don’t understand people like them. alignment with my values.
13 - Changemakers
Trends
Regenerative / Conjunction /
Future proof simplified thinking Analytical individual thinking
Subversion / Common /
Quantum rebellious thinking Inclusive altruistic thinking
14 - Trends
Regenerative /
While we watch the world literally burn in front of us, Changemakers are
radically accepting that we must use our eco-anxiety to design a better
future.
This trend is where the Climate Crisis meets both Sustainable Market
Policies and The Marie Kondo Effect.
Recompose is a new kind of after-death facility, dated to open in spring Opinium Analysis
2021 in Seattle. It will be the first facility to offer a regenerative option to
traditional burial and cremation. Recompose will provide a proprietary
system for corporeal composting, which “gently converts human remains
into the soil so that we can nourish new life after we die.”
Changemakers are acutely aware of the state our planet is in,
with 88% saying they believe there is a climate crisis – and 83%
The slow movement has reached mass consumerism, activism is a global
of them finding themselves constantly thinking about the future
mindset, and consciousness is the new behaviour. What is next is to
and their part in it. 4 in 5 are investing in making themselves more
move beyond sustainable thinking to regenerative system approaches -
sustainable.
reduction at its most mindful and beautiful.
The current state of the world is driving Changemakers to actively
We can see this thinking playing out in Changemakers’ attitudes; they
think about the decisions they are making, including seeking out
are questioning their consumption, lifestyles, purpose and exploring their
brands that are sustainable (with 81% agreeing they do so). They
contradictions. They understand, to a sophisticated degree, how our
particularly consider the carbon footprint of the purchases they’re
habits are impacting the planet, human health and societal happiness.
making (75%), although they agree that buying less in general is
What is essential is that Changemakers feel they are making a positive
freeing (71%). But being sustainable isn’t always straightforward,
impact, and making mindful decisions with the desire to regenerate.
with two thirds of Changemakers admitting they struggle with
navigating sustainability.
15 - Trends
Tenet / Planet thinking Case studies /
For too long, we have built products, UX, brands • FORGO is a sustainable and subscription-based
and campaigns around human-centred approaches. personal care brand. Refills come in paper
Planet-centred design and thinking, which aims to envelopes directly to your door in sets of three.
work with the environment and create a positive
impact rather than slowing or reducing impact, is vital • Future Food Today is a cookbook that aims
to supporting consumer expectations and needs. to overhaul non-sustainable foods in today’s
fridges and pantries and offer wholesome,
environmentally friendly options that are
Tenet / Impact measurement futureproofed.
Measurements help people make positive decisions. • Rohvi provides a white-label platform for brands
A key metric for Changemakers is distance; through such as Isabel Marant and Stuart Weitzman
being more physically connected to the products we using past transaction data to help them create
consume, from their manufacture to their end-of-life personalised buy-back schemes.
cycles, this audience feels more grounded in reality
and has more autonomy to make a change. • Arctic Blue Hotel uses carbon billing at the end
of your stay, based on your food and activity
choices, to encourage guests to consider their
impact during the visit.
16 - Trends
Conclusion /
Springboards /
17 - Trends
Conjunction /
18 - Trends
Tenet / Customisation Case studies /
Their previous desire for personalisation is shifting • Skintelli, based on your gene activity, uses the
to customisation. Personalisation is created by the science of epigenetics to analyse the current
system; customisation is controlled by the user and quality of your skin and matches it to best-suited
so enhances a users experience because it allows products from thousands of brands.
users to design their interaction. This way, autonomy
is supported by well-designed opt-in experiences • The Chromomics health service uses extensive
and services that have a transparent collection and biological data to provide personalised and
actioning of big data. Smart companies are aiming proactive information that each of us can use to
to minimise data capture, which also, in turn, is avoid dying from preventable diseases.
making them more efficient and their products more
enjoyable. • Social Studies provides curated tablescapes
delivered straight to consumers’ doors, leaving
the host more time to focus on the cooking and
Tenet / Humane communication guests.
Another facet of this trend is the desire for a • Quibi is quick bites of captivating entertainment,
more human form of digital connection. created for mobile. The streaming service features
Changemakers are preferring a more human approach traditional serial themes such as comedy, drama
to interact with branded bots - SMS over a chatbot. and reality, in a non-traditional format of 7-10
Human connection is becoming a luxury, and so even minute episodes.
though AI offers more efficient customer service,
communication style and format is essential. • Junius is on a mission to revolutionise workplace
nutrition. By partnering with forward-thinking
businesses, its health-themed, desk-delivered
lunch menus are designed to beat the bland,
often unhealthy standard offerings.
19 - Trends
Conclusion /
Springboards /
20 - Trends
Subversion /
Innovation is a vague word, and over the last decade, anything new or
developmental has been labelled as such. Changemakers are looking for
more radical new ways of thinking which take risks and challenges the
status quo.
Pornhub’s sustainability campaign, “Dirtiest Porn Ever” wants to help Opinium Analysis
clean up our disgusting beaches by producing a video in which a well-
known pornstar couple has sex on a litter-covered beach. Each view
generates a donation to Ocean Polymers to help fund their projects that
clean ocean waste.
Four in five Changemakers say that brands play it safe – 85% are
looking for brands to lean into new thinking and shake up the status
We are flooded with carbon copies of lifestyle brands using the
quo.
same advertising style and tone. It has become almost impossible to
differentiate the truly groundbreaking. We have seen the danger of
Changemakers have strong beliefs – but they like to be challenged
playing in safe spaces, seeing things from the same gaze and applying
and see others challenge themselves. Four in five Changemakers
linear thinking. It often results in an incremental change that sadly isn’t
say they like to challenge the status quo and think the same should
going to work anymore.
apply to brands and businesses who need to lean into new thinking
(85%) and look beyond their sector to create change (84%). In fact,
Changemakers are bored. They need a shakeup, to be awed by
they say they respect risk-taking (83%) and think that a system
something, and they are giving brands the permission to challenge them.
shake-up is crucial for our future (83%).
We could really begin designing and creating for a new decade that is
non-binary and genuinely excited about innovation.
21 - Trends
Tenet / Awe Case studies /
The emotion we feel in response to something vast that • The Dazed Beauty Digital Spa is an online space
defies our existing frame of reference in one area or where wellness seekers can go to escape the
another and leads us to change our perception of that stresses of everyday life.
frame of reference. It helps us question and see new
answers or possibilities. • PANGAIA has launched a global open-source
platform for the latest eco-fashion solutions.
You can experience awe at varying intensities, and in Bringing together top scientists, technologists,
your own ways: listening to a moving piece of music, artists and designers, the label is co-signed by
seeing an incredible piece of art. Fundamentally, awe is rapper Pharrell.
about novelty and vastness.
• SKPS Beijing is conceived as an incubator
environment for luxury labels including Prada,
Tenet / Quantum Gucci, Louis Vuitton, Valentino, Dior and
Balenciaga. It encourages the brands to experiment
As the world around us rapidly evolves, it is clear with future versions of themselves by stocking out-
that many mindsets will increasingly become limited there prototypes that have a sustainable twist.
and outdated. Applying quantum thinking could
change all this, going beyond what is a true or false • Xbox has launched a travel book in partnership
view of the world and trailing multiple outcomes or with travel publisher Rough Guides, the first
answers. Quantum thinking means approaching the edition by the company to be dedicated to holiday
same problems from different starting points and using destinations in virtual worlds.
different people to gain various perspectives: This helps
us to gain a much more organic understanding of the • The Financial Times launched ‘The New Agenda,’
natural and social world around us. in September 2019, a business tool for “ungrowth,”
which calls for a better form of capitalism. It aims
to encourage business leaders to “find opportunity
in the new normal and promote stronger corporate
purpose.”
22 - Trends
Conclusion /
Springboards /
• Does your business need a real shake-up? How far can you
push it?
23 - Trends
Common /
Civic action is at an all-time high, the systems have long been failing us,
and we can no longer deny our involvement. Changemakers are looking
to level the playing field for all, shifting systems from exclusive to inclusive
of tackling and healing divisions to find the common good and to find
resilience.
24 - Trends
Tenet / Resilience Case studies /
The World Health Organisation (WHO) has made • Red Bull Vietnam has created a billboard which lit
“Strengthening Resilience” the core theme for its up space around it, providing a public area to be
policy framework in 2020. Brands and authorities are used by young athletes long into the evening.
beginning to tackle social vulnerability and access to
power, knowledge, and resources for the common • Countr is a social media mobile app where
future good. We know for a society to thrive in the consumers can showcase their style, purchase a
future it must have emotional intelligence; resisting, product directly from their feed and make real
absorbing and adapting empathetically to change - money for engagement, levelling the influencer
good or bad. playing field.
25 - Trends
Conclusion /
Springboards /
26 - Trends
End Note
A substantial shift that we have tracked in Changemakers for the last three
years is the shift from a desire to a needing to questioning value. We are
more frequently asking: what gives value, where is the value, and what is
the value to the environment?
The fundamental truth about this audience is that they are walking
contradictions. They morph radically and rapidly, ambiculturally and
idiosyncratically.
27 - End Note
Methodology / Opinium / The Akin /
We have studied Changemakers* across ten global Opinium is an award winning strategic insight agency built We are a global collection of consultants, acting as the
markets, questioning their life goals, values, wants, needs, on the belief that in a world of uncertainty and complexity, connector between businesses and Changemakers
behaviours and attitudes towards brands and industries to success depends on the ability to stay on pulse of what through uncovering human truths and provoking
provide an unobstructed 360-degree image of them. people think, feel and do. Creative and inquisitive, we possibilities using research and strategic thinking.
are passionate about empowering our clients to make
The collaboration with Opinium who used their global the decisions that matter. We work with organisations Futures are plotted through cultural anthropology;
network to bolster our predictions validates this report. to define and overcome strategic challenges – helping exploring current realities and people creating change.
them to get to grips with the world in which their brands
Opinium conducted The Akin’s survey with 2,030 online operate. We use the right approach and methodology We specialise in assisting lifestyle brands in combining
changemaker interviews (early adopters engaged with to deliver robust insights, strategic counsel and targeted progressive consumer insights with trends to create
culture and politics aged 18-45): 200 in each of the UK, recommendations that generate change and positive future-focused strategies. We are continually tracking
Brazil, Mexico, Sweden, Germany, Russia, China, Nigeria, outcomes. the shifts, trends and ideas shaping future culture. To
US, India and Australia. understand what the future may look like, we explore
www.opinium.co.uk | research@opinium.co.uk how and why culture is changing across the world. In an
Opinium’s data analysis is highlighted in pull-out boxes ever-shifting world, nothing is certain, so it’s imperative
and italics throughout the report. to keep a close and regular eye on the direction of trends
to inform decisions from new product development to
communications.
www.theakin.com | hello@theakin.com
@theakincollective
Image Credits:
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Chopova Lovena p. 3
Myai Anthony p.4
Ellaine Torres p. 5
Eger Tsodov p. 6
Harley Weir p. 7
Ikenna Ideh p.8
Michael Northup p.9
Marcus Branch p.10
Julian Martins Miranda p.11
Wing Snya P.13
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Crea Studio p.18
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