Professional Documents
Culture Documents
i
Title Page
ii
CERTIFICATION
iii
DECLARATION
iv
DEDICATION
v
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
vi
Abstract
This study was on a comparative analysis of some selected enhanced oil recovery techniques in
Niger Delta field XYZ. Three research objectives were developed for the study. In determining
the suitability of the chosen reservoir for the EOR methods studied in this research work,
effective screening practices was employed to identify suitable candidates. During the reservoir
selection process, the reservoir rock and fluid environment in place was considered. As part of
the screening, discounted cash-flow projections was performed to assess profitability. At the core
of these projections is an estimate of recovery performance, as the process was implemented in
such a way that it resulted in an economically attractive project. Also, the Net Present Values
(NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and other economic parameters for the EOR methods
selected were computed through a probabilistic approach to ascertain their profitability, using
Monte Carlo simulation with Crystal ball software. Findings of the study showed that, CO2
flooding technique was a more efficient technique of EOR than surfactant flooding. More so,
surfactant flooding was more efficient that the water flooding technique. In addition, CO 2
flooding is more economical than the other EOR techniques with a final recovery factor of
67.2% and NPV of $2,795 MM after tax. The researcher recommended that, CO2 flooding
should be used as the main EOR technique once the reservoir meets the technical conditions for
its usage.
vii
Table of contents
Cover page....................................................................................................................................................i
Title Page.....................................................................................................................................................ii
CERTIFICATION......................................................................................................................................iii
DECLARATION........................................................................................................................................iv
DEDICATION............................................................................................................................................v
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS........................................................................................................................vi
Abstract....................................................................................................................................................vii
Introduction.................................................................................................................................................1
1.1 BACKGROUND.........................................................................................................................1
1.2 STATEMENT OF PROBLEM....................................................................................................2
1.3 AIM OF STUDY.........................................................................................................................3
1.4 OBJECTIVE OF STUDY............................................................................................................3
1.5 SCOPE OF STUDY....................................................................................................................3
1.6 LIMITATION OF THE STUDY.................................................................................................4
1.7 RESEARCH METHOD..............................................................................................................4
CHAPTER TWO.........................................................................................................................................5
2.1 LITERATURE REVIEW................................................................................................................5
2.2 PRIMARY RECOVERY TECHNIQUES.......................................................................................8
2.2.1 Rock and Liquid Expansion.....................................................................................................9
2.2.2 Solution Gas Drive..................................................................................................................9
2.2.3 Gas-cap Drive........................................................................................................................10
2.2.4 Water Drive...........................................................................................................................10
2.2.5 Gravity Drainage Drive..........................................................................................................10
2.2.6 Combination Drive................................................................................................................11
2.3 SECONDARY RECOVERY PROCESSES....................................................................................11
2.3.1 Water flooding.......................................................................................................................12
2.3.2 Gas Injection.................................................................................................................................14
2.4 ENHANCED OIL RECOVERY METHODS (EOR) PROCESSES................................................15
2.4.1 Chemical EOR Processes............................................................................................................17
2.4.2 Gas Flooding.......................................................................................................................20
viii
2.4.3 Thermal Recovery EOR Processes............................................................................................21
2.5 ENHANCED OIL RECOVERY (EOR) MECHANISMS.............................................................21
2.5.1 Mobility Ratio........................................................................................................................23
2.5.2 Capillary Number..................................................................................................................25
2.5.3 Calculation of Overall Recovery Efficiency.........................................................................25
2.5.4 Oil Recovery Factor....................................................................................................................26
CHAPTER THREE...................................................................................................................................28
3.1 METHODOLOGY........................................................................................................................28
3.2 RESERVOIR SELECTION............................................................................................................28
3.2.1 Oil/Reservoir Characteristics of Successful Projects.............................................................29
3.2.2 Analysis of Reservoir XYZ (Niger Delta Onshore)...................................................................31
3.2.3 Selection of suitable EOR Methods for Reservoir XYZ........................................................32
3.3 Economic Evaluation.....................................................................................................................33
CHAPTER FOUR.....................................................................................................................................35
RESULT AND DISCUSSION..................................................................................................................35
4.1 RESULT........................................................................................................................................35
4.2 DISCUSSION................................................................................................................................38
CHAPTER FIVE.......................................................................................................................................39
CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION.........................................................................................39
5.1 CONCLUSION...............................................................................................................................39
5.2 RECOMMENDATIONS...............................................................................................................39
References.................................................................................................................................................41
ix
Chapter One
Introduction
1.1 BACKGROUND
The rate of new oilfield discoveries is declining, and most of the producing oilfields are in the
late stages of production. The fast growth of worldwide demand for oil can be met effectively by
finding new hydrocarbon resources or by enhancing the oil recovery of available reservoirs.
According to the Department of Energy U.S.A (cited in Ikporo & Okotie 2014), the amount of
oil produced worldwide is only one third of the total oil available. The importance of improving
oil production efficiency by applying suitable and effective enhanced oil recovery (EOR)
techniques is highly acknowledged because in many of the world’s reservoirs about two thirds of
According to Abubaker, Zulkefli and Abdurahman (2015), enhanced oil recovery is the
recovery of oil by injection of a fluid that may or may not be native to the reservoir. EOR is a
means to extend the productive life of an otherwise depleted and uneconomic oil field. It is
usually practiced after recovery by other, less risky and more conventional methods, such as
pressure depletion (primary recovery) and water flooding (secondary). The lifecycle of an
oilfield is typically characterized by three main stages: production buildup, plateau production,
and declining production. Sustaining the required production levels over the duration of the
lifecycle requires a good understanding of the recovery mechanisms involved and the ability to
produced natural gas, produce on the average about one-third of the original oil in place
(OOlP). However, by applying the tertiary recovery (commonly called Enhanced Oil
1
Recovery, EOR), production could reach 40 to 60% of oil in the reservoir. EOR can
generally be divided into two methods; non-thermal and thermal methods (Abubaker,
Zulkefli and Abdurahman, 2015). The non-thermal methods include chemical flood, and gas
flood. On the other hand the thermal methods involve steam injection, hot water flooding, and
situ combustion. Gas Injection can be miscible or immiscible with oil, they include: liquefied
petroleum gases (LPGs) such as propane, methane under high pressure; methane enriched with
light hydrocarbons; nitrogen under high pressure; flue gas; carbon dioxide, and nitrogen.
Most of the studies and reviews show that the amount of oil that can be recovered with
primary drive mechanisms (i.e., natural depletion of reservoir pressure) is about 20 – 30% and by
secondary recovery through water or gas injection can reach up to 40%, but using modern
enhanced oil recovery techniques recovery can reach up to 60 – 65% (Tunio et al, 2011). These
techniques of enhanced oil recovery are essentially designed to recover the residual oil that
optimal EOR techniques we will be able to produce more oil as the demand increases and with
this, millions of barrels of oil can be extracted from existing fields as EOR increases the recovery
up to 60 % of the oil in the reservoir. This will lead to maximum recovery with the lowest
possible cost from the existing fields before moving to the remote areas (Tunio et al, 2011).
While EOR technologies have grown over the years, significant challenges remain.
Currently the daily oil production comes from mature or maturing oil fields and reserves
replacement is not keeping pace with the growing energy demand. The world average recovery
factor from hydrocarbon reservoirs is stuck in the mid-30 per cent range. This challenge becomes
an opportunity for advanced secondary and enhanced oil recovery (EOR) technologies that may
2
mitigate the demand-supply balance. Also, in the last few years, Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR)
processes have re-gained interest from the research and development phases to the oilfield EOR
implementation.
This renewed interest has been furthered by the current high oil price environment, the
increasing worldwide oil demand, the maturation of oilfields worldwide, and few new-well
discoveries. Likewise, Petroleum companies are interested in producing the remaining amount of
oil in the existing fields by applying new EOR technologies to increase the recovery factor while
simultaneously searching for oil in very remote areas; like deep offshore waters, where field
development is very costly. Hence, the rationale of this study which is to carry out a comparative
analysis of CO2 injection and surfactant flooding using water flooding as the base case
parameter.
The aim of this study is to carry out a comparative analysis of CO2 injection and surfactant
i. To define the conditions for selecting a candidate reservoir for different EOR
techniques.
ii. To study the recovery efficiencies of secondary and tertiary EOR processes.
iii. To study the performance and economic benefit of carrying out a tertiary EOR
3
1.5 SCOPE OF STUDY
EOR processes for mature or depleted reservoirs after primary recovery can be achieved through
different techniques like; water flooding, gas injection (miscible and immiscible gas injection),
chemical injection (polymer flooding, alkaline and surfactant flooding, etc.), thermal recovery
methods and microbial injection. Most of these techniques will be studied in this research work,
as they have been applied in some Niger Delta oil fields to increase their recovery efficiencies.
Other EOR methods that are omitted in this research work were not omitted because they lacked
applicability in the Niger Delta, but their omission was out of personal volition of the researcher.
This study is limited to the Niger Delta fields. The EOR processes in this study is limited to
Reservoir selection and Economic Analysis will be considered in this research work, as
not all reservoirs are amenable to a particular EOR method. In determining the suitability of a
given reservoir for any of the EOR methods studied in this research work, effective screening
practices will be employed to identify suitable candidates. Any EOR technique or process
selected must be suitable to the selected reservoir, given the reservoir rock and fluid environment
in place. As part of the screening, discounted cash-flow projections will also be performed to
the process must be implemented in such a way that it will result in an economically attractive
project. Also, the Net Present Values (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and other economic
parameters for the EOR methods selected will be computed through a probabilistic approach to
ascertain their profitability, using Monte Carlo simulation with Crystal ball software.
4
5
CHAPTER TWO
The Niger Delta oil province, also known as the Niger Delta Basin, is a geologic province
in the Niger Delta region of West Africa. The tertiary Niger Delta (Akata-Agbada) petroleum
system is the only petroleum system in the province. The majority of it is located within
Nigeria's borders, with suspected or confirmed connections to Cameroon, Equatorial Guinea, and
So Tomé and Principe. At the point of origin, this petroleum system has up to 34.5 billion barrels
of recoverable oil and 94 trillion cubic feet of natural gas. This field is made up of hundreds of
small reservoirs, the most majority of which are sandstone pockets trapped within oil-rich shale
strata. The Akata-Agbada system produces roughly 2 million barrels per day in total. The US
Geology Survey estimates that future discovered oil could total 40 billion barrels, making the
province the world's sixth largest, with typical primary recovery of around 34% of the original
oil in place (OOIIP). As a result, the remaining 66 percent of OOIP in Nigeria has the potential
for increased oil recovery. This amounts to a potential recovery of around 22.77 billion barrels of
oil. As a result, higher oil recovery efficiencies in Niger Delta oilfields necessitate the use of
appropriate EOR techniques. Some Nigerian exploration and production companies have already
Enhanced oil recovery (EOR) is currently gaining popularity around the world since it is
thought to be the fuel of the future. Oil prices are rising, and concerns about future oil supply are
prompting a renewed focus on Enhanced Oil Recovery techniques, which can greatly boost the
recovery factor from reservoirs by injecting certain fluids into the reservoir to sweep out any
remaining oil. Some of these EOR techniques are now being used to produce significant
additional oil. Various improved oil recovery strategies have been developed and used to mature
and mostly exhausted oil reservoirs over the last 40 years (Fu and Mamora, 2010). When
6
compared to primary (pressure depletion) and secondary (water flooding) oil recovery
technologies, these strategies boost efficiency. EOR is a word used to describe ways for
extracting oil from a petroleum reservoir in excess of what can be recovered using primary and
secondary procedures. As a result, improved oil recovery is frequently confused with tertiary
recovery, even though Enhanced Oil Recovery techniques can be applied earlier in the process.
Primary recovery is the process of extracting energy from a reservoir's inherent energy, such as
gas under pressure or a natural water drive. Secondary recovery, on the other hand, usually refers
to the use of gas or water flooding, whilst tertiary recovery refers to the use of procedures that go
beyond primary and secondary recovery to recover oil. When the naturally available pressure
gradients or energies are plainly insufficient to create the fluids at the desired rate or percentage,
fluid production continues as planned. As production continues, this primary energy is lost,
resulting in a fall in pressure, and production using primary recovery methods approaches a point
injecting pressured water or gas into the oil-bearing deposit to displace oil, resulting in extra flow
from the wells (Dake, 2001). The natural recovery rates obtained are minimal, unless there is an
active aquifer (supplied from the outside) or in the case of gases (20 to 25 percent).
Unfortunately, even after using both primary and secondary procedures, only around 20% to
30% (20-30%) of the fluid predicted to be in place is retrieved, leaving more than two-thirds of
the original oil in place underneath the earth (Ikporo and Okotie, 2014). As a result, the
petroleum industry's focus shifts to tertiary recovery technologies. Primary recovery methods,
secondary recovery methods, and tertiary recovery methods are the approaches or approaches
7
available to the petroleum engineer in reaching this goal of bringing or recovering these reservoir
fluids to the surface. The many oil recovery processes or procedures used in the petroleum
business are depicted in Figure 2.1. The migration of hydrocarbons to production wells due to a
pressure difference between the reservoir and the production wells is the general mechanism of
oil recovery. There are three basic categories for recovering oil reserves, as illustrated in Figure
2.2.
8
Figure 2.2 Recovery stages of a hydrocarbon reservoir through time.
Primary recovery refers to the first step of production, which is triggered by the natural
displacement energy in a reservoir. Oil is driven out of the petroleum reservoir by the inherent
pressure of trapped fluids in the reservoir during this recovery process. The efficiency of oil
displacement in the primary oil recovery process is mostly determined by the reservoir's natural
pressure, which aids in driving the oil to the surface (Romero-Zerón, 2012). The natural energy
required for oil recovery is essentially provided by six driving mechanisms. The oil recovery
ranges for these driving mechanisms are listed in Table 2.1. Primary recovery refers to the
Table 2.1 Approximate recovery range of a reservoir, with various drive mechanisms (Source:
9
The production of hydrocarbons from a reservoir without the need of any secondary recovery
operations (such as water injection) or tertiary recovery techniques to enhance the reservoir's
natural energy is referred to as primary recovery. When evaluating potential EOR possibilities,
the major drive mechanism and expected ultimate oil recovery should be taken into account. For
various driving systems, the approximate oil recovery range is reported in Table 2.1. Note that
these figures are estimates, and oil recovery may fall outside of these ranges.
When a crude oil has less gas than is required to saturate the oil at the pressure and
temperature of the reservoir, it is said to be under-saturated. Much of the reservoir energy is held
in the form of fluid and rock compressibility when the oil is significantly under-saturated. As
fluids are extracted from an under-saturated reservoir, pressure drops rapidly until the bubble
threshold is achieved. Then, for fluid displacement, solution gas drive becomes the source of
energy. An under-saturated reservoir will be identified using reservoir fluid analysis, PVT
behavior, and reservoir pressure data. These reservoirs are ideal candidates for water injection to
Under high pressure, crude oil can contain a lot of dissolved gas. As fluids are extracted
from the reservoir, gas comes out of solution and displaces oil from the reservoir to the
producing wells. The volume of gas in solution, the rock and fluid properties, and the geological
structure of the reservoir all influence the efficiency of solution gas drive. Recoveries are
modest, ranging from 5 to 30% of the OOIP. Because the gas phase in the reservoir is more
mobile than the oil phase, recovery is limited. As pressure drops, gas flows quicker than oil,
10
resulting in rapid reservoir energy depletion, as evidenced by growing gas/oil ratios in the field.
Water-flooding reservoirs are usually suitable options for solution gas drive reservoirs.
When a reservoir has a large gas cap, it's possible that there's a lot of energy stored in
compressed gas. As fluids are extracted from the reservoir, the gas cap expands, displacing the
oil via a gas drive assisted by gravity drainage. The intended pressure level in the reservoir, as
well as gas production once gas enters production wells, limit the gas cap's expansion. Reservoirs
with substantial gas caps aren't seen to be ideal water-flood candidates in general. The pressure
in some of these reservoirs has been maintained by injecting gas into the gas cap.
A hydraulic link exists between a water drive reservoir and a porous, compressed water
saturated rock known as an aquifer. As oil production reduces reservoir pressure, the water
of the rock in the aquifer also contributes to reservoir energy. When the aquifer is large enough
and contains enough energy, optimal fluid extraction rates can “water-flood” the entire reservoir.
In thick reservoirs with good vertical connection or in steeply dipping reservoirs, gravity
drainage may be the predominant producing mechanism. Because gas must move up the
structure or to the top of the formation to cover the space previously occupied by oil, gravity
drainage is a sluggish process. Because gas migration is faster than oil drainage, the rate of oil
11
2.2.6 Combination Drive
This is the most frequent drive mechanism, in which both water and free gas are available
The adoption of secondary recovery methods at the early phases of the primary
production phase, before reservoir energy has been depleted, is a common technique to
optimizing primary oil recovery. When compared to oil output gained from the solitary action of
natural driving forces during primary oil recovery, this production approach of integrating
primary and secondary oil recovery processes typically yields better oil recovery (Lyons and
Plisga, 2005). The first stage in extending oil recovery beyond natural depletion is to maintain
pressure by adding fluids (water or gas). Because of its relative simplicity, availability of water,
and cost-effectiveness, water flooding is the most often employed secondary oil recovery method
Secondary oil recovery works in a similar way to primary oil recovery, except that more
than one well bore is involved, and the reservoir pressure is intentionally increased or maintained
to force oil to the production wells. Secondary recovery procedures entail injecting artificial
energy into the reservoir through one wellbore while producing oil and/or gas via another. The
known as water alternating gas injection (WAG), where slugs of water and gas are injected
successively, are usually used for secondary recovery. SWAG (simultaneous injection of water
and gas) is also used, however water is the most commonly injected fluid due to its availability,
low cost, and high specific gravity, which makes injection easier (Lyons and Plisga, 2005; Satter
et al., 2008).
12
2.3.1 Water flooding
Water flooding is accomplished by injecting water into a series of wells while still
producing from the nearby wells. Water flooding initiatives are typically performed to achieve
ii. To sweep or displace the oil from the reservoir, and push it towards an oil production
well.
Water flooding has become the most extensively used secondary recovery strategy around the
world throughout the years. The following are some of the reasons for the widespread acceptance
of water flooding: Water is an efficient agent for displacing light to medium gravity oil, it's
relatively straightforward to inject into oil-bearing formations, it's widely available and
inexpensive, and water flooding has lower capital and operating expenses, resulting in favorable
economics (Satter et al. 2008). Various sorts of well flooding configurations are commonly used
to implement water flooding. The five-spot layout, as seen from various angles in Figures 2.3
and 2.4, is the most typical arrangement of injection and production wells in water flooding.
Water is injected into the central well, displacing oil from the four production wells around it.
13
Figure 2.3: Later view from a common water flooding arrangement (Donaldson et al, 1989).
Figure 2.4: Description from a top view reference of a water flooding process (Donaldson et al,
1989)
heterogeneities, just as primary recovery. In the end, a number of external factors, such as the
architecture, number, and positioning of water injection and production wells, affect the recovery
factor for water floods. The selection of these parameters to optimize reservoir sweep is the first
development planning. As a result of this decision, the micro and macroscopic oil displacement
and sweep efficiency should be optimized. In addition, the primary criterion for selecting a given
pattern geometry is cost. The cost of drilling new wells, the expense of moving existing wells to
a different kind (for example, from a producer to an injector), and the loss of revenue from
production when moving from a producer to an injector are all issues to consider. The direct-
14
line-drive and staggered-line-drive schemes, for example, are often utilized because they need
the least amount of capital. If the reservoir characteristics result in lower injection rates than
intended, the operator should consider employing a seven- or nine-spot pattern with more
injection wells per pattern than production wells, as recommend by Craft and Hawkins (1991).
Gas injection uses immiscible gas (one that won't mix with oil) to keep formation
pressure up, decrease the pace of natural reservoir drive decline, and sometimes improve gravity
drainage. Oil fields with poor oil saturation in the primary or secondary gas cap are ideal
candidates for gas injection into the gas cap to boost recovery. Gas injection reduces oil
shrinkage even more. Because it keeps the pressure gradient on the oil phase relatively high,
relative permeability to oil stays high, and oil is produced faster and in higher quantities.
Reservoirs with volatile oil may respond similarly, resulting in substantial oil recovery. In other
words, if the reservoir has enough vertical permeability or relief for gravity segregation to work,
Natural gas derived from oil, nitrogen, and flue gas are examples of immiscible gases.
Immiscible gas pumped into the well acts similarly to a gas-cap drive in that it expands to force
increasing amounts of oil to the surface. Gas injection necessitates the employment of
compressors to increase the gas's pressure so that it may penetrate the pores of the formation
(Van Dyke, 1997). In general, immiscible gas injection projects provide poorer oil recovery than
water flooding operations, but in some cases, immiscible gas injection is the only viable
secondary recovery option. Those circumstances include, among others, very low permeability
oil formations (such as shales), reservoir rock containing expanding clays, and thin formations
15
with solution-gas drive as the major driving mechanism (Lyons and Plisga, 2005). Furthermore,
gas is inferior to water in recovering oil due to its unfavourable viscosity ratio (greater mobility
ratio). Gas may be more cost-effective. A miscible or immiscible displacement technique can be
used for gas injection. The type of process will be determined by the characteristics of the oil and
gas, as well as the temperature and pressure conditions of the injection. Some of the primary and
i. Rapid decrease in reservoir pressure – leads to low oil production rates and oil recovery
ii. Secondary recovery often does not yield a good recovery due to reservoir heterogeneity,
unfavorable mobility ratio between oil and water, low sweep efficiency water and gas
coning problems.
EOR, also known as Tertiary Recovery, is a technique for enhancing the quantity of
hydrocarbon that may be retrieved from a reservoir by using thermal, chemical, or miscible gas
injection, as well as additional approaches like microbial flooding (Sunmonu and Onyekonwu,
2013). EOR refers to processes that recover oil from porous media that aren't produced by
traditional primary and secondary production methods. EOR aims to increase reservoir sweep
efficiency by using injectants that can lower leftover oil saturation below the level attained by
traditional injection procedures. Both the oil trapped in flooded areas by capillary forces
(residual oil) and the oil in areas not flooded by the injected fluid are included in the leftover oil
defined here (bypassed oil). CO2 or chemicals added to the injected water are examples of
injectants. To effectively improve oil output, fluids other than typical water (for water flooding)
16
and immiscible gas (for gas injection) are introduced into the formation during tertiary oil
recovery. Water flooding was once assumed to be enhanced oil recovery, but nowadays, EOR is
assumed to come after water flooding, as many EOR recovery methods are deployed after water
After primary and secondary processes, the purpose of enhanced oil recovery techniques
is to recover at least a portion of the remaining oil-in-place. The characteristics of the reservoir
fluid are altered by these approaches. The goal of EOR is to enhance the pressure differential
between the reservoir and the production wells, or to increase the oil mobility by lowering the
viscosity of the oil or lowering the interfacial tension between the displacing fluids and the oil.
i. Chemical processes.
There are several EOR techniques under these processes that are considered to be promising, as
17
Figure 2.5: Classification of the different EOR methods (Donaldson cited in Ikporo & Okotie
2014)
Chemical processes are those in which non-natural components are introduced to fluids to
increase mobility between the displacing and displaced fluids. These are EOR techniques that
use water. Chemical flooding processes can be divided into three main categories:
i. Surfactant flooding
Chemical flooding involves injecting a mixture of alkaline, surfactant, and polymer (ASP) into
the reservoir. By altering the mobility ratio between the invading fluids and the displaced fluid,
the polymer improves the sweep efficiency of the invading fluid. The surfactant is present to
minimize interfacial tension and change the wet-ability of the formation rock if necessary. When
18
caustic is introduced into a petroleum reservoir, it reacts chemically with the fatty acids in the
petroleum derivatives, forming in-situ sodium salts of fatty acids. These surfactants produce
ultra-low interfacial tension as a result of their production. Hence, EOR methods that can further
enhance the recovery by chemical additives in the injection water. The chemical flooding
Figure 2.6: Chemical flooding process description (Donaldson cited in Ikporo & Okotie 2014).
Chemical methods of enhanced oil recovery are defined by the addition of chemicals to water to
provide fluid characteristics or interfacial conditions that are more conducive to oil displacement.
and despite the fact that it only increases potential production by modest increments, its
laboratory testing to support field project planning. It's also pricey, and just a few large-scale
projects use it. Alkaline flooding has only been employed in reservoirs containing specific types
19
During water or surfactant flooding, polymers are utilized to obtain favorable mobility
ratios. During the flooding phase, which might last several years, it is critical that the viscosity of
the polymer solution does not decrease. Temperature can alter polymer viscosity in two ways: by
changing the state of energy of the polymer chain and by causing temperature-dependent
chemical breakdown of the polymer chain. The high viscosity of the polymer solution can
drastically impair injectivity and result in low injection rates. The temperature affects how much
polymer is injected. In recent years, polymer flooding has become a popular EOR technique.
This gain can be explained by the fact that increasing water viscosity with small amounts of
polymer is quite simple. For oil viscosities of 10 to 100 cp, this enhances the mobility ratio and
leads to good reservoir sweep efficiency. Polymer flooding, also known as polymer enhanced
water flooding, involves mixing water with water-soluble polymers before injecting it into a
reservoir.
The simplest and most extensively utilized chemical EOR approach for mobility control
is polymer flooding. Polymer concentrations are typically modest, ranging from 250 to 2,000
mg/L, and the polymer solution slug size injected is typically 15 percent to 25% of the reservoir
pore volume (Pope, 2011). Hydrolyzed polyacrylamides (HPAM) and the biopolymer Xanthan
are the most often used polymers. Polymer solutions may be injected over a 1-2 year period for
very large field projects, after which the project reverts to a typical water flood. Incremental oil
recovery is on the order of 12% of the original oil in place (OOIP) when polymer solution is
injected for about one pore volume and values as high as 30% OOIP have been reported for
some field projects (Pope, 2011). Furthermore, the displacement is more efficient in that less
injection water is required to produce a given amount of oil. To produce an incremental barrel of
oil, about 1 to 2 lbs of polymer are required (Lyons and Plisga, 2005).
20
The affordable price of polymer (approximately USD 1.5/bbl to USD 3/bbl) compared to
the price of oil, explains why presently, the number of polymer flooding projects is increasing
exponentially; for instance, in the U.S.A approximately 1 billion lbs of polymer was used in
2011 for mobility-control EOR (Pope, 2011). Mobility-control performance of any polymer
flood within the porous media is commonly measured by the resistance factor, (RF), which
compares the polymer solution resistance to flow (mobility) through the porous media as
compared to the flow resistance of plain water. As exemplified by Lyons and Plisga (2005), if a
RF of 10 is observed, it is 10 times more difficult for the polymer solution to flow through the
system, or the mobility of water is reduced 10-fold. As water has a viscosity around 1cP, the
polymer solution, in this case, would flow through the porous system as though it had an
be considerably lower.
The basic improved recovery mechanism for gas flooding EOR is the fact that the
residual oil for gas displacement is lower than that for water flooding. In principle this could
result in an incremental recovery in the range 10 to 15% over the recovery by water flooding.
The difference is in the residual oil for gas and water flooding, and thus the incremental
recovery, could be much greater when gas and oil are miscible. Miscible methods have their
greatest potential for enhanced recovery of low-viscosity oils. Among these methods, CO 2
miscible flooding on a large scale is expected to make the greatest contribution to miscible
enhanced oil recovery in the future. However, the most efficient recovery mechanism by gas
flooding relies on injecting the gas (CO2, N2, etc.) at high pressures so that it is miscible with oil.
In this case, the incremental recovery can theoretically exceed 50% of the oil initially in place
21
(OIIP) (or reach 100% of the residual oil). This theoretical value is difficult to achieve by
continuous gas injection: the unfavorable mobility ratios between gas and oil/water leads to poor
reservoir sweep due to gravity override, viscous fingering, and channeling through high-
permeability streaks, resulting in gas recycling that is expensive due to compression costs. A
change in the recoveries by gas flooding requires the use of more robust methods of mobility
control. One such method is foam; i.e., a dispersion of the gas obtained by co-injecting a
Thermal recovery methods are based on adding heat to the oil, mainly to decrease its
viscosity. In this way, the mobility ratio between oil and the displacing fluids becomes more
favorable. The most common thermal methods are steam flooding and steam cycling. These
techniques experienced enormous development in the last few decades and have grown to be the
largest contributor to oil output by EOR. They are effective for the oil viscosity range between
100 and 100,000 cp. The reservoir sweep efficiency of steam flooding is limited by gravity
segregation. One way to overcome this problem is using the steam-assisted gravity drainage
(SAGD) method. SAGD is limited by the reservoir thickness needed to develop a steam
chamber. Ongoing SAGD research is aimed at improving the displacement efficiency and speed
by using solvents. In-situ combustion techniques are being developed, but controlling the process
is a challenge.
The ultimate goal of EOR processes is to increase the overall oil displacement efficiency,
22
efficiency refers to the displacement or mobilization of oil at the pore scale and measures the
effectiveness of the displacing fluid in moving the oil at those places in the rock where the
displacing fluid contacts the oil (Green, Hirasaki, Pope and Willhite, 2011). For instance,
between the displacing fluid and oil or by decreasing the oil viscosity (Satter et al., 2008).
also known as conformance indicates the effectiveness of the displacing fluid in sweeping out the
volume of a reservoir, both a really and vertically, as well as how effectively the displacing fluid
moves the displaced oil toward production wells (Green, Hirasaki, Pope and Willhite, 2011).
Hence, the success of any enhanced oil recovery process depends on:
i. The mechanism by which the injected fluid displaces the oil (displacement efficiency).
ii. The volume of reservoir which the injected fluid contacts (conformance or sweep
efficiency).
According to Lake (1989), EOR refers to the recovery of oil through the injection of
fluids and energy not normally present in the reservoir. These injected fluids must accomplish
several objectives like boosting the natural energy in the reservoir and also interact with the
reservoir rock/oil system to create conditions favorable for residual oil recovery that includes
among others:
i. Provide mobility-control
iv. Reduction of the interfacial tension between the displacing fluid and oil
23
v. Reduce capillary forces
viii. Oil viscosity reduction. (Green, Hirasaki, Pope and Willhite, 2011).
The overall displacement efficiency of any oil recovery displacement process can be
increased by improving the mobility ratio or by increasing the capillary number or both (Satter et
al., 2008). All of currently available EOR technique is based on one or more of these two
principles: increasing the capillary number and/or lowering the mobility ratio, compared to their
waterflood values. Increasing the capillary number means, practically speaking, reducing oil-
water interfacial tension. The injectant mobility may be reduced by increasing water viscosity,
Mobility ratio is defined as the mobility of the displacing fluid (i.e. water) divided by the
mobility of the displaced fluid (i.e. oil). High mobility ratios cause poor displacement and sweep
efficiencies, which can be caused by a large viscosity contrast between the displacing fluid (i.e.
water) and oil or by the presence of high permeability flow channels that result in early
breakthrough of the displacing fluid (i.e. water) at the producer well (Lyons and Plisga, 2005).
For water floods, this is the ratio of water to oil mobilities. The mobility ratio, M, for a water
K o KK ro
Mobility of oil, Mo= = (2.1)
μo μo
K w KK rw
Mobility of water, Mw= = (2.2)
μw μw
24
Volumetric sweep efficiency increases as mobility ratio decreases, therefore mobility
ratio is an indication of the stability of a displacement process, with flow becoming unstable
(non-uniform displacement front or viscous fingering) when M> 1.0. Thus, a large viscosity
contrast between the displacing fluid (i.e. water) and the displaced fluid (i.e. oil) causes a large
mobility ratio (unfavorable M) which promotes the fingering of water through the more viscous
oil and reduces the oil recovery efficiency as shown in Figure 2.7. Here, water flooding has
unfavorable mobility ratio (M> 1), while Polymer-augmented water flooding has a favorable
Figure 2.7 Water flooding with unfavorable mobility vs. Polymer-augmented water flooding
As such mobility ratio can be improved by increasing the drive water viscosity using polymers.
In the process of polymer flooding, polymers are added to the flood water to improve the water-
oil mobility ratio by increasing the viscosity of the flood medium and decreasing its relative and
25
effective permeability, respectively. For practical purposes, the mobility ratio (M) in polymer
flooding is often expressed in terms of the effective oil and polymer solution permeabilities (keffo
( K effp /μ p)
M= (2.4)
( Keff o/ μ o)
The capillary number, Nc, is a dimensional group expressing the ratio of viscous to
viscous forces ѵ µw
N c= = (2.5)
capillary forces σ ow
Where ѵ is the interstitial velocity of the displacing fluid (i.e. water), µw is the viscosity of the
displacing fluid (i.e. water), and σow is the interfacial tension between the oil and the displacing
fluid. Capillary numbers for a mature water flooding process are commonly in the order of 10 -7
to 10-6 (Green, Hirasaki, Pope and Willhite, 2011). At the end of the water flooding process,
experience has shown that at these low capillary numbers an important amount of oil is left
behind in the reservoir trapped by capillary forces at the pore scale. Thus, if the capillary number
is increased through the application of EOR processes, residual oil will be mobilized and
recovered. The most practical alternative to significantly increase the capillary number is through
the application of surfactants or alkaline flooding (chemical flooding) (Sydansk and Romero-
Zerón, 2011).
26
2.5.3 Calculation of Overall Recovery Efficiency
The overall recovery factor (efficiency) RF of any secondary or tertiary oil recovery
method is the product of a combination of three individual efficiency factors as given by the
RF = EDEAEV (2.6)
NP = NS EDEAEV (2.7)
ED = displacement efficiency;
The displacement efficiency ED is the fraction of movable oil that has been displaced from the
swept zone at any given time or pore volume injected. Because an immiscible gas injection or
water flood will always leave behind some residual oil, ED will always be less than 1.0. The areal
sweep efficiency EA is the fractional area of the pattern that is swept by the displacing fluid.
The oil reserves obtained as a result of EOR methods in addition to the primary or
conventional reserves may be expressed as the percentage of original oil in places (OOIP). To
estimate how much EOR methods can add oil reserves, the recovery potential of the reservoir has
to be known. This is defined by the reservoir’s characteristics and prior recovery mechanism. For
27
instance, the ultimate oil recovery factor of individual reservoirs under primary and/or
conventional recovery methods may range from 5% of OOIP for the poorest reservoir
characteristics or for viscous oil, to as high as 55 or 60 % of OOIP for the best reservoir
characteristics or for light oil. These are possibly attained by the respective recovery mechanism,
as follows:
iii. 25-40 % -Oil reservoirs producing under partial water drive, gas injection or gravity
drainage
28
CHAPTER THREE
3.1 METHODOLOGY
The importance of choosing the best recovery method becomes increasingly important to
Petroleum Engineers, as conventional oil production has continued to fall globally. When
contemplating an EOR technique for a reservoir, reservoir engineer should be aware of the
criteria for a successful project. Screening criteria for suitable EOR methods serve as the first
step for candidate reservoir and has helped petroleum engineers make these decisions over the
years. In determining the suitability of a given reservoir for a secondary or tertiary enhanced oil
recovery process, the following factors will be considered in this research work:
1. Reservoir Selection
2. Economic Evaluation.
The screening criteria used for this research work is based on a combination of the
reservoir and oil characteristics of successful projects (field and laboratory information that has
become available over the years), plus an understanding of the optimum conditions needed for
good oil displacement by the different EOR fluids. The substances (or specific mixtures) that
must be purchased and injected into the reservoir for mobility control are always at costs
somewhat greater than for the injection of water, but experience, as well as the results gotten
from this project indicates that the best profits come only from those methods where several
barrel of fluid (liquid or gas at reservoir pressure) can be injected per barrel of incremental oil
produced. This limits the main methods to either water (including heated, as steam, or as a dilute
chemical solution: polymer/surfactant flooding) or one of the inexpensive gases (CO2). There is
hope that these methods might become more profitable as oil prices rise significantly.
29
3.2.1 Oil/Reservoir Characteristics of Successful Projects
Oil and reservoir characteristics, including depth and corresponding oil gravity of most
EOR projects in the world are shown in Figure 3.2. A convenient way to show these EOR
methods is to arrange them by oil gravity as shown in Figure 3.1. This “at-a-glance” display also
provides approximate oil gravity ranges for different field projects that are now underway
globally.
Fig. 3.1 Oil gravity range of oil that is most effective for different EOR methods (Taber et al,
2008).
30
Figure 3.2 Summary of Screening Criteria for different EOR Methods.
[NC = not critical. Underlined values represent the approximate mean for current field projects,
while the ascending or descending arrows indicate that higher or lower values may be better
31
3.2.2 Analysis of Reservoir XYZ (Niger Delta Onshore)
Reservoir XYZ with rock and fluid properties shown in Table 3.1 was considered in this
research work for EOR screening, as its oil production is now in its last phase. The reservoir has
been operating on water injection for pressure maintenance from year 2019 to present (2021).
Permeability, k 50 MD
32
The current recovery from the reservoir through water injection is low (29%), hence the is need
for developing cost efficient enhanced oil recovery (EOR) methods that can improve the sweep
efficiency significantly so as to get out as much as possible of the oil left before the operation
costs become higher than the income. To manage this, different EOR methods will be evaluated
All the available field data was examined to compare different alternative EOR methods
for Reservoir XYZ using Figure 3.1 and Figure 3.2, which shows a range of basic reservoir and
fluid properties suitable for different EOR methods. The screening criteria of Figure 3.2
compares between the rock and fluid properties of the reservoir and the standard criteria required
for the different EOR processes. The graphical model utilized for this case as shown in Figure
3.1, together with the oil properties and reservoir characteristics of Figure 3.2 gives a simplified
method for proper selection of an EOR method not just for our case in Niger Delta, but for other
reservoirs as well. Analyzing the EOR options given in the screening criteria for Reservoir XYZ,
i. Steam-drive has reservoir depth limitations (must be lower than 4500ft) because of heat
ii. Polymer flooding is feasible, but not suitable for reservoir XYZ since its oil viscosity
from the field data is below the acceptable range in the screening criteria.
iii. CO2 miscible process is feasible for reservoir XYZ due to favourable oil gravity and
iv. Surfactant flooding is also feasible for the reservoir in some aspects like oil viscosity
(10cp < 35cp), depth (5500ft < 900ft), oil gravity and permeability within range.
33
The selection process therefore shows that two EOR methods are most suitable for Reservoir
1) CO2 injection
2) Surfactant flooding
Hence, a technical and economic evaluation of recovery efficiency of CO2 and Surfactant
flooding on Reservoir XYZ will be analyzed and compared with base case parameters of water
flooding. Earlier simulations were run on Eclipse to analyze Reservoir XYZ in order to estimate
and review the actual status of the reservoir. The analysis was done by showing three different
EOR methods (C02 miscible injection, surfactant flooding and water flooding as base case).
The implementation of an EOR technique is intimately tied to the price of oil and overall
economics. With the reservoir management practices of today, engineers consider the various
EOR options much earlier in the productive life of a field. Obviously, economics always play the
major role in “go/no-go” decisions for expensive injection projects, but a cursory examination
with the technical criteria (Figure 3.2) is helpful to rule out the less-likely candidates. EOR is
capital and resource intensive, and expensive, primarily due to high injectant costs. The choice of
injectants has widened considerably since the evolution of EOR, but the petroleum engineer still
must choose an injection fluid and an overall process to try to recover the maximum amount of
oil from the reservoir while still making a profit. Laboratory and field tests have indicated that
even under very favourable conditions, injection of 5-20 Mscf of CO 2 is required to recover an
additional barrel of oil (Bonder, 1992). This will be applied in economic analysis of this research
work.
34
In the design of the mobility control requirement for an EOR process, the final criterion
Net Present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Profit to Investment Ratio, etc. The net
present value of a time series of cash flows, both incoming and outgoing, is the sum of the
present values (PVs) of the individual cash flows. NPV compares the value of 1 dollar today its
value in future, taking inflation and returns into consideration. NPV is a measure of profitability
of any project. If the NPV of a prospective project is positive, it is accepted. However, if NPV is
negative, the project should be discouraged because cash flows will also be negative. Other
factors that also influence the economic considerations for EOR other than reservoir
characteristics are availability of water or other EOR injectants, capital and operating expenses,
35
CHAPTER FOUR
4.1 RESULT
By assuming the continuous injection of water in the upcoming years until 2028 without
any chemical addition (as a separate scenario), it was possible to calculate the other scenarios for
both CO2 and surfactant flooding. The extrapolated oil production data from ECLIPSE
Water 11951 11479 1056 10379 9435 9498 8995 8743 8492 761 35,459,750
Injection 7 1
(bbl/day)
Surfactan 13146 12627 1162 11416 10379 10448 9894 9617 9341 897 39,224,360
t flooding 4 2
(bbl/day)
C02 14102 13546 1246 12247 11133 11208 1061 10317 10020 898 41,842,505
Flooding 9 4 1
(bbl/day)
Table 4.1 and 4.2, and Figure 4.1 summarizes the production results obtained from extrapolating
the information gotten from ECLIPSE and making the proper assumption regarding each method
according to literature. Table 4.2 also shows a 6% increase for CO 2 injection against water
36
injection (base case) for the 10 year injection period. This seems like a very small number, but it
Table 4.2 Prognosis and percentage of oil recovery from the different EOR methods.
% of total Oil
Method To year Cumulative oil recovery
production (bbl)
Water injection
(Before EOR) 2019 31,670,150 29%
37
16000
14000
12000
10000
bbl/day
8000
Water Inject
Surfactant Flooding
6000 CO2 Flooding
4000
2000
0
2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
Year
Figure 4.1 Oil production rates according to the EOR methods selected and compared with
water injection (base case).
According to the economical analysis and the information given for the project (including the
estimated future rates and data of Reservoir XYZ); the Net Present Values (NPV), Internal Rate
of Return (IRR) and other economic parameters for CO2 injection and Surfactant flooding
methods were obtained through a probabilistic approach, using Monte Carlo simulation with
Crystal ball software. A summary of the result is presented in Table 4.3. The complete cash flow
analysis for CO2 injection and Surfactant flooding for reservoir XYZ are presented in Appendix
38
Table 4.3 Net Present Values obtained from analysis of the EOR methods
NPV MM ($)
Method
Before Tax After Tax
4.2 DISCUSSION
Surfactant flooding EOR process can be used to improve the recovery efficiency as seen
in the field case. However, nearly 90% of the surfactants injected are believed to be retarded by
the formation when passing through the reservoir rock. Thus, only a small amount is lowering
the interfacial tension between the oil and water. It is therefore extremely important to be able to
quantify the amount of surfactant needed for a successful chemical flooding. High cost of
surfactants and their retention impose high risk and uncertainty to their implementation and
Also, to decide whether a project is profitable or not, the Net Present Value (NPV) has to
be calculated. The Net Present Value of a project is a measure of how much a future investment
is worth today. An investment will be profitable if the NPV of the project is positive. The
calculation was done using a 10% discount rate for future in and outgoing cash. Sensitivity
Analysis showed that cumulative oil production and oil price are the most sensitive inputs
(Appendices C and D), while the final result indicated that CO 2 flooding is more economical and
should be used on reservoir XYZ as it gave a higher oil recovery than surfactant flooding.
39
CHAPTER FIVE
5.1 CONCLUSION
Different EOR methods have been studied and understood from oil and reservoir
characteristics of previous EOR projects. Surfactant flooding and CO 2 flooding were chosen for
XYZ Reservoir based upon reservoir temperature, reservoir rock, fluid properties and
compositions. These methods were discussed and studied in detail at the same time that an
economic evaluation has been done. A simplified graphical method showed that it would be
appropriate to implement CO2 flooding for both oil recovery and economical reasons, with a
final recovery factor of 67.2% and NPV of $ 2,795 MM after tax. The final results show that for
both economical and oil recovery reasons, CO2 flooding should be applied on reservoir XYZ.
Also, most of the EOR methods are time-dependent function. Surfactant flooding and
CO2 injection EOR methods require considerable investments; however the response in the extra
oil production is usually delayed 5-10 years. This means that in order to be economical an EOR
method has to recover most of the extra oil within the time schedule for conventional recovery.
Otherwise the project will be uneconomical due to extra operational costs and higher risk of
realization.
5.2 RECOMMENDATIONS
The comprehension of technical and economical knowledge regarding CO2 injection and
Surfactant flooding EOR methods has been achieved successfully from analysis of reservoir
XYZ (Niger Delta onshore) and therefore recommended for Niger Delta reservoirs. These EOR
40
methods will yield huge return on investment when implemented not just in the Niger Delta
41
References
Donaldson, E. C., Chilingarian, V. G., Yen, T. F., and Sharma, M. K. (1989): Developments in
Petroleum Sciences: Enhanced Oil Recovery; Volume 17B: Processes and Operations;
Farajzadeh, R., Andrianov, A., and Zitha P. L. (2010): Investigation of Immiscible and Miscible
Foam for Enhancing Oil Recovery, Ind. Eng. Chem. Res. 49(4): 1910-1919.
Fu, Xuebing and Mamora, D. (2010): “Enhanced Oil Recovery of viscous oil by injection of
water-in-oil emulsion made with used engine oil” A paper presented at the 2010 SPE
Improved Oil Recovery Symposium held in Tulsa, Oklahoma U.S.A, 24–28 April; SPE
129902.
Green, D. W., Hirasaki, G., Pope, G. A. and Willhite, G. P. (2011). Surfactant flooding. Digital
Ikporo B. and Okotie S. (2014): “An investigation of the efficacy of enhanced oil recovery by
Lake L. W. (1989): Enhanced Oil Recovery. Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey: Prentice Hall.
42
Lyons W. and Plisga, B. S. (2005): Standard Handbook of Petroleum and Natural Gas
1.
Pope G. (2011): "Recent Developments and Remaining Challenges of Enhanced Oil Recovery";
JPT, 65-68.
Satter A., Iqbal, G. and Buchwalter, J. (2008): Practical Enhanced Reservoir Engineering.Tulsa,
Oklahoma: PennWell.
Sunmonu R. M. and Onyekonwu M.O. (2013): Enhanced Oil Recovery using Foam Injection; a
Taber, J. J., Martin, E. D., and Seright, R.S., (2008): “EOR Screening Criteria Revisited – Part 1:
the 2008 SPE/DOE Improved oil Recovery Symposium held in Tulsa, Oklahoma, U.S.A.
Tunio, S. Q., Tunio, A. H., Ghirano, N. A., and El Adawy, Z. M. (2011): Comparison of
Van Dyke K. (1997): Fundamentals of Petroleum (Fourth Edition). Austin, Texas: The
43
APPENDICES
APPENDIX A
CO2 Injection
Inputs Distribution Type
Assumptions Minimum Likeliest Maximum
Cumulative oil
production(bbl) 41,842,505 20800000 41842505 53000000 Triangular
Oil Price ($/bbl) 70 50 70 90 Triangular
Capital cost ($) 2,200,000,000 1,000,000,000 2,200,000,000 3,500,000,000 Triangular
Operating Cost
($/mscf) 25 25 0 30 Uniform
Feedstock
($/mscf) 0.001 0.0005 0.001 0.0015 Triangular
CO2 Injected per
incremental bbl of 20
oil (mscf/bbl)
IRR 35% %
Profit to
Investment
Ratio 3.70 [-]
44
2
IRR 69% %
Profit to Investment Ratio 6.89 [-]
PVR 3.23 [-]
Payback Time 1.45 yrs
Profitability Index 4.23 [-]
45
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2028
Cashflow
Calculation
After Tax Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 10
Revenue 2928975350 2928975350 2928975350 2928975350 2928975350
Royalty 366121918.8 366121918.8 366121918.8 366121918.8 366121918.8
Net Revenue 2562853431 2562853431 2562853431 2562853431 2562853431
Operating Cost 1046062625 1046062625 1046062625 1046062625 1046062625
Feed Cost 836850.1 836850.1 836850.1 836850.1 836850.1
Depreciation 110000000 110000000 110000000 110000000 110000000
Pretax profit 1405953956 1405953956 1405953956 1405953956 1405953956
Tax 702976978.1 421786186.8 421786186.8 421786186.8 421786186.8
Net Profit 702976978.1 702976978.1 702976978.1 702976978.1 702976978.1
Operating
Cash flow 812976978.1 812976978.1 812976978.1 812976978.1 812976978.1
Investment -2200000000
Net Cash flow -2200000000 812976978.1 812976978.1 812976978.1 812976978.1 812976978.1
Cumulative
Cash flow -2200000000 -1387023022 -574046043.9 238930934.2 1051907912 5929769781
Cashflow
Calculation
Before Tax Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 10
Pretax profit 1405953956 1405953956 1405953956 1405953956 1405953956
Operating
Cash flow 1515953956 1515953956 1515953956 1515953956 1515953956
Investment -2200000000
Net Cash flow -2200000000 1515953956 1515953956 1515953956 1515953956 1515953956
Cumulative
Cash flow -2200000000 -684046043.9 831907912.3 2347861868 3863815825 12959539562
46
APPENDIX B
(SURFACTANT FLOODING)
Surfactant Flooding
Distribution
Inputs Type
Assumptions Minimum Likeliest Maximum
Cumulative oil
production(bbl) 39,224,360 30800000 39224360 49000000 Triangular
Oil Price ($/bbl) 70 50 70 90 Triangular
Capital cost ($) 2,200,000,000 1,000,000,000 2,200,000,000 3,900,000,000 Triangular
Operating Cost ($/kg) 30 30 0 35 Uniform
Feedstock ($/kg) 0.001 0.0005 0.001 0.0015 Triangular
Surfactant consumed per
incremental bbl of oil 70
(kg/bbl)
47
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2028
Cashflow
Calculation
after Tax Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 10
Revenue 2745705200 2745705200 2745705200 2745705200 2745705200
Royalty 343213150 343213150 343213150 343213150 343213150
Net Revenue 2402492050 2402492050 2402492050 2402492050 2402492050
Operating Cost 1176730800 1176730800 1176730800 1176730800 1176730800
Feed Cost 2745705.2 2745705.2 2745705.2 2745705.2 2745705.2
Depreciation 110000000 110000000 110000000 110000000 110000000
Pretax profit 1113015545 1113015545 1113015545 1113015545 1113015545
Tax 556507772.4 333904663.4 333904663.4 333904663.4 333904663.4
Net Profit 556507772.4 556507772.4 556507772.4 556507772.4 556507772.4
Operating
Cash flow 666507772.4 666507772.4 666507772.4 666507772.4 666507772.4
Investment -2200000000
Net Cash flow -2200000000 666507772.4 666507772.4 666507772.4 666507772.4 666507772.4
Cumulative
Cash flow -2200000000 -1533492228 -866984455.2 -200476682.8 466031089.6 4465077724
Cashflow
Calculation
before Tax Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 10
Pretax profit 1113015545 1113015545 1113015545 1113015545 1113015545
Operating
Cash flow 1223015545 1223015545 1223015545 1223015545 1223015545
Investment -2200000000
Net Cash flow -2200000000 1223015545 1223015545 1223015545 1223015545 1223015545
Cumulative
Cash flow -2200000000 -976984455.2 246031089.6 1469046634 2692062179 10030155448
48
APPENDIX C
49
Spider Charts for CO2 Injection
9.000000E+08
6.000000E+08
5.000000E+08
90.0% 70.0% 50.0% 30.0% 10.0%
Percentiles of the variables
50
APPENDIX D
09 09 09 09 09 09
0 E+ 0 E+ 0 E+ 0 E+ 0 E+ 0 E+
0 0 0 0 0 0
00 00 00 00 00 00
50 00 50 00 50 00
1. 2. 2. 3. 3. 4.
Upside
Downside
Oil Price ($/bbl) 58.94
51
Spider Charts for Surfactant Flooding
3.000000E+09
2.000000E+09
1.500000E+09
90.0% 70.0% 50.0% 30.0% 10.0%
Percentiles of the variables
52