Professional Documents
Culture Documents
James D. Bryan1
Abstract
Despite waves of democratic backsliding over the last decade, most global
citizens still claim to support democracy. On the other hand, many citizens
become more supportive of specific anti-democratic actions when their
preferred political side can benefit. How, then, do citizens justify their
consistent “explicit support for democracy” with their more malleable
support for the implementation of liberal democracy? This paper uses cross-
national survey data from 74 countries and two methods—a standard cross-
sectional analysis and a within-country variation design—to show that a
citizen’s conceptualization of democracy, or what democracy means to them,
is subject to partisan-motivated reasoning. In other words, citizens are more
likely to conceptualize democracy in illiberal terms, like emphasizing the need
for obeying authority, when their preferred political party is in power. The
findings suggest one’s conception of democracy can be a fluid attitude that
citizens mold to match their partisan self-interest.
1
American University, Washington, DC, USA
Corresponding Author:
James D. Bryan, School of International Service, American University, 4400 Massachusetts Ave
NW, Washington, DC 20016-8007, USA.
Email: jb6508b@student.american.edu
2 Comparative Political Studies 0(0)
Keywords
support for democracy, conceptualization of democracy, democratic
backsliding, polarization, partisanship
Introduction
On the night of Donald Trump’s election in 2016, Viktor Orbán, the right-wing
illiberal leader of Hungary, released a message on Facebook saying: “de-
mocracy is still alive.” The irony is clear, as Orbán has slowly dismantled
democracy in Hungary, while Trump challenged longstanding norms in the
United States (Lührmann et al., 2020). The phenomenon of elected leaders
claiming to support democracy while simultaneously attacking the very
democratic institutions that brought them to power has characterized the
global “third wave of autocratization” (Lührmann & Lindberg, 2019).
Scholars have also observed a similar divide between explicitly claiming to
support democracy and support for individual tenets of liberal democracy in
public opinion surveys. The literature examining attitudes among the mass
public, however, has typically either analyzed changes to these two concepts
together or not investigated how and why they can change differently. From
the Orbán quote above, however, it appears that the illiberal leader has a
different definition of “democracy” than political scientists (see Coppedge
et al., 2011) or his partisan opponents. How, then, does partisan self-interest
differentially impact whether citizens explicitly claim to support democracy
versus their support for potential anti-democratic actions? Is this difference
explained by a partisan-motivated change in their understanding of what
democracy means?
The literature surrounding support for democracy is broad and robust.
Despite being a somewhat vague concept, the literature typically oper-
ationalizes support for democracy using survey questions that ask: whether
respondents believe democracy is appropriate and desirable; to compare
democracy to an undemocratic alternative; or to evaluate undemocratic ac-
tions or forms of government (Claassen, 2020, p. 122). Responses to these
questions have been shown to predict the prospects for democracy (Claassen,
2020; Inglehart & Welzel, 2005; Qi & Shin, 2011), impact individual voter
behavior (Booth & Seligson, 2009; Gunther et al., 2007), and other non-voting
forms of political participation (Bakule, 2021). These survey questions,
however, often measure different constructs and many citizens appear to hold
contradictory views (Ariely & Davidov, 2011; Schedler & Sarsfield, 2007).
Despite this finding and the knowledge that these attitudes are consequential,
the literature has not thoroughly investigated how certain events can have a
differential impact on citizens’ explicit support for democracy versus their
preference for specific actions that are antithetical to liberal democracy.
Bryan 3
In this article, I argue that citizens’ partisan self-interest can drive different
changes in their explicit support for democracy versus their support for
specific anti-democratic actions and offer an explanation for how citizens
justify these changes. Using two different methods to analyze data from the
sixth and seventh waves of the World Values Survey (WVS) and the fifth wave
of the European Values Study (EVS), I show that supporters of the regime in
power are more favorable toward specific actions that violate tenets of liberal
democracy, but do not profess less “explicit support for democracy.” To satisfy
their understanding that democracy has normative value while simultaneously
supporting specific anti-democratic actions, I theorize and show that partisans
in power are more likely to conceptualize democracy in illiberal terms—like
emphasizing the need for authority and deemphasizing the importance of civil
rights. In this sense, given the broad nature of democracy as a concept, the data
show that citizens are free to take an á la carte approach to constructing an
understanding of democracy that fits their partisan self-interest.
The results offer a better understanding of how citizens’ support for de-
mocracy can be responsive to the changing political context. Specifically, it
demonstrates how the social desirability behind the term “democracy”
(Inglehart, 2003) means that answers to survey questions that directly ask
about the desirability of democracy are less subject to partisan self-interest. On
the other hand, it is clear that some aspects of “support for democracy,”
notably those that deal with the power and rules of government, are subject to
change based on the appeal of partisan gain. Lastly, the data also shows the
meaning of democracy for individual citizens is also subject to partisan self-
interest—creating a clear narrative that citizens who support the regime can
claim to explicitly support democracy, while simultaneously supporting in-
dividual anti-democratic actions because those actions fit within their molded
understanding of what democracy means.
The structure of the article is as follows. It will begin by briefly reviewing the
existing literature that explains the various sub-components of support for de-
mocracy and what impacts them. Second, I will then present a theoretical ar-
gument that articulates how the three concepts are differently subject to partisan-
motivated reasoning. Third, the article will introduce the survey data, describe the
methods, and discuss the operationalization of the variables. Fourth, it will present
and discuss the results from the two studies. Finally, it will conclude with a
discussion of the limitations of the study and the implications of the findings.
however, does not necessarily mean that citizens won’t support specific
actions that erode aspects of liberal democracy. In fact, many citizens might
support democracy in the abstract but reject core principals of liberal de-
mocracy, which Schedler and Sarsfield (2007) refer to as “democrats with
adjectives.” Therefore, it’s best to separate one’s “explicit support for de-
mocracy,” which is operationalized by survey questions that directly ask about
democracy, versus a respondent’s support for specific anti-democratic actions
or potential alternatives to democratic governance. This latter concept is often
measured by questions that query respondents about support for aspects of
liberal democracy or specific autocratic alternatives to democracy, but im-
portantly do not use the word “democracy” in the question (Ariely & Davidov,
2011; Magalhães, 2014).
Despite the known differences in the two concepts, much of the literature
that analyzes the effect of partisanship on support for democracy typically
focus on specific anti-democratic actions. For example, numerous studies
show that for many Americans, partisanship can take precedence over a
commitment to democratic values (Albertus & Grossman, 2021; Berliner,
2022; Carey et al., 2020; Graham & Svolik, 2020). This matches similar
findings from Latin America (Carlin & Singer, 2011; Singer, 2018) and Africa
(Moehler, 2009) that show that approval of the current regime can lower
support for vertical and horizontal accountability measures. Additionally,
Fossati et al. (2022) and Sasmaz et al. (2022) find that citizens in Indonesia
and Turkey, respectively, were more likely to support anti-democratic actions
if it benefited their party, which matches Mazepus and Toshkov’s (2021)
finding that Europeans were more supportive of anti-democratic actions if
their party was in power.
The effects of partisan-motivated reasoning seen through a “winner-loser”
gap are also present in related concepts. Existing studies have shown that after
elections, citizens who supported the election winners were more trustful of
the country’s political institutions (see: Hooghe, 2018, pp. 625–828, for a
robust discussion) and were more satisfied with the way democracy was
functioning in their country (Blais et al., 2017; Loveless, 2021; Singh et al.,
2012)—although Farrer and Zingher (2019) found this latter finding to only be
true in Western Europe. These studies greatly expand our knowledge of how
partisan interest can impact citizen preferences toward democracy and
governance in their country.
The existing literature points to some existing findings that are necessary
for theoretical development. These findings will be tested in the data analysis
section. First, given the “almost universal lip-service” to democracy and the
broad understanding that democracy has normative value, I hypothesize that
“explicit support for democracy” will not be meaningfully altered by whether
a citizen supports the current governing regime.
Bryan 5
Hypothesis 1. Support for the current governing regime will not be as-
sociated with meaningful changes to a citizen’s “explicit support for
democracy.”
On the other hand, the above literature strongly suggests that citizens are
more supportive of specific anti-democratic actions if they perceive partisan
benefit from such policies. Assuming the governing regime stands to benefit
from democratic erosion, this leads to a clear second hypothesis:
Hypothesis 2. Support for the current governing regime will be associated
with greater citizen support for specific anti-democratic actions.
These hypotheses raise a question unanswered by the existing literature:
how do citizens justify their consistent “explicit support for democracy” with
their more malleable support for specific anti-democratic actions? In this
article, I offer a theory that explains how citizens can maintain “explicit
support for democracy,” while supporting specific anti-democratic actions that
can give their side a partisan advantage. I hypothesize that citizens will alter
their conceptualization of democracy to fit their partisan self-interest. In other
words, citizens that support the regime in power will be more likely to
conceptualize democracy in terms of the majority’s right to rule, executive
power, and the need for stability. Those in the opposition, however, will be
more likely to consider democracy in terms of civil liberties and the rights of
the opposition. This allows both sides to assert their support for democracy,
despite disagreeing on specific actions or policies that are antithetical to liberal
democracy.
When considering König et al.’s (2022, p. 9) categories for conceptions of
democracy, it’s clear how certain conceptions of democracy might be in a
political party’s partisan interest. For example, a liberal conception of de-
mocracy emphasizes a strong set of civil liberties and fair elections. For the
opposition, strong civil liberties, like an ability to organize, protest, and
petition the government, are key to their future political goals. On the other
hand, an authoritarian conception of democracy emphasizes unchecked power
for certain individuals (de Regt, 2013; Kirsch & Welzel, 2019). For those
supporting the regime in power, they may see partisan benefit from an un-
checked executive that is free to mettle in elections, harass the opposition, or
control the press. Therefore, if citizens have a strong understanding that
democracy has normative value, but are free to construct their own under-
standing of the broad concept, they are likely to understand democracy in a
way that is consistent with their own partisan interest. This leads to a third
hypothesis:
Hypothesis 3. Support for the current governing regime will be associated
with more illiberal citizen conceptualizations of democracy.
6 Comparative Political Studies 0(0)
data from the joint survey described above, but also the sixth wave of the
WVS, which was fielded from 2010 to 2014. By using two survey waves, I can
create within-country variation for the political coalitions supporting the
government in power. The two methods will use the same four dependent
variables and list of controls.
Dependent Variables
The operationalization of the dependent variables will be consistent across the
two methods. Generally speaking, the dependent variables have been oper-
ationalized in the literature using data from the WVS. There are a few in-
stances where I need to update the operationalization due to changes in the
question wording and a few instances where I believe I can make slight
innovations to better operationalize key concepts.
Explicit Support for Democracy. The first dependent variable, explicit support
for democracy, measures whether citizens express support for a democratic
political system and value living in a democracy when directly asked. Im-
portantly, these questions directly use the term “democracy,” which often
invokes “lip-service” support for a “motherhood” concept (Inglehart, 2003;
Mattes, 2018). This concept commonly appears in the literature and scholars
had coalesced around an index that combined two items from the WVS
questionnaire (Ariely & Davidov, 2011; Inglehart & Welzel, 2003; Jamal &
Nooruddin, 2010; Krieckhaus et al., 2014; Magalhães, 2014). The first item
asks respondents to rate whether it is very good, fairly good, fairly bad, or very
bad to have a democratic political system.
The second item used by these studies is a “Churchill” question that asked
respondents whether they agreed that “democracy may have problems, but it is
better than any other form of government.” This question was included in the
third and fourth waves of the WVS but was removed in later waves. Instead, I
opted to include a question that was added in the fifth, sixth, and seventh
waves that asks respondents to rate on a scale from 1 to 10 how important it is
for them to live in a country that is governed democratically. This question
similarly measures whether a respondent values democracy when explicitly
asked and has been used in prior studies as a part of indices to measure a
citizen’s broader “support for democracy” (Cho, 2014; Claassen, 2020;
Claassen & Magalhães, 2022; Ulbricht, 2018). To create the index, I inverted
the first question so higher values equate to stronger support for democracy,
scaled both questions to range from zero to three so they retain equal weight in
the index, and then summed the values of the two questions for each re-
spondent in the data. The exact question wordings for all survey items used to
construct dependent variables are located in Appendix A.
8 Comparative Political Studies 0(0)
of the two studies are located in Appendix C. The data are also weighted at the
respondent level to be nationally representative for age, sex, education, and
region for respective countries, meaning that all standard errors are obtained
using a robust sandwich estimator that accounts for unspecified hetero-
skedasticity (Dupraz, 2013).
Table 1. Multilevel Model Results for Effects on Citizen Attitudes Toward Democracy.
Variables Explicit Support Index Reject Anti-Dem Policies Index Deemphasize Order Conceptualization Index
Partisan in power 0.0913*** (0.0195) 0.138*** (0.0281) 0.0442*** (0.00797) 0.431*** (0.0696)
Age 0.00657*** (0.00114) 0.00776*** (0.00131) 0.00136*** (0.000202) 0.000315 (0.00166)
Male 0.0396*** (0.0153) 0.0338* (0.0174) 0.0198*** (0.00549) 0.0387 (0.0436)
Married 0.0348** (0.0155) 0.0332 (0.0200) 0.0162*** (0.00519) 0.0377 (0.0425)
Parent 0.0177 (0.0213) 0.0643** (0.0314) 0.00245 (0.00668) 0.0725* (0.0440)
Lower education 0.172*** (0.0232) 0.258*** (0.0283) 0.000353 (0.00659) 0.382*** (0.0635)
Higher education 0.235*** (0.0235) 0.312*** (0.0341) 0.0177*** (0.00635) 0.563*** (0.0645)
Employed 0.0102 (0.0156) 1.34 × 10 5 (0.0200) 0.0185*** (0.00549) 0.113*** (0.0383)
Unemployed 0.0539** (0.0241) 0.0432* (0.0227) 0.0158** (0.00719) 0.0384 (0.0627)
Constant 4.545*** (0.0665) 3.525*** (0.0970) 2.223*** (0.176)
Observations 118,944 114,693 123,695 114,569
Number of groups 74 74 74
Standard errors in parentheses.
*** p < .01, ** p < .05, * p < .1.
Notes: Positive coefficients represent a more pro-democracy response. Data is weighted to be representative of national populations. Respondents who did not
answer one of the questions necessary for a dependent variable, or their age, were dropped from the analysis. The different number of observations for each model
is a result of a differing number of non-responses for each question. Models 1, 2, and 4 are multilevel linear regressions. Model 3 represents the average marginal
effects of a multilevel logit regression. The Partisan in Power variables have random intercepts and slopes at the country level.
11
12 Comparative Political Studies 0(0)
analysis, which brought the total sample of countries to 72. To test if the effect
is stronger for more democratic, backsliding, or more polarized societies, I
have re-run the models but cut the sample of countries in half to only include
the 36 least democratic countries (Appendix Table D4), the 36 most dem-
ocratic countries (Appendix Table D5), the 36 countries with the greatest
decline in the strength of liberal democracy in the 5 years preceding the survey
(Appendix Table D6), the 36 countries with the greatest strengthening of
liberal democracy in the 5 years preceding the survey (Appendix Table D7),
the 36 most polarized countries (Appendix Table D8), and the 36 least po-
larized countries (Appendix Table D9).
The results presented in Appendix D suggest that the effects displayed in
Table 1 are most prominent in countries with weak democracies, in countries
experiencing greater democratic backsliding, and in countries that are po-
larized. In fact, the difference between the coefficients on the partisan in
power variable when measuring its effect on explicit support for democracy
versus rejection of autocratic alternatives is larger in weaker democracies
compared to stronger democracies, in more backsliding versus less back-
sliding countries, and in more polarized societies. Additionally, the coefficient
on the partisan in power variable is more negative when predicting the
conceptualization index—implying that partisans in power have a more il-
liberal understanding of democracy—for weaker democracies, countries
experiencing greater democratic backsliding, and more polarized societies.
It is also quite clear from Appendix D, however, that the effect still applies
for stronger democracies, countries with less democratic backsliding, and less
polarized societies. Even in these subsets of the data (Appendix Tables D5,
D7, and D9), the coefficients on the partisan in power variable are statistically
significant (at least at the 10% level) and in the same direction as those
displayed in Table 1. To test a “least likely” sample of countries, I even limited
the sample to the 10 countries6 that were in the top 20 strongest democracies
and the top 20 least polarized countries (Appendix Table D.10), many of
which were northern European democracies. In this subsample, the coeffi-
cients lose their statistical significance, but the coefficients remain in their
expected direct and are close to achieving statistical significance in the second
and third models. Taken together, the expanded results suggest that the
findings displayed in Table 1 are a common, albeit not completely universal,
pattern that emerges across the 74 countries in the sample.
There is one additional concern with the data analysis: the WVS has a high
rate of non-response, especially on more complex questions pertaining to
democracy. For example, of the possible 127,061 possible respondents,
12,061 did not respond to or were not asked7 at least one of the questions used
to create the conceptualization of democracy index that serves as the de-
pendent variable in model 4. While most studies drop these respondents,
which was done in Table 1, there are often concerns that those citizens who
Bryan 15
choose not to respond are not a random sample. By dropping those re-
spondents, the researcher can risk substantially biasing the sample (King et al.,
2001). To combat these concerns and perform an additional robustness check,
Table D.11 in the appendix displays models 1, 2, and 4, but with filling in the
missing values for questions required for the dependent variables and a re-
spondents age.8 I used multivariate normal regression to impute the values,
which uses an iterative Markov chain Monte Carlo method (Rubin, 1987). By
using a multiple imputation technique, the analysis explicitly accounts for
uncertainty associated with filling in missing data by yielding parameter
estimates that average over a number of plausible replacement values (Enders,
2010, p. 189). As can be seen, the significance on the partisan in power
variable is robust in all three models and the coefficients are largely
unchanged.
given a value of one on the dummy variable Rose to Power, while all other
respondents receive a zero. Of the remaining respondents, 10,628 supported
parties that were in power in the first wave but lost the election between survey
waves. These respondents are given a value of one on the dummy variable Fell
from Power. For example, in the United States, Republican partisans in the
2011 WVS survey and the 2017 WVS survey will receive the value of one for
Rose to Power because the party won the 2016 presidential election, while
Democrats will receive the value of one for Fell from Power.
To execute the within-case variation design, I also include the variable
Partisan In Power, which takes the value of one if the respondent was in a
party that fell from power and the survey was in the first wave for the re-
spective country, or if the respondent supported a party that rose to power and
the survey was in the second wave for the respective country. Following the
example from the United States, Republican partisans in the 2017 survey and
Democrats in the 2011 survey would be labeled as Partisan In Power.
Therefore, the variables Rose to Power and Fell from Power control for
ideological differences between the coalitions. Their coefficients are in
comparison to respondents who did not claim to support a party or claimed to a
support a party that was never in government, while Partisan In Power
captures the differential effect of the party being in control of government
irrespective of that party’s ideological disposition across the two survey
waves. The dependent variable for the four models, the list of controls, and the
use of a multilevel modeling with random country intercepts and slopes on the
key independent variable are the same as the first study.
The results are displayed in Table 2 and largely mirror those in Table 1. In
the first model, which measures effects on a respondent’s explicit support for
democracy, the Partisan In Power variable is insignificant and close to zero,
which is consistent with hypothesis 1 and suggests that changes of power do
not have drastic effects on citizen expressions of support for democracy when
directly asked. In the second, third, and fourth models, however, the coef-
ficient for Partisan In Power is negative, statistically significant, and similar in
magnitude to the first study, which provides more evidence for hypotheses 2
and 3. Specifically, when a political party is in power, the data in model 2
suggest that the party’s supporters become more comfortable with having a
strong leader who does not have to bother with parliament and having a larger
role for the military relative to their partisan opponents. Similarly, model 3
suggests they will become, on average, 5.2% more likely to prioritize
“maintaining order in the nation” over other alternatives.
When considering how partisans in power might justify their continued
explicit support for democracy with their growing comfort with specific anti-
democratic actions, the fourth model suggests that when citizens support a
party in power, their conceptualization of democracy begins to deemphasize
civil rights and emphasize obeying authority. The negative coefficient in
Bryan
Table 2. Difference-In-Difference Multilevel Model Results for Effects on Citizen Attitudes Toward Democracy.
Variables Explicit Support Index Reject Anti-Dem Policies Index Deemphasize Order Conceptualization Index
Partisan in power 0.00527 (0.0424) 0.0990** (0.0471) 0.0523*** (0.0139) 0.321*** (0.111)
Rose to power 0.189*** (0.0575) 0.0237 (0.0585) 0.0415* (0.0242) 0.0302 (0.144)
Fell from power 0.232** (0.107) 0.0534 (0.0682) 0.00547 (0.0184) 0.417* (0.238)
Age 0.0108*** (0.00282) 0.0100*** (0.00284) 0.00136*** (0.000285) 0.00367 (0.00410)
Male 0.0580 (0.0363) 0.0733 (0.0461) 0.0195* (0.0107) 0.0929 (0.0954)
Married 0.0726*** (0.0231) 0.0875** (0.0379) 0.0187** (0.00782) 0.0992** (0.0478)
Parent 0.0564 (0.0486) 0.113* (0.0610) 0.0287** (0.0112) 0.222** (0.109)
Lower education 0.186*** (0.0395) 0.199*** (0.0532) 0.0130 (0.0184) 0.312** (0.125)
Higher education 0.325*** (0.0603) 0.468*** (0.0807) 0.0126 (0.0131) 0.978*** (0.134)
Employed 0.0343 (0.0228) 0.0570* (0.0321) 0.00536 (0.00701) 0.120 (0.0808)
Unemployed 0.0761 (0.0867) 0.0875 (0.0962) 0.000976 (0.0153) 0.0806 (0.169)
Constant 4.253*** (0.193) 3.582*** (0.211) 2.080*** (0.301)
Observations 36,266 34,528 37,494 35,411
Number of groups 14 14 14
model 4 is slightly smaller in the second study but provides additional ev-
idence for hypothesis 3 while using intra-country variation for the party in
power. The beta coefficients and the robustness check that imputes missing
values are located in Appendix E.1 and E.3, respectively.
Like the first study, when examining the individual countries more closely,
there are some deviant cases and there is not a single homogenous story that
explains the results in Table 2, but rather some general trends that are common
and contribute to the findings. To examine the individual cases more closely,
Table E.2 in the appendix displays the average score on the conceptualization
index (the dependent variable in model 4) by country and coalition. Addi-
tionally, Figure 1 reflects the coefficients and the 95% confidence intervals for
the partisan in power variable that results when running model 4 for each of
the 14 cases.12 As is clear in Figure 1, there are two cases where the coalition
rising to power actually changes their conception of democracy to be more
liberal vis-à-vis the coalition falling from power—a trend that is contrary to
the overall findings and hypothesis 3. A brief examination of the two cases,
New Zealand and Argentina, does reveal some limitations of the design.
The first and largest deviant case is New Zealand. In the sixth wave of the
WVS in 2011, the New Zealand National Party was in control of government. In
2017, an odd Labor-led coalition, which included the further left Green party and
the nationalist New Zealand First party, ousted the long-serving center-right New
Zealand National Party. Of the respondents coded as rose to power in the two
waves of the survey, 76% said they support the Labor Party—compared to 7%
who said they would support New Zealand First and 17% who said they would
support the Greens. As can be seen in Appendixes E.1, those that rose to power in
New Zealand had a significantly more liberal understanding of democracy in the
second wave. So why would supporters of a coalition comprised primarily of a
center-left and a far-left party have a more liberal conceptualization of democracy
relative to their partisan opponents in 2020 than 2011 despite their potential
partisan interest in understanding democracy through a lens of authority?
My hypothesis is that the extremely salient trend of the rise of nationalist
right, especially in the English-speaking world, during this time caused the
center-left parties in New Zealand to rally to liberal democracy—despite their
immediate partisan interests. In fact, the leader of the Labor Party, Jacinda
Ardern, has criticized Donald Trump (Oppenheim, 2017) and sharply rejected
the global populist trend (Graham-McLay, 2020). Therefore, when it comes to
emphasizing civil rights as a critical component of democracy, their response
to international trends superseded their own partisan interest. This points to a
potential limitation of the within-case design: it assumes there are no time
trends (aside from the change of power) that could have a heterogenous impact
on the different coalitions.
In Argentina,13 the variable Rose to Power takes the value of one if a
respondent said they would support the Together for Change coalition, the
Radical Civic Union party, or the Republican Proposal Party. In 2013, during
the sixth wave of the WVS, the coalition was weak and only 85 respondents
out of a possible 1030 claimed to support one of the three parties. In the years
following, however, the general dissatisfaction with the ruling Peronist regime
united the opposition behind Mauricio Macri, the center-right mayor of
Buenos Aires, who offered a nonconfrontational campaign that emphasized an
anti-populist message focused on economic liberalization and social tolerance
(Romero & Gilbert, 2015; Schiumerini, 2019). Therefore, in 2017 during the
seventh wave of the WVS, the coalition led by Macri was no longer a minor
force in Argentine politics like it was in 2013. As a result, in the 2017 survey
wave, 306 out of the 1003 respondents claimed to support Together for
Change, Radical Civic Union, or Republican Proposal.
Therefore, it is clear that the coalition greatly expanded from 2013 to
2017—with a major concentration of that expansion taking place in the
wealthier urban sections of the country (Calvo, 2019). As a result, it’s possible
that rather than the coalition’s supporters gaining a more liberal conceptu-
alization of democracy vis-à-vis their fellow citizens, the coalition grew to
include some of the country’s most liberal citizens. This points out a second
limitation of the within-case variation design: when attributing the coefficients
to attitudinal change, it assumes that the coalitions are constant between the
20 Comparative Political Studies 0(0)
Discussion
The findings from the two studies tell a similar story. First, a citizen’s
preferred political party holding power does not reduce their support for
democracy when directly asked. If anything, the results from the first study
suggest that these citizens might be slightly more likely to express support
for democracy. On the other hand, models 2 and 3 in the 2 studies strongly
suggest that these same citizens will be more likely to support specific anti-
democratic actions or alternatives to democracy, like increasing the power of
the executive to bypass the legislature. These findings are largely consistent
with the existing literature but raise an unanswered question: how do people
justify their continued “lip service” to democracy with their increased
support for anti-democratic actions? The results from the fourth model in the
two studies suggest that these citizens are more likely to hold an illiberal
conceptualization of democracy. In other words, when democratic principles
stand in the way of potential partisan gain, citizens update their definition of
democracy to fit their partisan interests.
While the effects in the regression output regarding a citizen’s conception
of democracy are somewhat small, the operationalizations are blunt and meant
for a generalized cross-national study. It’s easy to see how these findings can
be applied to a more specific context. For example, Hungarian citizens who
support the current authoritarian-populist regime (Norris & Inglehart, 2019)
may believe that limiting the free press is crucial to Hungarian democracy.
Similarly, Republican partisans in the United States may view strict re-
strictions on voting access as a necessary component of protecting American
democracy. When considering this is the contextualized application of these
findings, it’s unsurprising that these subtle changes in understandings of
democracy might only marginally register on a question asking respondents to
rate the essentialness to democracy of “people obeying their rulers” or “civil
rights protect people from state oppression.” Future research on this subject
should examine how a citizen’s conceptualization of democracy is specifically
molded by politically salient issues in their home countries. Certainly, more
specific and contextualized survey data that can operationalize all of König
et al.’s (2022) categories for conceptions of democracy, or even interview-
based research, can help add significant details to the broad-based findings in
this article.
Additionally, I do not believe these findings are contradictory to Graham
and Svolik’s (2020) assertion that most citizens are able to identify clear anti-
democratic transgressions. Instead, the two findings, taken together, create a
clearer story that can help understand why many leaders attack democracy
behind a “democratic façade” (Lührmann & Lindberg, 2018). If most citizens
have normative commitments to democracy and can identify clear democratic
transgressions, but also if democracy is a “thick” concept that can be molded
22 Comparative Political Studies 0(0)
Acknowledgments
I would like to thank Carl LeVan, Agustina Giraudy, Austin Hart, Ian Reynolds,
Anastassiya Perevezentseva, Hatem Zayed, Ozan Cetin, and Grace Benson for their
consistent feedback and support in developing the project, as well as the editors and
three excellent peer reviewers for their time and attention. I would also like to thank
attendants at the Midwest Political Science Association Annual Conference and the
American University Tri-School Conference for their thoughtful comments and
feedback, especially David Barker, Katsunori Seki, Valentin Daur, and Seongjoon
Ahn.
Funding
The author received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publi-
cation of this article.
ORCID iD
James D. Bryan https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9018-4701
Supplemental Material
Supplemental material for this article is available online.
Notes
1. While I acknowledge that many of these indicators may be understood differently
across different contexts, my two methods are observing within-country differ-
ences, which helps to mitigate these concerns (Davis et al., 2021).
24 Comparative Political Studies 0(0)
2. While the question wording asks respondents to rate the characteristics on a scale
from 1 to 10, with higher values indicating a greater degree of essentialness for
democracy, the WVS will code the response as a zero if the respondent spon-
taneously insists that the characteristic is against democracy. I have retained these
responses as zeros, so a respondent’s rating for each characteristic ranges from zero
to ten.
3. I coded any political party that was the senior partner in a coalition, the junior
partner in a coalition, or a party that was not represented in government but was
supportive of the existing government as a “partisan in power.”
4. The WVS and EVS joint survey asked respondents: “If there were a national
election tomorrow, for which party on this list would you vote?” I coded the
dummy variable as a one if the respondent answered with a party currently in
power. This broadly follows Singh et al. (2012), who find that the most important
factor in determining “winner-loser” effects is whether the respondent voted for a
party that is currently in government. While other studies have used an ordinal
variable to code party support (Berglund et al., 2006; Dalton, 2016) that dif-
ferentiates a degree of “closeness” to a party, the WVS survey only asks a single
question related to party preference. This single question, however, offers sub-
stantial benefits, like asking the respondent their preference in the moment, rather
than a past preference.
5. The survey asked respondents to rate their satisfaction with their country’s political
system on a scale from 1 to 10. When using this question as the dependent variable
in model 1, partisans in power were substantially more likely to express satis-
faction with their country’s political system—confirming the findings in the
existing literature. Providing more evidence for this explanation, when including
government satisfaction as a control variable in model 1, the coefficient on the
partisan in power variable is substantially smaller. I would like to thank Valentin
Daur for offering this suggestion.
6. The 10 countries are Australia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Netherlands, New
Zealand, Norway, Portugal, Sweden, and Switzerland.
7. Some countries were surveyed by the EVS and WVS. In the case of the Neth-
erlands and Denmark, one of the waves omitted questions necessary for con-
ceptualization index—accounting for approximately 3500 missing responses.
These values are imputed in the robustness check.
8. I chose to limit the imputations to survey questions that had ordinal, rather than
binary responses. Missing values for gender, marital status, parental status, ed-
ucation, and employment are coded as zeros. There were very few missing values
for demographic indicators. To impute values, I also used a respondent’s interest in
politics and the size of the city they live. I excluded these variables in the main
models because the former confounds the dependent variables and the latter was
missing in three countries in the survey. When including these control variables,
the findings from the two studies are largely unchanged.
Bryan 25
9. To conduct analysis, I used the EVS and WVS joint trend file (EVS, 2022;
Haerpfer et al., 2022).
10. The only exception is Slovakia, which was surveyed by the WVS and EVS in the
joint survey, but there was a change of power between survey waves.
11. Some cases that fit the main criterion had to be dropped because the electoral
coalition shifted so severely between the sixth and seventh waves of the survey that it
was not a relevant comparison. In Ukraine, for example, there was a change of power
between the sixth wave of the WVS in 2011 and the seventh wave in 2020. The
issue, however, is that the political party that took power in 2019, Servant of the
People, did not exist in 2011 and did not have a clear ideological predecessor.
12. These were standard weighted linear regression models. A multilevel model was
not required because each model only consisted of a single country.
13. I would like to thank Professor Agustina Giraudy for assisting with analyzing this
case.
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Author Biography
James D. Bryan is a PhD candidate at the American University School of
International Service. James primarily focuses on comparative public opinion,
protests, democratization, and quantitative methods.