Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Unit 1
Introduction to Managerial Economics
Incremental Principle
Equi-marginal Principle
Opportunity Cost Principle
Time Perspective
Principle
Discounting Principle
Incremental Principle
1 Introduction
2. Meaning of Demand
3. Demand function
a) Extension of demand
b) Contraction of the demand
a) Increase in demand
b) Decrease in demand
7. Conclusions
Changes in DEMAND
1. Introduction to demand
1. Introduction to demand
2. Meaning and definition of Demand
2. Meaning and definition of Demand
a) Extension of demand
b) Contraction of demand
a) Extension of demand
Price Quantity
Price Quantity
12,000 15 unit
Price of
good E1
P-12,000
8,000 20 unit
P-8,000
E2
Q -15 Q -20 E1 to E2
Quantity demanded
1. Due to changes in Price of the commodity ( Other factors remaining the same)
a) Extension of demand and
b) Contraction of demand
Price Quantity
12,000 15 unit
15,000 10 unit
Contraction of demand
E2 Price Quantity
P-15,000
E1
P-12,000 12,000 15 unit
Q -10 Q -15
Quantity demanded
Price of
good
Q -15
Quantity demanded
a) Increase in demand
Price of
good E1
E2
P-12,000
Q -15 Q -20
Quantity demanded
b) Decrease in demand
2. Due to changes in other than Price – Shift in demand
( Price of the commodity remaining the same )
Price of
good
Q -15
Quantity demanded
a) Increase in demand
Price of
good E2 E1
P-12,000
Q -10 Q -15
Quantity demanded
7. Conclusions
DEMAND FORECASTING
Meaning & Definition of
Demand
Forecasting
Demand forecasting is a systematic process
that involves anticipating the demand for
the product and services of an
organization in future under a set of
uncontrollable and competitive forces.
Example:
Milk is a commodity which can be used as an
intermediary good for the production of ice cream,
and other dairy products.
2) Sales Force Opinion
Method
-In this method , instead of consumers, the opinion of the
opinion of salesman is sought.
-It is also referred as the “grass root approach” as it is a
bottom- up method that requires each sales person in the
company to make an individual forecast for his or her
particular sales territory.
- The composite of all forecasts then constitutes the sales
forecast for the organisation.
-The main advantage is that the collecting data from its own
employees is easier for a firm than to do it from external
parties.
-The main disadvantage is that the sales force may give
biased views as the projected demand affects their future job
prospects.
3) Delphi
Technique
This method is also known as expert opinion method.
In this method seeks the opinion of groups of Expert through
mail about the expected level of Demand.
The identity of expert is kept secret.
These opinion exchanged among the various experts and
their reactions are sought and analyzed.
The process goes on until some sort of unanimity is arrived at
among all the experts.
The trend can be estimated by using any one of the following methods:
a) Graphical Method
b) Least Square Method
c) Time Series Data
d) Moving Average Method
e) Exponential Smoothing
1) Trend Projection
Method
a) Graphical Method:
A trend line can be fitted through a series graphically. The
direction of curve shows the trend.
The main drawback of this method is that it may show the trend but not
measure it.
e) Exponential Smoothing:
It uses a weighted average of past data as the basis for a
forecast.
The procedure gives heaviest weight to more recent
information and smaller weights to observations in the more
distant past.
The reason for this is that the future is more dependent on
the
recent past than on the distant past.
2) Barometric
Method
In barometric method, demand is predicted on the basis of past
events or key variables occurring in the present.
This method is also used to predict various economic indicators,
such as saving, investment, and income.
This method was introduced by Harvard Economic Service in 1920
and further revised by National Bureau of Economic Research
(NBER) in 1930s.
This technique helps in determining the general trend of business
activities.
For example, suppose government allots land to the XYZ society
for constructing buildings. This indicates that there would be high
demand for cement, bricks, and steel.
The main advantage of this method is that it is applicable even in
the absence of past data.
3) Regression
Method
E.g. The age of the air condition machine and the annual repair
expenses.
1) Production Planning:
Expansion of output of the firm should be abased on the
estimates of likely demand, otherwise there may be
overproduction and consequent losses may have to be
faced.
2) Sales Forecasting:
Sales forecasting is based on the demand forecasting.
Promotional efforts of the firm should be based on the
sales forcasting
Importance of Demand
Forecasting
3) Control of Business:
For controlling the business, it is essential to have a well
conceived budgeting of costs and profits that is based on
the forecast of annual demand.
4) Inventory Control:
A satisfactory control of business inventories, raw
materials, intermediate goods, finished product, etc.
requires satisfactory estimates of the future
requirements which can be traced through demand
forecasting.
Importance of Demand
Forecasting
For Example: You desire to have a Car, but you do not have enough
money to buy it. Then, this desire will remain just a wishful thinking, it will
not be called demand.
The desire become demand only when you are ready to spend money to
buy Car.
Concept of
Demand
a) Desire,
b) Means to purchase, and
c) On willingness to use those means for that purchase
Demand & Quantity
Demanded
1) Price of the Commodity: The law of demand states that other things
being constant the demand of the commodity is inversly related to its
price. It implies that rise in price of commodity brings about a fall in its
purchase and vice versa.
Determinants of
Demand /
2) Price of Related Goods:Factors
Demand for a commodity is also influenced by
change in price of related goods. These are of two types:
Affecting
a)Substitute Goods:Demand
These are he goods which can be substituted for
each other, such as tea and coffee, or ball pen and ink pen.
In case of such goods, increase in the price of one causes increase in the
demand for the other and decrease in the price of one causes decrease
in the demand for the other.
b) Complementary Goods: Complementary goods are those which
complete the demand for each other, and therefore, demanded together.
Bell bottom
To Pencil
cut
6) Population Size: Demand increases with the increase in population and
decreases with decrease in population.
Composition of population (male, female ratio) also affects the demand.
E.g. Female population increases, demand for goods meant for women
will go up.
The Law of Demand States that, other things being constant (Ceteris
Peribus), the demand for a good extends with a decrease in price and
contracts with an increase in price.
The term other thing being constant implies that income of the consumer,
his taste and preferences and price of other related goods remains
constant.
Assumptions Law of
Demand
•
1) Law of Diminishing Marginal Utility:
With a fall in price, real income increases. Accordingly, demand for the
commodity expands.
3) Substitution Effect:
When price of a commodity falls, it attracts new buyers who now can
afford to buy it.
5) Different Uses:
Many goods have alternative uses. Milk, for example, is used for making
curd, cheese and butter. If price of milk reduces its uses will expand.
Accordingly, demand for milk expands.
Exception to the Law of
Demand
In certain cases, the demand curve slopes up from left to right, i.e., it has
a positive slope.
For Example, Suppose the minimum monthly consumption of food grains by a poor
household is 20 Kg Bajra (Inferior good) and 10 Kg Rice (superior good). The
selling price of Bajra is Rs 5 per kg, and the rice is Rs 10 per kg, and the
household spends its total income of Rs 200 on the purchase of these items.
Suppose, the price of Bajra rose to Rs 6 per kg then the household will be forced
to reduce the consumption of rice by 5 Kg and increase the quantity of Bajra to 25
Kg in order to meet the minimum monthly requirement of food grains of 30 kg.
Exception to the Law of
Demand
The supply curve is showing a straight line and an upward slope. This implies that
the supply of a product increases with increase in the price of a product.
Market Supply schedule &
Market
Refers to a supply schedule that represents the different quantities of a product
Supply
that all the suppliers in the market are Curve
willing to supply at different prices.
Market supply curve also represents the direct relationship between the quantity
supplied and price of a product.
Supply Function or Determinants
of Supply
Supply function studies the functional relationship between supply of a
commodity and its various determinants.
Where,
Sx = Supply of a Commodity
PX = Price of the Commodity
PR = Price of the Related Goods
NF = Number of Firms
G = Goal of the Firm
PF = Price of factors of Production
T = Technology
EX = Expected Future Price
GP = Government Policy
Price of the
Commodity
There is a direct relationship between price of a
commodity and its quantity supplied. When price
increases, supply also increases because it motivate
the firm to supply more in order to get more profit.
When price decreases, smaller quantity will be
supplied as profit decreases.
Price of Related
Goods
Producers always have the tendency of shifting from the
production of one commodity to another commodity. If the
prices of another commodity increases, especially substitute
goods, producers will find it more profitable to produce that
commodity by reducing the production of the existing
commodity.
For Example: Suppose the seller of tea notice that the price of
coffee increases . They may reduce the amount of resources
devoted to the selling of tea in favour of coffee.
Number of
Firms
Market supply of a commodity depends upon
number of firms in the market.
Solution:
ES = Percentage Change in quantity supplied
Percentage change in Price
= 200 x 10
5 400
ES = 1
2. Geometric
Method
This method studies five different situations of
`elasticity of supply as under:
(i) Es = 1, unitary elasticity: when a straight line upward
sloping supply curve starts from the point of origin. in this case
percentage change in quantity supplied is equal to the percentage
change in price
(ii) Es >1 , or Greater unitary
Elasticity:
When a straight line upward sloping supply curve starts
from the percentage change in price . than Y-axis. In this
case , percentage change in quantity supplied is greater than
percentage change in price.
(iii)Es<1, or Less that Unitary Elasticity:
When a straight line upward sloping curve starts form the X-axis. In
this case , percentage change in quantity supplied is less than
percentage change in price.
(iv) Es = 0 , or Perfectly Inelastic
Supply:
It refers to a situation in which there is no change in supply
remains unchanged it is a situation in which price has no
influence on supply. In this case, supply curve is a vertical
straight line as given fig.
(V) Es = or perfectly elastic
supply :
It refers to a situation in which supply is infinite corresponding to
a particular price of the commodity . Accordingly, a slightest fall
in price causes an infinite change in supply , reducing it to zero .
In this case , supply curve is a horizontal straight line .
Factors Affecting Elasticity of
Supply
1) Nature of the Inputs Used: If factors of production are
those which are commonly used (and therefore easily
available), supply of the commodity will be elastic. On the
other hand, if specialised factors are used (which are not
easily available), supply will be less elastic.
Actual cost are those, which are actually incurred by the payment
of labour, material, plant building, machinery, etc. The total money
expenses, recorded in the books of accounts are, the actual cost.
TYPESOF COST
A sunk cost is a cost that an entity has incurred, and which it can no
longer recover by any means. Sunk costs should not be considered
when making the decision to continue investing in an ongoing
project, since these costs cannot be recovered.
For Example : A company spends $20,000 to train its sales staff in
the use of new tablet computers, which they will use to take
customer orders. The computers prove to be unreliable, and the
sales manager wants to discontinue their use. The training is a sunk
cost, and so should not be considered in any decision regarding the
computers.
TYPESOF COST
4) Explicit Cost And Implicit Cost:
Explicit costs are those payments that must be made to the factors
hired from outside the control of the firm. They are mandatory
payments made by the entrepreneur for purchasing or hiring the
services of various productive factors which do not belongs to him.
Such payment as rent, wages, interest, etc.
Implicit costs refers to the payment made to the self owned
resources used in production. They are the earnings of owner’s
resources employed in their best alternatives.
TYPESOF COST
C = Cost
O = Level of Output
S = Size of Plant
T = Time under Consideration
P = Price of the factor of production
DETERMINANTS OFCOSTFUNCTION
DETERMINANTS OFCOSTFUNCTION
1. Level of Output:
There is positive relationship between total output and total cost. As the
output increases the total cost also increases. The cost may rise or fall
by different rates in different periods of time.
2. Size of Plant:
Size of plant or scale of operation is inversely related to cost. As the
scale of operation increases the cost declines but only up to a certain
point.
DETERMINANTS OFCOSTFUNCTION
3. Price of Inputs:
The cost also depends on the price of factors of production. Any
increase in prices of input will also increase the cost.
4. Managerial Efficiency:
Managerial efficiency has direct bearing on cost function. With the
increase inefficiency the cost declines and productivity increases,
and economies the cost.
DETERMINANTS OFCOSTFUNCTION
5. State of Technology:
State of technology also influences the cost. Better the technology
better is the technological efficiency. How best we can produce
with the available technology determines the level of costs.
Short run is the period wherein only some of the factors are held
constant and some are variable. Therefore, the costs associated with
both fixed and variable inputs form part of the short period costs.
Short – Run Total Cost:
TC = TFC + TVC
The costs which are found in the short period:
1) Total Fixed Cost
2) Total Variable Cost
3) Total Cost
4) Average Cost :
a) Average Variable Cost b) Average Fixed Cost c) Average Total Cost
5) Marginal Cost
TOTALFIXEDCOST(TFC)
Total fixed cost is the sum of fixed cost which remains same
irrespective of the level of output.
This is the expenditure incurred by the firm on the fixed
factors of production.
For example, the money incurred on land, building,
machinery, etc. remains the same whatever is the amount
of output.
costs
(Q) (Rs.)
100 2000
200 2000
2000
TFC
300 2000
400 2000
500 2000 O Q
100 200 300 400 500
TFC Curve is a horizontal curve parallel to the X-axis which tells us
that total fixed cost remains the same at all levels of output.
TOTALVARIABLECOST(TVC)
0 0
1 50
2 90
3 120
4 150
5 190
6 270
TOTALVARIABLECOST(TVC)
In the short run cost diagram shows that total variable cost
varies directly with the volume of output.
TVC curve starts from the origin, upto a certain range it
remains concave from below and then it becomes convex.
If taken from a different angle we can say that initially the
variable cost rises but with diminished rate and later the
variable cost rises with increased rate.
This makes the TVS curve inversely S-shaped.
TOTAL COST(TC)
The output and total cost data for a firm is given below.
Work out the following costs: TFC,TVC,AFC,AVC,ATC & MC at
various level of output.
Units of 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Output
Total 120 180 200 210 225 260 330
Cost
SOLUTION
Remember:
(i) At zero output, TC=TFC. Therefore, TFC = Rs. 120
(ii) MC is the additional cost of producing an additional unit of output. So, MC of 1
unit of output equals 60 (180-120).
3 210 120 90 40 30 70 10
2 40
3 45
4 55
5 75
6 120
7 210
SOLUTION
1 60 30 90 60 30 90 90
2 60 40 100 30 20 50 10
3 60 45 105 20 15 35 5
5 60 75 135 12 15 27 20
6 60 120 180 10 20 30 45
1 - 30 - - - -
2 - - 100 - - -
3 - - - - - 5
4 - - - - 28.75 -
5 - - - 15 - -
6 - - - - - 45
SOLUTION
i) Zero output row: At zero output TFC =TC= 30
ii) One unit output row: TFC + TVC = 60 +m 30 = 90m = TC
iii) Two units output row: TC – TFC = 100 – 60 = 40 = TVC
iv) Three units output row: TC of 2 Units=100.MC of 3rd unit = 5. so,TC of 3units = 110+5 =105
v) Four units output row: ATC X Q = 28.75 X 4 = 115 = TC
vi) Five units output row: AVC X Q = 15 X 5 = 75 = TVC
vii) Six units of output row: TCof 5units= 135, MC of 6th unit= 45, So, TC of 6units =135+45 =180
Units of TFC TVC TC AVC ATC MC
Output TFC + AVC
0 60 0 60 - - -
1 60 30 90 30 90 30
2 60 40 100 20 50 10
3 60 45 105 15 35 5
4 60 55 115 13.75 28.75 10
5 60 75 135 15 27 20
6 60 120 180 20 30 45
COSTOUTPUT RELATIONSHIP IN LONG-
RUN
LONGRUN COST
2) Planning Curve:
With the help of this curve a firm can plan as to which plant
it should use to produce different quantities, so that
production is obtained at the minimum cost.
LONGRUNAVERAGECOST
Advantages
Higher Employment Rates
Less Child Labor
Access to New Markets
Higher Levels of Investment Capital
Increased Life Expectancy
Disadvantages
Unrealistic Policy
Non-Cooperation of Countries
Economic Dependence
Political Slavery
Unbalanced Development
Dumping
Harmful Products
International Monopolies
Reduction in Welfare of Certain Groups
Harmful to Less Developed Countries:
Free trade is harmful for the less developed countries for the following
reasons:
i. Competition under free trade is unfair and unhealthy. The less
developed countries find it difficult to compete with the economically
advanced countries.
ii. Under free trade, gains of trade are unequally distributed depending
upon the level of development of different countries. The terms of
trade are favourable for the developed countries, and unfavourable for
the poor countries.
iv. Free trade policy adopted by the British government in India led to the
destruction of Indian cottage and small scale industries.
vi. Free trade may endanger economic and political independence of the
backward nations.
Oligopoly market
Definition of oligopoly
An oligopoly is an industry dominated by a few large firms. For example, an
industry with a five-firm concentration ratio of greater than 50% is considered
a monopoly.
he main features of oligopoly
•An industry which is dominated by a few firms.
•One possibility is the market for petrol. It is homogenous and consumers are price sensitive.
•If one petrol station increased the price there would be a shift to other petrol stations.
•However, if one petrol station cuts price, other firms may feel obliged to follow suit and also cut price –
therefore a price cut would be self-defeating for the first firm.
•In many oligopolies, firms may have a degree of brand differentiation. Mobile phone companies can
increase the price but consumers are willing to pay because the price is not the dominant factor. Some
petrol stations may increase price and not see elastic demand because they have the best location.
•Firms may not want to defend market share. Rather than getting pulled into a price war, some firms
may not respond to price cut but concentrate on non-price competition to retain an advantage.