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Intelligent Maintenance
13.1 Introduction
The logic of PdM depends on the fact that most failures do not occur instanta-
neously, but in fact, equipment goes through a measurable process of degradation
until they fail. Actually, there is a point in time where failure starts (not related to
age and perhaps not detectable by existing technologies); however, there is a point
P where humans can detect that failure has started and will take an interval till
functional failure happens. This interval is known as the P–F interval, and Christer
et al. [1] refer to it as delay time. Figure 13.1 illustrates the process of failure and
shows the P–F interval.
Although many failure modes are not age-related, most of them give some sort
of warning that they are in the process of occurring or about to occur. The fre-
quency of predictive maintenance tasks has nothing to do with the frequency of
failure and nothing to do with the criticality of the item. It is often possible to detect
the fact that the failure is occurring during the final stages of deterioration, it may be
possible to take action to prevent it from failing completely and/or to avoid the
consequences. In practice, there are many ways of determining whether failures are
in the process of occurring (e.g., hot spots showing deterioration of furnace
refractories or electrical insulation, vibrations indicating imminent bearing failure,
increasing level of contaminants in lubricating oil).
The P–F interval governs the frequency with which the predictive task must be
done. The checking interval must be significantly less than the P–F interval if we
wish to detect the potential failure before it becomes a functional failure. The P–F
interval can be measured in any units relating to exposure to stress (running time,
units of output, stop–start cycles, etc.), but it is most often measured in terms of
Point where It
has failed
C
o (Functional
n failure”)
d
i
t
i
o
n Time F
Fig. 13.1 P–F interval
274 13 Intelligent Maintenance
elapsed time. The amount of time needed to respond to any potential failures which
are discovered also influences condition-based task intervals.
The main idea behind PdM is to use the equipment or product degradation
information to minimize downtime by ensuring that maintenance is taken at the
right time, when it is needed and thereby avoiding under- and overmaintaining.
Many techniques have been developed to help in features extraction, predicting
failure or departure from acceptable performance. The techniques include signal
processing technologies, neural networks, fuzzy logic, and decision trees.
The following factors are essential for a successful implementation of PdM. The
factors are the main ingredient for the three phases of PdM mentioned in Sect. 13.2
above.
• Surveillance and monitoring:
– Determine systems to be monitored based on knowledge of failures and their
impact.
– Determine data to be collected.
– Determine expected frequency of data collection.
– Develop systems for data acquisition.
– Determine how to handle failures in the sensors and data acquisition system.
– Determine how to handle imperfections in the received data, for example, a
faulty sensor sending incorrect data.
– Determine how to handle backup for the collected data.
– Determine who should have access to the collected data.
• Diagnosis and prediction:
– Determine models and techniques that represent assets/system behavior.
– Determine acceptable behavior, anomaly, and failure.
– Determine statistical and mathematical models that estimate and predict time
and consequences of failure.
– Determine optimal response (maintenance action) in case of any anomaly
detection.
– Determine how to address situations where there are multiple imminent
failures that may occur.
• Correct and prevent:
– Build the infrastructure needed for PdM,
– Train maintenance staff in the requirements of PdM,
– Conduct change management process required for PdM,
13.2 Predictive Maintenance 275
Intelligent prognostics is defined by Lee et al. [6] as a systematic approach that can
continuously track health degradation and extrapolate temporal behavior of health
indicators to predict risks of unacceptable behavior over time as well as pinpoint
exactly which components of machines are likely to fail. Intelligent prognostics
coupled with information flow in which maintenance actions are synchronized with
the operation of the system as well as the maintenance resources has enabled
maintenance experts to move from PdM to e-maintenance. The synchronization of
maintenance actions and information flow infrastructure enhances visibility and
enables autonomous triggering of services and ordering of parts. Such an integrated
system with a high visibility is expected to result in near 100 % availability.
The key elements of e-maintenance are the following:
• Micro-electromechanical and wireless sensors,
• Web-based and semantic maintenance technologies and tools,
• Mobile devices,
• Asset self-identification technologies, such as RFID, and
• Computing facilities equipped with statistical and mathematical models for data
processing and analysis.
e-maintenance employs the above technologies, know-how, and software to integrate
maintenance stakeholders, tools, processes, and data. This integration makes
equipment conditions and decisions to be made visible to maintain technical staff that
is enabled to take cost-effective maintenance actions when needed and at the right
time. The elements of e-maintenance mentioned above provide services such as
maintenance documentation, predictive health monitoring and maintenance planning
services, performance assessment integration, as well as training and knowledge
management at the machine level under dynamic conditions. Their range includes
services to deliver anywhere, any time, and to anyone authorized to have access.
The challenges are related in a sense to the requirements; however, in this part, the
major challenges are listed. The major challenges are related to people and pro-
cesses and include the following:
• Human resource restructuring, and training [9]. Each maintenance actor (tech-
nician, engineer, or leader) has to become capable of pacing with the speed of
information flow and understanding the overall e-maintenance structure.
13.4 Implementation of e-maintenance 277
The details of several successful case studies for e-maintenance and intelligent
maintenance decision-making tools have been reported in Lee et al. [6]. The cases
are briefly highlighted below and they include the following:
Using vibration wave form coupled with wavelet filter designed to denoise the raw
signal has increased the probability of detecting degradation. This enhanced the
prediction of bearing actual life.
these signals, it is possible to use logistic regression to classify the 200 measured
signals as normal or faulty. The data cannot be successfully classified using sta-
tistical pattern recognition.
13.6 Summary
Exercises
1. What is e-maintenance?
2. Define the term intelligent prognostics.
3. What factors led to the development of e-maintenance?
4. How does ICT support e-maintenance?
5. List the steps for implementing PdM.
6. What is the P–F interval and how does it relate to the concept of delay time
introduced by Christer?
7. What are the requirements to initiate an e-maintenance program?
8. What are the challenges for implementing e-maintenance?
9. Review reference number 6 in the list above and extract the main elements of e-
maintenance and compare it to the one listed in Sect. 13.3.
10. Select an organization/plant in your area and assess if it is ready to initiate e-
maintenance.
References
1. Christer AH, Walker WM (1984) Delay time models for industrial inspection maintenance
problem. J Oper Res Soc 35(5):401–406
2. Djurdjanovic D, Lee J, Ni J (2003) Watchdog agent: an infotronics-based prognostics
approach for product performance degradation assessment and prediction, special issue on
intelligent maintenance systems. Eng Inf J 17(3–4):107–189 (formerly AI in Engineering)
3. Hamel W (2000) E-maintenance robotics in hazardous environments. In: Proceedings of the
2000 IEEE/RSJ international conference on intelligent robots and systems, Takamatsu, Japan
4. Holmberg K, Helle A, Halme J (2005) Prognostics for industrial machinery availability. In:
POHTO 2005 international seminar on maintenance, condition monitoring and diagnostics,
Oulu, Finland
280 13 Intelligent Maintenance