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SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.97285
R Square 0.946436
Adjusted R 0.944708
Standard E 0.046258
Observatio 33

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 1.172088 1.172088 547.7496 2.894E-21
Residual 31 0.066335 0.00214
Total 32 1.238422

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 0.649633 0.06636 9.789562 5.313E-11 0.514291 0.784974 0.514291 0.784974
X Variable 0.44673 0.019088 23.40405 2.894E-21 0.4078 0.485659 0.4078 0.485659

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

ObservationPredicted Y Residuals
1 2.055491 0.083509
2 2.061298 0.064702
3 2.077827 0.075173
4 2.067106 0.085894
5 2.120267 0.033733
6 2.240437 0.041563
7 2.442359 0.013641
8 2.545553 0.053447
9 2.507581 0.001419
10 2.336484 0.008516
11 2.093463 -0.034463
12 2.05281 -0.02581
13 1.957657 0.027343
14 2.017965 -0.061965
15 2.032708 -0.028708
16 2.032708 -0.031708
17 2.060405 -0.045405
18 2.140816 -0.008816
19 2.209612 -0.014612
20 2.445039 -0.008039
21 2.612563 0.010437
22 2.54868 -0.02568
23 2.366861 -0.122861
24 2.113119 0.039881
25 2.07202 -0.04702
26 2.006351 0.000649
27 2.053257 -0.035257
28 2.060852 -0.039852
29 2.051917 -0.047917
30 2.080508 0.012492
31 2.126968 0.012032
32 2.251158 0.018842
33 2.469162 -0.005162
Dependant independent
Period Cost(Y) Miles(X) r
1 2.139 3.147 3
2 2.126 3.16 pearson corelation co-e 0.97284955 2.9
3 2.153 3.197 2.8
2.7
4 2.153 3.173 SUMMARY OUTPUT
2.6
5 2.154 3.292

Cost(Y)
2.5
6 2.282 3.561 Regression Statistics 2.4
7 2.456 4.013 Multiple R 0.97284955 2.3
8 2.599 4.244 R Square 0.946436247 2.2
9 2.509 4.159 Adjusted R Square 0.944708384 2.1
10 2.345 3.776 Standard Error 0.046258228 2
3 3.2
11 2.059 3.232 Observations 33
12 2.027 3.141
13 1.985 2.928 ANOVA
14 1.956 3.063 df SS MS
15 2.004 3.096 Regression 1 1.17208752776 1.172088
16 2.001 3.096 Residual 31 0.06633453285 0.00214
17 2.015 3.158 Total 32 1.23842206061
18 2.132 3.338
19 2.195 3.492 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat
20 2.437 4.019 Intercept 0.649632773 0.06635973652 9.789562
21 2.623 4.394 Miles(X) 0.446729586 0.01908770366 23.40405
22 2.523 4.251
23 2.244 3.844
24 2.153 3.276 linear equation Cost(Y)=0.4467*Miles(X) + 0.6496
25 2.025 3.184
26 2.007 3.037
27 2.018 3.142
28 2.021 3.159
29 2.004 3.139
30 2.093 3.203
31 2.139 3.307
32 2.27 3.585
33 2.464 4.073
Cost vs Miles

3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 4.2 4.4 4.6


Miles(X)

F Significance F
547.7496 2.893812E-21

P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%


5.313E-11 0.5142911979 0.784974348 0.5142911979 0.7849743477
2.894E-21 0.4077999575 0.485659214 0.4077999575 0.4856592141
Dependant independent
Period Cost(Y) Miles(X) Y(hat) U(t)=Y-Y(hat) U(t)^2 x=X-mean(X)
1 2.139 3.147 2.055491 0.08350922079 0.00697379 -0.303878788
2 2.126 3.16 2.061298 0.06470173618 0.004186315 -0.290878788
3 2.153 3.197 2.077827 0.0751727415 0.005650941 -0.253878788
4 2.153 3.173 2.067106 0.08589425156 0.007377822 -0.277878788
5 2.154 3.292 2.120267 0.03373343085 0.001137944 -0.158878788
6 2.282 3.561 2.240437 0.04156317228 0.001727497 0.110121212
7 2.456 4.013 2.442359 0.01364139951 0.000186088 0.562121212
8 2.599 4.244 2.545553 0.0534468652 0.002856567 0.793121212
9 2.509 4.159 2.507581 0.00141887999 2.01322E-06 0.708121212
10 2.345 3.776 2.336484 0.00851631134 7.252756E-05 0.325121212
11 2.059 3.232 2.093463 -0.034462794 0.001187684 -0.218878788
12 2.027 3.141 2.05281 -0.0258104017 0.000666177 -0.309878788
13 1.985 2.928 1.957657 0.02734300008 0.00074764 -0.522878788
14 1.956 3.063 2.017965 -0.061965494 0.003839722 -0.387878788
15 2.004 3.096 2.032708 -0.0287075703 0.000824125 -0.354878788
16 2.001 3.096 2.032708 -0.0317075703 0.00100537 -0.354878788
17 2.015 3.158 2.060405 -0.0454048047 0.002061596 -0.292878788
18 2.132 3.338 2.140816 -0.0088161301 7.772415E-05 -0.112878788
19 2.195 3.492 2.209612 -0.0146124863 0.000213525 0.041121212
20 2.437 4.019 2.445039 -0.008038978 6.462517E-05 0.568121212
21 2.623 4.394 2.612563 0.01043742733 0.00010894 0.943121212
22 2.523 4.251 2.54868 -0.0256802419 0.000659475 0.800121212
23 2.244 3.844 2.366861 -0.1228613005 0.015094899 0.393121212
24 2.153 3.276 2.113119 0.03988110423 0.001590502 -0.174878788
25 2.025 3.184 2.07202 -0.0470197739 0.002210859 -0.266878788
26 2.007 3.037 2.006351 0.00064947523 4.218181E-07 -0.413878788
27 2.018 3.142 2.053257 -0.0352571313 0.001243065 -0.308878788
28 2.021 3.159 2.060852 -0.0398515342 0.001588145 -0.291878788
29 2.004 3.139 2.051917 -0.0479169425 0.002296033 -0.311878788
30 2.093 3.203 2.080508 0.01249236399 0.000156059 -0.247878788
31 2.139 3.307 2.126968 0.01203248707 0.000144781 -0.143878788
32 2.27 3.585 2.251158 0.01884166222 0.000355008 0.134121212
33 2.464 4.073 2.469162 -0.0051623756 2.665012E-05 0.622121212

0.00000

VAR(Y|X)
0.1

0.05

0
3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4

-0.05

-0.1
0
3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4

-0.05

-0.1

-0.15

VAR(Y|X)
y=0.6496
y=Y-mean(Y) x^2 y^2 xy Ʃxy Ʃx^2 Fitted Y
-0.052242424 0.092342318 0.002729271 0.01587536 2.62370696969697 5.8731435151515 2.055491
-0.065242424 0.084610469 0.004256574 0.01897764 2.061298
-0.038242424 0.064454439 0.001462483 0.00970894 α_hat 0.6496327727876 2.077827
-0.038242424 0.077216621 0.001462483 0.01062676 β_hat 0.4467295857709 2.067106
-0.037242424 0.025242469 0.001386998 0.00591703 slope(β) 0.4467295857709 2.120267
0.090757576 0.012126681 0.008236938 0.00999433 intercept(α) 0.6496327727876 2.240437
0.264757576 0.315980257 0.070096574 0.14882585 mean(X) 3.4508787878788 2.442359
0.407757576 0.629041257 0.166266241 0.32340118 mean(Y) 2.191242 2.545553
0.317757576 0.501435651 0.100969877 0.22501088 TSS 1.2384221 2.507581
0.153757576 0.105703803 0.023641392 0.04998985 RSS 0.06633453 2.336484
-0.132242424 0.047907924 0.017488059 0.02894506 ESS 1.1720875277571 2.093463
-0.164242424 0.096024863 0.026975574 0.05089524 R squared 0.9464362474159 2.05281
-0.206242424 0.273402227 0.042535938 0.10783979 Adjusted R^2 0.9447083844293 1.957657
-0.235242424 0.150449954 0.055338998 0.09124555 Diff(R^2-adj(R^2)) 0.0017278629866 2.017965
-0.187242424 0.125938954 0.035059725 0.06644836 Standard Error(slope) 0.0190877036626 2.032708
-0.190242424 0.125938954 0.03619218 0.067513 Standard Error(estimat 0.0462582278118 2.032708
-0.176242424 0.085777984 0.031061392 0.05161767 2.060405
-0.059242424 0.012741621 0.003509665 0.00668721 2.140816
0.003757576 0.001690954 1.411938E-05 0.00015452 2.209612
0.245757576 0.322761712 0.060396786 0.13962009 2.445039
0.431757576 0.889477621 0.186414604 0.40719973 2.612563
0.331757576 0.640193954 0.110063089 0.26544627 2.54868
0.052757576 0.154544287 0.002783362 0.02074012 2.366861
-0.038242424 0.03058259 0.001462483 0.00668779 2.113119
-0.166242424 0.071224287 0.027636544 0.04436658 2.07202
-0.184242424 0.171295651 0.033945271 0.07625403 2.006351
-0.173242424 0.095406106 0.030012938 0.05351091 2.053257
-0.170242424 0.085193227 0.028982483 0.04969015 2.060852
-0.187242424 0.097268378 0.035059725 0.05839694 2.051917
-0.098242424 0.061443893 0.009651574 0.02435221 2.080508
-0.052242424 0.020701106 0.002729271 0.00751658 2.126968
0.078757576 0.0179885 0.006202756 0.01056306 2.251158
0.272757576 0.387034803 0.074396695 0.16968827 2.469162

VAR(Y|X)

3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 4.2 4.4 4.6


3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 4.2 4.4 4.6

VAR(Y|X)
y=0.64963277278758 + 0.446729585770949*x
Fitted Y- mean(Y) (Fitted Y- mean(Y))^2
-0.135751645034 0.0184285091293472
-0.129944160419 0.0168854848269069
-0.113415165745 0.0128629998209933
-0.124136675804 0.0154099142795741
-0.070975855097 0.0050375720067335
0.0491944034755 0.0024200893333107
0.251116176244 0.0630593339713938
0.3543107105571 0.12553607961545
0.3163386957665 0.10007017043927
0.1452412644163 0.0210950248892333
-0.097779630243 0.0095608560904848
-0.138432022548 0.0191634248668114
-0.233585424318 0.0545621504535896
-0.173276930238 0.0300248945528532
-0.158534853908 0.0251332999036268
-0.158534853908 0.0251332999036268
-0.13083761959 0.0171184827000268
-0.050426294151 0.0025428111418453
0.0183700620573 0.0003374591799894
0.2537965537586 0.0644126906997411
0.4213201484227 0.17751066746693
0.3574378176575 0.127761793491727
0.1756188762487 0.0308419896948499
-0.078123528469 0.0061032857004805
-0.11922265036 0.0142140403588971
-0.184891899468 0.0341850144890599
-0.137985292963 0.0190399410739535
-0.130390890004 0.0170017841961441
-0.13932548172 0.0194115898564645
-0.11073478823 0.0122621933244527
-0.06427491131 0.0041312642239491
0.059915913534 0.0035899166946146
0.2779199513902 0.0772394993807478
e(t) A^2 Y(predicted) Miles(X)
0.083509 0.006974 2.055490779 3.147
0.064702 0.004186 2.061298264 3.16
0.075173 0.005651 2.077827258 3.197
0.085894 0.007378 2.067105748 3.173
0.033733 0.001138 2.120266569 3.292
0.041563 0.001727 2.240436828 3.561
0.013641 0.000186 2.4423586 4.013
0.053447 0.002857 2.545553135 4.244
0.001419 2.013E-06 2.50758112 4.159
0.008516 7.253E-05 2.336483689 3.776
-0.034463 0.001188 2.093462794 3.232
-0.02581 0.000666 2.052810402 3.141
0.027343 0.000748 1.957657 2.928
-0.061965 0.00384 2.017965494 3.063
-0.028708 0.000824 2.03270757 3.096
-0.031708 0.001005 2.03270757 3.096
-0.045405 0.002062 2.060404805 3.158
-0.008816 7.772E-05 2.14081613 3.338
-0.014612 0.000214 2.209612486 3.492
-0.008039 6.463E-05 2.445038978 4.019
0.010437 0.000109 2.612562573 4.394
-0.02568 0.000659 2.548680242 4.251
-0.122861 0.015095 2.3668613 3.844
0.039881 0.001591 2.113118896 3.276
-0.04702 0.002211 2.072019774 3.184
0.000649 4.218E-07 2.006350525 3.037
-0.035257 0.001243 2.053257131 3.142
-0.039852 0.001588 2.060851534 3.159
-0.047917 0.002296 2.051916943 3.139
0.012492 0.000156 2.080507636 3.203
0.012032 0.000145 2.126967513 3.307
0.018842 0.000355 2.251158338 3.585
-0.005162 2.665E-05 2.469162376 4.073

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.091541
R Square 0.00838
Adjusted R-0.023608
Standard E 0.003098
Observatio 33

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 2.514291E-06 2.514E-06 0.261965 0.6124
Residual 31 0.000297532 9.598E-06
Total 32 0.000300046
CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 0.004268 0.004444282 0.96034 0.344315 -0.004796 0.013332 -0.004796 0.013332
X Variable -0.000654 0.001278353 -0.511825 0.6124 -0.003262 0.001953 -0.003262 0.001953

H(0) Homoscedacity
R^2*n 0.276529
DF 1
chi-square 3.84

Since chi-square(calculated) is less than chi-square(table) , we can't reject H(0).


NO evidence of heteroscedacity.
Upper 95.0%
PbEqv.jpg
e(t) e(t-1) e(t)-e(t-1) C^2 A^2
0.0835092207912447 - 0.0835092208 0.00697378995716085 0.00697379
0.0647017361762225 0.0835092208 -0.018807485 0.000353721477544294 0.004186315
0.0751727415026973 0.0647017362 0.0104710053 0.000109641952547062 0.005650941
0.0858942515612005 0.0751727415 0.0107215101 0.000114950777934585 0.007377822
0.0337334308544577 0.0858942516 -0.052160821 0.00272075121680097 0.001137944
0.0415631722820722 0.0337334309 0.0078297414 6.13048508233028E-05 0.001727497
0.0136413995136038 0.0415631723 -0.027921773 0.000779625394533984 0.000186088
0.0534468652005149 0.0136413995 0.0398054657 0.00158447509855186 0.002856567
0.00141887999104506 0.0534468652 -0.052027985 0.00270691124495681 2.01322E-06
0.00851631134131869 0.00141888 0.0070974314 5.0373531771847E-05 7.252756E-05
-0.0344627939992854 0.0085163113 -0.042979105 0.00184720349587875 0.001187684
-0.0258104016941294 -0.034462794 0.0086523923 7.48638926023231E-05 0.000666177
0.0273430000750829 -0.025810402 0.0531534018 0.00282528411963931 0.00074764
-0.0619654940039953 0.0273430001 -0.089308494 0.00797600711467276 0.003839722
-0.0287075703344368 -0.061965494 0.0332579237 0.00110608948681018 0.000824125
-0.0317075703344369 -0.02870757 -0.003 9.00000000000068E-06 0.00100537
-0.0454048046522355 -0.03170757 -0.013697234 0.000187614227956679 0.002061596
-0.0088161300910064 -0.045404805 0.0365886746 0.00133873110614754 7.772415E-05
-0.0146124862997321 -0.00881613 -0.005796356 3.35977452984337E-05 0.000213525
-0.0080389780010224 -0.014612486 0.0065735083 4.32110113532057E-05 6.462517E-05
0.010437427334872 -0.008038978 0.0184764053 0.000341377554136265 0.00010894
-0.0256802418998823 0.0104374273 -0.036117669 0.00130448603095111 0.000659475
-0.122861300491106 -0.025680242 -0.097181059 0.00944415814891079 0.015094899
0.0398811042267928 -0.1228613 0.1627424047 0.0264850902933643 0.001590502
-0.0470197738822802 0.0398811042 -0.086900878 0.00755176261612796 0.002210859
0.0006494752260493 -0.047019774 0.0476692491 0.00227235731055197 4.218181E-07
-0.0352571312799004 0.0006494752 -0.035906607 0.00128928439077311 0.001243065
-0.0398515342380064 -0.035257131 -0.004594403 2.1108538541453E-05 0.001588145
-0.0479169425225874 -0.039851534 -0.008065408 6.50508107969882E-05 0.002296033
0.0124923639880716 -0.047916943 0.0604093065 0.00364928431309875 0.000156059
0.0120324870678927 0.012492364 -0.000459877 2.11486781713233E-07 0.000144781
0.0188416622235694 0.0120324871 0.0068091752 4.63648663006847E-05 0.000355008
-0.0051623756326538 0.0188416622 -0.024004038 0.000576193833402996 2.665012E-05

SUM 0.0839438778967228 0.066334533

D(Durbin-watson test) 1.2654627129


Alpha 0.05
n 33
d(L) 1.38 noted from statistical table
d(U) 1.51 noted from statistical table

As per calculations, since D<d(L) , there is positive auto-corelation in the data given.

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