The document discusses how China's competitiveness is no longer based on low labor costs, as wages have risen significantly over the past decade and China has remained competitive through other factors like productivity, innovation, and supply chain development. It argues the common narrative that rising wages will undermine China needs to be retired, as China has adapted through a focus on process innovation, building capabilities in mature industries, and continuous productivity improvements. Predictions that China will face challenges from trends like an aging population are also likely wrong because innovation and productivity will remain key drivers of long-term success.
The document discusses how China's competitiveness is no longer based on low labor costs, as wages have risen significantly over the past decade and China has remained competitive through other factors like productivity, innovation, and supply chain development. It argues the common narrative that rising wages will undermine China needs to be retired, as China has adapted through a focus on process innovation, building capabilities in mature industries, and continuous productivity improvements. Predictions that China will face challenges from trends like an aging population are also likely wrong because innovation and productivity will remain key drivers of long-term success.
The document discusses how China's competitiveness is no longer based on low labor costs, as wages have risen significantly over the past decade and China has remained competitive through other factors like productivity, innovation, and supply chain development. It argues the common narrative that rising wages will undermine China needs to be retired, as China has adapted through a focus on process innovation, building capabilities in mature industries, and continuous productivity improvements. Predictions that China will face challenges from trends like an aging population are also likely wrong because innovation and productivity will remain key drivers of long-term success.
The key takeaway with this chart is that labour costs
China had already surpassed peers by the early 2010s and has continued to be a headwind since.
Its mfg competitiveness is driven by other factors incl.
scale and supply chain and where the focus should be.
And outside of mfg, I distinctly remember a
conversation with an outsourced software services executive in 2011 who told me his Chinese developers had already reached cost parity with regional counterparts once their salaries were burdened. The narrative that China’s competitiveness is based on low labor costs has been a myth for more than a decade now and needs to be retired. Yet you still see it as a dominant theme in discussions about China’s global competitiveness.
The corollary to this misguided narrative is (wishful
thinking?) that as China’s labor costs rise, it will become less competitive.
As labor costs have risen, it has actually become more
competitive. It is about productivity-adjusted labor cost, not absolute labor cost.
Similarly, predictions about China’s demographics,
decline in the working-age population and FX - and implications on the economy i.e. getting stuck in the “middle income trap” - are also likely going to be wrong for folks that misattribute the key success factors … … as the most important factors are things like innovation (especially process innovation) leading to productivity improvements that are less one-time in nature and thus more sustainable over the long run …
A current example of this focus on process innovation
is in its approach to building up its semicap supply chain - specifically focusing on mature nodes to build out process knowledge and capabilities, explained well here:
Achieving commercial success with mature nodes
means establishing a baseline set of operational processes and capabilities that can then be continuously iterated on to close the gap with leading edge advanced nodes
These pages were created and arranged by Rattibha
services (https://www.rattibha.com) The contents of these pages, including all images, videos, attachments and external links published (collectively referred to as "this publication"), were created at the request of a user (s) from Twitter. Rattibha provides an automated service, without human intervention, to copy the contents of tweets from Twitter and publish them in an article style, and create PDF pages that can be printed and shared, at the request of Twitter user (s). Please note that the views and all contents in this publication are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of Rattibha. Rattibha assumes no responsibility for any damage or breaches of any law resulting from the contents of this publication.