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Ares(2018)740938 - 08/02/2018
FLEXMETER 646568 D5.1 Business models H2020-LCE-2014-3
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FLEXMETER
H2020-LCE-2014-3
©Copyright 2015 POLITECNICO DI TORINO, IREN ENERGIA SPA, STMICROELECTRONICS SRL, TELECOM ITALIA,
RHEINISCH-WESTFAELISCHE TECHNISCHE HOCHSCHULE AACHEN, INSTITUT POLYTECHNIQUE DE GRENOBLE,
UNIVERSITATEA POLITEHNICA DIN BUCURESTI, SIVECO ROMANIA SA, ALMA MATER STUDIORUM – UNIVERSITA’
DI BOLOGNA, E-ON SVERIGE AB.
This document and the information contained herein may not be copied, used or disclosed in
whole or in part outside of the consortium except with prior written permission of the partners
listed above.
Document
Type Deliverable
Ref D5.1
Status Final
File D5.1_flexmeter_v3.0.doc
Author(s) Lorenzo Bottaccioli, Andrea Acquaviva (PoliTo) - Enrico Battisti, Paola de Vicensis (UniTo),
Federico Boni Castagentti, Enrico Pochettino (IREN) – Luca Barbierato, Pino
Castrogiovanni (TI) – Anamaria Dumitrescu (UPB) – Thomas Pehrsson (Eon)
Dissemination level PU
History of Changes
Contents
1. INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................................ 5
2. THEORETICAL BACKGROUND: REGULATORY FRAMEWORK AND MARKET
DATA 5
4. CONCLUSIONS ......................................................................................................................... 43
FLEXMETER 646568 D5.1 Business models H2020-LCE-2014-3
List of Figures
FIGURE 1 THE ITALIAN ELECTRICITY MARKET SOURCE: WWW.MERCATOELETTRICO.ORG................. 7
FIGURE 2: ROMANIA PUBLIC SPENDING ON ENERGY R&D 2008-2013 VS OVERALL GDP [DATA
EXTRACTED ON 24 APR 2017 16:42 UTC (GMT) FROM OECD.STAT] ..................................... 18
FIGURE 3: SURVEY – USERS AGE ....................................................................................................... 27
FIGURE 4: AVERAGE AMOUNT OF BI-MONTHLY ELECTRICITY BILL.................................................... 27
FIGURE 5: MOST CONSULTED INFORMATION IN ELECTRICITY BILL .................................................... 28
FIGURE 6: LEVEL OF INTEREST ABOUT HAVING INFORMATION ON THE BREAKDOWN OF ELECTRICITY
CONSUMPTION BY TYPE OF HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCE (5 = VERY INTERESTING AND 1 =
ABSOLUTELY USELESS) .............................................................................................................. 28
FIGURE 7: AVAILABILITY TO PAY FOR ENERGY CONSUMPTION ANALYSIS SERVICES ......................... 29
FIGURE 8: MAXIMUM AMOUNT OF EURO THAT THE CONSUMER WOULD BE WILLING ANNUALLY TO PAY
FOR ENERGY CONSUMPTION ANALYSIS SERVICES. ..................................................................... 29
FIGURE 9: DISCOUNT LEVEL FOR MONTH (PRE SPECIFIED TIMES) ...................................................... 30
FIGURE 10: DISCOUNT LEVEL FOR MONTH (SPECIAL OCCASION FOR DISTRIBUTOR NEEDS) ............... 30
FIGURE 11: LIMITATION OF USE, ON AN ONGOING BASIS, IN CERTAIN TIME SLOTS ............................ 31
FIGURE 12: SWITCHING ON/OFF AT THE REQUEST OF THE ELECTRICITY SUPPLIER WITH MINIMUM
NOTICE ....................................................................................................................................... 31
FIGURE 13: REVENUES AND OPERATING COSTS FROM 2018 TO 2026 (VALUES IN €).......................... 42
FIGURE 14: PROFITS/LOSSES FROM 2018 TO 2026 (VALUES IN €) ....................................................... 42
FIGURE 15: ROS FROM 2018 TO 2026 (% VALUES) ........................................................................... 43
List of Tables
TABLE 1: THE FIRST TWENTY SALES GROUPS IN THE FREE MARKET IN ITALY SOURCE: OWN
ELABORATION OF DATA ITALIAN REGULATORY AUTHORITY FOR ELECTRICITY GAS AND WATER
(2016) .......................................................................................................................................... 7
TABLE 2: COMPARISON OF EUROPEAN EXCHANGES FROM 2005 TO 2016, YEARLY SUMMARY -
AVERAGE PRICE (€/MWH) SOURCE: OWN ELABORATION OF DATA THOMSON REUTERS (2016) . 9
TABLE 3:DATASET: GROSS DOMESTIC EXPENDITURE ON R-D BY SECTOR OF PERFORMANCE AND
SOCIO-ECONOMIC OBJECTIVE IN NABS2007 ............................................................................. 17
TABLE 4: NUMBER OF SM INSTALLED IN ROMANIA, SOURCE ANRE ................................................ 20
TABLE 5: CR TARIF ........................................................................................................................... 21
TABLE 6: CI TARIF ............................................................................................................................ 21
TABLE 7: CD TARIF ........................................................................................................................... 22
TABLE 8: CR2 TARIFF ....................................................................................................................... 22
TABLE 9: CR3 TARIFF ....................................................................................................................... 23
TABLE 10: CTP TARIFF ..................................................................................................................... 23
TABLE 11: CS TARIFF ........................................................................................................................ 24
TABLE 12: STABIL TARIFF ............................................................................................................... 24
TABLE 13: MOBIL TARIFF ................................................................................................................ 25
TABLE 14: TIME TARIFF ................................................................................................................... 25
TABLE 15: ASSUMPTIONS .................................................................................................................. 36
TABLE 16: REVENUES ........................................................................................................................ 37
TABLE 17: INDIRECT CUSTOMERS ..................................................................................................... 37
TABLE 18: COSTS OF SERVICES .......................................................................................................... 39
TABLE 19: NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES AND COSTS ............................................................................... 39
TABLE 20: TOTAL COSTS FOR EACH YEAR ......................................................................................... 39
TABLE 21: BUSINESS PLAN ................................................................................................................ 41
FLEXMETER 646568 D5.1 Business models H2020-LCE-2014-3
1. INTRODUCTION
In order to address most of the objectives of WP 5 - “Business Models” regarding a preliminary but
comprehensive analysis of business models and addressable markets for FLEXMETER services, the
partners decided to aggregate the results of tasks T5.1, T5.2 and T5.3 in this deliverable, coupling
the objective of D5.1 “Report on business models for smart meters and retail market” and D5.2
“Report on energy aggregator impact and business model”. Information related to energy
aggregator business models are also reported in D5.2.
Taking into account the national constraints several Member States put on the deployment (and
detailed technical specifications) of electrical smart meters in DSO perimeters, in some way closing
the door to the installation of other solutions, FLEXMETER decided to put more emphasis on the
development of added-value services for multi-utility players in regulated markets (e.g. water and
electrical, taking into account also unbundling rules) and not regulated markets, at least in some
countries (e.g. District Heating in Italy).
These services, corresponding to FLEXMETER already identified use cases, will be based on
meters/sensors/data infrastructures already available at clients side or, if not available or needed
to perform innovative, breakthrough analysis, will be supported by the installation of dedicated,
post-fiscal smart meters tested during the projects.
In order to present in the best way possible the technical and economic assumptions and results of
the business model, we decided (as already presented and accepted by the officer during the last
review meeting) to imagine FLEXMETER will become a Company/startup offering their services on
the European Market.
Revenues and costs have been evaluated and all financial assumptions have been made considering
the Company based in Italy, that is under Italian fiscal laws: such a choice derives from the necessity
to close a Business Plan and the fact that the partners most involved in these WP and tasks are
Italian ones, that is expert on their country laws and rules.
• stimulating competition in the production and sale of electricity through the creation of
market platforms;
• promoting high degree of efficiency in the management of electricity dispatch through the
creation of a market for the purchase of the dispatching services.
The electricity market, commonly referred as “Italian Electricity Stock Exchange” (“Borsa Elettrica
Italiana”, actually Italian Power Exchange), allows manufacturers, consumers and wholesalers to
enter into timetables for the purchase and sale of electricity. Transactions take place on a telematic
platform where operators connect via the Internet, with secure access procedures, through digital
certificates, for the online trading of electricity purchase and sale contracts.
1
Main laws: D.lgs. 79/99 (Decreto Bersani), L. 239/04 (Legge Marzano), L. 125/07 (conversione del
D.L. 73/07).
FLEXMETER 646568 D5.1 Business models H2020-LCE-2014-3
The Energy Exchange consists of the Spot Electricity Market (MPE), of the Platform for physical
delivery of financial contracts concluded on IDEX (CDE) and of the Forward Electricity Market (MTE).
The Figure 1 summarizes the framework of the electricity market in Italy.
Figure 1 The Italian Electricity Market Source: www.mercatoelettrico.org
Table 1 highlights the first twenty sales group that operated in the free market in 2016.
Table 1: The first twenty sales groups in the free market in Italy Source: own elaboration of
data Italian Regulatory Authority for Electricity Gas and Water (2016)
Name Ammount in GWh Share
Enel 40.831 21,10%
Edison 11.793 6,10%
Eni 10.686 5,50%
Axpo Group 7.772 4,00%
Gala 6.655 3,40%
Hera 6.557 3,40%
E.On 6.222 3,20%
Metaenergia 6.197 3,20%
Sorgenia 5.962 3,10%
A2A 4.662 2,40%
Acea 4.459 2,30%
Iren 4.380 2,30%
C.V.A. 4.315 2,20%
Energetic Source 4.176 2,20%
Duferco 4.074 2,10%
Dolomiti Energia 3.739 1,90%
Repower 3.593 1,90%
SC Holding 3.222 1,70%
Egea 3.072 1,60%
Alperia 3.038 1,60%
Others 48.321 24,90%
Total in Free markets 193.725 100%
Following the liberalization process, the Authority for Electricity and Gas has also set up initiatives
and instruments to ensure a system of protection and safeguarding (the so-called “Maggior Tutela”
Service) for customers who have not yet chosen their own sellers. Furthermore, the Authority has
also provided the “Tutela Simile” Service that is a particular free-market offer of only electricity (no
additional services can be expected) with mandatory and homogeneous contractual terms.
The Italian Regulatory Authority for Electricity Gas and Water (AEEG) is the independent regulatory
th
body of the energy markets and the integrated water services. Law 14 November 1995, n.481
established it with the purpose to protect the interests of consumers, promote competition and
ensure efficient, cost-effective and profitable nationwide services with good quality level.
The Regulatory Authority for Electricity and Gas pursues two main objectives as laid down in Law
481/95: “guaranteeing the promotion of competition and efficiency” and “ensuring adequate
service quality standards” in the electricity and gas sectors.
“Gestore dei Servizi Energetici” (Energy Service Manager)
The Energy Services Manager (GSE), originally the Electrical Services Manager, was born in 2004. It
works to promote sustainable development through the technical-engineering qualification and the
verification of plants for renewable and high-efficiency cogeneration. It also recognizes the
incentives for electricity produced and placed on the network by such plants. It is the second
national energy intermediary operator: it retains and places on the electricity market the energy
produced by the incentive plants and certifies the source from renewable sources of power
supplied to the grid.
“Acquirente Unico” (Single Buyer)
Acquirente Unico (AU) is a public company totally owned by the Energy Services Manager. It was
born with the aim of guaranteeing the supply of electricity to customers in the protected market
(“Maggior Tutela” Market).
With the completion of the liberalization of retail electricity sales, AU continues to serve as a supply
for domestic customers and small businesses, who decide not to go to the free market and are
supplied under the Maggior Tutela Service, established by law. In particular, it has the task of
purchasing electricity based on demand forecasts and in line with the mission, it entrusts to the
most favourable conditions on the market and giving it to distributors for the needs of customers
belonging to the "greater protection" market who did not choose a new supplier in the free market.
“Gestore dei Mercati Energetici” (Energy Market Manager)
Gestore dei Mercati Energetici (GME), 100% owned by the GSE, is the company responsible for the
organization and management of the national market in accordance with criteria of transparency,
neutrality, objectivity and competition between the producers. It ensures the economic
management of an adequate availability of the power reserve.
GME is also entrusted with the organization of the "Green Certificates" bargaining venues and
Emission Units.
Terna S.p.A.
The Terna Group is the transmission system operator for electricity transmission in Italy. The
Company manages electricity transmission in Italy and guarantees its safety, quality and
affordability over time.
It pursues electricity grid development, ever-increasing operating efficiency and integration with
the European grid. It ensures equal access conditions for all grid users. It develops market activities
and new business opportunity with the experience and technical expertise it has acquired in
managing complex systems. It also creates value for shareholders thanks to continual commitment
to professional excellence, and a responsible approach to the community, fully respecting the
environment and the areas in which it operates.
efficiency by introducing competitive elements. The guiding principle of the market is that of the
merit order of the bid, i.e. the economic valorization of the most efficient plants. Selling offers are
ordered for a non-decreasing price, ranging from low to high price (from those without price, to
those with highest price). All eligible subjects may apply for admission to the market and sign the
contract of admission, under which they undertake to submit to the required information,
technology and economic obligations.
In Italy there are 261 Market Participants admitted to the electricity market (as of October 31,
2017).
Those who are admitted acquire the status of operators and are entered in a special list. To ensure
the functioning of GME, operators will pay a fixed and annual fixed fee for each MWh subject to a
purchase and sale transaction.
The IPEX (Italian Power Exchange) is virtual venue where wholesale electricity supply and demand
meet. GME is vested with the management of transactions on the Power Exchange under art. 5 of
Legislative Decree 79/99. The following table (number 3) summarizes the average price (€/mWh)
of the main Power Exchange in Europe.
Table 2: Comparison of European exchanges from 2005 to 2016, yearly summary - average price
(€/mWh) Source: own elaboration of data Thomson Reuters (2016)
Period IPEX EPEX Germany Nord Pool EPEX France
2005 58,59 45,97 29,33 46,67
2006 74,75 50,78 48,59 49,29
2007 70,99 37,99 27,93 40,88
2008 86,99 65,76 44,73 69,15
2009 63,72 38,85 35,02 43,01
2010 64,12 44,49 53,06 47,50
2011 72,23 51,12 47,05 48,89
2012 75,48 42,60 31,20 46,94
2013 62,99 37,78 38,35 43,24
2014 52,08 32,76 29,61 34,63
2015 52,31 31,63 20,96 38,48
2016 42,78 28,98 26,91 36,75
The electrical market (ME) is divided into:
• Spot Electricity Market (MPE)
o Day-Ahead Market (MGP)
o Intra-Day Market (MI)
o Ancillary Service Market (MSD)
• Forward Electricity Market (MTE)
• IDEX – Italia Derivate Energy Exchange (CDE)
In particular, the electrical market is subject to very strict technical constraints:
• given the impossibility of storing electricity, instantaneous and continuous balancing
between the amount of power input into the grid and those taken from the grid, taking
into account the losses in the lines;
• constancy (with little fluctuations) of frequency and voltage;
• power flows per single power supply. Parameter deviations would lead to crises in the
national energy system.
The electrical market must take into account the technological and physical characteristics of the
structure. In this respect, besides the usual financial products for the Stock Exchange, mechanisms
were created to respond to technical issues related, for example, to short-term bargaining to
ensure balancing action.
Critical factors are mainly three:
• the variability of demand;
• the absence of storage;
FLEXMETER 646568 D5.1 Business models H2020-LCE-2014-3
Bids/asks are accepted after the closure of the market sitting based on the economic merit-order
criterion and taking into account transmission capacity limits between zones. Therefore, the MGP
is an auction market and not a continuous-trading market.
All the supply offers and the demand bids pertaining both to pumping units and consuming units
belonging to foreign virtual zones that are accepted in the MGP are valued at the marginal clearing
price of the zone to which they belong. This price is determined, for each hour, by the intersection
of the demand and supply curves and is differentiated from zone to zone when transmission
capacity limits are saturated.
The accepted demand bids pertaining to consuming units belonging to Italian geographical zones
are valued at the “Prezzo Unico Nazionale” (PUN – national single price); this price is equal to the
average of the prices of geographical zones, weighted for the quantities purchased in these zones.
The Energy Service Manager acts as a central counterparty.
Intra-Day Market (MI)
The programs defined at the end of the Day-Ahead Market can be modified with the Intra-Day
Market (MI). With this market, operators can modify the programs defined on the Day-Ahead
Market by submitting additional sales / purchase deals for each time of the next day. It takes place
immediately after the Day-Ahead Market and all the operators can participate, in an optional
manner.
Bargaining takes place by means of offers to sell/purchase of energy, to change the input and
output and withdrawal schedules defined before. The sessions open on the day before the delivery
day and close either the day before or the same day, depending on the type of session. Compared
to the latter, however, bids are valued at the zonal balance price to avoid arbitrage risks.
Supply offers and demand bids are selected under the same criterion as the one described for the
MGP. Unlike in the MGP, accepted demand bids are valued at the zonal price. The Energy Service
Manager acts as a central counterparty.
Ancillary Services Market (MSD and MB)
This market handles deviations between actual inputs and withdrawals compared to programs
defined on the Day-Ahead Market and eventually modified by the Intra-Day Market. Only units
providing dispatching services may participate in the market, and its dispatching users may only
submit bids. The Ancillary Services Market (MSD and MB) is the venue where Terna procures the
resources that it requires for managing and monitoring the system relief of intra-zonal congestions,
creation of energy reserve, real-time balancing. In the MSD, Terna acts as a central counterparty
and accepted offers are remunerated at the price offered.
This Market is divided into MSD (Mercato Servizi Dispacciamento) and MB (Mercato Bilanciamento)
ancillary Services. Terna is the only counterparty of the operators while GME conducts the activity
of collecting bidders' offers and communicating outcomes.
In the MSD market, Terna accepts energy purchase and sale offers for resolving the residual
congestion and the establishment of an adequate reserve margin that is divided into three phases
while the presentation of bids is unique. It opens at 3.30 p.m. and closes at 5.00 p.m. on the day
before the delivery day. The results are announced the next day by 2.00 p.m.. On the Ancillary
Services Market, bids are accepted based on economic merit, consistent with the need to ensure
the proper functioning of the system. Accepted offers are valued at pay as bid.
The MB market is related to Terna's real-time purchase and sale offerings for balancing inputs and
withdrawals, by committing orders to production units. The different offers refer to groups of hours
on the same day that the session takes place. This market is currently divided into five sessions; in
the first phase, they consider the bids submitted by operators during the MSD Market. For the other
market sessions, the bidding sessions open at 11.00 p.m. on the day before the delivery day and
close one hour and a half before the first hour that can be negotiated in each session.
Forward Electricity Market (MTE)
FLEXMETER 646568 D5.1 Business models H2020-LCE-2014-3
The Forward Electricity Market (MTE) is the virtual venue where forward electricity contracts are
negotiated, with delivery and withdrawal obligations for future electricity supplies. Trading in the
Forward Electricity Market takes place on a continuous basis. Market participants are automatically
admitted to the market by participating in proposals that indicate the type and period of delivery
of the contracts, the number and the price at which they are willing to sell or buy.
The types of contract that can be submitted are two: Base load and Peak Load. These contracts
diversify for the relevant periods of delivery of electricity belonging to the delivery period.
In particular, the sessions will take place from Monday to Friday, from 09.00 a.m. to 5.30 p.m.,
except on the next-to-the-last day of open market of each month, when the closing time is
advanced at 2.00 p.m. for operational reasons. The sessions of the MTE will be held every day
except on all Saturdays; all Sundays; 1 January; Friday before Easter; Monday after Easter; 1 May;
15 August; 24 December; 25 December; 26 December; 31 December.
Italia Derivatives Energy Exchange (IDEX)
IDEX, launched in 2008, offers Baseload and Peakload Futures on both Italian and German power.
The unique features of electricity price dynamics define high price volatility. Power futures allow
operators within the industry to allay undesired risks by providing hedging tools in a safe trading
environment, encouraging better business planning and greater operational profitability.
The platform is the main venue for the registration of transactions corresponding to the derivative
financial contracts concluded on the IDEX for which the operator has applied for the option of
delivering on the electricity market. An operator may exercise the physical delivery option on the
electricity market below the financial contracts concluded on the IDEX, in accordance with the
terms and conditions defined. Physical delivery takes place through the registration of an energy-
purchase transaction that GME becomes a counterpart and is registered on an Energy Accounts
Platform (PCE).
In the Day-Ahead Market and the Intra-Day market- also defined as Energy Markets -
manufacturers, wholesalers and end customers, as well as Single Buyer (AU) and Energy Services
Manager (GSE), purchase and sell wholesale power bills for the next day. These markets, managed
by the Energy Markets Operator (GME), define equilibrium prices to which the negotiated energy
is valued. In Ancillary Services Market, Terna supplies the resources needed to manage and control
the system (infrasound congestion resolution, energy reserve creation, real-time balancing).
small-scale consumers. The aim was to make it financially viable for them to benefit
from the open electricity market.
A new Electricity Act (1997:857) came into force on 1 January 1998. The new act was effectively a
modernisation of the 1902 Electricity Act, in terms of its wording and content. No major changes
were made to the provisions introduced as part of the electricity market reform a few years
earlier. The big change, however, was the incorporation of the separate Electricity Trading Act
into the new Electricity Act. In late 1998, parliament implemented the "Directive of the European
Parliament and of the Council concerning common rules for the internal market in electricity"
(Internal Market in Electricity Directive).
In October 1999, parliament decided to abolish the requirement for hourly meters for small-scale
consumers, introducing profile-based settlement of consumption instead.
In profile-based settlement, consumption is distributed over the hours in the year according to a
consumption profile. This means that hourly values can be obtained even for consumers without
hourly meters. It now made financial sense even for low usage consumers to switch supplier. The
legislative changes came into force on 1 November 1999.
Another electricity market reform came into effect on 1 July 2009. From then on, all domestic
customers must be billed according to their actual monthly usage. The DSO reads the meter
automatically, and the readings are sent to the electricity supplier. The consumer's bill contains
information about the electricity used during the month and the price charged.
The latest reforms are:
• Proposal for a new metering code, as a result of the Energy Efficiency Directive, requiring
that all customers should be able to have 1 hour interval metering (and in the future
15min interval). Also requirements on a local customer interface for metering data
• A common Nordic balancing and settlement company, eSETT, handling all balance
settlements in the market
• Proposal for a new Supplier Centric Electricity Market, making the supplier the single
point of contact for the customer, in this context, introduction of a new market
information model will also be introduced, a “Electricity Market Data Hub”. The DSO will
be a pure “infrastructure provider” as part of the suppliers obligations to the customers,
and will have no customer contacts other than for operational purposes.
2.2.3. The energy trading markets
OMX/Nasdaq operates an exchange for long-term contracts (financial trading) for organisations
involved in the Nordic electricity market.
Nord Pool Spot AS is owned by the system operators in the Nordic countries, and it runs the spot
market – the exchange for hourly trading of electricity for the next day (physical trading).
From the point of view of the market players, the different parts of the power exchange work as a
single market place.
Spot market for hourly trading
At Nord Pool Spot, the market players buy and sell electricity on an hourly basis for the next day.
The countries involved are Sweden, Norway, Finland and Denmark. Estonia was established as a
bidding area on 1 April 2010. At present, most electricity is traded on the spot market. In 2009,
over 70% of consumption in the Nordic countries was traded at Nord Pool Spot.
Nord Pool Spot calculates the system price, which forms a reference price for the financial
contracts concluded in the financial markets, and also for bilateral agreements.
Adjustment market – when the spot market is closed
Nord Pool Spot has an adjustment market called Elbas, where the market players can carry out
intra-day trading, correcting any imbalances that arise after the spot market closes.
FLEXMETER 646568 D5.1 Business models H2020-LCE-2014-3
The adjustment market starts trading for the next day at 14:00 – two hours after the spot market
finishes for the day. In the adjustment market, electricity can be traded in Finland, Sweden,
Denmark and Norway up to one hour before delivery.
Futures market for longer-term trading
The financial futures market allows organisations to hedge the price of the electricity they buy, so
they can offer fixed-price agreements to their customers.
Standardised financial instruments (futures) are purchased for delivery in the future. The contract
is for a specified amount of electricity over a specified period for a specified price. Because the
contracts being traded do not involve physical delivery, this market place is also an attractive
proposition for other categories of market player, for example banks.
2.2.4. Smart meter roll-out
As a consequence of the market reform which came into effect on July 1, 2009, all DSO:s in Sweden
decided to invest in smart meters (even if it was not an explicit technology requirement). The
government decision came in 2003, so the DSO:s had a 6 years of preparation time. A contributing
factor was that the DSO:s were allowed by the regulator to increase the grid fees with approx.
5€/year, to partly compensate for the increased cost of investment and operation.
The roll-outs were successful, and since 2009 all 5,4 million electricity customers have smart meters
with basic functionality to register and collect monthy meter readings. Some DSO:s invested in
meters with additional capabilities and also made some web development to present consumption
(monthly/hourly) for private customers.
In 2012, the regulator decided that for customers have spot-price retail agreements, the DSO
should register and collect hourly meter data without additional costs for the customers. However,
the interest from the customers for this type of product was very low.
In 2015, the regulator presented the first proposals for the new metering code. The code will be
decided in 2018 and come into effect Jan , 2025. One of the reasons is to adopt to the Energy
Efficiency Directive and also to the EU Grid codes regarding connection, balancing etc.
In this metering code, the regulator will mandate 7 functional requirements, which are:
• Registration of active and reactive power both for consumption and production,
and also registration of voltage and current values perphase
• Ability to register meter data with 15 or 60 minute intervals
• Local customer interface, giving the customer access to real-time meter data
• Registration of outages, lasting longer than 3 minutes
• Remote collection of all relevant parameters
• Capability to remotely update meter firmware and configure meter parameters
• Remote controlled mains breaker in the meter
The consequence of this new metering code is that all small-consumption meters in the
Swedish market have to be changed again, in a 2nd roll-out wave, in the period from 2019
to 2024.
However this threshold may decrease in the future, and there also pilot projects started, to see if it
is possible to allow assets down to 0,1 MW, or even households to participate in the spot and
adjustment markets with flexibility, either directly or via an “aggregator.
The first three producers in Romania in 2016 were: Hidroelectrica (29.83%) – hydro based
generation, “Oltenia” Energetic Complex (21.21%) – coal based generation, and
Nuclearelectrica (17.9%) – nuclear based generation. In 2016, the Romanian generation mix
was: 42.4% from RES (29% from hydro, 10% from wind, 2.6% from PV, 0.8% other sources),
24.5% from coal, 17.5% from Nuclear, 15% from gas and 0.6% from other sources. RES are
participating in the market once for selling the energy and on a different market for selling the
Green Certificates (the Green Certificates Market).
Generation units above 5 MW are considered dispatchable, and thus they must be connected
to the national dispatching centre by means of SCADA. Generation units of less than 5 MW
rating power will be part of the portfolio of a Third Responsible Party. Green certificates are
sold on the green certificates market for price between 29.4 and 35 €/certificate.
There are only one TSO (Transelectrica), eight DSOs (Electrica Distributie Transilvania Nord,
Electrica Distributie Transilvania Sud, Electrica Distributie Muntenia Nord, Enel Distribuţie
Muntenia, Enel Distribuţie Banat, Enel Distribuţie Dobrogea, CEZ Distribuţie Energie Oltenia,
EON Delgaz Grid), one market operator (OPCOM) and one balancing market operator.
Country Romania
Sector of Performance
FLEXMETER 646568 D5.1 Business models H2020-LCE-2014-3
Figure 2: Romania public spending on energy R&D 2008-2013 vs overall GDP [Data extracted on
24 Apr 2017 16:42 UTC (GMT) from OECD.Stat]
As shown in Figure 2 the investments in R&D energy sector dropped down in the economic crisis
period and since 2012 it follows closely the curve of GDP even though it remains very low.
The signature of the Partnership Agreement 2014-2020 offers a potential infusion of funds
dedicated to the energy sector through the Large Infrastructure Program (POIM) that has three
energy-dedicated axes:
• Axis 6 – Promotion of the clean energy and energetic efficiency regarding sustainability of
low carbon emission economy – allocated funds: 197.329.787,00 Euro
• Axis 7 – Growing the energetic efficiency of the centralized heating system in chosen cities
– allocated funds: 249.478.723,00 Euro
• Axis 8 – Smart and sustainable systems for electric energy and natural gas transport –
allocated funds: 68.026.596.00 Euro.
indicated that implementation of smart metering in the electricity sector has a potential to be a
profitable investment thanks to benefits coming from reduction of grid loses and reduction in the
operational cost at utilities.
Following this study, Romania adopted a policy of regulation driven introduction of smart meters
and started the implementation of a large project in order to meet the European Commission
requirements that by 2020 80% of customers are expected to be equipped with smart metering
system and mentioned a full roll-out by 2022.
In March 2017 the National Plan of implementing Smart Metering (not yet approved) was published
by Romanian Energy Regulatory Authority (ANRE) and the rollout was adjusted.
Starting with 2017 the requirements for starting the national plan for Smart Grid implementation
in Romania were established and so was the implementation calendar.
The national plan for Smart Grid implementation will last ten years, starting with 2017.
The Romanian Energy Regulatory Authority (ANRE) will approve the Smart Grid implementation
plans for each concession zone of the energy distribution service.
The national plan for Smart Grid implementation will run in two stages:
• Stage I: 2017– 2020. In this stage the DSOs will respect the following requirements:
• Until 2020, in each concession zone of the energy distribution service will be installed
smart meters for at least 30% from the total number of consumers
• The smart meters’ investment value in the first year of implementation won’t exceed 10%
from the total value of the annual investments’ plan approved by ANRE
• For each of the following years from stage I the smart meters’ investment values won’t
exceed 20% from the total value of the annual investments’ plan approved by ANRE
• The above-mentioned percentage will be applied for the values of the annual investments’
programmes of Smart Grid implementation which will be financed from own sources or
borrowed sources.
• Stage II: 2021 – 2026. In this stage the DSOs will project the implementation rhythm so
that, by the end of the last year of Smart Grid implementation, the percentage of the
integrated consumers would achieve 100%.
• The annual investments value for smart meters’ implementation won’t exceed 25% from
the total value of the annual investments’ plan approved by ANRE Error! Reference source
not found..
In the following we present some particular aspects for the Romanian market of energy related to
the implementation of smart metering solutions. As opposed to many EU countries, Romania is in
an incipient stage of implementing smart meters. Table 4 shows the number of Smart Meters (SM)
installed in Romania.
Table 4 shows the vast majority of SM implementations in Romania are not advanced. There are
three types of Smart Metering solutions:
- Advanced Metering Reading (AMR) – offers “one way” communication allowing meter
reading remotely without sending employees into the field
- Advanced Metering Management (AMM) –– has a management module which allows user
to interact with the meter
- Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI) – includes meters offering bi-directional
communication between consumers and suppliers and has capabilities to improve
consumption and make energy efficient decisions.
Because there aren’t many implementations for SM in Romania, there aren’t many software
applications or solutions either. The existing smart metering solutions, based on intelligent
measurement devices / infrastructure, implemented in other countries follow the
recommendations of EU Directive (Directive 72/2009).
FLEXMETER 646568 D5.1 Business models H2020-LCE-2014-3
Our functional benchmarking analysis for the Flexmeter solution considered the recommendations
of functionalities in this directive and the ones specific for Romania as they resulted from the CBA
(Cost Benefit Analysis) study.
Table 4: Number of SM installed in Romania, source ANRE
Households 8,380,000 - -
Households 2,855,670 - -
The ANRE3 report details the desired functionalities for SM in Romania. The functionalities are
grouped in three categories: minimum requirements as identified by EU Directive 72/2009,
additional requirements from a list of 33 also proposed by EU, and recommended functionalities
identified by the project team performing the CBA in Romania.
Table 5: CR Tarif
Voltage level Reservation price – Energy price – lei/kWh
lei/day (EUR/kWh)
(EUR/day)
Low voltage (0-1 kV) 0,15 0,3119
(0,03) (0,07)
Medium voltage (1- 0,15 0,2425
110kV) (0,03) (0,05)
• CI tarrif:
- It has two components: subscription and electricity price.
- The subscription is calculated according to the number of days in the billing period.
Includes the reservation price and a daily energy quantity of 1 kWh. The amount of
electricity included in the subscription and not consumed is not reported.
Table 6: CI Tarif
Voltage level Subscription – lei/day Energy price – lei/kWh
(EUR/day) (EUR/kWh)
Low voltage (0-1 kV) 0,4310 0,3119
(0,09) (0,07)
Medium voltage (1- 0,3685 0,2425
110kV) (0,08) (0,05)
• CD tariff:
- The CD tariff monom type without reservation involves single-rate billing of all the
electricity consumed during the billing period. It is intended for household customers
who do not want to apply a reservation fee for their own electricity consumption.
- It consists of a single price for electricity that includes fixed costs regardless of the
amount of electricity consumed. No booking fee is charged.
FLEXMETER 646568 D5.1 Business models H2020-LCE-2014-3
Table 7: CD Tarif
Voltage level Energy price – lei/kWh
(EUR/kWh)
Low voltage (0-1 kV) 0,4161
(0,09)
Medium voltage (1-110kV) 0,3235
(0,07)
• CR2 tariff
- The CR2 tariff monom type with reservation is advantageous if the share of electricity
consumption in night and weekend hours exceeds 55% of the total consumption.
- It is composed of:
• reservation price (lei / day), which is intended to cover fixed expenses;
• day energy price, which applies Monday to Friday between 7.00 and
22.00;
• night energy price, which applies to consumption during Monday to
Friday between 22.00-7.00 and weekends between Friday 22.00 and
Monday 7.00.
FLEXMETER 646568 D5.1 Business models H2020-LCE-2014-3
STABIL30 STABIL45
LV MV LV MV
Operator
lei/kWh lei/kWh lei/kWh lei/kWh
(EUR/kWh) (EUR/kWh) (EUR/kWh) (EUR/kWh)
Societatea de Distribuție a Energiei 0,48460 0,37525 0,48490 0,37555
Electrice Muntenia Nord
(0,11) (0,08) (0,11) (0,08)
Societatea de Distribuție a Energiei 0,48450 0,38777 0,48480 0,38807
Electrice Transilvania Nord
(0,11) (0,09) (0,11) (0,09)
Societatea de Distribuție a Energiei 0,49216 0,38843 0,49246 0,38873
Electrice Transilvania Sud
(0,11) (0,09) (0,11) (0,09)
Distribuție Energie Oltenia 0,50264 0,39067 0,50294 0,39097
(0,11) (0,09) (0,11) (0,09)
Delgaz Grid 0,50790 0,38500 0,50820 0,38530
(0,11) (0,08) (0,11) (0,08)
ENEL Distribuție Banat 0,48153 0,37821 0,48183 0,37851
(0,11) (0,08) (0,11) (0,08)
ENEL Distribuție Dobrogea 0,49963 0,38089 0,49993 0,38119
(0,11) (0,08) (0,11) (0,08)
ENEL Distribuție Muntenia 0,46829 0,36419 0,46859 0,36449
(0,1) (0,08) (0,10) (0,08)
Table 13: MOBIL Tariff
- TIME: TIME 30 (payment deadline 30 days) or TIME 45 (payment deadline 45 days)
Table 14: TIME Tariff
Day - day energy price (Monday to Friday between 7.00 and 22.00)
Night- night energy price (Monday to Friday between 22.00-7.00 and weekends - between Friday
22.00 and Monday 7.00)
Average Exchange Rate at the date of this report: 1EUR = 4,6 lei
Under the legislation, the bill will additionally include the contribution for high-efficiency
cogeneration, the value of green certificates, excise duty and VAT.
SUPPORTING DATA
The objective of the questionnaire is to investigate the potential interest of the services offered by
Flexmeter, in relation to the consumption and information habits of a sample of end users. The
compilation of the questionnaire, enclosed, made it possible to better understand how to use the
potential of this new technology both from an environmental point of view and for maximizing
potential economic benefits for all the actors involved: users, suppliers, distributors and producers
of electricity or of electrical equipment.
Figure 3: Survey – Users age
Approximately 45% of respondents have a degree while about 33% have a master or Ph.D as shown
in Figure 3. The composition of the family unit is quite heterogeneous and, on average, more than
70% of respondents pay a bi-monthly electricity bill of between 20 euro and 100 euro (see Figure
4).
Figure 4: Average amount of bi-monthly electricity bill
The information that consumer checks in electricity bill are potentially many, however consumers
tend to look predominantly the “total amount due” or “total amount due and date of payment”. In
particular, the most consulted information in electricity bill the one reported in Figure 5:
FLEXMETER 646568 D5.1 Business models H2020-LCE-2014-3
Figure 5: Most consulted information in electricity bill
With reference to the information contained in the bill, the results are very conflicting because
about 35% believe that such information is sufficient, 33% do not, while the remainder does not
have an idea about it. However, almost half of respondents would find very interesting to receive
information on the breakdown of electricity consumption by type of household appliance. See
Figure 6.
Figure 6: Level of interest about having information on the breakdown of electricity
consumption by type of household appliance (5 = very interesting and 1 = absolutely useless)
Furthermore, about 83% would be very interested in receiving a service to analyze their energy
consumption, with related proposals for optimizing consumption. 78% of respondents would also
be interested in an energy consumption analysis service aimed at assessing the economic
advantage of replacing certain household appliances and to know the potentially savings obtainable
on the electricity bill by such replacements. Despite the strong interest in such services, only 13%
would be willing to pay a price and also 43% would be willing to pay, but only for a one-off charge.
See Figure 7.
FLEXMETER 646568 D5.1 Business models H2020-LCE-2014-3
Figure 7: Availability to pay for energy consumption analysis services
In particular, about 76% of respondents (for 37,70% lower than 10 euro and for 38% between 10
euro and 20 euro) would be willing to pay up to a maximum of 20 euro on an annual basis for these
services. See Figure 8.
Figure 8: Maximum amount of euro that the consumer would be willing annually to pay for
energy consumption analysis services.
In addition, the analysis of the questionnaires showed that if the electricity supplier were to
propose a discount on the bill in exchange for limiting the use of some appliances at certain pre-
specific times, about 77% a would be favorable, to condition that the discount is between 10% and
20% for month of the electricity bill (for 38,60% between 10% and 15% and for 38,40% just about
a 20% for month). See Figure 9.
FLEXMETER 646568 D5.1 Business models H2020-LCE-2014-3
Figure 9: Discount level for month (pre specified times)
However, only 43% of respondents would be willing to accept a discount on the bill in exchange for
turning on or turning off certain appliances on special occasions and due to distributor needs. For
more than half of respondents this discount should be at least 20% per month and, in particular,
for about 35% ought to be more than 30% for month. More details in Figure 10.
34,8%
32,8%
35,0%
30,0%
25,0%
18,0%
20,0%
15,0%
10,2%
10,0%
4,3%
5,0%
0,0%
Between 1% and Between 5% and Between 10% Approximately a More than 30%
5% for month 10% for month and 15% for 20% for month for month
month
Figure 10: Discount level for month (special occasion for distributor needs)
Among the household appliances investigated (Washing machine, dryer, dishwasher, conditioner,
traditional oven, microwave oven, hair dryer, television and computer), consumers would be willing
to accept limitation of use, on an ongoing basis, in certain time slots (Figure 11) and/or the
switching on/off at the request of the electricity supplier with minimum notice (Figure 12), mainly
for the washing machine and the dishwasher.
FLEXMETER 646568 D5.1 Business models H2020-LCE-2014-3
Figure 11: Limitation of use, on an ongoing basis, in certain time slots
Figure 12: Switching on/off at the request of the electricity supplier with minimum notice
FLEXMETER REVENUES
Based on the use cases defined and developed during Flexmeter, we assumed that almost all use
cases will be considered by the Company as revenues. Given the applications of each use cases, the
involved stakeholder and energy actors, we also imagined that Flexmeter Company will have
different type of clients, that is for example energy retailers, Aggregators, DSOs, multi-utility for
other commodities services.
Given the assumptions of the business plan regarding the number of Clients during the model time
frame, the possibility to serve different actors of the Energy market/world on a European base, will
grant several benefit to the sustainability of the assumptions, but most important of the revenues:
1. The transnational legislation frame secured by the European Commission that, especially with
the “Energy Union” and other legislation initiatives (e.g. the “Winter Package”), will hopefully
grant an homogeneity of market rules in a short to mid period;
2. The possibility to address different “business”, assets and type of Company in a B2B2C scheme
(at least in a first phase of the Company life).
FLEXMETER 646568 D5.1 Business models H2020-LCE-2014-3
European States, a future possibility for the management of aggregated demand /consumers once
actively participating in the Market . having said that, the value proposition of the service in the
first years of the business plan will be the possibility to provide residential clients with energy
footprint service, home devices management and energy related alerts.
The B2C, not considered in this business plan, could be on a monthly/yearly fee base (giving the
hardware for free) or a mix of upfront and periodic fee. More details in D.4.2.
For this type of revenue, we have considered:
• An upfront fee of 20,000€;
• A client fee of 5€;
• An hardware fee of 50€ (for the years 2018-2019-2020) and 35€ (for years 2021-2022-
2022-2023-2024-2025-2026).
ASSUMPTION
"Flexmeter S.p.a." is an Italian Company based in Turin (Italy). The duration of the Company is
established until 2068. The equity is 500,000 euro. The Company follows the provisions of articles
2325- 2451 of the Italian Civil Code.
The present business plan summarizes, from a strictly economic-financial point of view, the
contents and characteristics of the "Flexmeter" business idea.
From a fiscal point of view, the Flexmeter’s business plan has been prepared considering the Italian
law. In particular, referring to the:
• Taxes - The taxes payed by the Company are the Corporate Income Tax (IRES) and the
Regional Tax on Production Activities (IRAP)2. For the Corporate Income Tax the rate is
equal to 24% and the Regional Tax on Production Activities is equal to 3,90%. In Italy, IRES
applies to the total net income of a company, determined according to the provisions of
2
IRES: Imposta sul reddito delle società; IRAP: Imposta regionale sulle attività produttive.
FLEXMETER 646568 D5.1 Business models H2020-LCE-2014-3
Italian law (D.P.R. 917/1986). For limited companies, IRAP is calculated on the difference
between the value and costs of production, with the exclusion of costs of staff, write-
downs, provisions and other specific costs (D.Lgs. 446/1997).
• VAT – In Italy, the VAT (Value added tax) for the utilities (e.g. electricity and gas) is equal
for the domestic use to 22% and for the other use to 10%.
From a structural point of view, the business plan considers a horizon of explicit prediction of nine-
year economic results (from 2018 to 2026).
We have assumed for utilities, customers and substations the following hypotheses.
Referring to the utilities, the number analyzed for Italy, Sweden and European Union are divided
for expected period (1st year, 2nd year, 3rd year, higher than 3rd year) and for the average
customers for utility that utilizing NIALM (we have hypnotized for Italy and Sweden: 750, 5,000,
40,000, 90,000, and for EU: 1,000, 10,000, 100,000, 200,000).
The assumptions are reported in Table 1. See the Table 16 for the single revenue in each year
analysed.
:
Table 15: Assumptions
EU - - 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1st year 1.000 - - 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
2nd year 10.000 - - - 1 1 1 1 1 1
3rd year 100.000 - - - - 1 1 1 1 1
>3rd year 200.000 - - - - - 1 2 3 4
FLEXMETER 646568 D5.1 Business models H2020-LCE-2014-3
Total number of indirect clients 1.500 10.750 86.750 236.750 516.000 801.000 1.051.000 1.251.000 1.451.000
Italy and Sweden 1.500 10.750 85.750 225.750 405.000 490.000 540.000 540.000 540.000
EU - - 1.000 11.000 111.000 311.000 511.000 711.000 911.000
Referring to the indirect customers, the total number analyzed is reported in Table 17, divided for
Italy and Sweden, and other countries of European Union:
Finally, referring to the substations, we have assumed, as in Turin, that it is a substation for every
180 users.
The main costs that we considered for the type of activity carried out by the Company were as
follows.
• Cost of raw materials, consumables and merchandise;
• Cost of service;
• Cost of staff ;
• Other operating expenses.
In particular, we have considered for each type of cost some points of view.
Cost of raw materials, consumables and merchandise
This type of cost costs is mainly related to the procurement costs of the devices.
Cost of service
For this type of cost, we have considered:
• Utilities (e.g. electricity, water and gas).
• Travel and accommodation: represents the 1,2% of the total revenue in each year.
• Tax consulting and auditing: with a growth trend, but proportionally higher the first year
due to initial tax consultant.
• Advertising and promotion: with a growth trend, but proportionately higher in the first
year to better advertise the company's services.
• Insurance: represents the 0,2% of the total revenue in each year.
• Cloud maintenance: represents the 0,2% for total customers in each year.
• Legal advisory: higher in the first year for the establishment costs of the company.
• Building rental: 2,200€ for month.
• Warehouse rental: 2,000€ for month (until 2021), 2,500€ for month (since 2022) due to
higher volumes.
The total costs of services for each year are summarized in Table 18. The total number of employees
considered and the total amount of cost of staff are reported in Table 19. The total costs of staff
for each year are summarized in Table 20:
Cost of staff
For this type of cost, we have considered the following types of employees:
• Research & Design (annual cost: 39,000€);
• Marketing and sales (annual cost: 40,000€);
• Administrators/managers (annual cost: 68,000€);
• Call center (annual cost: 23,000€);
• Logistics (annual cost: 30,000€);
• Information Technology (annual cost: 38,000€);
• Administrative (annual cost: 35,000€).
Table 18: Costs of services
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Number of employees R&D 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
Number of employees Marketing and Sales 2 2 3 3 4 4 5
Number of administrators/managers 1 1 1 1 2 2 2
Number of employees Call center 2 3 3 4 4 5 5
Number of employees Logistics 1 2 2 2 2 3 3
Number of employees IT 2 2 2 3 3 4 4
Number of administrative 1 1 1 2 2 2 3
Total number of staff 11 13 15 18 21 24 27
Total cost of staff € 413.000 € 466.000 € 545.000 € 641.000 € 788.000 € 879.000 € 993.000
Table 19: Number of Employees and Costs
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Cost of services
Utilities € 5.520 € 5.520 € 5.520 € 5.520 € 5.520 € 5.520 € 5.520 € 5.520 € 5.520
Travel and accommodation € 7.341 € 9.475 € 23.305 € 45.800 € 97.368 € 149.078 € 146.434 € 145.111 € 168.195
Tax consulting and auditing € 33.500 € 25.000 € 25.000 € 28.000 € 28.000 € 31.000 € 31.000 € 34.000 € 34.000
Advertising and promotion € 13.500 € 13.500 € 14.000 € 14.000 € 15.000 € 15.000 € 18.000 € 21.000 € 25.000
Insurance € 1.224 € 1.895 € 11.652 € 22.900 € 48.684 € 74.539 € 97.622 € 116.089 € 134.556
Cloud maintenance € 300 € 2.150 € 17.350 € 47.350 € 103.200 € 160.200 € 210.200 € 250.200 € 290.200
Legal advisory € 22.000 € 4.000 € 3.000 € 3.000 € 3.000 € 3.000 € 3.000 € 3.000 € 3.000
Building rental € 26.400 € 26.400 € 26.400 € 26.400 € 26.400 € 26.400 € 26.400 € 26.400 € 26.400
Warehouse rental € 24.000 € 24.000 € 24.000 € 24.000 € 24.000 € 33.600 € 33.600 € 33.600 € 33.600
Total cost of service € 133.785 € 111.941 € 150.227 € 216.970 € 351.172 € 498.337 € 571.776 € 634.920 € 720.470
From the Business Plan, it is possible to observe that the company has in each year considered an
increase in turnover and in EBITDA (Earnings before interests, taxes, depreciations and
amortizations) over the years analysed. We report only a loss for the first two years (2018 and
2019), due to the higher development costs of the company compared to revenues. We suppose
that the retained losses for the firsts two years will be largely compensated by the future profits
Table 21: Business Plan
Profit & Loss Statement 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026E
Revenues
Utilities revenues
User empowerment services electricity without devices
Upfront fees € 20.000,00 € 10.000,00 € 20.000,00 € 20.000,00 € 20.000,00 € 10.000,00 € 10.000,00 € 10.000,00 € 10.000,00
Variable fees (for customer) € 4.500,00 € 32.250,00 € 260.250,00 € 710.250,00 € 1.548.000,00 € 2.403.000,00 € 3.153.000,00 € 3.753.000,00 € 4.353.000,00
User empowerment services electricity - NIALM
Upfront fees € 40.000,00 € 20.000,00 € 40.000,00 € 40.000,00 € 40.000,00 € 20.000,00 € 20.000,00 € 20.000,00 € 20.000,00
Variable fees (for customer) € 7.500,00 € 53.750,00 € 433.750,00 € 1.183.750,00 € 2.580.000,00 € 4.005.000,00 € 5.255.000,00 € 6.255.000,00 € 7.255.000,00
Variable fees HDW (for customer) € 75.000,00 € 537.500,00 € 4.337.500,00 € 8.286.250,00 € 18.060.000,00 € 28.035.000,00 € 36.785.000,00 € 43.785.000,00 € 50.785.000,00
User empowerment services district heating without devices
Upfront fees € 20.000,00 € 10.000,00 € 20.000,00 € 20.000,00 € 20.000,00 € 10.000,00 € 10.000,00 € 10.000,00 € 10.000,00
Variable fees (for customer) € 2.250,00 € 16.125,00 € 130.125,00 € 355.125,00 € 774.000,00 € 1.201.500,00 € 1.576.500,00 € 1.876.500,00 € 2.176.500,00
User empowerment services water with devices
Upfront fees € 20.000,00 € 10.000,00 € 20.000,00 € 20.000,00 € 20.000,00 € 10.000,00 € 10.000,00 € 10.000,00 € 10.000,00
Variable fees (for customer) € 750,00 € 5.375,00 € 43.375,00 € 118.375,00 € 258.000,00 € 400.500,00 € 525.500,00 € 625.500,00 € 725.500,00
Outage detection
Upfront fees € 100.000,00 € 50.000,00 € 100.000,00 € 100.000,00 € 100.000,00 € 50.000,00 € 50.000,00 € 50.000,00 € 50.000,00
Annual maitenance fees € 5.000,00 € 5.000,00 € 5.000,00 € 5.000,00 € 5.000,00 € 5.000,00 € 5.000,00 € 5.000,00 € 5.000,00
NIALM for secondary substation
Upfront fees € 50.000,00 € 50.000,00 € 50.000,00 € 50.000,00 € 50.000,00 € 50.000,00 € 50.000,00 € 50.000,00 € 50.000,00
Annual fee (for substation) € 83,33 € 597,22 € 4.819,44 € 13.152,78 € 28.666,67 € 44.500,00 € 58.388,89 € 69.500,00 € 80.611,11
Variable fees HDW (for substation) € 1.666,67 € 11.944,44 € 96.388,89 € 263.055,56 € 573.333,33 € 890.000,00 € 1.167.777,78 € 1.390.000,00 € 1.612.222,22
Other revenues
Dynamic storage management
Upfront fees € 100.000,00 € 50.000,00 € 100.000,00 € 100.000,00 € 100.000,00 € 50.000,00 € 50.000,00 € 50.000,00 € 50.000,00
Annual maitenance fees (on number of utility) € 5.000,00 € 5.000,00 € 5.000,00 € 5.000,00 € 5.000,00 € 5.000,00 € 5.000,00 € 5.000,00 € 5.000,00
Storage integration (for utility) € 160.000,00 € 80.000,00 € 160.000,00 € 160.000,00 € 160.000,00 € 80.000,00 € 80.000,00 € 80.000,00 € 80.000,00
TOTAL REVENUES € 611.750,00 € 947.541,67 € 5.826.208,33 € 11.449.958,33 € 24.342.000,00 € 37.269.500,00 € 48.811.166,67 € 58.044.500,00 € 67.277.833,33
Operating costs
Cost of raw materials, consumables and merchandise € 61.333,33 € 439.555,56 € 3.547.111,11 € 6.839.444,44 € 14.906.666,67 € 23.140.000,00 € 30.362.222,22 € 36.140.000,00 € 41.917.777,78
Cost of services € 133.784,50 € 111.940,50 € 150.227,25 € 216.969,75 € 351.172,00 € 498.337,00 € 571.775,83 € 634.920,25 € 720.470,25
Cost of staff € 413.000,00 € 466.000,00 € 545.000,00 € 641.000,00 € 788.000,00 € 879.000,00 € 993.000,00 € 1.035.000,00 € 1.074.000,00
Other operationg expenses € 1.223,50 € 947,54 € 2.913,10 € 5.724,98 € 12.171,00 € 11.180,85 € 14.643,35 € 14.511,13 € 16.819,46
TOTAL OPERATING COSTS € 609.341,33 € 1.018.443,60 € 4.245.251,47 € 7.703.139,17 € 16.058.009,67 € 24.528.517,85 € 31.941.641,41 € 37.824.431,38 € 43.729.067,49
EBITDA € 2.408,67 -€ 70.901,93 € 1.580.956,87 € 3.746.819,16 € 8.283.990,33 € 12.740.982,15 € 16.869.525,26 € 20.220.068,63 € 23.548.765,85
Ammortisation € 3.000,00 € 2.400,00 € 1.800,00 € 1.200,00 € 600,00 € 2.000,00 € 1.500,00 € 1.000,00 € 500,00
EBIT -€ 591,33 -€ 73.301,93 € 1.579.156,87 € 3.745.619,16 € 8.283.390,33 € 12.738.982,15 € 16.868.025,26 € 20.219.068,63 € 23.548.265,85
Financial costs
Interests € 914,01 € 1.527,67 € 6.367,88 € 11.554,71 € 24.087,01 € 30.660,65 € 39.927,05 € 47.280,54 € 54.661,33
EBT -€ 1.505,35 -€ 74.829,60 € 1.572.788,99 € 3.734.064,45 € 8.259.303,32 € 12.708.321,50 € 16.828.098,21 € 20.171.788,09 € 23.493.604,51
Taxes € 16.083,94 € 15.315,22 € 461.839,77 € 1.070.026,75 € 2.341.797,90 € 3.588.457,02 € 4.744.906,05 € 5.681.485,15 € 6.611.852,17
NET PROFIT / LOSS -€ 17.589,28 -€ 90.144,82 € 1.110.949,22 € 2.664.037,71 € 5.917.505,42 € 9.119.864,48 € 12.083.192,16 € 14.490.302,94 € 16.881.752,34
of the company. From 2020, it is expected that the company will be able to generate significant
growth in profits, thanks two main elements. First of all, the ability to expand the number of
customers that utilize the Flexmeter’s service during the years (starting from Italy and Sweden to
other European countries, e.g. Romania). Secondly, the possibility to optimize some costs thanks
to the economies of scale.
The following two figures shows the trend of revenues-operating costs and the trend of
profits/losses during the years.
Figure 13: Revenues and operating costs from 2018 to 2026 (values in €)
Figure 14: profits/losses from 2018 to 2026 (values in €)
Based on our Business Plan, one of the most important ratio used to evaluate a firm’s operational
efficiency is the Return on Sales (ROS), which expresses the ratio between the company's operating
profits in relation to the profitability of the revenue stream. ROS is also known as a company’s
operating profit margin and this measure provides insight into how much profit is being produced
per euro of sales. See the following figure.
FLEXMETER 646568 D5.1 Business models H2020-LCE-2014-3
Figure 15: ROS from 2018 to 2026 (% values)
ROS is growing significantly in the expected years and this increasing indicates that Flexmeter is
rising more efficient with the passing years.
Based on expected Profit and loss statement, we can assert the Company has the ability to supports
its costs and to create value for its shareholders.
4. CONCLUSIONS
This document tried to define, under the idea of the creation of a Startup Company selling the
services developed in FLEXMETER, the main economic and financial assumptions of an industrial
exploitation of project results.
It was quite tricky to define a market value of the innovative services developed: the partners relied
on some public available benchmarks or feedbacks from the industrial partners.
Another important aspect to be considered in a commercial exploitation of project results, at least
at European level, is the differences in regulatory frameworks: this adds complexity to the
evaluation of clients’ bases but it also represents an opportunity to diversify the businesses and
possible revenue streams.