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Krishna Murari
To cite this article: Krishna Murari (2020): Risk-adjusted performance evaluation of pension
fund managers under social security schemes (National Pension System) of India, Journal of
Sustainable Finance & Investment, DOI: 10.1080/20430795.2020.1857635
Article views: 22
1. Introduction
Many countries in the world create special funds where workers and employers contribute
money to that fund for usage during retirement. This pooling of funds is commonly called
as pension fund (Ahmad and Nor, 2015). The main goal of a pension fund is to provide a
secure source of income to individuals after retirement. Thus, a country’s pension system
serves as a basic component of its social safety net. The Central Government of India
introduced the National Pension System (henceforth NPS) with effect from 1 January
2004 (except for armed forces), and it was made available to all citizens of India from 1
May 2009. NPS regulated by Pension Fund Regulatory & Development Authority (hence-
forth PFRDA) is an important milestone in the development of a sustainable and efficient
voluntary defined contribution pension system in India. The contributions of central and
state government employees are invested in the default schemes of three public sector
Pension Fund Managers1 (PFMs). Each of the PFMs invests the contributions in the pro-
portion of 85 percent in fixed income instruments and 15 percent in equity and equity-
linked mutual funds (Sane and Thomas, 2014). On the other hand, contributions of
non-government (private) voluntary customers of the NPS can be invested in any of
the three asset classes viz. E-equity market instruments, C-fixed income instruments
and G-government bonds. Besides the above, NPS Corporate Sector Model is the custo-
mised version of NPS to suit various organisations and their employees to adopt NPS
as an organised entity within the purview of their employer–employee relationship.
Any individual not being covered under any of the above schemes/sectors has been
allowed to join NPS architecture under the ‘All Citizens of India’ sector model from 1
May 2009. All these schemes aim at providing social security after retirement from work.
Although the Indian government is trying to bring every citizen in the ambit of NPS so
that the beneficiaries should not have difficult times in their older days, it has not been
perceived as the best retirement solution by the stakeholders. It has been more than 15
years since the launch of the National Pension System (NPS) in India. Over the years, the
Government of India introduced more benefits to its subscribers such as additional tax
deduction, increase in the percentage of withdrawal on maturity and increase in
employer contribution in case of government sector employees, etc., to make the NPS
investment more attractive and provide income security after the retirement of the
employees. Despite the government’s efforts to make NPS more attractive, the subscri-
bers criticise it on many fronts. According to an online survey conducted by ET
Wealth (Zaidi, 2018), major pain points that make NPS less attractive are as follows:
tax on NPS corpus on maturity, compulsory annuity after retirement, no withdrawals
till retirement and no assurance of returns. Lower returns on the annuity, availability
of better investment plans such as mutual funds, PPF, ELSS, etc., poor liquidity and
limited choice of fund managers are some other reasons for criticising the NPS invest-
ment for retirement planning. For government and corporate employees, there is no
option except to invest in NPS. Thus, the investment in NPS has attracted a lot of criti-
cism from the subscribers of NPS in India.
Given the background above, it is imperative to evaluate the performance of pension
fund managers under NPS architecture in the Indian context. This makes us to ponder
upon as to whether the investment in NPS is still a better option for retirement planning
as compared to other options? Therefore, this study shall broadly examine the financial
nature of these funds by scrutinising their risk-return, asset allocation and investment
performance evaluation based on risk-adjusted performance evaluation approaches. It
is also important to know to what extent the PFMs are able to deliver their promises
over a period to the subscribers?
The remainder of the paper is organised as follows: Section 2 provides a glimpse of the
literature reviewed to highlight the research gap. Section 3 underlines the data and meth-
odology followed by results and discussion in Section 4. Conclusion about findings and
implication is given in Section 5.
JOURNAL OF SUSTAINABLE FINANCE & INVESTMENT 3
2. Literature review
Pension plans provide financial security and stability during old age when people don’t
have a regular source of income. Retirement plan ensures that people live with pride and
without compromising on their standard of living during advancing years. A pension
scheme gives an opportunity to invest and accumulate savings and get a lump sum
amount as regular income through an annuity plan on retirement. According to the
United Nations Population Division, World’s life expectancy is expected to reach 75
years by 2050 from the present level of 65 years (Koti, 2016). The better health and sani-
tation conditions in India have increased the life span, and subsequently, the number of
post-retirement years has also increased. Thus, the rising cost of living, inflation and life
expectancy make retirement planning an essential part of today’s life. To provide social
security to more citizens, the Government of India has started the National Pension
System.
pension programmes have rendered the current system ineffective and unsustainable.
The design features of NPS Lite and Atal pension Yojana (APY) schemes are such that
they fail to take the specific characteristics of unorganised worker households into
account (Rajasekhar et al., 2017). If the government plays an active involvement in the
investment performance of the pension fund in the stock market, there would be less
risk (Imam, 2011).
on a risk-adjusted performance evaluation of PFMs under NPS are scanty in the Indian
context. Therefore, the main aim of the study is to analyse the risk-return trade-off that
the pension fund managers are considering while making investments in various
schemes of NPS to provide the optimum returns to their subscribers. The major objec-
tives of the study are as follows:
. To examine the relationship between risk and returns of Sensex and Pension fund
managers.
. To analyse the performance of the pension fund managers using risk-adjusted per-
formance measures.
1. Sharpe ratio: It evaluates the portfolio manager based on both the rate of return and
diversification, hence proving that the portfolio with the highest average return may
not necessarily be the best portfolio. The calculation approach used for this ratio is
(Ri − Rf )/si . Here, si is the volatility in the returns of the pension fund. The
higher the ratio, the better is the performance of the pension fund manager.
2. Treynor’ ratio: It measures the relationship between market returns and portfolio
returns of which the resulting value represents the portfolios return per unit risk.
The calculation approach used for this ratio is (Ri − Rf )/b. Here, b is the measure
of systematic risk in the market. The higher the ratio, the better is the performance
of the pension fund manager.
3. Jensen’s alpha (α): It measures the excess return that a portfolio generates over its
expected return. It is a risk-adjusted performance measure that represents the
average return on a portfolio above or below that predicted by the capital asset
pricing model (CAPM). The calculation approach used for this ratio is Average
Fund Return–CAPM Return. The higher the ratio, the better is the performance of
the pension fund manager.
4. A comparative analysis of the performance is made for all the PFMs based on the
above performance measures.
Figure 1. Growth in subscribers and Assets under management in NPS (as on March 2019).
years. NPS is limited EEE (Exempt-Exempt-Exempt), to the extent of 60%, 40% has to be
compulsorily used to purchase an annuity, which is taxable at the applicable tax slab.
With growing expectations and in view of making NPS a more lucrative option for
retirement planning, an additional tax benefit of Rs 50,000 under Section 80CCD(1b)
is provided under NPS since 2016, which is over and above Rs 1.5 lakh exemption of
Section 80C. Private pension fund managers are important parts of NPS and are now
considered as one of the best tax-saving instruments, after 40% of the corpus was
made tax-free at the time of maturity, and it is ranked just below equity-linked savings
scheme (ELSS).
Among the pension funds of the CG scheme, the SBI pension fund offered the highest
returns of 10.15% since inception (Table 1). LIC pension fund offered the highest returns
Table 1. Inception date and Scheme wise Fund Managers’ Performance (as on 26 July 2019).
Scheme/Pension Fund Inception Date AUM (Rs Crores) Subscribers Returns since Inception
SCHEME –CG
LIC Pension Fund Ltd. 1-Apr-08 37,845.65 2,007,144 9.88%
SBI Pension Funds Pvt. Ltd 1-Apr-08 42,537.67 2,007,145 10.15%
UTI Retirement Solutions Ltd. 1-Apr-08 40,422.45 2,007,144 9.82%
SCHEME – SG
LIC Pension Fund Ltd. 25-Jun-09 58,878.07 4,482,292 9.92%
SBI Pension Funds Pvt. Ltd 25-Jun-09 61,038.62 4,482,292 9.81%
UTI Retirement Solutions Ltd. 25-Jun-09 59,705.80 4,482,292 9.82%
SCHEME-Corporate CG
LIC Pension Fund Ltd. 5-Nov-12 2,208.75 47,297 10.25%
SBI Pension Funds Pvt. Ltd 1-Nov-12 20,885.81 453,780 10.07%
SCHEME- NPS Lite
Kotak Mahindra Pension Fund Ltd. 30-Jan-12 55.65 26,636 10.36%
LIC Pension Fund Ltd. 4-Oct-10 1,041.48 3,378,935 10.48%
SBI Pension Funds Pvt. Ltd 16-Sep-10 1,487.73 4,328,080 10.48%
UTI Retirement Solutions Ltd. 4-Oct-10 1,018.82 3,379,326 10.42%
SCHEME – APY
LIC Pension Fund Ltd. 4-Jun-15 2,697.60 16,684,102 9.88%
SBI Pension Funds Pvt. Ltd 4-Jun-15 2,788.75 16,684,102 9.37%
UTI Retirement Solutions Ltd. 4-Jun-15 2,688.19 16,684,102 9.90%
8 K. MURARI
of 9.92% since its inception under the SG scheme. LIC Pension fund recorded the highest
return of 10.25% as compared to SBI Pension funds which recorded 10.07% returns
under the corporate CG scheme. LIC and SBI have shown similar returns of 10.48% fol-
lowed by UTI Retirement solutions with 10.42% and Kotak Mahindra Pension Fund at
10.36% under the NPS Lite scheme. Atal Pension Yojana (APY) scheme has recorded the
highest number of subscribers despite the late commencement of the scheme (inception
year 2015). LIC has generated the maximum returns across all the fund managers in all
schemes except scheme CG and APY. The fund managers of the NPS Lite
Scheme recorded the highest returns (more than 10%) across all the schemes.
in the Union Budget of 2010–2011. Under NPS Lite, the government assured a contribution
of Rs.1000 to each eligible NPS subscriber who contributes a minimum of Rs.1000 and a
maximum Rs.12,000 per annum. This scheme was applicable up to F.Y. 2016–2017. The
Government of India also launched Atal Pension Yojana (APY) to cover all the peoples
in the unorganised sector in 2015 for the poor and underprivileged section of the
country. The subscriber can choose to invest either, wholly or in combination, in four
types of investment schemes offered by the pension fund managers. These are as follows:
(a) Scheme E (equity) allows up to 75% equity participation, this is invested in stocks.
(b) Scheme C (corporate debt) invests only in high-quality corporate bonds up to 100%
(c) Scheme G (government/gilt bonds) invests only in government bonds up to 100%
(d) Scheme A (alternative investment) which allows up to 5% (newly added asset class
only for private sector subscriber with active choice)
Alternatively, the subscriber can opt for the default scheme where as per the time left
to retirement his portfolio is rebalanced each year for the proportion of equity, corporate
bonds and government bonds. NPS offers two types of accounts to its subscribers: Tier I –
the primary account, which is a pension account with restrictions on withdrawals and
utilisation of accumulated corpus. All the tax breaks that NPS offers are applicable
only to the Tier I account.
Tier II – in order to introduce some liquidity to the scheme, the PFRDA allows for a
Tier II account where subscribers with pre-existing Tier I accounts can deposit and with-
drawn money as and when they want. NPS Tier II is an investment account, similar to a
mutual fund in characteristics, but offers no Exit load, no commissions and good returns.
Tier II NPS account offers tax benefits to government employees under certain con-
ditions. The investments under these accounts are managed by the PFMs to provide
maximus returns. The following sections evaluate the performance of PFMs under
various schemes of NPS.
Table 3. Risk-Adjusted Performance Analysis of Scheme E-Tier I & Tier II of NPS (As on 31st May 2019).
Pension Funds under Scheme E of NPS
Performance Measures Type of Account LIC SBI UTI ICICI KOTAK RELIANCE HDFC BIRLA
Average Returns Tier I 13.38 11.03 11.02 10.97 10.76 9.90 16.84 10.25
Tier II 9.05 10.73 11.08 10.74 10.75 10.01 12.71 9.87
Outperformance Tier I 5.24 2.89 2.89 2.83 2.62 1.76 8.70 2.11
Tier II 0.91 2.59 2.94 2.60 2.62 1.87 4.57 1.73
Volatility (Std. Dev) Tier I 11.46 12.17 13.21 12.35 12.60 12.62 13.17 1.03
Tier II 10.72 12.25 13.28 12.87 12.40 12.61 10.08 0.85
Beta Tier I 1.03 1.01 1.09 1.03 1.03 1.04 1.15 0.41
Tier II 0.72 1.01 1.10 1.07 1.02 1.04 0.89 0.34
CAPM Return Tier I 8.18 8.15 8.28 8.18 8.19 8.21 8.37 7.21
Tier II 7.70 8.16 8.29 8.25 8.17 8.21 7.96 7.10
Sharpe Ratio Tier I 0.59 0.37 0.34 0.36 0.33 0.26 0.78 3.57
Tier II 0.23 0.34 0.34 0.32 0.34 0.27 0.61 3.90
Treynor’s Ratio Tier I 6.62 4.41 4.07 4.29 4.05 3.18 8.91 8.97
Tier II 3.42 4.10 4.10 3.89 4.10 3.29 6.93 9.79
Jensen Alpha Tier I 5.20 2.87 2.74 2.79 2.57 1.69 8.46 3.04
Tier II 1.34 2.57 2.78 2.49 2.59 1.80 4.75 2.77
Notes: Average Market (BSE) Return: 8.14% with Volatility 11.76%. G-Sec Return: 6.57%.
Returns above 1-year period are annualised; since inception returns are considered from the respective dates of first cash
flow (inception dates for Birla, HDFC, ICICI, Kotak, LIC, Reliance, SBI and UTI are 9-May-17, 1-Aug-13, 18-May-09, 15-May-
09, 23-Jul-13, 21-May-09, 15-May-09 and 21-May-09, respectively).
JOURNAL OF SUSTAINABLE FINANCE & INVESTMENT 11
Table 4. Performance: Scheme C- Tier I & Tier II (As on 31st May, 2019).
Pension Fund Managers under Scheme C of NPS
Performance Measure Tier LIC SBI UTI ICICI KOTAK RELIANCE HDFC BIRLA
Average Returns Tier I 11.17 10.17 9.87 10.56 10.15 9.92 11.34 8.63
Tier II 8.64 9.73 9.89 10.50 9.75 9.45 9.14 7.06
Outperformance Tier I 3.03 2.04 1.73 2.43 2.02 1.78 3.20 0.49
Tier II 0.50 1.59 1.76 2.37 1.61 1.31 1.00 −1.08
Volatility (Std. Dev) Tier I 3.67 3.48 3.19 3.29 3.52 3.07 3.31 0.56
Tier II 2.74 3.46 3.23 3.35 3.28 2.96 1.74 0.59
Beta Tier I −0.08 0.03 0.04 0.02 0.03 0.08 −0.07 −0.22
Tier II 0.08 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.23
CAPM Return Tier I 6.45 6.62 6.63 6.60 6.61 6.69 6.46 6.22
Tier II 6.69 6.61 6.60 6.58 6.65 6.69 6.63 6.94
Sharpe Ratio Tier I 1.25 1.04 1.03 1.21 1.02 1.09 1.44 3.70
Tier II 0.75 0.91 1.03 1.17 0.97 0.97 1.48 0.83
Treynor’s Ratio Tier I −60.92 118.12 83.80 206.36 139.26 43.13 −69.25 −9.29
Tier II 27.13 111.46 159.90 447.33 62.49 36.82 70.23 2.08
Jensen Alpha Tier I 4.71 3.56 3.24 3.96 3.54 3.22 4.87 2.40
Tier II 1.95 3.11 3.29 3.92 3.10 2.76 2.51 0.12
Notes: Average Market (BSE) Return: 8.14% with Volatility 11.76%. G-Sec Return: 6.57%.
Returns above 1-year period are annualised; since inception returns are considered from the respective dates of first cash
flow (inception dates for Birla, HDFC, ICICI, Kotak, LIC, Reliance, SBI and UTI are 9-May-17, 1-Aug-13, 18-May-09, 15-May-
09, 23-Jul-13, 21-May-09, 15-May-09 and 21-May-09, respectively).
Table 5. Performance of PFMs under Scheme G- Tier I & Tier II (As on 31st May, 2019).
Pension Fund Managers under Scheme C of NPS
Performance Measure Tier LIC SBI UTI ICICI KOTAK RELIANCE HDFC BIRLA*
Average Returns Tier I 11.13 9.21 8.75 9.40 9.27 9.25 9.65 9.17
Tier II 11.49 9.16 8.82 9.45 9.08 9.20 10.28 4.89
Outperformance Tier I 2.99 1.08 0.62 1.27 1.14 1.11 1.51 1.03
Tier II 3.35 1.03 0.68 1.31 0.94 1.07 2.15 −3.25
Volatility (Std. Dev) Tier I 5.25 5.88 5.83 5.64 5.50 5.67 5.27 0.00
Tier II 4.89 5.86 5.91 5.73 5.48 5.69 4.70 4.18
Beta Tier I 0.32 0.18 0.20 0.18 0.16 0.18 0.24 0.00
Tier II 0.32 0.18 0.20 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.27 1.67
CAPM Return Tier I 7.07 6.86 6.89 6.86 6.82 6.85 6.95 0.00
Tier II 7.07 6.86 6.89 6.84 6.84 6.84 6.99 9.18
Sharpe Ratio Tier I 0.87 0.45 0.37 0.50 0.49 0.47 0.58 0.00
Tier II 1.01 0.44 0.38 0.50 0.46 0.46 0.79 −0.40
Treynor’s Ratio Tier I 14.32 14.35 10.76 15.38 17.09 15.06 12.60 0.00
Tier II 15.35 14.11 11.17 16.61 14.65 15.47 13.78 −1.01
Jensen Alpha Tier I 4.06 2.36 1.87 2.54 2.45 2.40 2.69 0.00
Tier II 4.42 2.31 1.93 2.61 2.24 2.37 3.29 −4.29
Notes: Average Market (BSE) Return: 8.14% with Volatility 11.76%. G-Sec Return: 6.57%.
Returns above 1-year period are annualised; since inception returns are considered from the respective dates of first cash
flow (inception dates for Birla, HDFC, ICICI, Kotak, LIC, Reliance, SBI and UTI are 9-May-17, 1-Aug-13, 18-May-09, 15-May-
09, 23-Jul-13, 21-May-09, 15-May-09 and 21-May-09, respectively).
12 K. MURARI
LIC Pension Fund has generated the highest average returns with minimum volatility
and also the highest ratio for all the three measures of Sharpe, Treynor and Jensen thus
indicating it to be the best fund manager across all the fund managers in the NPS Lite
scheme (Table 6).
Table 7. Performance of Scheme Corporate CG and Atal Pension Yojana (As on 31st May 2019).
Scheme-Corporate-CG Scheme: Atal Pension Yojana (APY)
Performance Measures LIC SBI LIC SBI UTI
Average Return 9.85 9.70 9.26 9.65 9.65
Outperformance 0.02 −0.13 −0.57 −0.18 −0.19
SD 5.74 6.07 4.16 3.93 4.31
Beta 0.32 0.28 0.98 0.93 1.01
CAPM Return 7.62 7.50 9.76 9.60 9.88
Sharpe Ratio 0.57 0.52 0.65 0.79 0.71
Treynor’s Ratio 10.19 11.01 2.75 3.32 3.04
Jensen’s Alpha 2.23 2.20 -0.50 0.05 -0.23
Notes: Average Market (BSE) Return: 8.14% with Volatility 11.76%. G-Sec Return: 6.57%.
*Absolute returns in the financial year as the Inception date for Atal Pension Yojana is 4 June 2015.
Returns above 1-year period are annualised.
SBI, HDFC, ICICI and LIC could perform better in two schemes of NPS under Trey-
nor’s measure while UTI and Reliance pension funds were the worst performers. LIC and
HDFC pension funds performed better in four and three NPS schemes respectively under
Jensen’s measure while UTI was the worst performer among all the PFMs under NPS
schemes. However, HDFC pension fund managers outperformed over the other PFMs
in the equity and fixed income segment of NPS schemes.
subject to market risks, the role of PFMs in generating the returns on the contributions of
the subscribers becomes prominent under uncertain market conditions.
Amongst the five schemes under NPS viz. scheme CG (Central Government), SG
(State Government), Corporate CG, NPS Lite and APY, NPS Lite scheme has recorded
the highest returns across all schemes. Under the NPS schemes for central and state gov-
ernment employees, LIC Pension Funds Ltd and SBI have recorded the highest returns
with more weightage given to LIC Pension Funds Ltd as compared to other fund man-
agers. For the unorganised and private sectors, HDFC Pension Funds has generated the
highest returns while ICICI prudential pension funds have also been given preference by
some statistical measures. However, the overall performance has been dominated by LIC
Pension Funds Ltd under Sharpe ratio & Jensen’s performance measures, thus indicating
it to be the best portfolio with minimum risk compared to all other fund managers. Trey-
nor’s ratio indicated the variation in the performance of pension fund managers under
different NPS schemes. The findings of this study may be useful to the various stake-
holders such as government regulators (PFRDA), subscribers of NPS and pension
fund managers as well. The subscribers can observe how their PFMs are managing the
pension funds for generating higher returns after they retire. The PFRDA may take
note of the performance of the PFMs and necessary steps in case of underperformance.
Note
1. These are LIC Pension Fund Ltd., SBI Pension Funds Pvt. Ltd. and UTI Retirement Sol-
utions Ltd.
Disclosure statement
No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).
ORCID
Krishna Murari http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4535-7153
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