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When I give you 50000 I lose the opportunity to use the money
wages are rent for labour
rent is rent for prperty
interest is rent for capital
If I invest 1 Rupee in the goods bond I will get 1/P0 units of the good
which will become (1+r)/P0 units after a year
If both bonds have to be in demand I must get the same number of units of the good in both cases
(1+R)/P1 = (1+r)/P0
(1+R) = (1+r)x(P1/P0)
How do we define inflation
(P1-P0)/P0 is the rate of inflation let us call it pi
p1/p0 = 1+ pi
(1+R) =(1+r)x(1+pi)
1 + nominal rate = 1 + real rate x 1+ inflation rate
The inflation and real returns can be ex-ante or ex-post
Ex-antde means before the event it is a forecasted or anticipated value
Ex-post means after the event IT is a realized value
I want a nominal return of 8.4% Assume there is no risk 0.084
My ex-ante inflation expectation is 4% 1.084
So what is my ex-ante real rate
Suppose actual inflation is 6.2% what is my ex-post real rate 0.062
Suppose actual inflation is 9.6% what is my expost real rate 1.062
1.020716
0.042308 The expost real rate can be different from the ex-ante real rate
0.020716 The expost real rate can be negative
-0.010949 The exante nominal rate is usallhy not negative
In some ecomonies banks have started quoting negative rates of interest
However if inflation is very high then the ex-post real rate may be negative
as an investor you are worse off
I invest 100000 Rupees in an FD paying 8.4%
I hope to buy 20000 units after a year
I think the price 5.42
The actual price is 9.24
If I get 108400 Rupees
11731.6
Inflation is called the Silent Killer
1+ Real Rate = 1+nominal/1+ inflation'
Nominal Returns are used in another sense also
ICICI Bank They will pay 8.4% per annum compounded annually
HDFC Bank They will pay 8.24% per annum compounded quarterly
You want to invest 100000 for 1 year
Bank says 8.72% per annum compounded monthly 8.72 compounded monthly what is the E
what is the EAR 0.090771
0.09077090644
Suppose I say 8.72% compouned monthly Suppose I want 9.36% per annum effecti
monthly rate is 0.0072666666666667 How much should I quote with monthly
One Rupee 1.0072667 after one month 0.089809
after 2 monthts 1.01458613777778 8.981% per annum with monthly compo
after 3 months 1.02195879704563
after 12 months 1.09077090643582 0.089809
So paying 8.72% per annum with monthlhy compounding is equivalent
to paying 9.077% once at the end of the year So use the effect function to find effecti
and the nominal function to find nomin
Principle of equivalency
It says two nominal rates compounded at different freqiuencies are equivalent if they give the same effective annual rate
Bank-A 8.4% with quarterly compounding 8.4% with quarterly compounding how
Bank-B says x% with monthly compounding 0.083419
If the two rates are equivalentg what is the value of x
Do it manually and then using a combination of Effect and Nominal functions
8.4% with quarterly compounding is equivalent to 8.342% with monthly compounding
Using Nominal and Effect functions get the same result
Let is convert 8.4 with quarterly compounding to EAR
0.08668323848
0.08341876542
Compound Interest says that interest is payable on any interest accrued until then
First year 10000 will become 10800 First year 800
second 11664 Second 864
third 12597.12 Third 933.12
The interest steadily increaseds
If you invest for one period there is no difference between simple and compound techniques
But if you invest for multiple periods then compound interest gives greater return s
If you invest for less than a period simple interest is better
I will pay 8.4% interest compounded annually I will give something after 6 months
and you want toi invest for 6 months that will effectively become 1.084 after
show that simple interest will give you more than compound interest
i= interest
n= number of compunding periods
(1+i/n)^n-1
0.086683
something after 6 months
ffectively become 1.084 after one year