Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Introduction:
Political and security developments in Pakistan have been of great interest
since 2015 because of the fast track implementation of China Pakistan
Economic Corridor (CPEC).
The period from 2013 to 2018 has been decisive for Pakistan because of the
cascading effects of growing interdependence and regional transformation.
The interdependence has not only brought changes in Pakistan’s foreign
policy but its domestic politics has also been modified.
Pakistan is an important stakeholder of regional security and integration,
therefore, its national level renewal is dependent on regional development
and the crucial regional alignment.
The SCO has plans to improve connectivity between its member states and
same is the purpose of CPEC.
1. Presently CPEC is being considered as the opportunity of economic
development for Pakistan.
2. However, severe security challenges seem to curb economic
activities In this regard,
3. SCO can prove to be instrumental in improving the security situation
in Pakistan, precisely in eliminating networks of terrorists.
Encourage economic order
The SCO encourages its member states to establish an economic order;
Promote peace by ensuring security
it ensures security and lays emphasis on the promotion of peace.
SCO will Counterbalance NATO
However, some political analysts have compared SCO with the Warsaw Pact
and predicted that SCO will turn into a counterbalance to the North Atlantic
Treaty Organization (NATO) (Haas, 2007; Dauekeev, 2011).
Therefore, this is regarded as a beginning of a new Eastern Bloc (Haas,
2007).
Peter Brooks of the heritage foundation asserted that Russia may be
looking to create a new and improved Asian Warsaw Pact, wielding large
armies, big economies, nukes and lot of oil and gas (Brooks, 2013).
Contrary to the Western views, the policymakers of SCO and analysts of
member states, especially in China and Russia have stressed that SCO is not
a military alliance;
particularly membership of Pakistan and India has validated that even allies
of US (old and new) are in it.
They counteracted that this organization is not working against any state
and this alliance is only curbing three problematic issues namely terrorism,
separatism and extremism.
A Russian intellectual Alexander Lukin stated that attempts to turn this
organization into an anti Western or anti-US bloc are doomed to fail
because this would contradict the fundamental interests of its members
who are interested in cooperating with the West in many areas
(Swanström, 2012).
So the purpose of this alliance is not to create an anti-American bloc,
nevertheless, it aims to increase regional collaboration.
A leading authority of Central Asian affairs asserted that over the years SCO
has tried to contribute to regional peace and stability(Song, 2016).
Although Uzbekistan is not to the whims of oil and gas market, its natural gas
exports are balanced in comparison to Turkmenistan’s.
For instance
1. 1.5 billion cubic meters gas is going to Kazakhstan
2. 5 billion cubic meters gas is for Russia
3. 4 billion cubic meters is being transported to China
The resource rich Central Asia is not only advantageous for China but for the
other members of SCO.
Members can get a chance to expand their businesses as Business Council
of SCO is a good center for the member states.
In addition, Interbank Consortium of SCO has allotted 80 billion USD and
114 billion Yuan (equal to 17.81 billion USD) for carrying out development
projects in the member states of SCO.
However, the geographical positioning of Afghanistan between South and
Central Asia is perturbing the economies and hampering trade.
In short, both states have realized that the collaboration is the only way to
settle down issues and materialize their desired objectives in the region.
Beijing and Moscow would like SCO to carry on monitoring and reviewing
different ways,
1. to defuse extremist activities and
2. to increase economic interaction.
For example,
Two projects of Pakistan and CARs exist in blueprint,
Central Asia, South Asia 1000’ (CASA-1000) electricity transmission line with
Kyrgyzstan.
Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India (TAPI) gas pipeline project with
Turkmenistan.
Both projects were expected to begin, however both face challenges and
have already delayed their work for years
o because of lack of security.
Apart from China, Russia, Iran, Pakistan, India, EU countries and even US,
all are inclined toward resource rich CARs for diplomatic overture.
Over the passage of time, SCO has evolved into a powerful regional
grouping and an effective stability factor across the vast Eurasian
continent.
Approaching of number of countries to SCO is the manifestation of its
viability at global level in general and at regional level in particular.
SCO has chalked out a tri dimension roadmap for regional economic
cooperation focusing
to channelize trade and investment
1. to strengthen economic cooperation
2. materialize free flow of goods, capital,
3. services along with a network of energy,
4. transportation
5. Communication.
Solution:
Considering the vitality and futuristic politico-economic outreach of the
organization, a few recommendations from Pakistan’s point of view are proffered.
Pakistan vs Russia
1. Pakistan must reconfigure its priority area and improve relations with
Russia, setting new goals and leaving behind the mistrust of the cold war
era.
Russian support to Pakistan for grant of observer status in SCO
conversely Pakistan’s backup for Russia’s bid for observer status in
organization of Islamic Conference in 2005 is an explicit
manifestation of urge of both sides for more cooperation.
The potential bilateral areas in this regard are and Pak – Russia need
to enhance political cooperation to develop strategic partnership
while strengthening the regional cum international security order in
preview of being SCO member status.
There is a heavy potential to improve economic cooperation by
boosting bilateral track and commercial activities especially energy,
heavy industry, automobiles, aircraft industry, textile and
agriculture etc.
Russian expertise in energy export and pipeline projects can be
exploited to promote regional economic integration of the region.
Russian petroleum giant gas promotion has shown interest in laying
of Iran – Pakistan and TAP pipeline projects.
Pakistan’s presently heavy dependence on the US/West for her
defence weapons & equipment can considerably be reduced by
promoting defence ties with Russia.
Russian’s advancement in science & technology would enable
initiation of long term projects of mutual benefit. Russian expertise
in space and armament could help Pakistan to further develop its
defence industries.
Pakistan vs China
2. Continuation of Pak – China relationship based on the principles of
mutuality of interests and shared perception is the utmost requirement
. China’s tacit support to Pakistan for her admission to SCO is of
great significance.
Pak – China ties serve as bedrock for its foreign policy agenda and
pursuing solidification of relations with China in the consensus of the
people of Pakistan across the board.
These will orchastere/frame foundations of relations warrant to
transform into strategic partnership through.
The fast changing geo-political environment in the region, proposed
US drawdown from Afghanistan, rapidly growing security threats
amid Indo-Pak continued row, demands further cementing strategic
cooperation among both the countries.
Interaction at senior level civil-military leadership can enhance
cooperation and coordination at both globally and regionally and
leading to deeping strategic cooperation between both the nations.
The first ever trade agreement for mutual benefit and cooperation
between both countries in 1953, Sino-Pak trade, which initially stood
at 10 million dollars is now likely to increase upto 15 billion dollars.
The existing trade volume is likely to multiply manifolds with the
materialization of Kashghar-Gwadar trade corridor.
Five year development programme on trade and economic
cooperation coupled with urge for enhanced energy resource
development, information technology, infrastructural development
will boost the existing economic cooperation between both the
nations.
Establishment of Chinese Confucius Institute at National University
of Modern Languages, Islamabad and Pak-China Friendship Centre,
Islamabad have led to enhance socio-cultural and educational
exchanges.
Exchange of youth festival, cultural troupe, tourism, sports and
media have given a new direction to Pak-China ties.
Promotion of tourism and playing of movies/dramas with subtitling
in languages of respective countries will further boost closer
understanding at people to people level.
Pakistan is the major beneficiary as a result of defence cooperation
between the two countries.
There is a further need to consolidate the existing defense ties by
promoting joint ventures especially towards production of weapons
and equipment including avionics, main battle tank, naval frigates to
attain the goal of self reliance in defence production.
Pak vs India:
The continued sensitivity, fragility and strained relations between Pakistan
and India amid unresolved multiple issues posing a potential security threat
not only to South Asia but rest of the regional countries are likely to be
affected with no exception to SCO bloc.
o SCO can play a meaningful role to bring both countries closer to each
other under its ambit.
o A few suggested measures in this regard are indeed trade is the
engine of growth and prosperity in the era of geo-economics.
o Indian urge to linkup with Central Asia, through Afghanistan/silk
route, extension of proposed oil & gas pipelines from Central Asia
and Iran are only possible via Pakistan.
o For this, SCO can pursue India to settle the long outstanding issues
with Pakistan including the core issue of Kashmir.
o India being the biggest supporter of promoting trade & commercial
activities at all levels,
o needs to seriously ponder upon resolving issues with Pakistan for
sustainable peace and stability in the region.
Conclusion
The formation of the SCO has proven that a strategic and financial
rapprochement is possible between opposite poles.
Moscow and Beijing have extended bilateral trade and negotiated
arrangements in the field of energy, with members of SCO and their
relations, have appeared to be frequently on a winning streak.
The inclusion of India and Pakistan envisages regional stability. Despite
many obstacles, SCO is growing efficiently because it negotiates issues
whilst hampering regional development.
The organization is considerably influential in the region, as it bolsters the
capacity of neighboring countries of Afghanistan to defend their borders.
Since, the main efficient area of the organization is security that is to fight
against three evils, terrorism, extremism and separatism;
it would help Pakistan in its ongoing efforts to eliminate terrorist
structures.
For Pakistan, the underlying cause of becoming a full member of SCO was
the security and protection of CPEC.