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Linear-Stages-of-Growth Models
1. Rostow’s Stages of Growth
○ country passes through a sequential stages in achieving development
Stage Dependency
Stage 1: Traditional Society Rural Economy
- Agricultural dominance, simple
economy, subsistence
economy, barter system (now
impractical)
Stage 2: Transitional Society Social Appreciation of Education and
Skill Development
- Specialization - mode of
economy; to enhance this,
infrastructure is needed
Stage 3: Take Off Sub-urban Economy
- critical stage; make/break; - Industialization
either successful/babagsak; - Fast movement of people
almost all countries have (mobilization)
experienced this stage
Stage 4: Drive to Maturity Growth and Developed Economies
- Diversification of products
- Mass production
- High reliance on export
Stage 5: High Mass Consumption Global Economy and Market-Managing
Economies
- Focused on consumer goods
(demands)
- Rely on quality & reliable
service
2. Harod-Domar Growth Model -
○ shows an economic relationship in which growth rate is directly
dependent on levels of saving and is inversely dependent on capital-
output ratio
○ Capital goods - used to produce finished goods; depreciate over time
(e.g. machines, materials, equipment
○ Capital-output ratio – shows the units of capital required to produce a
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○ Capital-output ratio – shows the units of capital required to produce a
unit of output over a period of time
○ The problem: capital depreciation due to being worn-out and impaired of
capital goods (buildings, equipment and materials)
✓ Investment
✓ Labor force growth
✓ Technological progress
○ Capital-intensive economies - heavily reliant on machineries (e.g. use
of AI)
○ Labor-intensive economies - many human workers
○ We should invest in labor-intensive (according to Harod-Domar)
○ Developed countries look for developing countries that offer cheap labor
(outsourcing)
○ Low capital goods = low output
Depreciation is not good; hence, it is not good to invest too much
on capital goods
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○
modern industrial sector
○ Criticisms on Lewis Two-Sector Model
Reinvestment to sophisticated labor-saving capital equipment
Capital flight (abroad)
Prevalence of Urban surplus labor
Modern sector wage rises quickly even unemployment exists
□ Wage rises for professionals and IT
□ Opportunities are in the modern sector because of the need
for education as a qualification
○ Mcdonaldization - G. Ritzer
As we industrialize, more business are emulating Mcdo's
processes/principles---efficiency, predictability, calculability, control
(all quantifiable)
Some purchase capital equipment instead of human capital, which
contradicts the view that Urban areas provide more job
opportunities
2. Chenery’s Patterns-of-development Analysis
○ A shift from:
Agricultural → Industrial
Food & Basic Necessities → Manufactured goods & services
Accumulation of physical & human capital - qty. over quality
Farms → Cities (Migration)
Overall population growth (though there is a decline in family size
due to death)
Children lose their value → Children quantity rather than quality
□ Parents consider children as investments
○ Criticism on Chenery’s Patterns-of-development Analysis
Wrong conclusion about causality
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Superior & inferior conditions can co-exist in a given space
The co-existence is chronic and not merely transitional
Inherent tendency to increase the productivity gap
Develop its underdevelopment through trickle-down effect
□ Pakaunti nang pakaunti iyong naipapasang benefits/aid sa
inferior/poor
• Implication
○ Autarky – a closed economy that attempts to be completely self-reliant
(North Korea)
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