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AGGREGATE DEMAND AND SUPPLY 2
An output gap is a difference between the actual economic output and maximum
potential economic output. The U. S’s economy presents a Positive output gap or inflationary
gap because there is an economic boom. The economy attempts to recover from the negative
impact of the Covid-19 pandemic. The labor costs and prices of goods are increasing in response
to the increased economic demand. On the other hand, businesses and employees are trying to
increase efficiency and output to meet the increasing demand. The labor market is flooded (high
labor demand) as people are looking for work following job losses amidst the pandemic. The
capital utilization rates by the Fed decreased to 76.50% in December 2021 from 76.60% in
November 2021. It is an indicator that the overall economy is experiencing an inflationary gap.
Sources:
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/capacity-utilization
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm#OEUS
https://www.federalreserve.gov/
AGGREGATE DEMAND AND SUPPLY 3
Responses:
Hi Dena,
The topic (aggregate demand/supply and output gap) is important to us because it enlightens us
on the dynamics of a typical economy. All the things we learn in theory we get to see them
manifesting in the US economy. You have provided well-detailed statistics on the output gap,
labor force, and capital utilization by the Fed. The graph illustration depicts the positive
(inflationary)output which is a good indicator that the economy is recovering in the right
direction. According to US Capacity utilization (2022), there is a high possibility that by the end
of 2022 the economy will have regained full momentum to neutralize the negative impact of the
pandemic.
References:
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/capacity-utilization
Hi Hadassah,
economy. With a positive (inflationary) gap, the country is experiencing a high economic
demand; thus, employees and companies should increase their efficiency to meet the increasing
demand. The labor market has not yet reached the equilibrium employment rate; thus, the need
for creating more jobs for the unemployed (Carlsson-Szlezak et al., 2020). Therefore, I think that
AGGREGATE DEMAND AND SUPPLY 4
the economy is still in the recovery process characterized by high-interest rates, inflated cost of
goods and services are high while consumer rate is still low. In a nutshell, the economic shock
from the pandemic has led to the positive/ inflationary output gap.
References:
Carlsson-Szlezak, P., Reeves, M., and Swartz P. (2020). Understanding the economic shock of
https://hbr.org/2020/03/understanding-the-economic-shock-of-coronavirus