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healthy growth in CASA deposits in 3QFY23, while most other banks reported
either flat growth or a decline in CASA deposits due to rising competition. As a
result, we believe that the bank’s ability to garner deposits, its digital
capabilities and its customer-friendly products will help it maintain strong
deposit growth.
2 March 2023 2
IDFC First Bank
Exhibit 1: Post preferential issue of INR22b, book values increased by 2-4% over FY23/24
Current Estimates Post-capital raise
Key metrics
FY23 FY24 FY23 FY24
Net-worth (INRb) 233.2 265.3 255.2 287.3
No of Shares (m) 6,239 6,239 6,616 6,616
Increase in BV 3% 2%
Increase in ABV 4% 3%
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 3: Total funded assets saw 6% CAGR over FY19-22; Exhibit 4: Retail portfolio scaled up to 77% of loans due to
expect 25% CAGR over FY23-25E led by retail assets robust traction and run-down of infra (legacy) segment
Total Funded Assets (INRb) Growth (YoY, %) Retail & Commercial Book Wholesale Book
51%
28% 23%
30% 44% 36%
26% 25% 62%
9% 13% 89%
-3% 72% 77%
56% 64%
38%
1,104 1,070 1,171 1,320 1,715 2,161 2,702
11%
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23E FY24E FY25E FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 3QFY23
Source: MOFSL, Company Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 5: Retail loan book growing at roust 37-40% over the Exhibit 6: Drag from run-down of infra financing (legacy)
past three quarters loan book moderating
Retail & Commercial Book (INRb) Growth (YoY, %) Wholesale Book (INRb) Growth (YoY, %)
NM
1,167
1,097 4%
954 1,013 475
-2%
754 -7%
595 -9%
-30% -12% -12%
422
37% 40%
41% 37%
27% 26%
682 417 366 364 357 355
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 1QFY23 2QFY23 3QFY23 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 1QFY23 2QFY23 3QFY23
2 March 2023 3
IDFC First Bank
-20%
-31% -31%
-36% -35%
-27% -41%
Exhibit 8: Well-diversified retail book with a balanced mix of home loans, LAP, wheels,
consumer loans as of 3QFY23; Credit card is a recent addition and hence share is low at 3%
3% Home Loan
11% 17%
LAP
Wheels
16%
Consumer Loans
19%
Rural Finance
Digital, Gold Loans and Others
20%
14%
Credit Card
Exhibit 9: Total deposits posted 14% CAGR over FY19-22 led Exhibit 10: Impressive scale-up of retail deposits at 73%
purely by retail; expect 29% CAGR during FY23-25E CAGR over FY19-22; continues to grow at healthy pace
2,345
952
1,832
1,409 639 680
1,056
887
705 651 339
132
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23E FY24E FY25E FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 3QFY23
2 March 2023 4
IDFC First Bank
Exhibit 11: Thus, the share of retail deposits in overall deposits increased to 77% in 3QFY23
from 19% in FY19; CASA ratio remained robust at 50%
58.8
31.7
Exhibit 12: Significant investments made in the past would Exhibit 13: Thus, cost-to-assets ratio and C/I ratio should
start to yield results improve gradually
FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23E FY24E FY25E FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23E FY24E FY25E
Exhibit 14: Asset quality should continue to improve as the Exhibit 15: A consistent decline in GNNPA/NNPA and an
bank moves to safer customer segments increase in PCR in recent quarters
GNPA (%) NNPA (%) PCR (%) - Ex. TWO GNPA (%) NNPA (%) PCR (%) - Ex. TWO
0.80
1.28
0.94
1.87
0.96
0.78
2.5
2.7
4.3
3.8
3.0
2.8
2.8
2.3
3.7
3.2
4.6
4.3
2.1
4.0
1.7
1.5
3.4
1.3
1.1
3.0
1.0
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23E FY24E FY25E 1QFY22 2QFY22 3QFY22 4QFY22 1QFY23 2QFY23 3QFY23
2 March 2023 5
IDFC First Bank
Exhibit 16: GNPA/NNPA ratios in retail and commercial finance are back to its long-term
trend after seeing a spike during the Covid-19 pandemic; PCR improves to 77%
4QFY21
1QFY22
2QFY22
3QFY22
4QFY22
1QFY23
2QFY23
3QFY23
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 17: Adequate provision buffers to tackle incremental stress in the Corporate (non-
infrastructure) book
3.1 1.6 4.0 1.9 2.9 1.3 2.9 0.8 2.5 0.4 2.8 0.3 3.7 0.2 3.4 0.1 3.3 0.1
Exhibit 18: GNPA elevated in recent quarters due to a Exhibit 19: Transition to safer customer segments within
decline in the book size of the Infrastructure segment retail to drive lower slippages
GNPA (%) NNPA (%) PCR (%) inc TWO Slippage ratio (%)
74.6 77.7
3.4
11.6
11.8
11.8
13.4
13.7
3.1
15.7
15.8
20.1
21.6
21.7
24.5
25.3
1.2
1.4
9.8
9.9
4.7
5.8
4QFY21
1QFY22
2QFY22
3QFY22
4QFY22
1QFY23
2QFY23
3QFY23
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23E
FY24E
FY25E
2 March 2023 6
IDFC First Bank
Exhibit 20: Credit cost to remain under control led by Exhibit 21: Healthy NII growth, improving cost metrics and
stronger underwriting and healthy provisioning coverage controlled credit costs to lead recovery in return ratios
Credit cost (%) RoA RoE
5.0 14.0
11.8
10.0
2.7
2.8 (1.3) 0.7
(1.8)
2.1 2.2
0.3 0.1 1.1 1.2 1.3
1.4 1.5 1.5
(17.1)
(11.6)
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23E FY24E FY25E FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23E FY24E FY25E
(1.5)
5.8
4.9
5.0
5.1
5.5
6.2
6.3
5.9
6.0
6.4
2QFY22
3QFY21
4QFY21
1QFY22
3QFY22
4QFY22
1QFY23
2QFY23
3QFY23
2QFY22
2QFY21
3QFY21
4QFY21
1QFY22
3QFY22
4QFY22
1QFY23
2QFY23
3QFY23
2 March 2023 7
IDFC First Bank
Exhibit 24: DuPont Analysis: Return ratios to show a steady improvement from over FY23-25
Y/E March FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23E FY24E FY25E
Interest Income 7.5 8.1 10.3 10.2 9.7 10.5 11.1 11.2
Interest Expense 6.0 6.0 6.5 5.5 4.2 4.7 5.1 5.1
Net Interest Income 1.5 2.2 3.8 4.7 5.5 5.9 6.0 6.0
Fee income 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.0
Trading and others 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1
Non-Interest income 0.9 0.6 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.1
Total Income 2.4 2.8 4.9 6.1 7.3 7.9 8.0 8.2
Operating Expenses 1.4 4.0 3.7 4.5 5.5 5.6 5.5 5.4
Employee cost 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.7
Others 0.8 3.2 2.7 3.3 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.7
Operating Profit 1.1 -1.2 1.2 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.6 2.8
Core Operating Profit 0.7 -1.3 1.0 1.2 1.5 2.0 2.4 2.6
Provisions 0.2 1.0 2.7 1.3 1.8 0.8 0.9 1.0
NPA -0.5 -0.1 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.9 1.0 1.0
Others 0.7 1.1 2.4 0.7 1.6 -0.1 -0.1 0.0
PBT 0.9 -2.2 -1.5 0.3 0.1 1.5 1.6 1.8
Tax 0.1 -0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.5
RoA 0.7 -1.3 -1.8 0.3 0.1 1.1 1.2 1.3
Leverage (x) 8.0 8.8 9.4 9.4 9.1 9.2 9.7 10.5
RoE 5.7 -11.6 -17.1 2.7 0.7 10.0 11.8 14.0
Source: MOFSL, Company
2 March 2023 8
IDFC First Bank
Balance Sheet
Y/E March FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23E FY24E FY25E
Equity Share Capital 34.0 47.8 48.1 56.8 62.2 66.0 66.0 66.0
Reserves & Surplus 118.5 133.8 105.3 121.3 147.7 189.3 221.3 264.6
Net Worth 152.6 181.6 153.4 178.1 209.9 255.2 287.3 330.5
Deposits 482.0 704.8 651.1 886.9 1,056.3 1,409.2 1,831.9 2,344.8
Growth (%) 19.9 46.2 -7.6 36.2 19.1 33.4 30.0 28.0
of which CASA Deposits 57.1 91.1 209.4 459.0 511.7 693.3 888.5 1,120.8
Growth (%) 172.6 59.6 129.8 119.2 11.5 35.5 28.2 26.2
Borrowings 572.9 699.8 574.0 457.9 529.6 595.7 676.1 767.8
Other Liabilities & Prov. 57.8 85.6 113.5 108.6 105.8 111.1 116.7 122.5
Total Liabilities 1,265.2 1,671.8 1,492.0 1,631.4 1,901.7 2,371.2 2,912.0 3,565.6
Current Assets 48.9 95.7 41.9 58.3 157.6 170.4 190.6 208.5
Investments 612.0 584.8 454.0 454.1 461.4 549.1 658.9 790.7
Growth (%) 21.3 -4.5 -22.4 0.0 1.6 19.0 20.0 20.0
Loans 521.6 863.0 856.0 1,005.5 1,178.6 1,532.2 1,930.5 2,413.1
Growth (%) 5.6 65.4 -0.8 17.5 17.2 30.0 26.0 25.0
Fixed Assets 7.8 9.5 10.4 12.7 13.6 14.6 15.6 16.9
Other Assets 74.8 118.9 129.7 100.9 90.6 104.9 116.3 136.4
Total Assets 1,265.2 1,671.8 1,492.0 1,631.4 1,901.8 2,371.2 2,912.0 3,565.6
Asset Quality FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23E FY24E FY25E
GNPA (INR m) 17.8 21.4 22.8 43.0 44.7 45.9 53.8 67.1
NNPA (INR m) 8.9 11.1 8.1 18.8 18.1 14.7 15.5 18.9
GNPA Ratio 3.4 2.5 2.7 4.3 3.8 3.0 2.8 2.8
NNPA Ratio 1.7 1.3 0.9 1.9 1.5 1.0 0.8 0.8
Slippage Ratio 2.5 3.4 3.1 6.0 6.9 2.4 2.1 2.1
Credit Cost -0.5 2.1 5.0 2.2 2.8 1.4 1.5 1.5
PCR (Excl. Tech. write off) 49.9 48.2 64.5 56.2 59.5 68.0 71.1 71.9
Source: Company, MOFSL
2 March 2023 9
IDFC First Bank
2 March 2023 10
IDFC First Bank
2 March 2023 11
IDFC First Bank
Above disclosures include beneficial holdings lying in demat account of MOFSL which are opened for proprietary investments only. While calculating beneficial holdings, It does not consider demat accounts
which are opened in name of MOFSL for other purposes (i.e holding client securities, collaterals, error trades etc.). MOFSL also earns DP income from clients which are not considered in above disclosures.
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2 March 2023 12