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Corning, Inc.: Zero Coupon Convertible Debentures Due November 8, 2015 (B)

Article  in  SSRN Electronic Journal · June 2009


DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1418873

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Corning, Inc.: Zero Coupon Convertible Debentures Due November 8, 2015 (B)

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CORNING, INC.: ZERO COUPON CONVERTIBLE DEBENTURES


DUE NOVEMBER 8, 2015 (B)

On March 20, 2001, an article in the Wall Street Journal caught Julianna Coopers’s
attention. It was entitled “Corning again Lowers Forecast for Year.” She sighed. This was the
second time in one month that Corning had cut estimates. In February 2001, the company had
slashed its revenue growth forecast for its Photonics business to 50% from its 75% to 90%
growth forecast in January. At the time, however, the company had maintained its earnings
projection, saying that it would meet its earnings target through layoffs and other cost-cutting
measures. Corning attributed the rapid slowdown in telecom equipment orders to a capital crunch
in the telecom sector. The lack of capital had prevented telecommunications carriers from
building out new networks.1

At that time, Coopers had pondered whether she should dispose of the Corning
convertible bonds that her fund had purchased in November 2000. After making some
calculations, she decided that the bonds were worth more than what the market was willing to
pay at the time, so she opted to keep them.

With this new announcement, Coopers wondered whether she should dispose of the
bonds once and for all. Corning now expected revenue from its Photonics unit to grow only 20%
to 25%. The company also said it was contemplating further layoffs in addition to the 825 jobs it
had already cut during the past month.2

Corning’s stock had held steady for a little while since the convertible bond offering in
November. However, since February of this year, the stock price had come down dramatically
(Exhibit 1). Today the stock was worth only $25 and, the convertible bond value had declined
along with it. The latest quote for the converts was $605. Corning’s debt ratings had remained
unchanged, however. In fact, the S&P had even lifted the negative outlook on Corning (for
estimates of historical volatilities, see Exhibit 2). As Coopers reviewed the updated valuation
she had done on the converts (Exhibit 3), she wondered if it was finally time to sell, or if she
should continue to hold the convertible bonds.

1
Dennis Berman and Mark Heinzi, “Corning Trims Revenue Outlook, Spurs Share Price Decline of 21%,” Wall
Street Journal, 20 February 2001.
2
Dennis Berman, “Corning again Lowers Forecast for Year,” Wall Street Journal, 20 March 2001.

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Exhibit 1
CORNING, INC.: ZERO COUPON CONVERTIBLE DEBENTURES
DUE NOVEMBER 8, 2015 (B)
Corning’s Share Price’s Relative Performance:
November 2000 to March 2001

1.20
S&P 500
1.00

0.80

0.60

0.40

Corning
0.20

0.00

Mar-01
Nov-00

Nov-00

Nov-00

Dec-00

Dec-00

Jan-01

Jan-01

Feb-01

Feb-01

Source: Datastream; Yahoo Finance


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