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ﺍﻟﺒﺪﻳﻼﻥ ﻣﻘﺒﻮﻻﻥ ،ﻟﻜﻦ ﺍﻟﻤﻜﺎﻓﺊ ﺍﻟﺤﺎﺿﺮ) (PWﻟﻠﺒﺪﻳﻞ Bﺃﻛﺒﺮ ،ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﻟﻲ ﻓﻬﻮ ﺃﻓﻀﻞ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻳًﺎ.
ﻣﺜﺎﻝ:
ﺍﻟﻣﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﺑﻳﻥ ﺑﺩﺍﺋﻝ ﺍﻟﺗﻛﻠﻔﺔ
ﺍﺳﺗﺧﺩﻡ ﻣﻌﺩﻝ ﺭﺑﺢ ﻗﺩﺭﻩ ٪12ﻭﻋﻣﺭ ﺗﺷﻐﻳﻠﻲ ﻣﺩﺗﻪ 4ﺳﻧﻭﺍﺕ ﻟﻼﺧﺗﻳﺎﺭ ﺑﻳﻥ ﺑﺩﺍﺋﻝ ﺍﻻﺳﺗﺛﻣﺎﺭ
ﺍﻟﺗﺎﻟﻳﺔ:
ﺍﻟﺑﺩﺍﺋﻝ
C D
ﺭﺃﺱ ﺍﻟﻣﺎﻝ ﺍﻟﻣﺳﺗﺛﻣﺭ -$80,000 -$60,000
ﺍﻹﻳﺭﺍﺩﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﺳﻧﻭﻳﺔ ﻣﻁﺭﻭﺣﺎ ﻣﻧﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﻣﺻﺎﺭﻳﻑ -$25,000 -$30,000
ﺍﻟﺒﺪﻳﻞ Dﺍﻗﻞ ﺗﻜﻠﻔﺔ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺒﺪﻳﻞ ، Cﺃﻱ ﻟﻪ ﺍﻟﻤﻜﺎﻓﺊ ﺍﻟﺤﺎﺿﺮ) (PWﺍﻷﻛﺒﺮ ،ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﻟﻲ ﻓﻬﻮ ﺃﻓﻀﻞ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻳًﺎ.
165 ﺻﻔﺣﺔ6.2 ﻣﺛﺎﻝ
PW1=‐9000+1500(P/A,12%,3)+1700(P/F,12%,4)
=‐9000+1500(2.4018)+1700(0.6355)
=‐4316.95$
PW2=‐5000+1000(P/A,12%,3)+1500(P/F,12%,4)
=‐5000+1000(2.4018)+1500(0.6355)
=‐1644.9$
Alt2 is to be selected
AW1= PW1(A/P,12%,4)=‐4316.95(0.3292)
=‐1420$
AW2= PW2(A/P,12%,4)=‐1644.9(0.3292)
=‐541.5$
Alt2 is to be selected
ﻣﺜﺎﻝ:
ﻣﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﺍﻟﺑﺩﺍﺋﻝ ﺍﻟﻣﺗﻧﺎﻓﺭﺓ ) (MEAsﻓﻲ ﺣﺎﻟﺔ ﺍﻷﻋﻣﺎﺭﻣﺗﺳﺎﻭﻳﺔ.
ﻋﻧﺩﻣﺎ ﺗﻛﻭﻥ ﺍﻷﻋﻣﺎﺭﻣﺗﺳﺎﻭﻳﺔ ﻳﻛﻭﻥ ﺗﻌﺩﻳﻝ ﺍﻟﺗﺩﻓﻘﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻧﻘﺩﻳﺔ ﻏﻳﺭ ﻣﻁﻠﻭﺏ .ﻳﻣﻛﻥ ﻣﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﺍﻟﺑﺩﺍﺋﻝ
ﺍﻟﻣﺗﻧﺎﻓﺭﺓ ) (MEAsﻋﻥ ﻁﺭﻳﻖ ﺍﻟﻣﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﺍﻟﻣﺑﺎﺷﺭﺓ ﺑﻳﻥ ﻗﻳﻣﺗﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﻣﻛﺎﻓﺋﺔ ) PWﺃﻭ FWﺃﻭ
(AWﺍﻟﻣﺣﺳﻭﺑﺔ ﺑﺎﺳﺗﺧﺩﺍﻡ ﻣﻌﺩﻝ ﺍﻟﺭﺑﺢ ﺍﻟﻣﺭﺗﺟﻰ ﺍﻷﺩﻧﻰ ) .(MARRﺳﻳﻛﻭﻥ ﺍﻟﻘﺭﺍﺭ ﻫﻭ ﻧﻔﺳﻪ
ﺑﻐﺽ ﺍﻟﻧﻅﺭ ﻋﻥ ﺍﻟﻁﺭﻳﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﻣﻛﺎﻓﺋﺔ ﺍﻟﻣﺳﺗﺧﺩﻣﺔ .ﻣﻌﺩﻝ ﺍﻟﺭﺑﺢ ﺍﻟﻣﺭﺗﺟﻰ ﺍﻷﺩﻧﻰ )، ٪ 12 (MARR
ﺍﺧﺗﺭ ﻣﻥ ﺑﻳﻥ ﺍﻟﺑﺩﺍﺋﻝ ﺍﻟﻣﺗﻧﺎﻓﺭﺓ ) (MEAsﺍﻟﺗﺎﻟﻳﺔ.
ﺍﻟﺑﺩﺍﺋﻝ
A B C D
ﺭﺍﺱ ﺍﻟﻣﺎﻝ ﺍﻟﻣﺳﺗﺛﻣﺭ ‐$150,000 ‐$85,000 ‐$75,000 ‐$120,000
ﺍﻟﻌﺎﺋﺩﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﺳﻧﻭﻳﺔ $28,000 $16,000 $15,000 $22,000
ﺍﻟﺗﻛﺎﻟﻳﻑ ﺍﻟﺳﻧﻭﻳﺔ ‐$1,000 ‐$550 ‐$500 ‐$700
ﺍﻟﻘﻳﻣﺔ ﺍﻟﺳﻭﻗﻳﺔ $20,000 $10,000 $6,000 $11,000
ﺍﻟﻌﻣﺭ ﺍﻟﻣﻘﺩﺭ 10 10 10 10
ﻣﺜﺎﻝ:
ﺍﺧﺗﻳﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﺑﺩﻳﻝ ﺍﻷﻓﺿﻝ.
ﺗﻤﺮﻳﻦ:
ﻫﻧﺎﻙ ﻧﻭﻋﺎﻥ ﺃﺳﺎﺳﻳﺎﻥ ﻣﻥ ﺍﻟﺑﺩﺍﺋﻝ.
ﻣﺧﺑﺯ ﻣﺣﻠﻲ ﻳﺭﻳﺩ ﺇﺿﺎﻓﺔ ﻓﺭﻥ ﺟﺩﻳﺩ .ﻫﻧﺎﻙ ﻋﺩﺓ ﺃﻧﻭﺍﻉ ﻣﺧﺗﻠﻔﺔ ﻣﻥ ﺍﻷﻓﺭﺍﻥ ،ﻟﺫﻟﻙ ﻳﺟﺏ ﻋﻠﻰ
ﺍﻟﻣﺧﺑﺯ ﺍﻻﺧﺗﻳﺎﺭ ﻣﻥ ﺑﻳﻥ ﻣﺟﻣﻭﻋﺔ ﻣﻥ ﺍﻟﺑﺩﺍﺋﻝ ﺍﻟﻣﺗﻧﺎﻓﺭﺓ .ﻳﺑﻳﻥ ﺍﻟﺟﺩﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺗﺎﻟﻲ ﺍﻻﺳﺗﺛﻣﺎﺭﺍﺕ
ﺍﻷﻭﻟﻳﺔ ﻟﺭﺃﺱ ﺍﻟﻣﺎﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﻣﺻﺭﻭﻓﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺳﻧﻭﻳﺔ ﻟﻛﻝ ﺑﺩﻳﻝ .ﻻ ﻳﻭﺟﺩ ﺃﻱ ﺑﺩﻳﻝ ﺑﻘﻳﻣﺔ ﺳﻭﻗﻳﺔ ﻓﻲ ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺔ
ﻋﻣﺭﻩ ﺍﻹﻧﺗﺎﺟﻲ .ﺑﺎﺳﺗﺧﺩﺍﻡ ﻣﻌﺩﻝ ﺍﻟﺭﺑﺢ ﺍﻟﻣﺭﺗﺟﻰ ﺍﻷﺩﻧﻰ ) (MARRﻗﺩﺭﻩ ، ٪ 15ﺍﻱ ﻓﺭﻥ
ﻳﻧﺑﻐﻲ ﺍﺧﺗﻳﺎﺭﻩ؟
ﺍﻟﻔﺭﻥ
F1 F2 F3
ﺭﺍﺱ ﺍﻟﻣﺎﻝ ﺍﻟﻣﺳﺗﺛﻣﺭ $110,000 $125,000 $138,000
ﺍﻟﻌﻣﺭ ﺍﻹﻧﺗﺎﺟﻲ 10 years 10 years 10 years
ﺍﻟﻣﺻﺭﻭﻓﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺳﻧﻭﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﻛﻠﻳﺔ $53,800 $51,625 $45,033
ﺗﺤﺪﻳﺪ ﻓﺘﺮﺓ ﺍﻟﺪﺭﺍﺳﺔ.
• ﻓﺗﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺳﺔ )ﺃﻭﺃﻓﻖ ﺍﻟﺗﺧﻁﻳﻁ( ﻫﻲ ﺍﻟﻔﺗﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﺯﻣﻧﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﺗﻲ ﻳﺗﻡ ﺧﻼﻟﻬﺎ ﻣﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﺍﻟﺑﺩﺍﺋﻝ ﺍﻟﻣﺗﻧﺎﻓﺭﺓ
) ،(MEAsﻭﻳﺟﺏ ﺃﻥ ﺗﻛﻭﻥ ﻣﻧﺎﺳﺑﺔ ﻟﻧﻭﻉ ﺍﻟﻘﺭﺍﺭ.
• ﻳﻣﻛﻥ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻛﻭﻥ ﻟﻠﺑﺩﺍﺋﻝ ﺍﻟﻣﺗﻧﺎﻓﺭﺓ ) (MEAsﺃﻋﻣﺎﺭ ﻣﺗﺳﺎﻭﻳﺔ )ﻓﻲ ﻫﺫﻩ ﺍﻟﺣﺎﻟﺔ ﺗﻛﻭﻥ ﻓﺗﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺳﺔ
ﺍﻟﻣﺳﺗﺧﺩﻣﺔ ﻫﻲ ﺍﻟﻌﻣﺭ ﺍﻟﻣﻘﺩﺭ ﻟﻬﺫﻩ ﺍﻟﺑﺩﺍﺋﻝ( ،ﺃﻭ ﻳﻣﻛﻥ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻛﻭﻥ ﻟﻬﺎ ﺃﻋﻣﺎﺭ ﻏﻳﺭ ﻣﺗﺳﺎﻭﻳﺔ ،ﺃﻭ ﻭﺍﺣﺩﺓ
ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻷﻗﻝ ﻻ ﺗﺗﻭﺍﻓﻖ ﻣﻊ ﻓﺗﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺳﺔ.
• ﺣﺎﻟﺔ ﺍﻷﻋﻣﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻣﺗﺳﺎﻭﻳﺔ ﻣﺑﺎﺷﺭﺓ ،ﻭﺗﻡ ﺗﻭﺿﻳﺣﻬﺎ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﻣﺛﺎﻟﻳﻥ ﺍﻟﺳﺎﺑﻘﻳﻥ.
ﻳﺣﺗﺎﺝ ﻣﻭﻗﻊ ﺍﺣﺩ ﺷﺭﻛﺎﺕ ﺍﻻﺳﺗﻛﺷﺎﻑ ﺗﻌﻣﻝ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﺻﺣﺭﺍء ﻣﻭﻟﺩ ﻁﺎﻗﺔ ﻛﻬﺭﺑﺎﺋﻳﺔ ﺣﻳﺙ ﻻﺗﻭﺟﺩ ﺷﺑﻛﺔ •
ﻋﺎﻣﺔ ﻳﻣﻛﻥ ﺍﻟﺗﺯﻭﺩ ﻣﻧﻬﺎ ﺑﺎﻟﻁﺎﻗﺔ ﺍﻟﻛﻬﺭﺑﺎﺋﻳﺔ ،ﻟﺫﻟﻙ ﻓﺎﻥ ﻣﺻﺩﺭ ﺍﻟﻁﺎﻗﺔ ﺍﻟﻛﻬﺭﺑﺎﺋﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﻣﻧﺎﺳﺏ ﻫﻭ
ﺍﺳﺗﺧﺩﺍﻡ ﻣﻭﻟﺩ ﻳﻌﻣﻝ ﺑﺎﻟﺩﻳﺯﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﻣﻁﻠﻭﺏ ﺍﺧﺗﻳﺎﺭ ﻋﺩﺩ ﻭﻗﺩﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﻣﻭﻟﺩﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﻣﻁﻠﻭﺑﺔ ﻋﻥ ﻁﺭﻳﻖ ﺍﻟﻣﻔﺎﺿﻠﺔ
ﺑﻳﻥ ﻣﺟﻣﻭﻋﺔ ﻣﻥ ﺍﻟﻣﻭﻟﺩﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﻛﻬﺭﺑﺎﺋﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﻣﺗﻭﻓﺭﺓ ﺑﺎﻟﺳﻭﻕ ﺍﻟﻣﺣﻠﻳﺔ ﺫﻭﺍﺕ ﺍﻻﻋﻣﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻣﺧﺗﻠﻔﺔ ،ﻋﻠﻣﺎ ﺑﺎﻥ
ﺍﻟﻔﺗﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﺯﻣﻧﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﺗﻲ ﺗﺣﺗﺎﺝ ﻓﻳﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﺷﺭﻛﺔ ﻟﻠﺗﺯﻭﺩ ﺑﺎﻟﻁﺎﻗﺔ )ﺍﻓﻖ ﺍﻟﺗﺧﻁﻳﻁ( ﻫﻲ 12ﺳﻧﺔ ،ﺣﻳﺙ ﻛﺎﻧﺕ
ﺍﻻﻋﻣﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﺗﻘﺩﻳﺭﻳﺔ ﻟﻠﻣﻭﻟﺩﺍﺕ ﻛﺎﻟﺗﺎﻟﻲ:
ﺍﻟﻨﻮﻉ ﺍﻻﻭﻝ ﻋﻤﺮﻩ ﺳﻨﺘﺎﻥ •
ﺍﻟﻨﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻲ ﺍﺭﺑﻊ ﺳﻨﻮﺍﺕ •
ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺖ 8ﺳﻨﻮﺍﺕ •
ﺍﻟﺮﺍﺑﻊ 12ﺳﻨﺔ ،ﻓﻤﺎ ﻫﻲ ﺑﺪﺍﺋﻞ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻤﺘﺎﺣﺔ ﻟﺘﻠﻚ ﺍﻟﺸﺮﻛﺔ؟ •
ﻳﺘﻢ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﻣﻊ ﺍﻷﻋﻤﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﻐﻴﺮ ﻣﺘﺴﺎﻭﻳﺔ ﻟﻠﺒﺪﺍﺋﻞ ﺑﻄﺮﻳﻘﺘﻴﻦ.
• ﺍﻟﻁﺭﻳﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﺗﻛﺭﺍﺭﻳﺔ :ﺗﻛﻭﻥ ﻓﺗﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﻁﻭﻳﻠﺔ ﺃﻭ ﻣﺳﺎﻭﻳﺔ ﻟﻣﺿﺎﻋﻑ ﻣﺷﺗﺭﻙ ﻣﻥ ﺃﻋﻣﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﺑﺩﺍﺋﻝ
ﺍﻟﻣﺗﻧﺎﻓﺭﺓ ).(MEAs
ﺍﻟﻌﻭﺍﻗﺏ ﺍﻻﻗﺗﺻﺎﺩﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﻣﺗﻭﻗﻌﺔ ﺧﻼﻝ ﻓﺗﺭﺓ ﻋﻣﺭ ﺍﻟﺑﺩﺍﺋﻝ ﺍﻟﻣﺗﻧﺎﻓﺭﺓ ) (MEAsﺳﺗﺣﺩﺙ ﻓﻲ ﻓﺗﺭﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﻌﻣﺭ
ﺍﻟﻼﺣﻘﺔ )ﺍﻹﺣﻼﻝ(.
• ﻁﺭﻳﻘﺔ ﺍﻹﻧﻬﺎء ﺍﻟﻣﺗﺯﺍﻣﻥ ) :(Co-terminatedﺗﺳﺗﺧﺩﻡ ﻓﺗﺭﺓ ﺩﺭﺍﺳﺔ ﻣﺣﺩﺩﺓ ﻭﻣﺗﻣﺎﺛﻠﺔ ﻟﻛﻝ ﺍﻟﺑﺩﺍﺋﻝ
ﺍﻟﻣﺗﻧﺎﻓﺭﺓ ) .(MEAsﻳﻣﻛﻥ ﺇﺟﺭﺍء ﺗﻌﺩﻳﻼﺕ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺗﺩﻓﻖ ﺍﻟﻧﻘﺩﻱ ﻟﺗﻠﺑﻳﺔ ﺍﺣﺗﻳﺎﺟﺎﺕ ﺍﻷﺩﺍء ﻟﻠﺑﺩﻳﻝ ﺧﻼﻝ
ﻓﺗﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﺩﺭﺍﺳﺔ.
ﺍﻟﻔﺗﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﺯﻣﻧﻳﺔ ﻻﻓﻖ ﺍﻟﺗﺧﻁﻳﻁ ﺍﻛﺑﺭ ﻣﻥ ﻋﻣﺭ ﺍﻟﺑﺩﻳﻝ
ﻣﺜﺎﻝ
ﺍﺣﺪ ﺍﻟﻤﺆﺳﺴﺎﺕ ﻓﻲ ﺣﺎﺟﺔ ﺍﻟﻰ ُﻣﻌﺪﺓ ﻟﻤﺪﺓ 6ﺳﻨﻮﺍﺕ ﺗﺘﻮﻓﺮ ُﻣﻌﺪﺍﺕ ﺑﺎﻋﻤﺎﺭ ﺗﻘﺪﻳﺮﻳﺔ ﺳﻨﺘﺎﻥ ﻟﻠﻨﻮﻉ ﺍﻻﻭﻝ
ﻭﺛﻼﺕ ﺳﻨﻮﺍﺕ ﻟﻠﻨﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻲ ﺑﺘﺪﻓﻘﺎﺕ ﻧﻘﺪﻳﺔ ﻣﻮﺿﺤﺔ ﺑﺎﻟﺸﻜﻞ ﺻﻔﺤﺔ ،174ﻗﺎﺭﻥ ﺑﻴﻦ ﺍﻟﻤﻘﺘﺮﺣﻴﻦ ﺑﻄﺮﻳﻘﺔ
ﺍﻟﻤﻜﺎﻓﻲء ﺍﻟﺤﺎﺿﺮ ﻭﺣﺪﺩ ﺍﻳﻬﻤﺎ ﻳﺠﺐ ﺍﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭﻩ ﺧﻼﻝ ﻓﺘﺮﺓ ﺍﻓﻖ ﺍﻟﺘﺨﻄﻴﻂ ﺍﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻥ ﻣﻌﺪﻝ ﺍﻟﺮﺑﺢ ﺍﻟﻤﺮﺗﺠﻲ
ﺍﻻﺩﻧﻰ .%8
ﺍﻟﺤﻞ
)PW1=-4000-500(P/A,8%,6)-4000(P/F,8%,2)-4000(P/F,8%,4
)=-4000-500(4.6229)-4000(0.8573)-4000(0.735
=-12680.6
)PW2=-5000-300(P/A,8%,6)-5000(P/F,8%,3
)=-5000-300(4.6229)-5000(07938
=-10355.8
Alt 2 is better
ﻣﺜﺎﻝ
ﻣﺆﺳﺴﺔ ﺧﺪﻣﻴﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺣﺎﺟﺔ ﺍﻟﻰ ﺁﻟﺔ ﻟﻤﺪﺓ 3ﺳﻨﻮﺍﺕ ،ﺍﻵﻻﺕ ﺍﻟﻤﺘﻮﻓﺮﺓ ﺍﻋﻤﺎﺭﻫﺎ ﺍﻟﺘﻘﺪﻳﺮﻳﺔ ﺳﻨﺘﺎﻥ ﻟﻠﻨﻮﻉ
ﺍﻻﻭﻝ ﻭﺛﻼﺙ ﺳﻨﻮﺍﺕ ﻟﻠﻨﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻲ ﺑﺘﺪﻓﻘﺎﺕ ﻧﻘﺪﻳﺔ ﻣﻮﺿﺤﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﺸﻜﻞ ﺻﻔﺤﺔ 178ﻭﺍﻥ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻳﺠﺎﺭ
ﺍﻟﺴﻨﻮﻱ ﻟﻼﻟﺔ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﻮﻉ ﺍﻻﻭﻝ $600ﺗﺪﻓﻊ ﻓﻲ ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻨﺔ .ﻗﺎﺭﻥ ﻭﺣﺪﺩ ﺍﻱ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻤﻘﺘﺮﺣﻴﻦ ﻳﺠﺐ
ﺍﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭﻩ ﺑﺎﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ ﻁﺮﻳﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﻜﺎﻓﻲء ﺍﻟﺤﺎﺿﺮ ﺍﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻥ ﻣﻌﺪﻝ ﺍﻟﺮﺑﺢ ﺍﻟﻤﺮﺗﺠﻲ ﺍﻻﺩﻧﻲ .%10
ﺍﻟﺤﻞ
)PW1=-2000-400(P/F,10%,1)-500(P/F,10%,2)-600(P/F,10%,3
=-3227.5$
)PW2=-3000- 200(P/F,10%,1)-400(P/F,10%,2)-500(P/F,10%,3
=-3887.9$
Alt 1 is better
ﻣﺛﺎﻝ
ﺷﺭﻛﺔ ﺗﻧﻘﻳﺏ ﻣﺗﻧﻘﻠﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺣﺎﺟﺔ ﺍﻟﻰ ﻣﺿﺧﺔ ﻣﻳﺎﻩ ﻟﻣﺩﺓ 4ﺳﻧﻭﺍﺕ ﻭﻧﺗﻳﺟﺔ ﺍﻟﺑﺣﺙ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﺳﻭﻕ ﺍﺗﺿﺢ ﺍﻥ ﺍﻟﻣﺿﺧﺔ
ﺑﺎﻟﻣﻭﺍﺻﻔﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻣﻁﻠﻭﺑﺔ ﺗﺗﻭﻓﺭ ﺑﺎﻟﻧﻭﻉ Pﺑﻌﻣﺭ ﺗﻘﺩﻳﺭﻱ 4ﺳﻧﻭﺍﺕ ﻭﺍﻟﻧﻭﻉ Mﺑﻌﻣﺭ 5ﺳﻧﻭﺍﺕ ﺣﺳﺏ ﺍﻟﺗﺩﻓﻖ
ﺍﻟﻧﻘﺩﻱ ﺍﻟﻣﻭﺿﺢ ﺑﺎﻟﺷﻛﻝ ﺻﻔﺣﺔ 181ﻋﻠﻣﺎ ﺑﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﻣﺿﺧﺔ ﻣﻥ ﺍﻟﻧﻭﻉ Mﻳﻣﻛﻧﻬﺎ ﺍﻥ ﺗﺣﻘﻖ ﺳﻌﺭ ﺑﻳﻊ ﻗﺩﺭﻩ $500
ﻓﻲ ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﺳﻧﺔ ﺍﻟﺭﺍﺑﻌﺔ ﻣﻥ ﻋﻣﺭﻫﺎ ،ﻓﺎﻱ ﻣﻥ ﺍﻻﻧﻭﺍﻉ ﻳﺟﺏ ﺍﻥ ﻳﻭﺻﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻬﺫﻩ ﺍﻟﺷﺭﻛﺔ ﺍﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻥ ﻣﻌﺩﻝ ﺍﻟﺭﺑﺢ
ﺍﻟﻣﺭﺗﺟﻲ ﺍﻻﺩﻧﻲ . %12
ﺍﻟﺣﻝ
PW1=‐6000‐400(P/A,12%,4)‐100(F/A,12%,2)(P/F,12%,4)=‐7,349.65$
PW2=‐3000‐300(P/A,12%,3)+200(P/F,12%,4)=‐3,593.44$
Alt 2 is better
ﻛﻣﺎ ﻧﺳﺗﻁﻳﻊ ﺣﺳﺎﺏ ﺍﻱ ﺍﻟﻣﺿﺧﺎﺕ ﺍﻓﺿﻝ ﺑﺎﻳﺟﺎﺩ AWﺩﻭﻥ ﺗﻌﺩﻳﻝ ﺍﻟﻌﻣﺭ
AW1=PW1(A/P,12%,4)=‐7349.5(03292)=‐2419.5$
AW1=‐6000(A/P,12%.4)‐400‐100(F/A,12%,2)(A/F,12%,4)=‐2419.5$
AW2=?
AW2=‐3000(A/P,12%,5)‐300‐200(A/F,12%,5)=‐1163.63$
Alt 2 is better
ﻣﺛﺎﻝ
ﺷﺭﻛﺔ ﺻﻧﺎﻋﻳﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺣﺎﺟﺔ ﺍﻟﻰ ﺍﺳﺗﺧﺩﺍﻡ ﻣﻌﺩﺓ ﺫﺍﺕ ﺍﻻﺳﺗﻌﻣﺎﻝ ﺍﻟﺧﺎﺹ ﻟﻣﺩﺓ 8ﺳﻧﻭﺍﺕ ﻭﺟﺩ ﺍﻥ ﺍﻟﻣﻌﺩﺍﺕ ﻣﻥ ﻫﺫﺍ
ﺍﻟﻧﻭﻉ ﻣﺗﻭﻓﺭﺓ ﺑﺎﻟﺳﻭﻕ ﺍﻟﻣﺣﻠﻳﺔ ﺑﺎﻻﻋﻣﺎﺭ ﻭﺍﻟﺗﺩﻓﻘﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻧﻘﺩﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﻣﺑﻳﻧﺔ ﺑﺎﻟﺟﺩﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺗﺎﻟﻲ
ﻓﺎﺫﺍ ﻋﻠﻣﺕ ﺍﻥ ﻣﻌﺩﻝ ﺍﻟﺭﺑﺢ ﺍﻟﻣﺭﺗﺟﻲ ﺍﻻﺩﻧﻰ ﻟﻠﺷﺭﻛﺔ ﻫﻭ %12ﺍﻱ ﻣﻥ ﺍﻟﺑﺩﻳﻠﻳﻥ ﻳﻣﺛﻝ ﺍﻻﻓﺿﻠﻳﺔ ﻋﻠﻣﺎ ﺑﺎﻧﻪ
ﻻﻳﺳﻣﺢ ﺑﺎﻟﺟﻣﻊ ﺑﻳﻧﻬﻣﺎ ﻓﻲ ﺑﺩﻳﻝ ﻭﺍﺣﺩ.
ﺍﻟﺣﻝ
ﻧﺟﺩ PW or FW or AW
PWA=‐12000‐3500(P/F,12%,1)‐5000(P/F,12%,2)‐8500(P/F,12%,3)‐6500(P/F,12%,4)
‐12000(P/F,12%,4)‐3500(P/F,12%,5)‐5000(P/F,12%,6)‐8500(P/F,12%,7)‐6500(P/F,12%,8)
PWA=‐47898.65$
Alt Z
PWZ=‐15000‐4000(P/F,12%,1)‐7800(P/F,12%,2)‐15000(P/F,12%,2)‐4000(P/F,12%,3)
‐7800(P/F,12%,4)‐15000(P/F,12%,4)‐4000(P/F,12%,5)‐7800(P/F,12%,6)‐
15000(P/F,12%,6)‐4000(P/F,12%,7)‐7800(P/F,12%,8)
PWZ=‐72856.3$
Alt A is Better
ﻣﺛﺎﻝ
ﺷﺭﻛﺔ ﺍﻧﺗﺎﺟﻳﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺣﺎﺟﺔ ﺍﻟﻰ ﻣﻌﺩﺓ ﻟﻣﺩﺓ 5ﺳﻧﻭﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﻣﻌﺩﺍﺕ ﻣﻥ ﺍﻟﻧﻭﻉ ﺍﻟﻣﻁﻠﻭﺏ ﻣﺗﻭﻓﺭﺓ ﺑﺎﻻﻋﻣﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﺗﻘﺩﻳﺭﻳﺔ
ﻭﺍﻟﺗﺩﻓﻘﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻧﻘﺩﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﻣﺑﻳﻧﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﺟﺩﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺗﺎﻟﻲ:
3 2 1 0 ﺍﻟﺑﺩﻳﻝ
‐1000 ‐800 ‐4000 C
‐1000 ‐800 ‐400 ‐6000 D
ﻓﺎﺫﺍ ﻋﻠﻣﺕ ﺍﻥ ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻝ ﺍﻻﻳﺟﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﺳﻧﻭﻱ ﻟﻼﻟﺔ ﻣﻥ ﺍﻟﻧﻭﻉ C ﻓﻲ ﺣﺎﻟﺔ ﻋﺩﻡ ﺗﻣﻠﻛﻬﺎ ﻫﻭ $900ﺗﺩﻓﻊ ﻓﻲ ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﺳﻧﺔ،
ﺍﺳﺗﺧﺩﻡ ﻁﺭﻳﻘﺔ ﺍﻻﻧﻬﺎء ﺍﻟﻣﺗﺯﺍﻣﻥ ﻟﻠﻣﻘﺎﺭﻧﺔ ﺑﻳﻥ ﺍﻟﺑﺩﻳﻠﻳﻥ ﻭﺍﻳﻬﻣﺎ ﻳﺟﺏ ﺍﺧﺗﻳﺎﺭﻩ ﺑﺎﺳﺗﺧﺩﺍﻡ ﻁﺭﻳﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﻣﻛﺎﻓﻲء ﺍﻟﺣﺎﺿﺭ
ﺍﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻥ ﻣﻌﺩﻝ ﺍﻟﺭﺑﺢ ﺍﻟﻣﺭﺗﺟﻲ ﺍﻻﺩﻧﻰ ﻳﺳﺎﻭﻱ .%15
ﺍﻟﺣﻝ
ﺍﻟﺑﺩﻳﻝ Cﻣﻊ ﺳﻧﺔ ﺧﺎﻣﺳﺔ ﺍﻳﺟﺎﺭ
‐)PWC=‐4000‐800(P/F,15%,1)‐1000(P/F,15%,2)‐4000(P/F,15%,2)‐800(P/F,15%,3
)1000(P/F,15%,4)‐900(P/F,15%,5
PWC=‐10021.19$
ﻳﻣﻛﻥ ﺍﻟﺟﻣﻊ ﺑﻳﻥ ﺍﻟﺑﺩﻳﻠﻳﻥ C &D ﻻﻥ ﻣﺟﻣﻭﻋﻬﻣﺎ ﻳﺳﺎﻭﻱ ﺍﻓﻖ ﺍﻟﺗﺧﻁﻳﻁ ﻭﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﺳﺅﺍﻝ ﻟﻡ ﻳﺫﻛﺭ ﻋﺩﻡ ﺍﻟﺟﻣﻊ
‐)PWc&d=‐6000‐400(P/F,15%,1)‐800(P/F,15%,2)‐1000(P/F,15%,3)‐4000(P/F,15%,3
)800(P/F,15%,4)‐1000(P/F,15%,5
PWc&d=‐11194.64$
Alt c is better