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Q3FY22 Result Update

DLF Ltd. Strong Residential performance continues


DLF’s residential business continues to perform strongly, recording pre-sales of Deepak Purswani, CFA
INR2,018cr (up 97% YoY and 33% QoQ). With pre-sales of INR4,544cr in M9FY22, the Research Analyst
Deepak.Purswani@edelweissfin.com
management revised its guidance to around INR6,000–6,500cr for FY22. It also reported
strong cash surplus for the second consecutive quarter, with cash surplus of INR764cr
resulting in net debt reduction of INR765cr to INR3,220cr. Going ahead, the management
CMP INR: 403
expects to generate free cash flow of at least INR500cr in the coming quarters.
Furthermore, DCCDL’s rental income grew 7% YoY and 6% QoQ to INR872cr in Q3FY22. Rating: BUY
We reiterate our tactical BUY rating with a target price of INR478. Target INR: 478
Upside: 19%
Strong residential performance continues
DLF recorded pre-sales of INR2,018cr (up 97% YoY and 33% QoQ). In December 2021, DLF
launched the One Midtown project for which it received an overwhelming response. The
company has sold 7.7lakh sq ft thus far in Towers A and B (1.5mn sq ft) at average
realisation of INR19,000 per sq ft. The company seeks to launch Tower C (0.5–0.6mn sq ft)
in February 2021, with average realisation of INR21,000–21,500 per sq ft (hike of
INR2,000–2,500 per sq ft). With pre-sales of INR4,544cr in M9FY22, the management Bloomberg: DLF:IN

revised its guidance to around INR6,000–6,500cr for FY22. 52-week


232 / 450
range (INR):
Rental business boosted by retail recovery
M cap (INR cr): 98,901
DCCDL’s rental income grew 7% YoY and 6% QoQ to INR872cr, office rental increased 4%
QoQ to INR712cr and retail rental rose 32% QoQ to INR160cr in Q3FY22. The vacancy rate Promoter
74.95
reduced 100bps QoQ to 12%. The trend temporarily dipped in January due to Omicron but Holding (%)
is again picking up. The management expects it to come down 8–9% in Q1FY22.

Strong cash surplus for second consecutive quarter


DLF reported strong cash surplus in the residential business for the second consecutive
quarter, in addition to cash surplus of INR764cr vs INR954cr in Q2FY22 owing to strong
collection. Collection was healthy and grew 85% YoY to INR1,281cr. This resulted in net
debt reduction of INR765cr to INR3,220cr. Going ahead, the management expects to
generate free cash flow of at least INR500cr in the coming quarters.

Maintain tactical BUY with SOTP price target of INR477.


DLF plans to continue debt reduction through healthy collection with the sale of
completed inventory and strong launch pipeline in the residential business. DLF also enjoys
a disproportionate positive cash profile in the residential business with no significant
investment in landbank. The rental business recorded a temporary blip in January 2021
due to Omicron, but we expect the occupancy level to improve in the next two or three
quarters. The company is self-sustainable for expansion even in this business and will be
the key beneficiary when the commercial cycle recovers. Hence, we maintain our tactical
BUY rating on the stock with an SOTP price target of INR477 per share.

Key Parameters FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E


Pre-sales (INR crore) 2,486 3,085 6,170 7,060
OCF (Dev Co) 538 609 2,736 1,804
Net Debt (Dev Co) 4,794 5,156 2,930 2,102
DCCDL Rental 3007 3029 3652 4353
Price/CF(x) 9.6 22.0 21.4 24.3
Date: February 03, 2022

Edelweiss Wealth Research 1


DLF Ltd.
Q3FY22 Result Highlights

(INR Cr) Q3FY22 Q3FY21 YoY% Q2FY22 QoQ%


Net Sales 1,550 1,543 0% 1,481 5%
Operating Expenses 1,029 1,044 -1% 1,023 1%
EBITDA 521 499 4% 458 14%
Depreciation 37 39 -5% 37 0%
EBIT 484 460 5% 421 15%
Interest 146 198 -26% 176 -17%
Other Income 137 125 9% 76 81%
PBT 475 387 23% 321 48%
Tax 60 104 -42% 94 -36%
PAT 415 283 47% 226 83%
Minority Interest After NP 0 -2 -100% -1 -101%
Profit/Loss of Associate Company 190 166 14% 152 25%
PAT after Minority Interest & Associates Share 605 451 34% 379 60%
Exceptional items -224 0 0
RPAT 380 451 -16% 379
EPS 1.5 1.8 -16% 1.5
EBITDA Margin 33.6% 32.3% 30.9%
PAT Margin 39.0% 29.2% 25.6%
Tax rate (%) 3.9% 6.8% 6.4%

Operating Parameters
Residential (INR cr) Q3FY22 Q3FY21 YoY% Q2FY22 QoQ%
Pre-sales 2,017 1,022 97.4% 1,512 33.4%
Operating Cash Flows after interest & taxes 831 181 359.1% 1013 -18.0%
Net Debt (Residential) 3220 5100 -36.9% 3985 -19.2%

Commercial (DCCDL) (INR cr) Q3FY22 Q3FY21 YoY% Q2FY22 QoQ%


Leaseable Area 34.5 34.5 33.3
Occupancy (%) 88.0% 90.7% -269 bps 86.7% 133 bps
Total Revenues 1137 1059 7.4% 1088 4.5%
Source: Edelweiss Wealth Research

Edelweiss Wealth Research 2


DLF Ltd.
Q3FY22 Result Highlights

Management Commentary
• Exceptional items of INR224cr were recorded on account of impairment of investee company Joyous Housing, a JV that owns
the project in Mumbai. The company has invested INR405cr thus far in this project. DLF focused only on incremental
investment in the project, while the remaining partners did not contribute. DLF also stopped investing in the project, resulting
in a default on the interest payment. Hence, on prudent basis, auditors has asked them to write the investment and has
partially written off Rs224 crore out of total investment of Rs403 crore were provided in Q3 FY22. DLF seeks to resolve the
issue with its partners and may increase its take in the project with rise in contribution.
 In terms of expansion in the annuity portfolio, structure work at Down Town Gurgaon is complete, aggregating 1.5mn sq ft,
which is pre-leased by over 90%. In terms of Down Town Chennai, construction on 3 mn sq ft is on track (completion by
October 2022).

Strong cash surplus for second consecutive quarter


 DLF reported strong cash surplus in the residential business for the second consecutive quarter.
 It reported cash surplus of INR764cr vs INR954cr in Q2FY22, led by strong collection. Collection recorded healthy growth of
85% YoY to INR1,281cr.

Q2FY21 Q3FY21 Q4FY21 Q1FY22 Q2FY22 Q3FY22 FY21 FY22E FY23E


Inflow
Collection from sales 541 645 807 619 1403 1220 2,308 4,471 4,902
Rentals 40 48 64 12 45 61 202 163 205
Total Inflows 581 693 871 631 1448 1281 2,510 4,634 5,107
Outflow 0 0 0
Construction 207 232 394 109 117 121 905 1,059 1,455
Government / Land charges 16 31 123 105 19 172 202 0 0
Overheads 125 93 119 138 122 117 444 617 706
Marketing/Brokerage 39 20 24 11 38 42 111 185 212
Tax (net) -7 8 -304 -31 25 -74 -395 -450 632
Sub-total 380 384 356 332 321 378 1,267 1,411 3,005
Operating Cash Flow 201 309 515 299 1127 903 1,243 3,223 2,102
Finance cost (net) 138 128 211 108 114 72 634 488 298
Operating Cash Flow after Interest 63 181 304 191 1013 831 609 2,736 1,804
Capex outflow / Others 36 65 89 51 59 67 209 510 976
Net surplus / (shortfall) 27 116 215 140 954 764 400 2,226 828
Interim Dividend 17 0 0 0 195 0 17 195 0
Net surplus / (shortfall) 10 116 215 140 759 764 383 2,031 828
Source: Edelweiss Wealth Research

Edelweiss Wealth Research 3


DLF Ltd.
Q3FY22 Result Highlights

Valuation
DLF plans to continue debt reduction through healthy collection with sale of completed inventory and strong launch pipeline in
the residential business. The company enjoys a disproportionate positive cash profile in the residential business with no
significant investment in landbank. The rental business recorded a temporary blip in January 2021 due to Omicron, but we expect
the occupancy level to improve in the next two or three quarters. The company is self-sustainable for expansion even in this
business and will be the key beneficiary when the commercial cycle recovers. Hence, we maintain our BUY rating on the stock
with an SOTP price target of INR477 per share.

Value
Segment Per share Remarks
(INR cr.)
DLF - Devco 76,220 308
Inventory + Receivables to be sold and collected over the next two
Residential - Completed projects 3,967 16
years

35msf of launch pipeline with revenue potential of INR30kcr (DLF


Upcoming launches 13,618 55
stake) at 50–55% cash flow margin discounted over 7–8 years

Commercial - Operational 3,008 12 FY23E EBITDA of about INR275cr at cap rate of 8%


Land bank - development 55,626 225 Carries a book value of nearly INR15,000cr and recorded in inventory
DCCDL 57,722 233
Commercial - Operational 36,316 147 FY23E EBITDA of about INR4357cr at cap rate of 8%
Commercial - Upcoming 4,709 19 Based on 10-year DCF
Land bank - DCCDL 16,697 67 Carries a book value of about INR10,000cr
Total GAV 1,33,942 541
Less: Net debt (15,659) (63)
Total NAV 1,18,283 478
Source: Edelweiss Wealth Research

Edelweiss Wealth Research 4


DLF Ltd.
Q3FY22 Result Highlights

Previous Outlook

Q2FY22: DLF to continue with its debt reduction path through healthy collection with sale of completed inventory and strong
launch pipeline in the residential business. On the commercial business, vacancy rate are bottoming out and leasing enquiries has
picked up. Improving leasing environment and ramp up in rental capex cycle would be another trigger for DLF over next few year.
Hence, We maintain our BUY rating on the stock with SOTP price target of Rs477/share.

Tactical Buy: We valued DLF’s (a) completed and upcoming residential inventory using the NAV-based approach, (b) commercial
assets at 8% cap rate on FY23E EBITDA and (c) land bank using the discounted cash flow approach to arrive at an SOTP-based
price target of INR370 (44% upside). While the current market cap implies P/BV of 1.1x to DLF’s ~INR217bn (book value) residential
and commercial landbank, our land valuation approach implies a value of 2.4x to its BV (marginally lower than P/BV of 2.5–4x
during the previous upcycle over 2010–13). Thus, we consider sustained demand uptrend to be a likely re-rating trigger for DLF’s
landbank.

Q2FY22 Tactical Buy

Edelweiss Wealth Research 5


DLF Ltd. Financials

Income Statement (INR cr)


Year to March FY20A FY21E FY22E FY23E
Total operating income 6,083 5,414 8,486 11,975
Gross profit 2,702 2,565 5,031 5,842
Employee costs 357 314 333 353
Other expenses 1,211 833 883 936
EBITDA 1,135 1,418 3,815 4,553
Depreciation 200 160 677 705
Less: Interest expense 1,427 853 1,799 2,935
Add: Other income 805 531 536 542
Profit before tax 1,543 1,637 1,876 1,455
Prov for tax 2,133 362 525 407
Less: Other adj 0 0 0 0
Reported profit -583 1,286 1,362 1,060
Less: Excp.item (net) 340 -96.2 0 0
Adjusted profit -924 1,382 1,362 1,060
Diluted shares o/s 248 248 248 248
Adjusted diluted EPS -3.7 5.6 5.5 4.3
DPS (INR) 2 2 2 2
Tax rate (%) 138.2 22.1 28.0 28.0

Important Ratios (%)


Year to March FY20A FY21 FY22E FY23E
Selling price infl. (%) 7 7 7 7
Const. cost infl. (%) 5 5 5 5
Gross margin (%) 44.4 47.4 59.3 48.8
EBITDA margin (%) 18.7 26.2 45 38
Net profit margin (%) -15.2 25.5 16 8.8
Revenue growth (% YoY) -27.3 -11 56.7 41.1
EBITDA growth (% YoY) -47 24.9 169.1 19.3
Adj. profit growth (%) nm nm -1.5 -22.2

Valuation Metrics
Year to March FY20A FY21 FY22E FY23E
Diluted P/E (x) nm 71.6 72.6 93.3
Price/BV (x) 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.7
EV/EBITDA (x) 92.1 73.5 33.2 27.8
Dividend yield (%) 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5

Edelweiss Wealth Research 6


DLF Ltd. Financials

Balance Sheet (INR cr)


Year to March FY20A FY21 FY22E FY23E
Share capital 495 495 495 495
Reserves 33,952 34,849 35,654 36,113
Shareholders funds 34,447 35,344 36,149 36,608
Minority interest 18.4 20.3 20.3 20.3
Borrowings 8,103 6,663 28,298 28,752
Trade payables 12,929 10,815 11,897 13,622
Other liabs & prov 393 645 645 645
Total liabilities 55,891 53,488 77,010 79,648
Net block 4,243 3,912 27,592 28,059
Intangible assets 944 944 944 944
Capital WIP 88.7 94.9 775 2,104
Total fixed assets 5,276 4,951 29,311 31,107
Non current inv 18,566 19,746 19,746 19,746
Cash/cash equivalent 2,420 1,407 399 1,066
Sundry debtors 720 581 679 719
Loans & advances 1,532 1,438 1,466 1,496
Other assets 27,377 25,365 25,409 25,516
Total assets 55,891 53,488 77,010 79,648

Free Cash Flow (INR cr)


Year to March FY20A FY21 FY22E FY23E
Reported profit -583 1,286 1,362 1,060
Add: Depreciation 200 160 677 705
Interest (net of tax) -8,291 523 1,277 2,084
Others 0 -192 0 0
Less: Changes in WC 65.4 87.6 913 1,549
Operating cash flow -318 1,341 2,952 3,313
Less: Capex -884 -165 25,037 2,500
Free cash flow 566 1,506 -22,085 813

Key Ratios
Year to March FY20A FY21 FY22E FY23E
RoE (%) -1.7 3.7 3.8 2.9
RoCE (%) 3.7 4.2 6.9 6.8
Inventory days 2,402 2,791 2,228 1,257
Receivable days 47 44 27 21
Payable days 1,538 1,521 1,200 759
Working cap (% sales) 272.1 304.1 183.3 116.9
Gross debt/equity (x) 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.8
Net debt/equity (x) 0.2 0.1 0.8 0.8
Interest coverage (x) 0.7 1.5 1.7 1.3

Edelweiss Wealth Research 7


Edelweiss Broking Limited, 1st Floor, Tower 3, Wing B, Kohinoor City Mall, Kohinoor City, Kirol Road, Kurla(W)
Board: (91-22) 4272 2200

Vinay Khattar
Head Research
VINAY Digitally signed by VINAY
KHATTAR

vinay.khattar@edelweissfin.com KHATTAR Date: 2022.02.03 15:44:01


+05'30'

Rating Expected to

Buy appreciate more than 15% over a 12-month period

Hold appreciate between 5-15% over a 12-month period

Reduce Return below 5% over a 12-month period

200
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(Indexed)

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Jan-21
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Jan-22
DLF Sensex

Edelweiss Wealth Research 8


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Edelweiss Wealth Research 9


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Financial Markets, Asset Management and Life Insurance. There were no instances of non-compliance by EBL on any matter related to the capital markets, resulting in significant and
material disciplinary action during the last three years. This research report has been prepared and distributed by Edelweiss Broking Limited ("Edelweiss") in the capacity of a Research
Analyst as per Regulation 22(1) of SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations 2014 having SEBI Registration No.INH000000172.

Edelweiss Wealth Research 10

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