Professional Documents
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CHAPTER 7:
AI Policy and
National Strategies
Artificial Intelligence
Index Report 2021
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CHAPTER 7:
Chapter Preview
Overview 3 Working Group 15
Chapter Highlights 4 Summits and Meetings 16
Bilateral Agreements 16
7.1 NATIONAL AND REGIONAL
AI STRATEGIES 5 7.3 U.S. PUBLIC INVESTMENT IN AI 17
Published Strategies 6 Federal Budget for Non-Defense AI R&D 17
2017 6 U.S. Department of Defense
2018 7 Budget Request 18
2019 9 U.S. Government Contract Spending 19
2020 11 Total Contract Spending 19
Strategies in Development Contract Spending by
(as of December 2020) 12 Department and Agency 19
Strategies in Public Consultation 12
Strategies Announced 13 7.4 AI AND POLICYMAKING 21
Highlight: National AI Strategies Legislation Records on AI 21
and Human Rights 14 U.S. Congressional Record 22
Mentions of AI and ML in
7.2 INTERNATIONAL Congressional/Parliamentary
COLLABORATION ON AI 15 Proceedings 22
Intergovernmental Initiatives 15 Central Banks 24
U.S. AI Policy Papers 26
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Overview
AI is set to shape global competitiveness over the coming decades, promising
to grant early adopters a significant economic and strategic advantage. To
date, national governments and regional and intergovernmental organizations
have raced to put in place AI-targeted policies to maximize the promise of the
technology while also addressing its social and ethical implications.
This chapter navigates the landscape of AI policymaking and tracks efforts taking
place on the local, national, and international levels to help promote and govern AI
technologies. It begins with an overview of national and regional AI strategies and
then reviews activities on the intergovernmental level. The chapter then takes a
closer look at public investment in AI in the United States as well as how legislative
bodies, central banks, and nongovernmental organizations are responding to the
growing need to institute a policy framework for AI technologies.
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CHAPTER HIGHLIGHTS
• Since Canada published the world’s first national AI strategy in 2017, more than 30 other
countries and regions have published similar documents as of December 2020.
• The launch of the Global Partnership on AI (GPAI) and Organisation for Economic
Co-operation and Development (OECD) AI Policy Observatory and Network of Experts
on AI in 2020 promoted intergovernmental efforts to work together to support the
development of AI for all.
• In the United States, the 116th Congress was the most AI-focused congressional session in
history. The number of mentions of AI by this Congress in legislation, committee reports, and
Congressional Research Service (CRS) reports is more than triple that of the 115th Congress.
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This section presents an overview of select national and regional AI strategies from around the world, including details on
the strategies for G20 countries, Estonia, and Singapore as well as links to strategy documents for many others. Sources
include websites of national or regional governments, the OECD AI Policy Observatory (OECD.AI), and news coverage. “AI
strategy” is defined as a policy document that communicates the objective of supporting the development of AI while also
maximizing the benefits of AI for society. Excluded are broader innovation or digital strategy documents which do not focus
predominantly on AI, such as Brazil’s E-Digital Strategy and Japan’s Integrated Innovation Strategy.
COUNTRIES
WITH PUBLISHED
AI STRATEGIES: 32
COUNTRIES
DEVELOPING
AI STRATEGIES: 22
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Published Strategies
2017
Canada
• AI Strategy: Pan Canadian AI Strategy
• Responsible Organization: Canadian Institute for
Advanced Research (CIFAR)
• Highlights: The Canadian strategy emphasizes
developing Canada’s future AI workforce, supporting major
AI innovation hubs and scientific research, and positioning
the country as a thought leader in the economic, ethical,
policy, and legal implications of artificial intelligence.
• Funding (December 2020 conversion rate): CAD 125
million (USD 97 million) a multi-stakeholder coalition consisting of academic
• In November 2020, CIFAR published its most recent institutions and private-sector players such as Tencent
annual report, titled “AICAN,” which tracks progress on and Baidu.
implementing its national strategy, which highlighted
substantial growth in Canada’s AI ecosystem, as well Japan
as research and activities related to healthcare and AI’s • AI Strategy: Artificial Intelligence Technology Strategy
impact on society, among other outcomes of the strategy. • Responsible Organization: Strategic Council for AI
Technology
China • Highlights: The strategy lays out three discrete phases of
• AI Strategy: A Next Generation Artificial Intelligence AI development. The first phase focuses on the utilization
Development Plan of data and AI in related service industries, the second
• Responsible Organization: State Council for the People’s on the public use of AI and the expansion of service
Republic of China industries, and the third on creating an overarching
• Highlights: China’s AI strategy is one of the most ecosystem where the various domains are merged.
comprehensive in the world. It encompasses areas • Funding: N/A
including R&D and talent development through • Recent Updates: In 2019, the Integrated Innovation
education and skills acquisition, as well as ethical norms Strategy Promotion Council launched another AI strategy,
and implications for national security. It sets specific aimed at taking the next step forward in overcoming
targets, including bringing the AI industry in line with issues faced by Japan and making use of the country’s
competitors by 2020; becoming the global leader in fields strengths to open up future opportunities.
such as unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), voice and
image recognition, and others by 2025; and emerging as Others
the primary center for AI innovation by 2030. Finland: Finland’s Age of Artificial Intelligence
• Funding: N/A United Arab Emirates: UAE Strategy for Artificial
• Recent Updates: China established a New Generation Intelligence
AI Innovation and Development Zone in February 2019
and released the “Beijing AI Principles” in May 2019 with
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Published Strategies
2018
European Union
• AI Strategy: Coordinated Plan on Artificial Intelligence
• Responsible Organization: European Commission
• Highlights: This strategy document outlines the
commitments and actions agreed on by EU member
states, Norway, and Switzerland to increase investment
and build their AI talent pipeline. It emphasizes the value
of public-private partnerships, creating European data
spaces, and developing ethics principles.
• Funding (December 2020 conversation rate): At least
EUR 1 billion (USD 1.1 billion) per year for AI research and • Recent Updates: The French National Research Institute
at least EUR 4.9 billion (USD 5.4 billion) for other aspects for Digital Sciences (Inria) has committed to playing a
of the strategy central role in coordinating the national AI strategy and
• Recent updates: A first draft of the ethics guidelines was will report annually on its progress.
released in June 2018, followed by an updated version in
April 2019. Germany
• AI Strategy: AI Made in Germany
France • Responsible Organizations: Federal Ministry of
• AI Strategy: AI for Humanity: French Strategy for Artificial Education and Research; Federal Ministry for Economic
Intelligence Affairs and Energy; Federal Ministry of Labour and Social
• Responsible Organizations: Ministry for Higher Affairs
Education, Research and Innovation; Ministry of Economy • Highlights: The focus of the strategy is on cementing
and Finance; Directorate General for Enterprises; Public Germany as a research powerhouse and strengthening
Health Ministry; Ministry of the Armed Forces; National the value of its industries. There is also an emphasis
Research Institute for Digital Sciences; Interministerial on the public interest and working to better the lives of
Director of the Digital Technology and the Information people and the environment.
and Communication System • Funding (December 2020 conversion rate): EUR 500
• Highlights: The main themes include developing million (USD 608 million) in the 2019 budget and EUR
an aggressive data policy for big data; targeting four 3 billion (USD 3.6 billion) for the implementation up to
strategic sectors, namely health care, environment, 2025
transport, and defense; boosting French efforts in • Recent Updates: In November 2019, the government
research and development; planning for the impact of AI published an interim progress report on the Germany AI
on the workforce; and ensuring inclusivity and diversity strategy.
within the field.
• Funding (December 2020 conversion rate): EUR 1.5
billion (USD 1.8 billion) up to 2022
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2018 (continued)
India
• AI Strategy: National Strategy on
Artificial Intelligence: #AIforAll
• Responsible Organization: National Institution for
Transforming India (NITI Ayog)
• Highlights: The Indian strategy focuses on both
economic growth and ways to leverage AI to increase
social inclusion, while also promoting research to
address important issues such as ethics, bias, and
privacy related to AI. The strategy emphasizes sectors
such as agriculture, health, and education, where public
investment and government initiative are necessary.
• Funding (December 2020 conversion rate): INR 7000 United Kingdom
crore (USD 949 million) • AI Strategy: Industrial Strategy: Artificial Intelligence
• Recent Updates: In 2019, the Ministry of Electronics and Sector Deal
Information Technology released its own proposal to • Responsible Organization: Office for Artificial
set up a national AI program with an allocated INR 400 Intelligence (OAI)
crore (USD 54 million). The Indian government formed • Highlights: The U.K. strategy emphasizes a strong
a committee in late 2019 to push for an organized AI partnership between business, academia, and the
policy and establish the precise functions of government government and identifies five foundations for a
agencies to further India’s AI mission. successful industrial strategy: becoming the world’s most
innovative economy, creating jobs and better earnings
Mexico potential, infrastructure upgrades, favorable business
• AI Strategy: Artificial Intelligence Agenda MX conditions, and building prosperous communities
(2019 agenda-in-brief version) throughout the country.
• Responsible Organization: IA2030Mx, Economía • Funding (December 2020 conversion rate): GBP 950
• Highlights: As Latin America’s first strategy, the Mexican million (USD 1.3 billion)
strategy focuses on developing a strong governance • Recent Updates: Between 2017 and 2019, the U.K.’s
framework, mapping the needs of AI in various industries, Select Committee on AI released an annual report on the
and identifying governmental best practices with an country’s progress. In November 2020, the government
emphasis on developing Mexico’s AI leadership. announced a major increase in defense spending of
• Funding: N/A GBP 16.5 billion (USD 21.8 billion) over four years, with
• Recent Updates: According to the Inter-American a major emphasis on AI technologies that promise to
Development Bank’s recent fAIr LAC report, Mexico is in revolutionize warfare.
the process of establishing concrete AI policies to further
implementation. Others
Sweden: National Approach to Artificial Intelligence
Taiwan: Taiwan AI Action Plan
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Published Strategies
2019
Estonia
• AI Strategy: National AI Strategy 2019–2021
• Responsible Organization: Ministry of Economic Affairs
and Communications (MKM)
• Highlights: The strategy emphasizes actions necessary
for both the public and private sectors to take to increase
investment in AI research and development, while also
improving the legal environment for AI in Estonia. In
addition, it hammers out the framework for a steering
committee that will oversee the implementation and
monitoring of the strategy. the use of AI, developing practical measures to introduce
• Funding (December 2020 conversion rate): EUR 10 AI algorithms, providing neural network developers with
million (USD 12 million) up to 2021 competitive access to big data, and boosting private
• Recent Updates: The Estonian government released an investment in domestic AI industries.
update on the AI taskforce in May 2019.
Singapore
Russia • AI Strategy: National Artificial Intelligence Strategy
• AI Strategy: National Strategy for the Development of • Responsible Organization: Smart Nation and Digital
Artificial Intelligence Government Office (SNDGO)
• Responsible Organizations: Ministry of Digital • Highlights: Launched by Smart Nation Singapore, a
Development, Communications and Mass Media; government agency that seeks to transform Singapore’s
Government of the Russian Federation economy and usher in a new digital age, the strategy
• Highlights: The Russian AI strategy places a strong identifies five national AI projects in the following fields:
emphasis on its national interests and lays down transport and logistics, smart cities and estates, health
guidelines for the development of an “information care, education, and safety and security.
society” between 2017 and 2030. These include a • Funding (December 2020 conversion rate): While the
national technology initiative, departmental projects 2019 strategy does not mention funding, in 2017 the
for federal executive bodies, and programs such as the government launched its national program, AI Singapore,
Digital Economy of the Russian Federation, designed to with a pledge to invest SGD 150 million (USD 113 million)
implement the AI framework across sectors. over five years.
• Funding: N/A • Recent Updates: In November 2020, SNDGO published
• Recent Updates: In December 2020, Russian president its inaugural annual update on the Singaporean
Vladmir Putin took part in the Artificial Intelligence government’s data protection efforts. It describes the
Journey Conference, where he presented four ideas for AI measures taken to date to strengthen public sector data
policies: establishing experimental legal frameworks for security and to safeguard citizens’ private data.
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2019 (continued)
United States
• AI Strategy: American AI Initiative
• Responsible Organization: The White House
• Highlights: The American AI Initiative prioritizes
the need for the federal government to invest in AI
R&D, reduce barriers to federal resources, and ensure
technical standards for the safe development, testing,
and deployment of AI technologies. The White House
also emphasizes developing an AI-ready workforce and
signals a commitment to collaborating with foreign
partners while promoting U.S. leadership in AI. The
initiative, however, lacks specifics on the program’s
• Funding (December 2020 conversion rate):
timeline, whether additional research will be dedicated
KRW 2.2 trillion (USD 2 billion)
to AI development, and other practical considerations.
• Recent Updates: N/A
• Funding: N/A
• Recent Updates: The U.S. government released its
year one annual report in February 2020, followed in
Others
November by the first guidance memorandum for federal
Colombia: National Policy for Digital Transformation
and Artificial Intelligence
agencies on regulating artificial intelligence applications
in the private sector, including principles that encourage
Czech Republic: National Artificial Intelligence
Strategy of the Czech Republic
AI innovation and growth and increase public trust and
confidence in AI technologies. The National Defense
Lithuania: Lithuanian Artificial Intelligence Strategy: A
Vision for the Future
Authorization Act (NDAA) for Fiscal Year 2021 called for a
National AI Initiative to coordinate AI research and policy
Luxembourg: Artificial Intelligence: A Strategic Vision
for Luxembourg
across the federal government.
Malta: Malta: The Ultimate AI Launchpad
South Korea Netherlands: Strategic Action Plan for Artificial
Intelligence
• AI Strategy: National Strategy for Artificial Intelligence
• Responsible Organization: Ministry of Science, ICT and
Portugal: AI Portugal 2030
Future Planning (MSIP)
Qatar: National Artificial Intelligence for Qatar
• Highlights: The Korean strategy calls for plans to
facilitate the use of AI by businesses and to streamline
regulations to create a more favorable environment for
the development and use of AI and other new industries.
The Korean government also plans to leverage its
dominance in the global supply of memory chips to build
the next generation of smart chips by 2030.
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Published Strategies
2020
Indonesia
• AI Strategy: National Strategy for the Development of
Artificial Intelligence (Stranas KA)
• Responsible Organizations: Ministry of Research
and Technology (Menristek), National Research and
Innovation Agency (BRIN), Agency for the Assessment and
Application of Technology (BPPT)
• Strategy Highlights: The Indonesian strategy aims
to guide the country in developing AI between 2020
and 2045. It focuses on education and research, health
services, food security, mobility, smart cities, and public Others
sector reform. Hungary: Hungary’s Artificial Intelligence Strategy
• Funding: N/A Norway: National Strategy for Artificial Intelligence
• Recent Updates: None Serbia: Strategy for the Development of Artificial
Intelligence in the Republic of Serbia for the Period
Saudi Arabia 2020–2025
• AI Strategy: National Strategy on Data and AI (NSDAI) Spain: National Artificial Intelligence Strategy
• Responsible Organization: Saudi Data and Artificial
Intelligence Authority (SDAIA)
• Highlights: As part of an effort to diversify the country’s
economy away from oil and boost the private sector, the
NSDAI aims to accelerate AI development in five critical
sectors: health care, mobility, education, government,
and energy. By 2030, Saudi Arabia intends to train 20,000
data and AI specialists, attract USD 20 billion in foreign
and local investment, and create an environment that
will attract at least 300 AI and data startups.
• Funding: N/A
• Recent Updates: During the summit where the
Saudi government released its strategy, the country’s
National Center for Artificial Intelligence (NCAI) signed
collaboration agreements with China’s Huawei and
Alibaba Cloud to design AI-related Arabic-language
systems.
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Strategies in Development
(AS OF DECEMBER 2020)
Brazil
• AI Strategy Draft: Brazilian Artificial Intelligence Strategy
• Responsible Organization: Ministry of Science,
Technology and Innovation (MCTI)
• Highlights: Brazil’s national AI strategy was announced
in 2019 and is currently in the public consultation stage.
According to the OECD, the strategy aims to cover
relevant topics bearing on AI, including its impact on the
economy, ethics, development, education, and jobs, and Others
to coordinate specific public policies addressing such Cyprus: National Strategy for Artificial Intelligence
issues. Ireland: National Irish Strategy on Artificial Intelligence
• Funding: N/A Poland: Artificial Intelligence Development Policy in
• Recent Updates: In October 2020, the country’s largest Poland
research facility dedicated to AI was launched in Uruguay: Artificial Intelligence Strategy for Digital
collaboration with IBM, the University of São Paulo, and Government
the São Paulo Research Foundation.
Italy
• AI Strategy Draft: Proposal for an Italian Strategy for
Artificial Intelligence
• Responsible Organization: Ministry of Economic
Development (MISE)
• Highlights: This document provides the proposed
strategy for the sustainable development of AI, aimed
at improving Italy’s competitiveness in AI. It focuses on
improving AI-based skills and competencies, fostering AI
research, establishing a regulatory and ethical framework
to ensure a sustainable ecosystem for AI, and developing
a robust data infrastructure to fuel these developments.
• Funding (December 2020 conversion rate): EUR 1
billion (USD 1.1 billion) through 2025 and expected
matching funds from the private sector, bringing the total
investment to EUR 2 billion.
• Recent Updates: None
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Strategies Announced
Argentina
• Related Document: N/A
• Responsible Organization: Ministry of Science,
Technology and Productive Innovation (MINCYT)
• Status: Argentina’s AI plan is a part of the Argentine
Digital Agenda 2030 but has not yet been published. It is
intended to cover the decade between 2020 and 2030,
and reports indicate that it has the potential to reap huge
benefits for the agricultural sector.
Australia
• Related Documents: Artificial Intelligence Roadmap / on talent development, scientific research, ethics and
An AI Action Plan for all Australians inclusion, and digital infrastructure.
• Responsible Organizations: Commonwealth Scientific
and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Data 61, Others
and the Australian government Austria: Artificial Intelligence Mission Austria
• Status: The Australian government published a road (official report)
map in 2019 (in collaboration with the national science Bulgaria: Concept for the Development of Artificial
agency, CSIRO) and a discussion paper of an AI action Intelligence in Bulgaria Until 2030 (concept document)
plan in 2020 as frameworks to develop a national Chile: National AI Policy (official announcement)
AI strategy. In its 2018–19 budget, the Australian Israel: National AI Plan (news article)
government earmarked AUD 29.9 million (USD 22.2 Kenya: Blockchain and Artificial Intelligence Taskforce
million [December 2020 conversation rate]) over four (news article)
years to strengthen the country’s capabilities in AI and Latvia: On the Development of Artificial Intelligence
machine learning (ML). In addition, CSIRO published a Solutions (official report)
research paper on Australia’s AI Ethics Framework in 2019 Malaysia: National Artificial Intelligence (Al) Framework
and launched a public consultation, which is expected to (news article)
produce a forthcoming strategy document. New Zealand: Artificial Intelligence: Shaping a Future
New Zealand (official report)
Turkey Sri Lanka: Framework for Artificial Intelligence (news
• Related Document: N/A article)
• Responsible Organizations: Presidency of the Republic Switzerland: Artificial Intelligence (official guidelines)
of Turkey Digital Transformation Office; Ministry of Tunisia: National Artificial Intelligence Strategy (task
Industry and Technology; Scientific and Technological force announced)
Research Council of Turkey; Science, Technology and Ukraine: Concept of Artificial Intelligence Development
Innovation Policies Council in Ukraine AI (concept document)
• Status: The strategy has been announced but not yet Vietnam: Artificial Intelligence Development Strategy
published. According to media sources, it will focus (official announcement)
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7.2 INTERNATIONAL
COLLABORATION ON AI
Given the scale of the opportunities and the challenges Working Groups
presented by AI, a number of international efforts have Global Partnership on AI (GPAI)
recently been announced that aim to develop multilateral • Participants: Australia, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany,
AI strategies. This section provides an overview of those India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, the Netherlands, New
international initiatives from governments committed to Zealand, South Korea, Poland, Singapore, Slovenia,
working together to support the development of AI for all. Spain, the United Kingdom, the United States, and the
European Union (as of December 2020)
These multilateral initiatives on AI suggest that
• Host of Secretariat: OECD
organizations are taking a variety of approaches to
• Focus Areas: Responsible AI; data governance; the future
tackle the practical applications of AI and scale those
of work; innovation and commercialization
solutions for maximum global impact. Many countries
• Recent Activities: Two International Centres of
turn to international organizations for global AI norm
Expertise—the International Centre of Expertise in
formulation, while others engage in partnerships or
Montreal for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence
bilateral agreements. Among the topics under discussion,
and the French National Institute for Research in Digital
the ethics of AI—or the ethical challenges raised by current
Science and Technology (INRIA) in Paris—are supporting
and future applications of AI—stands out as a particular
the work in the four focus areas and held the Montreal
focus area for intergovernmental efforts.
Summit 2020 in December 2020. Moreover, the data
Countries such as Japan, South Korea, the United governance working group published the beta version of
Kingdom, the United States, and members of the European the group’s framework in November 2020.
Union are active participants of intergovernmental
OECD Network of Experts on AI (ONE AI)
efforts on AI. A major AI powerhouse, China, on the other
• Participants: OECD countries
hand, has opted to engage in a number of science and
• Host: OECD
technology bilateral agreements that stress cooperation
• Focus Areas: Classification of AI; implementing
on AI as part of the Digital Silk Road under the Belt
trustworthy AI; policies for AI; AI compute
and Road (BRI) initiative framework. For example, AI is
• Recent Activities: ONE AI convened its first meeting in
mentioned in China’s economic cooperation under the BRI
February 2020, when it also launched the OECD AI Policy
Initiative with the United Arab Emirates.
Observatory. In November 2020, the working group on
I N T E R G OV E R N M E N TA L the classification of AI presented the first look at an AI
I N I T I AT I V E S classification framework based on OECD’s definition of AI
Intergovernmental working groups consist of experts and divided into four dimensions (context, data and input, AI
policymakers from member states who study and report model, task and output) that aims to guide policymakers
on the most urgent challenges related to developing and in designing adequate policies for each type of AI system.
deploying AI and then make recommendations based on High-Level Expert Group on Artificial Intelligence (HLEG)
their findings. These groups are instrumental in identifying • Participants: EU countries
and developing strategies for the most pressing issues in AI • Host: European Commission
technologies and their applications. • Focus Areas: Ethics guidelines for trustworthy AI
•R ecent Activities: Since its launch at the recommendation
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This section examines public investment in AI in the United States based on data from the U.S. Networking and Information
Technology Research and Development (NITRD) program and Bloomberg Government.
0
2020 (Request) 2020 (Enacted) 2021 (Request)
Figure 7.3.1
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U.S. D E PA R T M E N T O F D E F E N S E A I The top five projects set to receive the highest amount of
R& D B U D G E T R E Q U E S T AI R&D investment in FY 2021:
While the official DOD budget is not publicly available, • Rapid Capability Development and Maturation, by the
Bloomberg Government has analyzed the department’s U.S. Army (USD 284.2 million)
publicly available budget request for research, • Counter WMD Technologies and Capabilities
development, test, and evaluation (RDT&E)— data that Development, by the DOD Threat Reduction Agency
sheds light on its spending on AI R&D. (USD 265.2 million)
• Algorithmic Warfare Cross-Functional Team (Project
With 305 unclassified DOD R&D programs specifying the use Maven), by the Office of the Secretary of Defense (USD
of AI or ML technologies, the combined U.S. military budget 250.1 million)
for AI R&D in FY 2021 is USD 5.0 billion (Figure 7.3.2). This • Joint Artificial Intelligence Center (JAIC), by the Defense
figure appears consistent with the USD 5.0 billion enacted Information Systems Agency (USD 132.1 million)
the previous year. However, the FY 2021 figure reflects • High Performance Computing Modernization Program,
a budget request, rather than a final enacted budget. by the U.S. Army (USD 99.6 million)
As noted above, once congressional appropriations are In addition, the Defense Advanced Research Projects
factored in, the true level of funding available to DOD AI R&D Agency (DARPA) alone is investing USD 568.4 million in AI
programs in FY 2021 may rise substantially. R&D, an increase of USD 82 million from FY 2020.
U.S. DOD BUDGET for AI-SPECIFIC RESEARCH DEVELOPMENT, TEST, and EVALUATION (RDT&E), FY 2018-20
Sources: Bloomberg Government & U.S. Department of Defense, 2020 | Chart: 2021 AI Index Report
5,000
Budget (in Millions of U.S. Dollars)
4,000
3,000
DOD Reported
2,000 Budget on AI R&D DOD Reported
Budget on AI R&D
0
2018 (Enacted) 2019 (Enacted) 2020 (Enacted) 2021 (Request)
Figure 7.3.2
Important data caveat: This chart illustrates the challenge of working with contemporary government data sources
to understand spending on AI. By one measure—the requests that include AI-relevant keywords—the DOD is requesting
more than USD 5 billion for AI-specific research development in 2021 . However, DOD’s own accounting produces a
radically smaller number: USD 841 million. This relates to the issue of defining where an AI system ends and another
system begins; for instance, an initiative that uses AI for drones may also count hardware-related expenditures for the
drones within its “AI” budget request, though the AI software component will be much smaller.
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2,000 1,837
Contract Spending (in Millions of U.S. Dollars)
1,500
1,000
500
0
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Figure 7.3.3
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still in the early stages of driving DOD’s AI spending. In Warfighter program, and another to Deloitte Consulting for
2020, JAIC awarded two massive contracts, one to Booz a four-year, USD 106 million enterprise cloud environment
Allen Hamilton for the five-year, USD 800 million Joint for the JAIC, known as the Joint Common Foundation.
TOP 10 CONTRACT SPENDING on AI by U.S. GOVERNMENT DEPARTMENT and AGENCY, 2001-20 (SUM)
Source: Bloomberg Government, 2020 | Chart: 2021 AI Index Report
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500 486
300
70
200
149
66
100 173
39
22 17 15 16
4 7 10 8 44
0
107Th 108Th 109Th 110Th 111Th 112Th 113Th 114Th 115Th 116th
(2001-2002) (2003-2004) (2005-2006) (2007-2008) (2009-2010) (2011-2012) (2013-2014) (2015-2016) (2017-2018) (2019-2020)
Figure 7.4.1
1 If a speaker or member mentioned artificial intelligence (AI) or machine learning (ML) multiple times within remarks, or multiple speakers mentioned AI or ML within the same event, it appears only
once as a result. Counts for AI and ML are separate, as they were conducted in separate searches. Mentions of the abbreviations “AI” or “ML” are not included.
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140
129
120
120
28
28
Machine Learning
100
Artificial Intelligence 92
Number of Mentions
80 25
60
101
92
40
67
27
20
8 9 23
0 7 1 1 1 6
0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Figure 7.4.2
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300
283
37
250
Machine Learning
Number of Mentions
150 138
246
100
179
158
138
51
50
42
7 4 5
0 0 1
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Figure 7.4.3
40 38
Machine Learning 3
34
Artificial Intelligence
30
Number of Mentions
21
20 18
35
33
21
10
17
0 0 0 0 0 0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Figure 7.4.4
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C E N T R A L BA N KS
Central banks play a key role in conducting currency and Figure 7.4.5 shows a significant increase in the mention
monetary policy in a country or a monetary union. As of AI across 16 central banks over the past 10 years,
with many other institutions, central banks are tasked with the number reaching a peak of 1,020 in 2019. The
with integrating AI into their operations and relying on sharp decline in 2020 can be explained by the COVID-19
big data analytics to assist them with forecasting, risk pandemic as most central bank communications focused
management, and financial supervision. on responses to the economic downturn. Moreover,
the Federal Reserve in the United States, Norges Bank
Prattle, a leading provider of automated investment
in Norway, and the European Central Bank top the
research solutions, monitors mentions of AI in the
list for the most aggregated number of AI mentions in
communications of central banks, including meeting
communications in the past five years (Figure 7.4.6).
minutes, monetary policy papers, press releases,
speeches, and other official publications.
1,000
800
Number of Mentions
600
400
200 225
0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Figure 7.4.5
2 See Science & Technology Review and Scientific American for more details.
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MENTIONS of AI in CENTRAL BANK COMMUNICATIONS around THE WORLD by BANK, 2016-20 (SUM)
Source: Prattle/LiquidNet, 2020 | Chart: 2021 AI Index Report
Federal Reserve
Norges Bank
European Central Bank
Reserve Bank of India
Bank of England
Bank of Israel
Bank of Japan
Bank of Korea
Reserve Bank of Australia
Reserve bank of New Zealand
Bank of Taiwan
Bank of Canada
Sveriges Riksbank
Swedish Riksbank
Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey
Central Bank of Brazil
0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000
Number of Mentions
Figure 7.4.6
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U.S. A I P O L I CY PA P E R S
What are the AI policy initiatives outside national and for policymakers. Primary topics mean that such a topic is
intergovernmental governments? We monitored 42 the main focus of the policy paper, while secondary topics
prominent organizations that deliver policy papers on mean that the policy paper either briefly touches on the
topics related to AI and assessed the primary topic as topic or the topic is a sub-focus of the paper.
well as the secondary topic on policy papers published Combined data for 2019 and 2020 suggests that the topics
in 2019 and 2020. (See the Appendix for a complete list of innovation and technology, international affairs and
of organizations included.) Those organizations are international security, and industry and regulation are
either U.S.-based or have a sizable presence in the United the main focuses of AI policy papers in the United States
States, and we grouped them into three categories: think (Figure 7.4.7). Fewer documents placed a primary focus
tanks, policy institutes and academia (27); civil society on topics related to AI ethics—such as ethics, equity and
organizations, associations and consortiums (9); and inclusion; privacy, safety and security; and justice and law
industry and consultancy (6). enforcement—which have largely been secondary topics.
AI policy papers are defined as research papers, research Moreover, topics bearing on the physical sciences, energy
reports, blog posts, and briefs that focus on a specific policy and environment, humanities, and democracy have
issue related to AI and provide clear recommendations received the least attention in U.S. AI policy papers.
Ethics
Physical Sciences
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APPENDIX
Index Report 2021 N AT I O N A L S T R AT E G I E S
APPENDIX
B LO O M B E R G G OV E R N M E N T congressional documents, including bills, amendments,
Bloomberg Government (BGOV) is a subscription- bill summaries, Congressional Budget Office
based market intelligence service designed to make assessments, reports published by congressional
U.S. government budget and contracting data more committees, Congressional Research Service (CRS), and
accessible to business development and government others. For the section “U.S. Congressional Record,”
affairs professionals. BGOV’s proprietary tools ingest BGOV analysts identified all legislation (passed or
and organize semi-structured government data sets introduced), congressional committee reports, and
and documents, enabling users to track and forecast CRS reports that referenced one or more of a dozen AI-
investment in key markets. specific keywords. Results are organized by a two-year
congressional session.
Methodology
The BGOV data included in this section was drawn from LIQUIDNET
three original sources: Prepared by Jeffrey Banner and Steven Nichols
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APPENDIX
Index Report 2021 N AT I O N A L S T R AT E G I E S
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APPENDIX
Index Report 2021 N AT I O N A L S T R AT E G I E S
Institution, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, security, national security, autonomous weapons
Cato Institute, Center for a New American Security, • Justice & Law Enforcement: civil justice, criminal justice,
Center for Strategic and International Studies, Council social justice, police, public safety, courts
on Foreign Relations, Georgetown Center for Security • Communications & Media: social media, disinformation,
and Emerging Technology (CSET), Harvard Belfer Center, media markets, deepfakes
Harvard Berkman Klein Center, Heritage Foundation, • Government & Public Administration: federal
Hudson Institute, MacroPolo, MIT Internet Policy Research government, state government, local government, public
Initiative, New America Foundation, NYU AI Now Institute, sector efficiency, public sector effectiveness, government
Princeton School of Public and International Affairs, RAND services, government benefits, government programs,
Corporation, Rockefeller Foundation, Stanford Institute public works, public transportation
for Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence (HAI), Stimson • Democracy: elections, rights, freedoms, liberties,
Center, Urban Institute, Wilson Center. personal freedoms
• Industry & Regulation: economy, antitrust, M&A,
Civil Society, Associations & Consortiums: Not-for profit
competition, finance, management, supply chain,
institutions including community-based organizations
telecom, economic regulation, technical standards,
and NGOs advocating for a range of societal issues. We
autonomous vehicle industry & regulation
included the following nine organizations: Algorithmic
• Innovation & Technology: advancements and
Justice League, Alliance for Artificial Intelligence in
improvements in AI technology, R&D, intellectual
Healthcare, Amnesty International, EFF, Future of Privacy
property, patents, entrepreneurship, innovation
Forum, Human Rights Watch, IJIS, Institute for Electrical
ecosystems, startups, computer science, engineering
and Electronics Engineers, Partnership on AI
• Education & Skills: early childhood, K-12, higher
Industry & Consultancy: Professional practices providing education, STEM, schools, classrooms, reskilling
expert advice to clients and large industry players. We • Workforce & Labor: labor supply and demand, talent,
included six prominent organizations in this space: Accenture, immigration, migration, personnel economics, future of
Bain & Co., BCG, Deloitte, Google AI, McKinsey & Company work
• Social & Behavioral Sciences: sociology, linguistics,
Methodology
anthropology, ethnic studies, demography, geography,
Each broad topic area is based on a collection of underlying
psychology, cognitive science
keywords that describes the content of the specific paper.
• Humanities: arts, music, literature, language,
We included 17 topics that represented the majority of
performance, theater, classics, history, philosophy,
discourse related to AI between 2019-2020. These topic
religion, cultural studies
areas and the associated keywords are listed below.
• Equity & Inclusion: biases, discrimination, gender,
• Health & Biological Sciences: medicine, healthcare
race, socioeconomic inequality, disabilities, vulnerable
systems, drug discovery, care, biomedical research,
populations
insurance, health behaviors, COVID-19, global health
• Privacy, Safety & Security: anonymity, GDPR,
• Physical Sciences: chemistry, physics, astronomy, earth
consumer protection, physical safety, human control,
science
cybersecurity, encryption, hacking
• Energy & Environment: Energy costs, climate change,
• Ethics: transparency, accountability, human
energy markets, pollution, conservation, oil & gas,
values, human rights, sustainability, explainability,
alternative energy
interpretability, decision-making norms
• International Affairs & International Security:
international relations, international trade, developing
countries, humanitarian assistance, warfare, regional
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