Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Sitakanta Mishra
The contemporary strategic discourse fervently pores and mulls over the unfolding
India-China rivalry and suggests: Is a new Cold War at play between the emerging
Asian neighbours in the 21st century? Surprisingly, the debate is speciously square
within the archaic Cold War narrative, as if the current strategic scholarship has run
out of the appropriate lexicon. It would be convenient to propound that the India-
China rivalry, termed as the “New Cold War”,1 will not be fought over ideology like
the old Cold War between the former Soviet Union and USA in the last century.
But the immediate theatre and theme of their rivalry is to jostle for more space in,
and dominance over, Asia and beyond. Whatever may be the equation, the strategic
debate in vogue is marked by competing narratives, first over the question: “If this
is the Asian century, who does it belong to”?—even though such a phenomenon, by
all reckoning, seems preordained; secondly, over the emerging strategic alignments
in Southern Asia that bring a sense of imminent rivalry between China and India,
whether India will be able to surpass China, and how soon, since the huge disparity
between them is all-pervasive.
This study, while refuting the extrapolation of Cold War narratives to the unfolding
India-China faceoff in Asia, propounds that the “rivalry is over Connectivity-Corridors
(Con-Cor)” across Afro-Eurasia, during which China will remain as a friend, enemy, rival,
and investor for India at the same time—what many refer to as ‘coopetition’—i.e., the
concomitance of all five equations of “conflict, competition, coexistence, cooperation and
collusion”!2 Largely, the unfolding India-China rivalry involving connectivity-corridors
to recreate Asia’s geography for securing access to strategic places, and consequent
contentions between them, will determine the order in the Asian Century. As rightly
observed by India’s former National Security Adviser S. Jaishankar, “Connectivity itself
has emerged as a theatre of present-day geopolitics.… The interactive dynamic between
204 ASIAN DEFENCE REVIEW 2019
Whose Century?
The idea of an ‘Asian Century’ can be traced back to the 1950s that were filled with ‘anti-
colonial’ vigour. The early intellectual exercise on this was The Asian Century: A History
of Modern Nationalism in Asia by Jan Romein in 1956. Subsequently, in the 1980s, the
‘Asian Miracle’ by Japan and the ‘Asian Tigers’ led commentators to propagate that
the Confucian model would lead to an ‘Asian Century’ even though China was not yet
the most prominent Asian member. But that model, or the Asian Century ‘Mark-1’, had
proven to be a “false start”.
“A Mark-2 ‘Asian Century’ is now being bandied about, but with a different focus”
than the talk of Asian Tigers during the 1980s and 1990s.4 Today, although a scenario is
set for an Asian Century to emerge with the prediction by the International Monetary Fund
(IMF) that Asia will account for over 40 percent of global Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
by 2030, there exists no consensus on ‘who does it belong to’? Zachary Keck believes that
“this century is not so much Asia’s century as China’s … not because China will be the
only large economy, if the rosy projections of Asia’s rise come to pass, but rather because
whether these projections come to pass at all will largely depend on China.”5 He further
says, “The other way by which China will determine whether an Asian Century is realized
or not is through the success or failure of its economic rebalancing. If the rebalance is
unsuccessful and China experiences a hard landing or a lost decade or two, it will bring
down most of Asia with it. This is because China has become such an integral part of
other Asian countries’ economies as a result of trade”6 and this is likely to be hastened
through the connectivity-corridors it is carving all around. On the other hand, Martin Wolf
asserts that we should not conclude that “an autocratic China is sure to become the world’s
dominant power in the next few decades”; and “the future might not belong to China”.7
Samir Saran, on the other hand, finds that “the ‘Asian Century’ might actually belong to
India, not China” as India has set out with its ‘21st Century project’ “to break the Chinese
stranglehold in the Asian imagination of its future.”8 But the larger question is: in what
aspects will India surpass China?
THE CON-COR WAR 205
Gungwu says it is the “age of new paradigms” in the international system which “reflects
geopolitical and geoeconomic changes, and with it, the talk of ‘power transitions’ in
the international system.”14 With the rise of China and India, we are likely to see more
paradigm shifts, or situational changes to come, in Asia in particular, and in the power
configuration of the world at large.
As noted earlier, the debate over the Asian Century and who it belongs to is
inconclusive. It is certain that the 21st century is turning out to be the “century of
China and India” with a thrust on cooperation between them. This has been emphasised
repeatedly by none other than various Chinese political leaders and scholars. For
instance, Deng Xiaoping was recorded saying to Rajiv Gandhi in 1988 that “unless both
India and China become well developed, there is no such thing as an Asian Century”.15
Wen Jiabao, while recalling his visit to India in April 2005, had reportedly stated that the
Sino-Indian strategic partnership had reached a “historic stage” and he fondly hoped that
their “fraternal friendship” could usher in a “true Asian Century”.16 President Hu Jintao,
during his visit to India in November 2006, termed the rise of India and China as “central
not only to rise of new Asian Century but to a new world order”.17 He desired win-
win cooperation between India and China for achieving mutual development through
trade and business which he linked to the realisation of the Asian Century.18 Furthermore,
Chinese President Xi Jinping in his article in The Hindu (September 2014) expressed
confidence over the realisation of the Asian Century at an early date if China and India
work together.19
The Indian political leaders equally have been vocal about the paradigm of an Asian
Century and the imperatives of India-China cooperation. India’s former Prime Minister
Atal Bihari Vajpayee, in his inaugural address at the first India-Association of Southeast
Asian Nations (ASEAN) Business Summit in October 2002, welcomed how “the 21st
century will be the Asian century. This is not mere rhetoric. The centre of gravity of the
world is shifting”, for “in one form or the other, Asia is set to dominate the politics and
economics of this century”.20 In 2005, Member of Parliament Jairam Ramesh authored a
book titled Making Sense of Chindia that referred to China and India together in general
as friends but not “natural enemies”, though “there will be competition and, sometimes,
some confrontation perhaps as well”.21 Similarly, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh had
reiterated similar message at the 2005 East Asia Summit:
I am convinced that the 21st Century will be an Indian century. The world will once
again look at us with regard and respect, not just for the economic progress we make
but for the democratic values we cherish and uphold, and the principles of pluralism
THE CON-COR WAR 207
and inclusiveness we have come to represent and which is India’s heritage. … I reiterate
India’s commitment to work with ASEAN and other East Asian countries to make the
21st century truly an Asian century. 22
On December 20, 2018, India’s External Affairs Minister Sushma Swaraj said in the
inaugural session of a seminar in New Delhi, “With the regional and international roles of
India and China evolving, there are expectations from the two countries to lead Asia and usher
in an Asian Century”.23 From all these pronouncements, one can sense how the euphoria of
the Asian Century is pervasive in the strategic community of both countries. The strategic
community on both sides and elsewhere stress the India-China ‘setting’ continuously.
An elaborate survey of the literature on the Asian Century debate is furnished by David
Scott in his article “The 21st Century as Whose Century?” in the Journal of World-Systems
Research in 2008. He brings out the fact that the talk of an Asian Century is premised on the
rapid economic growth that China and India have registered during the last few decades.
In fact, China’s economy had quickly boomed in the 1990s and India’s economy started to
boom a decade later. As Jeffrey D. Sachs puts it, “Welcome to the Asian Century. By 2050,
China, and may be India, will overtake the US economy in size”.24 So the paradigm of the
Asian Century is essentially an economic-driven “tripolar century with China and India
rising up towards and eventually past the USA.”25 The return of Japan and its equation with
the two countries will largely determine the shape of Asian geopolitics even though the
USA will remain a major player. But the answer to the question of “whose Asian Century,
China’s or India’s?” would be based on assumptions only. Jim Hoagland and William Pesek
view that “the forces that will determine which nations will dominate the 21st century
may yet favor India’s emerging reach for global power status more than China’s.”26 This
assumption is backed by the argument that India’s bigger deregulated economy, brings with
it a bigger entrepreneurial grassroots potential, so that India will “outdo” China27, and that
consequently “India will lead in the Asian century”.28
Undeniably, all these points of view have some logic and truth in them. But both China
and India are beset with many divisive forces, demographic loopholes, and domestic
constraints which would hinder the intended progress. “Asia’s rise is not inevitable,
individual drivers could fall back; China’s regime could go into political meltdown ….”
India’s economy might seize up amidst internal divisive forces. Therefore, the euphoria
of the ‘Asian century’ may prove to be ‘hubris’,”29 with so many problems confronting
Asia, one has to be modest in self-estimation. Similarly, in which way the India-China
equations would evolve is anybody’s guess. When Western scholars presume China-USA
equations within a warring framework, calling it the ‘Thucydides Trap’, will not the same
208 ASIAN DEFENCE REVIEW 2019
happen between India and China? Can China accommodate India as an equal partner in
Asia? “As an Asian power, China never proposed a multipolar Asia. Chinese diplomats
avoid discussing this concept. From all indications, it is clear China is pursuing the
structure of a unipolar Asia, China being that pole.”30 But the evolving quadrilateral
grouping among India, Japan, USA and Australia (or the ‘Quad’) might culminate in
another pole opposite to China.
Suffice to say, as per SD Muni’s views, both the competing and mutually incompatible
narratives of India-China relations are evolving simultaneously to shape the contours of
the Asian Century. Therefore, “an Asian Century will take a credible form only when
the cooperative narrative overtakes the conflictual one.”31 Muni further says that in the
Chinese perceptions and strategic calculations, India’s growing strategic proximity with
the US is a willing endorsement of the “US traditional balance of power strategy to
put Asians against Asians” to constrain and contain China’s rise. “The more India gets
closer to the USA, the more China pleads with it to keep the distance.… For India, its
trust deficit with China can only be bridged if and when China moves to resolve the
border dispute in an amicable manner. China also needs to desist from using Pakistan as a
counter balance and encroaching upon India’s strategic space” in its backyard. Therefore,
“the prospects of an Asian Century hang on the extent to which India and China would
measure up to each other’s expectations in reinforcing and consolidating the narrative of
cooperative and constructive engagement.”32 Without a cooperative framework between
India and China, an Asian Century will not materialise.
as the “typical Cold War mentality” Zhaohui advised India to shed this for closer Indo-
Pacific ties.34 Essentially, China thinks the Quad is aimed at containing China’s ‘peaceful
rise’, even though the grouping is yet to devise its formal institutional mechanisms. On
the contrary, India perceives China’s active involvement in South Asia as encirclement
of India. China’s infrastructure projects in the neighbourhood, which it terms as
‘developmental engagement’ or development partnership and not strategic partnership,
are viewed by India as China’s direct interference in its backyard.35
China’s involvement in South Asia is largely part of its search for alternative trading
routes to ensure uninterrupted energy supply and its mercantile trade in the Indian Ocean.
Given India’s dominant presence in the Indian Ocean—what China regards as its ‘Malacca
Dilemma’—Beijing is desperate to exploit alternative routes to feed its periphery through
the construction of a chain of sea-ports or waterways in India’s neighbourhood – Gwadar,
Hambantota, Chittagong, Sittwe, etc.;—what many call its ‘string of pearls’ strategy. China
is planning to build a new canal between the Pacific and Indian Oceans—the Kra canal—a
135-km canal through the Thai isthmus between the Gulf of Thailand and the Andaman
Sea, that would reduce some 1,200 km (or two to three days) of the journey for ships
travelling from China to the Indian Ocean.36 In addition, the Indo-US strategic partnership,
linked up with the ‘US pivot’ strategy, compels China to get involved in South Asia. In
response, India has embarked on a strategic and economic counter-strategy of the ‘necklace
of diamonds’, consisting of access to bases like Changi in Singapore, Duqm in Oman,
Sabang in Indonesia, Chabahar in Iran, strategic partnership with Vietnam and Japan,
Farkhor air base in Tajikistan, etc. Whatever their strategy and counter-strategy may be, the
underlying objective of both countries is to secure, or access, energy sources and supply,
through investment partnerships in massive connectivity-corridor projects.
The India-China competition, in fact, is unfolding through aggressive connectivity-
corridor projects spanning Asia, Africa and Europe. Some of the projects are already
complete and many more have been planned. As these projects are time consuming,
India and China would find themselves in a long-drawn connectivity-corridor war
(competition) or the Con-Cor War in the decades ahead. Essentially, connectivity
should diffuse rivalries and regional tensions; but in the absence of any agreed security
architecture in Asia, this could give rise to unhealthy and unavoidable competitiveness.
A strong drive for ‘connectivity’ would remain the mainstay of the Asian strategic
theatre for the foreseeable future, and both China and India are set to push forward; but the
key issue is whether they will build their connectivity through consultative processes or
more unilateral decisions. Prior to the BRI itself, there were a few multilateral consultative
connectivity initiatives pursued by India and China involving their neighbours. For
example, the Bangladesh-China-India-Myanmar (BCIM) Economic Corridor launched
in the early 1990s; the Twenty-First Century Maritime Silk Road (MSR) in the Indian
Ocean Region that China planned as a multilateral project. However, the current wave of
the respective connectivity-corridor initiatives by them seems aimed to use them as “a set
of tools to influence other countries’ foreign policy choices” in the region.41 Especially,
until the BRI by China, India did not perceive any threat to its stature and control in the
neighbourhood. As India at the moment cannot match China’s investment capability,
New Delhi views Beijing’s influence in the region as being at the expense of its own
status as a regional leader. In the absence of any agreed security architecture in Asia,
competition involving connectivity-corridor projects by them would give rise to flash
points of conflict, rather than diffusing national rivalries.
Asia and the Indian Ocean”.52 Some of its connectivity projects, named as the “Cotton
Road”,53 are viewed to be counter proposals to the Chinese projects while some others
are based on its economic imperatives and big power ambition. In principle, India’s
official response to the Chinese connectivity corridor projects “has been cautious and
relatively muted” though India is deeply concerned about their strategic implications.54
At the outset, India has more immediate and specific concerns pertaining to the CPEC
that passes through PoK. India understands that extremism should be countered with
the assimilation of underdeveloped inaccessible regions into the national mainstream
through developmental projects but not at the cost of national sovereignty. Therefore,
India registered a muted protest and boycotted the CPEC meeting.
Meanwhile, India had to manage two specific challenges: first, how to provide
lucrative alternative connectivity projects to take along its small neighbours that are
otherwise eager to collaborate with the Chinese projects; second, how to muster the
required resources to lay down a viable trans-regional connectivity infrastructure to
establish itself as a formidable economic player. In either case, competition will ramp up
between the two Asian colossi as their natural spheres of influence intersect. So, as aptly
put by India’s former Foreign Secretary S. Jaishankar, “The key issue is whether we will
build our connectivity through constructive processes or more unilateral decisions.”55
China’s unilateral decision to build the CPEC through PoK conveys that it is impervious
to the reality and India’s concerns.
Given its limited resources and domestic economic compulsions, New Delhi plans
and executes its Con-Cor strategy modestly. It collaborates with like-minded partners to
make its plans multilateral and cooperative. India’s most important connectivity project is
the trade and transit corridor from Chabahar in Iran to Afghanistan. India has contributed
to this network with the Zaranj-Delaram highway which has the greatest strategic value
as it provides unimpeded access to Afghanistan, and enables India and Iran to contribute
together to the stability of Afghanistan.
Another important connectivity initiative that India has planned prior to the One Belt,
One Road (OBOR) (September 2000) is the International North-South Transport Corridor
(INSTC). It is a 7,200-km-long multi-modal connectivity project to establish transport
networks (ship, rail, and road route) among India, Russia, Iran, Europe and Central Asia
for moving freight. The main objective of the corridor is to increase trade connectivity
among major cities such as Mumbai, Moscow, Tehran, Baku, Bandar Abbas, Astrakhan,
Bandar Anzali and other cities. The route is “30% cheaper and 40% shorter than the current
traditional route”. For India, it provides access to the lucrative markets of Central Asia, by-
passing the transit through Pakistan. The potential benefits of this route would be manifold
THE CON-COR WAR 215
if India can bring on board its Southeast Asian neighbours too. The Suez Canal route takes
45-60 days, whereas the INSTC would take 25-30 days.56 Turkey has offered to provide
the necessary information for linking the Black Sea Cooperation (BSEC) with INSTC for
mutual benefit.57
In the immediate neighbourhood, India plans to invest $5 billion in connectivity
projects. As mentioned by India’s former Economic Affairs Secretary Shaktikanta
Das in May 2016, India is “planning to establish Integrated Customs Ports (ICPs) and
improved Land Customs Stations (LCS) at key border points with Bangladesh, Nepal
and Bhutan to ease the movement of goods and people within the sub-region”. Other
connectivity projects include the development of the Andaman and Nicobar Islands
in the Bay of Bengal into a maritime hub, including a dry dock and a ship-building
facility. India and Sri Lanka have principally agreed to jointly operate the World
War II era oil storage facility in Trincomalee as a petroleum hub in the strategically
located port in Sri Lanka.58
India is also developing two priority road corridor projects along with the East Coast
Economic Corridor (ECEC) with the support of the Asian Development Bank (ADB).59
The India-Mekong Economic Corridor (IMEC) and East-West and Southern Corridors
are collaborative initiatives between India and Japan. The IMEC aims to connect the
Kenya-Tanzania-Mozambique (KTM) growth zone through the Jawaharlal Nehru and
Kochi ports. The India-Japan initiative, called the Freedom Corridor, stretching from
the Asia-Pacific to Africa, aims at stabilising the region amid Chinese designs.60 As
an embodiment of India’s “Act East” policy, the trilateral highways project aims to
connect India’s northeast to Myanmar and Thailand. The East-West Corridor runs from
Myanmar’s coastal city of Mawlamyine to the Vietnamese one of Da Nang by means
of Thai and Laotian transit territory. This initiative is a bridge between South Asia
and ASEAN. To develop connectivity through water, ASEAN and India are working
on the Kaladan Multi-Modal Transit Transport Project (KMMTTP), initiated in 2008,
entirely funded by India. Alongside, India has contributed to the construction of a sea
link via Sittwe port in Myanmar in order to have an alternative transit route through
Bangladesh.61
Besides the trilateral highway, India and Japan are collaborating on developing the
Andaman and Nicobar Islands into a maritime hub, including a dry dock and a ship-
building facility. This would “allow the Indo-Japanese Axis to control access to and from
the Bay of Bengal and the Strait of Malacca as well as to protect the two coastal termini
points for the East-West and Southern Corridors in Myanmar.”62 The strategy around
this part of the world indicates that while “India is becoming more active on one side of
216 ASIAN DEFENCE REVIEW 2019
Indochina in the South China Sea, Japan is doing the same in the Bay of Bengal.… This
incipient process will impact South Asia, potentially diminishing the Chinese merchant
and military navy’s strategic freedom in this part of Greater South Asia.”63
An OBOR-related project that involves India and China directly is the Bangladesh-
China-India-Myanmar Economic Corridor (BCIM-EC), endorsed in December 2013
with the plan for a combination of infrastructure set-up from Kolkata to Kunming in
Southeast China, at a cost of $22 billion.64 This project symbolises that China does not
have the monopoly for envisaging major connectivity projects in Asia, and India can be
a credible partner; unfortunately, every country has serious identity-centric vulnerability
that hinders the fructification of the project.
In East Africa, New Delhi and Tokyo jointly focus mostly on the Kenya-Tanzania-
Mozambique (KTM) growth zone which is “positioned right in the centre of the
Ethiopian/Egyptian-South African Silk Road. … India’s impressive trade with KTM was
already occurring even before most of China’s Silk Road projects were completed.”65
India has also got into the game of seeking overseas bases, though it failed to convince
Seychelles to build military infrastructure on Assumption Island recently. However,
Mauritius is stationing the National Command Control Communication Intelligence
network of the Indian Navy and India’s security grid, including the Coastal Surveillance
Radar (CSR).66 As far as the Chinese military base in Djibouti is concerned, it seems to
be much hyped for the fact that Djibouti is already hosting multiple military bases of
countries like Japan, America, France and a Saudi facility which is under construction.
There are multiple players in Africa and it is not entirely pro-Beijing only. Undoubtedly,
China is investing heavily in physical infrastructure and is also physically present across
Africa; something which India needs to contemplate.
Furthermore, at the 52nd Annual Meeting (May 24, 2017) of the African Development
Bank (AfDB) held in Gujarat (India), the idea of an Asia-Africa Growth Corridor
(AAGC) was unveiled jointly by New Delhi and Tokyo.67 The AAGC is a consultative
initiative which is essentially a sea corridor to link Africa with India and other countries
of Southeast Asia and Oceania. “There is a plan to connect ports in Jamnagar with
Djibouti in the Gulf of Aden. Similarly, the ports of Mombasa and Zanzibar will be
connected to ports near Madurai; Kolkata will be linked to Sittwe port in Myanmar and
India is developing ports under the Sagarmala programme specifically for this purpose.”68
The ultimate objective of AAGC is to build robust institutional, industrial and transport
infrastructure in Asia and Africa. India is already the fifth biggest investor in Africa and
has offered a $10 billion line of credit which will help finance projects in the African
countries.69
THE CON-COR WAR 217
One significant difference between India and China’s Con-Cor strategy is the number
of players involved on each side. While the Chinese projects are almost unilaterally
designed and executed with the involvement of small host countries in the region, India’s
are truly multilateral, involving external players and regional like-minded countries.
Besides Japan, India is cooperating with France to get access to bases in the Indian
and Southern Pacific Oceans.70 Second, China is pursuing connectivity projects more
aggressively, given its current economic prowess. India, on the other hand, is modest in
its pace, while taking along all the interested players in the region and beyond.
Conclusion
The list of Con-Cor projects by India and China is likely to expand in the years ahead;
consequently, their competition for access to strategic places in different parts of the
world will intensify. The already “complex relationship”71 between them is likely to get
further complicated due to the competing and overlapping spheres of influence in which
they operate. Moreover, as they grow, their spheres of influence would grow, thereby
the rivalry could encompass the entire globe in the years ahead. The thriving ‘security
dilemma’ could affect their military build-up strategies seriously. Their ambitious visions
of global power status and consequent endeavours may lead them towards collisions. The
crisis over Doklam in Bhutan is one such example where both powers came dangerously
close to a military showdown.
Evidently, China wishes to restore its rightful superpower status by 2049 by invoking
its “dream of great national rejuvenation.”72 With its immensely ambitious BRI, Beijing
clearly intends to go far beyond Deng’s goals and make China the economic engine
of the world.73 On the other hand, in its march towards global power status, India is
jostling for more space in the region and beyond. First, China’s engagement in India’s
backyard has prompted New Delhi to resort to a counter-engagement strategy, clubbing
with China’s traditional competitors. Second, in the pursuit of securing resource supply
to fuel and sustain its desired economic growth, India is bound to stretch its legs to
places where China is already present. Whether such competition would lead to military
conflict is difficult to predict at this juncture. At best, to speculate about a collision
in their immediate neighbourhood is not unrealistic. Doklam-type skirmishes could
emerge in the intersection areas of their influence. But, presently, both India and China
cannot afford a full-scale war for practical reasons. Most likely, both countries would
aggressively pursue their own Con-Cor projects, polarising their spheres of influence,
while desiring, and remotely playing, a role to entangle the projects of the other side in
controversies, mainly to obstruct and delay them.
218 ASIAN DEFENCE REVIEW 2019
The unfolding Con-Cor War between India and China is yet to attain its complete
shape. In a decade from now, it is likely that both countries would have concretised their
respective plans and alignment frameworks, avoiding a direct tussle between them, and
dissuading their respective partners from any such postures along the divide as well.
While ‘hedging’ against each other, both countries would endeavour to remain as a
determinant in each other’s transformation process. Whether they would respect each
other’s core interests while hedging, is anybody’s guess.
Notes
1. Andrew Korybko, “The Chinese-Indian New Cold War”, COUNTERCURRENTS.ORG, May
31, 2017, https://countercurrents.org/2017/05/31/the-chinese-indian-new-cold-war/, accessed
on January 16, 2019; Bhaskar Roy, “The New Cold War and India”, South Asia Analysis
Group, Paper no 5764, August 13, 2014.
2. Geoff Easton and Luis Araujo, “Non-Economic Exchange in Industrial Networks,” in Björn
Axelsson and Geoff Easton, eds, Industrial Networks: A New View of Reality (London:
Routledge, 1992).
3. S Jaishankar, “Speech by Foreign Secretary at Raisina Dialogue in New Delhi”, Ministry
of External Affairs, March 2, 2015, https://mea.gov.in/Speeches-Statements.htm?dtl/26433.
Accessed on January 12, 2019.
4. David Scott, “The 21st Century As Whose Century?”, Journal of World-Systems Research, vol.
XIII, no. 2, 2008, p. 106.
5. Zachary Keck, “China IS the Asian Century”, The Diplomat, July 4, 2013, https://thediplomat.
com/2013/07/china-is-the-asian-century/. Accessed on January 12, 2019.
6. Ibid.
7. Martin Wolf, “The Future Might not Belong to China”, Financial Times, January 2, 2019.
8. Samir Saran, “Why the ‘Asian Century’ Might Actually Belong to India, Not China”,
Huffingtonpost, December 6, 2017, https://www.huffingtonpost.com/samir-saran/asian-
century-india-china_b_7496170.html. Accessed on January 15, 2019.
9. S.D. Muni, “India, China and the Asian Century”, https://www.academia.edu/11335929/India-
China_and_Asian_Century. Accessed on December 10, 2018.
10. Ibid.
11. “Destination NSG: PM Modi Seeks China’s Support as Members Differ on India’s Entry”,
FirstPost, June 23, 2016, http://www.firstpost.com/world/destination-nsg-pm-modi-seeks-
chinas-support-as-members-differ-on-indias-entry-2852692.html. Accessed on December 10,
2018.
12. Yang Xiaoping, “When India’s Strategic Backyard Meets China’s Strategic Periphery: The View
from Beijing,” WAR ON THE ROCKS, April 20, 2018, https://warontherocks.com/2018/04/
when-indias-strategic-backyard-meets-chinas-strategic-periphery-the-view-from-beijing/.
Accessed on December 10, 2018.
13. Ashley J. Tellis and Sean Mirski, “Introduction”, in Crux of Asia: China, India, and the
Emerging World Order (Carnegie, 2013), http://carnegieendowment.org/files/crux_of_asia.
pdf, p. 3.
14. Wang Gungwu, “The Age of New Paradigms”, Keynote speech at the 18th Conference of
International Association of Historians of Asia, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan, 2004, https://
www.rchss.sinica.edu.tw/capas/publication/newsletter/N26/2601.pdf. Accessed on December
1, 2018.
THE CON-COR WAR 219
15. Quoted in Yagma Reddy, “Sino-Indian Competition and Cooperation Protract as Parallels”, in R
Sidda Goud and Manisha Mookherjee, eds, Sino-Indian Relations: Contemporary Perspective
(New Delhi: Allied Publishers, 2016), p. 35.
16. “China, India will Usher in an ‘Asian Century’: Wen: Taiwan Warned over Independence
move”, Dawn, March 15, 2006, https://www.dawn.com/news/183096. Accessed on February
5, 2019.
17. Reddy, n. 15.
18. IANS, “Rising China, India Key to True Asian Century: Hu”, November 22, 2006, cited in
Goud and Mookherjee, n. 15, p. 46.
19. Reddy, n. 15.
20. MEA, “Inaugural Address by Prime Minister Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee at the First India-
ASEAN Business Summit”, October 17, 2002, https://mea.gov.in/Speeches-Statements.
htm?dtl/8843/Inaugural+address+by+Prime+Minister+Shri+Atal+Bihari+Vajpayee+at+the+F
irst+IndiaASEAN+Business+Summit. Accessed on December 12, 2019.
21. Jairam Ramesh, Making Sense of Chindia: Reflections on China and India (New Delhi: India
Research Press, 2005), p. x.
22. “Shared Integration: Promoting A Greater Asia”, Information and Resource Centre, Singapore,
2006, http://www.asiandialogue.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/NER_Report.pdf, p. 3.
Accessed on January 15, 2019.
23. “Expectations from India, China to Lead Asia, Usher in Asian Century: Swaraj”, Business
Today, December 20, 2018, https://www.businesstoday.in/pti-feed/expectations-from-india-
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25. Scott, n. 4.
26. Jim Hoagland, “Whose Asian Century?”, Washington Post, June 9, 2005; William Pesek,
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27. Chietigi Bajpaee, “Will the Peacock Outdo the Panda?”, Asia Times, July 13, 2005.
28. Ramananda Sengupta, “India will lead in the Asian Century”, Rediff.com, March 20, 2006,
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29. Scott, n. 4, p. 108.
30. Bhaskar Roy, “The New Cold War and India”, South Asia Analysis Group, Paper no 5764,
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31. Muni, n. 9.
32. S.D. Muni, “India, China and the Asian Century”, The Diplomat, March 2015, http://www.
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33. Ibid.
34. Elizabeth Roche, “Need to Shed Cold War Mentality for Closer Indo-Pacific Ties: China”, livemint,
November 17, 2017, https://www.livemint.com/Politics/ZsRgDte38O5wnhONMEAK7I/Need-
to-shed-Cold-War-mentality-for-closer-IndoPacific-ties.html. Accessed on January 16, 2019.
35. “How India and China are Vying for influence in South Asia”, The Times of India, May 31,
2018, https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/how-india-and-china-are-vying-for-influence-
in-south-asia/articleshow/63395543.cms. Accessed on January 16, 2018.
36. David Brewster, “The Kra Canal: Double Bypass”, The Lowy Institute, August 14, 2017,
https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/kra-canal-double-bypass. Accessed on February
3, 2019.
220 ASIAN DEFENCE REVIEW 2019
37. Korybko, n. 1.
38. Ibid.
39. MEA, Speech by Foreign Secretary at Raisina Dialogue in New Delhi, March 2, 2015, http://
mea.gov.in/Speeches-Statements.htm?dtl/26433. Accessed on January 16, 2019.
40. Darshana M. Baruah, “India’s Answer to the Belt and Road: A Road Map for South Asia”,
Carnegie India, August 21, 2018, https://carnegieendowment.org/files/WP_Darshana_Baruah_
Belt_Road_FINAL.pdf, p. 2. Accessed on January 10, 2019.
41. Ibid.
42. Maria Abi-Habib, “China’s ‘Belt and Road’ Plan in Pakistan Takes a Military Turn”, The New
York Times, December 19, 2018; Charles Kunaka, “Six Corridors of Integration: Connectivity
Along the Overland Corridors of the Belt and Road Initiative”, The Trade Post, April 10,
2019, http://blogs.worldbank.org/trade/six-corridors-integration-connectivity-along-overland-
corridors-belt-and-road-initiative. Accessed on February 2, 2019.
43. Rangan Dutta, “The Implications of the China–Myanmar Economic Corridor”, impactnews,
December 19, 2017, https://www.impactnews.in/2017/12/19/the-implications-of-the-china-
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44. Supalak Ganjanakhundee, “Completion of High-Speed Southeast Asian Rail Link is Still far
Down the Track”, The Nation, January 22, 2018, http://www.nationmultimedia.com/detail/
asean-plus/30336801. Accessed on February 10, 2019.
45. “The ASEAN Link in China’s Belt and Road Initiative”, HKTDC Research, September 30,
2015, http://economists-pick-research.hktdc.com/business-news/article/Research-Articles/
The-ASEAN-Link-in-China-s-Belt-and-Road-Initiative/rp/en/1/1X000000/1X0A3UUO.htm
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46. Abi-Habib, n. 42.
47. Feride Inan and Diana Yayloyan, “New Economic Corridors in the South Caucasus and the
Chinese One Belt One Road”, The Economic Policy Research Foundation of Turkey (TEPAV),
https://www.tepav.org.tr/upload/files/1523615843-0.New_Economic_Corridors_in_the_
South_Caucasus_and_the_Chinese_One_Belt_One_Road.pdf, p. 34. Accessed on February
10, 2019.
48. Ibid.
49. “China in Talks Over Military Base in Remote Afghanistan: Officials”, The Straits Times,
February 2, 2018.
50. Andrew Korybko, “Mozambique Is South-Central Africa’s Gateway to Multipolarity”, Voice
of Africa, May 5, 2017, http://www.voiceofafrica.tv/en/mozambique-is-south-central-africa-s-
gateway-to-multipolarity-d1723. Accessed on February 10, 2019.
51. ‘Hybrid War’ in Africa involves identity conflicts in geostrategic transit states located along
China’s New Silk Roads which are alleged to be America-backed to disrupt Beijing’s plans.
Korybko, n. 36.
52. Baruah, n. 40.
53. Andrew Korybko, “What Could India’s ‘Cotton Route’ Look Like?”, Sputnik International,
March 19, 2015, https://sputniknews.com/columnists/201503291020170021/. Accessed on
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54. Talmiz Ahmad, “Who is Afraid of One Belt One Road?”, The Wire, June 3, 2016.
55. Jaishankar, n. 3.
56. Arvind Gupta, “India and Central Asia: Need for a Pro-active Approach”, IDSA, October 14,
2013, https://idsa.in/policybrief/IndiaandCentralAsia_agupta_141013. Accessed on February
3, 2019.
57. Government of India, “International North South Transport Corridor (INSTC), Dry Run Report
2014”, http://commerce.nic.in/publications/INSTC_Dry_run_report_Final.pdf. Accessed on
February 3, 2019.
THE CON-COR WAR 221
58. Meera Srinivasan, “Sri Lanka, India to Jointly Develop Trincomalee Oil Tank Farm”, The
Hindu, April 8, 2017.
59. “India to Develop Regional Connectivity Projects Worth $5 Billion in South Asia”, The Hindu
BusinessLine, January 20, 2018, https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/policy/
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60. “India-Japan ‘Freedom Corridor’ set to Counter China’s OBOR”, May 16, 2017, https://
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61. Suyash Deesai, “ASEAN and India Converge on Connectivity”, The Diplomat, December 19,
2017.
62. Korybko, n. 1.
63. Ibid.
64. R.J. Ferguson, “Chapter 6: Linking the Silk Roads: The Belt and Road Initiative as the Driver
of Eurasian Integration” in China’s Eurasian Dilemmas: Roads and Risks for a Sustainable
Global Power, August 31, 2018, https://www.elgaronline.com/view/9781786433817/14_
chapter6.xhtml. Accessed on February 10, 2019.
65. Korybko, n. 1.
66. Amit Agrahari, “In a Clear Snub to China, Mauritius Seeks Deeper Ties with India”, January
27, 2019, https://rightlog.in/2019/01/mauritius-pm-india-investments-01/. Accessed on
February 3, 2019; Andrew Forbes, “Maritime Capacity Building in the Asia-Pacific Region”,
Sea Power Centre, Australia, Papers in Australian Maritime Affairs, No. 30, 2010, http://www.
navy.gov.au/sites/default/files/documents/PIAMA30.pdf
67. Neha Sinha, “Asia-Africa Growth Corridor: Can It Be a Game Changer?”, Vivekananda
International Foundation, June 5, 2017.
68. Avinash Nair, “To Counter OBOR, India and Japan Propose Asia-Africa Sea Corridor”, The
Indian Express, May 31, 2017.
69. Ibid.
70. Dhairya Maheshwari, “India Gets Access to French Bases in Indian and Southern Pacific
Oceans”, The National Herald, March 10, 2018.
71. Shivshankar Menon, “Asia’s Three Futures and the Place of India and China in It”, The
Wire, December 24, 2018, https://thewire.in/diplomacy/asia-world-china-changing-power-
equations. Accessed on February 3, 2019.
72. Iftikhar Ali, “Chinese Dream of National Rejuvenation”, Pakistan Observer, November
12, 2017, https://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:gw1aoriNZkYJ:https://
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Accessed on February 3, 2019.
73. Jiayang FanMarch, “Xi Jinping and the Perils of One-Person Rule in China”, The New Yorker,
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of-one-person-rule-in-china. Accessed on February 3, 2019.