Timetable

January 13, 2023 3:29 PM

Timetable

Subject Room Mandatory Background Reading

Mon 6th Introduction to System CW602 Read Ch 1

Feb Dynamics Read Ch 3.1-3.4, and skim 3.5
Causal Loop Diagrams Read Ch 4
Read Ch 5, and skim 5.4 and 5.6
Collins, Ross D., et al. “Forest Fire Management to Avoid
Unintended Consequences: A Case Study of Portugal
using System Dynamics.” Journal of Environmental
Management 130 (2013): 1-9.
Mon 20th Introduction to Stella RC434b Read Ch 6 and skim 6.2.7-6.2.9, 6.3.4 and 6.3.6)
Feb & Lab Exercise 1 / Read Ch 7
SW601 Jones, Andrew P., et al. “Understanding Diabetes
b Population Dynamics Through Simulation Modeling and
Experimentation.” American Journal of Public Health 96,
no. 3 (2006): 488-94.
Mon 27th Lab Exercise 2 RC434b
Feb /
SW601
b
Mon 13th Advanced Modelling, CW602 Read Ch 11&21 appendix A
March Model Validation,
Strategic Intervention
Case Study
Mon 20th Lab Exercise 3 RC434b
March /
SW601
b
Mon 27th Lab Exercise 4 RC434b
March /
SW601
b

Recommended text for the class:

Sterman J, (2000) Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World,
McGraw-Hill
Various books can also be used for background reading:
Morecroft J (2015 or 2007) Strategic Modelling & Business Dynamics, Wiley.
Wolstenholme EF (1990) A System Enquiry A System Dynamics Approach, Wiley Richardson G &
Pugh A (1981) Introduction to System Dynamics Modeling with Dynamo, MIT Press: Cambridge,
Mass.
Forrester J (1961) Industrial Dynamics, MIT Press: Cambridge, Mass.

Relevant journal articles:

Richardson G (2011) Reflections on the foundations of system dynamics, System Dynamics
Review 27 (3), 219-243

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 Review 27 (3), 219-243
Richardson G (1986) Problems with causal loop diagrams, System Dynamics Review 2 (2),
158-170

Examples of case study oriented journal articles:

Lane D, Munro E, Husemann E (2016) Blending systems thinking approaches for organisational
analysis: reviewing child protection in England, European Journal of Operational Research, 251 (2),
613-623
Fiddaman T (2007) Dynamics of Climate Policy, System Dynamics Review, 23 (1) 21-34.
Lane D, Monefeldt C and Rosenhead J (2000). Looking in the wrong place for healthcare
improvements: A system dynamics study of an accident and emergency department, Journal of the
Operational Research Society, 51, 518-531
Smits M (2009) Impact of policy and process design on the performance of intake treatment
processes in mental health care: a system dynamics case study, 61, 1437-1445.
Newsome I (2007) Using system dynamics to model the impact of policing activity on
performance, Journal of the Operational Research Society, 59, 164-170.
Stave K (2003) A system dynamics model to facilitate public understanding of water management
options in Las Vegas, Nevada, Journal of Environmental Management, 67 (4), 303-313.
Akkermans H and van Oorschot K (2004) Relevance assumed: a case study of balanced scorecard
development using system dynamics, Journal of the Operational Research Society, 56, 931-941

Software:
Stella Virtual Lab – Guidance available on MyPlace

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Lecture 1_2023
February 6, 2023 9:03 AM

Lecture 1_2023

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 - Many solutions not implemented
○ Costly
○ Other reasons I misses

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 - Making a decision makes a change in the real world
with real consequences that may come back on you

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