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Basics of Capital Budgeting

by Uditha Jayasinghe
Contents
• The Opportunity Cost of an Investment
• The Concept of Time Value of Money
• The Present Value and Future Value
• Compounding and Discounting
• Discount Factor Table
• Annuity Factor Table
• Capital Budgeting Techniques
• The Concept of Net Present Value (NPV)
• Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
• Profitability Index
• Capital Rationing
• Payback and Accounting Rate of Return
• References
11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe
The Opportunity Cost of an Investment
• What options are available to investors?
– If prefers to avoid risk, then invest in government securities;
– If prefers to take risk, then invest in ordinary shares of a companies.

• The rates of return that are available from investments in securities in financial
markets such as ordinary shares and government securities represent the opportunity
cost of an investment in capital projects.

• The opportunity cost of the investment is also known as the minimum required rate of
return, cost of capital, or discount rate.

11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe


The Concept of Time Value of Money
• Money in the present is worth more than the same sum of money to be in the future.
(The concept that $1 received in the future is not equal to $1 received today is known
as the time value of money)

• This is true because money that you have right now can be invested and earn a return,
thus creating a larger amount of money in the future.

11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe


The Concept of Time Value of Money
A simple example can be used to illustrate the time value of money as follows;

Example: (P4.1)
Peter is trying to sell a piece of raw land. Yesterday he was offered $10,000 for the
property by John. He was about ready to accept the offer when Jimmy offered him
$11,424.
However, the second offer was to be paid a year from now. Peter has satisfied himself
that both buyers are honest and financially solvent, so he has no fear that the offer he
selects will fall through. Which offer should Peter choose?

11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe


The Concept of Time Value of Money
Alternate Sales Prices $10,000 $11,424

Year 0.………………….……….1

Mike, Peter’s financial adviser, points out that if Peter takes the first offer, he could invest
the $10,000 in the bank at an insured rate of 12%. At the end of one year, he would have:
$10,000 + (0.12 @ $10,000) or $10,000 @ 1.12 = $11,200
(Principal) + (Interest)

11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe


The Concept of Time Value of Money
• Because this is less than the $11,424, Peter could receive from the second offer, Mike
recommends that he take the second offer.
• This analysis uses the concept of Future Value (FV) or Compound Value, which is the
value of a sum after investing over one or more periods.
• The compound or future value of $10,000 at 12% is $11,200.

11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe


The Present Value and Future Value
The Concept of Present Value (PV)
• How much money must Peter put in the bank today so that he will have $11,424 next
year? We can write this as:
PV @ 1.12 = $11,424
• What is the amount of money that yields $11,424 if invested at 12% today?
PV = $11,424 / 1.12 = $10,200
• Therefore, the formula for Present Value (PV) can be written as follows:

PV = FV Where: FV is future cash flow


(1 + K)n K is the rate of interest/return

11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe


The Present Value and Future Value
• The Present Value analysis tells us that a payment of $11,424 to be received next year
has a present value of $10,200 today.

• In other words, at a 12% interest rate, Peter is indifferent between $10,200 today or
$11,424 next year.

• If you gave him $10,200 today, he could put it in the bank and receive $11,424 next
year. Because the second offer has a present value of $10,200, whereas the first offer
is for only $10,000, present value analysis also indicates that Peter should take the
second offer.

11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe


The Present Value and Future Value

In other words, both future value analysis and present value analysis lead to the same
decision. As it turns out, present value analysis and future value analysis must always lead
to the same decision.

11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe


Compounding and Discounting
• Compounding refers to growth in the capital value of an investment by reinvesting any
earnings back into the investment itself.
• Unlike simple-return investments, where a certain amount is added to the principle
value at the end of each period, and at the end of term you get back the capital, in
compounded investments you earn interest on the interest too. This magnifies the
return you can earn.

FVn = V0 (1 + K)n

11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe


Compounding and Discounting
The process of converting cash to be received in the future into a value at the present
time by the use of an interest rate is termed discounting and the resulting present value is
the discounted present value.

V0 (Present Value) = FVn


(1 + K)n

11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe


Discount Factor Table
.

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Annuity Factor Table
.

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Capital Budgeting Techniques
Capital Budgeting is the selection of the best project in which to invest the company’s
resources, based on each project’s perceived risk and expected return.
Categories of capital
budgeting techniques

Accounting base/non Discounted cash flow


discounted techniques techniques

1. Net Present Value (NPV)


1. Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) 2. Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
2. Payback Period (PB) 3. Profitability Index (PI)
4. Discounted Payback Period (DPB)
11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe
The Concept of Net Present Value
• Net Present Value (NPV) is the value of all future cash flows (positive and negative)
over the entire life of an investment discounted to the present. (i.e. The NPV is the
difference between present value of future net cash flows and the investment value -
V0).

• How to calculate the NPV?


The Present Value of cash inflows - Present Value of cash outflows.

• How to interpret NPV?


If NPV of the project is positive, Accept the project. (NPV > 0, Invest)
If NPV of the project is negative, Reject the project. (NPV < 0, do not Invest)
11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe
The Concept of Net Present Value
Example: (P4.2)
The value of $100,000 invested at 10%, compounded annually, for four years;
Year Opening Value Interest Earned Total Investment
1 100,000
2
3
4

11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe


The Concept of Net Present Value
Example: (P4.3)
The cash in and out flows of 4 projects are as follows;
Description Project A Project B Project C Project D
Project investment outlay ($) 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000
End of year cash flows: ($)
Year 1 110,000
Year 2 121,000
Year 3 133,100
Year 4 146,410
Present Value of inflows – 10%
Net Present Value
11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
• The internal rate of return (IRR) is an alternative technique for use in making capital
investment decisions that also takes into account the time value of money.

• IRR is the discount rate that will cause the net present value of an investment to be
zero.

• Alternatively, the internal rate of return can be described as the maximum cost of
capital that can be applied to finance a project without causing harm to the
shareholders.

11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe


Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
• The IRR can be found by trial and error by using a number of discount factors until the
NPV equals zero. E.g. Question 1 – If the cost of capital is further reduced, (below
14%) we can find the rate which gives us zero NPV.

• A formula for making this calculation (which is known as interpolation) is as follows:

ra + NPVa * (rb – ra) Where ra = Lower discount rate


(NPVa – NPVb) rb = Higher discount rate

11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe


Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
.
Project NPV
+
NPV > 0
Shareholder wealth increases

0 IRR Shareholder’s required rate of return

NPV < 0
- Shareholder wealth decreases

11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe


Profitability Index
Profitability Index (PI) is the highest return in present value terms, per $1 of capital
invested. i.e. the ratio of PV to capital investment.

PI = PV of cash inflows
Initial cash outflow

11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe


Capital Rationing
Situations may occur where there are insufficient funds available to enable a firm to
undertake all those projects that yield a positive net present value. The situation is
described as capital rationing.
Types of capital
rationing

Hard capital rationing Soft capital rationing


The shortage of capital is The shortage of capital is
imposed by external factors. imposed internally by
E.g. A bank management decision

11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe


Payback
Payback Period (PB)
• Payback period is the time required to repay the cost of the original investment.
• A project is rejected, if the payback period is above the company’s target payback
period.
• Payback is based on relevant cash flows.
• Disadvantages of payback period:
– Ignores the cash flows after the end of the payback period.
– Ignores the time value of money.
– May lead to excessive investment in short-term projects.
– Cut-off payback period by an organization is arbitrary.

11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe


Accounting Rate of Return (ARR)
Accounting Rate of Return (ARR)
ARR or ROCE compares the profit of an investment to the amount invested in the project,
as a percentage.

ARR or ROCE = Average annual profit / Initial investment

ARR or ROCE = Average annual profit / Average investment

Where: average investment = (Initial outlay + Scrap value) / 2

11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe


References
• BPP Learning Media, 2016. Foundations in Accountancy
FMA / ACCA Paper F2 Management Accounting. 5th ed.
London W12 8AA : BPP Learning Media Ltd.

• Drury, C., 2018. Management and Cost Accounting. 10th


ed. Hampshire SP10 5BE, United Kingdom: Cengage
Learning EMEA.

11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe


Thank You

11/09/2022 © Uditha Jayasinghe

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