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imbalance
An oligomerisation technology can produce a significant increase in middle
distillate production
T
he varying constraints on the refining distillates exceeded growth in demand for gaso-
industry result in a market that is in line and total oil products: the annual average
constant evolution. Regulations on low-sul- growth rates (AAGR) were 1.6%/year and 1.3%/
phur gasoline and diesel fuel, curbs on refinery year, respectively. In 2020, continued robust
emissions and the increase in heavy crudes over global demand for distillate is expected, with a
the past years have influenced the refiner’s growth rate still at 1.6%/year, above total growth
market. Today, new forces have emerged, with in demand for oil. By contrast, growth in
improvements in light vehicle fuel economy, the demand for gasoline is forecast to be weak, with
prevalence of emerging markets, and the rise of an increase of 0.7%/year. From 2020 to 2030,
shale oil and gas shifting the outlook. In this while global growth in demand for oil is expected
article, we present the market trends and to be restrained at 0.6%/year, middle distillates
outlook ahead to 2020 and 2030, and foresee still stay a primary driver with an annual growth
that the current thirst for middle distillates will above that of oil (see Figure 1).
be accentuated in the US and Europe, but also in
emerging markets. In the second section, the Atlantic basin gasoline/distillates balance
oligomerisation technology, PolyFuel, which can Since 1998, Europe has experienced excess
adjust refinery output towards middle distillates, volumes of gasoline production. Much of the
is presented. Finally, an economic evaluation of excess European gasoline has been exported to
the performance of PolyFuel assesses its value to North America, a light vehicle gasoline market.
the refinery based on 2012 prices and costs. Today, however, gasoline production within the
Market outlook
In 2012, global oil demand was 1.8
around 89.7 million b/d accord- Gasoline
1.6
Average annual growth
1.0
product, global growth in
demand for oil is driven by 0.8
middle distillates, comprising 0.6
kerosene and diesel, unbalanc- 0.4
ing the product slates in some 0.2
regions.
0
2000-2010 2010-2020 2020-2030
World’s appetite for middle distillates
From 2000 to 2010, growth in
world consumption of middle Figure 1 Growth in world demand for oil products
C5 Thiophene
fraction after hydrotreatment to
S
C6
saturate olefins. The smoke point
C -Thiophene
exceeds 35 mm, which is far
C7 3
above the Euro V specification.
2
C -Thiophene Feedstock selection for
S C8 PolyFuel depends on the availa-
Mercaptans C -Thiophene C C10
bility of olefin-rich streams and
1
Thiophene
9 C11 C
12
the refinery-specific product
Increasing cut point requirements. When distillate is
more favoured than gasoline,
Figure 6 Typical FCC gasoline olefins and sulphur profile portions of the FCC gasoline
product are logical feeds. In prin-
ity to produce gasoline and distillate fuels. It ciple, the process can accept the full range of
offers a low-cost alternative to alkylation and an C5-C9 gasoline cut produced from the FCC unit.
alternative outlet for propylene, particularly The C5-C6 portion contains the highest concen-
when recovery is not economic. tration of reactive olefins. The heavier C7+
When distillate production is favoured, an portion contains fewer olefins and can have a
extension of this concept can be used to convert high content of contaminants (sulphur, nitrogen
C5-C9 gasoline olefins to distillate in a simple, and oxygenates), which reduce catalyst cycle
low-cost PolyFuel process. A generic block flow length. To illustrate, a typical gasoline profile of
diagram of the process is shown in Figure 5. olefins and sulphur as a function of boiling point
In the process, light olefins are oligomerised is shown in Figure 6.
catalytically in a series of two fixed-bed reactors. Based on these observations, Axens has identi-
Conversion and selectivity are controlled by fied the C5-C6 olefin-rich cut as the preferred
reactor temperature adjustment, while the heat feed to be processed in the PolyFuel unit to
of reaction is simply removed by feed effluent reach the highest profitability by:
heat exchange (see Figure 5). The reactor section • Maximising the amount of oligomer product
effluent is fractionated, producing gasoline • Maximising catalyst run length
depleted in olefins and middle distillate frac- • Minimising feed pretreatment
tions. The gasoline fraction is partly recycled to • Significantly reducing the olefin content in the
the reaction section to enhance middle distillate remaining gasoline product.
production. The distillate fraction is typically The previous point on olefins reduction in the
sent to existing kerosene and diesel hydrotreat- remaining gasoline pool can be significant in
ing directly. regions where olefins content is tightly regulated.
The reaction section uses swing reactors to Typically, the olefins in the C5-C6 cut are reduced
allow for continuous operation with on-stream by over 80% as compared to the C5-C6 PolyFuel
catalyst regeneration or replacement. The feed. When the FCC unit is operated at high
management of the reactors is optimised to severity to maximise propylene, the concentration
maximise catalyst run length. With the objective of C5-C6 olefins is very high in the gasoline and
to produce high-quality distillate, the process may result in an off-spec gasoline pool. As a
utilises the IP 811 catalyst, which can be oper- result, the new process can help to satisfy the
ated at high severity to maximise the middle need for increased distillate and improve the
distillate fraction as a result of its high activity gasoline pool’s properties.
and stability. Typically, the middle distillate In order to prepare the feed to the PolyFuel
yield exceeds 70% as compared to feed olefins. unit, one can take advantage of existing FCC
The IP 811 catalyst can undergo multiple regen- gasoline selective desulphurisation unit design.
IRR, %
Feeds and products 15% IRR
15
The light cracked naphtha and
LPG cut from FCC are highly 10
olefinic streams. Olefins in the
feed are converted by oligomeri- 5
–96 $/t
sation in the PolyFuel unit into
0
middle distillates. After hydro- –120 –100 –80 –60 –40 –20 0 20 40
genation, the middle distillates Spread kerosene-gasoline, $/t
produced can be sold either as
diesel or Jet A1 kerosene. Figure 11 IRR sensitivity for PolyFuel based on mixed LPG-LCN feed accord-
The quality of the remaining ing to middle distillate — gasoline price spread with 2012 USGC-based price
gasoline is improved by the
oligomerisation process, olefin and sulphur the gasoline price. When compared with the
content being reduced, while maintaining good 2008 middle distillate/gasoline price difference,
octane numbers. The gasoline product is thus which was $154/t for kerosene and $102/t for
sent directly to the gasoline pool. diesel, this break-even differential is not
excessive.
Investment and economics hypothesis Due to the excess of gasoline production in
The PolyFuel unit inside battery limit (ISBL) Europe, all the gasoline produced is not sold at
capital investment cost is $29 million for a capac- the European gasoline market price. Part of the
ity of 16 500 b/d. The depreciation duration is 15 production has to be exported, possibly at lower
years, with a discount rate of 10% and a profit tax prices than the European market value. The
rate of 30%. local difference between gasoline and middle
distillates prices at the outlet of a refinery is thus
Utilities and catalyst cost most probably lower than the market price
The utilities costs used in the economic evalua- difference, leading locally to economics that are
tion are shown in Table 1. Overall, utilities and already profitable for the implementation of
catalyst costs for this case study were calculated PolyFuel technology.
to be $19/t of feed or $1.8/bbl of feed. Today, the price differentials observed between
gasoline and middle distillates do not seem to
European economics correspond with market conditions. In the near
Prices future, with even more pressure on middle
In Europe in 2012, the Brent crude price was
$112/bbl, while the spread between gasoline and
Feedstock and products prices in
diesel was $57/t and for gaso-
Europe in 2012
line/Jet A1 was $23/t. The prices Utilities costs
of feedstock and products in
2012 were as shown in Table 2. 2012 - Europe $/t $/bbl
Utilities Cost Unit Brent 843 112
Electricity 75 $/Mwh Premium 95 10 ppm 1037 124
Results HP steam 30 $/ton Propane 861 74
Considering 2012 LPG and MP steam 25 $/ton Butane 859 74
gasoline prices, to achieve an LP steam 20 $/ton LPG 860 74
Cooling water 0.20 $/ton Kerosene Jet A1 1014 129
internal rate of return (IRR) of Diesel 979 136
15%, the price of middle distil-
late has to be $38/t higher than Table 1 Table 2