Endemic- occurrence of expected number of cases among a group of 1) Prepare for field work- Research disease, prepare to travel,
people over time make arrangements with personal contacts
Incidence- # of new cases in a population 2) Establish the existence of an outbreak- compare current number of Prevalence- # of cases in a population (per 10,000 or 100,000) cases to previous cases, use health records, documents, etc. Outbreak- more cases of a particular disease than expected in a given 3) Verify diagnosis- Review clinical and laboratory results for the area over a given time cases, interview patients Epidemic- large numbers of people over geographic area distribution 4) Define and identify cases- establish case definition, have clinical info, affected with the same disease characteristics of the people, place, time, etc. Pandemic- an epidemic spanning a very wide area 5) Describe and orient the data in terms of person, place, and time- use Vector- an animal intermediate that transmits a pathogen to humans epi curve to describe how many cases at what time Virulence- Degree or intensity of pathogenicity of an organism 6) Develop hypotheses- consider disease, interview people who are Compromised host- host with lowered resistance to infection ill, try and notice what certain characteristics make people have the Nosocomial infection- an infection that is traced back to a hospital disease Infectivity - capacity to cause infection in a susceptible host 7) Evaluate hypotheses- compare with established fact, use statistics, use Pathogenicity - capacity to cause disease in a host case-control or cohort studies Virulence - severity of disease that the agent causes to host 8) Refine Hypotheses- study environment, use data for more insight 9) Control and Prevention measures- immunization, medicine, isolation, Case definition- The onset of (symptoms) in a (person) at carry out as soon as possible (time and place) 10) Communicate findings- Oral briefing for local health authorities, Confirmed- diagnosis by lab verification written report for archives Probable- many factors point to diagnosis, but no lab verification Suspected- some factors point to diagnosis Reservoir- site that harbors pathogenic organisms (human, animal, soil) Cohort Study- used for outbreaks in small, well-defined populations, moves Morbidity rate- # sick divided by # exposed forward or backward from exposure Mortality rate- # dead per 100000 population Case Fatality rate- # dead divided by # sick Disease? Yes No Modes of transmission: droplet (through air, flu, TB, SARS, Exposed (A) (B) hantavirus), blood (sexual or injected, HIV, hepatitis), direct contact Unexposed (C) (D) (touching, leprosy, chicken pox), oral-fecal (contaminated water, Attack Rate- exposed A/(A+B) cholera, giardia), vector (spread by animal, malaria, lyme disease) unexposed C/(C+D) AIDS- acquired immunodeficiency syndrome, spread by blood/ Relative Risk- [A/(A+B)]/[C/(C+D)] sexually, attacks immune system Relative Risk> 1: more likely Tuberculosis- caused by bacteria, cough, fever, fatigue, weight loss, Relative Risk<1: possible protective effect treated by antibiotics, attacks respiratory system or other parts of body 0-----------------------1------------------------ Malaria- caused by protozoan, spread by mosquitoes (anopheles), Possible protective effect More likely cyclic fever and chills Case control Study- used when groups are not well-defined compares 2 Triads: Person, Place, Time; Agent, Host, Environment people with the disease to people without, works backward Index Case: The first case in an outbreak Exposed Case Controls ↓ Patients Virus: Viruses are small, much smaller than bacteria. They are not Yes (A) (B) composed of cells. Viruses have 2 basic components: DNA or RNA No (C) (D) covered in protein. Viruses can only reproduce inside the cells of other living organisms (rabies, AIDS, SARS, ebola, measles) Odds ratio: (A x D)/(B x C) Bacteria: Bacteria have 1 cell and no nucleus. DNA and ribosomes A= number of case patients exposed float in the cell. They have flagella to help them swim. They have no B= number of control people exposed cell organelles. Gram + bacteria have a strong cell wall with C= number of case patients unexposed peptidoglycan and a capsule. Bacteria also have pili that help stick. (E. D= number of control people unexposed coli, streptococcus, diptheria, MRSA, lyme disease) Shapes: spherical (cocci) Arrangements: staph (clumps) Cholera- Vibrio Cholerae (oral-fecal) Campylobacter Enteritis- campylobacter jejuni (oral- fecal) Rod (bacilli) Strep (chain) Spiral (spirilla or spirochete) Chicken Pox- varicella zoster (droplet and direct contact) Chlamydia- Chlamydia trachomatis (sexually) Immunity Inherited-develops before birth, inborn E. coli- Escherichia coli (oral-fecal) Acquired-Active/natural-exposed to antigen naturally Malaria-plasmodium (vector, anopheles mosquito) Passive/natural-milk, placenta MRSA- staphylococcus aureus (direct contact) Active/artificial-injections, vaccines of antigens SARS-coronavirus (droplet) Passive/artificial-injections of antibodies Leprosy-mycobacterium leprae (direct contact) Lines of defense Schistosomiasis- schistosoma (oral/contact with water) 1. Skin and secretions- acts as initial barrier, mucus catches pathogens, Shingles-herpes zoster (contact, droplet) enzymes kill pathogens Strep throat-streptococcus(droplet) 2. Inflammatory response- injury/tissue damage releases chemical signal, Tuberculosis- mycobacterium tuberculosis (droplet) blood flow increases: heat, redness, pain, swelling Tetanus-clostridium tetani (contact) 3. Phagocytosis- ingests and destroys microorganisms: neutrophils, Ebola-filoviridae (contact/blood) macrophages Athlete’s foot- tinea pedis (contact) 4. Natural killer cells- kills tumor cells and infected cells with viruses Jakob- Cruztfelt- prion(ingestion) 5. Interferon- infected cell makes protein and releases into Tapeworm- nematode (ingestion) bloodstream, interferes with reproduction Hepatitis- hepatitis a, b, c virus (a: oral fecal, b: sexually) Epidemiology Giardia- giardia lamblia (direct contact) ⚫ Study of health of population ⚫ Uses scientific method ⚫ Studies distribution and causes of disease in human populations ⚫ Attempts to control these diseases investigates health concerns in relation to disease Study design Strength Weakness Case-control Good for rare disease or Possible error in long latency, examine recalling past exposure multiple exposures from a (Recall Bias). Possible single outcome; less time-order confusion expensive and quicker to conduct than cohort study Cohort Examining multiple Not good for rare outcomes for a single diseases; costly in time exposure; examine rare and resources; possible exposures (such as asbestos loss to follow up over but not for rare disease); can time; factor, which may calculate the incidence of be many years in the past disease (while case control or may be seen as cannot); best technique for socially (un)desirable an outbreak in a small, well defined population; most accurate observational study Cross- Relatively short duration; Since exposure and sectional can study several outcomes; disease status are least expensive measured at the same point in time, it may not always be possible to distinguish whether the exposure preceded or followed the disease. Experimental Most scientifically sound; Time consuming and or best measure of exposure Expensive; Unethical for Trial Harmful Exposures
Hill’s criteria
1. Strength of Association - relationship is clear and risk
estimate is high 2. Consistency - observation of association must be repeatable in different populations at different times 3. Specificity - a single cause produces a specific effect 4. Alternative Explanations - consideration of multiple hypotheses before making conclusions about whether Types of epidemic an association is causal or not Point source - An epidemic in which all cases are 5. Temporality - cause/exposure must precede the effect/outcome infected at the same time, usually from a single source or 6. Dose-Response Relationship - an increasing amount of exposure. exposure increases the risk Continuous source - An epidemic in which the causal 7. Biological Plausibility - the association agrees with currently agent (e.g. polluted drinking water, spoiled food) is accepted understanding of biological and pathological infecting people who come into contact with it, over an processes extended period of time. 8. Experimental Evidence - the condition can be altered, either Person-to-Person (a.k.a. Propagated) - An epidemic prevented or accelerated, by an appropriate experimental in which the causal agent is transmitted from person to process person, allowing the epidemic to propagate Path of infection 9. Coherence - the association should be compatible with Reservoir: existing theory and knowledge, including knowledge of Susceptible Host: past cases and epidemiological studies Portal of Entry: Portal of exit:
Koch’s postulates
1) Collect samples from different people
2) Grow contents on Petri dishes 3) Look for similar organisms from each of the patients 4) Inoculate suspect organism into healthy animal 5) Wait for symptoms to occur 6) Isolate organism from diseased animals