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  • Bai Mau Supply Chain

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    Diem Hang
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    Huong dan cach trinh bay bai 2

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    Bai mau supply chain

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    Huong dan cach trinh bay bai 2

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    4 views2 pages

    Bai Mau Supply Chain

    Uploaded by

    Diem Hang
    Huong dan cach trinh bay bai 2

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    of 2

    alpha 0.1 beta 0.2 garma 0.

    1
    year quarter black plastic demand ('000 lb) deseasonalization deseasonalized demand seasonal factor average forecast level trend seasonal factor forecast error absolute error MSE MAD
    0 2593 227
    2005 1 2250 2819.603493 0.797984541 0.899279 2788 221 0.90 2536 286 286 81573 286
    2 1737 3046.459375 0.570170085 0.598875 2998 218 0.60 1802 65 65 42875 175
    3 2412 3575 3273.315257 0.736867613 0.69757 3240 223 0.70 2243 169 169 38068 173
    4 7269 3783.75 3500.17114 2.076755596 1.80029 3521 235 1.80 6235 1034 1034 295902 388
    2006 5 3514 3965.375 3727.027022 0.942842641 3775 239 0.89 3343 171 171 242603 345
    6 2143 4069.625 3953.882904 0.541998853 3971 230 0.60 2396 253 253 212804 330
    7 3459 4118.75 4180.738787 0.82736573 4273 245 0.70 2950 509 509 219398 355
    8 7056 4272.375 4407.594669 1.600873159 4452 231 1.83 8253 1197 1197 371080 460
    2007 9 4120 4237.375 4634.450551 0.888994273 4676 230 0.89 4188 68 68 330363 417
    10 2766 4274.125 4861.306434 0.568982852 4883 225 0.59 2901 135 135 299138 389
    11 2556 4595.125 5088.162316 0.502342465 4956 195 0.71 3642 1086 1086 379244 452
    12 8253 4968.5 5315.018199 1.552769848 5094 183 1.80 9285 1032 1032 436454 500
    2008 13 5491 5390.375 5541.874081 0.990820058 5365 201 0.89 4712 779 779 449570 522
    14 4382 6083 5768.729963 0.759612606 5753 238 0.59 3277 1105 1105 504730 563
    15 4315 6575.375 5995.585846 0.719696142 6015 243 0.69 4154 161 161 472814 537
    16 12035 6509.25 6222.441728 1.934128197 6307 253 1.78 11166 869 869 490420 557
    2009 17 5648 6489.5 6449.29761 0.875754282 6527 246 0.91 5942 294 294 466672 542
    18 3696 6688.25 6676.153493 0.553612197 6706 233 0.61 4105 409 409 450034 535
    19 4843 6903.009375 0.701578071 6941 233 0.70 4827 16 16 426361 507
    20 13097 7129.865257 1.83692111 7186 236 1.80 12890 207 207 407181 492
    2010 21 6615.746 0.90 6693
    22 4541.617 0.60
    23 5448.324 0.70
    24 14469.45 1.80

    Level 2592.74761
    Trend 226.8558824
    % error MAPE TS

    13 12.69 1.00
    4 8.21 2.00
    7 7.80 1.05
    14 9.41 -2.20
    5 8.50 -2.97
    12 9.05 -2.34
    15 9.86 -3.61
    17 10.75 -0.18
    2 9.74 -0.04
    5 9.25 0.31
    43 12.27 2.67
    13 12.29 4.47
    14 12.44 2.80
    25 13.35 0.63
    4 12.71 0.36
    7 12.37 -1.21
    5 11.95 -0.70
    11 11.90 0.05
    0 11.29 0.02
    2 10.80 -0.40

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