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a.

P=2/6 q=4/6
b. n= 10

x ≤6

p ( x ≤ 6 )= p ( x=0 )+ p ( x=1 ) + p ( x=2 ) + p ( x=3 ) + p ( x =4 )+ p ( x=5 )+ p ( x=6 )

( )
p( x=0)= 10 ∙0.333 0 ∙ 0.66610−0
0
p ( x=0 )=1 ∙ 0.0173
p ( x=0 )=0.0173=1.73 %

( )
p( x=1)= 10 ∙ 0.3331 ∙ 0.66610−1
1

p ( x=1 )=10 ∙ 0.0087


p ( x=1 )=0.0867=8.67 %

( )
p(x=2)= 10 ∙ 0.3332 ∙0.666 10−2
2

p ( x=2 )=45∙ 0.0043


p ( x=2 )=0.1951=19.51%

( )
p( x=3)= 10 ∙ 0.3333 ∙ 0.66610−3
3

p ( x=3 )=120 ∙ 0.0020


p ( x=3 )=0.2601=26.01 %

4 ( )
p(x=4)= 10 ∙ 0.333 ∙ 0.666
4 10−4
p ( x=4 )=210 ∙ 0.0011
p ( x=4 )=0.2276=22.76 %

5 ( )
p( x=5)= 10 ∙ 0.333 ∙ 0.666
5 10−5

p ( x=5 )=252 ∙ 0.0005


p ( x=5 )=0.1366=13.66 %

( )
p(x=6)= 10 ∙0.333 6 ∙ 0.66610−6
6
p ( x=6 ) =210∙ 0.0003
p ( x=6 ) =0.0569=5.69 %
p ( x ≤ 6 )=0.0173+ 0.0867+0.1951+0.2601+0.2276+ 0.1366+0.0569
p ( x ≤ 6 )=0.9803=98.03%
c. p ( x ≥ 4 )= p ( x=4 ) + p ( x =5 ) + p ( x=6 ) + p ( x =7 ) + p ( x =8 ) + p ( x=9 ) + p ( x=10 )

7 ( )
p(x=7)= 10 ∙0.333 ∙ 0.666
6 10−7

p ( x=7 )=120 ∙ 0.00014


p ( x=7 )=0.0163=1.63 %

8 ( )
p( x=8)= 10 ∙0.333 ∙ 0.666
8 10−8

p ( x=8 )=45 ∙ 0.00007


p ( x=8 )=0.0030=0.30 %

9 ( )
p( x=9)= 10 ∙0.333 ∙ 0.666
9 10−9

p ( x=9 )=10∙ 0.00003


p ( x=9 )=0.0003=0.03 %

( )
p(x=10)= 10 ∙ 0.33310 ∙0.666 10−10
10
p ( x=10 )=1 ∙ 0.00002
p ( x=10 )=0.00002=0.002 %
p ( x ≥ 4 )=0.2276+ 0.1366+0.9803+0.0163+0.0030+ 0.0003+0.00002
p ( x ≥ 4 )=0.4407=44.07 %
6
d. EX=∑ ¿ P( x =x)
x=1
EX=1*1/6+2*1/6+3*1/6+4*1/6+5*1/6+6*1/6

Media=3.5

Var ( X )=EX 2−(EX )2


6
E X =∑ x 2∗P( x 2=x 2)
2

x=1

EX2=1*1/6+4*1/6+9*1/6+16*1/6+25*1/6+36*1/6

EX2=15.16
2
Var ( X )=15.16−( 3.5)
Var ( X )=2.91
σ =√ Var ( X )
σ =√ 2.91
σ =1.7

a. p=0.5 q=0.5
b. P(X ≥10)= P(X ≥10)+ P(X ≥11)+ P(X ≥12)+ P(X ≥13)+ P(X ≥14)+ P(X ≥15)+ P(X ≥16)+
P(X ≥17)+ P(X ≥18)+ P(X ≥19)+ P(X ≥20)
n n (px*qn-x)
X p q px qn-x px*qn-x
x x
10 0.5 0.5 0.000977 9.77E-04 0.00000 184756 0.17620
11 0.5 0.5 0.000488 1.95E-03 0.00000 167960 0.16018
12 0.5 0.5 0.000244 3.91E-03 0.00000 125970 0.12013
13 0.5 0.5 0.000122 7.81E-03 0.00000 77520 0.07393
14 0.5 0.5 6.1E-05 1.56E-02 0.00000 38760 0.03696
15 0.5 0.5 3.05E-05 3.13E-02 0.00000 15504 0.01479
16 0.5 0.5 1.53E-05 6.25E-02 0.00000 4845 0.00462
17 0.5 0.5 7.63E-06 1.25E-01 0.00000 1140 0.00109
18 0.5 0.5 3.81E-06 2.50E-01 0.00000 190 0.00018
19 0.5 0.5 1.91E-06 5.00E-01 0.00000 20 0.00002
20 0.5 0.5 9.54E-07 1.00E+00 0.00000 1 0.00000

P(X ≥10)=0.5881=58.81%

c. n=15 p=0.5 q=0.5

d. P(X ≥5)= P(X ≥5) + P(X ≥6) + P(X ≥7) + P(X ≥8) + P(X ≥9)+ P(X ≥10)+ P(X ≥11)+ P(X ≥12)+


P(X ≥13)+ P(X ≥14)+ P(X ≥15)

n n (px*qn-x)
X p q px qn-x px*qn-x
x x
5 0.5 0.5 0.03125 9.77E-04 0.00003 3003 0.0916
6 0.5 0.5 0.015625 1.95E-03 0.00003 5005 0.1527
7 0.5 0.5 0.007813 3.91E-03 0.00003 6435 0.1964
8 0.5 0.5 0.003906 7.81E-03 0.00003 6435 0.1964
9 0.5 0.5 0.001953 1.56E-02 0.00003 5005 0.1527
10 0.5 0.5 0.000977 3.13E-02 0.00003 3003 0.09164
11 0.5 0.5 0.000488 6.25E-02 0.00003 1365 0.04166
12 0.5 0.5 0.000244 1.25E-01 0.00003 455 0.01389
13 0.5 0.5 0.000122 2.50E-01 0.00003 105 0.00320
14 0.5 0.5 6.1E-05 5.00E-01 0.00003 15 0.00046
15 0.5 0.5 3.05E-05 1.00E+00 0.00003 1 0.00003

P(X ≥5)=0.9408=94.08%

e. Media=

6
EX=∑ ¿ P( x =x)
x=1

x F(x) x*F(x)
1 0.0005 0.0005
2 0.0032 0.0064
3 0.0139 0.0417
4 0.0417 0.1666
0.09164
5 4 0.4582
6 0.15274 0.9164
0.19638
7 1 1.3747
0.19638
8 1 1.5710
9 0.15274 1.3747
0.09164
10 4 0.9164
0.04165
11 6 0.4582
0.01388
12 5 0.1666
0.00320
13 4 0.0417
0.00045
14 8 0.0064
15 3.05E-05 0.0005
7.5000

Media =7.5

Varianza=

x x2 F(x) x2*F(x)
1 1 0.0005 0.0005
2 4 0.0032 0.0128
3 9 0.0139 0.1250
4 16 0.0417 0.6665
0.09164
5 25 4 2.2911
6 36 0.15274 5.4987
0.19638
7 49 1 9.6227
0.19638
8 64 1 12.5684
9 81 0.15274 12.3720
0.09164
10 100 4 9.1644
0.04165
11 121 6 5.0404
0.01388
12 144 5 1.9995
0.00320
13 169 4 0.5415
0.00045
14 196 8 0.0897
15 225 3.05E-05 0.0069
60.0000

Var ( X )=EX 2−(EX )2


Var(x)=60-7.52
Var(x)=3.75

1. Variable 1, probabilidad de que a 5 personas les guste la bebida 3


Variable 2, probabilidad de que a 4 personas les guste la bebida 4

X bebida 1 bebida 2 bebida 3 bebida 4 bebida 5


  13 53 72 65 64
F(X) 0.05 0.20 0.27 0.24 0.24
2. Variable 1, probabilidad de que de 10 personas elegidas a 5 les guste la bebida 3

p=0.27 q=0.73

( )
p( x=5)= 10 ∙ 0. 275 ∙0. 09510−5
5
p ( x=5 )=252 ∙ 0.0 0029
p ( x=5 )=0.0 7496=7.49 %

Variable 2, probabilidad de que de 20 personas elegidas a 4 les guste la bebida 4

p=0.24 q=0.76

4 ( )
p( x=4)= 2 0 ∙ 0.27 ∙ 0.095
4 2 0−4

p ( x=4 )=4845∙ 0.000 04


p ( x=4 )=0. 1991=19.91 %

3. Media=

6
EX=∑ ¿ P( x =x)
x=1

X bebida 1 bebida 2 bebida 3 bebida 4 bebida 5


x 1 2 3 4 5
f(x) 0.05 0.20 0.27 0.24 0.24
x*F(x) 0.05 0.40 0.81 0.97 1.20

Media= 3.47

Varianza =

x 1 2 3 4 5
2
x 1 4 9 16 25
f(x) 0.05 0.20 0.27 0.24 0.24
x2*F(x) 0.05 0.79 2.43 3.90 5.99

2 2
Var ( X )=EX −(EX )
Var(x)=13.16-3.472
Var(x)=1.1191
a. (1,1) 2 (2,1) 3 (3,1) 4 (4,1) 5 (1,2) 3 (2,2) 4 (3,2) 5 (4,2) 6 (1,3) 4 (2,3) 5 (3,3) 6 (4,3) 7 (1,4) 5 (2,4)
6 (3,4) 7 (4,4) 8
b. Como todos tienen la misma probabilidad 1/16
x 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
p 1/16   2/16  3/16 4/16   3/16 2/16  1/16 

c. Esperanza
μ= E ( X )=∑ xf ( x )

1 2 3 4 3 2 1
μ=2 + 3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8
16 16 16 16 16 16 16

μ=5
a. (1,1) 0 (2,1) 1 (3,1) 2 (4,1) 3 (1,2) -1 (2,2) 0 (3,2) 1 (4,2) 2 (1,3) -2 (2,3) -1 (3,3) 0 (4,3) 1 (1,4) -3
(2,4) -2 (3,4) -1 (4,4) 0

b. Como todos tienen la misma probabilidad 1/16

x -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
p 1/16   2/16 3 /16 4/16  3/16 2/16  1/16 

c. Esperanza
μ= E ( X )=∑ xf ( x )

1 2 3 4 3 2 1
μ=−3 ±2 ±1 +0 +1 +2 + 8
16 16 16 16 16 16 16

μ=0

d. Varianza

Var ( X )=EX 2−(EX )2


x -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
2
x 9 4 1 0 1 4 9
f(x) 0.0625 0.125 0.1875 0.25 0.1875 0.125 0.0625
x2*F(x) 0.5625 0.5 0.1875 0 0.1875 0.5 0.5625
Var(x)=2.5-02
Var(x)=2.5
1.

2.

x $1000 $500 $-500 $100


f(x) 0.1 0.3 0.25 0.35

3. El valor esperado es $1000


4. P(x ≥0)= 0.75
5. p=0.75 q=0.25

Se esper ganar 37 veces y perder 13 veces

6. μ= E ( X )=∑ xf ( x )

μ=1000(0.1)+500 (0.3)±500(0.25)+10 0(0.35)

μ=¿160

2 2
Var ( X )=EX −(EX )
x 1000 500 -500 100
x2 1000000 250000 250000 10000
f(x) 0.1 0.3 0.25 0.35
2
x *F(x) 100000 75000 62500 3500 241000

Var(x)=241000-1602
Var(x)=215400
Desviación estándar=464.11
σ =√ Var ( X )
σ =√ 215400
σ =464.11

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