Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Quantitative Methods STO = allows you to store values. Effective Annual Rate (EAR)
RCL = allows you to recall stored values.
Financial Calculator Keys 𝐸𝐴𝑅 = (1 + 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑𝑖𝑐 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒)𝑚 − 1
N = Number of Compounding Periods FORMAT
I/Y = Interest Rate per Year 2nd + FORMAT allows you to change the number of 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑𝑖𝑐 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒
*In whole numbers (i.e. 5% is entered as 5) decimal places displayed on the calculator. 𝑆𝑡𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝐴𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑒
=
PV = Present Value 𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝐶𝑜𝑚𝑝𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑𝑠 𝑂𝑛𝑒 𝑌𝑒𝑎𝑟
PMT = Payment DATA & STAT
𝑚 = 𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝐶𝑜𝑚𝑝𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑𝑠 𝑂𝑛𝑒 𝑌𝑒𝑎𝑟
FV = Future Value Computes multiple values (mean, standard
deviation, etc...)
End-of-period payments
EAR with continuous compounding
nd
*Used for regular annuity 2 + DATA allows you to your input variables. Once
𝐸𝐴𝑅 = 𝑒 𝑟𝑠 − 1
2nd [BGN] inputted, exit the page, and click 2nd + STAT to find
2nd Enter the computed outputs. Use the down arrow keys
Display END scroll through the various outputs. Relative Frequency
Relative Frequency
Beginning-of-period payments 𝐴𝑏𝑠𝑜𝑙𝑢𝑡𝑒 𝑓𝑟𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑦 𝑜𝑓 𝑒𝑎𝑐ℎ 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑙
Future Value (FV) of a single cash flow =
*Used for annuity due 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑜𝑏𝑠𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠
2nd [BGN] 𝐹𝑉 = 𝑃𝑉 × (1 + 𝑟)𝑁
2nd Enter Cumulative Relative Frequency
Display BGN Cumulative Relative Frequency
Present Value (PV) of a single cash flow = 𝐴𝑑𝑑 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑟𝑒𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒 𝑓𝑟𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑖𝑒𝑠 𝑤ℎ𝑖𝑙𝑒 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑐𝑒𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑔
𝑓𝑟𝑜𝑚 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑓𝑖𝑟𝑠𝑡 𝑡𝑜 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑙𝑎𝑠𝑡 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑙
Cash Flow Worksheet 𝐹𝑉
CFn = cash flow at time period n 𝑃𝑉 =
(1 + 𝑟)𝑁 Arithmetic Mean
Using the arrow keys and the ENTER key to input
cash flow amounts and their frequencies. ∑𝑛𝑡=1 𝑋
x̅ =
Solving for net present value: the NPV key will Present Value (PV) of Perpetuity 𝑁
prompt you to input a discount rate (I). Then 𝐴
pressing the down key and CPT to find the NPV. 𝑃𝑉(𝑃𝑒𝑝𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦) =
𝑟 Median
Solving for the internal rate of return: use the IRR 𝐴 = 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑎𝑚𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡 In an ordered sample of n items:
key and press CPT. For even number of observations
𝑛 𝑛+2
= Mean of values &
2 2
ICONV Future Value (FV) with continuous
Used to calculate effective rates compounding For odd number of observations =
𝑛+1
Nom = Nominal Rate 2
C/Y = Compounding Frequency 𝐹𝑉𝑁 = 𝑃𝑉𝑒 𝑟𝑠𝑁 Mode
EFF-> CPT = outputs effective rate 𝑀𝑜𝑑𝑒
I.D87618567.
= most frequently occurring value in a distribution
𝑃(𝐸)
Range 𝑂𝑑𝑑𝑠 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑎𝑛 𝐸𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡 ′𝐸′ =
1 − 𝑃(𝐸)
Range = Maximum value – Minimum value
I.D87618567.
1 − 𝑃(𝐸)
𝑂𝑑𝑑𝑠 𝑎𝑔𝑎𝑖𝑛𝑠𝑡 𝑎𝑛 𝐸𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡 ′𝐸′ =
𝑃(𝐸)
approximately…
𝑐𝑜𝑣(𝑅1 , 𝑅𝑗 ) = 𝐸[(𝑅𝑖 − 𝐸(𝑅𝑖̇ )(𝑅𝑗 − 𝐸(𝑅𝑗̇ )]
Probabilities for a Random Variable given 50% 𝑜𝑓 𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑜𝑏𝑠𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠 𝑓𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑤𝑖𝑡ℎ𝑖𝑛 𝜇 ± (2 ∕ 3)𝜎
its Cumulative Distribution Function 68% 𝑜𝑓 𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑜𝑏𝑠𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠 𝑓𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑤𝑖𝑡ℎ𝑖𝑛 𝜇 ± 1𝜎
To find F(x), sum up, or cumulate, values of the 95% 𝑜𝑓 𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑜𝑏𝑠𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠 𝑓𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑤𝑖𝑡ℎ𝑖𝑛 𝜇 ± 2𝜎
Correlation probability function for all outcomes less than or 99% 𝑜𝑓 𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑜𝑏𝑠𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠 𝑓𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑤𝑖𝑡ℎ𝑖𝑛 𝜇 ± 3𝜎
equal to x.
𝑐𝑜𝑣(𝑅𝑖 , 𝑅𝑗 ) Safety-First Ratio
𝜌(𝑅𝑖 , 𝑅𝑗 ) =
𝜎(𝑅𝑖 )𝜎(𝑅𝑗 )
Probabilities given the Discrete Uniform
[𝐸(𝑅𝑝 ) − 𝑅𝑙 )]
Function 𝑆𝐹𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 =
𝜎𝑝
Bayes’ Formula 𝐶𝑢𝑚𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒 𝑑𝑖𝑠𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑏𝑢𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑓𝑢𝑛𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑛𝑡ℎ 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒
Portfolio with the highest ratio is preferred
𝐹(𝑋𝑛) = 𝑛𝑃(𝑋)
𝑃(𝐸𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡|𝐼𝑛𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑚𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛)
Probability function for a Binomial Continuously Compounded Return
𝑃(𝐼𝑛𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑚𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛|𝐸𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡) from t = 0 to t = 1
= × 𝑃(𝐸𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡) Random Variable 𝑆1
𝑃(𝐼𝑛𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑚𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛)
𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑜𝑓𝑥 𝑠𝑢𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝑛 𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑎𝑙𝑠 𝑟0,1 = ln( )
n! 𝑆0
= × 𝑝 𝑥 (1 − 𝑝)𝑛−𝑥
(n − x)! x!
Multiplication Rule of Counting Degrees of Freedom of Student’s
n! = n(n − 1)(n − 2)(n − 3) … 1 T-distribution
𝑑𝑓 = 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑠𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒 𝑜𝑏𝑠𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠 − 1 = 𝑛 − 1
I.D87618567.
Declining Profitability
Arithmetic Return
Mature; Little or no growth; Industry Consolidation; Price Multiples 𝑅1 + 𝑅2 + 𝑅3 + 𝑅4 + ⋯ 𝑅𝑛
High Barriers to Entry; 𝐷1 𝐴𝑟𝑖𝑡ℎ𝑚𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑐 𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛 =
𝐸1 𝑝𝑎𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑡 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 𝑛
Decline; Negative Growth; Excess Capacity; High 𝐽𝑢𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑓𝑖𝑒𝑑 𝑃/𝐸 = =
Competition 𝑟−𝑔 𝑟−𝑔
Geometric Mean Return
𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝐺𝑒𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑐 𝑚𝑒𝑎𝑛 𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛
𝑃/𝐸 = = [(1 + R1 ) × (1 + R 2 ) × …
Porter’s Five Forces and Competitive 𝐸𝑎𝑟𝑛𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑠 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 1
Strategies × (1 + R 𝑛 )]n − 1
𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒
Threat of Entry 𝑃/𝐶𝐹 =
𝐶𝑎𝑠ℎ 𝑓𝑙𝑜𝑤 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 Money Weighted Rate of Return
Power of Suppliers 𝑁
Power of Buyers 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 CFt
Threat of Substitutes 𝑃/𝑆 = ∑ =0
𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 (1 + MWRR)t
Rivalry among existing Competitors 𝑡=0
*Use IRR function on calculator to solve this
𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒
Two Competitive Strategies: Product 𝑃/𝐵 =
𝐵𝑜𝑜𝑘 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 Time Weighted Rate of Return
Differentiation and Cost Leadership 1
𝑟𝑇𝑊 = [(1 + r1 ) × (1 + r2 ) × … × (1 + r𝑁 )]N − 1
Value of Common Stock Enterprise Value Multiples
𝐸𝑉 𝐸𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑠𝑒 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 Nominal Return
Dividend Discount Model =
𝑛 𝐸𝐵𝐼𝑇𝐷𝐴 𝐸𝐵𝐼𝑇𝐷𝐴 𝑁𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛 (𝑟) = (1 + rrF ) × (1 + π) − 1
𝐷0 × (1 + 𝑔𝑠 )𝑡 𝑉𝑛
𝑉𝑜 = ∑ +
(1 + 𝑟)𝑡 (1 + 𝑟)𝑛 Asset Based Model Variance (Asset Returns)
𝑡=1
𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑇
∑𝑡=1(𝑅𝑡 − 𝜇)2
= 𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡 𝑜𝑟 𝑓𝑎𝑖𝑟 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑝𝑎𝑛𝑦 ′ 𝑠 𝑎𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 𝜎2 =
Gordon Growth Model − 𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡 𝑜𝑟 𝑓𝑎𝑖𝑟 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑝𝑎𝑛𝑦 ′ 𝑠 𝑙𝑖𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑒𝑠 𝑇
𝐷0 × (1 + 𝑔)
𝑉0 = 𝑇
𝑟−𝑔 ∑𝑡=1 (𝑅𝑡 − 𝑅̅)2
𝑆𝑢𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑔𝑟𝑜𝑤𝑡ℎ = (1 − 𝑑𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑑 𝑝𝑎𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑡 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜) 𝑠2 =
𝑇−1
× 𝑅𝑂𝐸
𝑔 = 𝑏 × 𝑅𝑂𝐸
Standard Deviation
Square root of variance
I.D87618567.