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G-1

Glossary
Abnormal earnings  See residual income. Active specific risk  The contribution to active risk squared
Abnormal return  The amount by which a security’s actual resulting from the portfolio’s active weights on individual
return differs from its expected return, given the security’s assets as those weights interact with assets’ residual risk.
risk and the market’s return. Adjusted funds from operations (AFFO)  Funds from oper-
Absolute convergence  The idea that developing countries, ations adjusted to remove any non-cash rent reported
regardless of their particular characteristics, will eventually under straight-line rent accounting and to subtract
catch up with the developed countries and match them in maintenance-type capital expenditures and leasing costs,
per capita output. including leasing agents’ commissions and tenants’
Absolute valuation model  A model that specifies an asset’s improvement allowances.
intrinsic value. Adjusted present value  As an approach to valuing a company,
Absolute version of PPP  An extension of the law of one price the sum of the value of the company, assuming no use of
whereby the prices of goods and services will not differ debt, and the net present value of any effects of debt on
internationally once exchange rates are considered. company value.
Accounting estimates  Estimates used in calculating the value Adjusted R2  Goodness-of-fit measure that adjusts the coeffi-
of assets or liabilities and in the amount of revenue and cient of determination, R2, for the number of independent
expense to allocate to a period. Examples of account- variables in the model.
ing estimates include, among others, the useful lives of Administrative regulations or administrative law  Rules
depreciable assets, the salvage value of depreciable assets, issued by government agencies or other regulators.
product returns, warranty costs, and the amount of uncol- Advanced set  An arrangement in which the reference interest
lectible receivables. rate is set at the time the money is deposited.
Accumulated benefit obligation  The actuarial present value Advanced settled  An arrangement in which a forward rate
of benefits (whether vested or non-vested) attributed, gen- agreement (FRA) expires and settles at the same time, at
erally by the pension benefit formula, to employee service the FRA expiration date.
rendered before a specified date and based on employee Agency issues  Conflicts of interest that arise when the agent in
service and compensation (if applicable) before that date. an agency relationship has goals and incentives that differ
The accumulated benefit obligation differs from the pro- from the principal to whom the agent owes a fiduciary duty.
jected benefit obligation in that it includes no assumption Also called agency problems or principal–agent problems.
about future compensation levels. Agglomerative clustering  A bottom-up hierarchical clustering
Accuracy  The percentage of correctly predicted classes out method that begins with each observation being treated as
of total predictions. It is an overall performance metric its own cluster. The algorithm finds the two closest clus-
in classification problems. ters, based on some measure of distance (similarity), and
Acquisition  When one company, the acquirer, purchases from combines them into one new larger cluster. This process
the seller most or all of another company’s (the target) is repeated iteratively until all observations are clumped
shares to gain control of either an entire company, a seg- into a single large cluster.
ment of another company, or a specific group of assets in Akaike’s information criterion (AIC)  A statistic used to com-
exchange for cash, stock, or the assumption of liabilities, pare sets of independent variables for explaining a depen-
alone or in combination. Once an acquisition is complete, dent variable. It is preferred for finding the model that is
the acquirer and target merge into a single entity and con- best suited for prediction.
solidate management, operations, and resources. Allowance for loan losses  A balance sheet account; it is a
Activation function  A functional part of a neural network’s contra asset account to loans.
node that transforms the total net input received into the Alpha  The return on an asset in excess of the asset’s required
final output of the node. The activation function operates rate of return; the risk-adjusted return.
like a light dimmer switch that decreases or increases the American Depositary Receipt  A negotiable certificate issued
strength of the input. by a depositary bank that represents ownership in a non-US
Active factor risk  The contribution to active risk squared company’s deposited equity (i.e., equity held in custody
resulting from the portfolio’s different-than-benchmark by the depositary bank in the company’s home market).
exposures relative to factors specified in the risk model. Analysis of variance (ANOVA)  The analysis that breaks the
Active return  The return on a portfolio minus the return on total variability of a dataset (such as observations on the
the portfolio’s benchmark. dependent variable in a regression) into components rep-
Active risk  The standard deviation of active returns. resenting different sources of variation.
Active risk squared  The variance of active returns; active risk Application programming interface (API)  A set of well-defined
raised to the second power. methods of communication between various software
Active share  A measure of how similar a portfolio is to its components and typically used for accessing external data.
benchmark. A manager who precisely replicates the bench- Arbitrage  1) The simultaneous purchase of an undervalued
mark will have an active share of zero; a manager with no asset or portfolio and sale of an overvalued but equivalent
holdings in common with the benchmark will have an asset or portfolio, in order to obtain a riskless profit on the
active share of one. price differential. Taking advantage of a market inefficiency
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G-2 Glossary

in a risk-free manner. 2) The condition in a financial market Basic earnings per share  (EPS) Net earnings available to
in which equivalent assets or combinations of assets sell for common shareholders (i.e., net income minus preferred
two different prices, creating an opportunity to profit at no dividends) divided by the weighted average number of
risk with no commitment of money. In a well-functioning common shares outstanding during the period.
financial market, few arbitrage opportunities are possible. Basis  The difference between the spot price and the futures
3) A risk-free operation that earns an expected positive net price. As the maturity date of the futures contract nears,
profit but requires no net investment of money. the basis converges toward zero.
Arbitrage-free models  Term structure models that project Basis trade  A trade based on the pricing of credit in the bond
future interest rate paths that emanate from the existing market versus the price of the same credit in the CDS
term structure. Resulting prices are based on a no-arbitrage market. To execute a basis trade, go long the “underpriced”
condition. credit and short the “overpriced” credit. A profit is realized
Arbitrage-free valuation  An approach to valuation that as the implied credit prices converge.
determines security values consistent with the absence of Bearish flattening  Term structure shift in which short-term
any opportunity to earn riskless profits without any net bond yields rise more than long-term bond yields, resulting
investment of money. in a flatter yield curve.
Arbitrage opportunity  An opportunity to conduct an arbi- Benchmark value of the multiple  In using the method of com-
trage; an opportunity to earn an expected positive net parables, the value of a price multiple for the comparison
profit without risk and with no net investment of money. asset; when we have comparison assets (a group), the mean
Arbitrage portfolio  The portfolio that exploits an arbitrage or median value of the multiple for the group of assets.
opportunity. Best ask  The offer to sell with the lowest ask price. Also called
Ask price  The price at which a trader will sell a specified best offer or inside ask.
quantity of a security. Also called ask, offer price, or offer. Best bid  The highest bid in the market.
Asset-based approach  Approach that values a private com- Best offer  The lowest offer (ask price) in the market.
pany based on the values of the underlying assets of the Bias error  Describes the degree to which a model fits the
entity less the value of any related liabilities. training data. Algorithms with erroneous assumptions
Asset-based valuation  An approach to valuing natural produce high bias error with poor approximation, causing
resource companies that estimates company value on the underfitting and high in-sample error.
basis of the market value of the natural resources the Bid price  In a price quotation, the price at which the party
company controls. making the quotation is willing to buy a specified quantity
At market contract  When a forward contract is established, of an asset or security.
the forward price is negotiated so that the market value of Bid–ask spread  The ask price minus the bid price.
the forward contract on the initiation date is zero. Bill-and-hold basis  Sales on a bill-and-hold basis involve
Authorized participants  (APs) A special group of institutional selling products but not delivering those products until
investors who are authorized by the ETF issuer to partic- a later date.
ipate in the creation/redemption process. APs are large Blockage factor  An illiquidity discount that occurs when an
broker/dealers, often market makers. investor sells a large amount of stock relative to its trading
Autocorrelations  The correlations of a time series with its volume (assuming it is not large enough to constitute a
own past values. controlling ownership).
Autoregressive model (AR)  A time series regressed on its own Bond indenture  A legal contract specifying the terms of a
past values in which the independent variable is a lagged bond issue.
value of the dependent variable. Bond risk premium  The expected excess return of a default-free
Backtesting  The process that approximates the real-life invest- long-term bond less that of an equivalent short-term bond.
ment process, using historical data, to assess whether an Bond yield plus risk premium (BYPRP) approach  An esti-
investment strategy would have produced desirable results. mate of the cost of common equity that is produced by
Backward propagation  The process of adjusting weights in summing the before-tax cost of debt and a risk premium
a neural network, to reduce total error of the network, by that captures the additional yield on a company’s stock
moving backward through the network’s layers. relative to its bonds.
Backwardation  A condition in the futures markets in which Bonus issue of shares  A type of dividend in which a com-
the spot price exceeds the futures price, the forward curve pany distributes additional shares of its common stock to
is downward sloping, and the convenience yield is high. shareholders instead of cash.
Bag-of-words (BOW)  A collection of a distinct set of tokens Book value  The net amount shown for an asset or liability
from all the texts in a sample dataset. BOW does not cap- on the balance sheet; book value may also refer to the
ture the position or sequence of words present in the text. company’s excess of total assets over total liabilities. Also
Balance sheet restructuring  Altering the composition of the called carrying value.
balance sheet by either shifting the asset composition, Book value of equity  Shareholders’ equity (total assets minus
changing the capital structure, or both. total liabilities) minus the value of preferred stock; common
Bankruptcy  A declaration provided for by a country’s laws that shareholders’ equity.
typically involves the establishment of a legal procedure Book value per share  The amount of book value (also called
that forces creditors to defer their claims. carrying value) of common equity per share of common
Barbell portfolio  Fixed-income portfolio that combines short stock, calculated by dividing the book value of share-
and long maturities. holders’ equity by the number of shares of common stock
Base error  Model error due to randomness in the data. outstanding.
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Glossary G-3

Bootstrap aggregating (or bagging)  A technique whereby Capitalized income method  In the context of private company
the original training dataset is used to generate n new valuation, a valuation model based on an assumption of
training datasets or bags of data. Each new bag of data is a constant growth rate of free cash flow to the firm or a
generated by random sampling with replacement from the constant growth rate of free cash flow to equity.
initial training set. Capped floater  Floating-rate bond with a cap provision that
Bootstrapping  The use of a forward substitution process to prevents the coupon rate from increasing above a spec-
determine zero-coupon rates by using the par yields and ified maximum rate. It protects the issuer against rising
solving for the zero-coupon rates one by one, from the interest rates.
shortest to longest maturities. Carry arbitrage model  A no-arbitrage approach in which the
Bottom-up approach  With respect to forecasting, an approach underlying instrument is either bought or sold along with
that usually begins at the level of the individual company an opposite position in a forward contract.
or a unit within the company. Carry benefits  Benefits that arise from owning certain under-
Breakup value  The value derived using a sum-of-the-parts lyings; for example, dividends, foreign interest, and bond
valuation. coupon payments.
Breusch–Godfrey (BG) test  A test used to detect autocor- Carry costs  Costs that arise from owning certain underlyings.
related residuals up to a predesignated order of the lagged They are generally a function of the physical characteristics
residuals. of the underlying asset and also the interest forgone on the
Breusch–Pagan (BP) test  A test for the presence of heteroske- funds tied up in the asset.
dasticity in a regression. Cash available for distribution  See adjusted funds from
Bullet portfolio  A fixed-income portfolio concentrated in a operations.
single maturity. Cash-generating unit  The smallest identifiable group of assets
Bullish flattening  Term structure change in which the yield that generates cash inflows that are largely independent of
curve flattens in response to a greater decline in long-term the cash inflows of other assets or groups of assets.
rates than short-term rates. Cash settlement  A procedure used in certain derivative trans-
Bullish steepening  Term structure change in which short-term actions that specifies that the long and short parties settle
rates fall by more than long-term yields, resulting in a the derivative’s difference in value between them by making
steeper term structure. a cash payment.
Buy-side analysts  Analysts who work for investment man- Catalyst  An event or piece of information that causes the
agement firms, trusts, bank trust departments, and similar marketplace to re-evaluate the prospects of a company.
institutions. Ceiling analysis  A systematic process of evaluating different
Buyback  A transaction in which a company buys back its components in the pipeline of model building. It helps
own shares. Unlike stock dividends and stock splits, share to understand what part of the pipeline can potentially
repurchases use corporate cash. improve in performance by further tuning.
CDS spread  A periodic premium paid by the buyer to the Centroid  The center of a cluster formed using the k-means
seller that serves as a return over a market reference rate clustering algorithm.
required to protect against credit risk. Chain rule of forecasting  A forecasting process in which the
Callable bond  A bond containing an embedded call option next period’s value as predicted by the forecasting equation
that gives the issuer the right to buy the bond back from is substituted into the right-hand side of the equation to
the investor at specified prices on pre-determined dates. give a predicted value two periods ahead.
Canceled shares  Shares that were issued, subsequently Cheapest-to-deliver  The debt instrument that can be pur-
repurchased by the company, and then retired (cannot chased and delivered at the lowest cost yet has the same
be reissued). seniority as the reference obligation.
Capital asset pricing model (CAPM)  A single factor model Classification and regression tree  A supervised machine
such that excess returns on a stock are a function of the learning technique that can be applied to predict either a
returns on a market index. categorical target variable, producing a classification tree,
Capital charge  The company’s total cost of capital in money or a continuous target variable, producing a regression
terms. tree. CART is commonly applied to binary classification
Capital deepening  An increase in the capital-to-labor ratio. or regression.
Capitalization of earnings method  In the context of private Clean surplus relation  The relationship between earnings,
company valuation, a valuation model based on an assump- dividends, and book value in which ending book value
tion of a constant growth rate of free cash flow to the firm is equal to the beginning book value plus earnings less
or a constant growth rate of free cash flow to equity. dividends, apart from ownership transactions.
Capitalization rate  The divisor in the expression for the value Club convergence  The idea that only rich and middle-income
of perpetuity. In the context of real estate, it is the divisor countries sharing a set of favorable attributes (i.e., are
in the direct capitalization method of estimating value. members of the “club”) will converge to the income level
The cap rate equals net operating income divided by value. of the richest countries.
Capitalized cash flow method  In the context of private com- Cluster  A subset of observations from a dataset such that all the
pany valuation, a valuation model based on an assumption observations within the same cluster are deemed “similar.”
of a constant growth rate of free cash flow to the firm or Clustering  The sorting of observations into groups (clusters)
a constant growth rate of free cash flow to equity. Also such that observations in the same cluster are more similar
called capitalized cash flow model. to each other than they are to observations in other clusters.
Cobb–Douglas production function  A function of the form
Y = Kα L1−α relating output (Y) to labor (L) and capital
(K) inputs.
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G-4 Glossary

Coefficient of determination  The percentage of the variation Confirmation bias  A belief perseverance bias in which people
of the dependent variable that is explained by the inde- tend to look for and notice what confirms their beliefs, to
pendent variables. Also referred to as the R-squared or R2. ignore or undervalue what contradicts their beliefs, and
Cointegrated  Describes two time series that have a long-term to misinterpret information as support for their beliefs.
financial or economic relationship such that they do not Confusion matrix  A grid used for error analysis in classifi-
diverge from each other without bound in the long run. cation problems, it presents values for four evaluation
Collateral return  The component of the total return on a metrics including true positive (TP), false positive (FP),
commodity futures position attributable to the yield for true negative (TN), and false negative (FN).
the bonds or cash used to maintain the futures position. Conglomerate discount  When an issuer is trading at a val-
Also called collateral yield. uation lower than the sum of its parts, which is generally
Collection frequency (CF)  The number of times a given word the result of diseconomies of scale or scope or the result
appears in the whole corpus (i.e., collection of sentences) of the capital markets having overlooked the business and
divided by the total number of words in the corpus. its prospects.
Commercial real estate properties  Income-producing real Constant dividend payout ratio policy  A policy in which a
estate properties; properties purchased with the intent to constant percentage of net income is paid out in dividends.
let, lease, or rent (in other words, produce income). Constant returns to scale  The condition that if all inputs into
Commodity swap  A type of swap involving the exchange of the production process are increased by a given percentage,
payments over multiple dates as determined by specified then output rises by that same percentage.
reference prices or indexes relating to commodities. Contango  A condition in the futures markets in which the spot
Company fundamental factors  Factors related to the com- price is lower than the futures price, the forward curve is
pany’s internal performance, such as factors relating to upward sloping, and there is little or no convenience yield.
earnings growth, earnings variability, earnings momentum, Contingent consideration  Potential future payments to the
and financial leverage. seller that are contingent on the achievement of certain
Company share-related factors  Valuation measures and other agreed-on occurrences.
factors related to share price or the trading characteristics Continuing earnings  Earnings excluding nonrecurring compo-
of the shares, such as earnings yield, dividend yield, and nents. Also referred to as core earnings, persistent earnings,
book-to-market value. or underlying earnings.
Comparables  Assets used as benchmarks when applying the Continuing residual income  Residual income after the fore-
method of comparables to value an asset. Also called comps, cast horizon.
guideline assets, or guideline companies. Continuing value  The analyst’s estimate of a stock’s value at
Compiled financial statements  Financial statements that are a particular point in the future.
not accompanied by an auditor’s opinion letter. Control premium  An increment or premium to value associ-
Complexity  A term referring to the number of features, param- ated with a controlling ownership interest in a company.
eters, or branches in a model and to whether the model is Convergence  The tendency for differences in output per cap-
linear or non-linear (non-linear is more complex). ita across countries to diminish over time. In technical
Composite variable  A variable that combines two or more analysis, the term describes the case when an indicator
variables that are statistically strongly related to each other. moves in the same manner as the security being analyzed.
Comprehensive income  All changes in equity other than con- Conversion period  For a convertible bond, the period during
tributions by, and distributions to, owners; income under which bondholders have the right to convert their bonds
clean surplus accounting; includes all changes in equity into shares.
during a period except those resulting from investments Conversion price  For a convertible bond, the price per share
by owners and distributions to owners. Comprehensive at which the bond can be converted into shares.
income equals net income plus other comprehensive Conversion rate (or ratio)  For a convertible bond, the number
income. of shares of common stock that a bondholder receives from
Comps  Assets used as benchmarks when applying the method converting the bond into shares.
of comparables to value an asset. Conversion value  For a convertible bond, the value of the
Concentrated ownership  Ownership structure consisting of an bond if it is converted at the market price of the shares.
individual shareholder or a group (controlling shareholders) Also called parity value.
with the ability to exercise control over the corporation. Convertible bond  Bond that gives the bondholder the right
Conditional convergence  The idea that convergence of per to exchange the bond for a specified number of common
capita income is conditional on the countries having the shares in the issuing company.
same savings rate, population growth rate, and production Convexity  A measure of how interest rate sensitivity changes
function. with a change in interest rates.
Conditional heteroskedasticity  A condition in which the Cook’s distance  A metric for identifying influential data points.
variance of residuals of a regression are correlated with Also known as Cook’s D (Di).
the value of the independent variables. Core earnings  Earnings excluding nonrecurring components.
Conditional VaR (CVaR)  The weighted average of all loss Also referred to as continuing earnings, persistent earnings,
outcomes in the statistical (i.e., return) distribution that or underlying earnings.
exceed the VaR loss. Thus, CVaR is a more comprehensive Core real estate investment style  Investing in high-quality,
measure of tail loss than VaR is. Sometimes referred to as well-leased, core property types with low leverage (no more
the expected tail loss or expected shortfall. than 30% of asset value) in the largest markets with strong,
diversified economies. It is a conservative strategy designed
to avoid real estate–specific risks, including leasing, devel-
opment, and speculation in favor of steady returns. Hotel
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Glossary G-5

properties are excluded from the core categories because Credit curve  The credit spreads for a range of maturities of
of the higher cash flow volatility resulting from single-night a company’s debt.
leases and the greater importance of property operations, Credit default swap  A derivative contract between two parties
brand, and marketing. in which the buyer makes a series of cash payments to the
Corpus  A collection of text data in any form, including list, seller and receives a promise of compensation for credit
matrix, or data table forms. losses resulting from the default.
Cost approach  An approach that values a private company Credit derivative  A derivative instrument in which the under-
based on the values of the underlying assets of the entity lying is a measure of the credit quality of a borrower.
less the value of any related liabilities. In the context of Credit event  An event that defines a payout in a credit deriv-
real estate, this approach estimates the value of a property ative. Events are usually defined as bankruptcy, failure to
based on what it would cost to buy the land and construct pay an obligation, or an involuntary debt restructuring.
a new property on the site that has the same utility or Credit protection buyer  One party to a credit default swap;
functionality as the property being appraised. the buyer makes a series of cash payments to the seller
Cost of carry model  A model that relates the forward price of and receives a promise of compensation for credit losses
an asset to the spot price by considering the cost of carry resulting from the default.
(also referred to as future-spot parity model). Credit protection seller  One party to a credit default swap;
Cost of debt  The required return on debt financing to a com- the seller makes a promise to pay compensation for credit
pany, such as when it issues a bond, takes out a bank loan, losses resulting from the default.
or leases an asset through a finance lease. Credit risk  The risk of loss caused by a counterparty’s or
Cost of equity  The return required by equity investors to debtor’s failure to make a promised payment. Also called
compensate for both the time value of money and the risk. default risk.
Also referred to as the required rate of return on common Credit spread  The compensation for the risk inherent in a
stock or the required return on equity. company’s debt security.
Cost restructuring  Actions to reduce costs by improving oper- Credit valuation adjustment  The value of the credit risk of a
ational efficiency and profitability, often to raise margins to bond in present value terms.
a historical level or to those of comparable industry peers. Cross-validation  A technique for estimating out-of-sample
Country risk premium (CRP)  The additional return required error directly by determining the error in validation
by investors to compensate for the risk associated with samples.
investing in a foreign country relative to the investor’s Cumulative preferred stock  Preferred stock that requires that
domestic market. the dividends be paid in full to preferred stock owners for
Country risk rating (CRR)  The rating of a country based on any missed dividends prior to any payment of dividends
many risk factors, including economic prosperity, political to common stock owners.
risk, and ESG risk. Current exchange rate  For accounting purposes, the spot
Covariance stationary  Describes a time series when its exchange rate on the balance sheet date.
expected value and variance are constant and finite in Current rate method  Approach to translating foreign cur-
all periods and when its covariance with itself for a fixed rency financial statements for consolidation in which all
number of periods in the past or future is constant and assets and liabilities are translated at the current exchange
finite in all periods. rate. The current rate method is the prevalent method of
Covered bonds  A senior debt obligation of a financial insti- translation.
tution that gives recourse to the originator/issuer and a Curvature  One of the three factors (the other two are level and
predetermined underlying collateral pool. steepness) that empirically explain most of the changes
Covered interest rate parity  The relationship among the spot in the shape of the yield curve. A shock to the curvature
exchange rate, the forward exchange rate, and the interest factor affects mid-maturity interest rates, resulting in the
rates in two currencies that ensures that the return on a term structure becoming either more or less hump-shaped.
hedged (i.e., covered) foreign risk-free investment is the Curve trade  Buying a CDS of one maturity and selling a CDS
same as the return on a domestic risk-free investment. on the same reference entity with a different maturity.
Also called interest rate parity. Customer concentration risk  The risk associated with sales
Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model  A general equilibrium term struc- dependent on a few customers.
ture model that assumes interest rates are mean reverting Cyclical businesses  Businesses with high sensitivity to
and interest rate volatility is directly related to the level business- or industry-cycle influences.
of interest rates. Data preparation (cleansing)  The process of examining, iden-
Creation basket  The list of securities (and share amounts) tifying, and mitigating (i.e., cleansing) errors in raw data.
the authorized participant (AP) must deliver to the ETF Data snooping  The practice of determining a model by exten-
manager in exchange for ETF shares. The creation basket sive searching through a dataset for statistically significant
is published each business day. patterns.
Creation units  Large blocks of ETF shares transacted between Data wrangling (preprocessing)  This task performs transfor-
the authorized participant (AP) and the ETF manager that mations and critical processing steps on cleansed data to
are usually but not always equal to 50,000 shares of the ETF. make the data ready for ML model training (i.e., preprocess-
Creation/redemption  The process in which ETF shares are ing), and includes dealing with outliers, extracting useful
created or redeemed by authorized participants transacting variables from existing data points, and scaling the data.
with the ETF issuer. Deep learning  Machine learning using neural networks with
Credit correlation  The correlation of credit (or default) risks many hidden layers.
of the underlying single-name CDS contained in an index
CDS.
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G-6 Glossary

Deep neural networks  Neural networks with many hidden Discounted abnormal earnings model  A model of stock
layers—at least 2 but potentially more than 20—that have valuation that views intrinsic value of stock as the sum of
proven successful across a wide range of artificial intelli- book value per share plus the present value of the stock’s
gence applications. expected future residual income per share.
Default risk  See credit risk. Discounted cash flow (DCF) method  Income approach that
Defined benefit pension plans  Plans in which the company values an asset based on estimates of future cash flows
promises to pay a certain annual amount (defined benefit) discounted to present value by using a discount rate reflec-
to the employee after retirement. The company bears the tive of the risks associated with the cash flows. In the
investment risk of the plan assets. context of real estate, this method estimates the value of
Defined contribution pension plans  Individual accounts to an income-producing property based on discounting future
which an employee and typically the employer makes con- projected cash flows.
tributions during their working years and expect to draw Discounted cash flow method  Income approach that values an
on the accumulated funds at retirement. The employee asset based on estimates of future cash flows discounted to
bears the investment and inflation risk of the plan assets. present value by using a discount rate reflective of the risks
Delay costs  Implicit trading costs that arise from the inability to associated with the cash flows. In the context of real estate,
complete desired trades immediately. Also called slippage. this method estimates the value of an income-producing
Delta  The relationship between the option price and the under- property based on discounting future projected cash flows.
lying price, which reflects the sensitivity of the price of the Discounted cash flow model  A model of intrinsic value that
option to changes in the price of the underlying. Delta is views the value of an asset as the present value of the asset’s
a good approximation of how an option price will change expected future cash flows.
for a small change in the stock. Dispersed ownership  Ownership structure consisting of many
Dendrogram  A type of tree diagram used for visualizing a shareholders, none of which has the ability to individually
hierarchical cluster analysis; it highlights the hierarchical exercise control over the corporation.
relationships among the clusters. Divestiture  When a seller sells a company, segment of a com-
Depository Trust and Clearinghouse Corporation  A pany, or group of assets to an acquirer. Once complete,
US-headquartered entity providing post-trade clearing, control of the target is transferred to the acquirer.
settlement, and information services. Dividend  A distribution paid to shareholders based on the
Diluted earnings per share  (Diluted EPS)Net income, minus number of shares owned.
preferred dividends, divided by the weighted average num- Dividend coverage ratio  The ratio of net income to dividends.
ber of common shares outstanding considering all dilutive Dividend discount model  (DDM) A present value model
securities (e.g., convertible debt and options); the EPS that of stock value that views the intrinsic value of a stock as
would result if all dilutive securities were converted into present value of the stock’s expected future dividends.
common shares. Dividend discount model (DDM)  The model of the value
Dilution  A reduction in proportional ownership interest as a of stock that is the present value of all future dividends,
result of the issuance of new shares. discounted at the required return on equity.
Dimension reduction  A set of techniques for reducing the Dividend displacement of earnings  The concept that div-
number of features in a dataset while retaining variation idends paid now displace earnings in all future periods.
across observations to preserve the information contained Dividend imputation tax system  A taxation system that effec-
in that variation. tively assures corporate profits distributed as dividends are
Diminishing marginal productivity  When each additional taxed just once and at the shareholder’s tax rate.
unit of an input, keeping the other inputs unchanged, Dividend index point  A measure of the quantity of dividends
increases output by a smaller increment. attributable to a particular index.
Direct capitalization method  In the context of real estate, Dividend payout ratio  The ratio of cash dividends paid to
this method estimates the value of an income-producing earnings for a period.
property based on the level and quality of its net operating Dividend policy  The strategy a company follows with regard
income. to the amount and timing of dividend payments.
Discount  To reduce the value of a future payment in allowance Dividend rate  The annualized amount of the most recent
for how far away it is in time; to calculate the present value dividend.
of some future amount. Also, the amount by which an Dividend recapitalization  Restructuring the mix of debt and
instrument is priced below its face value. equity, typically shifting the capital structure from equity
Discount factor  The price equivalent of a zero rate. Also to debt through debt-financed share repurchases. The
may be stated as the present value of a currency unit on objective is to reduce the issuer’s weighted average cost of
a future date. capital by replacing expensive equity with cheaper debt by
Discount for lack of control  An amount or percentage purchasing equity from shareholders using newly issued
deducted from the pro rata share of 100% of the value of debt.
an equity interest in a business to reflect the absence of Dividend yield  Annual dividends per share divided by share
some or all of the powers of control. price.
Discount for lack of marketability  An amount of percentage Divisive clustering  A top-down hierarchical clustering method
deducted from the value of an ownership interest to reflect that starts with all observations belonging to a single large
the relative absence of marketability. cluster. The observations are then divided into two clus-
Discount function  Discount factors for the range of all pos- ters based on some measure of distance (similarity). The
sible maturities. The spot curve can be derived from the algorithm then progressively partitions the intermediate
discount function and vice versa. clusters into smaller ones until each cluster contains only
one observation.
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Glossary G-7

Document frequency (DF)  The number of documents (texts) Economies of scale  A situation in which average costs per
that contain a particular token divided by the total number unit of good or service produced fall as volume rises. In
of documents. It is the simplest feature selection method reference to mergers, the savings achieved through the
and often performs well when many thousands of tokens consolidation of operations and elimination of duplicate
are present. resources.
Document term matrix (DTM)  A matrix where each row Edwards–Bell–Ohlson model  A model of stock valuation that
belongs to a document (or text file), and each column views intrinsic value of stock as the sum of book value per
represents a token (or term). The number of rows is equal share plus the present value of the stock’s expected future
to the number of documents (or text files) in a sample text residual income per share.
dataset. The number of columns is equal to the number of Effective convexity  A curve convexity statistic that measures
tokens from the BOW built using all the documents in the the secondary effect of a change in a benchmark yield
sample dataset. The cells typically contain the counts of curve on a bond’s price.
the number of times a token is present in each document. Effective duration  Sensitivity of the bond’s price to a 100 bps
Dominance  An arbitrage opportunity when a financial asset parallel shift of the benchmark yield curve, assuming no
with a risk-free payoff in the future must have a positive change in the bond’s credit spread.
price today. Effective spread  Two times the difference between the exe-
Double taxation system  Corporate earnings are taxed twice cution price and the midpoint of the market quote at the
when paid out as dividends. First, corporate pretax earnings time an order is entered.
are taxed regardless of whether they will be distributed as Eigenvalue  A measure that gives the proportion of total
dividends or retained at the corporate level. Second, div- variance in the initial dataset that is explained by each
idends are taxed again at the individual shareholder level. eigenvector.
Downstream  A transaction between two related companies, an Eigenvector  A vector that defines new mutually uncorrelated
investor company (or a parent company) and an associate composite variables that are linear combinations of the
company (or a subsidiary) such that the investor company original features.
records a profit on its income statement. An example is a Embedded options  Contingency provisions found in a bond’s
sale of inventory by the investor company to the associate indenture or offering circular representing rights that
or by a parent to a subsidiary company. enable their holders to take advantage of interest rate
Dual-class shares  Shares that grant one share class superior movements. They can be exercised by the issuer, by the
or even sole voting rights, whereas the other share class bondholder, or automatically depending on the course of
has inferior or no voting rights. interest rates.
Due diligence  Investigation and analysis in support of an Ensemble learning  A technique of combining the predictions
investment action, decision, or recommendation. from a collection of models to achieve a more accurate
Dummy variable  An independent variable that takes on a prediction.
value of either 1 or 0, depending on a specified condition. Ensemble method  The method of combining multiple learning
Also known as an indicator variable. algorithms, as in ensemble learning.
Duration  A measure of the approximate sensitivity of a secu- Enterprise value  Total company value (the market value of
rity to a change in interest rates (i.e., a measure of interest debt, common equity, and preferred equity) minus the
rate risk). value of cash and investments.
Durbin–Watson (DW) test  A test for the presence of first-order Enterprise value multiple  A valuation multiple that relates
serial correlation. the total market value of all sources of a company’s capital
Dutch disease  A situation in which currency appreciation (net of cash) to a measure of fundamental value for the
driven by strong export demand for resources makes other entire company (such as a pre-interest earnings measure).
segments of the economy (particularly manufacturing) Equity charge  The estimated cost of equity capital in money
globally uncompetitive. terms.
ESG integration  An ESG investment approach that focuses on Equity investment  A company purchasing another company’s
systematic consideration of material ESG factors in asset equity but less than 50% of its shares. The two companies
allocation, security selection, and portfolio construction maintain their independence, but the investor company
decisions for the purpose of achieving the product’s stated has investment exposure to the investee and, in some cases
investment objectives. Used interchangeably with ESG depending on the size of the investment, can have repre-
investing. sentation on the investee’s board of directors to influence
Earnings surprise  The portion of a company’s earnings that is operations.
unanticipated by investors and, according to the efficient Equity REITs  REITs that own, operate, and/or selectively
market hypothesis, merits a price adjustment. develop income-producing real estate.
Earnings yield  EPS divided by price; the reciprocal of the P/E. Equity risk premium (ERP)  Compensation for bearing market
Economic profit  Equal to accounting profit less the implicit risk.
opportunity costs not included in total accounting costs; Equity swap  A swap transaction in which at least one cash
the difference between total revenue (TR) and total cost flow is tied to the return on an equity portfolio position,
(TC). Also called abnormal profit or supernormal profit. often an equity index.
Economic sectors  Large industry groupings. Error autocorrelations  The autocorrelations of the error term.
Economic value added  (EVA®) A commercial implementation Ex ante tracking error  A measure of the degree to which the
of the residual income concept; the computation of EVA® is performance of a given investment portfolio might be
the net operating profit after taxes minus the cost of capital, expected to deviate from its benchmark; also known as
where these inputs are adjusted for a number of items. relative VaR.
© CFA Institute. For candidate use only. Not for distribution.
G-8 Glossary

Ex ante version of PPP  The hypothesis that expected changes Factor risk premium  The expected return in excess of the
in the spot exchange rate are equal to expected differences risk-free rate for a portfolio with a sensitivity of 1 to one
in national inflation rates. An extension of relative pur- factor and a sensitivity of 0 to all other factors. Also called
chasing power parity to expected future changes in the factor price.
exchange rate. Factor risk premiums  The expected return in excess of the
Ex-dividend  Trading ex-dividend refers to shares that no longer risk-free rate for a portfolio with a sensitivity of 1 to one
carry the right to the next dividend payment. factor and a sensitivity of 0 to all other factors. Also called
Ex-dividend date  The first date that a share trades without factor price.
(i.e., “ex”) the right to receive the declared dividend for Failure to pay  When a borrower does not make a scheduled
the period. payment of principal or interest on any outstanding obli-
Excess earnings method  Income approach that estimates the gations after a grace period.
value of all intangible assets of the business by capitalizing Fair market value  The price, expressed in terms of cash equiv-
future earnings in excess of the estimated return require- alents, at which a property (asset) would change hands
ments associated with working capital and fixed assets. between a hypothetical willing and able buyer and a hypo-
Exercise date  The date when employees actually exercise stock thetical willing and able seller, acting at “arm’s length” in
options and convert them to stock. an open and unrestricted market, when neither is under
Exercise value  The value of an option if it were exercised. Also compulsion to buy or sell and when both have reasonable
sometimes called intrinsic value. knowledge of the relevant facts. Fair market value is most
Expanded CAPM  An adaptation of the CAPM that adds to the often used in a tax reporting context in the United States.
CAPM a premium for small size and company-specific risk. Fair value  The amount at which an asset could be exchanged,
Expectations approach  A procedure for obtaining the value of or a liability settled, between knowledgeable, willing parties
an option derived from discounting at the risk-free rate its in an arm’s-length transaction; the price that would be
expected future payoff based on risk neutral probabilities. received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an
Expected exposure  The projected amount of money an inves- orderly transaction between market participants.
tor could lose if an event of default occurs, before factoring Fama–French models  Factor models that explain the drivers
in possible recovery. of returns related to three, four, or five factors.
Expected shortfall  The average loss conditional on exceeding Feature engineering  A process of creating new features by
the VaR cutoff; sometimes referred to as conditional VaR changing or transforming existing features.
or expected tail loss. Feature selection  A process whereby only pertinent features
Expected tail loss  See expected shortfall. from the dataset are selected for model training. Selecting
Exploratory data analysis (EDA)  The preliminary step in data fewer features decreases model complexity and training
exploration, where graphs, charts, and other visualizations time.
(heat maps and word clouds) as well as quantitative meth- Features  The independent variables (X’s) in a labeled dataset.
ods (descriptive statistics and central tendency measures) Finance (or capital) lease  A lease that is viewed as a financing
are used to observe and summarize data. arrangement.
Exposure to foreign exchange risk  The risk of a change in Financial contagion  A situation in which financial shocks
value of an asset or liability denominated in a foreign spread from their place of origin to other locales. In essence,
currency due to a change in exchange rates. a faltering economy infects other, healthier economies.
Extendible bond  Bond with an embedded option that gives Financial leverage  The use of fixed sources of capital, such as
the bondholder the right to keep the bond for a number debt, relative to sources without fixed costs, such as equity.
of years after maturity, possibly with a different coupon. Financial transaction  A purchase involving a buyer having
Extra dividend  A dividend paid by a company that does not essentially no material synergies with the target (e.g., the
pay dividends on a regular schedule, or a dividend that purchase of a private company by a company in an unre-
supplements regular cash dividends with an extra payment. lated industry or by a private equity firm would typically
F1 score  The harmonic mean of precision and recall. F1 score be a financial transaction).
is a more appropriate overall performance metric (than First-differencing  A transformation that subtracts the value
accuracy) when there is unequal class distribution in the of the time series in period t − 1 from its value in period t.
dataset and it is necessary to measure the equilibrium of First-order serial correlation  The correlation of residuals with
precision and recall. residuals adjacent in time.
FX carry trade  An investment strategy that involves taking Fitting curve  A curve which shows in- and out-of-sample error
long positions in high-yield currencies and short positions rates (Ein and Eout) on the y-axis plotted against model
in low-yield currencies. complexity on the x-axis.
Factor  A common or underlying element with which several Fixed price tender offer  Offer made by a company to repur-
variables are correlated. chase a specific number of shares at a fixed price that is
Factor betas  An asset’s sensitivity to a particular factor; a typically at a premium to the current market price.
measure of the response of return to each unit of increase Fixed-rate perpetual preferred stock  Nonconvertible, non-
in a factor, holding all other factors constant. callable preferred stock that has a fixed dividend rate and
Factor portfolio  See pure factor portfolio. no maturity date.
Factor price  The expected return in excess of the risk-free rate Flight to quality  During times of market stress, investors sell
for a portfolio with a sensitivity of 1 to one factor and a higher-risk asset classes such as stocks and commodities
sensitivity of 0 to all other factors. in favor of default-risk-free government bonds.
Float  Amounts collected as premium and not yet paid out
as benefits.
© CFA Institute. For candidate use only. Not for distribution.
Glossary G-9

Floored floater  Floating-rate bond with a floor provision Free cash flow to the firm  The cash flow available to the
that prevents the coupon rate from decreasing below a company’s suppliers of capital after all operating expenses
specified minimum rate. It protects the investor against (including taxes) have been paid and necessary investments
declining interest rates. in working and fixed capital have been made.
Flotation cost  Fees charged to companies by investment bank- Free cash flow to the firm model  A model of stock valua-
ers and other costs associated with raising new capital. tion that views the value of a firm as the present value of
Forced conversion  For a convertible bond, when the issuer calls expected future free cash flows to the firm.
the bond and forces bondholders to convert their bonds Frequency analysis  The process of quantifying how important
into shares, which typically happens when the underlying tokens are in a sentence and in the corpus as a whole. It
share price increases above the conversion price. helps in filtering unnecessary tokens (or features).
Foreign currency transactions  Transactions that are denom- Functional currency  The currency of the primary economic
inated in a currency other than a company’s functional environment in which an entity operates.
currency. Fundamental factor models  A multifactor model in which
Forward curve  A series of forward rates, each having the the factors are attributes of stocks or companies that
same time frame. are important in explaining cross-sectional differences
Forward dividend yield  A dividend yield based on the antic- in stock prices.
ipated dividend during the next 12 months. Fundamentals  Economic characteristics of a business, such
Forward-looking estimates  Estimates based on current and as profitability, financial strength, and risk.
expectations. Also referred to as ex ante estimates. Funds available for distribution (FAD)  See adjusted funds
Forward P/E  A P/E calculated on the basis of a forecast of from operations.
EPS; a stock’s current price divided by next year’s expected Funds from operations (FFO)  Net income (computed in accor-
earnings. dance with generally accepted accounting principles) plus
Forward price  Represents the price agreed upon in a forward (1) gains and losses from sales of properties and (2) depre-
contract to be exchanged at the contract’s maturity date, ciation and amortization.
T. This price is shown in equations as F0(T). Futures price  The pre-agreed price at which a futures contract
Forward pricing model  The model that describes the valuation buyer (seller) agrees to pay (receive) for the underlying at
of forward contracts. the maturity date of the futures contract.
Forward propagation  The process of adjusting weights in a Futures value  The monetary value of an existing futures
neural network, to reduce total error of the network, by contract.
moving forward through the network’s layers. Gamma  A numerical measure of how sensitive an option’s delta
Forward rate  An interest rate determined today for a loan that (the sensitivity of the derivative’s price) is to a change in
will be initiated in a future period. the value of the underlying.
Forward rate agreement  An over-the-counter forward con- General linear F-test  A test statistic used to assess the good-
tract in which the underlying is an interest rate on a deposit. ness of fit for an entire regression model, so it tests all
A forward rate agreement (FRA) calls for one party to make independent variables in the model.
a fixed interest payment and the other to make an interest Generalize  When a model retains its explanatory power when
payment at a rate to be determined at contract expiration. predicting out-of-sample (i.e., using new data).
Forward rate model  The forward pricing model expressed in Global CAPM (GCAPM)  A single-factor model with a global
terms of spot and forward interest rates. index representing the single factor.
Forward rate parity  The proposition that the forward exchange Going-concern assumption  The assumption that the business
rate is an unbiased predictor of the future spot exchange will maintain its business activities into the foreseeable
rate. future.
Forward value  The monetary value of an existing forward Going-concern value  A business’s value under a going-concern
contract. assumption.
Franchising  An owner of an asset and associated intellectual Goodwill  An intangible asset that represents the excess of the
property divests the asset and licenses intellectual prop- purchase price of an acquired company over the value of
erty to a third-party operator (franchisee) in exchange for the net identifiable assets acquired.
royalties. Franchisees operate under the constraints of a Gordon growth model  A DDM that assumes dividends grow
franchise agreement. at a constant rate into the future.
Franking credit  A tax credit received by shareholders for the Grant date  The day that stock options are granted to employees.
taxes that a corporation paid on its distributed earnings. Green bond  Bonds in which the proceeds are designated by
Free cash flow method  Income approach that values an asset issuers to fund a specific project or portfolio of projects
based on estimates of future cash flows discounted to that have environmental or climate benefits.
present value by using a discount rate reflective of the Greenmail  The purchase of the accumulated shares of a hos-
risks associated with the cash flows. tile investor by a company that is targeted for takeover
Free cash flow to equity  The cash flow available to a company’s by that investor, usually at a substantial premium over
common shareholders after all operating expenses, interest, market price.
and principal payments have been made and necessary Greenwashing  The risk that a green bond’s proceeds are
investments in working and fixed capital have been made. not actually used for a beneficial environmental or
Free cash flow to equity model  A model of stock valuation climate-related project.
that views a stock’s intrinsic value as the present value of
expected future free cash flows to equity.
© CFA Institute. For candidate use only. Not for distribution.
G-10 Glossary

Grid search  A method of systematically training a model by risk-adjusted profit based on time, effort, construction and
using various combinations of hyperparameter values, development cost, leasing, and exit value would be the one
cross validating each model, and determining which com- to pay the highest price for the land.
bination of hyperparameter values ensures the best model Historical exchange rates  For accounting purposes, the
performance. exchange rates that existed when the assets and liabilities
Gross domestic product  The market value of all final goods were initially recorded.
and services produced within the economy during a given Historical scenario analysis  A technique for exploring the
period (output definition) or, equivalently, the aggregate performance and risk of investment strategies in different
income earned by all households, all companies, and the structural regimes.
government within the economy during a given period Historical simulation  A simulation method that uses past
(income definition). return data and a random number generator that picks
Gross lease  A lease under which the tenant pays a gross rent observations from the historical series to simulate an
to the landlord, who is responsible for all operating costs, asset’s future returns.
utilities, maintenance expenses, and real estate taxes relat- Historical simulation method  The application of historical
ing to the property. price changes to the current portfolio.
Ground truth  The known outcome (i.e., target variable) of Historical stress testing  The process that tests how investment
each observation in a labelled dataset. strategies would perform under some of the most negative
Growth accounting equation  The production function written (i.e., adverse) combinations of events and scenarios.
in the form of growth rates. For the basic Cobb–Douglas Ho–Lee model  The first arbitrage-free term structure model.
production function, it states that the growth rate of output The model is calibrated to market data and uses a bino-
equals the rate of technological change plus α multiplied mial lattice approach to generate a distribution of possible
by the growth rate of capital plus (1 − α) multiplied by the future interest rates.
growth rate of labor. Holdout samples  Data samples that are not used to train a
Growth capital expenditures  Capital expenditures needed model.
for expansion. Homoskedasticity  The property of having a constant variance;
Guideline assets  Assets used as benchmarks when applying refers to an error term that is constant across observations.
the method of comparables to value an asset. Horizontal ownership  Companies with mutual business
Guideline companies  Assets used as benchmarks when apply- interests (e.g., key customers or suppliers) that have
ing the method of comparables to value an asset. cross-holding share arrangements with each other.
Guideline public companies  Public-company comparables Human capital  An implied asset; the net present value of an
for the company being valued. investor’s future expected labor income weighted by the
Guideline public company method  A variation of the mar- probability of surviving to each future age. Also called net
ket approach; establishes a value estimate based on the employment capital.
observed multiples from trading activity in the shares of Hybrid approach  With respect to forecasting, an approach
public companies viewed as reasonably comparable to the that combines elements of both top-down and bottom-up
subject private company. analyses.
Guideline transactions method  A variation of the market Hyperparameter  A parameter whose value must be set by the
approach; establishes a value estimate based on pricing researcher before learning begins.
multiples derived from the acquisition of control of entire iNAVs  “Indicated” net asset values are intraday “fair value”
public or private companies that were acquired. estimates of an ETF share based on its creation basket.
Harmonic mean  A type of weighted mean computed as the ISDA Master Agreement  A standard or “master” agreement
reciprocal of the arithmetic average of the reciprocals. published by the International Swaps and Derivatives
Hazard rate  The probability that an event will occur, given Association. The master agreement establishes the terms
that it has not already occurred. for each party involved in the transaction.
Hedonic index  Unlike a repeat-sales index, a hedonic index I-spreads  Shortened form of “interpolated spreads” and a
does not require repeat sales of the same property. It reference to a linearly interpolated yield.
requires only one sale. The way it controls for the fact that Idiosyncratic risk premium (IRP)  The additional return
different properties are selling each quarter is to include required for bearing company-specific risks.
variables in the regression that control for differences in Illiquidity discount  A reduction or discount to value that
the characteristics of the property, such as size, age, quality reflects the lack of depth of trading or liquidity in that
of construction, and location. asset’s market.
Heteroskedastic  When the variance of the residuals differs Impairment  Diminishment in value as a result of carrying
across observations in a regression. (book) value exceeding fair value and/or recoverable value.
Heteroskedasticity  The property of having a nonconstant Impairment of capital rule  A legal restriction that dividends
variance; refers to an error term with the property that cannot exceed retained earnings.
its variance differs across observations. Implementation shortfall  (IS) The difference between the
Hierarchical clustering  An iterative unsupervised learning return for a notional or paper portfolio, where all transac-
procedure used for building a hierarchy of clusters. tions are assumed to take place at the manager’s decision
High-leverage point  An observation of an independent vari- price, and the portfolio’s actual return, which reflects
able that has an extreme value and is potentially influential. realized transactions, including all fees and costs.
Highest and best use  The concept that the best use of a vacant Implied volatility  The standard deviation that causes an option
site is the use that would result in the highest value for the pricing model to give the current option price.
land. Presumably, the developer that could earn the highest
© CFA Institute. For candidate use only. Not for distribution.
Glossary G-11

In-sample forecast errors  The residuals from a fitted Interaction term  A term that combines two or more variables
time-series model within the sample period used to fit and represents their joint influence on the dependent
the model. variable.
Income approach  A valuation approach that values an asset as Intercept dummy  An indicator variable that allows a single
the present discounted value of the income expected from regression model to estimate two lines of best fit, each with
it. In the context of real estate, this approach estimates the differing intercepts, depending on whether the dummy
value of a property based on an expected rate of return. takes a value of 1 or 0.
The estimated value is the present value of the expected Interest rate risk  The risk that interest rates will rise and
future income from the property, including proceeds from therefore the market value of current portfolio holdings
resale at the end of a typical investment holding period. will fall so that their current yields to maturity then match
Incremental borrowing rate (IBR)  The rate of interest that the comparable instruments in the marketplace.
lessee would have to pay to borrow using a collateralized Interlocking directorates  Corporate structure in which
loan over the same term as a lease. individuals serve on the board of directors of multiple
Incremental VaR (IVaR)  A measure of the incremental effect of corporations.
an asset on the VaR of a portfolio by measuring the differ- International CAPM (ICAPM)  A two-factor model with a global
ence between the portfolio’s VaR while including a specified index and a wealth-weighted currency index.
asset and the portfolio’s VaR with that asset eliminated. International Fisher effect  The proposition that nominal
Indenture  A written contract between a lender and borrower interest rate differentials across currencies are determined
that specifies the terms of the loan, such as interest rate, by expected inflation differentials.
interest payment schedule, or maturity. Intrinsic value  The amount gained (per unit) by an option
Independent board directors  Directors with no material buyer if an option is exercised at any given point in time.
relationship with the company with regard to employment, May be referred to as the exercise value of the option.
ownership, or remuneration. Inverse price ratio  The reciprocal of a price multiple—for
Independent regulators  Regulators recognized and granted example, in the case of a P/E, the “earnings yield” E/P
authority by a government body or agency. They are not (where P is share price and E is earnings per share).
government agencies per se and typically do not rely on Investment value  The value to a specific buyer, taking account
government funding. of potential synergies based on the investor’s requirements
Index CDS  A type of credit default swap that involves a com- and expectations.
bination of borrowers. Joint test of hypotheses  The test of hypotheses that spec-
Industry risk premium (IP)  The additional return that is ify values for two or more independent variables in the
required to bear industry -specific risk. hypotheses.
Industry shocks  Unexpected changes to an industry from reg- Joint venture  Two or more companies form and control a new,
ulations or the legal environment, technology, or changes separate company to achieve a business objective. Each
in the growth rate of the industry. participant contributes assets, employees, know-how, or
Industry structure  An industry’s underlying economic and other resources to the joint venture company. The partici-
technical characteristics. pants maintain their independence otherwise and continue
Influence plot  A visual that shows, for all observations, stu- to do business apart from the joint venture, but they share
dentized residuals on the y-axis, leverage on the x-axis, in the joint venture’s profits or losses.
and Cook’s D as circles whose size is proportional to the Judicial law  Interpretations of courts.
degree of influence of the given observation. Justified price multiple  The estimated fair value of the price
Influential observation  An observation in a statistical analysis multiple, usually based on forecasted fundamentals or
whose inclusion may significantly alter regression results. comparables.
Information gain  A metric which quantifies the amount of Justified (fundamental) P/E  The price-to-earnings ratio that
information that the feature holds about the response. is fair, warranted, or justified on the basis of forecasted
Information gain can be regarded as a form of non-linear fundamentals.
correlation between Y and X. K-fold cross-validation  A technique in which data (excluding
Information ratio  (IR) Mean active return divided by active test sample and fresh data) are shuffled randomly and then
risk; or alpha divided by the standard deviation of diver- are divided into k equal sub-samples, with k – 1 samples
sifiable risk. used as training samples and one sample, the kth, used as
Informational frictions  Forces that restrict availability, quality, a validation sample.
and/or flow of information and its use. K-means  A clustering algorithm that repeatedly partitions
Inside ask  See best ask. observations into a fixed number, k, of non-overlapping
Inside bid  See best bid. clusters.
Inside spread  The spread between the best bid price and the K-nearest neighbor  A supervised learning technique that
best ask price. Also called the market bid-ask spread, inside classifies a new observation by finding similarities (“near-
bid-ask spread, or market spread. ness”) between this new observation and the existing data.
Insiders  Corporate managers and board directors who are also Kalotay–Williams–Fabozzi (KWF) model  An arbitrage-free
shareholders of a company. term structure model that describes the dynamics of the
Intangible assets  Assets without a physical form, such as log of the short rate and assumes constant drift, no mean
patents and trademarks. reversion, and constant volatility.
Inter-temporal rate of substitution  The ratio of the mar- Key rate durations  Sensitivity of a bond’s price to changes
ginal utility of consumption s periods in the future (the in specific maturities on the benchmark yield curve. Also
numerator) to the marginal utility of consumption today called partial durations.
(the denominator).
© CFA Institute. For candidate use only. Not for distribution.
G-12 Glossary

kth-order autocorrelation  The correlation between observa- Liquidating dividend  A dividend that is a return of capi-
tions in a time series separated by k periods. tal rather than a distribution from earnings or retained
LASSO  Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator is a type earnings.
of penalized regression which involves minimizing the sum Liquidation value  The value of a company if the company
of the absolute values of the regression coefficients. LASSO were dissolved and its assets sold individually.
can also be used for regularization in neural networks. Liquidity preference theory  A term structure theory that
Labeled dataset  A dataset that contains matched sets of asserts liquidity premiums exist to compensate investors
observed inputs or features (X’s) and the associated output for the added interest rate risk they face when lending
or target (Y). long term.
Labor force  Everyone of working age (ages 16 to 64) who Liquidity premium  An extra return that compensates investors
either is employed or is available for work but not working. for the risk of loss relative to an investment’s fair value
Labor force participation rate  The percentage of the working if the investment needs to be converted to cash quickly.
age population that is in the labor force. Local currency  The currency of the country where a company
Labor productivity  The quantity of goods and services (real is located.
GDP) that a worker can produce in one hour of work. Local expectations theory  A term structure theory that con-
Labor productivity growth accounting equation  States that tends the return for all bonds over short periods is the
potential GDP growth equals the growth rate of the labor risk-free rate.
input plus the growth rate of labor productivity. Log-linear model  With reference to time-series models, a
Lack of marketability discount  An extra return to inves- model in which the growth rate of the time series as a
tors to compensate for lack of a public market or lack of function of time is constant.
marketability. Log odds  The natural log of the odds of an event or character-
Latency  The elapsed time between the occurrence of an event istic happening. Also known as the logit function.
and a subsequent action that depends on that event. Logistic regression (logit)  A regression in which the depen-
Law of one price  A principle that states that if two investments dent variable uses a logistic transformation of the event
have the same or equivalent future cash flows regardless of probability.
what will happen in the future, then these two investments Logistic transformation  The log of the probability of an
should have the same current price. occurrence of an event or characteristic divided by the
Leading dividend yield  Forecasted dividends per share over probability of the event or characteristic not occurring.
the next year divided by current stock price. Long/short credit trade  A credit protection seller with respect
Leading P/E  A P/E calculated on the basis of a forecast of to one entity combined with a credit protection buyer with
EPS; a stock’s current price divided by next year’s expected respect to another entity.
earnings. Look-ahead bias  A bias caused by using information that was
Learning curve  A curve that plots the accuracy rate (= 1 – error unavailable on the test date.
rate) in the validation or test samples (i.e., out-of-sample) Lookback period  The time period used to gather a historical
against the amount of data in the training sample, which data set.
is thus useful for describing under- and overfitting as a Loss given default  The amount that will be lost if a default
function of bias and variance errors. occurs.
Learning rate  A parameter that affects the magnitude of Macroeconomic factor model  A multifactor model in which
adjustments in the weights in a neural network. the factors are surprises in macroeconomic variables that
Level  One of the three factors (the other two are steepness and significantly explain equity returns.
curvature) that empirically explain most yield curve shape Macroeconomic factors  Factors related to the economy, such
changes. A shock to the level factor changes the yield for as the inflation rate, industrial production, or economic
all maturities by an almost identical amount. sector membership.
Leverage  A measure for identifying a potentially influential Maintenance capital expenditures  Capital expenditures
high-leverage point. needed to maintain operations at the current level.
Leveraged buyout (LBO)  An acquirer (typically an investment Majority shareholders  Shareholders that own more than 50%
fund specializing in LBOs) uses a significant amount of of a corporation’s shares.
debt to finance the acquisition of a target and then pursues Majority-vote classifier  A classifier that assigns to a new
restructuring actions, with the goal of exiting the target data point the predicted label with the most votes (i.e.,
with a sale or public listing. occurrences).
Libor–OIS spread  The difference between Libor and the over- Marginal VaR (MVaR)  A measure of the effect of a small change
night indexed swap rate. in a position size on portfolio VaR.
Likelihood ratio (LR) test  A method to assess the fit of logistic Market approach  Valuation approach that values an asset
regression models and is based on the log-likelihood metric based on pricing multiples from sales of assets viewed as
that describes the model’s fit to the data. similar to the subject asset.
Limit order book  The book or list of limit orders to buy and Market conditions  Interest rates, inflation rates, and other
sell that pertains to a security. economic characteristics that comprise the macroeconomic
Linear classifier  A binary classifier that makes its classification environment.
decision based on a linear combination of the features of Market conversion premium per share  For a convertible
each data point. bond, the difference between the market conversion price
Linear trend  A trend in which the dependent variable changes and the underlying share price, which allows investors to
at a constant rate with time. identify the premium or discount payable when buying a
convertible bond rather than the underlying common stock.
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Glossary G-13

Market conversion premium ratio  For a convertible bond, Momentum indicators  Valuation indicators that relate either
the market conversion premium per share expressed as price or a fundamental (such as earnings) to the time
a percentage of the current market price of the shares. series of their own past values (or in some cases to their
Market efficiency  A finance perspective on capital markets expected value).
that deals with the relationship of price to intrinsic value. Monetary assets and liabilities  Assets and liabilities with
The traditional efficient markets formulation asserts that value equal to the amount of currency contracted for, a
an asset’s price is the best available estimate of its intrinsic fixed amount of currency. Examples are cash, accounts
value. The rational efficient markets formulation asserts receivable, accounts payable, bonds payable, and mortgages
that investors should expect to be rewarded for the costs of payable. Inventory is not a monetary asset. Most liabilities
information gathering and analysis by higher gross returns. are monetary.
Market fragmentation  Trading the same instrument in mul- Monetary/non-monetary method  Approach to translating
tiple venues. foreign currency financial statements for consolidation
Market impact  The effect of the trade on transaction prices. in which monetary assets and liabilities are translated
Also called price impact. at the current exchange rate. Non-monetary assets and
Market model  A regression model with the return on a stock liabilities are translated at historical exchange rates (the
as the dependent variable and the returns on a market exchange rates that existed when the assets and liabilities
index as the independent variable. were acquired).
Market value of invested capital  The market value of debt Monetizing  Unwinding a position to either capture a gain or
and equity. realize a loss.
Mature growth rate  The earnings growth rate in a compa- Monte Carlo simulation  A technique that uses the inverse
ny’s mature phase; an earnings growth rate that can be transformation method for converting a randomly gener-
sustained long term. ated uniformly distributed number into a simulated value
Maximum drawdown  The worst cumulative loss ever sustained of a random variable of a desired distribution. Each key
by an asset or portfolio. More specifically, maximum draw- decision variable in a Monte Carlo simulation requires an
down is the difference between an asset’s or a portfolio’s assumed statistical distribution; this assumption facilitates
maximum cumulative return and its subsequent lowest incorporating non-normality, fat tails, and tail dependence
cumulative return. as well as solving high-dimensionality problems.
Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE)  A method that esti- Mortgage  A loan with real estate serving as collateral for
mates values for the intercept and slope coefficients in a the loan.
logistic regression that make the data in the regression Multicollinearity  When two or more independent variables
sample most likely. are highly correlated with one another or are approximately
Mean reversion  The tendency of a time series to fall when its linearly related.
level is above its mean and rise when its level is below its Multiple linear regression  Modeling and estimation method
mean; a mean-reverting time series tends to return to its that uses two or more independent variables to describe
long-term mean. the variation of the dependent variable. Also referred to
Metadata  Data that describes and gives information about as multiple regression.
other data. Mutual information  Measures how much information is
Method based on forecasted fundamentals  An approach contributed by a token to a class of texts. MI will be 0 if
to using price multiples that relates a price multiple to the token’s distribution in all text classes is the same. MI
forecasts of fundamentals through a discounted cash flow approaches 1 as the token in any one class tends to occur
model. more often in only that particular class of text.
Method of comparables  An approach to valuation that N-grams  A representation of word sequences. The length of a
involves using a price multiple to evaluate whether an sequence varies from 1 to n. When one word is used, it is a
asset is relatively fairly valued, relatively undervalued, unigram; a two-word sequence is a bigram; and a 3-word
or relatively overvalued when compared to a benchmark sequence is a trigram; and so on.
value of the multiple. n-Period moving average  The average of the current and
Midquote price  The average, or midpoint, of the prevailing immediately prior n − 1 values of a time series.
bid and ask prices. NTM P/E  Next 12-month P/E: current market price divided by
Minority interest  The proportion of the ownership of a sub- an estimated next 12-month EPS.
sidiary not held by the parent (controlling) company. Naked credit default swap  A position where the owner of
Minority shareholders  Particular shareholders or a block of the CDS does not have a position in the underlying credit.
shareholders holding a small proportion of a company’s Name entity recognition  An algorithm that analyzes individual
outstanding shares, resulting in a limited ability to exercise tokens and their surrounding semantics while referring to
control in voting activities. its dictionary to tag an object class to the token.
Mispricing  Any departure of the market price of an asset from Negative serial correlation  A situation in which residuals are
the asset’s estimated intrinsic value. negatively related to other residuals.
Model specification  The set of independent variables included Nested models  Models in which one regression model has a
in a model and the model’s functional form. subset of the independent variables of another regression
Molodovsky effect  The observation that P/Es tend to be model.
high on depressed EPS at the bottom of a business cycle Net asset balance sheet exposure  When assets translated
and tend to be low on unusually high EPS at the top of a at the current exchange rate are greater in amount than
business cycle. liabilities translated at the current exchange rate. Assets
exposed to translation gains or losses exceed the exposed
liabilities.
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G-14 Glossary

Net asset value per share (NAVPS)  Net asset value divided Normalized EPS  The EPS that a business could achieve cur-
by the number of shares outstanding. rently under mid-cyclical conditions. Also called normal
Net lease  A lease under which the tenant pays a net rent to the EPS.
landlord and an additional amount based on the tenant’s Normalized earnings  The expected level of mid-cycle earnings
pro rata share of the operating costs, utilities, maintenance for a company in the absence of any unusual or tempo-
expenses, and real estate taxes relating to the property. rary factors that affect profitability (either positively or
Net liability balance sheet exposure  When liabilities trans- negatively).
lated at the current exchange rate are greater assets trans- Normalized P/E  P/E based on normalized EPS data.
lated at the current exchange rate. Liabilities exposed to Notional amount  The amount of protection being purchased
translation gains or losses exceed the exposed assets. in a CDS.
Net operating income (NOI)  Gross rental revenue minus oper- Off-the-run  A series of securities or indexes that were issued/
ating costs but before deducting depreciation, corporate created prior to the most recently issued/created series.
overhead, and interest expense. In the context of real estate, Offshoring  Refers to relocating operations from one country to
a measure of the income from the property after deduct- another, mainly to reduce costs through lower labor costs
ing operating expenses for such items as property taxes, or to achieve economies of scale through centralization,
insurance, maintenance, utilities, repairs, and insurance but still maintaining operations within the corporation.
but before deducting any costs associated with financing Omitted variable bias  Bias resulting from the omission of an
and before deducting federal income taxes. It is similar to important independent variable from a regression model.
EBITDA in a financial reporting context. On-the-run  The most recently issued and most actively traded
Net regulatory burden  The private costs of regulation less sovereign securities.
the private benefits of regulation. One hot encoding  The process by which categorical variables
Network externalities  The impact that users of a good, a ser- are converted into binary form (0 or 1) for machine read-
vice, or a technology have on other users of that product; ing. It is one of the most common methods for handling
it can be positive (e.g., a critical mass of users makes a categorical features in text data.
product more useful) or negative (e.g., congestion makes One-sided durations  Effective durations when interest rates
the product less useful). go up or down, which are better at capturing the interest
Neural networks  Computer programs based on how our own rate sensitivity of bonds with embedded options that do
brains learn and process information. not react symmetrically to positive and negative changes
No-arbitrage approach  A procedure for obtaining the value in interest rates of the same magnitude.
of an option based on the creation of a portfolio that rep- One-tier board  Board structure consisting of a single board
licates the payoffs of the option and deriving the option of directors, composed of executive (internal) and
value from the value of the replicating portfolio. non-executive (external) directors.
No-growth company  A company without positive expected Opportunity cost  Reflects the foregone opportunity of
net present value projects. investing in a different asset. It is typically denoted by the
No-growth value per share  The value per share of a no-growth risk-free rate of interest, r.
company, equal to the expected level amount of earnings Option-adjusted spread  (OAS) Constant spread that, when
divided by the stock’s required rate of return. added to all the one-period forward rates on the interest
Non-cash rent  An amount equal to the difference between the rate tree, makes the arbitrage-free value of the bond equal
average contractual rent over a lease term (the straight-line to its market price.
rent) and the cash rent actually paid during a period. Orderly liquidation value  The estimated gross amount of
This figure is one of the deductions made from FFO to money that could be realized from the liquidation sale of
calculate AFFO. an asset or assets, given a reasonable amount of time to
Non-convergence trap  A situation in which a country remains find a purchaser or purchasers.
relatively poor, or even falls further behind, because it fails Other comprehensive income  Items of comprehensive income
to implement necessary institutional reforms and/or adopt that are not reported on the income statement; compre-
leading technologies. hensive income minus net income.
Non-monetary assets and liabilities  Assets and liabilities Other post-employment benefits  Promises by the company to
that are not monetary assets and liabilities. Non-monetary pay benefits in the future, such as life insurance premiums
assets include inventory, fixed assets, and intangibles, and and all or part of health care insurance for its retirees.
non-monetary liabilities include deferred revenue. Out-of-sample forecast errors  The differences between actual
Non-renewable resources  Finite resources that are depleted and predicted values of time series outside the sample
once they are consumed; oil and coal are examples. period used to fit the model.
Non-residential properties  Commercial real estate prop- Outlier  An observation that has an extreme value of the depen-
erties other than multi-family properties, farmland, and dent variable and is potentially influential.
timberland. Outsourcing  Shifting internal business services to a subcon-
Nonearning assets  Cash and investments (specifically cash, tractor that can offer services at lower costs by scaling to
cash equivalents, and short-term investments). serve many clients.
Normal EPS  The EPS that a business could achieve currently Overfitting  Situation in which the model has too many inde-
under mid-cyclical conditions. Also called normalized EPS. pendent variables relative to the number of observations in
Normal Q-Q plot  A visual used to compare the distribution the sample, such that the coefficients on the independent
of the residuals from a regression to a theoretical normal variables represent noise rather than relationships with
distribution. the dependent variable.
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Glossary G-15

Overnight indexed swap (OIS) rate  An interest rate swap Positive serial correlation  A situation in which residuals are
in which the periodic floating rate of the swap equals the positively related to other residuals.
geometric average of a daily unsecured overnight rate (or Potential GDP  The maximum amount of output an economy
overnight index rate). can sustainably produce without inducing an increase in
PEG ratio  The P/E-to-growth ratio, calculated as the stock’s the inflation rate. The output level that corresponds to full
P/E divided by the expected earnings growth rate. employment with consistent wage and price expectations.
Pairs trading  An approach to trading that uses pairs of closely Precision  In error analysis for classification problems it is
related stocks, buying the relatively undervalued stock and ratio of correctly predicted positive classes to all predicted
selling short the relatively overvalued stock. positive classes. Precision is useful in situations where the
Par curve  A sequence of yields-to-maturity such that each bond cost of false positives (FP), or Type I error, is high.
is priced at par value. The bonds are assumed to have the Preferred habitat theory  A term structure theory that con-
same currency, credit risk, liquidity, tax status, and annual tends that investors have maturity preferences and require
yields stated for the same periodicity. yield incentives before they will buy bonds outside of their
Par swap  A swap in which the fixed rate is set so that no money preferred maturities.
is exchanged at contract initiation. Premise of value  The status of a company in the sense of
Parametric method  A method of estimating VaR that uses whether it is assumed to be a going concern or not.
the historical mean, standard deviation, and correlation Premium leg  The series of payments the credit protection
of security price movements to estimate the portfolio buyer promises to make to the credit protection seller.
VaR. Generally assumes a normal distribution but can be Premiums  Amounts paid by the purchaser of insurance
adapted to non-normal distributions with the addition of products.
skewness and kurtosis. Sometimes called the variance– Present value model  A model of intrinsic value that views
covariance method or the analytical method. the value of an asset as the present value of the asset’s
Partial regression coefficient  Coefficient that describes the expected future cash flows.
effect of a one-unit change in the independent variable Present value of growth opportunities  The difference
on the dependent variable, holding all other independent between the actual value per share and the no-growth
variables constant. Also known as partial slope coefficient. value per share. Also called value of growth.
Parts of speech  An algorithm that uses language structure Presentation currency  The currency in which financial state-
and dictionaries to tag every token in the text with a ment amounts are presented.
corresponding part of speech (i.e., noun, verb, adjective, Price improvement  When trade execution prices are better
proper noun, etc.). than quoted prices.
Payout amount  The loss given default times the notional. Price momentum  A valuation indicator based on past price
Payout policy  The principles by which a company distributes movement.
cash to common shareholders by means of cash dividends Price multiples  The ratio of a stock’s market price to some
and/or share repurchases. measure of value per share.
Payouts  Cash dividends and the value of shares repurchased Price-to-earnings ratio  (P/E) The ratio of share price to earn-
in any given year. ings per share.
Penalized regression  A regression that includes a constraint Priced risk  Risk for which investors demand compensation
such that the regression coefficients are chosen to mini- for bearing (e.g., equity risk, company-specific factors,
mize the sum of squared residuals plus a penalty term that macroeconomic factors).
increases in size with the number of included features. Principal components analysis (PCA)  An unsupervised ML
Pension obligation  The present value of future benefits earned technique used to transform highly correlated features of
by employees for service provided to date. data into a few main, uncorrelated composite variables.
Perfect capital markets  Markets in which, by assumption, Principle of no arbitrage  In well-functioning markets, prices
there are no taxes, transaction costs, or bankruptcy will adjust until there are no arbitrage opportunities.
costs and in which all investors have equal (“symmetric”) Prior transaction method  A variation of the market approach;
information. considers actual transactions in the stock of the subject
Perpetuity  A perpetual annuity, or a set of never-ending level private company.
sequential cash flows, with the first cash flow occurring Private market value  The value derived using a
one period from now. sum-of-the-parts valuation.
Persistent earnings  Earnings excluding nonrecurring compo- Pro forma financial statements  Financial statements that
nents. Also referred to as core earnings, continuing earnings, include the effect of a corporate restructuring.
or underlying earnings. Probability of default  The likelihood that a borrower defaults
Physical settlement  Involves actual delivery of the debt instru- or fails to meet its obligation to make full and timely pay-
ment in exchange for a payment by the credit protection ments of principal and interest.
seller of the notional amount of the contract. Probability of survival  The probability that a bond issuer will
Point-in-time data  Data consisting of the exact information meet its contractual obligations on schedule.
available to market participants as of a given point in time. Procedural law  The body of law that focuses on the protection
Point-in-time data is used to address look-ahead bias. and enforcement of the substantive laws.
Portfolio balance approach  A theory of exchange rate Projection error  The vertical (perpendicular) distance between
determination that emphasizes the portfolio investment a data point and a given principal component.
decisions of global investors and the requirement that Prospective P/E  A P/E calculated on the basis of a forecast of
global investors willingly hold all outstanding securities EPS; a stock’s current price divided by next year’s expected
denominated in each currency at prevailing prices and earnings.
exchange rates.
© CFA Institute. For candidate use only. Not for distribution.
G-16 Glossary

Protection leg  The contingent payment that the credit protec- Real interest rate parity  The proposition that real interest rates
tion seller may have to make to the credit protection buyer. will converge to the same level across different markets.
Protection period  Period during which a bond’s issuer cannot Real options  Options that relate to investment decisions such
call the bond. as the option to time the start of a project, the option to
Provision for loan losses  An income statement expense adjust its scale, or the option to abandon a project that
account that increases the amount of the allowance for has begun.
loan losses. Rebalance return  A return from rebalancing the component
Prudential supervision  Regulation and monitoring of the weights of an index.
safety and soundness of financial institutions to promote Recall  Also known as sensitivity, in error analysis for classifica-
financial stability, reduce system-wide risks, and protect tion problems it is the ratio of correctly predicted positive
customers of financial institutions. classes to all actual positive classes. Recall is useful in
Pruning  A regularization technique used in CART to reduce situations where the cost of false negatives (FN), or Type
the size of the classification or regression tree—by prun- II error, is high.
ing, or removing, sections of the tree that provide little Recency bias  The behavioral tendency to place more relevance
classifying power. on recent events.
Purchasing power gain  A gain in value caused by changes Reconstitution  When dealers recombine appropriate individ-
in price levels. Monetary liabilities experience purchasing ual zero-coupon securities and reproduce an underlying
power gains during periods of inflation. coupon Treasury.
Purchasing power loss  A loss in value caused by changes in Recovery rate  The percentage of the loss recovered.
price levels. Monetary assets experience purchasing power Redemption basket  The list of securities (and share amounts)
loss during periods of inflation. the authorized participant (AP) receives when it redeems
Purchasing power parity (PPP)  The idea that exchange ETF shares back to the ETF manager. The redemption
rates move to equalize the purchasing power of different basket is published each business day.
currencies. Reference entity  The borrower (debt issuer) covered by a
Pure expectations theory  A term structure theory that con- single-name CDS.
tends the forward rate is an unbiased predictor of the future Reference obligation  A particular debt instrument issued
spot rate. Also called the unbiased expectations theory. by the borrower that is the designated instrument being
Pure factor portfolio  A portfolio with sensitivity of 1 to the covered.
factor in question and a sensitivity of 0 to all other factors. Regime  With reference to a time series, the underlying model
Putable bond  Bond that includes an embedded put option, generating the times series.
which gives the bondholder the right to put back the bonds Regular expression (regex)  A series of texts that contains
to the issuer prior to maturity, typically when interest rates characters in a particular order. Regex is used to search
have risen and higher-yielding bonds are available. for patterns of interest in a given text.
Qualitative dependent variable  A dependent variable that is Regularization  A term that describes methods for reducing
discrete (binary). Also known as a categorical dependent statistical variability in high-dimensional data estimation
variable. problems.
Quality of earnings analysis  The investigation of issues Regulatory arbitrage  Entities identify and use some aspect
relating to the accuracy of reported accounting results as of regulations that allows them to exploit differences in
reflections of economic performance. Quality of earnings economic substance and regulatory interpretation or in
analysis is broadly understood to include not only earnings foreign and domestic regulatory regimes to their (the
management but also balance sheet management. entities’) advantage.
Random forest classifier  A collection of a large number of Regulatory burden  The costs of regulation for the regulated
decision trees trained via a bagging method. entity.
Random walk  A time series in which the value of the series in Regulatory capture  Theory that regulation often arises to
one period is the value of the series in the previous period enhance the interests of the regulated.
plus an unpredictable random error. Regulatory competition  Regulators may compete to provide a
Rate implicit in the lease (RIIL)  The discount rate that equates regulatory environment designed to attract certain entities.
the present value of the lease payment with the fair value Reinforcement learning  Machine learning in which a com-
of the leased asset, considering also the lessor’s direct costs puter learns from interacting with itself or data generated
and the present value of the leased asset’s residual value. by the same algorithm.
Rational efficient markets formulation  See market efficiency. Relative-strength indicators  Valuation indicators that com-
Readme files  Text files provided with raw data that contain pare a stock’s performance during a period either to its
information related to a data file. They are useful for under- own past performance or to the performance of some
standing the data and how they can be interpreted correctly. group of stocks.
Real estate investment trusts (REITs)  Tax-advantaged entities Relative VaR  See ex ante tracking error.
(companies or trusts) that own, operate, and—to a limited Relative valuation models  A model that specifies an asset’s
extent—develop income-producing real estate property. value relative to the value of another asset.
Real estate operating companies (REOCs)  Regular taxable real Relative version of PPP  The hypothesis that changes in (nomi-
estate ownership companies that operate in the real estate nal) exchange rates over time are equal to national inflation
industry in countries that do not have a tax-advantaged rate differentials.
REIT regime in place or that are engage in real estate Renewable resources  Resources that can be replenished,
activities of a kind and to an extent that do not fit in their such as a forest.
country’s REIT framework. Rental price of capital  The cost per unit of time to rent a
unit of capital.
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Glossary G-17

Reorganization  A court-supervised restructuring process Rho  The change in a given derivative instrument for a given
available in some jurisdictions for companies facing insol- small change in the risk-free interest rate, holding every-
vency from burdensome debt levels. A bankruptcy court thing else constant. Rho measures the sensitivity of the
assumes control of the company and oversees an orderly option to the risk-free interest rate.
negotiation process between the company and its creditors Risk-based models  Models of the return on equity that iden-
for asset sales, conversion of debt to equity, refinancing, tify risk factors or drivers and sensitivities of the return
and so on. to these factors.
Repeat sales index  As the name implies, this type of index Risk budgeting  The establishment of objectives for individ-
relies on repeat sales of the same property. In general, the uals, groups, or divisions of an organization that takes
idea supporting this type of index is that because it is the into account the allocation of an acceptable level of risk.
same property that sold twice, the change in value between Risk decomposition  The process of converting a set of hold-
the two sale dates indicates how market conditions have ings in a portfolio into a set of exposures to risk factors.
changed over time. Risk factors  Variables or characteristics with which individual
Replacement cost  In the context of real estate, the value of asset returns are correlated. Sometimes referred to simply
a building assuming it was built today using current con- as factors.
struction costs and standards. Risk-free rate  The minimum rate of return expected on a
Reporting unit  For financial reporting under US GAAP, an security that has no default risk.
operating segment or one level below an operating segment Risk parity  A portfolio allocation scheme that weights stocks
(referred to as a component). or factors based on an equal risk contribution.
Required rate of return on equity  The minimum rate of Robust standard errors  Method for correcting resid-
return required by an investor to invest in an asset, given uals for conditional heteroskedasticity. Also known
the asset’s riskiness. Also known as the required return as heteroskedasticity-consistent standard errors or
on equity. White-corrected standard errors.
Residential properties  Properties that provide housing for Roll  When an investor moves its investment position from an
individuals or families. Single-family properties may be older series to the most current series.
owner-occupied or rental properties, whereas multi-family Roll return  The component of the return on a commodity
properties are rental properties even if the owner or man- futures contract attributable to rolling long futures posi-
ager occupies one of the units. tions forward through time. Also called roll yield.
Residual autocorrelations  The sample autocorrelations of Rolling down the yield curve  A maturity trading strategy
the residuals. that involves buying bonds with a maturity longer than
Residual income  Earnings for a given period, minus a deduc- the intended investment horizon. Also called riding the
tion for common shareholders’ opportunity cost in gener- yield curve.
ating the earnings. Also called economic profit or abnormal Rolling windows  A backtesting method that uses a
earnings. rolling-window (or walk-forward) framework, rebalances
Residual income method  Income approach that estimates the the portfolio after each period, and then tracks perfor-
value of all intangible assets of the business by capitalizing mance over time. As new information arrives each period,
future earnings in excess of the estimated return require- the investment manager optimizes (revises and tunes) the
ments associated with working capital and fixed assets. model and readjusts stock positions.
Residual income model  (RIM) A model of stock valuation that Root mean squared error (RMSE)  The square root of the
views intrinsic value of stock as the sum of book value per average squared forecast error; used to compare the
share plus the present value of the stock’s expected future out-of-sample forecasting performance of forecasting
residual income per share. Also called discounted abnormal models.
earnings model or Edwards–Bell–Ohlson model. Sale-leaseback  A situation in which a company sells the
Restricted model  A regression model with a subset of the building it owns and occupies to a real estate investor and
complete set of independent variables. the company then signs a long-term lease with the buyer
Restructuring  Reorganizing the capital structure of a firm. to continue to occupy the building. At the end of the lease,
Return on invested capital  A measure of the profitability of use of the property reverts to the landlord.
a company relative to the amount of capital invested by Sales comparison approach  In the context of real estate,
the equity- and debtholders. this approach estimates value based on what similar or
Reverse carry arbitrage  A strategy involving the short sale comparable properties (comparables) transacted for in
of the underlying and an offsetting opposite position in the current market.
the derivative. Sales risk  The uncertainty regarding the price and number of
Reverse stock split  A reduction in the number of shares units sold of a company’s products.
outstanding with a corresponding increase in share price, Scaled earnings surprise  Unexpected earnings divided by the
but no change to the company’s underlying fundamentals. standard deviation of analysts’ earnings forecasts.
Reverse stress testing  A risk management approach in which Scaling  The process of adjusting the range of a feature by
the user identifies key risk exposures in the portfolio and shifting and changing the scale of the data. Two of the
subjects those exposures to extreme market movements. most common ways of scaling are normalization and
Reviewed financial statements  A type of non-audited finan- standardization.
cial statements; typically provide an opinion letter with Scatterplot matrix  A visualization technique that shows the
representations and assurances by the reviewing accountant scatterplots between different sets of variables, often with
that are less than those in audited financial statements. the histogram for each variable on the diagonal. Also
referred to as a pairs plot.
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G-18 Glossary

Scenario analysis  A technique for exploring the performance Single-name CDS  Credit default swap on one specific borrower.
and risk of investment strategies in different structural Sinking fund bond  A bond that requires the issuer to set aside
regimes. funds over time to retire the bond issue, thus reducing
Schwarz’s Bayesian information criterion (BIC or SBC)  A credit risk.
statistic used to compare sets of independent variables for Size premium (SP)  Additional return compensation for bearing
explaining a dependent variable. It is preferred for finding the additional risk associated with smaller companies.
the model with the best goodness of fit. Slope dummy  An indicator variable that allows a single regres-
Scree plots  A plot that shows the proportion of total variance sion model to estimate two lines of best fit, each with
in the data explained by each principal component. differing slopes, depending on whether the dummy takes
Screening  The application of a set of criteria to reduce a set a value of 1 or 0.
of potential investments to a smaller set having certain Soft margin classification  An adaptation in the support vector
desired characteristics. machine algorithm which adds a penalty to the objec-
Seasonality  A characteristic of a time series in which the data tive function for observations in the training set that are
experience regular and predictable periodic changes; for misclassified.
example, fan sales are highest during the summer months. Sovereign yield spread  The spread between the yield on a
Secured overnight financing rate (SOFR)  A daily foreign country’s sovereign bond and a similar-maturity
volume-weighted index of rates on qualified cash bor- domestic sovereign bond.
rowings collateralized by US Treasuries that is expected Special dividend  A dividend paid by a company that does not
to replace Libor as a floating reference rate for swaps. pay dividends on a regular schedule, or a dividend that
Security selection risk  See active specific risk. supplements regular cash dividends with an extra payment.
Segmented markets theory  A term structure theory that Specific-company risk premium (SCRP)  Additional return
contends yields are solely a function of the supply and required by investors for bearing non-diversifiable
demand for funds of a particular maturity. company-specific risk.
Self-regulating organizations (SROs)  Self-regulating bodies Spin off  When a company separates a distinct part of its busi-
that are given recognition and authority, including enforce- ness into a new, independent company. The term is used
ment power, by a government body or agency. to describe both the transaction and the separated com-
Self-regulatory bodies  Private, non-governmental organi- ponent, while the company that conducts the transaction
zations that both represent and regulate their members. and formerly owned the spin off is known as the parent.
Some self-regulating organizations are also independent Split-rate tax system  In reference to corporate taxes, a
regulators. split-rate system taxes earnings to be distributed as div-
Sell-side analysts  Analysts who work at brokerages. idends at a different rate than earnings to be retained.
Sensitivity analysis  Analysis that shows the range of possible Corporate profits distributed as dividends are taxed at a
outcomes as specific assumptions are changed. lower rate than those retained in the business.
Sentence length  The number of characters, including spaces, Spot curve  A sequence of yields-to-maturity on zero-coupon
in a sentence. bonds. Sometimes called zero or strip curve (because cou-
Serial correlation  A condition found most often in time series pon payments are “stripped” off the bonds).
in which residuals are correlated across observations. Also Spot price  The current price of an asset or security. For com-
known as autocorrelation. modities, the current price to deliver a physical commodity
Serial-correlation consistent standard errors  Method for to a specific location or purchase and transport it away
correcting serial correlation. Also known as serial cor- from a designated location.
relation and heteroskedasticity adjusted standard errors, Spot rate  The interest rate that is determined today for a
Newey–West standard errors, and robust standard errors. risk-free, single-unit payment at a specified future date.
Service period  For employee stock options, usually the period Spot yield curve  The term structure of spot rates for loans
between the grant date and the vesting date. made today.
Settled in arrears  An arrangement in which the interest pay- Stabilized NOI  In the context of real estate, the expected NOI
ment is made (i.e., settlement occurs) at the maturity of when a renovation is complete.
the underlying instrument. Stable dividend policy  A policy in which regular dividends are
Settlement  The closing date at which the counterparties of a paid that reflect long-run expected earnings. In contrast to
derivative contract exchange payment for the underlying a constant dividend payout ratio policy, a stable dividend
as required by the contract. policy does not reflect short-term volatility in earnings.
Shadow banking  Lending by financial institutions that are Standardized beta  With reference to fundamental factor
not regulated as banks. models, the value of the attribute for an asset minus the
Shaping risk  The sensitivity of a bond’s price to the changing average value of the attribute across all stocks, divided by
shape of the yield curve. the standard deviation of the attribute across all stocks.
Share repurchase  A transaction in which a company buys Standardized unexpected earnings  Unexpected earnings
back its own shares. Unlike stock dividends and stock per share divided by the standard deviation of unexpected
splits, share repurchases use corporate cash. earnings per share over a specified prior time period.
Shareholder activism  Strategies used by shareholders to Statistical factor model  A multifactor model in which sta-
attempt to compel a company to act in a desired manner. tistical methods are applied to a set of historical returns
Shareholders’ equity  Total assets minus total liabilities. to determine portfolios that best explain either historical
Simulation  A technique for exploring how a target variable return covariances or variances.
(e.g. portfolio returns) would perform in a hypothetical Statutes  Laws enacted by legislative bodies.
environment specified by the user, rather than a historical
setting.
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Glossary G-19

Steady-state rate of growth  The constant growth rate of Sustainable growth rate  The rate of dividend (and earnings)
output (or output per capita) that can or will be sus- growth that can be sustained over time for a given level
tained indefinitely once it is reached. Key ratios, such as of return on equity, keeping the capital structure constant
the capital–output ratio, are constant on the steady-state and without issuing additional common stock.
growth path. Swap curve  The term structure of swap rates.
Steepness  The difference between long-term and short-term Swap rate  The fixed rate to be paid by the fixed-rate payer
yields that constitutes one of the three factors (the other specified in a swap contract.
two are level and curvature) that empirically explain most Swap rate curve  The term structure of swap rates.
of the changes in the shape of the yield curve. Swap spread  The difference between the fixed rate on an
Stock dividend  A type of dividend in which a company distrib- interest rate swap and the rate on a Treasury note with
utes additional shares of its common stock to shareholders equivalent maturity; it reflects the general level of credit
instead of cash. risk in the market.
Stop-loss limit  Constraint used in risk management that Synergies  The combination of two companies being more
requires a reduction in the size of a portfolio, or its com- valuable than the sum of the parts. Generally, synergies
plete liquidation, when a loss of a particular size occurs take the form of lower costs (“cost synergies”) or increased
in a specified period. revenues (“revenue synergies”) through combinations that
Straight bond  An underlying option-free bond with a specified generate lower costs or higher revenues, respectively.
issuer, issue date, maturity date, principal amount and Systematic risk  Risk that affects the entire market or econ-
repayment structure, coupon rate and payment structure, omy; it cannot be avoided and is inherent in the overall
and currency denomination. market. Systematic risk is also known as non-diversifiable
Straight debt  Debt with no embedded options. or market risk.
Straight-line rent  The average annual rent under a multi-year Systemic risk  Refers to risks supervisory authorities believe
lease agreement that contains contractual increases in rent are likely to have broad impact across the financial mar-
during the life of the lease. ket infrastructure and affect a wide swath of market
Straight-line rent adjustment  See non-cash rent. participants.
Straight voting  A shareholder voting process in which share- TED spread  A measure of perceived credit risk determined
holders receive one vote for each share owned. as the difference between Libor and the T-bill yield of
Stranded assets  Assets that are obsolete or not economically matching maturity.
viable. Tail risk  The risk that losses in extreme events could be greater
Strategic transaction  A purchase involving a buyer that would than would be expected for a portfolio of assets with a
benefit from certain synergies associated with owning the normal distribution.
target firm. Takeover premium  The amount by which the per-share take-
Stress tests  A risk management technique that assesses the over price exceeds the unaffected price expressed as a
portfolio’s response to extreme market movements. percentage of the unaffected price. It reflects the amount
Stripping  A dealer’s ability to separate a bond’s individual cash shareholders require to relinquish their control of the
flows and trade them as zero-coupon securities. company to the acquirer.
Studentized residual  A t-distributed statistic that is used to Tangible assets  Identifiable, physical assets such as property,
detect outliers. plant, and equipment.
Substantive law  The body of law that focuses on the rights and Tangible book value per share  Common shareholders’ equity
responsibilities of entities and relationships among entities. minus intangible assets reported on the balance sheet,
Succession event  A change of corporate structure of the divided by the number of shares outstanding.
reference entity, such as through a merger, a divestiture, Target  In machine learning, the dependent variable (Y) in a
a spinoff, or any similar action, in which ultimate respon- labeled dataset; the company in a merger or acquisition
sibility for the debt in question is unclear. that is being acquired.
Sum-of-the-parts valuation  A valuation that sums the esti- Target capital structure  A company’s chosen proportions of
mated values of each of a company’s businesses as if each debt and equity.
business were an independent going concern. Target payout ratio  A strategic corporate goal representing
Summation operator  A functional part of a neural network’s the long-term proportion of earnings that the company
node that multiplies each input value received by a weight intends to distribute to shareholders as dividends.
and sums the weighted values to form the total net input, Taxable REIT subsidiaries  Subsidiaries that pay income taxes
which is then passed to the activation function. on earnings from non-REIT-qualifying activities like mer-
Supernormal growth  Above-average or abnormally high chant development or third-party property management.
growth rate in earnings per share. Technical indicators  Momentum indicators based on price.
Supervised learning  A machine learning approach that makes Temporal method  A variation of the monetary/non-monetary
use of labeled training data. translation method that requires not only monetary assets
Support vector machine  A linear classifier that determines and liabilities, but also non-monetary assets and liabilities
the hyperplane that optimally separates the observations that are measured at their current value on the balance
into two sets of data points. sheet date to be translated at the current exchange rate.
Survivorship bias  The exclusion of poorly performing or Assets and liabilities are translated at rates consistent with
defunct companies from an index or database, biasing the the timing of their measurement value. This method is
index or database toward financially healthy companies. typically used when the functional currency is other than
the local currency.
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G-20 Glossary

Term frequency (TF)  Ratio of the number of times a given Triangular arbitrage  An arbitrage transaction involving three
token occurs in all the texts in the dataset to the total currencies that attempts to exploit inconsistencies among
number of tokens in the dataset. pairwise exchange rates.
Term premium  The additional return required by lenders to Trimming  Also called truncation, it is the process of removing
invest in a bond to maturity net of the expected return extreme values and outliers from a dataset.
from continually reinvesting at the short-term rate over Triple-net leases  Leases that require each tenant to pay its
that same time horizon. share of the following three operating expenses: common
Terminal price multiples  The price multiple for a stock area maintenance and repair expenses; property taxes;
assumed to hold at a stated future time. and building insurance costs. Also known as NNN leases.
Terminal share price  The share price at a particular point in Two-tier board  Board structure consisting of a supervisory
the future. board that oversees a management board.
Terminal value of the stock  The analyst’s estimate of a stock’s Unbiased expectations theory  A term structure theory that
value at a particular point in the future. Also called con- contends the forward rate is an unbiased predictor of the
tinuing value of the stock. future spot rate. Also called the pure expectations theory.
Test sample  A data sample that is used to test a model’s ability Unconditional heteroskedasticity  When heteroskedasticity
to predict well on new data. of the error variance is not correlated with the regression’s
Theta  The change in a derivative instrument for a given small independent variables.
change in calendar time, holding everything else constant. Uncovered interest rate parity  The proposition that the
Specifically, the theta calculation assumes nothing changes expected return on an uncovered (i.e., unhedged) foreign
except calendar time. Theta also reflects the rate at which currency (risk-free) investment should equal the return on
an option’s time value decays. a comparable domestic currency investment.
Time series  A set of observations on a variable’s outcomes in Underlying earnings  Earnings excluding nonrecurring com-
different time periods. ponents. Also referred to as continuing earnings, core
Tobin’s q  The ratio of the market value of debt and equity to earnings, or persistent earnings.
the replacement cost of total assets. Unexpected earnings  The difference between reported EPS
Token  The equivalent of a word (or sometimes a character). and expected EPS. Also referred to as an earnings surprise.
Tokenization  The process of representing ownership rights Unit root  A time series that is not covariance stationary is said
to physical assets on a blockchain or distributed ledger. to have a unit root.
Top-down approach  With respect to forecasting, an approach Unrestricted model  A regression model with the complete
that usually begins at the level of the overall economy. set of independent variables.
Forecasts are then made at more narrowly defined levels, Unsupervised learning  A machine learning approach that
such as sector, industry, and market for a specific product. does not make use of labeled training data.
Total factor productivity (TFP)  A multiplicative scale factor Upfront payment  The difference between the credit spread
that reflects the general level of productivity or technol- and the standard rate paid by the protection buyer if the
ogy in the economy. Changes in total factor productivity standard rate is insufficient to compensate the protection
generate proportional changes in output for any input seller. Also called upfront premium.
combination. Upfront premium  See upfront payment.
Total invested capital  The sum of market value of common Upstream  A transaction between two related companies, an
equity, book value of preferred equity, and face value of investor company (or a parent company) and an associate
debt. company (or a subsidiary company) such that the asso-
Tracking error  The standard deviation of the differences ciate company records a profit on its income statement.
between a portfolio’s returns and its benchmark’s returns; An example is a sale of inventory by the associate to the
a synonym of active risk. Also called tracking risk. investor company or by a subsidiary to a parent company.
Tracking risk  The standard deviation of the differences between Validation sample  A data sample that is used to validate and
a portfolio’s returns and its benchmarks returns. Also tune a model.
called tracking error. Valuation  The process of determining the value of an asset
Trailing dividend yield  The reciprocal of current market price or service either on the basis of variables perceived to
divided by the most recent annualized dividend. be related to future investment returns or on the basis of
Trailing P/E  A stock’s current market price divided by the comparisons with closely similar assets.
most recent four quarters of EPS (or the most recent two Value additivity  An arbitrage opportunity when the value of
semi-annual periods for companies that report interim the whole equals the sum of the values of the parts.
data semi-annually). Also called current P/E. Value at risk (VaR)  The minimum loss that would be expected
Training sample  A data sample that is used to train a model. a certain percentage of the time over a certain period of
Tranche CDS  A type of credit default swap that covers a com- time given the assumed market conditions.
bination of borrowers but only up to pre-specified levels Value of growth  The difference between the actual value per
of losses. share and the no-growth value per share.
Transaction exposure  The risk of a change in value between Variance error  Describes how much a model’s results change
the transaction date and the settlement date of an asset of in response to new data from validation and test samples.
liability denominated in a foreign currency. Unstable models pick up noise and produce high variance
Treasury shares/stock  Shares that were issued and subse- error, causing overfitting and high out-of-sample error.
quently repurchased by the company. Variance inflation factor (VIF)  A statistic that quantifies the
Trend  A long-term pattern of movement in a particular degree of multicollinearity in a model.
direction.
© CFA Institute. For candidate use only. Not for distribution.
Glossary G-21

Vasicek model  A partial equilibrium term structure model Web spidering (scraping or crawling) programs  Programs
that assumes interest rates are mean reverting and interest that extract raw content from a source, typically web pages.
rate volatility is constant. Weighted average cost of capital (WACC)  A weighted average
Vega  The change in a given derivative instrument for a given of the after-tax required rates of return on a company’s
small change in volatility, holding everything else constant. common stock, preferred stock, and long-term debt, where
A sensitivity measure for options that reflects the effect the weights are the fraction of each source of financing in
of volatility. the company’s target capital structure.
Venture capital investors  Private equity investors in Weighted harmonic mean  See harmonic mean.
development-stage companies. Winsorization  The process of replacing extreme values and
Vertical ownership  Ownership structure in which a company outliers in a dataset with the maximum (for large value
or group that has a controlling interest in two or more outliers) and minimum (for small value outliers) values
holding companies, which in turn have controlling interests of data points that are not outliers.
in various operating companies. Write-down  A reduction in the value of an asset as stated in
Vested benefit obligation  The actuarial present value of the balance sheet.
vested benefits. Yield curve factor model  A model or a description of yield
Vesting date  The date that employees can first exercise stock curve movements that can be considered realistic when
options. compared with historical data.
Visibility  The extent to which a company’s operations are Zero  A bond that does not pay a coupon but is priced at a
predictable with substantial confidence. discount and pays its full face value at maturity.
Voting caps  Legal restrictions on the voting rights of large Zero-coupon bond  A bond that does not pay interest during
share positions. its life. It is issued at a discount to par value and redeemed
at par. Also called pure discount bond.

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