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All about Demand

MGEC Lecture 2

2023-24

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Decisions’ managers make

▶ Determine the amount to produce


▶ Decide the capacity to invest
▶ Entry decisions to new markets
▶ Devise price strategy
▶ Make advertising decisions
What knowledge is needed for these decisions?

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Decisions’ managers make

▶ Determine the amount to produce


▶ Decide the capacity to invest
▶ Entry decisions to new markets
▶ Devise price strategy
▶ Make advertising decisions
What knowledge is needed for these decisions?

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Decisions’ managers make

▶ Determine the amount to produce


▶ Decide the capacity to invest
▶ Entry decisions to new markets
▶ Devise price strategy
▶ Make advertising decisions
What knowledge is needed for these decisions?

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


What kind of decisions do managers make?

▶ Determine the amount to produce


▶ Decide the capacity to invest
▶ Entry decisions to new markets
▶ Devise price strategy
▶ Make advertising decisions
Knowledge of market demand

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


The demand curve

What does this picture mean?

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


The law of demand

The law of demand


As the price of a good goes up, its quantity demanded will not increase.

▶ The demand curve is not upward sloping


▶ As individuals who frequently buy goods in the market, this picture
makes perfect sense to us - we do buy less when things cost more.

▶ Why?

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


First principles

▶ Individuals seek to maximize their total utility (or pay-off) from the
consumption of goods and services

▶ Goods and services typically increase utility

▶ However, more of any good or service typically increases utility at a


decreasing rate

▶ i.e., each successive unit of a good gives less joy than the previous unit

▶ This is the Law of Diminishing Marginal Utility

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Demand for light bulbs

▶ Diminishing Marginal Utility of extra light


▶ Note that an individual’s utility is not directly observable.
▶ Still, law of diminishing marginal utility means that they would be
willing to pay less for each successive light bulb.
▶ Example: I may be willing to pay Rs. 150 for the very first light bulb,
but only Rs. 120 for the next, and Rs. 70 for the one after that.
▶ Therefore, consumers will buy more units of commodities only when
the price of that product begins to fall.

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Demand for light bulbs

▶ This decline in willingness to pay will hold for all individuals, giving
rise to a downward sloping demand curve.

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Another reason why demand curve is downward sloping

▶ When the price of a commodity decreases, the “real income” of the


consumer increases because she has to spend less in order to buy the
same quantity of that good.
▶ with a fall in price, the consumer will buy more units of that
commodity and also spend a portion of income in buying other
commodities.

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Individual Demand for light bulbs
Tabular representation

P Q = D(P)
0 40
5 30
10 20
20 0

Demand equation for consumer-1:

Q1 = D (P ) = 40 − 2P

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Market Demand for light bulbs
Tabular representation

P Q1 Q2 Q3 QM
0 40 20 10 70
5 30 10 8 48
10 20 7 5 32
20 0 0 0 0

Individual demand curves for consumers 1 to 3 can be aggregated to


compute the market demand curves

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Some pointers on Demand

example demand for biscuits


increase if it is for a month vs a
week
▶ Demand Curve does not slope upwards.
▶ Demand pertains to a particular time period. The longer the time
period, the greater the demand.
▶ At each price, consumers demand that particular quantity but they do
not ‘actually’ buy.
▶ Transactions happen only at equilibrium price (more later).

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Shifts in demand

▶ Does the demand curve move/shift left or right?


▶ Why/how?

Income of buyers, Consumer Trends, Expectation of Future Price,


Price of related goods, number of potential buyers

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Shifts in demand

▶ A particular demand schedule assumes related-product’s prices,


income, tastes to be constant
▶ If income, tablet’s-price, or advertising effort changes, then we have a
different demand schedule.

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Shifts in demand for light bulbs

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Shifts in demand for light bulbs

▶ Changes in income

▶ Prices of substitute goods (tubelights)

▶ Prices of complementary goods (lamp shades)

▶ Tastes (an increase in fear of the dark, or an environmental backlash


against light bulbs)

▶ Expectations about future prices

▶ Population

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Shifts in demand

Source: The Financial Express, May 6, 2013

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Shifts in Demand

▶ What are the shifters of demand curve for the City Bakery in
Manhattan?

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Aside: How do we get a demand function?

▶ Survey/Focus Group
▶ Ask people their WTP
▶ Sort and plot
▶ You have your demand curve!

▶ Experiments
▶ Change the price or features in different markets or to different
consumers and measure the reaction

▶ Regression
▶ You will learn more about this in marketing
▶ In general, you can hire consultants to do this - there is a whole
cottage industry of demand estimation!

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


New York City Transport Authority

▶ In May 2003, NY city transport authority planned to raise fares to


improve its business situation.
▶ Raised single-ride fares from $1.50 to $2, One-day unlimited pass
from $4 to $7, 30-day unlimited pass from $63 to $70
▶ Average fares would increase from $1.04 to $1.30, and that total
subway ridership would decrease by 2.9%.
▶ Management expected to raise an additional $286 million in revenue.
▶ Notice that despite a decline in subway readership, total revenue can
increased.
▶ This is possible (not always necessarily), depending on how demand
responds to prices changes.

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


New York City Transport Authority

▶ How did the NY MTA calculate changes in revenue as a result of the


price increase?
▶ They would need a quantitative measure of how demand changes
when the price changes.
▶ More generally, managers should be able to answer questions like:
▶ How much should we cut price to achieve 3.2% sales growth?
▶ How much should sales change if our rivals cut price by 2%?
▶ How much will our sales change if a recession hits and household
incomes decline by 2.5%?
▶ To get there, we should first define some basic concepts

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


New York City Transport Authority

▶ How did the NY MTA calculate changes in revenue as a result of the


price increase?
▶ They would need a quantitative measure of how demand changes
when the price changes.
▶ More generally, managers should be able to answer questions like:
▶ How much should we cut price to achieve 3.2% sales growth?
▶ How much should sales change if our rivals cut price by 2%?
▶ How much will our sales change if a recession hits and household
incomes decline by 2.5%?
▶ To get there, we should first define some basic concepts

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


New York City Transport Authority

▶ How did the NY MTA calculate changes in revenue as a result of the


price increase?
▶ They would need a quantitative measure of how demand changes
when the price changes.
▶ More generally, managers should be able to answer questions like:
▶ How much should we cut price to achieve 3.2% sales growth?
▶ How much should sales change if our rivals cut price by 2%?
▶ How much will our sales change if a recession hits and household
incomes decline by 2.5%?
▶ To get there, we should first define some basic concepts

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Elasticity of demand

▶ In economics, the sensitivity of customers to price changes is known


as the (price) Elasticity of demand.

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Elasticity of demand
Mathematically speaking

▶ Elasticity is the % change in quantity demanded due to a % change


in price

∆Q
▶ ϵd = % Change in quantity demanded Q
% Change in price = ∆P
P

▶ Elasticity ̸=Slope of demand curve

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Elasticity of demand
Features of elasticity

▶ As such a negative number since the demand curve is downward


sloping.
▶ People (including your instructor) often use the absolute value of
elasticity.
▶ Unit independent.
▶ Is different at different points on the demand curve.

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Elasticity

▶ Larger the change in quantity demanded in response to a unit change


in price, the greater the elasticity.

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Elasticity of demand
Whose demand is more elastic?

▶ Diners at the departure area of the Delhi airport, or diners at


Connaught Place?

▶ Someone buying salt or someone buying dal?

▶ Someone buying milk or someone buying coke?

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Elasticity of demand
Factors affecting own price elasticity

▶ Availability of substitutes

▶ Share of budget

▶ Necessities versus luxuries

▶ Time horizon under consideration

▶ Switching costs

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Elasticity of demand
Some nomenclature

▶ Infinitely/Perfectly elastic (=∞)


▶ Relatively elastic (> 1)
▶ Unitary elastic (= 1)
▶ Relatively inelastic (< 1)
▶ Zero elasticity/Perfectly inelastic (= 0)

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Extreme elasticities

What are the elasticities of these demand curves?

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Extreme elasticities

Q- this means to say at the


given price the demand is
infinite?

drugs, petrol close

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Elasticities

▶ Even though elasticity is calculated at a point, we can still talk of


demand curves as being more or less elastic.
▶ This depends on the slope or the average elasticity along the entire
curve.

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Relatively inelastic and elastic demand

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Elasticity of Demand

▶ What should buyers’ price elasticity of demand for the Mac OS X be


for Apple’s pricing strategy to be successful?

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Elasticity and revenue

▶ A firm’s revenues are given by the price per unit times quantity sold

Revenue = P X Q

▶ Elasticity measures how much Q goes down when P increases.

▶ How will elasticity of demand impact a firm’s revenue?

P (⇈) X Q (↓) ⇒R (↑)

P (↑) X Q (⇊) ⇒R (↓)

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Elasticity of demand

▶ What should buyers’ price elasticity of demand for the Mac OS X be


for Apple’s pricing strategy to be successful?

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Other elasticities
cross-price elasticity

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Other elasticities
cross-price elasticity

▶ Responsiveness of the demand for good X to a change in the price of


good Y

∆Qx
▶ ϵxy = % Change in demand of X Qx
% Change in price of Y = ∆Py
Py

▶ Positive: Substitute
▶ Price of other goods increases →Demand increases
▶ Examples?

▶ Negative: Complements
▶ Price of other goods increases → Demand decreases
▶ Examples?

▶ Zero: Unrelated goods


MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24
Estimates of cross-price elasticity

substitutes

Source: Allen et al.

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Other elasticities
income elasticity

▶ Responsiveness of demand to a change in income

∆Qx
▶ ϵI = % Change in demand of X Qx
% Change in income = ∆I
I

▶ Positive: Normal good


▶ Income increases →Demand increases
▶ Examples?

▶ Negative: Inferior good


▶ Income increases → Demand decreases
▶ Examples?

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Income Elasticity Estimates for Selected Goods

Goods Income Elasticity


Potatoes (UK) -.32
Grains (China) -0.12 to +.15
Apples (UK) +1.32
Milk (US) +1.72
Domestic Cars (US) +1.62
European Cars (US) +1.93

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Consumer surplus

▶ In any market, only those individuals who value a good at least as


much as the market price, will purchase the good.

▶ Typically, there are some transactions where the willingness to pay is


greater than the market price.

▶ How do we interpret this difference between a consumer’s willingness


to pay and the market price?

▶ This difference between a consumer’s willingness to pay and the


market price is a net benefit to that consumer.

▶ In Econspeak, we call this consumer surplus

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Consumer surplus

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Consumer surplus

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Consumer surplus

▶ CS = ∑i =units (WTPi − Price )

▶ Area under the demand curve and above the price

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Recap
▶ Additional utility decreases as the number of units consumed increases
⇒ Willingness to pay decreases with quantity
⇒ Demand curve is downward sloping

▶ Demand curve may shift due to changes in income, price of


substitutes, price of complements, tastes, expectations, and
population

▶ Individual demand curves aggregate to market demand curves


▶ Price elasticity captures consumer sensitivity to price changes

▶ A firm’s revenue will increase or decrease after a price change


depending on the elasticity of demand for its products

▶ Consumer surplus is the net benefit to consumers from market


transactions.
MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24
Practice Problem 1

The Dolan Corporation, a maker of small engines, determines that in 2008


the demand curve for its product is P = 2000 - 50Q, where P is price (in
dollars) of an engine and Q is the number of engines sold per month.

a. To sell 20 engines per month, what price would Dolan have to charge?
b. If managers set a price of $500, how many engines will Dolan sell per
month?
c. What is the price elasticity of demand if price equals $500?
d. At what price, if any, will demand for Dolan’s engines be unitary elastic?

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Practice Problem 2

After a careful statistical analysis, the Chidester Company concludes the


demand function for its product is Q = 500 - 3P + 2Pr + 0.1I where Q is
the quantity demanded of its product, P is the price of the product, Pr is
the price of its rival’s product, and I is per capita disposable income (in
dollars). At present, P = $10, Pr = $20 and I = $6000.

a. What is the price elasticity of demand for the firm’s product?


b. What is the income elasticity of demand for the firm’s product?
c. What is the cross-price elasticity of demand between its product and its
rival’s product?
d. What is the implicit assumption regarding the population in the market?

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Practice Problem 3

From November 2007 to March 2008, the price of gold increased from
$865 per ounce to over $1,000 per ounce. Newspaper articles during this
period said there was no increased demand from the jewelry industry but
signicantly greater demand from investors who were purchasing gold
because of the falling dollar. For each of the following demand curves,
indicate whether the curve shifted inwards, outwards, or did not shift at all.

a. Gold demand by jewelery industry


b. Gold demand by investors
c. Aggregate demand for gold

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24


Practice Problem 4

Given demand equation Q=40000-4P

a. Find the revenue that the firm may earn if the price is Rs. 5000.
b. Graph the function and use the ‘area under the curve’ approach to do
the above computation.
c. Find the consumer surplus
d. Find change in revenue and change in consumer surplus if the price
increases to Rs. 7500.

MGEC Lecture-2 2023-24

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