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O D POP
Luzon 1,295,251 1,285,288 42.64
Palawan 267 291 0.82
Mindoro 9,372 1,495 1.62
Masbate 1,028 70 0.72
Panay 2,306 2,504 3.83
Negros 41,351 55,819 3.96
Cebu-Bohol 25,352 10,215 4.71
Samar-Leyte 33,699 49,609 3.73
Mindanao 169,996 173,331 19.49
SUM 1,578,622 1,578,622 82
Area Y X1 X2
Luzon 1,295,251 42.64 116.52
Palawan 267 0.82 17.03
Mindoro 9,372 1.62 12.59
Masbate 1,028 0.72 4.15
Panay 2,306 3.83 12.72
Negros 41,351 3.96 13.85
Cebu-Bohol 25,352 4.71 10.49
Samar-Leyte 33,699 3.73 23.33
Mindanao 169,996 19.49 128.63
Y X2 X3
1,295,251 116.52 3056.01
267 17.03 43.56
9,372 12.59 86.06
1,028 4.15 18.54
2,306 12.72 181.35
41,351 13.85 198.79
25,352 10.49 265.53
33,699 23.33 104.33
169,996 128.63 731.17
From this it can be concluded that adjoining both X2 and X3 in the equation is not
value of a, -30734.010, is too large. Also, both the values of a and b are negati
impractical because this would mean that inter island trips would only be generate
extremely high.
Y X1 X3
1,295,251 42.64 3056.01
267 0.82 43.56
9,372 1.62 86.06
1,028 0.72 18.54
2,306 3.83 181.35
41,351 3.96 198.79
25,352 4.71 265.53
33,699 3.73 104.33
169,996 19.49 731.17
JUSTIFICATION
Residual values closer to zero compared to other models
which has multiple negatiive values
Has low value of signifance F
R square value is close to 1
Y X3
1,295,251 3056.01
267 43.56
9,372 86.06
1,028 18.54
2,306 181.35
41,351 198.79
25,352 265.53
33,699 104.33
169,996 731.17
Y = -49365.241 +432.753X(3)
65543.66309
2004 POPULATION AREA (x 1000 sq.
Area Trip Attraction
(x 1 million m.)
Area Y X1 X2
Luzon 1,285,288 42.64 116.52
Palawan 291 0.82 17.03
Mindoro 1,495 1.62 12.59
Masbate 70 0.72 4.15
Panay 2,504 3.83 12.72
Negros 55,819 3.96 13.85
Cebu-Bohol 10,215 4.71 10.49
Samar-Leyte 49,609 3.73 23.33
Mindanao 173,331 19.49 128.63
Y X1 X3
1,285,288 42.64 3056.01
291 0.82 43.56
1,495 1.62 86.06
70 0.72 18.54
2,504 3.83 181.35
55,819 3.96 198.79
10,215 4.71 265.53
49,609 3.73 104.33
173,331 19.49 731.17
JUSTIFICATION
R square value is close to 1
Significance f value is very low
Standard residual values are close to zero
Y X3
1,285,288 3056.01
291 43.56
1,495 86.06
70 18.54
2,504 181.35
55,819 198.79
10,215 265.53
49,609 104.33
173,331 731.17
Estimated trip generation and trip attraction for 2015
O' (TRIPS D' (TRIPS
GENERATED) ATTRACTED)
Luzon 2760152.5083 2714975.4088037
Palawan 34686.7450 34328.81079884
Mindoro 70882.2445 70033.885390302
Masbate 9865.0871 10028.409429043
Panay 142047.6097 140680.8754253
Negros 161180.5934 159356.16048442
Cebu-Bohol 222717.7143 219840.61367887
Samar-Leyte 42500.9141 43650.666755638
Mindanao 395919.7552 398199.26837254
Iteration 1
Luzon Palawan Mindoro
Luzon 2502335.81 26215.95 66859.82
Palawan 3241.33 24021.46 340.68
Mindoro 70812.70 0.00 0.00
Masbate 8264.53 0.00 0.00
Panay 41223.52 22846.38 0.00
Negros 900.86 0.00 0.00
Cebu-Bohol 3895.12 4234.18 0.00
Samar-Leyte 38818.18 133.38 0.00
Mindanao 5248.71 0.00 178.60
D 2674740.75 77451.36 67379.10
D' 2714975.41 34328.81 70033.89
D'/D 1.01504245159721 0.4432305855519 1.0394007968893
Iteration 2
Luzon Palawan Mindoro
Luzon 2509372.20 11479.70 68656.80
Palawan 5204.51 16842.30 560.14
Mindoro 70830.92 0.00 0.00
Masbate 8343.67 0.00 0.00
Panay 49988.56 12097.30 0.00
Negros 1014.11 0.00 0.00
Cebu-Bohol 4922.29 2336.48 0.00
Samar-Leyte 38988.36 58.50 0.00
Mindanao 5177.28 0.00 180.39
D 2693841.90 42814.27 69397.33
D' 2714975.40880366 34328.81079884 70033.885390302
D'/D 1.00784511787599 0.8018075970327 1.0091725662927
Iteration 3
Luzon Palawan Mindoro
Luzon 2519483.13 9169.66 69024.23
Palawan 5946.76 15310.10 640.87
Mindoro 70838.32 0.00 0.00
Masbate 8507.79 0.00 0.00
Panay 55151.95 10618.30 0.00
Negros 1157.52 0.00 0.00
Cebu-Bohol 5722.60 2161.04 0.00
Samar-Leyte 39238.00 46.84 0.00
Mindanao 5152.28 0.00 179.76
D 2711198.34 37305.94 69844.86
D' 2714975.40880366 34328.81079884 70033.885390302
D'/D 1.001393134666 0.9201968505537 1.0027064077568
Iteration 4
Luzon Palawan Mindoro
Luzon 2525874.68 8447.53 69290.08
Palawan 6303.10 14911.74 680.16
Mindoro 70842.64 0.00 0.00
Masbate 8621.42 0.00 0.00
Panay 58625.06 10371.79 0.00
Negros 1273.49 0.00 0.00
Cebu-Bohol 6349.42 2203.33 0.00
Samar-Leyte 39406.57 43.22 0.00
Mindanao 5149.57 0.00 179.90
D 2722445.96 35977.62 70150.15
D' 2714975.40880366 34328.81079884 70033.885390302
D'/D 0.997255940685759 0.9541711378028 0.9983426720383
FINAL
Luzon Palawan Mindoro
Luzon 2535157 7743 69715
Palawan 6774 14635 733
Mindoro 70848 0 0
Masbate 8782 0 0
Panay 63866 10318 0
Negros 1473 0 0
Cebu-Bohol 7422 2352 0
Samar-Leyte 39654 40 0
Mindanao 5212 0 183
D 2739189 35088 70631
D' 2714975.40880366 34328.81079884 70033.885390302
D'/D 0.991160425405545 0.9783603018383 0.9915517914086
Mindoro - Luzon
70848
Luzon - Panay
74255
2015 2004 2015
POP AREA GRDP GRDP
51.29 116.52 3056.01 5545.77
1.03 17.03 43.56 79.35
1.89 12.59 86.06 156.77
0.78 4.15 18.54 34.77
4.40 12.72 181.35 329.51
4.49 13.85 198.79 361.30
5.55 10.49 265.53 482.85
4.18 23.33 104.33 170.33
23.45 128.63 731.17 1198.67
97 339 4,685 8,359
3056.01
43.56
86.06
18.54
181.35
198.79
265.53
104.33
731.17
X3 Y X1
3056.01 Y 1
43.56 X1 0.9541059016523 1
86.06 X2 0.7008357281886 0.8724290911359
18.54 X3 0.9940878678863 0.9778681154357
181.35
198.79
265.53
104.33
731.17
in the equation since they have a relatively high correlation value with Y. X2 also has a good correlation value, however it is lower compa
1 and X3 have high correlation values, so it may be possible that only one of the two may be used.
in the equation since they have a relatively high correlation value with Y. X2 also has a good correlation value, however it is lower compa
1 and X3 have high correlation values, so it may be possible that only one of the two may be used.
SUMMARY
Groups Count Sum Average
Y 9 1578622 175402.44444445
X2 9 339.31 37.701111111111
X3 9 4685.34 520.59333333333
ANOVA
Source of Variation SS df MS
Between Groups 184010064711.94 2 92005032355.97
Within Groups 1433269784059.8 24 59719574335.826
Total 1617279848771.8 26
27.779, X3 = 470.396
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9977959086357
R Square 0.99559667529
Adjusted R Square 0.9941289003867
Standard Error 32432.285140259
Observations 9
ANOVA
df SS MS
Regression 2 1426951048445.7 713475524222.85
Residual 6 6311118716.5145 1051853119.4191
Total 8 1433262167162.2
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9940878678863
R Square 0.9882106890788
Adjusted R Square 0.9865265018043
Standard Error 49131.272148221
Observations 9
ANOVA
df SS MS F
Regression 1 1416364993841.9 1416364993841.9 586.75819729988
Residual 7 16897173320.318 2413881902.9025
Total 8 1433262167162.2
3056.01
43.56
86.06
18.54
181.35
198.79
265.53
104.33
731.17
X3 Y X1
3056.01 Y 1
43.56 X1 0.9546279803074 1
86.06 X2 0.70381711142 0.8724290911359
18.54 X3 0.9933706571599 0.9778681154357
181.35
198.79 X1 and X3 has a high cor value with Y
265.53 X3 has a high cor value with Y
104.33
731.17
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9961249013595
R Square 0.9922648191085
Adjusted R Square 0.8483026504097
Standard Error 43185.073837656
Observations 9
ANOVA
df SS
Regression 2 1674643978777.5
Residual 7 13054654216.547
Total 9 1687698632994
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9898836634664
R Square 0.9798696671976
Adjusted R Square 0.8548696671976
Standard Error 65167.030729074
Observations 9
ANOVA
df SS
Regression 1 1653724697841.7
Residual 8 33973935152.353
Total 9 1687698632994
POP (X1)
elation value, however it is lower compared to the correlation values of X1 and X3 with Y. It also shows in
.
elation value, however it is lower compared to the correlation values of X1 and X3 with Y. It also shows in
.
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Variance Multiple R
179157770895.28 R Square
2350.4905861111 Adjusted R Square
949761.708225 Standard Error
Observations
ANOVA
F P-value F crit
1.5406176848916 0.2347000809808 3.4028261053502 Regression
Residual
Total
Intercept
X2
X3
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
F Significance F
678.30337815312 8.53772451E-08
d Residuals
Significance F
5.2016672725E-08
Standard Residuals
0.2235313279556
-0.3851996707056
-0.7368859763616
-0.0167603961459
-1.403042039
-0.2398819508897
-2.2419967782479
1.0690670693514
0.2506967093198
MS F Significance F
1653724697841.7 389.41022061193 2.144237745E-07
4246741894.0441
Mindanao TOTAL
11060 2760153
101 34687
9 70882
0 9865
4946 142048
614 161181
11498 222718
1250 42501
369497 395920
398974 3839953
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.996124901359513
R Square 0.992264819108499
Adjusted R Squar 0.848302650409714
Standard Error 43185.0738376563
Observations 9
ANOVA
df SS MS
Regression 2 1674643978777.45 837321989389
Residual 7 13054654216.5468 1864950602.36
Total 9 1687698632994
Regression Statistics
0.997072313167844
0.99415319768588
0.992204263581168
37372.0050209389
9
df SS MS F Significance F
2 1424882166607 712441083303.256 510.100980471487 1.9987351E-07
6 8380000555.71 1396666759.28509
8 1433262167162
AL OUTPUT
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.99712373539728
R Square 0.994255743692625
Adjusted R Squar 0.850577992791571
Standard Error 37461.554112034
Observations 9
ANOVA
df SS MS
Regression 2 1700332748560.58 850166374280
Residual 7 9823576255.42198 1403368036.49
Total 9 1710156324816
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.99015721314
R Square 0.98041130673
Adjusted R Square 0.85541130673
Standard Error 64710.6325238
Observations 9
ANOVA
df SS MS F
Regression 1 1676656597122.97 1676656597122.97 400.398859952
Residual 8 33499727693.0287 4187465961.62859
Total 9 1710156324816
or
Upper 95.0%
#N/A
-4484.63842351063
792.562061504012
Upper 95.0%
#N/A
453.337841090533
denom O/denom
2881516.82499056 0.44950318831
4769.66546656641 0.05597876871
19801.564664457 0.47329593185
2536.57 0.40527210691
9535.11 0.24184308125
283076.59 0.14607707222
99282.12 0.25535313175
75180.54 0.44824098729
415395.11 0.40923928578
O/denom
0.449503188309249 0.957881794866498 0.9578817948665 0.95788179487
0.05597876871482 7.27236432291934 7.27236432291934 7.27236432292
0.473295931852413 3.57962846613676 3.57962846613676 3.57962846614
0.405272106911991 3.88914847575728 3.88914847575728 3.88914847576
0.241843081250954 14.8973250713827 14.8973250713827 14.8973250714
0.146077072219199 0.569388628651317 0.56938862865132 0.56938862865
0.255353131747302 2.24328123345344 2.24328123345344 2.24328123345
0.448240987285253 0.565318011790956 0.56531801179096 0.56531801179
0.409239285782368 0.953116060599383 0.95311606059938 0.9531160606
O/denom
0.987950730699268 0.987950730699268 0.98795073069927 0.9879507307
1.58187486381599 1.58187486381599 1.58187486381599 1.58187486382
0.985433892378123 0.985433892378123 0.98543389237812 0.98543389238
0.994614876966126 0.994614876966126 0.99461487696613 0.99461487697
1.19465201684516 1.19465201684516 1.19465201684516 1.19465201685
1.10902865168369 1.10902865168369 1.10902865168369 1.10902865168
1.24497913825509 1.24497913825509 1.24497913825509 1.24497913826
0.989499426997531 0.989499426997531 0.98949942699753 0.989499427
0.971774076276642 0.971774076276642 0.97177407627664 0.97177407628
O/denom
0.996213848610675 0.996213848610675 0.99621384861068 0.99621384861
1.13372170849218 1.13372170849218 1.13372170849218 1.13372170849
0.99231961447393 0.99231961447393 0.99231961447393 0.99231961447
1.01173306257299 1.01173306257299 1.01173306257299 1.01173306257
1.09470325271438 1.09470325271438 1.09470325271438 1.09470325271
1.13253880886745 1.13253880886745 1.13253880886745 1.13253880887
1.15353817578419 1.15353817578419 1.15353817578419 1.15353817578
0.998569231655108 0.998569231655108 0.99856923165511 0.99856923166
0.987424155392362 0.987424155392362 0.98742415539236 0.98742415539
O/denom
1.00114212660361 1.00114212660361 1.00114212660361 1.0011421266
1.05844857823285 1.05844857823285 1.05844857823285 1.05844857823
0.998669742221741 0.998669742221741 0.99866974222174 0.99866974222
1.01194600634751 1.01194600634751 1.01194600634751 1.01194600635
1.06149473002532 1.06149473002532 1.06149473002532 1.06149473003
1.09865406286571 1.09865406286571 1.09865406286571 1.09865406287
1.10799117709706 1.10799117709706 1.10799117709706 1.1079911771
1.00289876983354 1.00289876983354 1.00289876983354 1.00289876983
0.998084483971788 0.998084483971788 0.99808448397179 0.99808448397
O/denom
1.0067390051776
1.02846075853242
1.00559196187446
1.01140829136219
1.03310663792273
1.05348965999374
1.05683214511559
1.00756132407443
1.00991240128558
O/denom
1.00835590626511
1.0232876885418
1.00754851520204
1.01148002076563
1.02633839235243
1.04084404987311
1.04297842682702
1.00895144786617
1.0128662619796
D'/D O'/O
0.991160425405545 1
0.978360301838329 1
0.991551791408586 1
0.974460021011173 1
0.97859078360362 1
0.961340703268396 1
0.96679801866247 1
0.989893260822155 1
0.986265101426433 1
F Significance F
448.97810608357 2.92423028E-07
ard Residuals
Significance F
1.948179278E-07
O/denom
1.0044435025375
1.0374501113306
1.0027899443853
1.0115226720981
1.0437837159347
1.0719680217297
1.0774359484762
1.0056324004315
1.0052364462609
7.272364
3.579628
3.889148
14.89733
0.569389
2.243281
0.565318
0.953116
0.987951 D'/D O'/O denom O/denom
1.581875 1.015042 1 2793816 0.987951
0.985434 0.443231 1 21927.62 1.581875
0.994615 1.039401 1 71929.98 0.985434
1.194652 0.823071 1 9918.499 0.994615
1.109029 1.118332 1 118902.9 1.194652
1.244979 0.710913 1 145334.9 1.109029
0.989499 0.955241 1 178892.7 1.244979
0.971774 1.026683 1 42951.93 0.989499
1.032707 1 407419.5 0.971774