Master Course of Energy Finance and

System Analysis

Energy System Models

CHAPTER1
Introduction

ZHANG Qi, PhD, Professor

Academy of Chinese Energy Strategy
China University of Petroleum at Beijing
E-Mail: zhangqi@cup.edu.cn
1
 Syllabus

 Chapter 1: Introduction of Energy System (4 hours)

 Chapter 2: Energy System Modeling and Analytical Approach (4 hours)

 Chapter 3: Energy System Model Programming (2 hours)

 Chapter 4: Energy System Analysis Models (6 hours)

 Energy Demand Estimation, Energy Supply Expansion Planning

 Supply-Demand Balance: TIMS, GCAM

 Project Presentation and Discussion (4 hours)

 Chapter 5: Energy Economics Models(8 hours)

 Energy-Environment-Economics: Oil, Gas, electricity,

 Energy Finance: Renewable, Oil, Gas, Input-Output Model

 Project Presentation and Discussion (4 hours)

2
 In this chapter, you will learn

 Information and Regulations

 Review of Energy Types and

Technologies

 Review of Energy Outlook

3
 Time and Classroom

 Time:
Wednesday
18:30-21:10
Weeks (5-15)

 Classroom:
B1318, Main Building

4
 Lecturer

 Lecturer:
 Zhang Qi （张奇）
Email: zhangqi@cup.edu.cn
zhangqi56@tsinghua.org.cn

 Assistant:
 Ms. Tang Yanyan
Email：

5
 Course Description

 This Course will Cover

(1). Basic concepts in energy systems,
(2). Review of energy system models and
(3). Fundamental methodologies and tools in analysis and design of the models

 You are expected to:

(1). Understand basic concepts of energy system
(2). Understand the principles and techniques of energy system models
(3). Design energy system models to analyze new energy systems

6
 Regulation and Expectation

 More than 10 hours outside of class in one week

 Attending class
(Requests for excused absences should be made in advance)

 Coming before start-of-class bell

 No eat, No phone, No smoking in class

 Brave, positive and honest

7
 Textbook and Materials

 S. Jebaraj,et. al, A review of energy models，Elsevier, 2006

 L. Suganthi, et. al, Energy models for demand forecasting—A review,

Elsevier, 2012

 R. Baños, et. al, Optimization methods applied to renewable and

sustainable energy: A review, Elsevier, 2011

 D. Connolly, et. al, A review of computer tools for analysing the

integration of renewable energy into various energy systems,
Elsevier, 2010

 ScienceDirect Database

8
 References

 http://energyseminar.stanford.edu/
 http://web.mit.edu/ceepr/www/
 http://www.ceg-ltd.com/
 http://www.oxfordenergy.org/
 http://energypolicy.columbia.edu/

9
 References

 http://www.gams.com/
 http://www.iea-etsap.org/web/Markal.asp
 http://www.energycommunity.org/default.asp?action=
45
 http://energy.plan.aau.dk/
 http://www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo/overview/index.html
 http://webarchive.iiasa.ac.at/Research/ENE/model/m
essage.html
 http://www.balmorel.com/
 http://www-iam.nies.go.jp/aim/index.htm
 http://www.nrel.gov/analysis/reeds/
 http://www.homerenergy.com/

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 Pre-requisites

 Energy-Environment-Economy background

 Algorithms

 Interest

11
 Grading Policy

 A final score will be calculated based on:

Class behavior: 30%

(Attendance, Participation and Quiz)
Presentation: 20%

Final Examination: 50%

Total Score: 100

12
 Syllabus
 Chapter 1: Introduction of Energy System (4 hours)

 Chapter 2: Energy System Modeling and Analytical Approach (2

hours)

 Chapter 3: Energy System Analysis Models (8 hours)

 Energy Demand Estimation, Energy Supply Expansion Planning

 Supply-Demand Balance: TIMS, GCAM

 Project Presentation and Discussion (5 hours)

 Chapter 4: Energy Economics Models(8 hours)

 Energy-Environment-Economics: Oil, Gas, electricity,

 Energy Finance: Renewable, Oil, Gas,

 Project Presentation and Discussion (5 hours)

14
Review of Main Energy Source and Technologies

 Energy Systems
 coal, gas and oil
 Thermal power, Nuclear power ,Hydro power
 Renewable power: solar, wind, biomass
 Energy storage

15
Energy Systems

16
Energy Flow

17
World Population and Energy Consumption

18
Primary Energy Consumption per Capita

19
Per Capita GDP and Primary Energy
Consumption

20
The World’s Primary Energy Consumption

21
Primary energy consumption per capita 2014

Tonnes oil equivalent

22
Primary Energy Consumption in Major
Countries

23
 Electricity Consumption in Major
Countries

Source: IEA “ENERGY BALANCES OF OECD COUNTRIES (2013 Edition)” / “ENERGY BALANCES OF NON-OECD COUNTRIES (2013
Edition)” 24
Electricity Consumption per Capita in Major
Countries

25
Dependence on Imported Energy Sources in
Major Countries

26
Proven Reserves of Energy Resources

27