Breaking Bad Rating.

The Series I have chosen is Breaking Bad, Specifically Season 5.

Breaking Bad is a television series that falls under the crime drama genre. It revolves around the

story of a high school chemistry teacher turned methamphetamine manufacturer and his

involvement in the criminal underworld.

To construct a regression equation, we need multiple data , therefore

Let assume:

 Y = Rating of Breaking Bad series season 5 (dependent variable)

 X1 = Number of episodes watched (first independent variable)

 X2 = Viewer's age (second independent variable)

The multiple regression equation for this would be:

Y = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2 + ε

where:

 β0 is the intercept, which represents the expected rating of Breaking Bad series season 5

when both X1 and X2 are zero

 β1 is the coefficient for X1, which represents the change in the expected rating for each

unit change in X1, holding X2 constant

 β2 is the coefficient for X2, which represents the change in the expected rating for each

unit change in X2, holding X1 constant

 ε represents the error term, which captures the unexplained variation in Y that is not

accounted for by the regression model

Data is collected:

An hypothetical sample table is ( an example)

RATING (Y) NO OF EPISODES AGE (X2)

WATCHED (X1)

4.0 10 24

4.2 8 33

4.5 12 16

3.9 4 23

4.1 7 22

4.4 7 56

4.0 2 21

4.3 10 19

First:

Lets assume the co-efficients

Assuming the coefficients are:

 β0 = 2.5 (intercept)

 β1 = 0.3 (coefficient for Number of episodes watched)

 β2 = -0.1 (coefficient for Viewer's age)

The multiple regression equation would be:

Y = 2.5 + 0.3X1 - 0.1X2 + ε

So, this suggests that

This equation suggests that the expected rating of Breaking Bad series season 5 would be 2.5

when both the Number of episodes watched (X1) and the Viewer's age (X2) are zero, which is

not possible.

So from the data sample

 Number of episodes watched (X1) = 10

 Viewer's age (X2) = 24

And the corresponding rating of the Breaking Bad series season 5 (Y) is 4.0.

The multiple regression equation would be:

Y = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2 + ε

therefore

Y = β0 + β1(10) + β2(24) + ε

Using the equation: Y = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2

Plugging figures: Number of episodes watched (X1) = 10 Viewer's age (X2) = 24

Y = 2.5 + 0.3(10) + (-0.1)(24)

Calculating the predicted rating (Y): Y = 2.5 + 3 - 2.4 = 3.1

The predicted Rating is 3.1 and the online rating from Rotten Tomatoes a site for rates is 3.9

So

Residual = Observed value - Predicted value

Plugging in the values: Observed value (actual online rating) = 3.9 Predicted value (based on

hypothetical coefficients and sample figures) = 3.1

Residual = 3.9 - 3.1 = 0.8

There is a difference of 0.8 which may indicate a degree of error.