Pertemuan Ke 11 & 12 Sub - CPMK • Mahasiswa mampu menunjukan FinTech Solution pada beberapa sektor industri beserta cara kerjanya (C3, A3)
Materi
1. Ultra-Fast Text Analytics in Trading Strategies
2. Regulated Crowdfunding Ecosystems 3. Remittances - International FX Payments at Low Cost 4. Fintech Solution in Small Business 1. Ultra-Fast Text Analytics in Trading Strategies 1.1 Twitter Problem 1.2 Real Time Impact
• News is far more general than an announcement
that simply contains analyses and reports, outlooks and what‐if scenarios, rather than concrete figures. – These contribute massively to a market mood, an overall attitude towards companies, countries, and branches. • It is most important to state that not every news story has the potential to turn markets. But such stories do exist and have enormous stored potential. And then, it is a matter of seconds until markets react. 1.2 Real Time Impact (Cont’d) • Most importantly for traders, experience shows that the major adjustment to the information released (and the window for trading profits) lasts about 40 seconds. • This means traders have less than a minute to read the news, compare the numbers against their expectations, decide whether to buy, and trigger a trading action accordingly (and correctly). – And still finish second, or third. 1.3 The News Impact Triangle • News Agencies – Such as Dow Jones, Thomson Reuters, and Bloomberg distribute thousands of news stories per day, thoroughly researched. • Social Media – This reacting faster, but less well researched, more emotional and emotive, but acting upon thousands of opinions that may or may not reflect the market sentiment. • Stock exchanges and Regulatory Services – This means that the publication of quarterly results is likely to be handled outside of stock trading hours to avoid high volatilities. 1.3 The News Impact Triangle (Cont’d) • News Agencies – Such as Dow Jones, Thomson Reuters, and Bloomberg distribute thousands of news stories per day, thoroughly researched. • Social Media – This reacting faster, but less well researched, more emotional and emotive, but acting upon thousands of opinions that may or may not reflect the market sentiment. • Stock exchanges and Regulatory Services – This means that the publication of quarterly results is likely to be handled outside of stock trading hours to avoid high volatilities. 1.4 Automatic Text Analysis Fundamentals • Finding words, sentences, numbers, named entities, concepts, and ideas while keeping the context, both semantically and grammatically, are major topics in linguistics. – However, these approaches are all far from being feasibly executed in real time. • When analysing financial texts, the financial and economic perspective requires a focused analysis that can be executed in milliseconds. – Thus, any software that hopes to support traders must enhance the analysis and diminish execution times. 1.5 Entity Identification, Wordings, and Indicators • First, the named entities and concepts such as countries, companies, and persons, such as CEOs and political leaders, need to be categorized. • Secondly, number identification must be precise; and any automation must be able to handle different alphanumerical formats and translate them into concrete values. • In the financial context, only concepts that the trader is interested in need to be found to avoid information overflow. – Configuration, selection, and personal interest and experience are essential. 1.5.1 Example on ATRAP 1.5.1 Example on ATRAP (Cont’d) • With ATRAP, you can have real‐time news trading software that is capable of these textual analyses and has immense potential to configure trades after unstructured text has been analysed. – To be precise A trader configures that they sell their IBM shares if their expectations of $25 billion are not met, and buy shares, if they are. – Whenever news arrives, ATRAP checks for the facts and if these conditions are met (either way), it automatically places an order in the market. • The analysis performance allows ATRAP to place orders often ahead of others, and before any trading halts may occur. 1.6 Events and Investment Decisions • The identification of analyst ratings in texts such as “Credit Suisse raised Daimler from HOLD to BUY” can be performed with an automated analysis. • Credit Suisse is the rating agency, Daimler the rated company, and the rating event “raised from hold to buy” indicates a positive development. • Using this in the private investment sector where no structural data feeds are available could be interesting. 1.7 Sentiments and Opinion Mining • Emotive news, or polarizing social media coverage can have an enormous impact on company or asset perception, both positively and negatively. – This emotional perspective is often expressed in analyses, market reports and, increasingly, on social media channels • The identification of concepts and entities such as analysts, companies, or countries in texts has been discussed before, explaining how concepts can be identified. – Linguistic patterns expressing positive or negative sentiment can then be assigned to the identified company. 1.8 Applications for Automated Text Analysis • Extracting information from natural and unstructured text, the compilation of events described, and the detection of sentiment or assessment is a fascinating capability that has enormous implications for workflows and manifold applications. • Applications for information deduction and identification are first and foremost making direct use of given information as fast as possible – when trading the news. – Such a huge knowledge base can then connect news items, events, results, and numbers. 1.9 Innovative Technologies in the Financial Market • Traders are rarely confronted with both the possibilities and necessities of news trading – Instead trading still remains based on fundamentals or solidly established traditional models. • Investors and traders who are aware of the novel possibilities presented by news trading often already use the latest technologies and incorporate them into internal processes. • However, financial institutions are sometimes not able to adapt internal processes to incorporate news‐based trading, with budgetary questions proven to be a critical and sensitive issue. 2. Regulated Crowdfunding Ecosystems 2.1 Crowdfunding Participants & Responsibility 2.2 Goal of Crowdfunding Ecosystems • The goal of the ecosystem is to help the issuer and investor come together in the most efficient manner through the regulated crowdfunding portals. • Securities Commissions are mandated by their respective governments to enforce and administer securities laws and govern the securities industries in their jurisdictions. • In the area of regulated crowdfunding, the Commissions regulate which investors and issuers can participate, how portal operators conduct business, and report back to the Securities Commissions. 2.3 Accredited Investor
• Accredited investors are those investors deemed by
the Securities Commissions to be high net worth individuals who would not be catastrophically impacted financially if an investment in a company seeking funds through regulated crowdfunding failed. • These investors are considered to be sophisticated and able to make appropriate judgements about their investments. 2.4 Non-Accredited Investor • Non‐accredited investors are the “rest of us”, the rest of the country’s population that does not meet the requirements to be registered as an accredited investor, and have been demanding access to early‐stage investment opportunities. • In most countries this type of investor needs to be of legal age (usually 18 years of age) and will be given restrictions on the amount they can invest in one particular issuer (company). 2.5 Regulated Crowdfunding Portal
• Regulated crowdfunding portals bring issuers and
investors together. • To operate a regulated crowdfunding portal in most countries in the world you need to be a registered broker/dealer. – The reason for this requirement is to ensure that issuers are being vetted properly to protect the marketplace and investors. 2.6 Regulated Crowdfunding Portal Requirement • The portals are required (depending on the exemption being used in the private placement) to do – investor accreditation – anti‐money laundering – suitability checks • The portals have to be registered with Securities Commissions and it is often necessary to take securities and compliance courses to meet regulatory requirements. 2.7 Four Key Pillars
• The regulated crowdfunding ecosystem is possible
today because of these four key pillars: – Technology – Internet – Social media – Progressive governments. • The nature of these markets and the way business is done can change rapidly and governments are responsible for laying a proper foundation on which businesses and people can grow and conduct their business 3. Remittances - International FX Payments at Low Cost 3.1 Generational Differences
• In a 2001 essay, writer Marc Prensky coined the
terms “digital natives” and “digital immigrants” to describe generational differences in digital usage. • Essentially defined, digital immigrants’ lives have straddled both the pre‐digital and digital eras, whereas digital natives have only ever known the latter. 3.2 Digital Natives vs Digital Immigrants Digital Immigrant Digital Natives An immigrant using a For natives, bank branches retail banking website to never factored into their pay a bill is apt to lives, they only know consciously notice: online banking: “I’m paying bills online “I’m paying bills (online)” instead of visiting a branch” 3.3 The Power of Remittances • The potential social aspect of mobile phone app transactions can be astounding, especially when it comes to global remittances. • Remittance is defined as the “transfer of money by a foreign worker to an individual in his or her home country” • Remittances currently amount to more than $583 billion annually worldwide. 3.4 Reason of Remittances
• The majority of remittance funds sent home go
towards helping family members with regular monthly bills, but philanthropic motivations have recently come to occupy a larger role in the remittance space. • Expats are now sending philanthropic remittances as a way of helping their native countries in times of need. – For example when there are disasters in some country 3.5 Transfer Fee
• Sending money can be costly. Whether the recipient
is an individual, a family, or a relief organization, the senders are saddled with the same hefty transaction fees, which can cost an average of 7.72% of the total amount sent. • Technology offers the promise of reduced fees, placing more funds into the hands of the remitters’ intended targets. – GoMoney slashing up to 5% from the 7.9% global average transfer fees, this mobile banking services can direct some $34 billion back into the pockets of those people who need it the most. 3.6 Millenial Outreach • Companies boasting charitable components are likely to resonate particularly loudly with millennials, who champion a robust urge to give back. Smart businesses are taking notice. • Take online glasses retailer, Warby Parker. For every pair of glasses sells, the company sends cash to a non‐profit partner that helps teach local entrepreneurs in low‐income countries to start their own glasses business. – “Give a man a fish and you feed him for a day; teach a man to fish and you feed him for a lifetime” 4. Fintech Solution in Small Business 4.1 Disruption as a Service
• We may be seeing the emergence of a new trend of
outsourcing disruption, or in modern parlance, “Disruption as a Service”. – Acqui‐hire used to be seen as the lowest rung of the exit ladder for start‐ups. • Now we are seeing start‐ups set this as their goal, turning would‐be entrepreneurs into employees. – The banks are successfully using the FinTech boom as a recruiting platform 4.2 Disruption Power • Power in the market means the control of supply and distribution of goods or services. – If you have power, you can dictate price and access. • Disruption is the decentralization of this power, and once supply is democratized, so too is demand because consumers now have a choice. • In the case of FinTech it will coincide with a spread of wealth. – As more players enter the market, wealth will flow from the banks to these alternative players. 4.3 Key of Disruptive Start-Ups • Small and medium‐sized enterprises (SMEs) are the key beneficiaries of disruptive start‐ups because of this reason: – Their talent pools are shallower and their needs less complex than large enterprises, so they rely on outsourcing expertise. – They are willing to try new tools that will have a tangible impact on their business – They also suits small agile start‐up teams. 4.4 Financial Advise Services • Good financial advice can make or break an SME. A qualified adviser can fill gaps in knowledge. – Importantly, they can also identify opportunities, reducing risk and increasing efficiency. • FinancialAsk, for instance, makes financial advice easy to get by offering it through apps and the web, making quality advice accessible. – With the right advice, businesses are equipped to make decisions, but they need tools to track the implementation. 4.5 Cash Flow Services
• Cash flow management is a concern for many SMEs.
• Boomeringo is one example of a budgeting and a cash flow management tool, originally aimed at consumers and income earners. • The app connects with banks, credit cards, and loan accounts and, using algorithms, sorts spending and cash flow into categories as well as merchants. – It not only helps with budgeting, but also with bill payment reminders. 4.6 Loan Services
• Even if an SME has good cash flow, they may still
need loans for capital or expansion. • Moula is one example of a data‐driven alternative lending platform for Australian SMEs, providing quick and simple funding based on an SME’s transaction data and corporate profile. • Its online application process has been designed to be fast, making it easy for a business to access funding without the process and paperwork of traditional banking. 4.7 Transaction Problem
• Payment for goods and services in a face‐to‐face
transaction is straightforward. – You make your payment and receive your goods. • Receiving payment where the customer is remote is a problem as old as business itself. – Customers are hesitant to pay before receiving goods or services and businesses are hesitant to provide them before they receive payment. 4.8 Transaction Solution
• As business and technology have evolved, we have
seen the nature of payments change to suit the context of the transaction. • As these platforms have built trust, and as online shopping grows in popularity, we have witnessed the emergence of payment escrow, where payment is held until the goods are received. – It benefits SMEs. If the business is not well known, they have no reputation and no reason to expect trust from the customer. The customer is taking a risk that the business will deliver on the agreement once payment is made, especially from overseas. Summary
• The potential of automated text analysis in news
trading is immense. Although workflows have to be adapted and thus bear an inherent risk, this is the next challenge that needs to be taken on in financial technologies. • Regulated crowdfunding uses the four pillars and brings together all theparticipants to work together cohesively. For anyone, anywhere in the world, involved in regulated crowdfunding, these are very exciting times. Summary (Cont’d)
• Young people are likely to outgrow cash. The
practical timetable for this to happen is a judgment call. But a mobile phone banking app is likely to truly capture market share, and make banking easier. • FinTech is giving SMEs the tools they need to have flexibility of payment so they can get paid and get back to work. These benefits will then flow on to consumers, through a smoother, less stressful transaction, where a better customer experience will emerge. TERIMA KASIH