LEMBAR ACC

Tabel 1. Perhitungan MAPE hasil peramalan ARIMA

110
Uji MAPE
Actual Forecast Error [Error] APE (%)
3350 2860,243116 -489,757 489,7568839 14,61960848
3620 3031,798477 -588,202 588,2015229 16,24866085
APE Total (%) 30,86826933
MAPE (%) 15,43

101
Uji MAPE
Actual Forecast Error [Error] APE (%)
3350 2745,774078 -604,2259216 604,2259216 18,03659467
3620 2793,464349 -826,5356507 826,5356507 22,83247654
APE Total (%) 40,86907121
MAPE (%) 20,43

120
Uji MAPE
Actual Forecast Error [Error] APE (%)
3350 2175,271 -1174,729412 1174,729 35,06655
3620 2438,853 -1181,147018 1181,147 32,62837
APE Total (%) 67,69492
MAPE (%) 33,85
011
Uji MAPE
Actual Forecast Error [Error] APE (%)
3350 3040,451 -309,5490519 309,5491 9,24027
3620 3052,202 -579,5490519 567,7975 15,68501
APE Total (%) 24,92528
MAPE (%) 12,46

Tabel 2. Mape Hasil Peramalan

Metode Forcast Nilai MAPE (%)
ARIMA 12,46
Single Smoothing Exponential 23
Double Smoothing Exponential 25