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Six Sigma GB Online TrgV-3.0 Oct 20 - Sharing - F
Six Sigma GB Online TrgV-3.0 Oct 20 - Sharing - F
Krishnan P M
Principal Counsellor-Business Excellence &
Head -Lean Six Sigma
Confederation of Indian Industry,
Institute of Quality, Bangalore.
The material should not be shared with any other person and is strictly to
be used for this training reference purpose only.
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© Confederation of Indian Industry
13-10-2020
3
Program Schedule
CII over the years has forged a strong nationwide network working beyond facilitating growth
and development of industry to address economic and societal challenges. CII has been a lead
player in Indian industry’s trajectory. With its origins in 1895, it has assumed a key position at
the forefront of development, especially since liberalization in 1991. Committed to working
closely with Government on policy issues, it is the interface between Government and industry
for enhancing competitiveness and strategic global linkages.
Partnerships with civil society organizations carry forward corporate initiatives for integrated
and inclusive development across diverse domains including affirmative action, healthcare,
education, livelihood, diversity management, skill development, empowerment of women, and
water, to name a few. These are areas where CII has pioneered industry engagement and is
setting the pace for industry-community partnerships.
Incorporating the vision elements of India@75 for positioning CII as #ciiI4india, various
initiatives are scheduled to take place between January to December 2020 across the country
and abroad.
The year 2020 marks a new milestone as CII completes 125 years of service to India and
the Indian Industry.
Verticals of CII-IQ are: The CII Institute of Quality has been awarded
‘GOLD’ level of certification under the ‘IGBC
• Business Excellence Green Existing Buildings’ rating system on 25th
• Quality Management Systems November 2017 during the 25th Silver Jubilee
• Lean Six Sigma National Quality Summit celebrations in
• Total Productive Maintenance Bangalore
Networking
Laboratory & Measurement
Clusters
-----
What has changed over time?
Example- changes in
the last three decades
19
Features once an
add-on , surpassing
the primary purpose
20
Process Variation
Error in PO
High outstanding
on receivables
Periodic
Review
One of the solution is
Adapting
Lean Six Sigma Methodology
Sigma is
A uniform measurement
Six Sigma is
is a uniform improvement method
❑ 1850 – Interchangeable
parts – Eli Whitney
WORK FOR
MAP VALUE ESTABLISH FLOW IMPLEMENT PULL PERFECTION
SPECIFY VALUE STREAM
Define value from Draw the AS-IS Identify the flow Demand from Strive towards
customer’s process flow that of material and customer to be providing best
perspective; create value-add, information known to customer
define non-value add to across the supply implement pull. satisfaction ; focus
products/service customer chain[end-to- Pull system works
end] on kaizen to
when customer
continuous
signals the need
for the product / remove waste
service from processes
PRINCIPLES OF LEAN
Kanban: A signal -- either physical, such as tag or empty bin, or electronically sent through a
system -- used to streamline processes and create just-in-time delivery.
Jidoka: A method of providing machines and humans with the ability to detect an abnormality
and stop work until it can be corrected.
Andon: A visual aid, such as a flashing light, that alerts workers to a problem.
Poka-yoke: A mechanism that safeguards against human error, such as an indicator light that
turns on if a necessary step was missed, a sign given when a bolt was tightened the correct
number of times or a system that blocks a next step until all the previous steps are completed.
5S: A set of practices for organizing workspaces to create efficient, effective and safe areas for
workers and which prevent wasted effort and time. 5S emphasizes organization and
cleanliness.
• Rethinking every aspect of jobs, careers, functions and firms in order to correctly
specify value as defined by the customer.
• Consider the customers investment in time and effort to be able to receive the
service.
• Putting the entire Value Stream for specific products relentlessly in the
foreground
• Making value flow continuously along the whole length of Value stream
HOUSE OF LEAN
Purpose of 5S
Experience has shown that processes usually do not perform as well in the long term
as they do in the short term.
As a result, the number of sigmas that will fit between the process mean and the
nearest specification limit may well drop over time, compared to an initial short-term
study
To account for this real-life increase in process variation over time, an empirically
based 1.5 sigma shift is introduced into the calculation.
According to this idea, a process that fits 6 sigma between the process mean and
the nearest specification limit in a short-term study will in the long term fit only 4.5
sigma – either because the process mean will move over time, or because the long-
term standard deviation of the process will be greater than that observed in the short
term, or both.
68.26 %
95.46%
99.73%
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
High
Probability
of Failure
1
3 1 3 1
Much Lower
Probability
1 of Failure
6 2
© Confederation of Indian Industry
40
Six Sigma
1.
Waste
2.
3. • Inability of the process
• Any deviation
Variability to deliver and meet
from performance Inflexibility
customer requirements
standards
Product
Mix
Volume Delivery
Overproduction
1 Sample distribution
Unnecessar Waiting "Voice of
y 7 2 the
movements customer"
WASTE Transportation LSL USL
6 3
Rework and
rejections
+
5 44 Over-
LCL UCL
"Voice of the process"
processing
Inventory
• Waste
• Waste
Lean
Six
Lean Six
Sigma
Sigma
Reduce waste by Eliminate defects and Serve customers with faster
reorganizing reduce variation in the and reliable
the process process products/services
Contentment Renewal
➢Provide a Vision ➢Leverage Enthusiasm
➢Paint a Picture ➢Keep Them Involved
➢Raise Awareness
Denial Confusion
➢Listen to Views
➢Focus on Process ➢Provide a Plan
➢Gather Data ➢Pilot and Deploy
➢Follow Methodology
– Individual resistance
Finish
Start
Start
Black Belt
Green Belt
.
Yellow Belt
the Requirement
characterisation
Understanding
Process
Analyse Analyse
Optimisation
Design
optimisation
Improve
Process
Optimise
Design
X’s
Control Validate
3. Process Mapping
Key Deliverables :
➢ Develop Team Charter (Business case, Goal Statements, Scope,
Milestone, Team..)
➢ Stakeholder Analysis
➢ Detailed Process Map
Applicable Tools :
➢ Charter Stakeholder Analysis, Kano Model
➢ Process Mapping – SIPOC, VSM
Identify Opportunities
Identify Team
Stakeholder Buy-In
Charter
✓ Critical to customer
✓ Critical to business
✓ The problem must be solved
✓ Success Elements
Performance:
Satisfiers - Increasing these features or
functions leads to higher
satisfaction.
Excitement:
Delighter - Presence of these
unexpected features or functions
leads to "delight“ or customers
being "pleasantly surprised".
• Customer CTQs are often hazy & they must be converted into meaningful internal
goals that are assignable to functions
• Some functions in the organization may also need to look at internal customers. In this
case, Business CTQs may mingle with Customer CTQs
• Internal CTQs are internal organizational deliverables that characterize a
customer CTQ
Some of the tools used to convert Customer CTQs / Business CTQs into internal CTQs
✓ CTQ Drill-down
✓ Quality Function Deployment (QFD / House of Quality)
Manual Manual
Delay
Operation Input
© Confederation of Indian Industry
68 68
Process Map Example – Online Order and Delivery
No
Enter
Call Yes customer details
Customer calls
Answered?
in the system
No
Deliver &
Despatch collect money,
order if non-credit card
customer
However, in this step, emphasis is on creating a micro-level process map. The team can go to
micro level or detailed process maps in Measure and Analyze phase
Step
Function 1 Step 5
4
Step 3
Function 2
Step 2
Step 6 Step 7
Function 4
Scope (IN & OUT bonds) Team Members Analysis Identify Sources of Variation
Funnel Causes
Validate Root Cause
Financial benefits
Resources
by Sep 2015 and reduce the gap between current level and 100% by Measure Validate Measurement System
Collect Data
one third Establish Baseline
Customers in southern region • Team Members: VP, MSA, AYS, Improve Generate Solution Ideas
excluding Chennai Circle Select Best Fit Solution
Test Solution & Confirm Results
Financial benefits
• Opportunity gain by early on-boarding (To be estimated)
• Achieve benchmark level to enable increase in market share
Resources
•Field and branch staff
•IT
Scope (IN & OUT bonds) Team Members Analysis Identify Sources of Variation
Funnel Causes
Validate Root Cause
Financial benefits
Resources
6. Establish Baseline
Key Deliverables :
➢ Measurement system for Ys and Xs
➢ Data Collection Plan & Compilation of Past Data
➢ Quantification of current performance level
Applicable Tools :
➢ Measurement System Analysis – Attribute and Variable
➢ Types of Data, Sampling, Simple Seven Tools
➢ Descriptive Statistics, Run Chart, Process Capability Analysis, Normality
Plot
© Confederation of Indian Industry
75
Why do Errors Occur?
▪ Incorrect procedures
▪ Human error
▪ Inadequate Skill
© Confederation of Indian Industry
76
Detecting Errors
Traditional approach . . .
FEEDBACK
Product A Product B
/Service A /Service B
Process 1
Process 2
Process 3
Process 4
Variable / Attribute /
Continuous Discrete
Measurable Countable
Endlessly Divisible Indivisible
Mean Range
Median Variance
Mode Standard Deviation
Location Spread
• Median
– Value at which at least 50% of observations are above and at least 50%
of the data are below
– For even number of observations the average of the two central values is
often called the Median
• p-Quartile
– Value at which at least p(100)% of observations are below and at least
(1-p) 100% of the data are above
– 25% Quartile: 25% of data (one quarter) are below and 75% are above
– 75% Quartile: 75% of data (three quarters) are below and 25% are above
• Standard Deviation
– Obtained by taking the square root of the variance and measures the
spread around the Mean. The interpretation in asymmetric sample
distribution is not always clear cut
• Range
– Obtained by subtracting the smallest observation (minimum) from the
largest observation (maximum)
❑ Using different timing for data collection can yield valuable insights into a
process
▪ Measurements on the first 30 lots completed one week
✓ Measurements on every 5th lot
✓ Weekly yields from the past two years
DPMO = DPO*1,000,000
= 0.45*1,000,000 = 450000
DPMO = DPO*1,000,000
0.45*1,000,000 = 450000
Common Causes
- Many small sources
- Stable
- Relatively predictable
- Permanent -unless action taken.
Special Causes
- One or few major sources
- May be irregular
- Unpredictable
- May reappear unless action taken
i −
=
2
(X X - Bar )
s i =1
n -1
Xi – Individual Observations
X-Bar – Average of the Sample
n – Sample Size
Lower Upper
Specification Limit Mean / Target Specification Limit
High
Probability
of Failure
1
3 1 3 1
Much Lower
Probability
1 of Failure
6 2
© Confederation of Indian Industry
92
Short Term & Long Term
-1,5 +1,5
Short Term
Defects Defects
Long Term
Defects Defects
Probability Samples
Simple Systematic
Random Random Stratified Cluster
Non-probability Samples
xxxx x x
xxxx x x
x
xxx
Population Sample
N=2000 N=50
M M M M F F
M M M F
M F
M M F
M M M M F F
M M M F
M F
M M F
M M M M M M F
F F F M
M M F M F
F F M
M M M M M M F
F F F M
M M F M F
F F M
n = sample size
s = standard deviation
d = precision
p = proportion defective
1.96 implies 95% Confidence
Random sampling Every member in the entire Best chance of an unbiased Minority subgroups of interest
target population has an equal representative sample in population may not be
chance of being selected. present in sample in sufficient
numbers for study
Systematic Random Arranging the target population Sample evenly spread over Sample may be biased if
sampling according to some ordering entire reference population hidden periodicity in population
scheme and then selecting coincides with that of selection.
elements at regular intervals
through that ordered list.
Stratified sampling Divide the population into sub A deliberate efforts is made to It can be time consuming as
categories and selecting make the sample sub categories has to be
members in the proportion that representative of the target identified and proportion
they occur in the population. population calculation
Cluster sampling Total population is divided into Quick, easy and with optimized Over represented or
these groups (or clusters) and cost underrepresented cluster which
a simple random sample of the can skew the results of the
groups is selected. study
Quota sampling The population is first When time is limited, the Samples may
segmented into mutually research budget is very tight be biased because not
exclusive sub-groups, just as in or when detailed accuracy is everyone gets a chance of
Judgment
stratified sampling. Then judge- not important. selection
ment taken to select subjects
Convenience sampling This involves the sample being It allows the researcher to Sample is not representative
drawn from that part of the obtain basic data and trends of the entire population.
population which is close to regarding his study without
hand. That is, readily available the complications of using a
and convenient. randomized sample.
Judgmental sampling Samples are picked up basis the Last-resort method that may
judgments be used when there is no time Inexpert judgment and
to do a proper study selection based on limited
information
Snowball sampling Technique for gathering Appropriate to use in It depends greatly on the
research subjects through the research when the members initial contacts & connections
identification of an initial subject of a population are difficult made.
and using it for tracing other/ to locate
remaining subjects
1. Check Sheet
2. Histogram
3. Pareto Analysis
5. Stratification
6. Scatter Diagram
1 Data Collection
3 Pareto Diagram
4 Histogram
5 Scatter Diagram
6 Run Chart
7 Stratification
9 Flow Chart
Suggested Tool
This is a useful method for identifying the causes of a problem. It classifies the
various causes thought to affect the results of work, indicating with arrows the
cause-and-effect relationship among them.
This also called a “Fish Bone”diagram as the structure resembles that of a fish
or “ Ishikawa” diagram which is also named after the Quality expert who
championed this tool.
CAUSES EFFECTS
Method Manpower
Quality
Material Machinery
Pareto diagrams are specialized Bar graphs that can be used to show the relative
frequency of events such as Bad products,Repairs, defects etc.
A Pareto diagram presents information in the descending order, from the largest
category to the smallest.Points are plotted for the cumulative total in each bar
and connected with a line to create a graph that shows the relative incremental
addition of each category to the total.
A
B
C
D 2
3 4
D
A
B
C
Rejection Type
25 60
20 Cumultive graph
20 50 50
45
15 40
15 35
10 30
10
20 20
5
5 10
0 0
D C A B
D
A
B
C
100.0
100
90.4 93.4 93.5
200 Vital 86.2
Few 79.5
71.7 75
150
100.9 Loss Hrs
43.9 50
100 Useful many Cum %loss
63.8
50 25
17.9 15.4 9.7 14.9
6.9 0.2
0 0 0
No Material ( Inhouse)
Issue Mix up
Quality Prob ( Vendor)
No Material ( Vendor)
Assembly problem
Others
Stores Material delay
The Histogram drawn from the frequency table resembles a bar graph composed of
columns representing the frequency at which data appears in various sections of the
range.
Positive Correlation
Plotted points form a cluster.
y
Direction and tightness of the cluster gives
the strength of the relationship. 6
0
2 4 6
x
© Confederation of Indian Industry
120
Patterns and Inferences
0 2 4 6 x 0 2 4 6 x 0 2 4 6 x
If X is increased,Y An increase in X will
may somewhat cause a decrease in Y An Increase in X will
increase, but Y has Therefore X can be cause a tendency for a
causes other than X controlled instead of Y decrease in Y
No Correlation
Y
Tip : In case of values repeating, Circle the
6 point. Draw Concentric circles in case of
values repeating more than twice
4
0 2 4 6 x
Control Charts are used when we need to check how much variability in a process is due
to random variation ( CHANCE CAUSES ) and how much is due to unique events/ specific
actions ( ASSIGNABLE CAUSES) in order to determine whether a process is in Statistical
Control.
18.499
18.498
18.497 Mean
X bar bar
18.496
UCL Upper Control Limit)
18.495 LCL( Lower Control Limit)
18.494
18.493
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
Sub Groups –25
Sub group size – 5
X Bar Bar = Average Mean = 18.4960
UCL = Average Mean + A2Rbar = 18.4960+(.577 *.0014) = 18.4968.
LCL = Average Mean – A2Rbar = 18.4960- (.577*.00014) = 18.4952
A2 : From Std Tables , R is the range
0.003
0.0025
0.002 Range
R bar
0.0015
UCL (Upper Control Limit)
0.001
0.0005
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
between Process A,
B and C?
➢ Which is most
desirable?
L Mean U
Process Condition-B
Process Condition-C
L U L Mean U
Mean
Process 3 Process 4
X=25, SD=1
LSL X=17, SD=1
=16 USL LSL USL
=24 =16 =24
USL – X X - LSL
CPU = ----------- , CPL = -------------
3 SD 3 SD
RECOMMENDED ACTION :
Corrective actions to reduce occurrence, and / or Detection rankings.
Directed at the highest RPN and critical severity items.
Xs Ys
Suspected
ALL POTENTIAL Xs
Causes
Graphical
Pareto Analysis
Analysis
Categorisation
Gemba Significanc
Data
Investigatio e
Analysis Test
n
5
Real ‘X’ Real ‘X’ 3
s s
Counter Measures/Actions 8
FMEA
x1 x7 = 38%
x2 x6 = 27% Vital X’s
x3 x2 = 12%
x4
x5 Exploration x9 = 4%
x6 of the y-x x10= 4%
x7 relationship x5 = 2%
x8 x1
x9 x3
Trivial X’s σ error
x10 x4
x11 x8 = 13%
x12 x11
x12
Fishbone
Yield
Inference
Exercise:
In relation to your project, write an assumptions to be
validated?
form:
❑Regression tells us how to draw the straight line described by the correlation
X X X
Y Y Y
X X
ORIGINAL STRATIFIED
Invoice Cycle
Time
no relation
Y (output)
8
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
X (input)
Key Deliverables :
➢ Potential Solutions
➢ Best Fit solution based on feasibility and impact
➢ Validation of results
Applicable Tools :
➢ Value Stream Mapping
➢ TOH, ANOVA, Regression
Select solutions
• Analyze result
• Communication matrix
• Brainstorming
• Ranking method
• Rating method
• Decision Matrix
• Each team member to tick the best criteria for each solution
• Sum up number of tick, multiply by respective weights and cal the score for each
criteria for each solution
Key Deliverables :
➢ Work Instructions and SOPs
➢ Control Plans
➢ Required communication and training
Applicable Tools :
➢ Control Plans, SOPs
➢ Control Charts
➢ Poka Yoke
Operational Method
Written Instructions
Verbal Instructions
(Mistake Proofing)
Sheets (OMS)
Poka - Yoke
DFSS
SPC
AMOUNT OF CONTROL
Detection:
Detection:
Detection: Smoke detectors provide a
Air-conditioners trip or
Quality check at the end of warning that smoke has
shutdown once it detects
a process / assembly line been detected and that
slight overheating
there’s a possible fire.
Sigma Level
4.2 4
2.3
Sigma Level
Base Line 2.3
Goal 4.2
current 4
• Communication
• Recognition
• 100 % Attendance
• Min 70% score in certification Examination
• Min One Project Completion within three months from the
date of training completion
Customer
Product Material Waste
Audit Score
Development Reduction
Improvement
Improvement
Use appropriate
tools/methods
Krishnan P M
Principal Counsellor-Business Excellence &
Thank You
Head -Lean Six Sigma
Krishnan.pm@cii.in