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Lecture 1
CorpFIn@fm.ru.nl
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Looking up technical terms: www.investopedia.com
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Most important to financial goals is profitability because it is the reason why you have a
company
Liquidity is just a means to this upper goal, you are running the company to make profits, not to
be liquid, however, you do need it to obtain your goal
You need to see the company as a small piece within its environment, all kinds of factors such as
politics, economy, households etc. can influence the company
Financial markets:
- Primary markets: where the company has a link to the financial market for the first time
When a company makes their shares public for the first
time (IPO), then you speak of a primary market, so
only once!
Annual report
1. Balance sheet
o Needs to be in balance
o Assets = liabilities + equity
Net Working Capital: difference between currents assets and current liabilities, you want this to
be positive since it means you have enough cash available to pay off liabilities (depts) arising
Example question: answer A because its current assets-current liabilities
Types of profit
EBT: earnings before tax, net income before tax
EBIT: earnings before interest and tax
EBITD(A): earnings before interest, tax and depreciation
Taxes
Average Tax rates
• Percentage of income that is paid in taxes
• Tax bill divided by your taxable income
Example:
3. Statement of cashflows
Cashflow is not the same as working capital because NWC is a snapshot, not a flow
Cashflow is also not profit since depreciation decreases profit but not the CF
Lecture 2 – chapter 3 and 4
Chapter 3
Ratio analysis
Putting numbers in perspective in order to look at the state of a company
‘It is important to be able to analyze a firm’s financial statements and compare them to other
firms’
You need ratio’s to be able to compare companies with different sizes
Profitability ratio’s
Profit margin = Net Income / sales operating efficiency, what we earn in comparison to the
sales and how successful we are
Return on asset – Net income / total assets asset use efficiency
Return on equity = net income / total equity equity efficiency
Return on Equity (ROE) = profit margin x total asset turnover x equity multiplier
Asset/equity is always larger then 1! What you earn on your assets is always lower
Chapter 4
Future Value (FV) = the amount an investment is worth after one or more periods
Watch time convention closely! If they start at the end of the year, you have to calculate until the
end of the next year
- 561,97
- 884,27
- 484,27
- 484,27 – (7 x 400 x 0.12) = 148.27
You earn more if interest is calculated in shorter periods due to compounding, since you simply
build up more (see example slide 41)
Annual percentage rate (APR) = interest earned in one year without compounding, so the
nominal or stated interest rate
In order to compare different loans, the compounding period needs to be equal, so to make them
comparable, we calculate their equivalent rate using an annual compounding period. We do this
by calculating the effective annual rate (EAR)
Present value (PV): current value of future cash flows discounted at the appropriate discount
rate
Discount: calculating the present value of some future amount
(in order to get this money in the future, how much should I invest now?)
(so instead of multiply, you divide)
1/(1+r)^t
Another thing you can calculate instead of the amount is time, so how long will it take to have
this amount in the future?
r = r = (FV/PV)^(1/n) – 1
Tutorial 1
Current equity value incorporates shirt-term and long-term profits. It reflects risk, timing, and
magnitude of all future cashflows
Direct Costs:
- Corporate expenditures that benefit managers at the expense of shareholders
- Corporate expenditures to monitor and control manager activities
- E.g.: private jet, payment of auditors
Indirect Costs
- Lost opportunities because of more risk averse managers (want to keep their job and is
less likely to take risks, while shareholders can benefit from risks)
- E.g.: Shareholders want to invest in new product development (risky); managers fear
higher chance of bankruptcy and losing their job (don’t want to invest too much).
Managerial compensation
- Performance based pay (so more inclined to take risks)
Shareholder rights
- Shareholders facility to call managers to account
Control of the firm
- Power of shareholder to control firm ((e.g. board structure, voting rights)
Proxy voting
- A grant of authority by a shareholder allowing another individual to vote his or her shares
Type 2: Relationship between majority shareholders and minority shareholders
- Minority of shareholders want to maximize value per ordinary share
- Majority shareholders want to take advantage of their power of control
- Bondholders want to maximize bond value (investors that lend money to company, so no
shares and do not own a part of the company, just want to be payed back)
Cost examples
- Majority shareholder makes one of her firms trade on attractive terms with another of her
firms. Known as a Related Party Transaction.
- Majority shareholder can force the company to declare a large dividend because she
needs the cash
Corporate law
- Law is developed through court rulings
- Flexible and can adjust quickly to events
Civil law
- Law is developed through regulations and code laws
- Based on code of principle does not/slowly change
Some assumptions:
Corporate executives are acting in the interest of the shareholders
- No self-dealing or investment in particular projects to maximize the managers own
wealth
- No financing decisions to minimize the risk for the firm but not necessarily for
shareholders
Chapter 5
Now we look at multiple payments or cash flows, that occur periodically, and are always of the
same amount.
Perpetuities
Perpetuities = forever, so if you do not know the year until you are investing
IN SHORT:
Delayed perpetuities
- .
Growing perpetuities
Rewatched – Chapter 5
Looking at multiple payments instead of just one, for both future value and present value
Perpetuities
When you receive an amount of money ( C ) until forever (no not know when it stops,
example: a SHARE)
So:
PV:
Delayed perpetuities
So, when a perpetuity (the payment) does not start immediately but for example starts after 3
years
Example
When you for instance get an interest rate of 2% every year apart from the discount rate
Only applicable if r (discount rate) is bigger than the interest (g = growing rate)
However: if the growth starts in the first year the formula would be
Lecture 4 – Chapter 5
Chapter 5
Annuities can start at the beginning or the end of the period! influences the value since
at the beginning you don’t get interest over it but at the end you get interest
Delayed annuity
When you don’t start getting your annuity right at the beginning but after some years
Example:
You always start calculating from a year before the first annuity!!
Growing Annuity
When an annuity grows every year with a certain growing percentage (g)
FV of Annuity =
Quoted interest rate: rate expressed in terms of the interest payment made each period
Effective annual rate (EAR): rate expressed as if it were compounded once per year
APR= Annual percentage rate, usually APR=EAR, unless there are extra fees or cost from a
bank which are not calculated in the EAR in U.S they call it stated (simple) interest rate
Types of loans
If you want to calculate the monthly payments of an amortized loan, you should see them as
annuities
With partially Amortized there is an delayed annuity, since you pay first like amortized, but after
that you pay the ‘baloon’ like pure discount
- A bond is a (mostly tradable) certificate showing that a borrower owes a specified sum
- To repay the money, the borrower has agreed to make interest (“coupon”) and principal
payments on designated dates
You pay less now than you will receive in the future, so that’s why people would choose a Pure
discount bond.
Level coupon
Whenever a bond is placed with a coupon rate below the market discount rate, you will see
that the price of a bond goes down, otherwise no one will buy the bond and will buy the
other bonds in the market that give a higher rate.
To summarize:
Par Bond
- A bond that sells at its face value
- Coupon rate equals market discount rate
Premium Bond
- A bond that sells above its face value
- Coupon rate is more than market discount rate
Discount Bond
- A bond that sells below its face value
- Coupon rate is less than market discount rate
Time to maturity - What is the influence of time of maturity on the price of a bond?
Whenever the time to maturity gets shorter, the difference between face value and price of a
bond gets smaller
Whenever a marker interest rate increases, the value of a bond decreases as later payments are
discounted at a higher factor, since other bonds become more attractive, yours goes down in
value
To summarize:
- All other things being equal, the longer the time to maturity, the greater the interest rate
risk, because the face value of the bond is discounted much stronger over longer periods.
- All other things being equal, the lower the coupon rate, the greater the interest rate risk,
because the bond has a relatively larger portion of its cash flow (face value v. coupons)
later in its life
Yield to Maturity
Yield to maturity (YTM) is the total return anticipated on a bond if the bond is held until it matures. Yield to
maturity is considered a long-term bond yield but is expressed as an annual rate. In other words, it is the internal
rate of return (IRR) of an investment in a bond if the investor holds the bond until maturity, with all payments made
as scheduled and reinvested at the same rate
you should be able to indicate whether the YTM is higher or lower than the coupon has to do with premium /
discount / par bond
Current yield: the annual interest/the bond price = x% (sadly the bond price can change over the years)
.
When the current yield > YTM because the current yield ignores the built-in loss of the premium
value of the bond
When the current yield < YTM it is because the bond is priced at a discount
Term structure
Term structure of interest rates is the relationship between nominal interest rates on default-
free, pure discount securities and time to maturity
Bond Ratings
It could be that two bonds which cost the same have a very different coupon rate
can be caused because of different times of maturity
can also be caused by bond credit rating shows how risky a bond is
Chapter 7
Equity markets
If you knew the future price and the dividend, you could simply use the following formula:
Share price
For:
- Zero growth: dividend always stays the same
Calculating share price: (use normal perpetuity formula)
Consider the equity of ‘Irresistible SnoepNV’, which has a new candy bar and is
enjoying rapid growth.
o The dividend per share a year from today will be €2.
o Beginning in year 2 dividends will grow at 15% p.a. for 4 years
o After that, growth will equal 10% per year. Calculate the present value of the
equity if the required return is 20%
look at slides for
explaining, steps:
In real life, you hardly ever know the dividend etc. so it is way more uncertain what the CF,
return of life of investment is
Lecture 7 – Chapter 8
How to determine whether to invest or not?
Here will follow a list of investment criteria
NPV
NPV: Net Present Value, is pre
Example:
NPV gives us information about whether to invest in a project or not Investment rule:
Strengths of NPV
- Cash Flows are better than earnings (accounting measure)
- Other approaches ignore cash flows beyond a certain date
- Fully incorporates the Time Value of Money
Calculate how long it will take to earn your costs back in an investment
(Average book value = (start + in between values… + end of a period) / V the value of
periods
- PI > / = 1: Accept
- PI < 1: Reject
Problem with PI
- Generally leads to same decision as NPV however sometimes differs from NPV when
you calculate it, so could make wrong decisions
Use trial and error here, so fill in the IRR options in the following formula
Lecture 8 – Chapter 9
So far cash flows were given, now we are going to look at how to calculate them
Sunk costs
a cash flow that has already occurred
ignore all sunk costs
Opportunity costs
Opportunity costs are things like warehouses you could use to store things and if you decide not
to, it could be a loss of revenue
take into account
Side effects
A side effect is classified as either erosion or synergy.
- Erosion is when a new product reduces the CFs of existing products.
E.g., introducing a new car may cause that the sales of another car will decrease
- Synergy occurs when a new project increases the CFs of existing projects
E.g., introducing an expensive campaign to attract customers which will eventually lead
to incomes higher than the costs
After-Tax CFs
1. Standard Approach
2. Bottom Up Approach
4. Tax-shield Approach
Reducing balance: reduce a fixed percentage of the left worth every time
Important example:
Staple Supply Ltd has just purchased a new IT system with an installed cost of €160,000. Staple
uses 20 per cent reducing balance depreciation over 4 years and expects a salvage value of
€10,000.
- What are the tax consequences of the sale if the tax rate is 34 per cent?
- Sale for €10,000 at end of Year 4
o Loss of €55,536 for tax purposes.
Variable costs: Costs that change when the quantity of output changes
Quantity: Goal is to determine the number of units that is needed to earn fixed costs back
(break-even)
Types of break-even
1. Cash break-even: sales level that results in a zero OCF
2. Accounting break-even: sales level that results in zero project net income
3. Financial break-even: sales level that results in a zero NPV
Problem: does not take the investment costs (opportunity costs) into account which could lead to
false decisions financial break even does:
3. Financial break-even |
At what quantity is the net present value equal to zero?
In order to calculate the OCF, you need to calculate the factor of annuity (PVIFA) and fill it in
the NPV factor in order to calculate it.
Suppose Wettway Yachts Ltd is considering whether to launch its new Margo-class yacht.
In general:
- High DOL: High fixed costs and low variable costs
- Low DOL: Low fixed costs and high variable costs
Lecture 9 – Chapter 11
Recap on calculating returns:
Blume’s formula
(takes the average of
both)
Variability of returns
using deviation
Variance (VAR): The average squared difference between the actual return and the average
return
Example:
Distribution of Stock Returns
Distribution of stock returns mostly bell shaped (fat tails) most people in the midle of returns,
just very few people very low or very high return.
Black swans: extreme events in which the stock market was influenced dramatically
Risk Premium
Why don’t we all invest in small US companies? Because of big risks
Risk premium: return on a risky asset less the return on the risk free security
the higher, the more risk
Market Efficiency
An efficient capital market is one in which assets prices fully reflect available information
known as the Efficient Markets Hypothesis (EMH):
1. You cannot beat the market (no free lunch): market prices are impossible to predict and
so it is hard for any investor to beat the market after taking risk into account.
2. The price is always right: asset prices will, to use Mr. Fama’swords “fully reflect”
available information, and thus “provide accurate signals for resource allocation.
Chapter 12
Single Assets
Re-watch the lecture part for explanation and look at notes previous lecture
Systematic risk
A risk that influences a large number of assets. Also referred to as ‘market risk’
Unsystematic risk
A risk that affects at most a small number of assets. Also referred to as ‘unique’, ‘idiosyncratc’
or ‘asset-specific’ risk.
- As the unsystematic risk is unique to the asset, it is also unrelated to another asset’s unique risk
If you diversify your portfolio, you can reduce the asset-specific risks and are only left with the
market risk
The higher the average standard deviation of returns, the higher the risk is
Beta
Because unsystematic risk can be diversified, only systematic risk is priced by the market
- The expected return on a risky asset depends only on that asset’s systematic risk.
So, what the market will pay you as a risk premium is only based on systematic risk
If the market goes up by 1%, how much does your asset goes up?
- When the Beta is high, risk is high but you can expect a higher return
- When the Beta is low, risk is low but you can expect a lower return
Which means when the market goes up 1% your port will go up Beta p %
Reward to risk ratio: shows you how much additional expected returns you can get for a certain
level of risk (slope of the curve of correlation between expected return and the Beta)
In the market:
SML: The Security market line: the curve from the correlation between expected return and
the Beta of the market
In theory, the reward to risk ratio of all assets should be the same
however, this is not the case and that is how the market works! Question and Demand
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAMP): shows the relationship between expected return and
beta
Reward to risk of one share = market risk premium
Thus:
(risk premium)
Lecture 11 – Chapter 13
Since the R is the return that shareholders get on equity, it can be seen as a firms cost
Preference shares: shares that get paid dividend first, after that come common shares
results in a fixed dividend paid each period so is a perpetuity
Value (V) = E + D
If we divide both sides by V, we can calculate the percentages of the total capital represented by
the debt and equity:
Subjective Approach
Adding an adjustment factor based on whether the new project has a high or low risk
Flotation Costs
If a company accepts a new project, it may be required to issue, or float, new bonds, and shares.
This means that the firm will incur some costs, which we call flotation costs
Banks are generally not interested in making loans to start-up companies, especially ones:
- with no assets (other than an idea) or
- run by entrepreneurs with no track record.
- There is high risk and a lot of search costs involved.
Firms with this profile search for venture capital (VC), an important part of the private
equity markets.
Usually small chance of succeeding, but when it does it succeeds very highly
Stages:
1. Seed money
2. Start-up
3. Later stage capital
4. Growth capital
5. Replacement capital
6. Buy-out financing
IPO: Initial Public Offering taking your firm from the private stage to the public state for the
first time
Steps:
3. Right Issue
Discussed later
Going public for the very first time is IPO, when you see the need to raise more capital and
bring more shares on the market is called Seasoned Equity Offering (SEO)
Company’s earning
point
company doesn’t
profit from this
Disadvantages of going public
- Need to fulfill a lot of criteria and regulations: need to publish information, statistics etc.
Takes a lot of effort
2. Best Efforts
The underwriters will put in their best offers to sell your shares but do not promise to buy
them from you. You are partially receiving money per share you sell, the underwriter
earns more money the more they sell you share the risks and benefits
3. Dutch Auction
Sell shares in an auction. Is not used frequently.
Green shoe: an option by the underwriters to purchase up to 15% more shares from the old
owners than initially planned. Give the underwriters the option to sell more once you notice the
IPO was very successful. introduced because it is very hard to estimate how interested stock
buyers will be in your company, so possibility to match a little bit better to demand.
it is very difficult to estimate the question and demand of your stocks and the price
That’s why IPO’s are usually underpriced:
To make it surer that you sell all the shares
E.g.,
Let’s say an investor owns 100 shares of Arcelor Mittaland the shares are trading at $10 each.
The company announces a rights issue in the ratio of 2 for 5, i.e., each investor holding 5 shares
will be eligible to buy 2 new shares. The company announces a discounted price of, for example,
$6 per share. It means that for every 5 shares (at $10 each) held by an existing shareholder, the
company will offer 2 shares at a discounted price of $6.
- Investor’s Portfolio Value (before rights issue) = 100 shares x $10 = $ 1,000
- Receives 100 rights and can buy 40 new shares (100 x 2/5 = 40) at subscription price of
$6•Price paid to buy rights shares = 40 shares x $6 = $ 240
- Total number of shares after exercising rights issue = 100 + 40 = 140
- Revised Value of the portfolio after exercising rights issue = $ 1,000 + $240 = $1,240
- Should be price per share post-rights issue = $1,240 / 140 = $8.86→Value of SR = $10 -
$8.86 = $1.14.
- Investor can either use SR (with additional cash) or sell SR.
- Wealth without using SR: 100 x $8.86 + 100 x $1.14 = $1000•Remember(!!): Each
shareholder receives 1 SR for each share, but needs usually more SR to purchase new
shares, her
2. Economic Exposure
Long-term financial risk arising from permanent changes in prices or other economic
fundamentals, China becomes more powerful which changes the macro economics
- Both buyer and seller are obligated to perform under the terms of the contact
Payoff Profile: a plot showing the gains and losses that will occur on a contract as the result of
unexpected price changes
The Forward’s Payoff Profile looks like a 90 degree line because the price is fixed
- When prices go up, the buyer profits from it (reversed for seller)
- When prices go down, the buyer has a loss (reversed for seller)
Buyer and seller want to avoid the risks of fluctuating prices hire clearing house set a price
together,
- When actual price goes below fixed price, seller receives difference from clearing house
But clearing house receives the difference from buyer
- When actual price goes above fixed price, buyer receives difference from clearing house
But clearing house receives the difference from seller
what marked to market means to the seller: on every day you will settle the price and adjust it
to how the market moves
reduces the risk since rising of prices for both buyer as seller
Types of Swaps
1. Currency swaps
2. Interest Rate Swaps
3. Commodity Swaps (grondstof/handelswaar)
Call option: gives the owner the right to buy an asset at a fixed price during (or at) a particular
period.
- use this option when the price of the thing you are buying is higher than the fixed price
Put options: gives the owner the right to sell an asset at a fixed price during (or at) a particular
period
- Use this option when the price of the thing you are selling is lower than the fixed price