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HINDSIGHT, NARRATIVE, AND
MORAL LIFE
LOOKING BACKWARD
“In hindsight,” the newspaper story reads, “jumping in front of
an oncoming subway train may not have been the smartest
move Wesley Autrey has ever made. ‘It’s all hitting me now,’ ”
he said. It was the day after Autrey had saved the life of a young
man, apparently suffering from a medical problem, who had
Copyright © 2009. Oxford University Press, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
16
Freeman, Mark. Hindsight : The Promise and Peril of Looking Backward, Oxford University Press,
Incorporated, 2009. ProQuest Ebook Central, http://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/nyulibrary-ebooks/detail.action?docID=472262.
Created from nyulibrary-ebooks on 2023-04-19 07:45:29.
Hindsight, Narrative, and Moral Life 17
entered into one since 1945. But there they were, battling it out
against the Marlins at Chicago’s Wrigley Field, up three games
to two in the series, and the score was 3–0 in the top of the
eighth inning. The Marlins were up at bat, there was one out,
two left to go. Victory was imminent, and the fans could taste it.
One of the Marlins banged out a double. And then, suddenly
and inexplicably, everything came undone—“sheer disaster,” as
one sports writer put it. It all began with a fly ball down the left
field line. The Cubs’ left fielder, Moises Alou, raced toward the
ball, which was heading foul. And just as Alou was about to
make the catch, a fan—a Chicago Cubs fan, no less, Steve
Bartman—reached out from the stands and deflected the ball.
Oh well, one might say; someone prevented a foul ball from
being caught. It was no big deal; he didn’t even reach over the
wall, so strictly speaking, it wasn’t a case of fan interference. But
that simple, dumb act, so innocent in its way—other fans had
their arms outstretched too, and may well have done exactly the
same thing had Steve Bartman not gotten there first—will echo
through that poor man’s life forever. Alou was enraged. The fans
Copyright © 2009. Oxford University Press, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
Freeman, Mark. Hindsight : The Promise and Peril of Looking Backward, Oxford University Press,
Incorporated, 2009. ProQuest Ebook Central, http://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/nyulibrary-ebooks/detail.action?docID=472262.
Created from nyulibrary-ebooks on 2023-04-19 07:45:29.
18 Hindsight
retired. The Cubs’ at-bat during the bottom of that inning and
the one to follow is utterly fruitless. The Marlins win, 8–3.
Forget about the walk, the hits, the error. The fingers point in
one direction: Bartman. I prayed that the Cubs would win the
seventh and final game of the series, if only to spare him a life
that would likely be filled with grief and shame. If the Cubs
were to win the final game, Bartman would simply have been a
blip on the screen of history. He himself, of course, would never
forget the incident, but he would probably be able to continue
living in the Chicago area. If, on the other hand, the Cubs were
to lose the final game, that day would become one of infamy,
and he in turn would become one of the most loathed villains in
that city’s beleaguered history.
The next day was pitiful. Bartman (who had gone into hiding)
had issued an apology in a prepared statement delivered by his
brother-in-law that reads as follows: “I had my eyes glued on the
approaching ball the entire time and was so caught up in the
moment that I did not even see Moises Alou, much less that he
may have had a play,” he explained. “Had I thought for one
Copyright © 2009. Oxford University Press, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
second that the ball was playable or had I seen Alou approaching,
I would have done whatever I could to get out of the way and give
Alou a chance to make the catch.” Bartman was a youth baseball
coach, 26 years old. The night before, security guards had to
escort him from Wrigley Field. After that, police had to keep
watch over the suburban home he shared with his parents. “I am
so truly sorry from the bottom of this Cubs fan’s broken heart,”
the apology continued. “I ask that Cub fans everywhere redirect
the negative energy that has been vented toward my family, my
friends, and myself into the usual positive support for our beloved
team on their way to becoming National Champs.”
The Cubs lost again, 9–6, the following day, ending the series
and their hopes for a World Series berth that year. Bartman
Freeman, Mark. Hindsight : The Promise and Peril of Looking Backward, Oxford University Press,
Incorporated, 2009. ProQuest Ebook Central, http://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/nyulibrary-ebooks/detail.action?docID=472262.
Created from nyulibrary-ebooks on 2023-04-19 07:45:29.
Hindsight, Narrative, and Moral Life 19
stayed home for this one, with the police. Thousands of people,
including the governor of Illinois, blamed him for the role he
had played in the Cubs’ awful demise. Florida Governor Jeb
Bush offered him asylum. He was also offered a free three-
month stay at an ocean-front retreat in Pompano Beach.
Was Bartman really to be faulted for the Cubs’ demise? Yes,
apparently so. Sometimes the sheer force of history, pulsing
along in its maddeningly saccadic way, is simply unbearable.
There need to be causes, origins. Some fans would point to
mysterious forces. There’s a curse. It’s bad karma. It’s Destiny.
Mythical thinking is at work here: there is the need to ward off
the burden, even the terror, as the great historian of religion
Mircea Eliade (1954) has put it, of fate, time, history. There is
no room for accidents. Everything has a reason. Everything has
a meaning. There is a story that can, and must, be told.
“In the phenomenalism of the ‘inner world,’ ” Nietzsche
(1968 [1888]) writes, “we invert the chronological order of
cause and effect. The fundamental fact of ‘inner experience’ is
that the cause is imagined after the effect has taken place”
Copyright © 2009. Oxford University Press, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
Freeman, Mark. Hindsight : The Promise and Peril of Looking Backward, Oxford University Press,
Incorporated, 2009. ProQuest Ebook Central, http://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/nyulibrary-ebooks/detail.action?docID=472262.
Created from nyulibrary-ebooks on 2023-04-19 07:45:29.
20 Hindsight
for that one second? And how could I not have seen Alou
approaching? He, of course, is trying to plead innocence here:
I didn’t know. Yes, he might continue, now I see what I have
done. Should he really be blamed for getting caught up in the
moment? It is one of humanity’s defining features to do so.
There can be the ecstasy of the felt abolition of time as we
surrender ourselves to this or that spectacle, or act, or person—
the power of now. But there can also be the horror of having
become so thoroughly encased in the moment as to fail to
recognize, to see, what exactly one is doing. There will be a
delay, a postponement. Only later, after the moment has passed,
will seeing be possible. Oh, no. Look at what I’ve done! If
only . . . .
Freeman, Mark. Hindsight : The Promise and Peril of Looking Backward, Oxford University Press,
Incorporated, 2009. ProQuest Ebook Central, http://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/nyulibrary-ebooks/detail.action?docID=472262.
Created from nyulibrary-ebooks on 2023-04-19 07:45:29.
Hindsight, Narrative, and Moral Life 21
Freeman, Mark. Hindsight : The Promise and Peril of Looking Backward, Oxford University Press,
Incorporated, 2009. ProQuest Ebook Central, http://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/nyulibrary-ebooks/detail.action?docID=472262.
Created from nyulibrary-ebooks on 2023-04-19 07:45:29.
22 Hindsight
backward gaze of memory, with its desires and designs, and its
distance from the past-present of experience, can seem like a
gauzy veil, if not an outright source of bald-faced lies, uncon-
sciously crafted to reassure ourselves that our lives are mean-
ingful, coherent, good.
All this is potentially true of hindsight, and psychologists,
among many others, have been quick to point it out. In an article
entitled “Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the
outcomes are known” (1990), for instance, Scott Hawkins and
Reid Hastie speak of the projection of outcome knowledge onto
the past accompanied by a denial that this knowledge has influ-
enced judgment. They thus speak of “hindsight bias,” which is
“the tendency for people with outcome knowledge to believe
falsely that they would have predicted the reported outcome of an
event” (p. 311). They would have “known it all along,” or so they
say. “Once people know the outcome of an event,” Ralph
Hertwig, Carola Fanselow, and Ulrich Hoffrage (2003) add,
“they tend to overestimate what could have been anticipated in
foresight” (p. 357).1 Hindsight bias, the argument generally
Copyright © 2009. Oxford University Press, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
1
See also Fischoff, 1975; Hoffrage and Pohl, 2003.
2
See especially Schacter’s, 1995, edited volume; see also Schacter, 1996, 2001; Schacter and
Scarry, 2000.
Freeman, Mark. Hindsight : The Promise and Peril of Looking Backward, Oxford University Press,
Incorporated, 2009. ProQuest Ebook Central, http://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/nyulibrary-ebooks/detail.action?docID=472262.
Created from nyulibrary-ebooks on 2023-04-19 07:45:29.
Hindsight, Narrative, and Moral Life 23
Freeman, Mark. Hindsight : The Promise and Peril of Looking Backward, Oxford University Press,
Incorporated, 2009. ProQuest Ebook Central, http://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/nyulibrary-ebooks/detail.action?docID=472262.
Created from nyulibrary-ebooks on 2023-04-19 07:45:29.
24 Hindsight
Freeman, Mark. Hindsight : The Promise and Peril of Looking Backward, Oxford University Press,
Incorporated, 2009. ProQuest Ebook Central, http://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/nyulibrary-ebooks/detail.action?docID=472262.
Created from nyulibrary-ebooks on 2023-04-19 07:45:29.
Hindsight, Narrative, and Moral Life 25
Freeman, Mark. Hindsight : The Promise and Peril of Looking Backward, Oxford University Press,
Incorporated, 2009. ProQuest Ebook Central, http://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/nyulibrary-ebooks/detail.action?docID=472262.
Created from nyulibrary-ebooks on 2023-04-19 07:45:29.
26 Hindsight
with the former. This view is wrongheaded. And yet, there does
remain a notable gap between what we humans can know of
immediate experience, in the moment, and what we can see,
sometimes joyfully, sometimes painfully, in retrospect. As I
have argued in some recent work, in fact, human existence
may be characterized as involving a delay, or “postponement,”
of insight into its affairs.3 Realizations, narrative connections,
are made after-the-fact, when the dust has settled. The result, as
Tolstoy’s story shows with radiant and tragic clarity, is that we
are frequently late in our own understanding of things.
Hindsight, in turn, may be said to perform a kind of “rescue”
function: by taking up what could not, or would not, be seen in
the immediacy of the moment, it can rescue us from the
oblivion that so often characterizes the human condition. It
thus emerges as a fundamental tool for ethical and moral
recollection, taken here in the classical sense of “gathering
together” that which would otherwise be lost owing to our
pervasive tendency toward forgetfulness.
I do not mean to suggest that hindsight is pain-free or that it
Copyright © 2009. Oxford University Press, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
3
See especially Freeman, 2003a.
Freeman, Mark. Hindsight : The Promise and Peril of Looking Backward, Oxford University Press,
Incorporated, 2009. ProQuest Ebook Central, http://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/nyulibrary-ebooks/detail.action?docID=472262.
Created from nyulibrary-ebooks on 2023-04-19 07:45:29.
Hindsight, Narrative, and Moral Life 27
Freeman, Mark. Hindsight : The Promise and Peril of Looking Backward, Oxford University Press,
Incorporated, 2009. ProQuest Ebook Central, http://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/nyulibrary-ebooks/detail.action?docID=472262.
Created from nyulibrary-ebooks on 2023-04-19 07:45:29.
28 Hindsight
Freeman, Mark. Hindsight : The Promise and Peril of Looking Backward, Oxford University Press,
Incorporated, 2009. ProQuest Ebook Central, http://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/nyulibrary-ebooks/detail.action?docID=472262.
Created from nyulibrary-ebooks on 2023-04-19 07:45:29.
Hindsight, Narrative, and Moral Life 29
4
See also Freeman, 1998; Kearney, 2001.
Freeman, Mark. Hindsight : The Promise and Peril of Looking Backward, Oxford University Press,
Incorporated, 2009. ProQuest Ebook Central, http://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/nyulibrary-ebooks/detail.action?docID=472262.
Created from nyulibrary-ebooks on 2023-04-19 07:45:29.
30 Hindsight
5
Shweder & Bourne, 1984.
Freeman, Mark. Hindsight : The Promise and Peril of Looking Backward, Oxford University Press,
Incorporated, 2009. ProQuest Ebook Central, http://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/nyulibrary-ebooks/detail.action?docID=472262.
Created from nyulibrary-ebooks on 2023-04-19 07:45:29.
Hindsight, Narrative, and Moral Life 31
The man who takes the trouble to tell of himself knows that
the present differs from the past and that it will not be
repeated in the future; he has become more aware of differ-
ences than of similarities; given the constant change, given the
uncertainty of events and of men, he believes it a useful and
valuable thing to fix his own image so that he can be certain it
6
See Freeman & Brockmeier, 2001; also Vernant, 1995.
Freeman, Mark. Hindsight : The Promise and Peril of Looking Backward, Oxford University Press,
Incorporated, 2009. ProQuest Ebook Central, http://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/nyulibrary-ebooks/detail.action?docID=472262.
Created from nyulibrary-ebooks on 2023-04-19 07:45:29.
32 Hindsight
will not disappear like all things in this world. (Gusdorf, 1980,
p. 30)
7
Freeman & Brockmeier, 2001.
8
See Most, 1989.
Freeman, Mark. Hindsight : The Promise and Peril of Looking Backward, Oxford University Press,
Incorporated, 2009. ProQuest Ebook Central, http://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/nyulibrary-ebooks/detail.action?docID=472262.
Created from nyulibrary-ebooks on 2023-04-19 07:45:29.
Hindsight, Narrative, and Moral Life 33
Freeman, Mark. Hindsight : The Promise and Peril of Looking Backward, Oxford University Press,
Incorporated, 2009. ProQuest Ebook Central, http://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/nyulibrary-ebooks/detail.action?docID=472262.
Created from nyulibrary-ebooks on 2023-04-19 07:45:29.
34 Hindsight
Freeman, Mark. Hindsight : The Promise and Peril of Looking Backward, Oxford University Press,
Incorporated, 2009. ProQuest Ebook Central, http://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/nyulibrary-ebooks/detail.action?docID=472262.
Created from nyulibrary-ebooks on 2023-04-19 07:45:29.
Hindsight, Narrative, and Moral Life 35
Freeman, Mark. Hindsight : The Promise and Peril of Looking Backward, Oxford University Press,
Incorporated, 2009. ProQuest Ebook Central, http://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/nyulibrary-ebooks/detail.action?docID=472262.
Created from nyulibrary-ebooks on 2023-04-19 07:45:29.
36 Hindsight
Freeman, Mark. Hindsight : The Promise and Peril of Looking Backward, Oxford University Press,
Incorporated, 2009. ProQuest Ebook Central, http://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/nyulibrary-ebooks/detail.action?docID=472262.
Created from nyulibrary-ebooks on 2023-04-19 07:45:29.