Professional Documents
Culture Documents
India must have a Major reforms in pharma, Vijay Mallya loses UK BMW India CEO
mobile production, etc,
regionally-differentiated required if India is to High Court appeal, clock Rudratej Singh
Covid-19 strategy restrict Chinese FDI set for extradition passes away at 46
MUMBAI, TUESDAY, APRIL 21, 2020 FOLLOW US ON TWITTER & FACEBOOK. APP AVAILABLE ON APP STORE & PLAYSTORE WWW.FINANCIALEXPRESS.COM
Auto, phone, durable firms Centre steps in, sends teams to monitor
‘specially serious’ districts in four states
continue to remain shut Oppn-ruled Bengal, China protests India’s new FDI rules; Social distancing
Delay in local Maha and Rajasthan Kant says start-ups not to suffer is needed for a
on the list with MP;
clearances,
7 of 11 districts
FE BUREAU year, says
incomplete supply New Delhi, April 20 DIFFERENT
from Bengal, others STROKES Srinath Reddy
chain and closure TWO DAYSAFTERIndiatight-
of front-end sales are hotspots ened its foreign direct invest- ■ Kant says intention is not SARTHAK RAY
ment(FDI)policyforbordering to stop FDI but to do a bit New Delhi, April 20
key reasons for countries to curb“opportunis- of due diligence before nod
firms in a wait-and- DEEPTIMAN TIWARY & tic takeovers/acquisitions” of ■ FDI makes up for only
EVEN AS EVIDENCE grows
ABANTIKA GHOSH its firms hit hard by the pan- 30% of China's $8-billion that averylarge share of those
watch mode New Delhi, April 20 demic, China on Monday said investments in India; its FDI infected with Covid-19 could
the move violates the WTO’s only 0.5% of such inflows be asymptomatic and this, in
A DAY AFTER it directed principle of non-discrimina- into India since Apr 2000 turn, suggests India needs a
FE BUREAUS Kerala to rectify its lockdown tion and is against the general dramatic increase in its test-
Mumbai/Pune/New relaxations saying some of the trend of free trade. ing,Public Health Foundation
Delhi/Chennai/Hyderabad concessions diluted national However,in an interview to only FDI and is unlikely to of India (PHFI) president Sri-
/Kolkata, April 20 guidelines, the central govern- CNBC-TV18, Niti Aayog chief impactChineseinvestmentsin nath Reddyfeels this is not the
ment appeared to be on a colli- executiveAmitabhKantdown- Indian start-ups. solution; Reddyis also a mem-
THE GOVERNMENT MAY sion course with more states, playedthecriticism,sayingthe ber of the executive group of
have given a green signal for puttingunderstrainacommon government circular relates to Continued on Page 2 the International Steering
restarting some segments of exit strategy that the Prime Committee of WHO’s Covid-
industrial activity in a stag- Construction work starts at the Mankhurd flyover in Mumbai on Monday PRASHANT NADKAR Minister had urged states to 19 Solidarity trial.
gered manner from Monday help frame in the country’swar In an interview to this
byfollowing a set of listed pro- against Covid-19. newspaper (see interview,
tocols, but large sections of
We are still assessing We don't have any On Monday, the Centre Page 6), Reddy says social dis-
manufacturing industry,bar- whether we need to requirement to open our informed West Bengal,Maha- tancingwill need to be in force
ring the ones dealing in essen- restart operations. It automotive plant rashtra,Rajasthan — all ruled for a year if we are to mean-
tial commodities, are still in a makes little sense to immediately and none of by the Opposition — and ingfully combat the virus.
wait and watch mode. start without assessing our plants fall in relaxed Madhya Pradesh that lock- Reddy spoke of how it is
While some states like whether our vendors can zones. Our suppliers are down measures were being very difficult to catch asymp-
Delhi, Maharashtra, Tamil function or not. also in the red zone. routinely flouted in their dis- tomatics, unless individuals
Nadu, Karnataka and Telan- tricts, and was sending six get themselves tested on
—RC BHARGAVA, MARUTI SUZUKI —PAWAN GOENKA,
gana,have extended the lock- newly constituted Inter-Min- demand, or the public health
INDIA CHAIRMAN MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA MD
down and are yet to give the isterial Central Teams (IMCT) authorities organise testing in
necessary permissions to for on-the-spot assessment of a cluster.
operate, companies are also and Greater Noida), Tamil sion on restarting operations. our vendors can function or the situation there. Police out in a Kolkata fruit market to enforce curbs PARTHA PAUL
adopting a cautious approach Nadu (Sriperumbudur), and The reason is either some not.” Mahindra and Mahin- The IMCTs,which will sub- Continued on Page 2
and are not in a hurry to com- Maharashtra (Chakan-Tale- local permissions have still not dra, MD, Pawan Goenka told mit a report to the Centre,have
mence production.
Some, like in the auto sec-
gaon-Ranjangaon), will con-
tinue to be shut for some
comeorthesupplychainneeds
more time to get activated.
CNBC TV18, “We don't have
any requirement to open our
been authorised to issue nec-
essary directions to state
Kerala rolls back Govt braces for a second wave
tor or durables, don't see any more time as manufacturers Says Maruti Suzuki India automotive plant immedi- authorities for redressal. some relaxations in late May after lockdown eases
reason to begin operations like Maruti Suzuki India, chairman RC Bhargava, “We ately and none of our plants Headed by Additional Secre-
unless the full supply chain is Hyundai Motor India, Honda are still assessing whether we fall in relaxed zones.Our sup- tary rank officers from the THE KERALA GOVERNMENT ABANTIKA GHOSH is 7.5 days, up from the 3.4
able to function. Cars, Mahindra and Mahin- need to restart operations. It pliers are also in the red zone.” Centre,the IMCTswill start the onMondayrolledbackeasingof New Delhi, April 20 days before the lockdown.
As a result,the auto cluster dra, Bajaj Auto and Tata makes little sense to start inspection visits within three certain Covid-19-related curbs The Union government
in the NCR region (Gurgaon Motors, are yet to take a deci- without assessing whether Continued on Page 2 days of the order. in select zones, after the state EVEN AS THE Union govern- hopes that it will increase to
TMC-ruled West Bengal’s chief secretary received a letter ment is looking at various 10 days by the end of the
initial response was frosty, fromtheUnionhomeministry, options for“gradual”lifting of week, and 12 days by the first
● EMERGENCY RELIEF
VIRAL IMPACT questioning the deployment expressing concerns over the the lockdown post-May 3 and week of May.
exporters to continue amounted to dilution of the said the Centre is preparing end or early May, but after
COVID-19 UPDATE
Centre’slockdownguidelinesas
well as an observation of the
Supreme Court.
for a second wave in late
May or early June, as restric-
tions are eased in more parts
that, as we gradually start to
open up — the lockdown will
definitely not be lifted in one
New Delhi, April 20 Through the SEIS, the gov- SRINATH SRINIVASAN Report card Following this, the earlier of the country. go, only districts that qualify
ernment offers domestic Bengaluru, April 20 Revenue Net profit (` crore) 17,656 decision to allow barber shops On Monday, the health will see relaxations, that
THE GOVERNMENT WILL exporters duty credit scrips at Operating margin (%) Rhs TOTAL CASES and dine-in restaurants to ministry said the doubling too graded — there will be a
likely rethink its position and 5-7% of the net foreign IT MAJOR INFOSYS will delay reopen in non-hotspots has time — an epidemiological gradual increase (in cases),”
559
25,000 22.2
grant exporters benefits under exchange earned, depending taking on board new recruits 21.9 been withdrawn. metric of how long an infec- said a source.
23,267
23,092
the Service Exports From India on the nature ofservices.Trade andwilltemporarilyfreezehir- 20,000 21.9 tious disease takes for the
DEATHS SO FAR 1,540 NEWCASES
Scheme (SEIS) for some more analysts say the actual outgo ing, hikes and promotions in Detailed report on Page 2 number of cases to double — Continued on Page 2
time to help them tide overthe undertheSEIScouldbearound the wake of the disruption due 15,000 21.2 21.6
pandemic impact, an official `3,000-4,000 crore a year, to the global pandemic. “We
Maha allows 1.3 lakh cane cutters to return to their villages
10,000 21.3
4,457
4,321
source told FE. It may also use althoughlatestofficialdataare have no regrets in doing so. It
incentives under the scheme not available. willhelpuscomeoutofthecri- 5,000 21.0
to promote sectors like sisstronger,”NilanjanRoy,CFO, NANDA KASABE As per the Friday directive,as many as district,” according to the directive.
tourism, battered by coron- Continued on Page 2 said on Monday. 0 20.7 Pune, April 20 38 sugar mills which employed these The government has ordered sugar
Q3FY20 Q4FY20
Lastweek,TCS,thecountry’s % chg workers will give the authorities details factories to make arrangements to
biggestexporterofsoftwareser- (q-o-q) 20 bps 70 bps THE MAHARASHTRA GOVERNMENT suchasnativevillage,tehsilanddistrictof transport the sugarcane cutters. Facto-
vices, had said it would not has decided to allow over 1.3 lakh the labourers to facilitate the movement. ries are directed to have medical exami-
WTI crude falls 92% to retrenchanyemployeesthough
there would be no increments
gaugethefullimpactofthepan-
demic, near term margin pres-
migrant sugarcane workers to return to
theirnativevillages,afterpropermedical
These workers and their families have
beenlivinginthesheltersprovidedbythe
nations conducted to check for symp-
toms of pneumonia,cough and fever,in
$1.42, lowest on record thisyear.TheTCS management
said it would take on board the
sures across verticals and geo-
graphies could be expected.
examination to ensure that the move
won’t undermine the efforts to contain
millers for more than 14 days.“They will
have to undergo a medical check-up and
the absence of which, travel arrange-
ments are to be made for their return.
West Texas Intermediate 40,000 recruits. Salil Parekh, Covid-19. The sugar mills will arrange thelistsenttothecollectoroftheirpresent
crude fell 92.2% to $1.42 CEO, Infosys, observed that Continued on Page 2 andbeartheexpensesfortheirtransport. residenceandtothecollectorofthenative Continued on Page 2
a barrel on Monday, hit- while the company was yet to Full report on Page 4
ting the lowest on record
with its seventh consec-
utive decline and the BUNKER DOWN LOW-COST FUNDS
Wealthy Americans activate Odisha, Maha eye loans from
biggest fall on record.
Brent was down $1.50, or
5.3%, to $26.58 a barrel.
Economy
TUESDAY, APRIL 21, 2020
EXPERTVIEW
The unfortunate truth about jobs in almost every
economy in the world is that they are easily lost but
hard to win back. The more jobs that are lost today,
the slower will be the recovery.
— S&P Global Ratings
Govt gives blanket extension of timeline for QUANTUM BUILD-TECH LIMITED NOTICE
Companies
AMENDMENTTO FDI POLICY
Vipin Sondhi, MD & CEO, Ashok Leyland
41,434
CIL raises trigger level to 80%,coaxes EV industry logs 20% growth 84.8
ability to meet demand ‘Developers should be ashamed of creating slums’ has consistentlydelivered results over
theyears.Vinayak also has a deep
understanding of marketingopera-
❝
EVEREADYINDUSTRIES INDIAmaynotbe tions,” Fortis MD and CEOAshutosh
able to produce enough flashlights in time PRESS TRUST OF INDIA for the first time, the low-value structures come.“Howcanweexpectapersontolivein Raghuvanshi said in a statement.
forthenation’scrucialfarmingseasonasthe Mumbai, April 20 thatwehavebuiltincloseproximityarenow such an environment that we created for
lockdown to combat the coronavirus The big gain for developers theverycause of the spread of thevirus. low-costhousing?Wouldwebefairtowards Nafed despatches
impedesfactoriesandworkers.Almost40% NOTED INDUSTRIALIST RATAN Tata on comes from the high-value “Thepandemichasunderlinedtheprob- the occupants for the lifestyle and hygiene pulses for distribution
offlashlightsaleshappenbetweenApriland Monday lambasted developers and archi- lemthatslumscreateforeveryoneduetothe that is offered?”Tata asked the architects.
July, said Amritanshu Khaitan, MDof tects for treating slums as “residue”of the
housing that comes up in absence of enough fresh air, enough open Nearly5,000participantsacrossthesec- NAFED,THE NODAL agency of the
Eveready.That’s when crops are harvested city,which, according to him, is one of the the areas where the slum spaceandtheissuesofbeinguprootedfrom torparticipated in thewebinar. government for distributing 1 kg of
andsowed,andoneofthemostpopularuses reasons for the rapid spread of the deadly yourwork,”the82-year-oldindustryveteran Hewentontosaythat“ifweareproudof pulses to eligible households under
of the company’s products is on farms. Covid-19 pandemic in the megapolis.
once stood, and I think said.Initsendeavourtoprovidehousingfor what we do,then we should be ashamed of the Prime Minister Garib Kalyan
“If we are not able to manufacture just He also said the city builders should be what has happened in the all the government has been encouraging whatwehavedonetocitiesbecausewehave Yojana,has issued/despatched over
now, then to meet the flashlight demand ashamed of creating vertical slums across Covid issue is that for the developers to undertake more affordable triedtobuildanimagewewanttoprojectof 1.07 lakh tonne of pulses to the
going forwardwill be challenging,” Khaitan the cities. housing projects across the country along ourselves publicly and also try to hide the states for distribution.
said by phone. The Kolkata-based firm
claims to hold a majority share of the orga-
nized flashlights market. Its shares have
risenmorethan30%sinceMarch24,when
PM Modi announced the lockdown,versus
an18%advanceinthebenchmarkindex.As
“Affordablehousingandslumelimina-
tionaretwosurprisinglyconflictingissues.
We’re trying to remove slums from seem-
ingly unsuitable living conditions by relo-
cating them to other locations which are
20-30 miles away on one hand and on the
first time, the low-value
structures that we have
built in close proximity are
now the very cause of the
❝ with slum rehabilitation.
However, Mumbai continues to house
large slum dwellings with the Dharavi
slums,measuringjustabout2.4sqkmbeing
the largest and is home to an estimated 1
million of the 12 million denizens of the
rest andwe get offendedwhen people criti-
cise us for that”. He also emphasised that
thereshouldbeare-examinationofwhatwe
would consider as acceptable standard in
terms of forqualityof life.
“It seems to stop at the areas with the
Hyundai India donates
`7 crore to PM-Cares
HYUNDAI MOTORINDIA (HMIL)on
Mondaysaidit hada donated `7 crore
muchas60%ofthemarketinIndiaisunor- other where there are no jobs for the spread of the virus megapolis, which has become one of the slumsarebeingreplacedandIusetheword to the PM CARES Fund,extendingits
ganised and competes with Chinese goods, uprooted people. most infected areas of the city. againtheresidueistheslum.It’slikeputting supportto the citizens to overcome the
— RATAN TATA , INDUSTRIALIST
thoughthesealsomaybemissingcurrently. “Thehigh-valuehousingunitsthathave Dharavi, the largest informal economy the garbage together and calling it a com- Covid-19crisis.SS Kim,MD & CEO of
Khaitan said the supply chain is still come up at a place where the slum once ofthefinancialcapitalwithanestimated$1 munitypushing it 20-30 miles out making Hyundai MotorIndia,said,“Thecore
restricted due to the lockdown and it isn’t stoodmakestheslumsaresidueofdevelop- billion in annual GDP has come to a total itdifficulttosurvive.Soperhapsthereought values of ourfoundation inspire us to
easy to get approval from local authorities ment,” Tata rued at an online discussion fresh air,hygieneoropen space. standstillduetothelockdown.Dharaviisthe to be a revision in terms of the fact that we strive forthe betterment of society.
for the company’s dealers to travel and ser- organised byCorpgini. “Thebiggainfordeveloperscomesfrom largest slum clusterin entireAsia. aredealingwith,”hesaid.Tatasaidthiscom- Ourcontribution to the PM CARES Fu-
vice the market. Evereadyhasyet to receive Tata,who always wanted to be an archi- thehigh-valuehousingthatcomesupinthe With around 140 coronavirus cases munity wants to be a part of the new India nd stands testament to solidaritywe
permissions to operate as India eases some tect,said builders and architects have built areaswheretheslumstoodonceandIthink detectedintheslum,expertsarefearingthe and the architects and developers are holdwith the peopleof India,amidst
restrictionsfromMonday.—BLOOMBERG verticalslums,whichhaveneitheradequate whathashappenedintheCovidissueisthat numbers to rise significantly in the days to dogged bythat issue. this crisis.”
6 FINANCIAL EXPRESS WWW.FINANCIALEXPRESS.COM
Opinion
CENTRAL ROLE
❝
Chief minister of West Bengal, Mamata Banerjee
We welcome all constructive support & suggestions,
especially from the Central Govt in negating the
Covid-19 crisis. However, the basis on which Centre is
❝
proposing to deploy IMCTs ... is unclear
TUESDAY, APRIL 21, 2020
RationalExpectations INDIA SHOULD MOVE AHEAD WITH THE UNDETERRED RESOLVE OFADOPTING CONTEXT-DEFINED
● COVID-19 RESPONSE
AND REGIONALLY-DIFFERENTIATED STRATEGIES, UNDISTRACTED BY CRITICS
SUNIL
JAIN
sunil.jain@expressindia.com
@thesuniljain
Covid, critics
Making China-FDI and contradictions
restrictions work
E
VENAS INDIA is reviewing sons, mostly young, retested positive
ways to nuance the second after at least 14 days of follow-up
stage of the lockdown after discharge. False positive?
G
President, Public Health Foundation of India
IVENTHE FUROREoverthePeople’sBankofChina(PBC)buyinga1%stake from several experts and media com- Views are personal being hailed as India’s success story in
in HDFC Bank,it is just aswell that the government announced a policy“for mentators. How justified are they? epidemic control.Astriking contrast is
curbing opportunistic takeovers/acquisitions of Indian companies due to The often self-contradictory cri- offered by Belgium and Bolivia,which
thecurrent Covid-19 pandemic”.A1% stake in HDFC Bankvia the FPI route tiques harp on several themes: (1) Beyond this reining in of viral ease and diabetes weigh against us.If have the same population size.Bolivia
wouldn’tgivePBCanyleverage,butFPIrulesallowforthistoriseto10%.Combinedwith lockdown was unnecessary or transmission, there were several the large rural component of our pop- performed only2.4% of the numberof
thepossibilityofotherChineseentitiesbuying,thiscouldgivetheChinesegovernment unhelpful, as India was not at high other positives that bide well: public ulation is at less risk, there is also a tests performed by Belgium. Yet,
some serious leverage. Indeed,with even more Indian assets likely to be auctioned off risk or is at such a high risk that lock- health and health system capacity duty to provide protection from Bolivia has had only 31 Covid deaths
afterthepandemic,theCentrewouldbewaryofChineseentities—especiallygiventheir down will not help anyway; (2) India’s emerged as policy priorities, with unrestricted urban ingress that car- compared to 5,453 in Belgium at the
government/military link—picking up too many assets for a song.A recent Brookings weak health system will not be able to strong societal recognition of their ries the virus. last count. Clearly, many socio-demo-
India report (brook.gs/2RMFlBl) notes how Chinese firms are investing in all manner of handle the inevitable surge, so lock- value; domestic capacity is being It is also ironical that both who say graphic and climatic differences exist
areas from mobile phones and construction equipment to real estate and automobiles, down will achieve nothing; (3) only ramped up to reduce dependence on that India is at high risk and thosewho between the two countries.That iswhy
and increasingly,in startups.Over800 Chinese firms operate in India right now. extensive countrywide testing of external sources of supply for active opine that we are at low risk, fault us context becomes important in devel-
Adirect confrontationwith China is tough,but the press note on the changes was symptomatic and asymptomatic per- pharmaceutical ingredients,personal for ‘low testing rates’. oping predictive epi-
quite blunt when it said“an entity of a country,which shares land border with India sons will help,without specifying the protection equipment, testing kits, Testing is not the only demiological models or
orwhere the beneficial owner of an investment into India is situated in or is a citizen testing criteria or estimating the vaccines, and advanced medical arrow in the quiver of diagnostic tests. Fancy
Graduated step
of any such country, can invest only under the Government route”. In other words, resources needed; (4) there is nothing devices such as ventilators; citizen public health. Syn- decontextualised mod-
Chinese investment is welcome, but Indian government must approve each one you can do about it—so sit back and participation and social solidarity are dromic surveillance,and down from els—whether in fashion
through an FIPB process. leave it to herd immunity, without being fostered, best exemplified by hospital admissions are lockdown and or epidemiology—may
How long India can sustain this stance remains to be seen,especially if,as is always estimating how much time it will take Kerala; multi-sectoral administrative other sources ofvaluable continued social walk well on the ramp,
possible,the majorpowers decide not to punish China forits role in the pandemic,and and at what cost of human life. coordination has moved from being information to gauge but don't wearwell in the
There is no doubt that a rigorous an aspirational, but, elusive chimera the spread of the epi-
distancing will be real world.
the possibilitythat theviruswas man-made.Right now,the US seems to be readying to
betough,butitisunclearhowthiswillplayout.IndiahasallowedHuaweitoconductits lockdown carries social and economic to a cohesive operational reality; pri- demic.Testing has logis- needed to achieve a Countrywide herd
5G trials despite US opposition to the Chinese player. But, in the past too, India back- costs for individuals and communi- vate sector participation from both tic constraints of kits, safe path to herd immunity will take a
pedalledafter,atonetime,hintingthatthefirm’sactivitieswerelinkedtoChineseintel- ties. The impact on migrant workers, its health and non-health compo- labs and personnel, immunity or vaccine long while to develop. It
ligencework.And,whenIndiansuppliersprotestedtheimportofChinesepowerequip- and the urban poor in informal occu- nents was energised for providing which are being over- has to happen through
mentfundedbyveryliberalsuppliers’creditseveralyearsago,thegovernmentchoseto pations is particularly distressing. It medical and social services; an amaz- come.Even so,ICMR has protection, both streamlined exposure to
ignore this.Dongfang Electric,one of China’s big power companies,Brookings reports, would have been best to assist the ingly smooth Centre-state consen- reported that only 1 in over a year away avoid an initial explo-
has signed deals forinstalling 28,000 MWworth of power migrant workers to return home, as sus-building process and a pleasing 24 tests has yielded a sion of cases that will
generatorsandplanstobuilditsfirstproductionfacilityin they were very unlikely to have been switch of warring political parties positive result.The huge overwhelm the health
India,with a $2 bn investment plan overfiveyears. India has removed virus carriers due to the low probabil- from acerbic attacks to expressions of resource needs of case system. Wang Xinghuan,
WhetherIndiacansticktoitscurrentpositionwillprob- restrictions on ity of their occupations or dwellings a united national resolve boosted detection,through testing as the prin- head of Wuhan’s Zhongnan hospital,
ably also be influenced by China’s ability to stir trouble at bringing them in proximity to the public confidence. cipal approach, must be realistically says that herd immunity is a long way
theborder.And,whatifChinaoffersconcessionslikegreater
China in the past as returning foreign travellers or their Advocates of a nihilistic approach estimated before raising the chant of off in China, judging from the low
market access for Indian firms, or some of its big mobile well; any anti- contacts. The urban poor too, could do not see the obvious contradiction ‘widespread testing’ to a high pitch. levels of antibodies in the general
phonemakersoffertomovemoreproductiontoIndia,orif China-FDI policy have been supported in a more between simultaneously saying that Enthusiastic advocates of testing population.It is self-contradictory to
Indianfirmslobbythegovernmentforliberaltreatmentof must be calibrated. humane way. India is at low risk and predicting that also do not recognise the extent of advocate a passive path to herd
low-cost Chinese firmswith generous suppliers’credit? However, these lapses do not we cannot escape the disastrous false positives and false negatives immunity while doubting our health
ItisdifficulttogetafixonChineseinvestmentinIndia, And nothing can negate the logic of the lockdown. It surge because of a weak health sys- that diagnostic tests carry in differ- system’s capacity to handle a surge.
sincealotcouldbecomingviaSingapore,orthroughfunds work till India fixes yielded benefits in applying the tem. They fail to recognise that the ent population groups with varied Even a herd should not be stampeded
whereacertainbeneficialinterestcouldbeChinese;Sebiis its policies to give brakes on viral dissemination: it did lockdown period offered time to bet- prior probabilities of exposure or dis- by waving the branding iron of
supposed to be probing this.India’s official data showthat its own firms a level reduce the rate of rise of positive ter organise and scale up the capacity ease. This is a Bayesian reality that immunity. Graduated step down
just 1.5-2% of FDI has come in from China and Hong cases as a fraction of tests performed; of our health and social systems to affects population-wide testing. from lockdown and continued social
Kong—$800mnofthetotal$45bnoffreshequityflowsin playing field there was no sharp surge in hospital meet a possible surge. With OECD South Korea has recently reported distancing will be needed to achieve
FY19, and $6.5 bn of the $456 bn that has come in since admissions for severe acute respira- countries overwhelmed and mod- 190 cases which first tested positive, a safe path to herd immunity or vac-
April2000.ArecentpaperbyGatewayHouse(bit.ly/2ywFwK1) tory infections (SARI); in areas where ellers predicting over a million Indian later twice tested negative and then cine protection,both over a year away.
estimatesChinahasinvested$4bninIndiantechstartups,resultingin18ofIndia’stop household syndromic surveillance deaths,a do-nothing approach would again tested positive! The scientists In the meanwhile,India should move
30unicorns having Chinese funding.Inaddition,Chinese smartphonemanufacturers for ‘influenza-like illness’ (ILI) was have been indefensible. If the there are unable to say whether these ahead with the undeterred resolve of
alreadyhaveatwo-thirdsshareofIndia’smobilephonemarket.In2018,GatewayHouse carried out,no red flags were raised to younger age of the population is in are ‘reinfections’, ‘reactivated infec- adopting context defined and region-
says, around half of the total app downloads on—iOS and Google—in India were apps indicate a deluge; the rate of rise of our favour, the high numbers and tions’ or ‘false positives’ in the first ally differentiated strategies, undis-
with Chinese investments,such as SHAREit,TikTok,and UC Browser. deaths was nowhere close to that pre- early onset of risk enhancing co-mor- place. A recent publication from tracted by the carping of both nihilis-
The Brookings paper,quoting the Chinese commerce ministry,puts the numberat dicted by alarmist models. bidities like hypertension, heart dis- China reported that 14.5% of per- tic and alarmist critics.
$6.4 bn in 2014-2017 (this includes Fosun’s $1.1 bn to buy Gland Pharma),and says
thisisanunderestimate.ThebiginvestmentsthatcometomindareAlibaba’s$860mn
inPaytm,and$500mninSnapdeal,alongwithSoftBankandFoxconn;Tencent’s$400
mn in Ola,$700 mn in Flipkart,$175 mn in Hike Messenger,and $145 mn in Practo.
While Gateway House quotes a study that shows Chinese apps ask for 45% more
LETTERS TO
permissions—accesstocontacts,cameras,microphones,etc—thanthoserequestedby
thetop50globalapps,thisishardlyrelevantsincenoneofthesefirmsarebasedoutof
India.TherealissueiswhetherChineseinvestorsareinsistingthe firmsshare thedata
gathered with them; perhaps,that is something the authorities need to examine.
Now for the fishing rod THE EDITOR
If India is to bemorevigilantwith Chineseinvestors,it must carve out no-go areas; Preventing predatory
without such rules, it will be impossible to ever clear Chinese investments in the To ensure that those at the
take overs
startupworld,whichrequiresquickdecisionsonfunding.FutureChineseinvestment,
forinstance,canbekeptoutofthefintechspacebecauseitinteractswithIndia’sbank-
bottom of the economic MANECK The move by the Union
pyramid have sustenance,
ing system,out of biotech,defence (including drones),telecom (networks,not equip-
ment), and such select areas, but may be allowed in the taxi business, in retail, food immediate and significant aid
DAVAR government as part of a change in
its foreign direct investment (FDI)
delivery,entertainment,etc. policy to make its approval
Chairman, Services Export Promotion
Morethanthat,sinceChinaisoneofthefewcountriesthathavethemoneytoinvest must be provided to businesses Council. Views are personal mandatory for foreign investments
rightnow,ifIndia’sstartupsaren’ttobestarvedoffunds,asMohandasPaiandSiddarth from countries sharing land border
Paihavearguedinthisnewspaper,thegovernmentwillhavetoensureIndianinvestors with India, has come at a time
getalevelplayingfieldversusglobalonesintermsoftaxtreatment,andothersuchfacil- WHILE GOVERNMENTS AT the Cen- and jewellery.There is an opportunity banks charged interest on interest when apprehensions are being
ities (bit.ly/3eaCpYB). Indeed, till the operating environment in India gets less hostile, tre and the states have been exem- to fill a vacuum created by trust issues during the moratorium period. Fur- raised by many over the growing
more startups will be incorporated in countries like Singapore; then, India can’t even plaryin the adoption and execution of with, and sentiment against, China. ther, there were no instructions to tendency of Chinese firms
hope to keep a check on Chinese investing in these firms. strategies to contain Covid-19, espe- But, most of these sectors are labour- banks to pass on the benefits to con- showing conspicuous willingness
Atamacrolevel,ifIndiawantstokeepChineseinvestmentatnon-threateninglev- cially in a country as difficult and intensive, with thin margins. The sig- sumers by compulsorily effecting a and interest to buy huge stakes in
els, it needs sweeping reforms.Apart from the obvious reforms to make India more diverse as India,the lack of any coher- nal they emit is clear—without an 2% rate cut on interest. Similarly, a Indian entities in these pressing
competitive,and fixing the government’s anti-industry bias (bit.ly/2Kl3M4I),policy- ent plan and packages to resuscitate infusion of serious cash,it is a question suggestion made by the author, and times of Covid-19 pandemic.
makinghastobecomealotmorecoherent.Youcan’t,forinstance,hopetoattractIndian businesses and industry in its after- of survival. And, exports are a micro- also by others, of speedy release of IT While the change in FDI policy, it is
fintechplayerswhile,atthesametime,abolishingMDRcommissionsthesecompanies math is distinctly worrying. As finely cosm of the industry at large. and GST refunds was implemented aimed at curbing opportunistic
live off.If price controls continue to hobble domestic pharmaceutical firms,theywill attuned as it has been to the conse- The underlying message is that only for the former upto `5 lakh, a take overs and acquisitions of
havenowheretoturntobuttolow-costChineseAPI,andifyoukeepsqueezingtelecom quences of Covid-19,and its spread,if businesses will be shuttered if help is mere band-aid for businesses. Indian companies due to the
players,or don’t allow electricity boards and power producers to get paid adequately, unchecked, the government’s piece- not at hand. A report estimated that Most countries have come out current Covid-19 pandemic, the
they, too,will turn to low-cost Chinese suppliers.The only way to keep Chinese firms meal approach to subsequent eco- 70% of those employed with huge economic message is loud and clear that
from developing a chokehold here is to allow local firms,as well as those from the US, nomic rehabilitation does not inspire in the travel and tourism packages as percentages there is no separating commerce
Europe,andJapanto dowell;India’scurrentpolicies,itsohappens,aretailor-madefor confidence for the future. sector, including avia- One grapples with of their GDP, offering and security in dealing with China.
mainlyChinese firms to do well. And, it is a future fraught with tion,and food and bever- uncertainties of a crucial support, espe- HDFC bank had recently informed
human tragedy,which,if not immedi- age,will be on the streets. cially to the MSME sec- that stock exchanges that
ately attended to, will result in In the US, unemploy- future without tor. It is time we also People's Bank of China now holds
A
TATIMEWHEN a balance between the need forCovid-19 lockdowns and the Union commerce minister, Piyush fail, government diktats is not permanent period with 2% interest. faulted. Apart from seeking
impactthesewillhaveontheeconomyisneeded,thegovernmentreversingits Goyal, and the commerce ministry not to fire employees will There is another accountability from China for
April 15 notification that allowed e-commerce companies to resume sale of have had a series of digital exchanges be empty rhetoric. human dimension we letting health emergency in one of
non-essential items seems to have little to dowith the public health aspect of about the problems faced byexporters, The steps taken, though well- have not considered aswe grapplewith its cities to become a global
allowingonlyessentialservices.ItcomesagainstthebackgroundoftheConfederationof and foreign exchange earners. The meaning, have had little impact. It is thetangiblesofcontainment.Thisisthe pandemic, many countries are
All IndiaTraders (CAIT) having petitionedvarious central ministries,including MHA,to action taken within the ministry has humane to provide immediate suste- hugepsychologicalproblemcreatedby now rethinking their very nature of
bar the sale of non-essential items by e-retailers to ensure parity with non-essential been literally lightning quick, with nance to the bottom of the pyramid, being cooped up at home. With little commercial engagement with
(chieflyelectronicgoods)brick-and-mortarretailersthatremainsubjecttothelockdown. solutions and coordination being but what good is it to feed someone productive activity, the mind grapples China. As far as India is concerned,
The home ministryhad allowed listed e-commerce companies to operate fromApril effective even before the meeting was fish forone day,yet take awaythe fish- with uncertainties of a future without we need to frame a very
20,withtheconditionthattheir“vehicles...willbeallowedtoplywithnecessarypermis- over. While this serves to ease bottle- ing rod, using which, they can feed employment and earnings, and the comprehensive strategy to deal
sions.”Thiswasinterpretedtomeanfullrangeofservicesprovidedbye-tailers.However, necks, the core issue of liquidity themselves for a long time? consequentresponsibilitiesofafamily. with rising China's strategic
commerce ministerPiyush Goyal justified the limiting of this to essential goods onlyin remains unsolved. India’s merchan- RBI’s initial announcement of a Thepsychehasbeendamaged,andonly economic onslaught sooner
theinterestofalevel playingfieldforbrick-and-mortar.Competitionregulatorsaround dise exports are largely powered by moratorium and repo rate cuts gave bold fiscal measures will ensure this than later.
the world are having to prioritise supply-chains remaining functional.The crisis is not SMEs, especially, in sectors such as the appearance of some succour,espe- damage is not permanent. — M Jeyaram, Sholavandan
the time to playup the digitalversus brick-and-mortardivide.The decision leaves many apparel, leather, textiles, carpets, cially to the salaried class with EMI The battle against the virus will be
goods that could facilitate remoteworkingwith no link at the retail end. handicrafts, sports goods, and gems burdens, only to be dashed when won.Now,for the war for our future. ●Write to us at feletters@expressindia.com
R.N.I. Reg. No. 6188/61 Printed for the proprietors, The Indian Express (P) Ltd by Vaidehi Chintaman Thakar at The Indian Express (P) Ltd Press, Plot No. EL-208, TTC Industrial Area, Mahape, Navi Mumbai-400 710 and published from Express Towers, Nariman Point, Mumbai-400 021. Editorial & Administrative Offices: Express Towers, Nariman Point, Mumbai-400 021. Phone: 22022627/67440000. Fax: 022-22856323.
Chairman of the Board: Viveck Goenka, Managing Editor: Sunil Jain, Resident Editor: Malini Bhupta* (*Responsible for selection of news under PRB Act) © Copyright: The Indian Express (P) Ltd. All rights reserved. Reproduction in any manner, electronic or otherwise, in whole or in part, without prior written permission is prohibited. The Financial Express®
WWW.FINANCIALEXPRESS.COM TUESDAY, APRIL 21, 2020
No love for
thy neighbour
VAIBHAV KAKKAR
& SAHIL ARORA
Kakkar is partner and Arora is senior associate, L&L Partners (formerly
Luthra & Luthra Law Offices). Views are personal
A
GOVERNMENT THAT HAD made it a habit to
announce big-bang reforms to attract foreign
investors,onApril 17 took what could go down
as its boldest foreign policydecision.Byissuing
Press Note 3 of 2020, it has made all FDI from
countries sharing a‘land border’with India subject to prior
government approval.Previously,apart from investment in
select sectors,the requirement forpriorapproval arose only
forinvestments originating from Pakistan and Bangladesh.
While the intent to prevent ‘opportunistic’ investment
from Chinese sources in domestic market is clear,the move
raises manyquestions.The Press Notewill become effective
ILLUSTRATION: ROHNIT PHORE
once a formal amendment is made to the rules underFEMA.
What provoked the government?
HR investininvestment-gradepaperislikely
to limit access to small NBFCs and MFIs
protect banks against slippages after the
moratorium,theywill have to make 10% TheSensexreporteditssharpestfallinthepreviousquar-
KHAN who may not be of investment grade.
Likewise, the special refinance win-
provision for such accounts. This may
nullify some of the forbearance benefits
ter.Of the 538 stocks from BSE 500 and Nifty 500,114 saw
their price halved, with 221 stocks having fallen 30-50%.
The author is retired deputy governor, Reserve dowof Rs 50,000 crore at the repo rate to and impact the profitability of banks. The government appears to have been spooked by the Peo-
Bank of India. Views are personal all-India financial institutions like However, this will provide resilience to ple’s Bank of China raising its stake in India’s largest non-
NABARD,SIDBI and NHB to support flow banks in case the accounts eventually banking mortgage provider HDFC and amid warning calls
ofcredittocriticalsectorslikeagriculture become NPAs. byMSMEstopreventa‘shoppingspree’byChineseinvestors
● PANDEMIC PACKAGE 2.0 and rural development, SMEs and
HFCs/MFIs is a welcome step.
Measures such as the freeze on divi-
dend payouts from profits for financial
of heavily discounted Indian companies.
India is not alone.Withvaluations theworld overhit and
Steering the
The objective behind further reduc- year 2019-20, subject to review at the in an attempt to prevent predatory behaviour by Chinese
tion in the reverse repo rate is to incen- end of the second quarter, reduction in firms,Australia,Spain and Germanytightened rules around
tivise banksto deploytheirsurplusfunds the liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) from foreign takeover,without specifically singling out China.
for credit rather than place them with 100% to 80%,and extension in the date The language in the Press Note covers onlyFDI from Chi-
RBI. Given the current phase of extreme of commencement of commercial oper- nese sources and doesn’t impose restrictions on FPI from
country out
uncertaintyand risk-aversion,partlydue ations (DCCO) for NBFCs with exposure China—i.e. once the FEMA notification is issued, invest-
to lingering fears of vigilance and to real estate by a year should also ease ments in unlisted companies and investments in excess of
enforcementaction,it ispossiblethesur- the pressure on banks/NBFCs. 10% in listed Indian companies would require prior gov-
plus may be diverted to government ernment approval,but FPI (investment of less than 10% in
securities(bothCentre and states),whose Going forward listed Indian companies) is not impacted by the Press Note.
of the storm
issuances will go up sharply in view of Given the current uncertainty, an
higher expenditure in times of com- additional period of 90 days, over and Question of beneficial ownership
pressed revenue collections. above the existing norm of 210 days pre- Apart from entities registered in China and Chinese cit-
IncreasingtheWMA(waysandmeans scribed for having a resolution plan for izens,the Press Note covers investment from entitieswhich
advances)limitsofstatesbyanother30% resolution of large stressed accounts,has are‘beneficiallyowned’bysuch Chinese entities orcitizens.
in the first half of 2020-21 mayalso help been allowed.Going forward,the frame- However,it has not clarified the mannerinwhich‘beneficial
in sale of SDLs as these need not be work may require a closer review. More ownership’ would be determined. Given that most large
Covid-19 has dramatically changed India’s bunched up in the first half radical measures including funds may be substantially funded by or controlled by Chi-
growth-inflation dynamics. RBI must further of the year. Perhaps more avariantof‘badbanks’/UTI neseentitiesorcitizens,yet notmajorityowned bythem,the
substantive,out-of-the-box bailout fund like structures rules to determine‘beneficial ownership’would be crucial.
expand the depth and breadth of the measures measures would have to be More radical may have to be considered
considered down the line. measures including as the gross NPAs of banks Special Administrative Regions (SARs) of China
taken so far. It has to keep the powder dry to These could include further are expected to rise from In the past, when the government prohibited Chinese
a variant of ‘bad
resort to more ‘never say never’ measures, and enhancement of temporary about 10% now to any- investorsfromacquiringimmovablepropertyinIndiawith-
loan limits by way of SDF banks’/UTI bailout where between 15% and out priorapproval from RBI,theyalso specificallycalled out
some in collaboration with the government (special drawing facility) to fund-like structures 20% of the total advances. Hong Kong and Macau within such restrictions, owing to
states against their Sinking may have to be This,togetherwithahostof them being SARs. However, the Press Note currently places
and Guarantee Funds unfinished reform mea- these restrictions only on China, and it remains to be seen
maintained with RBI,
considered as gross sures, will be necessary to whether Chinese SARs will be painted with the same brush.
OMOs in SDLs,central gov- NPAs of banks are support credit growth
ernment borrowing on expected to rise needed for rebuilding the Worry for existing Chinese investors
T
behalf of states, more fre- from 10% now to economy. The FEMA notification would likely be prospective in
HE SLEW OF monetary and experience severe stress as the impact of quent OMOs matching the RBI must further nature. So, existing investments from China (like Alibaba’s
regulatory measures the GVC unfolds on its asset quality,even lumpy borrowings by the
15-20% of total expand the depth and and Tencent’s investments in e-commerce firms) would be
announced by the Reserve though many of the liquidity-enhance- central government, fur- advances breadth of the measures grandfathered and should require no post facto approval.
BankofIndia(RBI),wellbefore ment measures including the reduction ther regulatory relaxations taken so far.Importantly,it However, given that most Indian companies are in need of
the much-awaited govern- in cash reserve ratio (CRR), long-term to banks holding govern- has to keep the powder dry fund-raising,thegovernmentwouldneed toclarifywhether
ment’s follow-on fiscal stimulus pro- repo operations (LTRO) and targeted ment bonds, resource mobilisation out- to resort to more ‘never say never’ mea- a rights issue, wherein Chinese investors only acquire pro
gramme, underscores the resolve of the LTRO will have a positive impact. side market borrowingsthrough tax-free sures,and some in collaborationwith the ratashareholdinganddon’tincreasetheirpercentageshare-
centralbanktoproactivelyrespondtothe bondsand,finally,themotherofallinter- government—for example, higher guar- holding in a company,would also require prior approval?
evolvingGreatVirusCrisis(GVC)through Instruments and incentives for ventions—private placement of part of anteecoverage/first losssupport forSME
both conventional and unconventional liquidity and credit flows government’s bond issuances with RBI, loans,repo in corporate bondswith safe- What next?
measures. RBI’s package of March 27, 2020, i.e.monetisation. guards and,finally,dipping into its large While the government would term the move as an act of
largely bypassed the critical segments of buffers held as cushion against ‘rainy self-defenceandonethatfollowsglobalpattern,thispre-emp-
Assessment and advisory of the SMEs,NBFCs,smallerplayers and MFIs— Regulatory relaxations with days’ of severe financial stability risks in tiveeconomicstrikewouldimpactforeigninvestmentinflows
central bank hence the announcement of TLTRO 2.0 prudential safeguards RBI’seconomiccapitalpool.Thiswaspre- and could follow a Chinese retribution against Indian com-
Covid-19 has dramatically changed (Rs 50,000 crore), which is expected to The majorregulatoryrelief allowed to sciently recognised by the expert com- panies with investments in China. However, in times of a
India’s growth-inflation dynamics. The alleviate the liquiditywoes of NBFCs and banks/borrowers is that the moratorium mittee set up last year to look at the Eco- global pandemic, one can hardly cast a shadow on the gov-
International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) MFIs that are likely to face severe con- will be deemed as a standstill period. nomic Capital Framework of RBI under ernment’smotive.Asthecountrybracesforthefalloutofthis
projections show India’s GDP growth in straints in servicing loan and bond oblig- Hence, overdue accounts that have not the chairmanship of former Governor decision, it is imperative for the government’s bold move to
2020-21 at 1.9%, the highest among ations.In orderto ensure betteraccess to yet become NPAs (as overdue has not Bimal Jalan. One remains sanguine as beimmediatelyfollowedbyacomprehensiveFEMAnotifica-
G20nations,evenasinflationisexpected smaller entities,50% of the TLTRO kitty reached90daysas onFebruary29,2020) Governor Shaktikanta Das has unequiv- tionandSEBIclarificationthataddressestheaboveconcerns.
to edge down; this is scant comfort. is to go to small and mid-sized entities. will not turn NPAs during the morato- ocallycommittedtodo‘whateverittakes’
The banking sectorwill,undoubtedly, However, the caveat that banks must rium period.As a prudential measure to to steer the country out of the storm.
International
TURBULENTTIMES
❝
Kristalina Georgieva, IMF managing director
The countries that are now worst hit by the
pandemic are not necessarily the ones that will be
worst hit economically. I am most worried about
❝
the developing and emerging countries
TUESDAY, APRIL 21, 2020
Quick In Russia, a black market for Treasurer Josh Frydenberg said Mon-
day that negotiations between the tech
had already announced investments to
support news organisations struggling
View
giants and traditional media platforms with declining advertising revenue.
HIV drug to try on corona had made limited progress toward reach-
ingavoluntaryarrangementandthecom-
petition watchdog would unveil a draft
Australia’s government has pledged
to tackle the “power imbalance”
“Webelievethatstronginnovationand
more transparency around the distribu-
tion of news content is critical to building
code by the end of July. between the digital giants and a sustainable news ecosystem,” Will Eas-
Australia’s government has pledged to ton,Facebook’smanagingdirectorforAus-
Coronavirus takes tackle the“powerimbalance”between the traditional media, adding to a tralia and New Zealand, said in a state-
barrage of global action against
toll on global M&A digital giants and traditional media,
addingtoabarrageofglobalactionagainst Google and Facebook
ment.“We’ve invested millions of dollars
locally to support Australian publishers
FORTHE FIRSTtime since September Google and Facebook. through content arrangements, partner-
2004,no mergerand acquisition deal Regulatorsworldwidehavebeentrying ships and training for the industry and
worth more than $1 billionwas to loosen the tech giants’ grip on every- Frydenberg said the government was hope the code will protect the interests of
announcedworldwide lastweek, thingfromadvertisingandsearchengines “veryconscious of the challenges”of forc- millions of Australians and small busi-
according to dataproviderRefinitiv,as to news,data and elections. ingthecompaniestopayfornewscontent, nesses that use our services every day.”
thevirus stiflesglobal M&A.
Subscriptions fell by 3.98 million in siasm for 900 roubles ($12) a box,” one THE WORLD’S BIGGEST sovereign
the three months ended March,the ABLACK MARKEThasdevelopedinRussia online trader of HIV drugs said. BLOOMBERG wealth fund faces serious questions over
state-owned carrier said in a foran antiviral HIVdrug explored as a pos- “Now, anticipating (supply) interrup- April 20 theconductof itsoutgoingchief executive
statement Monday.Net income fell sible treatment for Covid-19, the respira- tions,people are buying between 100 and and the selection process of his successor
0.8% to $3.3 billion. torydiseasecausedbythenewcoronavirus, 700 boxes from us,at 3,800 roubles a box. DUPONTSECURED $3 BILLIONinfinanc- amid a scandal involving a luxuryjet and a
according to sellers, HIV activists and the Mainly, people are buying (Kaletra) with ing to help it ride out the coronavirus that private performance by Sting.
Facebook eyes entry into head of the drug’s main Russian producer. the aim of reselling it foraveryhigh price.” has decimated demand in the automotive CEO Yngve Slyngstad has had to
More than 20 trials around the world Resellers can get 7,000-8,000 roubles industryandotherendmarkets.Themaker explain why he accepted a flight paid for
payments in Indonesia are testing Kaletra as a COVID-19 treat- per box,the trader said - and that frenzyis ofmaterialsusedincarinteriorsandhead- by Nicolai Tangen, the hedge-fund man-
THREE INDONESIAN DIGITAL ment or post-exposure prophylaxis. worrying some HIV-positive people. lampssecuredanewrevolvingcreditfacil- agerwhowaseventuallytappedtosucceed CEO Yngve Slyngstad
fintech firms are working with Russia’sHealthMinistryrecommended The number of new coronavirus cases ityvaluedat$1billionandarranged$2bil- him.The development has nowprompted
Facebook Inc to apply for regulatory it as a possible treatment for Covid-19 at in Russia began rising sharplythis month, lion in financing to meet debt maturing in Norwegian authorities to look into con- Norges Bank’s activities,” the head of the
approval to launch mobile payments theendofJanuaryafterreportsfromChina and on Monday it reported a daily rise of November.It is also delaying some invest- vening an emergencymeeting to examine Supervisory Council,Julie Brodtkorb,said
in the country, an official at the that it was beneficial, but later added that 4,268 cases,bringing the nationwide tally ment and idling several plants after the more closely the circumstances under in a text message on Monday.
financial regulator said.The plan, if its efficacywas uncertain. to 47,121. virus outbreak brought swaths of the car which Tangen was selected. The revelations have stunned Norwe-
approved, could be among the first That did not deter speculators who bet Kaletra,aswithmanyotherprescription- industryto a standstill. The watchdog of Norway’s central gians and created the appearance of scan-
such service under the firm’s unified thatshortagesofthedrug,alsoproducedas onlyHIVtreatmentsinRussia,ispurchased “Asthispandemicexpandsglobally,the bank,which oversees the $1 trillion fund, dal around one of the country’s most
payment service Facebook Pay it a generic in Russia under the name Kali- in bulk by the government and distributed uncertainty around demand in select end willtrytofindoutwhethertheevents“rep- revered institutions. Tangen’s appoint-
unveiled in November. davir,mightariseasthecoronavirusspread. to registered HIVpatients forfree. markets continues,”CEO Ed Breen said. resent a breach of regulations applying to ment had already raised questions.
SELECTIONS FROM
judge linked to pis has challenged the EUROPE problem stems from pis’s changes to the
order in Poland’s constitutional court, EPIDEMOCRACY courts. Besides the disciplinary chamber
which is currently dominated by govern- that the ecj ordered to be suspended, the
ment-friendly judges. But that court has
no authorityin the case: the ecj is the final
arbiter of EU law. Its orders “cannot be
A postal vote in Poland government established a chamber of
“extraordinary control” whose duties
include certifying elections.Critics charge
Personal Finance
TUESDAY, APRIL 21, 2020
❝
ON STOCKS
Ajit Mishra, VP, Research, Religare Broking
As earnings season progresses, stock specific
movement would remain high. Continue with a
cautious approach and prefer hedged bets.
❝
● EQUITY INVESTMENTS ● TAX TALK
Investment
Investing in high-quality
Review your portfolio
We have seen in the past that some
overthepastfewweeksandoncetheseval-
ues bounce back, the returns will look
tips for those
companies and proven MF
schemes always pays in the
businesses bounce back quickly after the
shock. Investors should focus on quality
companies; and should not shyawayfrom
more respectable. Investors who have
beingdoingSIPforthelasttwoyears,three
years, five years and in some cases even
opting for new
long term and these would booking losses in fundamentally weak
companies. Companies with a strong bal-
seven years have seen negative or single
digit returns now.
tax regime
be the first to recover ance sheet (cash, low debt), steady and However, investors should not judge
robust business models, businesses with the outcome of their SIP investments THE NATIONWIDE LOCKDOWN over the
low competitive intensity and most when markets have deeply corrected.The Covid-19 pandemic shouldn’t ideally dis-
DEEPAK JASANI important, good corporate governance SIPreturns (XIRR)are subjecttoend-point tract you from the fact that we are in April
will be able to weather the storm better bias,wherein all the investmentsyou have that also marks the beginning of the new
THE FEAR GAUGE in the Indian equity than otherswhich maytake a long time to made during your SIP tenure is assumed Financial Year2020-21.In fact,you should
market has moved up significantly amid recover or have to shut shop. Revisiting to have redeemed at such dirty cheap utilisethistimetoplanyourtax-savingmea-
concerns about the impact of the coron- and reviewing your portfolio is utmost low levels and thus the return picture suresforthecurrentfinancialyear.Thefirst
avirus outbreak.The domestic stock mar- importance in such times. would be gloomy. Taking investment thing you need to finalise is the tax system
kethasseenadeepcorrectionrecently.The Likewise,mutualfundinvestorsshould action based on such returnswould not be you should follow: the old one with higher
wholeworld is battling a health crisiswith at regular intervals undertake due dili- a wise decision. slab rates but multiple tax deduction bene-
central banks and governments across the gence and review their schemes’ perfor- Investors should be selective about fits orthe newonewith lowerslab rates but
world redrawing their priorities to tackle mance to weed out underperformers, their stock picks and/or MF schemes and no tax-deduction benefits.You’ll be well-
the economic fallout from the virus. rebalance their portfolio and adhere to invest in a staggered manner.Investing in advised to make your choice after compar-
The International Monetary Fund their asset allocation strategy. Booking high-quality companies/proven MF ing your tax outgo under both the systems
expects the world GDP to shrink by 3% profitswhen equityvaluationsrise (upset- schemes always pays in the long term and factoring in allyourtax-savingmeasures.
in 2020 and the Indian economy is ting the planned asset allocation pattern), thesewould be the first to recover.Aggres- The new tax system doesn’t allow tax
ILLUSTRATION: SHYAM KUMAR PRASAD
expected to grow by 1.9% for CY will help entering again at lower levels. sive investors can deploy 40% of their benefits under Section 80C,so you have to
2020.Some economists feel that the cur- Rebalancing and strictlyadhering to asset some cash that can be tactically deployed sidering the uncertainty of the situation, fresh funds at these levels and spread the strategise your investments very smartly.
rent crisis is even worse than the global allocation should be practised once every temporarilyin debt till a lumpsum invest- investors might have to experience some remaining over 4-6 months. Investors The new system shouldn’t be seen as a rea-
financial crisis of 2008. six months. ment opportunity arrives in equity space more pain in the coming weeks and when should remember that volatility is part son not to invest just because there are no
These are tough times for investors as A simple alternative would be to will help in optimising investors’ returns the second and third order effects of the and parcel of equity investing. We have tax incentives attached to them.In fact,the
thestockmarkethasseensharpcorrection redeem equity units accumulated over from SIPs and avoid investorregret of see- pandemic are witnessed, assessed and seen such deep corrections in the past and newsystemallowsyoutoinvestfreelyasper
of 37% in Nifty. However, some smart two to four years which have yielded ing high returns on un-booked SIPswhich more clarityon the extent of the spread of this may not be the last time.We have also your financial goals and risk appetite with-
selective recovery/stabilityiswitnessed in decent return of 12-15% per annum and crash suddenly in bad markets. the virus is evident. seen markets touching new highs after outworrying about tax-saving goals.
the last few sessions/weeks due to parking the redeemed amount in shorter Existing investors in SIP schemes may such deep corrections. Here a few key things taxpayers joining
improved global sentiments. Corrections duration funds.Stopping the running sys- Fall in value be disappointed at first glance as the SIP the new tax system should keep in mind
like this are the best time to accumulate tematicinvestmentplan(SIP)andstarting There is no way to know the trough of returns may not look exciting. However, The writer is head, while investing.
quality stocks. a new SIP,therebybooking profits,raising the market especially in such times. Con- this is the result of a fall in stock values HDFC securities Research
Investor
● YOUR QUERIES
exemption limit to ensure steady earnings Y/E March 2020E 2021E 2022E
Prioritise your financial goals
Your investment decisions should be
● I am a NRI and invest in Indian trajectory; FY21/22e EPS NII 561.9 668.9 772.9 guided byyourfinancial goals,risk appetite
OP 487.5 576.1 660.1
mutual funds online.There is a huge cut by 2% due to present NP 262.6 302.7 360.6
and liquidity needs first and tax-saving
TDS deduction on funds’capital gain. compunctions last.Even as you opt for the
How can I get the TDS back as my crisis; ‘Buy’ maintained NIM (%) 4.2 4.3 4.3
new regime, continue to invest towards
EPS (`) 48.0 55.2 65.8
income in India is less than the high-prioritygoals.You can invest forother
EPS Gr. (%) 21.2 14.9 19.2
minimum tax slab of `2.5 lakh? financial goals too if you have the required
BV/Sh. (`) 311.8 357.4 412.9
—Suman Chakraborty HDFC BANK (HDFCB) reported healthy ABV/Sh. (`) 297.9 338.5 392.9
capital,buttheprimaryfocusshouldbeyour
Resident investors in stocks and business growth in Q4FY20, led by con- Ratios most crucial financial goals like raising the
mutual funds are not subjected to TDS, tinued strength in its corporate portfolio RoE (%) 16.4 16.5 17.1 down payment fund for a house, raising a
but NRIs are.Short-term capital gains while retail growth was soft. Operating RoA (%) 1.9 1.9 1.9 fund foryourchildren’s education orbuild-
from equity-oriented investments are performance stood flat as margin expan- Payout (%) 25.0 17.4 15.6 ing an adequate retirement fund.
subject to a TDS of 15% (excluding cess), sionwasoffsetbylowerfeeincomedueto Valuations
while non-equity oriented investments the COVID-19 impact. Further, the bank P/E (X) 18.9 16.5 13.8 Invest in tax-efficient instruments
(such as debt funds) are subject to TDS of has made contingent provisions of P/BV (X) 2.9 2.5 2.2 Buyinvestmentsthatprovidehighpost-
30%.Long-term gains are subject to a `15.5 bn, which affected earnings. We P/ABV (X) 3.1 2.7 2.3 tax returns. For example, PPF offers you
TDS of 10% for equity- have fine-tuned our other income esti- Div. Yield (%) 1.3 1.1 1.1 returnsof7.1%perannumcompletelytax-
oriented investments, mates factoring in the current trends, Source: Motilal Oswal estimates free whereas an 8% FD may offer you only
and of 20% post whichhasresultedin~2%cuteachinour 5.6%ifyou’reinthe30%slab.PPFisanEEE
indexation for other FY21e/ FY22e earnings.Maintain Buy. instrument, meaning the sum invested,
than equity-oriented q-o-q) at `129.6 bn (+20%y-o-y). Highlights of mgmt commentary impactedduetoCOVID-19.Althoughthe returnsearnedandmaturitywithdrawalare
investments.NRIs, Stable earnings performance Loansgrew21%y-o-y,ledbycorporate COVID-19impact:Underthestresscase, RBI moratorium supports asset quality, alltax-free.Similarly,long-termcapitalgains
unlike resident HDFCBreportedasteadyquarterwithPAT loans (+29% y-o-y) while retail loan we expect ~9% of the SME portfolio to be credit cost is expected to stay elevated frominvestmentsinequityinstrumentsare
MUTUAL individuals,do not have growth of ~18% y-o-y (-7% q-o-q), sup- growth was soft at 14.6% y-o-y.Deposits vulnerable and see maximum potential while provisioning buffers should limit taxed at 10%,which may be less than your
FUNDS the option to adjust portedbyNIIgrowthof16%y-o-y(7%q- increased 24% y-o-y while CASA mix GNPA impact of ~50bp.Of the retail cus- the overall impact on earnings.A strong actual slab rate, while LTCG from debt
their capital gains o-q) as margins increased 10bp q-o-q to soared to 42.2% (+270bp q-o-q). tomers applying for moratorium, ~95- liabilityfranchisewouldsupportmargins mutual funds are taxed at 20.6% with
(either long-term or short term) against 4.3%. However, provisions spiked to Slippages stood at `31.5 bn (1.3% 98% are not in default (0 dpd) as of 29th whilehigherliquiditylevelswouldenable indexationbenefit.
the basic exemption limit of `2.5 lakh. `37.8bn (+24% q-o-q) as the bank made annualised) while some of the overdue Feb’20. the bank to ride out the current crisis and
Hence,you cannot claim the TDS back. contingent provision of `15.5 bn toward accountsavailedmoratorium,whichoth- CEOchange:AdityaPuriissettoretire gain further market share.We, thus, esti- Diversify and invest in instalments
You may avoid double taxation on COVID-19.ForFY20:NII/PPoP/PATgrew erwise would have slipped during the on 26th Oct’20; the bank has finalised mate loan book/PAT to deliver CAGR of When you invest in the new financial
your income by claiming tax relief if 16/23/25%y-o-yto `562/ 487/263 bn. quarter, resulting in ~6/21% q-o-q threecandidatesandwouldbeapplyingto 16/17% over FY20-22e. Management year,you must take measures to minimise
India has signed the Double Taxation Core fee income growth moderated to decline in GNPA/NNPA. Thus, GNPA/ the RBI forapproval. succession remains a big event to watch investment risks to bag desired returns.
Avoidance Treaty (DTAA) with the ~15%y-o-yto`42bnaffectedbythelock- NNPAratiosdeclinedby16bpy-o-y/12bp out for. Maintain Buy with PT of `1,200 This balance can be struck by diversifying
country of your residence.Under DTAA, down,which resulted in loss of fees/other q-o-q(10bp/6bpbenefitduetothemora- Valuations andview (3.0x Sep’21eABV). your investments across various asset
there are two methods to claim tax relief income of `4.5 bn. C/I ratio increased to torium). As a result, PCR improved by HDFCB’sbusinessgrowthremainsrobust classes. For
– exemption method and tax credit 39%(+110bpq-o-q)whilePPoPstoodflat ~530bp q-o-q to 72%. despite economic activity getting MOTILAL OSWAL example, equity You lose most of
method.Under exemption method,NRIs investments are your tax
are taxed in only one country and currentlyhighly deductions in the
exempted in another.Under tax credit Year to Mar (Consol) the Norton deal indicates management volatile,FDs and new regime.
method,where the income is taxed in FY19 FY20E FY21E FY22E focus remains on creating long-term small savings Nevertheless, as
both countries,tax relief can be claimed Revenue value.We maintain Buy. schemes are
in the country of residence.Consult your (` mn) 201,600 190,204 200,584 221,820 Brief about Norton: (a) The all-cash offering a low you invest, go for
tax advisor for specific tax advice based Net Income dealwith Norton Motorcycles isvalued at return; but gold investments that
on your individual situation. (` mn) 7,254 6,895 8,448 11,208 2x its EV/revenue on FY18 basis; (b) Nor- had seen great provide high
Rec. EPS (`) 15.3 14.5 17.8 23.6 ton has brands in segments ranging from appreciation in post-tax returns
● My investment in banks,FDs and % Chg Y-o-Y 9.1 (5.0) 22.5 32.7 performancebikestocruisers;(c)revenues the last year.
central government schemes are due P/E (x) 18.9 19.8 16.2 12.2 grew20%y-o-yinFY18toGBP6.7mn;(d) When the mar-
CEPS (`) 23.5 24.8 28.3 34.7
for renewal,but cut in interest rates revenue mix is well diversified with kets revive, equity and other asset classes
EV/E (x) 9.8 9.3 8.4 7.2
will reduce my income.What strategy exports accounting for ~79%; (e) Norton can start giving you higher returns again
Dividend
should I adopt as a retired person? has been investing in new products; (f) it and gold prices may flatline. So, aim to
Yield (%) 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.5
—Dipak Chakraborty RoCE (%) 11.6 11.0 11.2 12.6
went into administration following a invest in different asset classes keeping in
Assuming a conservative risk profile RoE (%) 23.1 19.0 20.5 23.6 winding-up petition filed by the UK tax mind your financial goals, liquidity
given your age and withdrawal needs, Source: Company data, I-Sec research authorities;(g)inthelastfewyears,Norton requirements and risk appetite.Also, aim
you can go for portfolio mix of 15% in had been gaining entry in Asian markets to invest in instalments (like SIPs) to bet-
equities (large caps) and 85% in fixed which can nowbe boosted byTVSM. ter manage your liquidity. In fact, you
income with a high credit quality.Equity ● TVS MOTOR COMPANY RATING: BUY Dealboostspremiumcapabilities: might be able to bag more mutual fund
exposure will lend growth to portfolio.A WebelievetheNortonacquisitionshould unitsinthecurrentmarketthroughanSIP
portion (30-40%) of fixed income port-
folio can be invested in tax free bonds of
PSUs,annuities,senior citizen FDs/ PO
Norton to boost premium capabilities be looked at from a typical capital bud-
geting lense (buyvs build).In the context
of capabilities and opportunities, it pro-
at discounted rateswhich can unlock high
returns when redeemed later.
deposits,which offer fixed interest rates videsTVSMwithamuchcheaperrouteto Invest in the name of your parents
for longer periods of time.Assuming 5% Near-term concerns exist over Covid-19; ‘Buy’ retained with unchanged TP of `447 elevate its position. It could provide it a Investinthenameofyourseniorcitizen
inflation rate,maintaining current life- firmlaunchpadtocombineitsstrongcost parentsprovidedtheyfallunderalowertax
style may deplete your corpus after 13 andqualityfocuswithNorton’sproducts, bracket than yours.Most banks allow pref-
years.For a 20-year lifespan,you need to TVS MOTOR COMPANY (TVSM) has (>150cc) with brand Apache in a tie-up In the near term, however, top technologyandbrandstoexplorethepre- erential rates for senior citizen depositors.
restrict your monthlywithdrawals to announceditsacquisitionoficonicBritish (forsub-500cc segment)with BMW. investor concerns revolve around: mium domestic market as well as export Moreover,giftsmadetoyourparentsarenei-
`30,000 per month. motorcycle,Norton,asitpurchasedassets In the medium term, the deal pro- (i)thepossibleimpactofCovid-19onthe opportunities on a larger scale.We have ther taxable in your hand or your parent’s
of Norton Motorcycles (in administra- vides: (i) strong brands, which aid entry sector and (ii) whether cashflow con- unchanged TP of `447/share (valuing hand under the I-T Act, nor clubbing of
The writer is director,Investment tion),inanall-cashdealworthGBP16mn. into the lucrative cruiser bike segment; straints could affect business in the standalone business on 22x FY22EPS). income applies to the income earned from
Advisory,Morningstar Investment Adviser TVSM has been progressing well in the (ii) established engine (>500cc) technol- medium term.We believe TVSM is likely such giftswhichyou give toyourparents.
(India).Send your queries to domestic premium product market ogy; and (iii) new export opportunities. to encounterthese headwinds; however, ICICI SECURITIES
fepersonalfinance@expressindia.com The authoris CEO,BankBazaar.com
10 FINANCIAL EXPRESS WWW.FINANCIALEXPRESS.COM
Markets
TUESDAY, APRIL 21, 2020
EXPERTVIEW
Demand for longer-tenor corporate bonds from
insurers and pension funds is expected to fall as
they shift allocations to state bonds after the
recent surge in yields.
—Manoj Jaju, chief investment officer,
Bharti AXA General Insurance
Quick secondary market transactions. The rally “If you look at the revised Q1 T-bill ers,”Narayan said. and a sharp rise in coronavirus cases in the
country.
ended 59.28 points, or 0.19%, higher at
31,648.The NSE Nifty settled 4.90 points,
View
Forex traders said a firm US dollar or0.05%,lowerat 9,261.85.
via equity dilution F&O curbs on the domestic aswell as the global econ-
omy. At the interbank foreign exchange,
numberofcasesaroundtheworldlinkedto
the new coronavirus has crossed over 24